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The UK Elections:
  Today's Intelligence or Yesterday's News?




                                         Lars Voedisch
                                         Regional Head – Media Intelligence, AP
                                         Dow Jones & Co
                                         lars.voedisch@dowjones.com
                                         @larsv

                                         www.dowjones.com



© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company                                       |
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Content
 © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company                                                                 | 2
Media Perceptions
UK General Elections 2010




© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company   |
UK Elections - Background

   Since WW II, the UK did
    not have a coalition
    government
   It is the first time TV
    debates for the candidates
    were introduced
   Gordon Brown did not go
    through public elections
    before
   UK strongly affected by
    global financial crisis
© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company   |
Public Timeline: Traditional vs. Social Media

                                            Analyze




    06 Apr – Brown calls elections
© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company                |
Public Timeline: Traditional vs. Social Media

                                                              Analyze




    16 Apr – Clegg ‘wins’ first TV debate (Domestic policy)
© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company                                  |
Public Timeline: Traditional vs. Social Media

                                                                  Analyze




    22 Apr – Second TV debate helps Cameron and Clegg (International affairs)
© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company                                          |
Public Timeline: Traditional vs. Social Media

                                                                 Analyze




    28 Apr - Brown calls 65-year-old widow ‘bigoted woman’, apologizes
© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company                                     |
Public Timeline: Traditional vs. Social Media

                                                                Analyze




    29 Apr – Cameron does well during third TV debate (Economy & Taxes)
© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company                                    |
Public Timeline: Traditional vs. Social Media

                                            Analyze




    6 May – Polling Day
© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company                |
Public Timeline: Traditional vs. Social Media

                                                       Analyze




    11/12 May – Government forms, Cameron becomes PM
© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company                           |
Public Timeline: Traditional vs. Social Media

                                                       Analyze




Social vs Traditional Media:
• Higher amplitudes
• Looking for ‘news’
• Generally in-sync




    11/12 May – Government forms, Cameron becomes PM
© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company                           |
Early stages:
  Brown dominates until first TV debate



                               Brown dominates
                               the media




•06 Apr – Brown calls elections
•16 Apr – Clegg ‘wins’ first TV debate
© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company           |
Phenomenon Clegg: Liberal leader’s star starts
  rising even before the first TV debate




-Nick Clegg’s rise started before the 1st
 debate – not only down to TV appearance.
-Comparing days immediately before and
 after the debate, Cameron lost ground,
 Clegg gained ground Brown remained
 stable (based on volume).

© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company             |
Candidate Presence – Cameron 2010

                                         Clegg received more media attention
                                         than eventual Prime minister
                                         Cameron until shortly before the
                                         confirmation of a conservative led
                                         government.




© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company                                         |
Domestic Issues – Immigration / Crime

• Immigration – Brown – (31.03.) – “Controlling
  Immigration for a Fairer Britain” keynote
  speech


• Immigration – Clegg – (16.04.) – “good/bad
  immigration”, “other parties talk tough on
  immigration, but deliver chaos”




• Crime – Brown (10.04.) – Campaigning for
  DNA database


• Crime – Clegg – (16.04.) – Prison reform &
  deterrents for young offenders (However,
  ascent started pre-debate with manifesto)



© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company            |
Domestic Issues Dominating Elections
  No real topic ‘Ownership’
                                         • Clegg’s immigration policy
                                           plans caused much
                                           controversy
                                         • Brown did not manage to
                                           dominate economic topics
                                           after all
                                         • Conservative topics like
                                           Crime and Education were not
                                           picked up enough




© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company                                    |
Clegg gets attention through controversies
    • Incumbent PM Brown was
      largely shown in a neutral
      context
    • Liberal Clegg caused the most
      emotional reactions – but
      stayed top-of-mind
    • Challenger Cameron could
      actually not win a significant
      favourable public perception




© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company         |
Hot Topics in the past Month:
  Who will win, Greece and… Gillian Duffy




© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company      |
Current Hot Topics:
  Stability of Government and Voting System




© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company        |
Social Media: Short lived in Attention


                         Twitter coverage follows the
                         traditional media timeline, but is much
                         faster – with the news and gone again




Source: Trendistic

 © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company                            |
Social Media: Short lived in Attention


                                                         #leadersdebate: 5.5% of
                         Twitter coverage follows the total twitter activity
                         traditional media timeline, butduring first TV debate -
                                                         is much
                         faster – with the news and gone againbig as ipad
                                                        that's as
                                                         launch




Source: Trendistic

 © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company                                            |
Social Media: Short lived in Attention
Social Media in
general – and
even moreTwitter coverage follows the #leadersdebate: 5.5% of
                                           total twitter activity
Twitter doestraditional media timeline, butduring first TV debate -
                                            is much
NOT WANT to – with the news and gone againbig as ipad
            faster                         that's as
play by                                    launch
traditional media
rules.
 Hence, it is
 largely casual
 speak:
 emotional, not
 balanced – from
 the heart.
Source: Trendistic

© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company                                |
Social Media: Short lived in Attention
Social Media in
general – and
even moreTwitter coverage follows the #leadersdebate: 5.5% of
                                           total twitter activity
Twitter doestraditional media timeline, butduring first TV debate -
                                            is much
NOT WANT to – with the news and gone againbig as ipad
            faster         Social Media is an ART:
                                           that's as
play by                                    launch
                           • Authentic
traditional media
rules.                     • Relevant
                                         • Transparent
 Hence, it is
 largely casual
 speak:
 emotional, not
 balanced – from
 the heart.
Source: Trendistic

© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company                                |
UK Elections - Observations

   It’s the first mass-media influenced election
          - TV debates
          - NOT (yet) social media
   Driven by domestic issues
   Everybody lost
          - End of Labour government
          - Tories have to form coalition
          - Liberals could not ‘cash in’ the Clegg bonus



© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company                     |
Monitor Analyze Discover Engage




           Dow Jones services for Public Relations
               & Corporate Communications

              Monitor                     Analyze           Discover          Engage

               research &                 issues, trends    opportunities &   & pinpoint
                promote                  & strategies for    risks in time    better the
                the buzz                      impact             to act       influential




© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company                                                       |
Questions?




                                         Thank you.
                                         Lars Voedisch
                                         Regional Head – Media Intelligence, APAC
                                         Dow Jones and Company
                                         lars.voedisch@dowjones.com
                                         @larsv
© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company                                          |
Dow Jones Solutions for Public Relations &
Corporate Communications



                                         Lars Voedisch
                                         Regional Head – Media Intelligence, AP
                                         Dow Jones & Co
                                         lars.voedisch@dowjones.com
                                         @larsv

                                         www.dowjones.com




© Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company                                       |

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The UK Elections: Today's Intelligence or Yesterday's News?

  • 1. The UK Elections: Today's Intelligence or Yesterday's News? Lars Voedisch Regional Head – Media Intelligence, AP Dow Jones & Co lars.voedisch@dowjones.com @larsv www.dowjones.com © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 2. Content + Expertise + Technology = Relevant Information → Actionable Intelligence 27,000+ global sources 17M+ companies Other People’s 35M+ executives Content 16M+ Websites and blogs Web/Social Mainstream Media Media 150+ researchers Dow Jones 130,000+ indexes Research Media/VC/Risk Dow Jones News, Over 150 Commentary years of & Analysis 2,000 journalists 84 bureaus Indispensable 18,000+ daily news items Content © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company | 2
  • 3. Media Perceptions UK General Elections 2010 © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 4. UK Elections - Background  Since WW II, the UK did not have a coalition government  It is the first time TV debates for the candidates were introduced  Gordon Brown did not go through public elections before  UK strongly affected by global financial crisis © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 5. Public Timeline: Traditional vs. Social Media Analyze 06 Apr – Brown calls elections © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 6. Public Timeline: Traditional vs. Social Media Analyze 16 Apr – Clegg ‘wins’ first TV debate (Domestic policy) © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 7. Public Timeline: Traditional vs. Social Media Analyze 22 Apr – Second TV debate helps Cameron and Clegg (International affairs) © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 8. Public Timeline: Traditional vs. Social Media Analyze 28 Apr - Brown calls 65-year-old widow ‘bigoted woman’, apologizes © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 9. Public Timeline: Traditional vs. Social Media Analyze 29 Apr – Cameron does well during third TV debate (Economy & Taxes) © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 10. Public Timeline: Traditional vs. Social Media Analyze 6 May – Polling Day © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 11. Public Timeline: Traditional vs. Social Media Analyze 11/12 May – Government forms, Cameron becomes PM © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 12. Public Timeline: Traditional vs. Social Media Analyze Social vs Traditional Media: • Higher amplitudes • Looking for ‘news’ • Generally in-sync 11/12 May – Government forms, Cameron becomes PM © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 13. Early stages: Brown dominates until first TV debate Brown dominates the media •06 Apr – Brown calls elections •16 Apr – Clegg ‘wins’ first TV debate © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 14. Phenomenon Clegg: Liberal leader’s star starts rising even before the first TV debate -Nick Clegg’s rise started before the 1st debate – not only down to TV appearance. -Comparing days immediately before and after the debate, Cameron lost ground, Clegg gained ground Brown remained stable (based on volume). © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 15. Candidate Presence – Cameron 2010 Clegg received more media attention than eventual Prime minister Cameron until shortly before the confirmation of a conservative led government. © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 16. Domestic Issues – Immigration / Crime • Immigration – Brown – (31.03.) – “Controlling Immigration for a Fairer Britain” keynote speech • Immigration – Clegg – (16.04.) – “good/bad immigration”, “other parties talk tough on immigration, but deliver chaos” • Crime – Brown (10.04.) – Campaigning for DNA database • Crime – Clegg – (16.04.) – Prison reform & deterrents for young offenders (However, ascent started pre-debate with manifesto) © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 17. Domestic Issues Dominating Elections No real topic ‘Ownership’ • Clegg’s immigration policy plans caused much controversy • Brown did not manage to dominate economic topics after all • Conservative topics like Crime and Education were not picked up enough © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 18. Clegg gets attention through controversies • Incumbent PM Brown was largely shown in a neutral context • Liberal Clegg caused the most emotional reactions – but stayed top-of-mind • Challenger Cameron could actually not win a significant favourable public perception © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 19. Hot Topics in the past Month: Who will win, Greece and… Gillian Duffy © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 20. Current Hot Topics: Stability of Government and Voting System © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 21. Social Media: Short lived in Attention Twitter coverage follows the traditional media timeline, but is much faster – with the news and gone again Source: Trendistic © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 22. Social Media: Short lived in Attention #leadersdebate: 5.5% of Twitter coverage follows the total twitter activity traditional media timeline, butduring first TV debate - is much faster – with the news and gone againbig as ipad that's as launch Source: Trendistic © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 23. Social Media: Short lived in Attention Social Media in general – and even moreTwitter coverage follows the #leadersdebate: 5.5% of total twitter activity Twitter doestraditional media timeline, butduring first TV debate - is much NOT WANT to – with the news and gone againbig as ipad faster that's as play by launch traditional media rules. Hence, it is largely casual speak: emotional, not balanced – from the heart. Source: Trendistic © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 24. Social Media: Short lived in Attention Social Media in general – and even moreTwitter coverage follows the #leadersdebate: 5.5% of total twitter activity Twitter doestraditional media timeline, butduring first TV debate - is much NOT WANT to – with the news and gone againbig as ipad faster Social Media is an ART: that's as play by launch • Authentic traditional media rules. • Relevant • Transparent Hence, it is largely casual speak: emotional, not balanced – from the heart. Source: Trendistic © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 25. UK Elections - Observations  It’s the first mass-media influenced election - TV debates - NOT (yet) social media  Driven by domestic issues  Everybody lost - End of Labour government - Tories have to form coalition - Liberals could not ‘cash in’ the Clegg bonus © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 26. Monitor Analyze Discover Engage Dow Jones services for Public Relations & Corporate Communications Monitor Analyze Discover Engage research & issues, trends opportunities & & pinpoint promote & strategies for risks in time better the the buzz impact to act influential © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 27. Questions? Thank you. Lars Voedisch Regional Head – Media Intelligence, APAC Dow Jones and Company lars.voedisch@dowjones.com @larsv © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |
  • 28. Dow Jones Solutions for Public Relations & Corporate Communications Lars Voedisch Regional Head – Media Intelligence, AP Dow Jones & Co lars.voedisch@dowjones.com @larsv www.dowjones.com © Copyright 2010 Dow Jones and Company |