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San Francisco
                                                                                       Market Insight


      US Construction 2010
                    Regional projections
               key trends & business
                                                    implications

          Is there an upside (to this “downsized” market)?!
       Rusty Sherwood I Vice President
       January 21, 2009 I San Francisco, CA
1 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
McGraw-Hill Construction
       Market leadership for more than a century…

                                                              History
                                                              Founded by James H. McGraw, Frederick W. Dodge
                                                              and Clinton Sweet Over 100 Years Ago
     Leading provider of
     construction information                                 Today
     Founded over 100                                         Connecting
                                                              Serves One Million Customers Within the $4.6
     years ago                                                Trillion Global Construction Community, Helping

     Key industry alliances
                                                              people and products
                                                              Industry Enterprises Save Time, Money and Energy

     Over 1,000,000
                                                              to projects…
     customers                                                                         through the four business essentials
     Serving the private                                   construction information
                                                                                                                        Find       Sell & Market
                                                           Get Smarter over 100 Seen &
                                                            Founded
                                                                               Get
     sector, government and                                years ago            Selected                             Opportunity     Smarter
     financial communities                                                   MHC Integrated
                                                          • Key industry alliances
                                                              MHC                                                   MHC Network®       MHC
                                                            Over 1,000,000
                                                           Research &            Media:                               & Dodge      Performance
                                                           customers
                                                            Analytics         Print, Online,
                                                            Serving private sector,                                   Database        Tools
                                                           government, financial Events
                                                           community



2 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Trends
                  US & Global
                    – Sustainability/Green Building          Job Creation
                    – Interoperability and BIM
                    – Workforce/Labor
                    – Innovation
                                                                        Capital
                    – Materials
                    – Project Delivery Methods


                                                                 Innovation


3 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
What’s the score?
     Jobs…employment declines are slowing, but still present
               Change in Employment
                                                      Jan-June '09     Jul-Oct. '09
                   Thousands of Workers              -560,000/ mo     -217,000/ mo
       450
       300
       150
                                                                                        As of November 2009…
         0
       -150
                                                                                        • 10.2% unemployment, heading
       -300
                                            7.3 million jobs lost
                                              Jan.'08- Oct. '09
                                                                                        for 10.? by mid-’10
       -450
       -600
                                                                                        • Rate of descent is slowing
       -750                                                                             • 6.8+ million jobs lost in current
              01      02     03   04   05     06      07      08       09       10
                                                                                        recession
              Unemployment Rate                                      Oct. '09
                                                                      10.2%
                                                                                        • 18.5% construction
                   Percent
        11
                                                                                        unemployment vs 8% 2008
        10
         9
         8
         7
         6
         5
         4
         3
              01      02     03   04   05     06     07      08        09       10




4 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
What’s the score?
  Capital…
  Signs of loosening, but on what terms?!
                   Survey of Bank Lending Officers                                               Delinquency Rate, Percent
                       Percent Reporting Tighter Lending Standards --
                                                                                                     Commercial Real Estate Loans
                       Commercial Real Estate Loans                                        14
             90
             75                                                                            12
             60                                                                            10
             45
                                                                                            8
             30
                                                                                            6
             15
              0                                                                             4
            -15                                                                             2
            -30                                                                             0
                  90     92   94   96   98   00   02   04   06    08    10                      90    92   94   96   98     00   02   04   06   08   10



                        For prime residential and commercial mortgages some 40% of banks said
                          standards would be tougher than normal “for the foreseeable future”.
                                                              James Cooper, Business Outlook
                                                                  Businessweek 9/7/2009


                                                  “Canary in the coalmine”
                   … commercial real estate loan defaults are accelerating;
                          significant volume maturing in 2010
5 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Other points of concern…
  What About Inflationary Pressures?


                                                                                 Drop in Materials Prices Bottoming Out

                                                                                 BUT

                                                                                 Fierce Competition cutting margins

                                                                                 Constructions Costs well below 2008

                                                                                 Composite measure of building material
                                                                                 prices slipped another 0.5% in
                                                                                 November


                                                                                 www.enr – eCover 24 September 2009




6 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
What’s the score?
       Recovery…

                 Real GDP Growth - Quarterly                                                          The recession is expected to be
                                                                         '09 Q3
                  Annualized Percent Change                                                           the longest and deepest since the
                                                                         +3.5%
                                                                                                      1930s
             8
             6                                                                                        Fiscal stimulus will support the
             4                                                                                        recovery
             2                                                                                        But recovery is likely to be slow
             0                                                                                        because of financial markets and
            -2                                                                                        switch to higher savings
            -4
                                                                                                      If financial markets lock up again
            -6
                 01   02     03     04     05     06     07     08     09    10                       And, home prices continue to fall
                 GDP Pattern:                                                                         And, oil prices continue to rise
                 History                               Forecast                                       The recession could be longer and
                 2007           2008                    2009          2010                            deeper
                                                                                                      With the risk of a “lost decade”
                 +2.1% +0.4%                           -2.6% +1.8%
                                                                                                      similar to Japan in the 1990s
                 What shape will the recovery be?                                                Source: David Wyss Chief Economist Standard
                                                                                                    & Poors October 2009
                      V or U or L or W ?
                             (Probably U-shaped.)

7 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Trends
                  US & Global
                                           Not yet
                    – Sustainability/Green Building
                    – Interoperability and BIM
                                                             Job Creation
                    – Workforce/Labor
                    – Innovation
                    – Materials           Improving
                                             Capital
                    – Project Delivery Methods



                                              Emerging           Innovation


8 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Trends
                  US & Global
                    – Sustainability/Green Building
                    – Interoperability and BIM                     Stimulus
                    – Workforce/Labor                                     n. pl. stim·u·li (-l      )
           1. Something causing or regarded as causing a response.
                – Innovation
           2. An agent, action, or condition that elicits or accelerates a physiological or
                – Materials
           psychological activity or response.
           3. Something that incites or rouses to action; an incentive: "Works which were in
                – Project Delivery Methods
           themselves poor have often proved a stimulus to the imagination" (W.H. Auden).




9 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
What about the stimulus?!
      $787.2 Billion
      ARRA is and will have direct and notable impact on
      construction activity

 “      …the most sweeping
         economic recovery
         package in U.S.
         history…
              President Barack Obama
              Signed Denver, CO
                                                  ”
            Expect more stimulus construction activity in
                             2010-2011!
10 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
What’s the hold-up?
   Procurement underway…some bottlenecks…



    New GSA Contracts
    Starting To Surge
    GSA contract awards top $1 billion,
    but lawmakers and AGC criticize
    other agencies’ slow pace
    08/05/2009
    By Tom Ichniowski and Pam Hunter

    As the American Recovery and Reinvestment
    Act approaches its sixth month on the books,
                                                                                                  $158M GSA project: Commerce HQ overhaul
    the General Services Administration’s $5.5-
    billion ARRA-funded program to build or                                                       Awarded to: Gilbane & Grunley Const
    upgrade scores of federal buildings suddenly
    has begun to take off. But critics continue to                                            GSA $1.5B in ARRA awards to date
    complain that other agencies are not turning
    their construction stimulus money into jobs-                                              Another $4B to be allocated
    producing contracts fast enough.


11 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Is it really happening?
   Procurement underway…numbers show acceleration




      According to McGraw-Hill
      Construction’s dB of ARRA projects…
         – States have allocated $18B of highway
           aid
         – $8.0B of total construction projects funded
           by ARRA from March thru July
         – Representing 6% of total general building
           construction & infrastructure starts
         – Yielding $137B in starts, 32% down over
           prior year vs $129B 36% down without
           ARRA
         – 93% of ARRA projects started are
           infrastructure
12 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Is it really happening?
   Water projects lagging…buy America creating challenges


            EPA – quick allocation to states for
            wastewater treatment and sewer
            projects
            Hold up at state level
            Only $100M outlayed – out of $8 Billion
            Buy America clause possible challenge
            in purchase of manufactured products
            like membranes
              – Emerged as top issue for Canada
              – Special meeting between Canadian Prime
                Minister Harper and Obama
              – U.S. Chamber of Commerce concerned
                about backlash



13 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Yes, ARRA funded construction is happening!
   Pulled from the regional headlines…

  •10/14/2009 Hungry Contractor Bids Low To Win
  California Freeway Job – ENR
  •10/14/2009 Brownfield Stimulus Funds Jump-
  Start San Francisco Redevelopment Project – ENR
  •10/14/2009 Rural California City Leverages ARRA
  Funds To Build Better Treatment Plant – ENR
  •10/02/2009 OPINION High-Speed Rail Authority
  Applies for Federal Stimulus Funds – California
  Construction
  •10/02/2009 Calif. Seeks $4.7B from Feds for High-
  Speed Rail Line – ENR
  •09/26/2009 L.A. Seeks Fed Funds for Rail Projects
  – ENR
  •09/24/2009 Skanska Says It Won Big Calif.
  Stimulus Highway Job – ENR
  •09/22/2009 Calif. to Apply for $1.28B for High-
  Speed Rail – ENR


                                                                           Free access to news & analysis                    http://construction.com/stimulus/
                                                                           http://construction.com


14 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Yes, ARRA funded construction is happening!
   ARRA dollars are flowing, projects are accelerating…
  “Stimulus” projects in “Network” as of 12/15/09…
                                                            Total
                                           ARRA                              Total Value
         Region       Shovel Ready                        Recovery
                                         Stim ulus                        Recovery Tracked
                                                          Tracked
          ENC              1850            3497             5347          $19,547,742,835
          ESC              537             1404             1941          $16,020,693,734
         MATL              951             1344             2295          $36,113,868,967
         NENG              1391             753             2144          $10,444,137,793
         PNW               277             1142             1419           $5,983,001,711
         PSW               1361            2110             3471          $34,380,472,312
         SATL              1344            2839             4183          $31,111,659,361
         WNC               1273            1546             2819          $12,311,485,907
         WSC               716             1962             2678          $18,639,633,715
           US              9700            16597            26297         $184,552,696,335


       Nationally
       $184.5B in ARRA + Shovel Ready value
       3,975 “funded” projects in planning
       6,517 “funded” projects in construction
       6.112 “funded” projects out for bid

15 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Total Construction Starts
       National & West
       regional 2009-2010
        Total Construction Starts
        (Billions of Dollars)

         National                                                                         West
        Total Construction                                                                Total Construction
                      Millions of Dollars                                                              Millions of Dollars
          800,000                                                                          200,000
          700,000
          600,000                                                                          150,000
          500,000
          400,000                                                                          100,000
          300,000                                                            +11%                                                                          +14%
          200,000                                                                           50,000
          100,000
                0                                                                                 0


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            2009 total starts $419B, - 25% from 2008                                             2009 W starts $96.4B, - 21.8% from 2008
            2010 total starts $466B, + 11% from 2009                                             2010 W starts $109.9B, + 14% from 2009




16 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Residential bottoming out in 2009,
  Early signs point to an upturn in 2010…
                                                                         Residential
                                                                   (Billions of Dollars)
        Single Family Housing                                                            Multifamily Housing
                      Millions of Dollars                                                             Millions of Dollars
         100,000                                                                          20,000
          80,000
                                                                                          15,000
          60,000
                                                                        +39.3%            10,000
          40,000
                                                                                                                                                            +12.2%
          20,000                                                                            5,000

                 0
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              2009 W starts $22.6B, -18.4% from 2008                                            2009 W starts $3.67B, -61.1% from 2008
              2010 W starts $31.5B, +39.3% from 2009                                            2010 W starts $4.1B, +12.2% from 2009
                           2010 West Single Family construction tracking ABOVE national
                                                 Multi Family construction tracking BELOW national

       Inventories are settling back – starts and sales are recovering!!
       Prices nationally are down 31% from their peak
       Stimulus benefits via HUD; guidelines announced May for $980M devel block grants
17 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Highway and Bridge Construction
        Continued improvement Under Stimulus
                                Construction Starts Including Stimulus Effect
                                              (Billions of Dollars)

          Bridges                                                                          Streets
                    Millions of Dollars                                                              Millions of Dollars
           4,000                                                      +14.7%               12,000                                                       +8.7%
           3,500                                                                           10,000
           3,000
           2,500                                                                            8,000
           2,000                                                                            6,000
           1,500
                                                                                            4,000
           1,000
             500                                                                            2,000
               0                                                                                0
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        2009 W starts $2.84B, +4.2% from 2008                                              2009 W starts $9.7B, -5.1% from 2008
        2010 W starts $3.26B +14.7% from 2009                                              2010 W starts $10.5B, +8.7% from 2009

                                   2010 West Bridge construction tracking ABOVE national
                                                       Highway construction tracking BELOW national
                              California #2 in $ starts for ‘09 Highway & Bridges construction
                              Debate continues on trans bill to replace SAFETEA-LU
18 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Environmental Public Works
       Expect improvement from ARRA after slow start
                                   Environmental Public Works Construction Starts
                                                 (Billions of Dollars)

           Water                                                                           Sewers
                    Millions of Dollars                                                               Millions of Dollars
          5,000                                                                              6,000
                                                                                             5,000
          4,000                                                                                                                                                 +24%
                                                                                             4,000
          3,000
                                                                                             3,000
          2,000                                                            +20.3%            2,000
          1,000                                                                              1,000
               0                                                                                 0




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          2009 W starts $2.95B, -34.3% from 2008                                              2009 W starts $3.1B, -22.8% from 2008
          2010 W starts $3.55B, +20.3% from 2009                                              2010 W starts $3.84B, +24% from 2009



                          2010 WEST Environmental construction tracking ABOVE national


19 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Other Public Works Will Benefit
  Transit/Rail Improving nationally, mixed regionally
                                      Other Public Works, Including Transit/Rail
                                                 (Billions of Dollars)
                                               Other Nonbuilding
                                                          Millions of Dollars
                                                                                                                     +18.7%
                                                8,000
                                                7,000
                                                6,000
                                                5,000
                                                4,000
                                                3,000
                                                2,000
                                                1,000
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                                                 2009 W starts $6.38B, +2.5% from 2008
                                                 2010 W starts $7.57B, +18.7% from 2009


                           2010 West Other Public Works construction tracking ABOVE national


20 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Electric Utilities Will Stay
      at Relative High Volume with some Stimulus

                                              Electric Utilities, Including SmartGrid
                                                       (Billions of Dollars)
                                                   Utilities
                                                             Millions of Dollars
                                                   8,000
                                                   7,000
                                                   6,000
                                                   5,000
                                                   4,000
                                                   3,000
                                                                                                                             +16%
                                                   2,000
                                                   1,000
                                                       0
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                                                           2009 W starts $2.99B, -54.5% from 2008
                                                           2010 W starts $3.47B, +16% from 2009

                                 2010 West Energy construction tracking ABOVE national

           Energy Bills – tax incentives for oil and gas production, electric utilities,
         transmission lines, etc. extended with financial rescue packages
21 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Renewable energy
   Big focus on renewable energy
          Investment in Renewable Energy &
          Conservation
            – "Smart-Grid" activities $11B
            – Energy efficiency grants $6.3B
            – Renewable energy loan guarantees $6B
          Incentives: Manufacture of
          Green Energy Products

          Stimulus Boosts Solar Marketplace:
                NJ to add 120 MW solar power to brown fields
                and undeveloped properties
                1 Block Off the Grid, the solar group purchasing
                program is expanding


      Expect more support: invented AND manufactured in US
22 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Energy Generation
      further points of perspective
             LT Outlook for Electric Power, Gas and
             Communications is positive
                – LT demand for power will rise
                – Need for transmission upgrades to enable
                  renewable energy use
                – Requirements of new renewable portfolio
                  standards
                – $23 to $24B by 2013
             Pending legislation to limit carbon dioxide
             emissions major factor in present / future
             generation methods
             The “renaissance” of nuclear still in infancy
                    3 to 4 years to review, evaluate and approve a
                    new reactor
                    High cost / high value and…long construction
                    cycle
23 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Energy Generation
      large projects…
              Value                                                                                                                      Start Date
         $ Millions                                                                                              City            State   Year: Mo

            1,500.0         John W Turk Jr Coal Fueled Power Plant                                               Fulton          AR      2009:01

              864.0         West County Energy Ctr. Nat.Gas Power Plant Ph 3                                     Palm Beach      FL      2009:02

              619.0         580 MW Bear Garden Power Station                                                     New Canton      VA      2009:06

              600.0         Coolidge Generating Plant                                                            Coolidge        AZ      2009:08

              500.0         PSNH Scrubber Facility & WWTP                                                        Bow             NH      2009:02

              476.0         Martin Solar 75 MW Solar Thermal Steam Gen. Facility Indiantown                                      FL      2009:02

              440.0         Wind Turbine Electricity Generating Plant                                            Not Available   IA      2009:02

              300.0         Papalote Creek 180 MW Wind Farm                                                      Taft            TX      2009:02

              300.0         Natural Gas Fired Combined Cycle Plant Unit 4                                        Kissimmee       FL      2009:04

              250.0         PrairieWinds Wind Power Plant                                                        Minot           ND      2009:08

              233.6         Wind Farm                                                                            Wellsboro       PA      2009:08

              200.0         Desoto Next Generation Solar Energy Center                                           Not Available   FL      2009:03

              200.0         Crane Creek Wind Farm                                                                Riceville       IA      2009:05

              170.0         Beech Ridge Wind Farm - Phase 1                                                      Rupert          WV      2009:04

           Expansion in fossil-based gen continues, but alternative methods are gaining steam
24 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Public Buildings, While a Small Category,
     Stimulus boosting activity; holding steady in West
                                                                     Public Buildings
                                                                  (Billions of Dollars)
                                               Government Service Buildings
                                                          Millions of Dollars
                                                4,000                                                               +6.9%
                                                3,500
                                                3,000
                                                2,500
                                                2,000
                                                1,500
                                                1,000
                                                  500
                                                    0
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                                                        2009 W starts $3.33B, +26.9% from 2008
                                                        2010 W starts $3.56B, +6.9% from 2009


                     2010 West Public Building construction starts tracking BELOW national levels



25 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Renovation
    Green Wins in Stimulus:
    Renovation Gets a Boost in Green

          Much of Public Building $$ to Green
          Renovation Projects
            – GSA  $4.5 billion
            – DOD   $4.2 billion
            – VA  $1 billion
          Tax breaks for Residential Energy
          Efficiency expanded & extended
          Stimulus in Action:
            •    Minnesota uses $148.6 million to renovate
                 schools and public facilities
            •    Philadelphia Housing Authority will use the
                 $90 million in stimulus funds to completely
                 renovate and provide energy upgrades for
                 300 houses and apartments


26 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Healthcare Facilities
     2010 rebound after modest 2009 decline
                                                          Healthcare Construction Starts
                                                                (Billions of Dollars)
                                                Healthcare Facilities
                                                          Millions of Dollars
                                                 7,000                                                               +7.9%
                                                 6,000
                                                 5,000
                                                 4,000
                                                 3,000
                                                 2,000
                                                 1,000
                                                      0
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                                                 2009 W starts $5.72B, FLAT from 2008
                                                 2010 W starts $6.18B, +7.9% from 2009
                   2010 West Healthcare construction tracking ABOVE national levels

                    Hospital chains hit hard by tight credit conditions; healthcare reform
                   debate creates uncertainty
                    $430M Kaiser Permanente Hospital Fontana, CA 2009:03
27 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Educational Buildings Will Settle Back,
    State budgets curtailing K-12; Higher-ed holding
                                                              Educational Buildings
                                                                   (Billions of Dollars)
          Educational Buildings                                                                Dormitories
                      Millions of Dollars                                                       Millions of Dollars

           16,000                                                                           1600
           14,000                                                                           1400
           12,000                                                                           1200
           10,000                                                                           1000
            8,000                                                                            800
            6,000                                                            -3%             600                                                             -11%
            4,000                                                                            400
            2,000                                                                            200
                0                                                                              0




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                                                                        08

                                                                             10




              2009 W starts $9.42B, -33.9% from 2008                                               2009 W starts $987M, -31.7% from 2008
              2010 W starts $9.14B, -3% from 2009                                                  2010 W starts $881M -11% from 2009

           2010 West Education construction starts tracking BELOW national levels

             Major universities increased capital spending plans – but now under re-evaluation
             20 states have implemented cuts to K-12 education
                  28 states have implemented cuts to public colleges & universities
28 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Office Construction in Retreat,
    Upturn was measured this time, however…
                                                             Office Construction Starts
                                                                 (Billions of Dollars)
                                                   Office Buildings
                                                             Millions of Dollars
                                                   10,000

                                                    8,000

                                                    6,000
                                                                                                                             - 1.8%
                                                    4,000

                                                    2,000

                                                         0
                                                        86

                                                              88

                                                                   90

                                                                        92

                                                                             94

                                                                                  96

                                                                                       98

                                                                                            00

                                                                                                 02

                                                                                                      04

                                                                                                           06

                                                                                                                08

                                                                                                                     10
                                                      2009 W starts $4.04B, -32% from 2008
                                                      2010 W starts $3.97B, -1.8% from 2009

                   2010 West Office construction starts tracking ABOVE national levels

                      Tight credit conditions causing more and more projects to be deferred
                      Rents and vacancies deteriorating in difficult economic climate
                      New York #2 nationally in 2009 new square feet
29 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Store Construction in Sharp Correction,
       As goes consumer spending, so goes…

           Stores and Shopping Centers                                                                              Warehouses
                        (Billions of Dollars)                                                                  (Billions of Dollars)
           Retail                                                                           Warehouse
                  Millions of Dollars                                                                Millions of Dollars
         8,000                                                                              4,000
         7,000                                                                              3,500
         6,000                                                                              3,000
         5,000                                                                              2,500
         4,000                                                                              2,000
                                                                                                                                                                - 2%
         3,000                                                                              1,500
         2,000                                                                              1,000
         1,000
                                                                           - 6.5%             500
             0                                                                                  0




                                                                                                86

                                                                                                     88

                                                                                                          90

                                                                                                               92

                                                                                                                    94

                                                                                                                             96

                                                                                                                                  98

                                                                                                                                       00

                                                                                                                                            02

                                                                                                                                                 04

                                                                                                                                                      06

                                                                                                                                                           08

                                                                                                                                                                10
             86

                   88

                        90

                             92

                                  94

                                        96

                                             98

                                                  00

                                                       02

                                                            04

                                                                 06

                                                                      08

                                                                           10




            2009 W starts $2.78B, -43.7% from 2008                                              2009 W starts $1.15B, -55.5% from 2008
            2010 W starts $2.6B, -6.5% from 2009                                                2010 W starts $1.13B, -2% from 2009

                    2010 West Retail construction starts tracking BELOW national levels

                        Impact of slow retail sales – reduced store openings, store closings
                        US consumer expected to remain cautious in near term
30 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Hotel Construction in Sharp Correction,
       Similar story…
                                                                     Hotels and Motels
                                                                    (Billions of Dollars)
                                                   Hotels
                                                             Millions of Dollars
                                                   8,000
                                                   7,000
                                                   6,000
                                                   5,000
                                                   4,000
                                                   3,000                                                                  - 7.3%
                                                   2,000
                                                   1,000
                                                       0
                                                       86

                                                            88

                                                                 90

                                                                      92

                                                                            94

                                                                                 96

                                                                                      98

                                                                                           00

                                                                                                02

                                                                                                     04

                                                                                                          06

                                                                                                                08

                                                                                                                     10
                                                      2009 W starts $1.49B, -46.2% from 2008
                                                      2010 W starts $1.38B -7.3% from 2009

               2010 West Hotel construction starts tracking ABOVE national levels
                  Negatives: weak economy, reduced business travel, hotel/casino overbuilding


31 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
The bottom line…
       2010 West, across the three categories…

                         Residential                                                        Nonresidential                                                              Non-building
   Total Residential                                                       Total Nonresidential                                                         Total Nonbuilding
             Millions of Dollars                                                          Millions of Dollars                                                    Millions of Dollars
   120,000                                                                  70,000                                                                      40,000
                                                                            60,000                                                                      35,000
   100,000
                                                                            50,000                                                                      30,000
    80,000                                                                                                                                              25,000
                                                                            40,000
    60,000                                                                                                                                              20,000
                                                                            30,000
                                                                                                                                                        15,000
    40,000                                                                  20,000                                                                      10,000
    20,000                                                                  10,000                                                                       5,000
        0                                                                       0                                                                            0

                                                                                     86    88   90   92   94    96   98   00   02   04   06   08   10




                                                                                                                                                            86

                                                                                                                                                                 88

                                                                                                                                                                      90

                                                                                                                                                                           92

                                                                                                                                                                                94

                                                                                                                                                                                     96

                                                                                                                                                                                          98

                                                                                                                                                                                               00

                                                                                                                                                                                                    02

                                                                                                                                                                                                         04

                                                                                                                                                                                                              06

                                                                                                                                                                                                                   08

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        10
        86

              88

                   90

                        92

                             94

                                   96

                                        98

                                             00

                                                  02

                                                       04

                                                            06

                                                                 08

                                                                      10




    Overall 2010 vs 2009                                +35.6%                Overall 2010 vs 2009                                       -1.9%           Overall 2010 vs 2009                             +16.5%
     $35.6B in starts forecasted                                               $39.1B in starts forecasted                                               $35.1B in starts forecasted
     A low base but turning upward                                             Tracking at US growth %’age                                               Benefiting from ARRA
     Tracking above US avg                                                                                                                               Tracking above US avg



32 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Nationally…
       Total Construction Starts bottoming 2009, improving 2010
        Billions of Dollars
                                                                 2005             2006              2007              2008     2009   2010

          Total Construction                                   670.3            689.6             639.2            554.9      418.9   466.2
                                                                 +13%               +3%                -7%            -13%     -25%   +11%

          Single Family Housing                                 315.5            272.4             201.2             122.4     95.3   126.2
                                                                 +12%              -14%              -26%             -39%     -22%   +32%
          Multifamily Housing                                     68.6             69.8              61.4              39.7    18.2    21.1
                                                                 +36%               +2%              -12%             -35%     -54%   +16%

          Commercial Bldgs.                                       72.2             93.0            100.8               84.5    48.2   46.1
                                                                   +7%           +29%                +8%              -16%     -43%    -4%
          Institutional Bldgs.                                  100.1            110.8             117.6            129.3     110.2   111.1
                                                                 +12%             +11%          +6%                  +10%      -15%   +1%
          Manufacturing Bldgs.                                    10.1             13.5              20.4              28.9    10.9    9.4
                                                                 +26%             +33%              +51%              +41%     -62%   -14%

          Public Works                                            96.0           112.4             121.7                120   119.7   136.3
                                                                   +9%            +17%            +8%                   -1%     -0-   +14%
          Electric Utilities                                         7.9           17.7              17.8              30.2    16.5    16.0
                                                                   +6%          +125%                 +1%             +70%     -45%    -3%

33 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
West Index of growth…
       As goes the West so goes the US
        Billions of Dollars
                                                                 2005             2006              2007              2008         2009   2010

          Total Construction
                       M-H                             670.3 689.6 639.2
                                                    Construction Starts                                            554.9         418.9    466.2
                                                        +13%   +3%   -7%                                              -13%        -25%    +11%
                                       Indexed, 1991 = 100
          Single Family Housing
                   400                                          315.5            272.4             201.2             122.4         95.3   126.2
                                                                 +12%              -14%              -26%             -39%        -22%    +32%
                           350
          Multifamily Housing                                     68.6             69.8              61.4              39.7        18.2    21.1
                           300                                   +36%               +2%              -12%             -35%        -54%    +40%
                           250                                          United States
          Commercial Bldgs.                                       72.2             93.0            100.8               84.5        48.2   46.1
                           200                                     +7%           +29%                +8%              -16%        -43%     -4%
                                                                                                                         West
                    150
          Institutional Bldgs.                                  100.1            110.8             117.6            129.3        110.2    111.1
                           100                                   +12%             +11%          +6%                  +10%         -15%    +1%
          Manufacturing Bldgs.
                   50                                             10.1             13.5              20.4              28.9        10.9    9.4
                                                                 +26%             +33%
                                  88        90        92        94   96            98        00 +51%
                                                                                                  02             04 +41%
                                                                                                                       06       08 -62%
                                                                                                                                     10   -14%

          Public Works                                            96.0           112.4             121.7                120       119.7   136.3
                                                                   +9%            +17%            +8%                   -1%         -0-   +14%
          Electric Utilities                                         7.9           17.7              17.8              30.2        16.5    16.0
                                                                   +6%          +125%                 +1%             +70%         -45%    -3%

34 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
A new cycle emerging?
       The cyclical nature of business & construction

                                      Total Construction Activity by Cycle
                                         Cyclical Trough (T) = 100, Based on Constant 2000 Dollars
                              190
                                                                                                                             1991-2009
                              175

                              160
                                           1975-1982
                              145
                                                                                1982-1991
                              130

                              115

                              100

                                85
                                     T        T+2        T+4        T+6        T+8       T+10       T+12       T+14          T+16   T+18
                                                                   Years from Cyclical Trough




35 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
The longer the down cycle…
         Replacement demand + Industry Confidence
          US Construction over the next 25 years…
                50% of Building Stock Will Be New – Built After 2000
                New Building Stock Will Represent 127 Billion Additional Sq Ft
                Most Growth Will Be in the South and West
            ENR Construction Industry Confidence Index…
                 752 AEC firms; inception 4/2009; 1 to 100 scale; quarterly updates
                 44% predict market improvement next 12 to 18 mths raising CICI to 30

                 Segments with highest CICI: power (59),
                 transportation (57), water (56), healthcare (53) &
                 education (49)
                 Segments with lowest CICI: retail (17), office (19), hospitality (23)
                 multi-family (25)


          …the greater the “spring load”
36 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Trends
                  US & Global
                    – Sustainability/Green Building
                    – Interoperability and BIM
                    – Workforce/Labor
                                                                     Not if…
                    – Innovation
                    – Materials
                    – Project Delivery Methods
                                                            but different
                                                           construction hemlines & trends




37 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Trends
                  US & Global
                    – Sustainability/Green Building
                         “Overall, industry specific
                    – Interoperability and BIM
                    – Workforce/Labor
                        innovation does not follow,
                    – Innovation
                    – Materials creates expansion”
                          but
                    – Project Delivery Methods of capitalism”
                                    “The Instability
                                                                    - Joseph Schumpeter –
                                                                             1928




38 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
What’s the score?
     Innovation…
     Unprecedented levels entering construction marketplace
                                                                                                 Areas of Innovation with Greatest
                Many global firm leaders believe                                                Expected Impact on Future Business
                innovation in technology and
                processes will help solve their                                                                                         New Construction
                                                                                                               Safety & Health         Methods & Processes
                biggest concerns                                                                                of Workforce                  13%
                                                                                                                    29%
                Advances in technology are
                fueling alternative delivery                                                  Other                                         Green
                                                                                              16%                                          Building
                methods and sustainable “smart”                                                                                              16%
                design
                All bringing the potential of
                greater value to the building
                owner                                                                 Intelligent Building
                                                                                        & Infrastructure                     Pre-Fabrication
                                                                                              13%                            & Modularization
                                                                                                                                  13%



39 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Present Trends…
  Numerous factors impacting industry direction / growth
            Global Markets & Influences
               – China impact
               – Emergence of India + Middle East
            Project Attributes
               –     Sustainability/Green Building
               –     Renovation
               –     Renewable Energy
               –     Water Efficiency
               –     New Materials                                                                                    Project
            Design & Construction                                                                                   Influences
            Productivity
               – Workforce
               – Interoperability/BIM
               – Pre-fabrication & Modularization
            Alternative Construction Financing
               – Public-Private Partnerships
            Infrastructure requirements
40 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Project attributes…
      Green Construction tripling in the United States by 2013

                  140


                  120        Upper Market Size
                             Lower Market Size

                  100
                                                                           Triple
   Market Size
   $ (billions)




                  80


                  60
                                                                                      Double
                                                                                                   Triple
                  40
                        Five
                        Fold
                  20


                   0
                    Total Non-Res Residential                        Total Non-Res Residential                         Total    Non-Res Residential




                                2005                                              2008                                         2013
CONSTRUCTION TRENDS
41 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Project attributes…
 Green is growing despite declining new building
 construction
                                                                                                                                    = Commercial &
                                                                                                                                    Institutional Market
                                                                                $245
                                                                                Billion                                             = Green Market



                                                                                                                                       $29
                                                                                                                                       Billion
 $182
 Billion
                                                                                                                                    $208
                                                                                                                                    Billion




    $3
  Billion

            2005                       2006                       2007                       2008                       2009




CONSTRUCTION TRENDS
        Source:
        Commercial & Institutional Market Size: McGraw-Hill Construction, as of January 27, 2009. MHC Housing Starts data is similar to the
        Census Bureau, except that MHC defines single family housing as detached housing only. MHC includes townhomes in its multifamily
        data.
42 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presentedBuilding: Green Trends Driving Market Change, McGraw-Hill Construction, 2008
        Green Market Size: Commercial & Institutional Green © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Project Attributes…
   Corporate sustainability practices continue to rise



                                                                                        Corporate Leaders:
                                                                                          – Over one-third of companies (36%)
                                                                                            are positioning themselves around
                                                                                            green and sustainability, up from
                                                                                            only 18% in 2007
                                                                                          – Nearly all firms (95%) are
                                                                                            undertaking at least some
                                                                                            sustainability practices




CONSTRUCTION TRENDS
    Source: The Greening of Corporate America SmartMarket Report, McGraw-Hill Construction, 2007; Bernstein,
    Harvey. Presentation. Construction Industry Trends. McGraw-Hill Companies Offices, New York, NY, May 2009.
    (based on 2009 market research data conducted by McGraw-Hill Construction in 2009)
43 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Project Attributes…
  Building green is proving to be smart business
   Perceived Advantages of Building Green from AEC firms and Owners

                                                        2005            2008
         Decreased Operating Costs:                       8-9%          13.6%
         Increased Building Values:                       7.5%          10.9%
         Improvement in ROI:                              6.6%           9.9%
         Increased Occupancy:                             3.5%           6.4%
         Rent Rise:                                       3.0%           6.1%
         Increased revenue flows:                         71%            77%
         Increased profits:                               59%             61%



                   Advantages are Increasing Over Time!
 “When Aardex developed the Signature Centre (LEED certified), the market sat at 15%

CONSTRUCTION TRENDS
                vacancy… all 300,000 sqft were leased 5 months before completion –
                      and for nearly double the going rents of surrounding buildings.”
44 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
                                               Source: The Denver Post 9/8/2009
Project Attributes…
Water efficiency rapidly growing in importance



    • Becoming one of the                                                                      Next 5 Years            Currently
      most important
      aspects of a green
      building                                                   Energy                                                                   91%
                                                               efficiency                                                                      96%
    • Correlation
      beginning to emerge
      between saving
      water and saving                                         Water use                                                           69%
      energy                                                   reduction                                                                 85%




CONSTRUCTION TRENDS
45 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
The correlation between growth & innovation…
       Focus on productivity gains is driving innovation
                                Increases in Productivity Broadly Influence Society
                                   By Improving Standards and Creating Income




46 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Design & Construction Productivity…
    The case for Digital Design & Construction has been made

                                         Digital Design shifts the bulk of project work to the
                                         Design phase to help coordinate building systems




                                                                                                                                                              s
                                                                                                                                                            ge
                                         and the project and manage project costs
                         Abili




                                                                                                                                                          an
                                                                                                                                                        Ch
                              ty t



                                                                                                                                                    n
                                                                                                                                                  ig
                                                                                                                                                es
                                   o




                                                                                                                                               D
                                 co




                                                                                                                                      f
                                                                                                                                   t o
                                   ntr
      Effort




                                                                                                                                 os
                                      ol




                   Digital                                                    Traditional                                       C
                                          co




                                                                              Design
                                            st




                   Design

                                                                                                                                                         Litigation
                                                                                                                                                           Phase




                Design                 Design Devel                Const Docs                                 Construction


CONSTRUCTION TRENDS                                                          Time           Source: International Alliance for Interoperability, 2007


47 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Design & Construction Productivity…
     And now adoption is increasing
                                    Adoption of BIM Increasing Over 2009
                                    % of Total Projects                            Expected % of Total Projects
                                           2008                                               2009 18%
                              35%                                                                                                   1-15%
                                                                   38%
                                                                                      45%                                           16-30%
                                                                                                                                    31-59%
                                                                                                                             20%    >60%

                                  10%
                                                      17%                                                       17%

                         Architects                    Engineers                     Contractors                     Owners



                                                                                    23%
                                       54%             35%           43%                            38%            41%
                        43%                                                                                                   46%
                                                                                    12%                                             60%+
                                                       8%
                                                                                    20%             15%            8%               31-59%
                        11%                                          16%                                                      11%
                                                       21%                                                        10%
                        14%
                                       22%                                                                                    10%   16-30%
                                                                      20%                          35%
                                                                                    45%                           41%               1-15%
                                       12%             36%
                        32%                                                                                                   33%
                                                                     21%
                                       12%                                                         12%




CONSTRUCTION TRENDS
                       2008            2009           2008           2009          2008           2009           2008        2009


48 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
Western US Construction Market Insights.Ppt
Western US Construction Market Insights.Ppt
Western US Construction Market Insights.Ppt
Western US Construction Market Insights.Ppt
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Western US Construction Market Insights.Ppt
Western US Construction Market Insights.Ppt
Western US Construction Market Insights.Ppt
Western US Construction Market Insights.Ppt
Western US Construction Market Insights.Ppt
Western US Construction Market Insights.Ppt
Western US Construction Market Insights.Ppt
Western US Construction Market Insights.Ppt
Western US Construction Market Insights.Ppt
Western US Construction Market Insights.Ppt
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Western US Construction Market Insights.Ppt

  • 1. San Francisco Market Insight US Construction 2010 Regional projections key trends & business implications Is there an upside (to this “downsized” market)?! Rusty Sherwood I Vice President January 21, 2009 I San Francisco, CA 1 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 2. McGraw-Hill Construction Market leadership for more than a century… History Founded by James H. McGraw, Frederick W. Dodge and Clinton Sweet Over 100 Years Ago Leading provider of construction information Today Founded over 100 Connecting Serves One Million Customers Within the $4.6 years ago Trillion Global Construction Community, Helping Key industry alliances people and products Industry Enterprises Save Time, Money and Energy Over 1,000,000 to projects… customers through the four business essentials Serving the private construction information Find Sell & Market Get Smarter over 100 Seen & Founded Get sector, government and years ago Selected Opportunity Smarter financial communities MHC Integrated • Key industry alliances MHC MHC Network® MHC Over 1,000,000 Research & Media: & Dodge Performance customers Analytics Print, Online, Serving private sector, Database Tools government, financial Events community 2 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 3. Trends US & Global – Sustainability/Green Building Job Creation – Interoperability and BIM – Workforce/Labor – Innovation Capital – Materials – Project Delivery Methods Innovation 3 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 4. What’s the score? Jobs…employment declines are slowing, but still present Change in Employment Jan-June '09 Jul-Oct. '09 Thousands of Workers -560,000/ mo -217,000/ mo 450 300 150 As of November 2009… 0 -150 • 10.2% unemployment, heading -300 7.3 million jobs lost Jan.'08- Oct. '09 for 10.? by mid-’10 -450 -600 • Rate of descent is slowing -750 • 6.8+ million jobs lost in current 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 recession Unemployment Rate Oct. '09 10.2% • 18.5% construction Percent 11 unemployment vs 8% 2008 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 4 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 5. What’s the score? Capital… Signs of loosening, but on what terms?! Survey of Bank Lending Officers Delinquency Rate, Percent Percent Reporting Tighter Lending Standards -- Commercial Real Estate Loans Commercial Real Estate Loans 14 90 75 12 60 10 45 8 30 6 15 0 4 -15 2 -30 0 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 For prime residential and commercial mortgages some 40% of banks said standards would be tougher than normal “for the foreseeable future”. James Cooper, Business Outlook Businessweek 9/7/2009 “Canary in the coalmine” … commercial real estate loan defaults are accelerating; significant volume maturing in 2010 5 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 6. Other points of concern… What About Inflationary Pressures? Drop in Materials Prices Bottoming Out BUT Fierce Competition cutting margins Constructions Costs well below 2008 Composite measure of building material prices slipped another 0.5% in November www.enr – eCover 24 September 2009 6 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 7. What’s the score? Recovery… Real GDP Growth - Quarterly The recession is expected to be '09 Q3 Annualized Percent Change the longest and deepest since the +3.5% 1930s 8 6 Fiscal stimulus will support the 4 recovery 2 But recovery is likely to be slow 0 because of financial markets and -2 switch to higher savings -4 If financial markets lock up again -6 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 And, home prices continue to fall GDP Pattern: And, oil prices continue to rise History Forecast The recession could be longer and 2007 2008 2009 2010 deeper With the risk of a “lost decade” +2.1% +0.4% -2.6% +1.8% similar to Japan in the 1990s What shape will the recovery be? Source: David Wyss Chief Economist Standard & Poors October 2009 V or U or L or W ? (Probably U-shaped.) 7 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 8. Trends US & Global Not yet – Sustainability/Green Building – Interoperability and BIM Job Creation – Workforce/Labor – Innovation – Materials Improving Capital – Project Delivery Methods Emerging Innovation 8 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 9. Trends US & Global – Sustainability/Green Building – Interoperability and BIM Stimulus – Workforce/Labor n. pl. stim·u·li (-l ) 1. Something causing or regarded as causing a response. – Innovation 2. An agent, action, or condition that elicits or accelerates a physiological or – Materials psychological activity or response. 3. Something that incites or rouses to action; an incentive: "Works which were in – Project Delivery Methods themselves poor have often proved a stimulus to the imagination" (W.H. Auden). 9 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 10. What about the stimulus?! $787.2 Billion ARRA is and will have direct and notable impact on construction activity “ …the most sweeping economic recovery package in U.S. history… President Barack Obama Signed Denver, CO ” Expect more stimulus construction activity in 2010-2011! 10 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 11. What’s the hold-up? Procurement underway…some bottlenecks… New GSA Contracts Starting To Surge GSA contract awards top $1 billion, but lawmakers and AGC criticize other agencies’ slow pace 08/05/2009 By Tom Ichniowski and Pam Hunter As the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act approaches its sixth month on the books, $158M GSA project: Commerce HQ overhaul the General Services Administration’s $5.5- billion ARRA-funded program to build or Awarded to: Gilbane & Grunley Const upgrade scores of federal buildings suddenly has begun to take off. But critics continue to GSA $1.5B in ARRA awards to date complain that other agencies are not turning their construction stimulus money into jobs- Another $4B to be allocated producing contracts fast enough. 11 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 12. Is it really happening? Procurement underway…numbers show acceleration According to McGraw-Hill Construction’s dB of ARRA projects… – States have allocated $18B of highway aid – $8.0B of total construction projects funded by ARRA from March thru July – Representing 6% of total general building construction & infrastructure starts – Yielding $137B in starts, 32% down over prior year vs $129B 36% down without ARRA – 93% of ARRA projects started are infrastructure 12 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 13. Is it really happening? Water projects lagging…buy America creating challenges EPA – quick allocation to states for wastewater treatment and sewer projects Hold up at state level Only $100M outlayed – out of $8 Billion Buy America clause possible challenge in purchase of manufactured products like membranes – Emerged as top issue for Canada – Special meeting between Canadian Prime Minister Harper and Obama – U.S. Chamber of Commerce concerned about backlash 13 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 14. Yes, ARRA funded construction is happening! Pulled from the regional headlines… •10/14/2009 Hungry Contractor Bids Low To Win California Freeway Job – ENR •10/14/2009 Brownfield Stimulus Funds Jump- Start San Francisco Redevelopment Project – ENR •10/14/2009 Rural California City Leverages ARRA Funds To Build Better Treatment Plant – ENR •10/02/2009 OPINION High-Speed Rail Authority Applies for Federal Stimulus Funds – California Construction •10/02/2009 Calif. Seeks $4.7B from Feds for High- Speed Rail Line – ENR •09/26/2009 L.A. Seeks Fed Funds for Rail Projects – ENR •09/24/2009 Skanska Says It Won Big Calif. Stimulus Highway Job – ENR •09/22/2009 Calif. to Apply for $1.28B for High- Speed Rail – ENR Free access to news & analysis http://construction.com/stimulus/ http://construction.com 14 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 15. Yes, ARRA funded construction is happening! ARRA dollars are flowing, projects are accelerating… “Stimulus” projects in “Network” as of 12/15/09… Total ARRA Total Value Region Shovel Ready Recovery Stim ulus Recovery Tracked Tracked ENC 1850 3497 5347 $19,547,742,835 ESC 537 1404 1941 $16,020,693,734 MATL 951 1344 2295 $36,113,868,967 NENG 1391 753 2144 $10,444,137,793 PNW 277 1142 1419 $5,983,001,711 PSW 1361 2110 3471 $34,380,472,312 SATL 1344 2839 4183 $31,111,659,361 WNC 1273 1546 2819 $12,311,485,907 WSC 716 1962 2678 $18,639,633,715 US 9700 16597 26297 $184,552,696,335 Nationally $184.5B in ARRA + Shovel Ready value 3,975 “funded” projects in planning 6,517 “funded” projects in construction 6.112 “funded” projects out for bid 15 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 16. Total Construction Starts National & West regional 2009-2010 Total Construction Starts (Billions of Dollars) National West Total Construction Total Construction Millions of Dollars Millions of Dollars 800,000 200,000 700,000 600,000 150,000 500,000 400,000 100,000 300,000 +11% +14% 200,000 50,000 100,000 0 0 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 2009 total starts $419B, - 25% from 2008 2009 W starts $96.4B, - 21.8% from 2008 2010 total starts $466B, + 11% from 2009 2010 W starts $109.9B, + 14% from 2009 16 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 17. Residential bottoming out in 2009, Early signs point to an upturn in 2010… Residential (Billions of Dollars) Single Family Housing Multifamily Housing Millions of Dollars Millions of Dollars 100,000 20,000 80,000 15,000 60,000 +39.3% 10,000 40,000 +12.2% 20,000 5,000 0 0 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 2009 W starts $22.6B, -18.4% from 2008 2009 W starts $3.67B, -61.1% from 2008 2010 W starts $31.5B, +39.3% from 2009 2010 W starts $4.1B, +12.2% from 2009 2010 West Single Family construction tracking ABOVE national Multi Family construction tracking BELOW national Inventories are settling back – starts and sales are recovering!! Prices nationally are down 31% from their peak Stimulus benefits via HUD; guidelines announced May for $980M devel block grants 17 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 18. Highway and Bridge Construction Continued improvement Under Stimulus Construction Starts Including Stimulus Effect (Billions of Dollars) Bridges Streets Millions of Dollars Millions of Dollars 4,000 +14.7% 12,000 +8.7% 3,500 10,000 3,000 2,500 8,000 2,000 6,000 1,500 4,000 1,000 500 2,000 0 0 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 2009 W starts $2.84B, +4.2% from 2008 2009 W starts $9.7B, -5.1% from 2008 2010 W starts $3.26B +14.7% from 2009 2010 W starts $10.5B, +8.7% from 2009 2010 West Bridge construction tracking ABOVE national Highway construction tracking BELOW national California #2 in $ starts for ‘09 Highway & Bridges construction Debate continues on trans bill to replace SAFETEA-LU 18 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 19. Environmental Public Works Expect improvement from ARRA after slow start Environmental Public Works Construction Starts (Billions of Dollars) Water Sewers Millions of Dollars Millions of Dollars 5,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 +24% 4,000 3,000 3,000 2,000 +20.3% 2,000 1,000 1,000 0 0 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 2009 W starts $2.95B, -34.3% from 2008 2009 W starts $3.1B, -22.8% from 2008 2010 W starts $3.55B, +20.3% from 2009 2010 W starts $3.84B, +24% from 2009 2010 WEST Environmental construction tracking ABOVE national 19 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 20. Other Public Works Will Benefit Transit/Rail Improving nationally, mixed regionally Other Public Works, Including Transit/Rail (Billions of Dollars) Other Nonbuilding Millions of Dollars +18.7% 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 2009 W starts $6.38B, +2.5% from 2008 2010 W starts $7.57B, +18.7% from 2009 2010 West Other Public Works construction tracking ABOVE national 20 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 21. Electric Utilities Will Stay at Relative High Volume with some Stimulus Electric Utilities, Including SmartGrid (Billions of Dollars) Utilities Millions of Dollars 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 +16% 2,000 1,000 0 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 2009 W starts $2.99B, -54.5% from 2008 2010 W starts $3.47B, +16% from 2009 2010 West Energy construction tracking ABOVE national Energy Bills – tax incentives for oil and gas production, electric utilities, transmission lines, etc. extended with financial rescue packages 21 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 22. Renewable energy Big focus on renewable energy Investment in Renewable Energy & Conservation – "Smart-Grid" activities $11B – Energy efficiency grants $6.3B – Renewable energy loan guarantees $6B Incentives: Manufacture of Green Energy Products Stimulus Boosts Solar Marketplace: NJ to add 120 MW solar power to brown fields and undeveloped properties 1 Block Off the Grid, the solar group purchasing program is expanding Expect more support: invented AND manufactured in US 22 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 23. Energy Generation further points of perspective LT Outlook for Electric Power, Gas and Communications is positive – LT demand for power will rise – Need for transmission upgrades to enable renewable energy use – Requirements of new renewable portfolio standards – $23 to $24B by 2013 Pending legislation to limit carbon dioxide emissions major factor in present / future generation methods The “renaissance” of nuclear still in infancy 3 to 4 years to review, evaluate and approve a new reactor High cost / high value and…long construction cycle 23 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 24. Energy Generation large projects… Value Start Date $ Millions City State Year: Mo 1,500.0 John W Turk Jr Coal Fueled Power Plant Fulton AR 2009:01 864.0 West County Energy Ctr. Nat.Gas Power Plant Ph 3 Palm Beach FL 2009:02 619.0 580 MW Bear Garden Power Station New Canton VA 2009:06 600.0 Coolidge Generating Plant Coolidge AZ 2009:08 500.0 PSNH Scrubber Facility & WWTP Bow NH 2009:02 476.0 Martin Solar 75 MW Solar Thermal Steam Gen. Facility Indiantown FL 2009:02 440.0 Wind Turbine Electricity Generating Plant Not Available IA 2009:02 300.0 Papalote Creek 180 MW Wind Farm Taft TX 2009:02 300.0 Natural Gas Fired Combined Cycle Plant Unit 4 Kissimmee FL 2009:04 250.0 PrairieWinds Wind Power Plant Minot ND 2009:08 233.6 Wind Farm Wellsboro PA 2009:08 200.0 Desoto Next Generation Solar Energy Center Not Available FL 2009:03 200.0 Crane Creek Wind Farm Riceville IA 2009:05 170.0 Beech Ridge Wind Farm - Phase 1 Rupert WV 2009:04 Expansion in fossil-based gen continues, but alternative methods are gaining steam 24 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 25. Public Buildings, While a Small Category, Stimulus boosting activity; holding steady in West Public Buildings (Billions of Dollars) Government Service Buildings Millions of Dollars 4,000 +6.9% 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 2009 W starts $3.33B, +26.9% from 2008 2010 W starts $3.56B, +6.9% from 2009 2010 West Public Building construction starts tracking BELOW national levels 25 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 26. Renovation Green Wins in Stimulus: Renovation Gets a Boost in Green Much of Public Building $$ to Green Renovation Projects – GSA $4.5 billion – DOD $4.2 billion – VA $1 billion Tax breaks for Residential Energy Efficiency expanded & extended Stimulus in Action: • Minnesota uses $148.6 million to renovate schools and public facilities • Philadelphia Housing Authority will use the $90 million in stimulus funds to completely renovate and provide energy upgrades for 300 houses and apartments 26 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 27. Healthcare Facilities 2010 rebound after modest 2009 decline Healthcare Construction Starts (Billions of Dollars) Healthcare Facilities Millions of Dollars 7,000 +7.9% 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 2009 W starts $5.72B, FLAT from 2008 2010 W starts $6.18B, +7.9% from 2009 2010 West Healthcare construction tracking ABOVE national levels Hospital chains hit hard by tight credit conditions; healthcare reform debate creates uncertainty $430M Kaiser Permanente Hospital Fontana, CA 2009:03 27 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 28. Educational Buildings Will Settle Back, State budgets curtailing K-12; Higher-ed holding Educational Buildings (Billions of Dollars) Educational Buildings Dormitories Millions of Dollars Millions of Dollars 16,000 1600 14,000 1400 12,000 1200 10,000 1000 8,000 800 6,000 -3% 600 -11% 4,000 400 2,000 200 0 0 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 2009 W starts $9.42B, -33.9% from 2008 2009 W starts $987M, -31.7% from 2008 2010 W starts $9.14B, -3% from 2009 2010 W starts $881M -11% from 2009 2010 West Education construction starts tracking BELOW national levels Major universities increased capital spending plans – but now under re-evaluation 20 states have implemented cuts to K-12 education 28 states have implemented cuts to public colleges & universities 28 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 29. Office Construction in Retreat, Upturn was measured this time, however… Office Construction Starts (Billions of Dollars) Office Buildings Millions of Dollars 10,000 8,000 6,000 - 1.8% 4,000 2,000 0 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 2009 W starts $4.04B, -32% from 2008 2010 W starts $3.97B, -1.8% from 2009 2010 West Office construction starts tracking ABOVE national levels Tight credit conditions causing more and more projects to be deferred Rents and vacancies deteriorating in difficult economic climate New York #2 nationally in 2009 new square feet 29 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 30. Store Construction in Sharp Correction, As goes consumer spending, so goes… Stores and Shopping Centers Warehouses (Billions of Dollars) (Billions of Dollars) Retail Warehouse Millions of Dollars Millions of Dollars 8,000 4,000 7,000 3,500 6,000 3,000 5,000 2,500 4,000 2,000 - 2% 3,000 1,500 2,000 1,000 1,000 - 6.5% 500 0 0 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 2009 W starts $2.78B, -43.7% from 2008 2009 W starts $1.15B, -55.5% from 2008 2010 W starts $2.6B, -6.5% from 2009 2010 W starts $1.13B, -2% from 2009 2010 West Retail construction starts tracking BELOW national levels Impact of slow retail sales – reduced store openings, store closings US consumer expected to remain cautious in near term 30 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 31. Hotel Construction in Sharp Correction, Similar story… Hotels and Motels (Billions of Dollars) Hotels Millions of Dollars 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 - 7.3% 2,000 1,000 0 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 2009 W starts $1.49B, -46.2% from 2008 2010 W starts $1.38B -7.3% from 2009 2010 West Hotel construction starts tracking ABOVE national levels Negatives: weak economy, reduced business travel, hotel/casino overbuilding 31 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 32. The bottom line… 2010 West, across the three categories… Residential Nonresidential Non-building Total Residential Total Nonresidential Total Nonbuilding Millions of Dollars Millions of Dollars Millions of Dollars 120,000 70,000 40,000 60,000 35,000 100,000 50,000 30,000 80,000 25,000 40,000 60,000 20,000 30,000 15,000 40,000 20,000 10,000 20,000 10,000 5,000 0 0 0 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 Overall 2010 vs 2009 +35.6% Overall 2010 vs 2009 -1.9% Overall 2010 vs 2009 +16.5% $35.6B in starts forecasted $39.1B in starts forecasted $35.1B in starts forecasted A low base but turning upward Tracking at US growth %’age Benefiting from ARRA Tracking above US avg Tracking above US avg 32 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 33. Nationally… Total Construction Starts bottoming 2009, improving 2010 Billions of Dollars 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Construction 670.3 689.6 639.2 554.9 418.9 466.2 +13% +3% -7% -13% -25% +11% Single Family Housing 315.5 272.4 201.2 122.4 95.3 126.2 +12% -14% -26% -39% -22% +32% Multifamily Housing 68.6 69.8 61.4 39.7 18.2 21.1 +36% +2% -12% -35% -54% +16% Commercial Bldgs. 72.2 93.0 100.8 84.5 48.2 46.1 +7% +29% +8% -16% -43% -4% Institutional Bldgs. 100.1 110.8 117.6 129.3 110.2 111.1 +12% +11% +6% +10% -15% +1% Manufacturing Bldgs. 10.1 13.5 20.4 28.9 10.9 9.4 +26% +33% +51% +41% -62% -14% Public Works 96.0 112.4 121.7 120 119.7 136.3 +9% +17% +8% -1% -0- +14% Electric Utilities 7.9 17.7 17.8 30.2 16.5 16.0 +6% +125% +1% +70% -45% -3% 33 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 34. West Index of growth… As goes the West so goes the US Billions of Dollars 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Construction M-H 670.3 689.6 639.2 Construction Starts 554.9 418.9 466.2 +13% +3% -7% -13% -25% +11% Indexed, 1991 = 100 Single Family Housing 400 315.5 272.4 201.2 122.4 95.3 126.2 +12% -14% -26% -39% -22% +32% 350 Multifamily Housing 68.6 69.8 61.4 39.7 18.2 21.1 300 +36% +2% -12% -35% -54% +40% 250 United States Commercial Bldgs. 72.2 93.0 100.8 84.5 48.2 46.1 200 +7% +29% +8% -16% -43% -4% West 150 Institutional Bldgs. 100.1 110.8 117.6 129.3 110.2 111.1 100 +12% +11% +6% +10% -15% +1% Manufacturing Bldgs. 50 10.1 13.5 20.4 28.9 10.9 9.4 +26% +33% 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 +51% 02 04 +41% 06 08 -62% 10 -14% Public Works 96.0 112.4 121.7 120 119.7 136.3 +9% +17% +8% -1% -0- +14% Electric Utilities 7.9 17.7 17.8 30.2 16.5 16.0 +6% +125% +1% +70% -45% -3% 34 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 35. A new cycle emerging? The cyclical nature of business & construction Total Construction Activity by Cycle Cyclical Trough (T) = 100, Based on Constant 2000 Dollars 190 1991-2009 175 160 1975-1982 145 1982-1991 130 115 100 85 T T+2 T+4 T+6 T+8 T+10 T+12 T+14 T+16 T+18 Years from Cyclical Trough 35 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 36. The longer the down cycle… Replacement demand + Industry Confidence US Construction over the next 25 years… 50% of Building Stock Will Be New – Built After 2000 New Building Stock Will Represent 127 Billion Additional Sq Ft Most Growth Will Be in the South and West ENR Construction Industry Confidence Index… 752 AEC firms; inception 4/2009; 1 to 100 scale; quarterly updates 44% predict market improvement next 12 to 18 mths raising CICI to 30 Segments with highest CICI: power (59), transportation (57), water (56), healthcare (53) & education (49) Segments with lowest CICI: retail (17), office (19), hospitality (23) multi-family (25) …the greater the “spring load” 36 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 37. Trends US & Global – Sustainability/Green Building – Interoperability and BIM – Workforce/Labor Not if… – Innovation – Materials – Project Delivery Methods but different construction hemlines & trends 37 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 38. Trends US & Global – Sustainability/Green Building “Overall, industry specific – Interoperability and BIM – Workforce/Labor innovation does not follow, – Innovation – Materials creates expansion” but – Project Delivery Methods of capitalism” “The Instability - Joseph Schumpeter – 1928 38 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 39. What’s the score? Innovation… Unprecedented levels entering construction marketplace Areas of Innovation with Greatest Many global firm leaders believe Expected Impact on Future Business innovation in technology and processes will help solve their New Construction Safety & Health Methods & Processes biggest concerns of Workforce 13% 29% Advances in technology are fueling alternative delivery Other Green 16% Building methods and sustainable “smart” 16% design All bringing the potential of greater value to the building owner Intelligent Building & Infrastructure Pre-Fabrication 13% & Modularization 13% 39 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 40. Present Trends… Numerous factors impacting industry direction / growth Global Markets & Influences – China impact – Emergence of India + Middle East Project Attributes – Sustainability/Green Building – Renovation – Renewable Energy – Water Efficiency – New Materials Project Design & Construction Influences Productivity – Workforce – Interoperability/BIM – Pre-fabrication & Modularization Alternative Construction Financing – Public-Private Partnerships Infrastructure requirements 40 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 41. Project attributes… Green Construction tripling in the United States by 2013 140 120 Upper Market Size Lower Market Size 100 Triple Market Size $ (billions) 80 60 Double Triple 40 Five Fold 20 0 Total Non-Res Residential Total Non-Res Residential Total Non-Res Residential 2005 2008 2013 CONSTRUCTION TRENDS 41 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 42. Project attributes… Green is growing despite declining new building construction = Commercial & Institutional Market $245 Billion = Green Market $29 Billion $182 Billion $208 Billion $3 Billion 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 CONSTRUCTION TRENDS Source: Commercial & Institutional Market Size: McGraw-Hill Construction, as of January 27, 2009. MHC Housing Starts data is similar to the Census Bureau, except that MHC defines single family housing as detached housing only. MHC includes townhomes in its multifamily data. 42 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presentedBuilding: Green Trends Driving Market Change, McGraw-Hill Construction, 2008 Green Market Size: Commercial & Institutional Green © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 43. Project Attributes… Corporate sustainability practices continue to rise Corporate Leaders: – Over one-third of companies (36%) are positioning themselves around green and sustainability, up from only 18% in 2007 – Nearly all firms (95%) are undertaking at least some sustainability practices CONSTRUCTION TRENDS Source: The Greening of Corporate America SmartMarket Report, McGraw-Hill Construction, 2007; Bernstein, Harvey. Presentation. Construction Industry Trends. McGraw-Hill Companies Offices, New York, NY, May 2009. (based on 2009 market research data conducted by McGraw-Hill Construction in 2009) 43 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 44. Project Attributes… Building green is proving to be smart business Perceived Advantages of Building Green from AEC firms and Owners 2005 2008 Decreased Operating Costs: 8-9% 13.6% Increased Building Values: 7.5% 10.9% Improvement in ROI: 6.6% 9.9% Increased Occupancy: 3.5% 6.4% Rent Rise: 3.0% 6.1% Increased revenue flows: 71% 77% Increased profits: 59% 61% Advantages are Increasing Over Time! “When Aardex developed the Signature Centre (LEED certified), the market sat at 15% CONSTRUCTION TRENDS vacancy… all 300,000 sqft were leased 5 months before completion – and for nearly double the going rents of surrounding buildings.” 44 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved. Source: The Denver Post 9/8/2009
  • 45. Project Attributes… Water efficiency rapidly growing in importance • Becoming one of the Next 5 Years Currently most important aspects of a green building Energy 91% efficiency 96% • Correlation beginning to emerge between saving water and saving Water use 69% energy reduction 85% CONSTRUCTION TRENDS 45 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 46. The correlation between growth & innovation… Focus on productivity gains is driving innovation Increases in Productivity Broadly Influence Society By Improving Standards and Creating Income 46 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 47. Design & Construction Productivity… The case for Digital Design & Construction has been made Digital Design shifts the bulk of project work to the Design phase to help coordinate building systems s ge and the project and manage project costs Abili an Ch ty t n ig es o D co f t o ntr Effort os ol Digital Traditional C co Design st Design Litigation Phase Design Design Devel Const Docs Construction CONSTRUCTION TRENDS Time Source: International Alliance for Interoperability, 2007 47 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 48. Design & Construction Productivity… And now adoption is increasing Adoption of BIM Increasing Over 2009 % of Total Projects Expected % of Total Projects 2008 2009 18% 35% 1-15% 38% 45% 16-30% 31-59% 20% >60% 10% 17% 17% Architects Engineers Contractors Owners 23% 54% 35% 43% 38% 41% 43% 46% 12% 60%+ 8% 20% 15% 8% 31-59% 11% 16% 11% 21% 10% 14% 22% 10% 16-30% 20% 35% 45% 41% 1-15% 12% 36% 32% 33% 21% 12% 12% CONSTRUCTION TRENDS 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 48 McGraw-Hill Construction Confidential. All information presented © McGraw-Hill Construction, 2009. All rights reserved.