1. I s su e 12 , Vo lu me 2 4 / J u ne 17, 20 11
Factors Impacting Rates this Week The Week Ahead -> The “Keys”
Tim McLaughlin - FOMC, Housing Data, and GDP drive the week
Europe/Greece Debt Issues: The US financial markets
are extending its high level of volatility as the euro zone debt Date Economic Release Prediction Last
crisis remains in focus, with growing uncertainty regarding
Greece's ability to avoid a sovereign default. Treasuries and 6/21 Existing Home Sales 4.85M 5.05M
Mortgage Backed Securities are higher throughout the week
(prices up/rates down) amid the euro-area debt uneasiness. 6/21 Existing Home Sales (MoM) -4.0% -0.8%
The Fed/China: We saw two drivers on Wednesday 6/22 MBA Mortgage Applications - 13.0%
have a direct impact on the markets from the Fed. First, pre-
6/22 House Price Index (MoM) -0.2% -0.3%
market open, there were a series of hawkish comments
from Fed President Fisher (Dallas), in addition to a Chinese 6/22 FOMC Rate Decision 0.25% 0.25%
report signaled accelerated inflation, inciting the Peoples
Bank of China to raise reserve requirements by 50bps, all of 6/23 Chicago Fed Nat Activity - -0.45
which provided a pre-market pop to Fixed Income.
6/23 Initial Jobless Claims - 414K
And then in the latter half of the day Fed Chairman Ben
Bernanke was on the tape commenting on the US debt 6/23 Continuing Claims - 3675K
ceiling, stating it should not be used as a mechanism to
6/23 BB Consumer Comfort - -
force budget cuts: “Failing to raise the debt ceiling in a
timely way would be self-defeating if the objective is to chart 6/23 New Home Sales 310K 323K
a course toward a better fiscal situation for our nation,” the
Federal Reserve chairman said in some of his strongest 6/23 New Home Sales (MoM) -4.0% 7.3%
words yet on fiscal policy, a subject on which he is normally
cautious. 6/23 RPX Composite 28 day - 0.50%
His comments raise the stakes for both sides if they fail to 6/24 Cap Goods Orders 0.5% -2.6%
reach a deal to increase the debt limit but are likely to
prompt a backlash from Republicans who want spending 6/24 Cap Goods Shipped - -1.7%
cuts in return for an increase in the amount the government
can borrow. 6/24 Durable Goods Orders 1.6% -3.6%
The market, as of late, appears to have rabbit ears around 6/24 ex Transportation 1.1% -1.6%
any talks regarding the debt ceiling, and any comments
made by officials in an authoritative role are impacting the 6/24 GDP (QoQ) – Annualized 1.9% 1.8%
markets (positively or negatively) in an exponential fashion.
6/24 GDP Price Index 1.9% 1.9%
Takeaways: With all the volatility and uncertainty in the 6/24 Core PCE (QoQ) 1.4% 1.4%
marketplace right now (both at home and abroad), that has
translated into a continuum “flight to quality” trade which has 6/24 Personal Consumption 2.2% 2.2%
driven the Fixed Income sector, and mortgage rates in
particular, to their lowest rates of the year. 30 year Fixed
Mortgages in the mid 4% range, 15 year Fixed Mortgages in Q: Does Weichert offer “Premium Pricing” quotes?
the high 3% range, and attractive hybrid ARM structures in A: We sure do! Premium pricing is a rate quote that
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Mortgage Access Corp. d/b/a Weichert Financial Services, Executive Offices, 225 Littleton Road, Morris Plains, NJ 07950. 1-800-829-CASH. NMLS Company ID: 2731. Licensed by the NJ Dept of Banking and Insurance. Licensed Mortgage
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