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Daily DerivativesOutlook

                                                                                                                   18thMay 2012


              Nifty Analysis                       Nifty
                 1            2           3        Call Writing(Bearish): 4800 to 5100
Maximum                                            Put Writing (Bullish): 4600 to 4900
               5200         5100        5000       Call Buying (Bullish) : -
Call OI
Maximum
               4800         4700        4600
                                                   Put Buying (Bearish) : -
Put OI                                             Call Unwinding (Profit-taking) : 5200 to 6100
Equilibrium          4900 (unchanged)              Put Unwinding (Profit-taking) :5000- 5400&4300 - 4500.
Futures
               Discount 18vs Discount 1
Discount                                           Bank Nifty
Futures OI       Up 3%- Short Buildup              Call Writing (Bearish): 9700 to 10000 and 9000 to 9200.
India VIX         23.59 down by 0.6%               Put Writing (Bullish): 8700
                                                   Call Buying (Bullish) : -
                                                   Put Buying (Bearish) : 8900 to 9200
            Bank Nifty Analysis                    Call Unwinding (Profit-taking) : 9300 to 9400
                 1            2           3        Put Unwinding (Profit-taking) :9400 to 10000.
Maximum
            9500      9400     9000                USD/INR
Call OI
Maximum                                            The futures premium went down to 0.22 ( wrt RBI
            9000      9500     8500
Put OI                                             reference rate)and open interest increased by 0.02% due
Equilibrium 9100vs 9200 (Down 100)                 to long unwinding. The ATM IVs went up by 1% indicating
Futures                                            volatility ahead.The equilibriumremained at the 54.25
            Discount 68vs Discount 56
Discount                                           levels.
Futures OI Down 1% (Short Covering)

                                                   STOCK FUTURES
             USD/INR Analysis                      Long Buildup: Ambuja Cement, Cairn, CESC, Mcleod
                 1            2           3
Maximum                                            Unwinding: Aban, ABB, Cummins, Delta, Dish TV,
                54.5          55          54
Call OI                                            Hexaware, Hind Oil, ITC, Jindal Steel, JP Associate,
Maximum
                 54           53         53.5      Jubilant Food, NMDC, Pantaloon, Rolta, SunTV, Suzlon
Put OI
Equilibrium       54.25 (unchanged)                Short Buildup : Arvind, IDBI, LT, MM, Petronet, Reliance
Futures        Premium 0.22vs Premium              Infra, Tata Power, Voltas
Premium                   0.35
                  Up by 0.02%(Long
Futures OI
                      unwinding)
                11.7 vs 12.55 ( down by
ATM IV
                         0.85)


SOURCE – NSE




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                                  th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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Keynote derivatives daily report for 180512

  • 1. Daily DerivativesOutlook 18thMay 2012 Nifty Analysis Nifty 1 2 3 Call Writing(Bearish): 4800 to 5100 Maximum Put Writing (Bullish): 4600 to 4900 5200 5100 5000 Call Buying (Bullish) : - Call OI Maximum 4800 4700 4600 Put Buying (Bearish) : - Put OI Call Unwinding (Profit-taking) : 5200 to 6100 Equilibrium 4900 (unchanged) Put Unwinding (Profit-taking) :5000- 5400&4300 - 4500. Futures Discount 18vs Discount 1 Discount Bank Nifty Futures OI Up 3%- Short Buildup Call Writing (Bearish): 9700 to 10000 and 9000 to 9200. India VIX 23.59 down by 0.6% Put Writing (Bullish): 8700 Call Buying (Bullish) : - Put Buying (Bearish) : 8900 to 9200 Bank Nifty Analysis Call Unwinding (Profit-taking) : 9300 to 9400 1 2 3 Put Unwinding (Profit-taking) :9400 to 10000. Maximum 9500 9400 9000 USD/INR Call OI Maximum The futures premium went down to 0.22 ( wrt RBI 9000 9500 8500 Put OI reference rate)and open interest increased by 0.02% due Equilibrium 9100vs 9200 (Down 100) to long unwinding. The ATM IVs went up by 1% indicating Futures volatility ahead.The equilibriumremained at the 54.25 Discount 68vs Discount 56 Discount levels. Futures OI Down 1% (Short Covering) STOCK FUTURES USD/INR Analysis Long Buildup: Ambuja Cement, Cairn, CESC, Mcleod 1 2 3 Maximum Unwinding: Aban, ABB, Cummins, Delta, Dish TV, 54.5 55 54 Call OI Hexaware, Hind Oil, ITC, Jindal Steel, JP Associate, Maximum 54 53 53.5 Jubilant Food, NMDC, Pantaloon, Rolta, SunTV, Suzlon Put OI Equilibrium 54.25 (unchanged) Short Buildup : Arvind, IDBI, LT, MM, Petronet, Reliance Futures Premium 0.22vs Premium Infra, Tata Power, Voltas Premium 0.35 Up by 0.02%(Long Futures OI unwinding) 11.7 vs 12.55 ( down by ATM IV 0.85) SOURCE – NSE Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
  • 2. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322