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LEAN ANALYTICS
Using data to build a better startup faster




                                      Ben Yoskovitz
                                      @byosko
A little about me…




  Acquihired         Started writing   Exited (but   Big win!
                     instigator blog   not a real
                                       win)
YEAR ONE LABS
Wrong subtitle!




http://leananalyticsbook.com
PART
ONE
       The future
       of business
       is lean.
Silicon Valley doesn’t
      love failure.
It just hates it less
than the alternative:
Building something
nobody cares about.
ALL THAT MATTERS IS THE PROBLEM
The basic Lean message
is learn and adapt, fast.
READY, AIM, FIRE IS SO 1995.




    Photo by US Army. Used under Creative Commons.
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/soldiersmediacenter/4097699857
Instead: aim, fire, ready
Different things matter now.
Knowing
                 what’s not
Getting
                 working,
features right
                 quickly,
matters less.
                 matters
                 more.
Finding
Building        known
product         needs
matters less.   matters
                more.
“What if”
“We should”
                matters
matters less.
                more.
Parallel
Your
                experiments
roadmap
                matters
matters less.
                more.
Business
Business
               models
plans matter
               matter
less.
               more.
LEAN
ANALYTICS
WE’RE ALL LIARS
DON’T
 IGNORE
YOUR GUT
Your Gut         Increased
      +        =   likelihood of
Lean Analytics     success
PART
TWO
       The basics
       of good
       analytics.
Analytics is the measurement of
movement towards your business goals.
In a startup, the purpose
of analytics is to iterate to
product/market fit before
   the money runs out.
Three categories of metrics to think about:



    1.Qualitative and quantitative

    2.Vanity and actionable

    3.Exploratory and reporting
What makes a great metric?


  1. Comparative over time, against a baseline

  2. Understandable

  3. Ratios and rates, not numbers

  4. Improves the accuracy of your predictions

  5. Your behavior changes when it does
PART
THREE
    Key
    principles
    of Lean
    Analytics
What you should track is dependent on:


        Your basic business               The stage your
              model                        startup is at


        How you make $$                      Lifecycle

    •    E-commerce                   •   Find a need
    •    SaaS                         •   Find a solution
    •    Free mobile app              •   Find a product
    •    Media site                   •   Find a business model
    •    Collaborative content site   •   Find an exit
    •    Two-sided marketplace
http://www.slideshare.net/dmc500hats/startup-metrics-for-
pirates-sept-2012?from=new_upload_email
Eric Ries’ Engines of Growth




1. Sticky engine

2. Viral engine

3. Price engine        http://www.flickr.com/photos/toastforbrekkie/113065857/
The Long Funnel

• Understanding the
  customer journey

• Exploratory & reporting



             Get it here!




http://bit.ly/QTPPsq
THE GATES OF LEAN ANALYTICS
                                                               Area of focus                “Gate” needed                 Key metrics for
                              Lean          McClure                                                                         this stage
                                                               at this stage               to move forward
                                                                                        I’ve found a real, poorly-met    Qualitative responses
                          Customer         Attention         Empathy                    need a reachable market          Meetings held
                          development      (of                                          faces.
                                           testers, prospe                                                               Scored qualitative
                                           cts, etc.)                                                                    Surveys, bulk feedback
                                                                                        I’ve figured out how to solve
                          MVP building                                                  the problem in a way they
                                                                                                                         Signup rates
                                                                           Stickiness   will adopt and pay for.
                                           Activation                                                                    Activation on invite/beta
                          MVP iteration,
Startup lifecycle stage




                          sticky engine    Retention                                                                     MVP adoption
                                                                                        I’ve built the right
                                                                                                                         Retention
                                                                                        product/features/functionality
                                                                                        that keeps users around.         Message open rates
                          Organic          Referral                        Virality                                      Inherent sharing
                          growth, viral
                                                                                                                         Viral coefficient/cycle time
                                                             Growth rate
                          engine                                                        The users and features fuel
                                                                                        growth organically and           Word of Mouth sharing
                                                                                        artificially.
                                                                                                                         Key goal conversion rates
                          Monetization,    Revenue                         Revenue                                       Customer lifetime value
                          price engine
                                                                                        I’ve found a sustainable,        Customer acquisition cost
                                                                                        scalable business with the       Margins
                                                                                        right margins in a healthy
                                                                                                                         Access to employees
                                                                                        ecosystem.
                          Inorganic        Attention                       Attention                                     Access to capital
                          growth,          (at scale, of                                                                 Competition
                          beyond Lean      customers)                                   I can achieve a successful
                                                                                                                         Visibility/SEO/SEM
                                                                                        exit for the right terms.
                                                                                                                         Channel health

                                                                           Exit!
The One Metric That Matters
 Or how to deal with your crippling ADD




                          http://www.flickr.com/photos/andrec/2893549851/
Choose only one metric.
Benefits of the OMTM:


  1. It should answer the most important
    question you have

  2. There’s a clear goal

  3. Focuses the entire company

  4. Instills a culture of experimentation
METRICS ARE LIKE SQUEEZE TOYS
Lean Analytics example: SaaS
   Area of focus
   at this stage

 Empathy                    Qualitative analysis (any interviewees writing checks?)
                            Scoring problem interviews
                            Survey results
                            Beta signup (how many people sign up?)
               Stickiness
                            Enrollment (how many visitors become users?)
                            Daily, weekly, monthly active users
                            Churn (how many users leave in a given time period?)
               Virality     Virality (inherent – built into the product)
                            Virality (artificial – invite someone for a free month)
 Growth rate




                            Conversion (how many users become paying customers?)
                            Revenue per Customer
               Revenue      Up-selling (what makes customers increase spending?)
                            Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC)
                            Customer Lifetime Value (CLV)

               Attention    Building sales channels
                            Site visitors (how many people visit with other #s maintained?)
Draw lines in the sand.
What’s ideal?


  • ~2.5% churn

  • Free to paid in freemium of 2%

  • CLV is 3x CAC

  • Time to recoup CAC of 6-12 months
The Problem-Solution Canvas
Or how to stay focused as much as possible
Problem-Solution Canvas #1
Problem-Solution Canvas #2
Sneak peek!
  •   Break down of 6 business models and key metrics
      to focus on
  •   How to use Lean Analytics at every stage of your
      startup & for big companies / intrapreneurs
  •   Examples of “what’s ideal” for each major metric
  •   The penny machine
  •   The three-threes model
  •   How crowdfunding fits in
  •   How to instill a culture of analytics
  •   Case studies from Circle of Moms, AirBnB, WP
      Engine, SEOmoz, Backupify, Wooga and more!
Thank you!
@byosko & @acroll


leananalyticsbook.com

instigatorblog.com

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Introduction to Lean Analytics webinar (O'Reilly)

  • 1. LEAN ANALYTICS Using data to build a better startup faster Ben Yoskovitz @byosko
  • 2. A little about me… Acquihired Started writing Exited (but Big win! instigator blog not a real win)
  • 5. PART ONE The future of business is lean.
  • 6. Silicon Valley doesn’t love failure.
  • 7. It just hates it less than the alternative:
  • 9. ALL THAT MATTERS IS THE PROBLEM
  • 10.
  • 11. The basic Lean message is learn and adapt, fast.
  • 12. READY, AIM, FIRE IS SO 1995. Photo by US Army. Used under Creative Commons. http://www.flickr.com/photos/soldiersmediacenter/4097699857
  • 15. Knowing what’s not Getting working, features right quickly, matters less. matters more.
  • 16. Finding Building known product needs matters less. matters more.
  • 17. “What if” “We should” matters matters less. more.
  • 18. Parallel Your experiments roadmap matters matters less. more.
  • 19. Business Business models plans matter matter less. more.
  • 23. Your Gut Increased + = likelihood of Lean Analytics success
  • 24. PART TWO The basics of good analytics.
  • 25. Analytics is the measurement of movement towards your business goals.
  • 26. In a startup, the purpose of analytics is to iterate to product/market fit before the money runs out.
  • 27. Three categories of metrics to think about: 1.Qualitative and quantitative 2.Vanity and actionable 3.Exploratory and reporting
  • 28. What makes a great metric? 1. Comparative over time, against a baseline 2. Understandable 3. Ratios and rates, not numbers 4. Improves the accuracy of your predictions 5. Your behavior changes when it does
  • 29. PART THREE Key principles of Lean Analytics
  • 30. What you should track is dependent on: Your basic business The stage your model startup is at How you make $$ Lifecycle • E-commerce • Find a need • SaaS • Find a solution • Free mobile app • Find a product • Media site • Find a business model • Collaborative content site • Find an exit • Two-sided marketplace
  • 32. Eric Ries’ Engines of Growth 1. Sticky engine 2. Viral engine 3. Price engine http://www.flickr.com/photos/toastforbrekkie/113065857/
  • 33. The Long Funnel • Understanding the customer journey • Exploratory & reporting Get it here! http://bit.ly/QTPPsq
  • 34. THE GATES OF LEAN ANALYTICS Area of focus “Gate” needed Key metrics for Lean McClure this stage at this stage to move forward I’ve found a real, poorly-met Qualitative responses Customer Attention Empathy need a reachable market Meetings held development (of faces. testers, prospe Scored qualitative cts, etc.) Surveys, bulk feedback I’ve figured out how to solve MVP building the problem in a way they Signup rates Stickiness will adopt and pay for. Activation Activation on invite/beta MVP iteration, Startup lifecycle stage sticky engine Retention MVP adoption I’ve built the right Retention product/features/functionality that keeps users around. Message open rates Organic Referral Virality Inherent sharing growth, viral Viral coefficient/cycle time Growth rate engine The users and features fuel growth organically and Word of Mouth sharing artificially. Key goal conversion rates Monetization, Revenue Revenue Customer lifetime value price engine I’ve found a sustainable, Customer acquisition cost scalable business with the Margins right margins in a healthy Access to employees ecosystem. Inorganic Attention Attention Access to capital growth, (at scale, of Competition beyond Lean customers) I can achieve a successful Visibility/SEO/SEM exit for the right terms. Channel health Exit!
  • 35. The One Metric That Matters Or how to deal with your crippling ADD http://www.flickr.com/photos/andrec/2893549851/
  • 36. Choose only one metric.
  • 37. Benefits of the OMTM: 1. It should answer the most important question you have 2. There’s a clear goal 3. Focuses the entire company 4. Instills a culture of experimentation
  • 38. METRICS ARE LIKE SQUEEZE TOYS
  • 39. Lean Analytics example: SaaS Area of focus at this stage Empathy Qualitative analysis (any interviewees writing checks?) Scoring problem interviews Survey results Beta signup (how many people sign up?) Stickiness Enrollment (how many visitors become users?) Daily, weekly, monthly active users Churn (how many users leave in a given time period?) Virality Virality (inherent – built into the product) Virality (artificial – invite someone for a free month) Growth rate Conversion (how many users become paying customers?) Revenue per Customer Revenue Up-selling (what makes customers increase spending?) Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) Attention Building sales channels Site visitors (how many people visit with other #s maintained?)
  • 40. Draw lines in the sand.
  • 41. What’s ideal? • ~2.5% churn • Free to paid in freemium of 2% • CLV is 3x CAC • Time to recoup CAC of 6-12 months
  • 42. The Problem-Solution Canvas Or how to stay focused as much as possible
  • 45. Sneak peek! • Break down of 6 business models and key metrics to focus on • How to use Lean Analytics at every stage of your startup & for big companies / intrapreneurs • Examples of “what’s ideal” for each major metric • The penny machine • The three-threes model • How crowdfunding fits in • How to instill a culture of analytics • Case studies from Circle of Moms, AirBnB, WP Engine, SEOmoz, Backupify, Wooga and more!
  • 46. Thank you! @byosko & @acroll leananalyticsbook.com instigatorblog.com