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Quarterly Market Review
                                                                                                                          Q1
                                                                                                                                  First Quarter 2013

Advisory Services offered through Larson Financial Group, LLC, a Registered Investment Advisor. Securities offered through Larson Financial Securities, LLC, Member FINRA/SIPC.
Quarterly Market Review
First Quarter 2013


This report features world capital market performance           Overview:
and a timeline of events for the last quarter. It begins with
a global overview, then features the returns of stock and       Market Summary
bond asset classes in the US and international markets.
                                                                Timeline of Events
The report also illustrates the performance of globally         World Asset Classes
diversified portfolios and features a topic of the quarter.
                                                                US Stocks
                                                                International Developed Stocks
                                                                Emerging Markets Stocks
                                                                Select Country Performance
                                                                Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
                                                                Commodities
                                                                Fixed Income
                                                                Global Diversification
                                                                Quarterly Topic: Betting against the House
Market Summary
First Quarter 2013 Index Returns




                                                      International                 Emerging                                                                                             Global
                         US Stock                     Developed                     Markets                   Global                                        US Bond                      Bond
                         Market                       Stocks                        Stocks                    Real Estate                                   Market                       Market



                        +11.07%                      +4.70%                         -1.62%                        +7.66%                                    -0.12%                        +0.57%




                                                                   STOCKS                                                                                                 BONDS




Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio.
Market segment (index representation) as follows: US Stock Market (Russell 3000 Index), International Developed Stocks (MSCI World ex USA Index [net div.]), Emerging Markets (MSCI Emerging Markets Index [net
div.]), Global Real Estate (S&P Global REIT Index), US Bond Market (Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index), and Global Bond Market (Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index [Hedged to USD]). The S&P data are provided by
Standard & Poor's Index Services Group. Russell data copyright © Russell Investment Group 1995–2012, all rights reserved. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. Barclays data provided by Barclays Bank PLC.
US long-term bonds, bills, and inflation data © Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation Yearbook™, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield).                             3
Timeline of Events: Quarter in Review
First Quarter 2013
                                                                                                                                                                               Data show US retail sales
                                                                                                                                                                               increased 1.1% in
                                                                                                                                                                               February, the largest rise
                                                                                                                                                                               since September 2012.
                                                                                                        FOMC minutes signal debate on                                                                                     Data show US
                                                                                                        scaling back US central bank’s                                                                                    GDP rose 0.4%
Fiscal cliff –                                                                                          bond buying program.                                                                                              in Q4
                                                                                                                                                                                    Haruhiko Kuroda
US House of                                                                                                                                                                                                               2012, revised
                                                                                                                                                                                    named governor of
Representatives                                            US Federal Reserve                                                                                                                                             from prior
                                                                                                      Euro zone’s                                                                   Bank of Japan.
adopts US Senate’s                                         announces it will                                                                                                                                              estimate of
                                                                                                      recession deepens
budget bill.                                               continue purchasing                                                                                                                                            0.1% decrease.
                                                                                                      as exports from                                Dow Jones closes at record
                                                           $40 billion of                             leading economies                                                                                          Cyprus reaches
                                                                                                                                                     high of 14,253, topping record
                                                           mortgage-backed                            suffer and Q4 GDP                                                                                          €10B rescue
                                                                                                                                                     set in October 2007.
                                                           securities and $45                         falls 0.6%.                                                                                                deal with
                                                           billion of Treasury                                                                                                                                   IMF, EU, and
                        World Bank cuts                    securities each month.                                                                                                                                ECB.
                                                                                                                                                 Italy’s election
                        2013 forecast for
                                                                                                                                                 ends in
                        global growth from
                                                                                                                                                 deadlocked
                        3% to 2.4%.
                                                                                                                                                 parliament.




                                                                                                   MSCI All Country World Index

12/31/2012                                                                                                                                                                                                                  03/29/2013



The graph illustrates the MSCI All Country World Index (net div.) daily returns over the quarter. Source: MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. The events highlighted are not intended to explain market
movements. The index is not available for direct investment. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.                                                                                                                      4
World Asset Classes
First Quarter 2013 Index Returns


The US market led equity returns vs. developed ex US and emerging markets after strong performances in both January and February. The
US yield curve steepened and remained upwardly sloped.




                                                         Russell 2000 Index                                                                                                                      12.39

                                                Russell 1000 Value Index                                                                                                                        12.31

                                                              S&P 500 Index                                                                                                       10.61

                              S&P Global ex US REIT Index (net div.)                                                                                  7.42

                    MSCI World ex USA Small Cap Index (net div.)                                                                                     7.24

                                      Dow Jones US Select REIT Index                                                                               7.04

                                   MSCI World ex USA Index (net div.)                                                          4.70

              MSCI Emerging Markets Small Cap Index (net div.)                                                             4.20

                          MSCI World ex USA Value Index (net div.)                                               3.13

                                           One-Month US Treasury Bills                 0.01

                                                                           -0.12     Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index
                                                              -1.62                  MSCI Emerging Markets Index (net div.)

                                                        -2.38                        MSCI Emerging Markets Value Index (net div.)




Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio.
Market segment (index representation) as follows: US Large Cap (S&P 500 Index), US Small Cap (Russell 2000 Index), US Value (Russell 1000 Value Index), US Real Estate (Dow Jones US Select REIT Index), Global Real
Estate (S&P Global ex US REIT Index), International Developed Large, Small, and Value (MSCI World ex USA, ex USA Small, and ex USA Value Indexes [net div.]), Emerging Markets Large, Small, and Value (MSCI Emerging
Markets, Emerging Markets Small, and Emerging Markets Value Indexes), US Bond Market (Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index), and Treasury (One-Month US Treasury Bills). The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor's
Index Services Group. Russell data copyright © Russell Investment Group 1995–2012, all rights reserved. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. Dow Jones data (formerly Dow Jones Wilshire) provided by Dow
Jones Indexes. Barclays data provided by Barclays Bank PLC. US long-term bonds, bills, and inflation data © Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation Yearbook™, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G.
Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield).                                                                                                                                                                                            5
US Stocks
First Quarter 2013 Index Returns


All major US asset classes posted positive results                                                       Ranked Returns for the Quarter (%)
in the first quarter, with the broad market returning
11.07%. Asset class returns ranged from 9.54% for
                                                                                                         Small Cap Growth                                                                                                       13.21
large growth stocks to 13.21% for small growth stocks.
                                                                                                                  Small Cap                                                                                                  12.39
Across the size spectrum, small caps outperformed                                                         Large Cap Value                                                                                                   12.31
large caps. There was a positive value premium
                                                                                                           Small Cap Value                                                                                              11.63
marketwide in the US, driven by the performance of large
value and midcap value stocks; however, small cap value                                                           Marketwide                                                                                        11.07
stocks underperformed small cap growth stocks.                                                                    Large Cap                                                                                      10.61

                                                                                                                   Large Cap…                                                                            9.54




 World Market Capitalization—US                                                                          Period Returns (%)                                                                                        * Annualized

                                                                                                            Asset Class                                    1 Year              3 Years**            5 Years**          10 Years**
                                                                                                            Marketwide                                      14.56                12.97                  6.32                 9.15
                                                                                                            Large Cap                                       13.96                12.67                  5.81                 8.53
                                                        48%US Market
                                                                                                            Large Cap Value
                                                                                                            Large Cap Growth
                                                                                                                                                            18.77
                                                                                                                                                            10.09
                                                                                                                                                                                 12.74
                                                                                                                                                                                 13.06
                                                                                                                                                                                                        4.85
                                                                                                                                                                                                        7.30
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             9.17
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             8.62
                                                           $17.4 trillion                                   Small Cap                                       16.30                13.45                  8.24                11.52
                                                                                                            Small Cap Value                                 18.09                12.12                  7.29                11.29
                                                                                                            Small Cap Growth                                14.52                14.75                  9.04                11.61



Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio.
Market segment (index representation) as follows: Marketwide (Russell 3000 Index), Large Cap (S&P 500 Index), Large Cap Value (Russell 1000 Value Index), Large Cap Growth (Russell 1000 Growth Index), Small Cap
(Russell 2000 Index), Small Cap Value (Russell 2000 Value Index), and Small Cap Growth (Russell 2000 Growth Index). World Market Cap: Russell 3000 Index is used as the proxy for the US market. Russell data copyright ©
Russell Investment Group 1995–2012, all rights reserved. The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor's Index Services Group.                                                                                                        6
International Developed Stocks
First Quarter 2013 Index Returns


International developed equities maintained strong                                                        Ranked Returns for the Quarter (%)                                                  US Currency           Local Currency
performances, with all major asset classes posting
positive absolute numbers in US dollars for the quarter.
                                                                                                                                                                                       7.24
                                                                                                            Small Cap
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          11.83
Consistent with the fourth quarter, the US dollar
appreciated relative to most major foreign                                                                                                                                     6.26
                                                                                                                 Growth
developed currencies.                                                                                                                                                                                             10.65


Across the size and style spectra, small beat                                                                                                                      4.70
                                                                                                            Large Cap
                                                                                                                                                                                                    8.98
large and growth outperformed value.
                                                                                                                                                       3.13
                                                                                                                  Value
                                                                                                                                                                                       7.31




 World Market Capitalization—International Developed                                                      Period Returns (%)                                                                                         * Annualized

                                                                                                             Asset Class                                     1 Year              3 Years**            5 Years**           10 Years**
                                                                                                             Large Cap                                        10.43                   4.78                -0.75                9.95
                                                                                                             Small Cap                                        10.87                   7.80                 2.05               13.14
                                                                                                             Value                                            10.35                   3.57                -1.16               10.28

         40%
           International
                                                                                                             Growth                                           10.41                   5.92                -0.39                9.53


            Developed
              Market
            $14.4 trillion


Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio.
Market segment (index representation) as follows: Large Cap (MSCI World ex USA Index), Small Cap (MSCI World ex USA Small Cap Index), Value (MSCI World ex USA Value Index), and Growth (MSCI World ex USA
Growth). All index returns are net of withholding tax on dividends. World Market Cap: Non-US developed market proxies are the respective developed country portions of the MSCI All Country World IMI ex USA Index. Proxies
for the UK, Canada, and Australia are the relevant subsets of the developed market proxy. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved.                                                                                          7
Emerging Markets Stocks
First Quarter 2013 Index Returns


Many emerging markets posted negative returns for the                                                     Ranked Returns for the Quarter (%)                                                 US Currency           Local Currency
quarter. There was a significant size premium, with
small caps outperforming large caps by 5.8%. The
                                                                                                                                                                                                     4.20
value premium was negative across all size segments.                                                                                              Small Cap
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 5.81

The US dollar appreciated vs. most emerging                                                                                                        -0.88
                                                                                                                                                                                Growth
markets currencies.                                                                                                                                                    0.26

                                                                                                                                              -1.62
                                                                                                                                                                       Large Cap
                                                                                                                                                      -0.49

                                                                                                                                        -2.38
                                                                                                                                                                       Value
                                                                                                                                                -1.28




 World Market Capitalization—Emerging Markets                                                             Period Returns (%)                                                                                        * Annualized

                                                                                                             Asset Class                                    1 Year              3 Years**            5 Years**           10 Years**


           12% Emerging
                                                                                                             Large Cap
                                                                                                             Small Cap
                                                                                                             Value
                                                                                                                                                                1.96
                                                                                                                                                                9.20
                                                                                                                                                               -1.08
                                                                                                                                                                                     3.27
                                                                                                                                                                                     3.93
                                                                                                                                                                                     2.43
                                                                                                                                                                                                          1.09
                                                                                                                                                                                                          4.13
                                                                                                                                                                                                          1.58
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              17.05
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              18.18
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              18.47
                Markets
                                                                                                             Growth                                             5.00                 4.09                 0.54                15.60
               $4.3 trillion




Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio.
Market segment (index representation) as follows: Large Cap (MSCI Emerging Markets Index), Small Cap (MSCI Emerging Markets Small Cap Index), Value (MSCI Emerging Markets Value Index), and Growth (MSCI
Emerging Markets Growth Index). All index returns are net of withholding tax on dividends. World Market Cap: Emerging markets proxies are the respective emerging country portions of the MSCI All Country World IMI ex USA
Index. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved.                                                                                                                                                                            8
Select Country Performance
First Quarter 2013 Index Returns


The majority of developed markets posted positive returns. Japanese stocks gained 12.27%, as the local government continued to
implement its stimulus program. After receiving its first investment-grade rating, the Philippines posted the highest performance among
emerging markets.

Developed Markets (% Returns)                                                                                            Emerging Markets (% Returns)

                                    Ireland                                          14.66                                                       Philippines                                                19.22
                                     Japan                                       12.27                                                             Indonesia                                       14.94
                               Switzerland                                    10.87                                                                 Thailand                                     13.98
                                         US                                   10.81
                                                                                                                                                      Turkey                          8.40
                                   Sweden                                   9.84
                                                                                                                                                      Mexico                      6.57
                              New Zealand                                 9.44
                                  Australia                              8.67                                                                            Chile                4.43
                                   Belgium                             7.55                                                                           Taiwan         0.52
                                      Israel                          7.22                                                                               -0.32      Malaysia
                                  Denmark                           6.07                                                                                 -0.69      Brazil
                                Hong Kong                       4.16
                                                                                                                                                     -2.35          Peru
                                 Singapore                     3.73
                                                                                                                                                    -2.51           Korea
                                    Finland                  2.98
                                         UK                                                                                                         -2.63           Morocco
                                                             2.89
                                   Portugal                2.05                                                                                     -3.16           Russia
                               Netherlands                1.94                                                                                     -3.39            China
                                    Norway              0.90                                                                                     -4.07              India
                                    France             0.76                                                                                 -6.57                   Hungary
                                   Canada              0.66                                                                                                         Colombia
                                                                                                                                           -6.86
                                  Germany              0.66
                                                                                                                                         -8.15                      South Africa
                               -3.41                 Austria
                                                                                                                                 -11.07                             Egypt
                          -5.14                      Spain
                     -7.50                           Italy                                                                      -11.67                              Poland
                 -9.70                               Greece                                                                 -13.56                                  Czech Republic


Country performance based on respective indices in the MSCI All Country World IMI Index (for developed markets), Russell 3000 Index (for US), and MSCI Emerging Markets IMI Index. All returns in USD and net of withholding
tax on dividends. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. Russell data copyright © Russell Investment Group 1995–2012, all rights reserved.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               9
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
First Quarter 2013 Index Returns


International REITs outperformed US REITs by                                                             Ranked Returns for the Quarter (%)
38 basis points in the beginning of 2013.

International REITs continued to post positive returns for
the sixth consecutive quarter, while US REITs had their                                                               Global REITs (ex US)                                                             7.42
second consecutive quarter of positive returns.



                                                                                                                                     US REITs                                                         7.04




 Total Value of REIT Stocks                                                                              Period Returns (%)                                                                                       * Annualized

                                                                                                            Asset Class                                    1 Year             3 Years**            5 Years**          10 Years**
                                                                                                            US REITs                                        13.19                16.94                  6.07               12.10

           43%
            World ex US                                                57%
                                                                                                            Global REITs (ex US)                            27.46                14.93                  1.31               10.38


            $336 billion                                                      US
             170 REITs                                                    $443 billion
              (19 other                                                    83 REITs
             countries)




Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio.
Number of REIT stocks and total value based on the two indices. All index returns are net of withholding tax on dividends. Dow Jones US Select REIT Index data provided by Dow Jones ©. S&P Global ex US REIT Index data
provided by Standard and Poor’s © 2012.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   10
Commodities
First Quarter 2013 Index Returns


Commodities settled slightly lower during the                                                         Individual Commodity (% Returns)
first quarter, somewhat offsetting a strong comeback
at the end of 2012.                                                                                                                 Cotton                                                   16.25
                                                                                                                             Natural Gas                                                  14.92
The energy complex advanced, with natural gas                                                                              Unleaded Gas                           6.12
providing significant total return during the period.                                                                      WTI Crude Oil                     4.20
                                                                                                                                 Brent Oil            1.85
Precious metals finished lower, as investors’ sensitivity
                                                                                                                                 Soybean           0.56
to economic and geopolitical risks eased.
                                                                                                                              Heating Oil         0.38
Soft commodities generally finished lower. One                                                                                          -0.01     Soybean Oil
exception was cotton, as the market incorporated                                                                                      -0.36       Corn
projections from the US Department of Agriculture                                                                               -2.77             Nickel
that indicated a reduction in production capacity.                                                                       -5.03                    Gold
                                                                                                                        -5.36                     Live Cattle
                                                                                                                     -6.48                        Silver
Period Returns (%)                                                        * Annualized
                                                                                                                     -6.57                        Coffee
  Asset Class               Q1      1 Year     3 Years**       5 Years** 10 Years**
                                                                                                                   -7.25                          Copper
  Commodities            -1.13       -3.03         1.42           -7.11           3.67
                                                                                                                -8.28                             Lean Hogs
                                                                                                             -9.53                                Aluminum
                                                                                                             -9.56                                Sugar
                                                                                                           -9.99                                  Zinc
                                                                                                    -12.46                                        Wheat




Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Index is not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. All index
returns are net of withholding tax on dividends. Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index Total Return data provided by Dow Jones ©.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11
Fixed Income
First Quarter 2013 Index Returns


Bond yields crept higher during the                                  US Treasury Yield Curve                                                                Bond Yields across Different Issuers
period, as fixed income sold off and
equities pursued record levels.                                        3.5                                                                  3/31/12
                                                                                                                                            3/31/13
                                                                                                                                            12/30/12                                  3.99
Global monetary policy remained                                        2.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2.90
accommodative, as central banks
                                                                                                                                                                   1.85                                   2.09
sought to maintain high levels of                                      1.5
liquidity. These actions were taken
to spur economic growth and
                                                                       0.5
protect the global financial system.
                                                                                                                                                              10-Year US          State and           AAA-AA             A-BBB
Yield-seeking behavior has been                                       -0.5                                                                                     Treasury             Local            Corporates         Corporates
                                                                             3M                                                                                                   Municipals
rewarded over the past year, as
lower credit-quality investments
have outperformed.                                                   Period Returns (%)                                                                                                                               * Annualized

                                                                        Asset Class                                                                                    1 Year          3 Years**         5 Years** 10 Years**
                                                                        One-Month US Treasury Bills (SBBI)                                                                0.06              0.07             0.30                1.62
                                                                        Bank of America Merrill Lynch Three-Month Treasury Bills                                          0.12              0.11             0.34                1.75
                                                                        Bank of America Merrill Lynch One-Year US Treasury Note                                           0.31              0.49             1.01                2.15
                                                                        Citigroup World Government Bond 1− 5 Years (hedged)                                               1.83              1.96             2.66                3.27
                                                                        US Long-Term Government Bonds (SBBI)                                                              5.99            12.14              8.11                7.16
                                                                        Barclays Corporate High Yield                                                                   13.13             11.24            11.65                10.12
                                                                        Barclays Municipal Bonds                                                                          5.25              6.23             6.10                5.01
                                                                        Barclays US TIPS Index                                                                            5.68              8.57             5.89                6.32


Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Yield
curve data from Federal Reserve. State and local bonds are from the Bond Buyer Index, general obligation, 20 years to maturity, mixed quality. AAA-AA Corporates represent the Bank of America Merrill Lynch US
Corporates, AA-AAA rated. A-BBB Corporates represent the Bank of America Merrill Lynch US Corporates, BBB-A rated. Barclays data provided by Barclays Bank PLC. US long-term bonds, bills, inflation, and fixed income
factor data © Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation (SBBI) Yearbook™, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield). Citigroup bond indices copyright 2012 by Citigroup. The
Merrill Lynch Indices are used with permission; copyright 2012 Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated; all rights reserved.                                                                                                 12
Global Diversification
First Quarter 2013 Index Returns


These portfolios illustrate the performance of different                                                 Ranked Returns for the Quarter (%)
global stock/bond mixes and highlight the benefits of
diversification. Mixes with larger allocations to stocks                                                           100% Stocks                                                                                                  6.63
are considered riskier but also have higher expected
                                                                                                                             75/25                                                                        4.96
returns over time.
                                                                                                                             50/50                                                  3.30

                                                                                                                             25/75                             1.65

                                                                                                          100% Treasury Bills              0.01



                                                                                                          Growth of Wealth: The Relationship between Risk and Return

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Stock/Bond Mix
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  100% Stocks
                                                                                                            60,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  75/25
Period Returns (%)                                                           * Annualized                   50,000

   Asset Class                   1 Year          3 Years**       5 Years** 10 Years**                                                                                                                             50/50
                                                                                                            40,000
   100% Stocks                    11.19              8.35            2.63             9.92                                                                                                                        25/75
                                                                                                            30,000
   75/25                            8.46             6.50            2.50             8.09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  100% Treasury Bills
   50/50                            5.69             4.50            2.05             6.08
                                                                                                            20,000
   25/75                            2.89             2.35            1.32             3.92
   100% Treasury Bills              0.06             0.07            0.30             1.62                  10,000
                                                                                                                  01/1988           01/1993          01/1998           01/2003           01/2008           01/2013




Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect expenses associated with the management an actual portfolio. Asset
allocations and the hypothetical index portfolio returns are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent actual performance. Global Stocks represented by MSCI All Country World Index (gross div.) and Treasury
Bills represented by US One-Month Treasury Bills. Globally diversified portfolios rebalanced monthly. Data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. Treasury bills © Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation Yearbook™, Ibbotson
Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield).                                                                                                                                               13
Betting against the House
First Quarter 2013


  It’s New Year’s Day 2012. In addition to                                        December 31, 2012, all 13 homebuilding firms                                    Investors who insist on waiting for evidence
  overdosing on televised college football, you’re                                listed on the New York Stock Exchange                                           of healthy profits before investing are often
  spending part of the holiday working on the family                              outperformed the S&P 500 Index by a wide                                        frustrated to find that a firm’s stock price has
  finances. Armed with a laptop and various online                                margin, with total returns ranging from 34.1%                                   appreciated dramatically by the time the firm
  financial tools, you’re on the hunt for appealing                               for NVR to 382.8% for Hovnanian Enterprises.                                    begins to report cheery financial results. Shares
  stock market opportunities. To prune the list of                                The Standard & Poor’s SuperComposite                                            of Hovnanian Enterprises, for example, rose
  candidates to a manageable size, you decide to                                  Homebuilding Sub-Index rose 84.1% in 2012                                       580% between October 7, 2011, and December
  focus on firms that are leaders in their respective                             compared to 13.4% for the S&P 500 Index.                                        31, 2012, even though the firm continued to
  industries and exhibit above-average scores on                                                                                                                  report losses. Similarly, it is not unusual for a
  various measures of financial strength. As you                                  The point? For those seeking to outperform the                                  firm’s stock price to decline long before signs
  work your way through the alphabet, you come                                    market through stock selection, underweighting                                  of trouble become obvious.
  to the ―P‖ stocks, and another candidate appears.                               the market’s biggest winners can be just as
  It’s a prominent player in a major industry                                     painful as overweighting the biggest losers.                                    Many observers in recent years predicted that
  (good), but operates in a notoriously cyclical                                  Investors are often caught flat-footed by stocks                                a recovery in the housing industry would be
  industry (not so good), is currently losing money                               that do much better or much worse than the broad                                agonizingly slow, and they were right. Many
  (definitely not good), pays no dividend, and has a                              market, and the problem is not limited to                                       investors in recent years have avoided housing
  junk-bond credit rating of BB-minus. Next! You                                  individuals. Not one of the 10 seasoned                                         stocks as a consequence, and they’ve been
  push the ―delete‖ key and move on.                                              professionals participating in Barron’s annual                                  wrong: Housing stocks have outperformed the
                                                                                  Roundtable stock-picking panel in early January                                 broad US stock market by a healthy margin from
  Congratulations. You just passed up                                             2012 mentioned homebuilding stocks or any                                       the market low in March 2009 to the present day.
  the best-performing stock in the entire                                         housing-related firms.
  S&P 500 Index for 2012.                                                                                                                                         BOTTOM LINE: Markets have 101 ways to
                                                                                  The recent surge in housing shares also serves                                  remind us of Nobel laureate Merton Miller’s
  Shares of PulteGroup, a Michigan-based                                          as a reminder that stock prices are forward-                                    observation—diversification is the investor’s
  homebuilder with a 60-year history, jumped                                      looking and tend to rise or fall well in advance                                best friend.
  187.8% last year amid strong performance                                        of clear changes in company fundamentals.
  for the entire industry. For the year ending
Diversification does not eliminate the risk of market loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results . Adapted from “Betting against the House” by Weston Wellington, Down to the Wire column on Dimensional’s
website, February 2013. This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. Dimensional Fund Advisors LP is an investment
advisor registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission.                                                                                                                                                                14

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Investing for Physicians | 1st Quarter Market Review

  • 1. Quarterly Market Review Q1 First Quarter 2013 Advisory Services offered through Larson Financial Group, LLC, a Registered Investment Advisor. Securities offered through Larson Financial Securities, LLC, Member FINRA/SIPC.
  • 2. Quarterly Market Review First Quarter 2013 This report features world capital market performance Overview: and a timeline of events for the last quarter. It begins with a global overview, then features the returns of stock and Market Summary bond asset classes in the US and international markets. Timeline of Events The report also illustrates the performance of globally World Asset Classes diversified portfolios and features a topic of the quarter. US Stocks International Developed Stocks Emerging Markets Stocks Select Country Performance Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) Commodities Fixed Income Global Diversification Quarterly Topic: Betting against the House
  • 3. Market Summary First Quarter 2013 Index Returns International Emerging Global US Stock Developed Markets Global US Bond Bond Market Stocks Stocks Real Estate Market Market +11.07% +4.70% -1.62% +7.66% -0.12% +0.57% STOCKS BONDS Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Market segment (index representation) as follows: US Stock Market (Russell 3000 Index), International Developed Stocks (MSCI World ex USA Index [net div.]), Emerging Markets (MSCI Emerging Markets Index [net div.]), Global Real Estate (S&P Global REIT Index), US Bond Market (Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index), and Global Bond Market (Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index [Hedged to USD]). The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor's Index Services Group. Russell data copyright © Russell Investment Group 1995–2012, all rights reserved. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. Barclays data provided by Barclays Bank PLC. US long-term bonds, bills, and inflation data © Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation Yearbook™, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield). 3
  • 4. Timeline of Events: Quarter in Review First Quarter 2013 Data show US retail sales increased 1.1% in February, the largest rise since September 2012. FOMC minutes signal debate on Data show US scaling back US central bank’s GDP rose 0.4% Fiscal cliff – bond buying program. in Q4 Haruhiko Kuroda US House of 2012, revised named governor of Representatives US Federal Reserve from prior Euro zone’s Bank of Japan. adopts US Senate’s announces it will estimate of recession deepens budget bill. continue purchasing 0.1% decrease. as exports from Dow Jones closes at record $40 billion of leading economies Cyprus reaches high of 14,253, topping record mortgage-backed suffer and Q4 GDP €10B rescue set in October 2007. securities and $45 falls 0.6%. deal with billion of Treasury IMF, EU, and World Bank cuts securities each month. ECB. Italy’s election 2013 forecast for ends in global growth from deadlocked 3% to 2.4%. parliament. MSCI All Country World Index 12/31/2012 03/29/2013 The graph illustrates the MSCI All Country World Index (net div.) daily returns over the quarter. Source: MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. The events highlighted are not intended to explain market movements. The index is not available for direct investment. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 4
  • 5. World Asset Classes First Quarter 2013 Index Returns The US market led equity returns vs. developed ex US and emerging markets after strong performances in both January and February. The US yield curve steepened and remained upwardly sloped. Russell 2000 Index 12.39 Russell 1000 Value Index 12.31 S&P 500 Index 10.61 S&P Global ex US REIT Index (net div.) 7.42 MSCI World ex USA Small Cap Index (net div.) 7.24 Dow Jones US Select REIT Index 7.04 MSCI World ex USA Index (net div.) 4.70 MSCI Emerging Markets Small Cap Index (net div.) 4.20 MSCI World ex USA Value Index (net div.) 3.13 One-Month US Treasury Bills 0.01 -0.12 Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index -1.62 MSCI Emerging Markets Index (net div.) -2.38 MSCI Emerging Markets Value Index (net div.) Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Market segment (index representation) as follows: US Large Cap (S&P 500 Index), US Small Cap (Russell 2000 Index), US Value (Russell 1000 Value Index), US Real Estate (Dow Jones US Select REIT Index), Global Real Estate (S&P Global ex US REIT Index), International Developed Large, Small, and Value (MSCI World ex USA, ex USA Small, and ex USA Value Indexes [net div.]), Emerging Markets Large, Small, and Value (MSCI Emerging Markets, Emerging Markets Small, and Emerging Markets Value Indexes), US Bond Market (Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index), and Treasury (One-Month US Treasury Bills). The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor's Index Services Group. Russell data copyright © Russell Investment Group 1995–2012, all rights reserved. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. Dow Jones data (formerly Dow Jones Wilshire) provided by Dow Jones Indexes. Barclays data provided by Barclays Bank PLC. US long-term bonds, bills, and inflation data © Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation Yearbook™, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield). 5
  • 6. US Stocks First Quarter 2013 Index Returns All major US asset classes posted positive results Ranked Returns for the Quarter (%) in the first quarter, with the broad market returning 11.07%. Asset class returns ranged from 9.54% for Small Cap Growth 13.21 large growth stocks to 13.21% for small growth stocks. Small Cap 12.39 Across the size spectrum, small caps outperformed Large Cap Value 12.31 large caps. There was a positive value premium Small Cap Value 11.63 marketwide in the US, driven by the performance of large value and midcap value stocks; however, small cap value Marketwide 11.07 stocks underperformed small cap growth stocks. Large Cap 10.61 Large Cap… 9.54 World Market Capitalization—US Period Returns (%) * Annualized Asset Class 1 Year 3 Years** 5 Years** 10 Years** Marketwide 14.56 12.97 6.32 9.15 Large Cap 13.96 12.67 5.81 8.53 48%US Market Large Cap Value Large Cap Growth 18.77 10.09 12.74 13.06 4.85 7.30 9.17 8.62 $17.4 trillion Small Cap 16.30 13.45 8.24 11.52 Small Cap Value 18.09 12.12 7.29 11.29 Small Cap Growth 14.52 14.75 9.04 11.61 Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Market segment (index representation) as follows: Marketwide (Russell 3000 Index), Large Cap (S&P 500 Index), Large Cap Value (Russell 1000 Value Index), Large Cap Growth (Russell 1000 Growth Index), Small Cap (Russell 2000 Index), Small Cap Value (Russell 2000 Value Index), and Small Cap Growth (Russell 2000 Growth Index). World Market Cap: Russell 3000 Index is used as the proxy for the US market. Russell data copyright © Russell Investment Group 1995–2012, all rights reserved. The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor's Index Services Group. 6
  • 7. International Developed Stocks First Quarter 2013 Index Returns International developed equities maintained strong Ranked Returns for the Quarter (%) US Currency Local Currency performances, with all major asset classes posting positive absolute numbers in US dollars for the quarter. 7.24 Small Cap 11.83 Consistent with the fourth quarter, the US dollar appreciated relative to most major foreign 6.26 Growth developed currencies. 10.65 Across the size and style spectra, small beat 4.70 Large Cap 8.98 large and growth outperformed value. 3.13 Value 7.31 World Market Capitalization—International Developed Period Returns (%) * Annualized Asset Class 1 Year 3 Years** 5 Years** 10 Years** Large Cap 10.43 4.78 -0.75 9.95 Small Cap 10.87 7.80 2.05 13.14 Value 10.35 3.57 -1.16 10.28 40% International Growth 10.41 5.92 -0.39 9.53 Developed Market $14.4 trillion Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Market segment (index representation) as follows: Large Cap (MSCI World ex USA Index), Small Cap (MSCI World ex USA Small Cap Index), Value (MSCI World ex USA Value Index), and Growth (MSCI World ex USA Growth). All index returns are net of withholding tax on dividends. World Market Cap: Non-US developed market proxies are the respective developed country portions of the MSCI All Country World IMI ex USA Index. Proxies for the UK, Canada, and Australia are the relevant subsets of the developed market proxy. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. 7
  • 8. Emerging Markets Stocks First Quarter 2013 Index Returns Many emerging markets posted negative returns for the Ranked Returns for the Quarter (%) US Currency Local Currency quarter. There was a significant size premium, with small caps outperforming large caps by 5.8%. The 4.20 value premium was negative across all size segments. Small Cap 5.81 The US dollar appreciated vs. most emerging -0.88 Growth markets currencies. 0.26 -1.62 Large Cap -0.49 -2.38 Value -1.28 World Market Capitalization—Emerging Markets Period Returns (%) * Annualized Asset Class 1 Year 3 Years** 5 Years** 10 Years** 12% Emerging Large Cap Small Cap Value 1.96 9.20 -1.08 3.27 3.93 2.43 1.09 4.13 1.58 17.05 18.18 18.47 Markets Growth 5.00 4.09 0.54 15.60 $4.3 trillion Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Market segment (index representation) as follows: Large Cap (MSCI Emerging Markets Index), Small Cap (MSCI Emerging Markets Small Cap Index), Value (MSCI Emerging Markets Value Index), and Growth (MSCI Emerging Markets Growth Index). All index returns are net of withholding tax on dividends. World Market Cap: Emerging markets proxies are the respective emerging country portions of the MSCI All Country World IMI ex USA Index. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. 8
  • 9. Select Country Performance First Quarter 2013 Index Returns The majority of developed markets posted positive returns. Japanese stocks gained 12.27%, as the local government continued to implement its stimulus program. After receiving its first investment-grade rating, the Philippines posted the highest performance among emerging markets. Developed Markets (% Returns) Emerging Markets (% Returns) Ireland 14.66 Philippines 19.22 Japan 12.27 Indonesia 14.94 Switzerland 10.87 Thailand 13.98 US 10.81 Turkey 8.40 Sweden 9.84 Mexico 6.57 New Zealand 9.44 Australia 8.67 Chile 4.43 Belgium 7.55 Taiwan 0.52 Israel 7.22 -0.32 Malaysia Denmark 6.07 -0.69 Brazil Hong Kong 4.16 -2.35 Peru Singapore 3.73 -2.51 Korea Finland 2.98 UK -2.63 Morocco 2.89 Portugal 2.05 -3.16 Russia Netherlands 1.94 -3.39 China Norway 0.90 -4.07 India France 0.76 -6.57 Hungary Canada 0.66 Colombia -6.86 Germany 0.66 -8.15 South Africa -3.41 Austria -11.07 Egypt -5.14 Spain -7.50 Italy -11.67 Poland -9.70 Greece -13.56 Czech Republic Country performance based on respective indices in the MSCI All Country World IMI Index (for developed markets), Russell 3000 Index (for US), and MSCI Emerging Markets IMI Index. All returns in USD and net of withholding tax on dividends. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. Russell data copyright © Russell Investment Group 1995–2012, all rights reserved. 9
  • 10. Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) First Quarter 2013 Index Returns International REITs outperformed US REITs by Ranked Returns for the Quarter (%) 38 basis points in the beginning of 2013. International REITs continued to post positive returns for the sixth consecutive quarter, while US REITs had their Global REITs (ex US) 7.42 second consecutive quarter of positive returns. US REITs 7.04 Total Value of REIT Stocks Period Returns (%) * Annualized Asset Class 1 Year 3 Years** 5 Years** 10 Years** US REITs 13.19 16.94 6.07 12.10 43% World ex US 57% Global REITs (ex US) 27.46 14.93 1.31 10.38 $336 billion US 170 REITs $443 billion (19 other 83 REITs countries) Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Number of REIT stocks and total value based on the two indices. All index returns are net of withholding tax on dividends. Dow Jones US Select REIT Index data provided by Dow Jones ©. S&P Global ex US REIT Index data provided by Standard and Poor’s © 2012. 10
  • 11. Commodities First Quarter 2013 Index Returns Commodities settled slightly lower during the Individual Commodity (% Returns) first quarter, somewhat offsetting a strong comeback at the end of 2012. Cotton 16.25 Natural Gas 14.92 The energy complex advanced, with natural gas Unleaded Gas 6.12 providing significant total return during the period. WTI Crude Oil 4.20 Brent Oil 1.85 Precious metals finished lower, as investors’ sensitivity Soybean 0.56 to economic and geopolitical risks eased. Heating Oil 0.38 Soft commodities generally finished lower. One -0.01 Soybean Oil exception was cotton, as the market incorporated -0.36 Corn projections from the US Department of Agriculture -2.77 Nickel that indicated a reduction in production capacity. -5.03 Gold -5.36 Live Cattle -6.48 Silver Period Returns (%) * Annualized -6.57 Coffee Asset Class Q1 1 Year 3 Years** 5 Years** 10 Years** -7.25 Copper Commodities -1.13 -3.03 1.42 -7.11 3.67 -8.28 Lean Hogs -9.53 Aluminum -9.56 Sugar -9.99 Zinc -12.46 Wheat Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Index is not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. All index returns are net of withholding tax on dividends. Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index Total Return data provided by Dow Jones ©. 11
  • 12. Fixed Income First Quarter 2013 Index Returns Bond yields crept higher during the US Treasury Yield Curve Bond Yields across Different Issuers period, as fixed income sold off and equities pursued record levels. 3.5 3/31/12 3/31/13 12/30/12 3.99 Global monetary policy remained 2.5 2.90 accommodative, as central banks 1.85 2.09 sought to maintain high levels of 1.5 liquidity. These actions were taken to spur economic growth and 0.5 protect the global financial system. 10-Year US State and AAA-AA A-BBB Yield-seeking behavior has been -0.5 Treasury Local Corporates Corporates 3M Municipals rewarded over the past year, as lower credit-quality investments have outperformed. Period Returns (%) * Annualized Asset Class 1 Year 3 Years** 5 Years** 10 Years** One-Month US Treasury Bills (SBBI) 0.06 0.07 0.30 1.62 Bank of America Merrill Lynch Three-Month Treasury Bills 0.12 0.11 0.34 1.75 Bank of America Merrill Lynch One-Year US Treasury Note 0.31 0.49 1.01 2.15 Citigroup World Government Bond 1− 5 Years (hedged) 1.83 1.96 2.66 3.27 US Long-Term Government Bonds (SBBI) 5.99 12.14 8.11 7.16 Barclays Corporate High Yield 13.13 11.24 11.65 10.12 Barclays Municipal Bonds 5.25 6.23 6.10 5.01 Barclays US TIPS Index 5.68 8.57 5.89 6.32 Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Yield curve data from Federal Reserve. State and local bonds are from the Bond Buyer Index, general obligation, 20 years to maturity, mixed quality. AAA-AA Corporates represent the Bank of America Merrill Lynch US Corporates, AA-AAA rated. A-BBB Corporates represent the Bank of America Merrill Lynch US Corporates, BBB-A rated. Barclays data provided by Barclays Bank PLC. US long-term bonds, bills, inflation, and fixed income factor data © Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation (SBBI) Yearbook™, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield). Citigroup bond indices copyright 2012 by Citigroup. The Merrill Lynch Indices are used with permission; copyright 2012 Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated; all rights reserved. 12
  • 13. Global Diversification First Quarter 2013 Index Returns These portfolios illustrate the performance of different Ranked Returns for the Quarter (%) global stock/bond mixes and highlight the benefits of diversification. Mixes with larger allocations to stocks 100% Stocks 6.63 are considered riskier but also have higher expected 75/25 4.96 returns over time. 50/50 3.30 25/75 1.65 100% Treasury Bills 0.01 Growth of Wealth: The Relationship between Risk and Return Stock/Bond Mix 100% Stocks 60,000 75/25 Period Returns (%) * Annualized 50,000 Asset Class 1 Year 3 Years** 5 Years** 10 Years** 50/50 40,000 100% Stocks 11.19 8.35 2.63 9.92 25/75 30,000 75/25 8.46 6.50 2.50 8.09 100% Treasury Bills 50/50 5.69 4.50 2.05 6.08 20,000 25/75 2.89 2.35 1.32 3.92 100% Treasury Bills 0.06 0.07 0.30 1.62 10,000 01/1988 01/1993 01/1998 01/2003 01/2008 01/2013 Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect expenses associated with the management an actual portfolio. Asset allocations and the hypothetical index portfolio returns are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent actual performance. Global Stocks represented by MSCI All Country World Index (gross div.) and Treasury Bills represented by US One-Month Treasury Bills. Globally diversified portfolios rebalanced monthly. Data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. Treasury bills © Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation Yearbook™, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield). 13
  • 14. Betting against the House First Quarter 2013 It’s New Year’s Day 2012. In addition to December 31, 2012, all 13 homebuilding firms Investors who insist on waiting for evidence overdosing on televised college football, you’re listed on the New York Stock Exchange of healthy profits before investing are often spending part of the holiday working on the family outperformed the S&P 500 Index by a wide frustrated to find that a firm’s stock price has finances. Armed with a laptop and various online margin, with total returns ranging from 34.1% appreciated dramatically by the time the firm financial tools, you’re on the hunt for appealing for NVR to 382.8% for Hovnanian Enterprises. begins to report cheery financial results. Shares stock market opportunities. To prune the list of The Standard & Poor’s SuperComposite of Hovnanian Enterprises, for example, rose candidates to a manageable size, you decide to Homebuilding Sub-Index rose 84.1% in 2012 580% between October 7, 2011, and December focus on firms that are leaders in their respective compared to 13.4% for the S&P 500 Index. 31, 2012, even though the firm continued to industries and exhibit above-average scores on report losses. Similarly, it is not unusual for a various measures of financial strength. As you The point? For those seeking to outperform the firm’s stock price to decline long before signs work your way through the alphabet, you come market through stock selection, underweighting of trouble become obvious. to the ―P‖ stocks, and another candidate appears. the market’s biggest winners can be just as It’s a prominent player in a major industry painful as overweighting the biggest losers. Many observers in recent years predicted that (good), but operates in a notoriously cyclical Investors are often caught flat-footed by stocks a recovery in the housing industry would be industry (not so good), is currently losing money that do much better or much worse than the broad agonizingly slow, and they were right. Many (definitely not good), pays no dividend, and has a market, and the problem is not limited to investors in recent years have avoided housing junk-bond credit rating of BB-minus. Next! You individuals. Not one of the 10 seasoned stocks as a consequence, and they’ve been push the ―delete‖ key and move on. professionals participating in Barron’s annual wrong: Housing stocks have outperformed the Roundtable stock-picking panel in early January broad US stock market by a healthy margin from Congratulations. You just passed up 2012 mentioned homebuilding stocks or any the market low in March 2009 to the present day. the best-performing stock in the entire housing-related firms. S&P 500 Index for 2012. BOTTOM LINE: Markets have 101 ways to The recent surge in housing shares also serves remind us of Nobel laureate Merton Miller’s Shares of PulteGroup, a Michigan-based as a reminder that stock prices are forward- observation—diversification is the investor’s homebuilder with a 60-year history, jumped looking and tend to rise or fall well in advance best friend. 187.8% last year amid strong performance of clear changes in company fundamentals. for the entire industry. For the year ending Diversification does not eliminate the risk of market loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results . Adapted from “Betting against the House” by Weston Wellington, Down to the Wire column on Dimensional’s website, February 2013. This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. Dimensional Fund Advisors LP is an investment advisor registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. 14