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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                   22nd May 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.       Mirroring the divergent global market cues the domestic
 BSE SENSEX                16183.26          0.19       markets witnessed a flat opening. Selective buying support
 S&P CNX NIFTY              4906.05          0.30       along with short covering was witnessed as markets moved
 NIFTY May FUT.             4893.90          0.10       higher. But lack of follow up buying support saw the Nifty
 India VIX                   23.92           1.57       struggle around the 4950 resistance level. The markets
                                                        ended the day with modest gains to close near the lows for
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                  the day. The top losers for the day were Wipro, ITC, Infosys
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3     Tech; Jindal Steel, Powergrid, HUL, ACC, Ambuja Cement,
Support           4777       4742            4624       Sterlite and NTPC. The top gainers for the day were Tata
Resistance        4950       5070            5106       Power, Bank of Baroda, Rel. Infra, SBI, BHEL, Maruti, L&T,
                                                        Coal India, Hindalco and Kotak Bank.
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY
50 Day SMA                  5194.98                     Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst
100 Day SMA                 5172.23                     lower volumes, indicating lack of participation at higher
200 Day SMA                 5082.73        ◄ Critical   levels. The global market cues are positive. The domestic
                                                        markets are likely to witness a gap up opening. As we
             Market Breadth (NSE) *                     had indicated the pull back rally continued on the
Advances                      943                       bourses. The RSI and the Stochastic are already placed
Declines                      504                       above their respective averages. Moreover, the
Same                           81                       Stochastic and RSI are still placed around the over sold
Total                        1528                       zone. Further the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed
A/D Ratio                   1.87 : 1
                                                        above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so,
                                                        the Nifty’s 100-day SMA is placed above the Nifty’s 200-
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *                day SMA. These positive technical conditions would
               21/05/12     18/05/12        % Chg.      prompt further short covering and selective buying
BSE              1591        2024           -21.39
                                                        support. However, the prevailing technical negatives
                                                        continue to hold good and are likely to cap upside gains.
NSE              4951        5896           -16.04
                                                        The Nifty remains placed below its 50-day SMA, 100-day
Total            6542        7920           -17.41
                                                        SMA and 200-day SMA. Further the KST and MACD are
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *                placed below their respective averages and also in the
               21/05/12     18/05/12        % Chg.
                                                        negative territory and warn of impending selling
                                                        pressure. These negative technical conditions would
BSE             1579.46     2024.18          -21.97
                                                        lead to selling pressure especially at higher levels. The
NSE             7812.70    10581.01          -26.16
                                                        ADX line is moving higher but the -DI line has started
NSE F&O        97954.37    155862.13         -37.15     moving lower indicating sellers are covering shorts,
Total          107346.53   168467.32         -36.28     while the +DI line is moving lower. The market sentiment
                                                        remains tentative but pull back rally is likely to continue.
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)          *
                                                        Now, it is important that the markets witness follow up
               21/05/12     17/05/12        % Chg.
                                                        buying support at higher levels for the Nifty to move
Index Fut.      383573      619222           -38.06     above the 4950 resistance level and test the
Stock Fut.      425930      591779           -28.03     psychologically important 5000 level. In the meanwhile
Index Opt.     2979944      4877313          -38.90     the markets would take cues from the USDINR, global
Stock Opt.      216427      362098           -40.23     markets and the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty
Total          4005874      6450412          -31.67     are placed at 4777, 4742, 4624 and 4530. The Nifty faces
                                                        resistance at the 4950, 5070, 5106 and 5250 levels.
NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE


Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                 Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in

                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days)

                                                                               Stop
                                                   Initiation        Stop      Loss                      Target
      Stock            Close         Action          Price          Loss *      (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Asian Paints           3754.25      Buy Above            3760         3697         1.68        3900          3.72
Bank of Baroda          666.35      Buy Above             669          655         2.09         700          4.63
                                                                                                                    TGT of 900
                                                                                                                    Achieved
                                                                                                                    given Buy @
                                                                                                                    875 on
Bata                   888.95    Buy Above            890              876         1.57         920          3.37   21/05/12
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.



                                                            Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices            Close         Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                  16183               16210      16271       16359         16508        16122        16062        15913
S&P CNX NIFTY                4906                4911        4933       4960          5009            4884        4862       4813
NIFTY MAY FUT.               4894                4903        4923       4952          5002            4874        4853       4804




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                               th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

Aban, Apollo Tyre, Arvind, Bombay Dying, Coal India, Divis Labs, DLF, Federal Bank, GE Shipping, Godrej Inds; Grasim,
GVK, Havells, HCC, Hindalco, HOECL, IBRealestate, ICICI Bank, IDFC, JP Associates, Kotak Bank, L&T, M&M, MRF, NHPC,
Oriental Bank of Commerce, PFC, Reliance, Reliance Infra, SAIL, SBI, SCI, Sun Pharma, Suzlon, Tata Power, Tata Steel,
Union Bank, Vijaya Bank, Yes Bank
BPCL, OFSS, Oil India, OnMobile, Opto Circuit, Tata Chemicals, Tulip Telecom, Uniphos




      Disclaimer
      This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
      reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are
      required to observe these restrictions.
      This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
      upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any
      jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
      objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
      We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
      though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected
      with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
      own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this
      material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including
      those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial
      risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s
      price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not
      match with a report on a company’s fundamentals.
      Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to
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      No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior
      written consent.




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 220512

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 22nd May 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Mirroring the divergent global market cues the domestic BSE SENSEX 16183.26 0.19 markets witnessed a flat opening. Selective buying support S&P CNX NIFTY 4906.05 0.30 along with short covering was witnessed as markets moved NIFTY May FUT. 4893.90 0.10 higher. But lack of follow up buying support saw the Nifty India VIX 23.92 1.57 struggle around the 4950 resistance level. The markets ended the day with modest gains to close near the lows for S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels the day. The top losers for the day were Wipro, ITC, Infosys Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Tech; Jindal Steel, Powergrid, HUL, ACC, Ambuja Cement, Support 4777 4742 4624 Sterlite and NTPC. The top gainers for the day were Tata Resistance 4950 5070 5106 Power, Bank of Baroda, Rel. Infra, SBI, BHEL, Maruti, L&T, Coal India, Hindalco and Kotak Bank. Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY 50 Day SMA 5194.98 Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst 100 Day SMA 5172.23 lower volumes, indicating lack of participation at higher 200 Day SMA 5082.73 ◄ Critical levels. The global market cues are positive. The domestic markets are likely to witness a gap up opening. As we Market Breadth (NSE) * had indicated the pull back rally continued on the Advances 943 bourses. The RSI and the Stochastic are already placed Declines 504 above their respective averages. Moreover, the Same 81 Stochastic and RSI are still placed around the over sold Total 1528 zone. Further the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed A/D Ratio 1.87 : 1 above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so, the Nifty’s 100-day SMA is placed above the Nifty’s 200- Volume (Lacs Shares) * day SMA. These positive technical conditions would 21/05/12 18/05/12 % Chg. prompt further short covering and selective buying BSE 1591 2024 -21.39 support. However, the prevailing technical negatives continue to hold good and are likely to cap upside gains. NSE 4951 5896 -16.04 The Nifty remains placed below its 50-day SMA, 100-day Total 6542 7920 -17.41 SMA and 200-day SMA. Further the KST and MACD are Turnover ( ` Crores) * placed below their respective averages and also in the 21/05/12 18/05/12 % Chg. negative territory and warn of impending selling pressure. These negative technical conditions would BSE 1579.46 2024.18 -21.97 lead to selling pressure especially at higher levels. The NSE 7812.70 10581.01 -26.16 ADX line is moving higher but the -DI line has started NSE F&O 97954.37 155862.13 -37.15 moving lower indicating sellers are covering shorts, Total 107346.53 168467.32 -36.28 while the +DI line is moving lower. The market sentiment remains tentative but pull back rally is likely to continue. F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * Now, it is important that the markets witness follow up 21/05/12 17/05/12 % Chg. buying support at higher levels for the Nifty to move Index Fut. 383573 619222 -38.06 above the 4950 resistance level and test the Stock Fut. 425930 591779 -28.03 psychologically important 5000 level. In the meanwhile Index Opt. 2979944 4877313 -38.90 the markets would take cues from the USDINR, global Stock Opt. 216427 362098 -40.23 markets and the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty Total 4005874 6450412 -31.67 are placed at 4777, 4742, 4624 and 4530. The Nifty faces resistance at the 4950, 5070, 5106 and 5250 levels. NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Asian Paints 3754.25 Buy Above 3760 3697 1.68 3900 3.72 Bank of Baroda 666.35 Buy Above 669 655 2.09 700 4.63 TGT of 900 Achieved given Buy @ 875 on Bata 888.95 Buy Above 890 876 1.57 920 3.37 21/05/12 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 16183 16210 16271 16359 16508 16122 16062 15913 S&P CNX NIFTY 4906 4911 4933 4960 5009 4884 4862 4813 NIFTY MAY FUT. 4894 4903 4923 4952 5002 4874 4853 4804 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today Aban, Apollo Tyre, Arvind, Bombay Dying, Coal India, Divis Labs, DLF, Federal Bank, GE Shipping, Godrej Inds; Grasim, GVK, Havells, HCC, Hindalco, HOECL, IBRealestate, ICICI Bank, IDFC, JP Associates, Kotak Bank, L&T, M&M, MRF, NHPC, Oriental Bank of Commerce, PFC, Reliance, Reliance Infra, SAIL, SBI, SCI, Sun Pharma, Suzlon, Tata Power, Tata Steel, Union Bank, Vijaya Bank, Yes Bank BPCL, OFSS, Oil India, OnMobile, Opto Circuit, Tata Chemicals, Tulip Telecom, Uniphos Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com