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© 2010 IBM Corporation
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Taking it to the Streets –
Big and Fast Data in the City
Olivier Verscheure, PhD
Senior Manager, Big Data Analytics & Systems
IBM Research, Ireland
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
China
WatsonAlmaden
Austin
TokyoHaifa
Zurich
India
Dublin
Melbourne
Rio
IBM Research: 4 new labs established since 2010
Kenya
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Isolated Research
Joint Projects
Radical
Collaboration
’50s — ’90s ’90s — ’00s
’00s …
IBM Divisions,
Clients, Universities
The World is Now Our Lab
Hardware + Software & Services
+ Smarter Planet
The Eras of IBM Research
First-of-a-Kind
Research Consulting
Intellectual Property
Collaborative grants
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
What Do You See?
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Dublin City Data Hub
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Big Data, Bad Data
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
How can we help cities achieve their aspirations?
1.  Feel the City’s Pulse
- Assimilate sensor data
- Deal with data diversity, accuracy, sparcity, volume
2.  Analyze the City’s Need
- Understand how people use the city infrastructure
- Model and predict demand
3.  Empower the city’s people, businesses,
universities, and leaders
Optimize planning & operations, in the face of
uncertainty
Organize and open data and knowledge
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Feel the City’s Pulse
•  FIFA World Cup ‘06, the final… A perspective from Rome
•  Continuous assimilation of real-time traffic data
Analyze the City’s Need
•  Predicting number of available bikes in bike sharing stations
•  Characterizing urban dynamics from digital traces
Empower the City’s People, Businesses
•  Optimizing public transport from cell phone data
Agenda
TransportandMobility,
WaterManagement,
SustainableEnergy
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Feel the City’s Pulse
•  FIFA World Cup ‘06, the final… A perspective from Rome
•  Continuous assimilation of real-time traffic data
Analyze the City’s Need
•  Predicting number of available bikes in bike sharing stations
•  Characterizing urban dynamics from digital traces
Empower the City’s People, Businesses
•  Optimizing public transport from cell phone data
Agenda
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
FIFA World Cup ‘06, the final… A perspective from Rome
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Feel the City’s Pulse
•  FIFA World Cup ‘06, the final… A perspective from Rome
•  Continuous assimilation of real-time traffic data
Analyze the City’s Need
•  Predicting number of available bikes in bike sharing stations
•  Characterizing urban dynamics from digital traces
Empower the City’s People, Businesses
•  Optimizing public transport from cell phone data
Agenda
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Real-time
assimilation,
mediation
(e.g. de-noising),
aggregation
(e.g. key traffic
metrics)
GPS devices
Induction loops
Axle counters
Traffic lights
Parking meters
Cameras
MCS
Weather stations
Microblogs
• Geomatching
• Geotracking
• Traffic metrics
Our Stockholm Experience (2009)
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
•  Complex system & analytics challenges
•  Data diversity, heterogeneity
•  Data accuracy, sparsity
•  Data volume
Routes & maps
Bus AVL (GPS)
Parking
capacity
Accessibility
SCATS
Induction loop
Timetables
CCT
V
Ca
r
Bik
e
1,000 buses
3,000 GPS / min
200 CCTV cameras
700 intersections
4,000 loop detectors
20,000 tuples / min
The Dublin Bus Project
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Quick Demo
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Feel the City’s Pulse
•  FIFA World Cup ‘06, the final… A perspective from Rome
•  Continuous assimilation of real-time traffic data
Analyze the City’s Need
•  Predicting number of available bikes in bike sharing stations
•  Characterizing urban dynamics from digital traces
Empower the City’s People, Businesses
•  Optimizing public transport from cell phone data
Agenda
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Dublin Bike Sharing Scheme
•  Launched in September 2009
•  More than 1 million journeys per year
•  44 bike stations across the city center
•  Prediction of number of available
bikes and waiting times
•  Immediately applicable to larger bike
sharing schemes (e.g., Bicing in
Barcelona: 1450 stations)
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Transparent Analytics
•  Covariates:
•  GAM equation:
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Analysis
•  Available bikes (5-min data), 44 bike stations,
February 26th - May 31st, 2012.
•  Weather information (temperature, rain).
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Results
•  Comparison with Last Value (LV), Historical Mean (HM), Autoregressive
Moving Average (ARMA)
•  Average and Weighted RMSE (weighted by size of bike station)
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Feel the City’s Pulse
•  FIFA World Cup ‘06, the final… A perspective from Rome
•  Continuous assimilation of real-time traffic data
Analyze the City’s Need
•  Predicting number of available bikes in bike sharing stations
•  Characterizing urban dynamics from digital traces
Empower the City’s People, Businesses
•  Optimizing public transport from cell phone data
Agenda
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Pervasive Technologies Datasets as Digital Footprints
Understand how people use the
city's infrastructure
§ Mobility (transportation mode) 
§ Consumption (energy, water, waste)
§ Environmental impact (noise, pollution)
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Goal: Modeling and predicting non-routine additive origin-destination fluxes in the city 
Profiling an event based on the generated travel demand

F. Calabrese, F. Pereira, G. Di Lorenzo, L. Liu, C. Ratti, The geography of taste: analyzing cell-phone mobility and social events. In International Conference
on Pervasive Computing, 2010.


Modeling Urban Mobility during Special Events
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Origins of Attendees
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Sport
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cinema
Low High
Attendance probability
Circles are centroids of zipcode areas
Event Types and Attendance Origins
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation

D. Quercia, N. Lathia, F. Calabrese, G. Di Lorenzo, J. Crowcroft, Recommending Social Events from Mobile Phone Location Data, ICDM, 2010.

Improving event planning and management
Predicting the effect of an event on the urban
transportation
Adapting public transit (schedules and routes) to
accommodate additional demand

Location based services
Recommending social events
Cold start problem

Applications
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Feel the City’s Pulse
•  FIFA World Cup ‘06, the final… A perspective from Rome
•  Continuous assimilation of real-time traffic data
Analyze the City’s Need
•  Predicting number of available bikes in bike sharing stations
•  Characterizing urban dynamics from digital traces
Empower the City’s People, Businesses
•  Optimizing public transport from cell phone data
Agenda
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
AllAboard – Optimizing public transport using cellphone data
AllAboard assists cities in improving their transport network to
better meet demand and reduce travel and wait times.
AllAboard relies on data from Telecom networks and transport
network to evaluate ridership of roads and transit services under
current and optimised network configurations.
AllAboard Demo - Abidjan , Ivory Coast
Input
Cellphone location data from 500,000 users
Existing transit network:17 express and 67 regular bus routes
Output
Optimization model selected 4 new routes
22 routes had increased ridership
Citywide travel time decreased by 10%
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation
Quick Demo
IBM Research - Ireland
© 2014 IBM Corporation

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Big data week l'impact du big data sur l'intelligence urbaine ibm research irelande par olivier verscheure

  • 1. © 2010 IBM Corporation IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Taking it to the Streets – Big and Fast Data in the City Olivier Verscheure, PhD Senior Manager, Big Data Analytics & Systems IBM Research, Ireland
  • 2. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation China WatsonAlmaden Austin TokyoHaifa Zurich India Dublin Melbourne Rio IBM Research: 4 new labs established since 2010 Kenya
  • 3. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Isolated Research Joint Projects Radical Collaboration ’50s — ’90s ’90s — ’00s ’00s … IBM Divisions, Clients, Universities The World is Now Our Lab Hardware + Software & Services + Smarter Planet The Eras of IBM Research First-of-a-Kind Research Consulting Intellectual Property Collaborative grants
  • 4. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation What Do You See?
  • 5. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Dublin City Data Hub
  • 6. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Big Data, Bad Data
  • 7. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation How can we help cities achieve their aspirations? 1.  Feel the City’s Pulse - Assimilate sensor data - Deal with data diversity, accuracy, sparcity, volume 2.  Analyze the City’s Need - Understand how people use the city infrastructure - Model and predict demand 3.  Empower the city’s people, businesses, universities, and leaders Optimize planning & operations, in the face of uncertainty Organize and open data and knowledge
  • 8. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Feel the City’s Pulse •  FIFA World Cup ‘06, the final… A perspective from Rome •  Continuous assimilation of real-time traffic data Analyze the City’s Need •  Predicting number of available bikes in bike sharing stations •  Characterizing urban dynamics from digital traces Empower the City’s People, Businesses •  Optimizing public transport from cell phone data Agenda TransportandMobility, WaterManagement, SustainableEnergy
  • 9. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Feel the City’s Pulse •  FIFA World Cup ‘06, the final… A perspective from Rome •  Continuous assimilation of real-time traffic data Analyze the City’s Need •  Predicting number of available bikes in bike sharing stations •  Characterizing urban dynamics from digital traces Empower the City’s People, Businesses •  Optimizing public transport from cell phone data Agenda
  • 10. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation FIFA World Cup ‘06, the final… A perspective from Rome
  • 11. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Feel the City’s Pulse •  FIFA World Cup ‘06, the final… A perspective from Rome •  Continuous assimilation of real-time traffic data Analyze the City’s Need •  Predicting number of available bikes in bike sharing stations •  Characterizing urban dynamics from digital traces Empower the City’s People, Businesses •  Optimizing public transport from cell phone data Agenda
  • 12. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Real-time assimilation, mediation (e.g. de-noising), aggregation (e.g. key traffic metrics) GPS devices Induction loops Axle counters Traffic lights Parking meters Cameras MCS Weather stations Microblogs • Geomatching • Geotracking • Traffic metrics Our Stockholm Experience (2009)
  • 13. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation •  Complex system & analytics challenges •  Data diversity, heterogeneity •  Data accuracy, sparsity •  Data volume Routes & maps Bus AVL (GPS) Parking capacity Accessibility SCATS Induction loop Timetables CCT V Ca r Bik e 1,000 buses 3,000 GPS / min 200 CCTV cameras 700 intersections 4,000 loop detectors 20,000 tuples / min The Dublin Bus Project
  • 14. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Quick Demo
  • 15. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Feel the City’s Pulse •  FIFA World Cup ‘06, the final… A perspective from Rome •  Continuous assimilation of real-time traffic data Analyze the City’s Need •  Predicting number of available bikes in bike sharing stations •  Characterizing urban dynamics from digital traces Empower the City’s People, Businesses •  Optimizing public transport from cell phone data Agenda
  • 16. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Dublin Bike Sharing Scheme •  Launched in September 2009 •  More than 1 million journeys per year •  44 bike stations across the city center •  Prediction of number of available bikes and waiting times •  Immediately applicable to larger bike sharing schemes (e.g., Bicing in Barcelona: 1450 stations)
  • 17. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Transparent Analytics •  Covariates: •  GAM equation:
  • 18. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Analysis •  Available bikes (5-min data), 44 bike stations, February 26th - May 31st, 2012. •  Weather information (temperature, rain).
  • 19. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Results •  Comparison with Last Value (LV), Historical Mean (HM), Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) •  Average and Weighted RMSE (weighted by size of bike station)
  • 20. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Feel the City’s Pulse •  FIFA World Cup ‘06, the final… A perspective from Rome •  Continuous assimilation of real-time traffic data Analyze the City’s Need •  Predicting number of available bikes in bike sharing stations •  Characterizing urban dynamics from digital traces Empower the City’s People, Businesses •  Optimizing public transport from cell phone data Agenda
  • 21. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Pervasive Technologies Datasets as Digital Footprints Understand how people use the city's infrastructure § Mobility (transportation mode) § Consumption (energy, water, waste) § Environmental impact (noise, pollution)
  • 22. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Goal: Modeling and predicting non-routine additive origin-destination fluxes in the city Profiling an event based on the generated travel demand F. Calabrese, F. Pereira, G. Di Lorenzo, L. Liu, C. Ratti, The geography of taste: analyzing cell-phone mobility and social events. In International Conference on Pervasive Computing, 2010. Modeling Urban Mobility during Special Events
  • 23. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Origins of Attendees
  • 24. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Sport Cinema Low High Attendance probability Circles are centroids of zipcode areas Event Types and Attendance Origins
  • 25. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation D. Quercia, N. Lathia, F. Calabrese, G. Di Lorenzo, J. Crowcroft, Recommending Social Events from Mobile Phone Location Data, ICDM, 2010. Improving event planning and management Predicting the effect of an event on the urban transportation Adapting public transit (schedules and routes) to accommodate additional demand Location based services Recommending social events Cold start problem Applications
  • 26. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Feel the City’s Pulse •  FIFA World Cup ‘06, the final… A perspective from Rome •  Continuous assimilation of real-time traffic data Analyze the City’s Need •  Predicting number of available bikes in bike sharing stations •  Characterizing urban dynamics from digital traces Empower the City’s People, Businesses •  Optimizing public transport from cell phone data Agenda
  • 27. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation AllAboard – Optimizing public transport using cellphone data AllAboard assists cities in improving their transport network to better meet demand and reduce travel and wait times. AllAboard relies on data from Telecom networks and transport network to evaluate ridership of roads and transit services under current and optimised network configurations. AllAboard Demo - Abidjan , Ivory Coast Input Cellphone location data from 500,000 users Existing transit network:17 express and 67 regular bus routes Output Optimization model selected 4 new routes 22 routes had increased ridership Citywide travel time decreased by 10%
  • 28. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation Quick Demo
  • 29. IBM Research - Ireland © 2014 IBM Corporation