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RETHINKING PENSION DESIGN AND DELIVERY
      European Pensions & Investments Summit


                 Noordwijk aan Zee, The Netherlands
                             Tuesday, May 15, 2012


          Keith Ambachtsheer, Director of Rotman ICPM
A Changing World for Retirement Income Systems (RIS)

         • Daunting Demographics
         • Fearsome Fiscal Deficits
         • Fickle Financial Markets



2
RIS Impacts

     • Redefine ‘retirement’
     • Redesign pension arrangements
     • Reorganize pension institutions



3
RIS Redesign Questions – Redefining ‘Retirement’

       • Later retirement age?
       • When and how?
       • Slow transition into retirement?


4
RIS Redesign Questions – Pension Arrangements

    • Adequacy -> Income replacement target?
    • Sustainability -> Acceptable contribution
      rate? Guarantees?
    • Tinbergen Principle: Two Goals -> Two
      Instruments

5
Rethinking Pension Adequacy and Sustainability

     • 60% rather than 70% earnings
       replacement target?
     • Contribution rates and design?
     • Employer guarantees? Pricing?


6
Tinbergen Principle - Implications

• Separate ‘Return Max’ and ‘Payment Certainty’
  instruments
• True LH ‘Return Max’ investing without fear of
  de-risking
• A-L management in Solvency II ‘fair value’
  framework to ensure ‘Payment Certainty’

7
Rethinking Pension Institutions

    • Aligned interests are critical
    • Good governance, sensible investment
      beliefs, and scale are critical
    • Pro-active, intelligent regulation is critical


8
‘Real World’ Glimpses of Hope

    • Nordic countries in good shape
    • Dutch working hard to get it right from DB
      side – Pension Accord
    • Aussies are working hard to get it right from
      the DC side – Cooper Commission


9
‘Real World’ Glimpses of Hope (continued)

 • Brits working hard to get some pieces right – NEST
 • Canadians have the best pension institutions in the
   world – CPPIB, OTPP, etc.
 • Americans could emulate TIAA-CREF as their Pillar 2
   Model


10

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Rethinking Pension Design and Delivery - Presentation by Keith Ambachtsheer at the European Pensions & Investments Summit

  • 1. RETHINKING PENSION DESIGN AND DELIVERY European Pensions & Investments Summit Noordwijk aan Zee, The Netherlands Tuesday, May 15, 2012 Keith Ambachtsheer, Director of Rotman ICPM
  • 2. A Changing World for Retirement Income Systems (RIS) • Daunting Demographics • Fearsome Fiscal Deficits • Fickle Financial Markets 2
  • 3. RIS Impacts • Redefine ‘retirement’ • Redesign pension arrangements • Reorganize pension institutions 3
  • 4. RIS Redesign Questions – Redefining ‘Retirement’ • Later retirement age? • When and how? • Slow transition into retirement? 4
  • 5. RIS Redesign Questions – Pension Arrangements • Adequacy -> Income replacement target? • Sustainability -> Acceptable contribution rate? Guarantees? • Tinbergen Principle: Two Goals -> Two Instruments 5
  • 6. Rethinking Pension Adequacy and Sustainability • 60% rather than 70% earnings replacement target? • Contribution rates and design? • Employer guarantees? Pricing? 6
  • 7. Tinbergen Principle - Implications • Separate ‘Return Max’ and ‘Payment Certainty’ instruments • True LH ‘Return Max’ investing without fear of de-risking • A-L management in Solvency II ‘fair value’ framework to ensure ‘Payment Certainty’ 7
  • 8. Rethinking Pension Institutions • Aligned interests are critical • Good governance, sensible investment beliefs, and scale are critical • Pro-active, intelligent regulation is critical 8
  • 9. ‘Real World’ Glimpses of Hope • Nordic countries in good shape • Dutch working hard to get it right from DB side – Pension Accord • Aussies are working hard to get it right from the DC side – Cooper Commission 9
  • 10. ‘Real World’ Glimpses of Hope (continued) • Brits working hard to get some pieces right – NEST • Canadians have the best pension institutions in the world – CPPIB, OTPP, etc. • Americans could emulate TIAA-CREF as their Pillar 2 Model 10