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The New Toolkit for Managing Investment Risk
                                             How can investors minimise and              We should anticipate a lot of fiscal
                                             better manage risk?                         restructuring of welfare entitlements
                                                                                         within economies. We also should be
                                             We must be innovative and look for          ready for debt reduction measures from
                                             solutions beyond the traditional toolkit.   policy markets and central banks via
                                             As an example, the traditional              historically untested policy actions.
                                             economist’s approach to leveraged           Political dynamics will remain in flux
                                             sovereigns is outdated and will not work    through this period.
                                             in today’s world. The markets that
                                             investors operate in now are historically
                                             unique in the amount of leverage debt
                                             still existing in the system.

Interview with: Kushal Kumar,                One approach which worked for us, both
Founder and Managing Partner,                to identify opportunity and to minimise
Numen Capital LLP                            risk, was to adapt our tested corporate

                                                                                              Risk
                                             toolkit and integrate it in such a way as
                                             to apply to sovereign issuers.
When looking for solutions to identify

                                                                                         management
opportunity and mitigate risk, investors     At a portfolio level, risk management
should “adapt their corporate toolkit and    should be focused on verifying risk via
integrate it in such a way that applies to   scenario based simulations (rather than

                                                                                           should be
sovereign issuers”, says Kushal Kumar,       model based) on a continuous basis.
Founder and Managing Partner, Numen
Capital LLP. “A smaller portfolio should     This should be aimed at identifying the

                                                                                          focused on
be preferred, rather than a large basket     real consistency between an
constructed purely for diversification       organisation’s market views and its
needs,” he adds.                             actual portfolio position, and thereby

                                                                                           verifying
                                             closing any gaps in managing risk. A
From an investment management firm           smaller and more granular portfolio
at the marcus evans European                 should be preferred, rather than a large

                                                                                           risk on a
Pensions & Investments Summit                basket constructed purely for
2013, in Montreux, Switzerland, 22 - 24      diversification needs.
April, Kushal discusses why investments

                                                                                          continuous
will perform better when, amongst other      Why is cash flow and document
things, managers adapt their existing        analysis   an  advantage  for
corporate credit skills to a new world of    investors?

                                                                                             basis
“ex-risk free credit assets” alongside an
approach where risk management is a          Last year, our investments in Greek
continuous process aimed at identifying      bonds performed very well and such
inconsistencies between views and            trades were entirely driven by cash flow
portfolio positions.                         and document analysis. Cash flow
                                             analysis enabled us to identify the real
What is your outlook for investing           fulcrum beyond which only binary
in the Eurozone?                             outcomes could exist. An analysis of
                                             documentation related to the bonds
We are very constructive on Eurozone.        enabled us to identify further which
All the signs are that fiscal union is       bonds (e.g. International law bonds)
happening in front of our eyes in a very     could do better than others (e.g.
gradual but definitive manner. With this     domestic law bonds).
background in mind, we anticipate that
European risky assets will significantly     What are your predictions for the
outperform other risky assets, especially    economic and political landscape?
once you adjust for liquidity and
curre ncy. W e an ti cipa te sprea d         Economic growth across the Eurozone is
convergence within Europe although one       expected to remain modest over the
needs to be mindful of the absolute          medium term. The deleveraging will
level of interest rates here.                take many years to fully materialise.
About the European Pensions & Investments Summit 2013
  The   Investment        Network        –
  marcus evans Summits group                   This unique forum will take place at the Fairmont Le Montreux Palace, Montreux,
  delivers peer-to-peer information            Switzerland, 22 - 24 April 2013. Offering much more than any conference,
  on strategic matters, professional           exhibition or trade show, this exclusive meeting will bring together esteemed
  trends       and      breakthrough           industry thought leaders and solution providers to a highly focused and interactive
  innovations.                                 networking event. The Summit includes visionary presentations and interactive
                                               forums on geopolitical risks in the global economy, finding opportunities for steady
                                               returns in recalibrating markets and rethinking pension products to deliver
                                               sustainable benefits in a new systemic context.


                                               www.epi-summit.com


  Please note that the Summit is a
  closed     business   event     and   the      Contact
  number      of   participants    strictly
                                                 Sarin Kouyoumdjian-Gurunlian, Press Manager, marcus             evans, Summits
  limited.
                                                 Division

                                                 Tel:       + 357 22 849 313
                                                 Email:     press@marcusevanscy.com

                                                 For more information please send an email to info@marcusevanscy.com

                                                 All rights reserved. The above content may be republished or reproduced. Kindly
                                                 inform us by sending an email to press@marcusevanscy.com




About Numen Capital LLP

Numen Capital LLP was established as an Investment Manager in 2008 by Filippo Lanza and Kushal Kumar and currently manages
two credit funds focused on Europe with an aggregate AUM of USD 250 million. Numen’s investment philosophy is based on a
strong understanding of credit fundamentals that encompasses a wide range of aspects from Enterprise Valuation, Cash-flow
Analysis, Prospectus / Document analysis, Creditor rights and Knowledge of bankruptcy proceedings.


www.numencapital.com


About marcus evans Summits

marcus evans Summits are high level business forums for the world’s leading decision-makers to meet, learn and discuss
strategies and solutions. Held at exclusive locations around the world, these events provide attendees with a unique opportunity to
individually tailor their schedules of keynote presentations, think tanks, seminars and one-to-one business meetings.


For more information, please visit: www.marcusevans.com


Upcoming Events

APAC Investments Summit - www.apacinvestmentssummit.com


Elite Summit - www.elitesummit.com


Emerging Markets Investments Summit - www.emisummit.com


Private Wealth Management Summit (North America) - www.privatewealthsummit.com



To view the web version of this interview, please click here: www.epi-summit.com/KushalKumar

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The New Toolkit for Managing Investment Risk: Interview with: Kushal Kumar, Founder and Managing Partner, Numen Capital LLP

  • 1. The New Toolkit for Managing Investment Risk How can investors minimise and We should anticipate a lot of fiscal better manage risk? restructuring of welfare entitlements within economies. We also should be We must be innovative and look for ready for debt reduction measures from solutions beyond the traditional toolkit. policy markets and central banks via As an example, the traditional historically untested policy actions. economist’s approach to leveraged Political dynamics will remain in flux sovereigns is outdated and will not work through this period. in today’s world. The markets that investors operate in now are historically unique in the amount of leverage debt still existing in the system. Interview with: Kushal Kumar, One approach which worked for us, both Founder and Managing Partner, to identify opportunity and to minimise Numen Capital LLP risk, was to adapt our tested corporate Risk toolkit and integrate it in such a way as to apply to sovereign issuers. When looking for solutions to identify management opportunity and mitigate risk, investors At a portfolio level, risk management should “adapt their corporate toolkit and should be focused on verifying risk via integrate it in such a way that applies to scenario based simulations (rather than should be sovereign issuers”, says Kushal Kumar, model based) on a continuous basis. Founder and Managing Partner, Numen Capital LLP. “A smaller portfolio should This should be aimed at identifying the focused on be preferred, rather than a large basket real consistency between an constructed purely for diversification organisation’s market views and its needs,” he adds. actual portfolio position, and thereby verifying closing any gaps in managing risk. A From an investment management firm smaller and more granular portfolio at the marcus evans European should be preferred, rather than a large risk on a Pensions & Investments Summit basket constructed purely for 2013, in Montreux, Switzerland, 22 - 24 diversification needs. April, Kushal discusses why investments continuous will perform better when, amongst other Why is cash flow and document things, managers adapt their existing analysis an advantage for corporate credit skills to a new world of investors? basis “ex-risk free credit assets” alongside an approach where risk management is a Last year, our investments in Greek continuous process aimed at identifying bonds performed very well and such inconsistencies between views and trades were entirely driven by cash flow portfolio positions. and document analysis. Cash flow analysis enabled us to identify the real What is your outlook for investing fulcrum beyond which only binary in the Eurozone? outcomes could exist. An analysis of documentation related to the bonds We are very constructive on Eurozone. enabled us to identify further which All the signs are that fiscal union is bonds (e.g. International law bonds) happening in front of our eyes in a very could do better than others (e.g. gradual but definitive manner. With this domestic law bonds). background in mind, we anticipate that European risky assets will significantly What are your predictions for the outperform other risky assets, especially economic and political landscape? once you adjust for liquidity and curre ncy. W e an ti cipa te sprea d Economic growth across the Eurozone is convergence within Europe although one expected to remain modest over the needs to be mindful of the absolute medium term. The deleveraging will level of interest rates here. take many years to fully materialise.
  • 2. About the European Pensions & Investments Summit 2013 The Investment Network – marcus evans Summits group This unique forum will take place at the Fairmont Le Montreux Palace, Montreux, delivers peer-to-peer information Switzerland, 22 - 24 April 2013. Offering much more than any conference, on strategic matters, professional exhibition or trade show, this exclusive meeting will bring together esteemed trends and breakthrough industry thought leaders and solution providers to a highly focused and interactive innovations. networking event. The Summit includes visionary presentations and interactive forums on geopolitical risks in the global economy, finding opportunities for steady returns in recalibrating markets and rethinking pension products to deliver sustainable benefits in a new systemic context. www.epi-summit.com Please note that the Summit is a closed business event and the Contact number of participants strictly Sarin Kouyoumdjian-Gurunlian, Press Manager, marcus evans, Summits limited. Division Tel: + 357 22 849 313 Email: press@marcusevanscy.com For more information please send an email to info@marcusevanscy.com All rights reserved. The above content may be republished or reproduced. Kindly inform us by sending an email to press@marcusevanscy.com About Numen Capital LLP Numen Capital LLP was established as an Investment Manager in 2008 by Filippo Lanza and Kushal Kumar and currently manages two credit funds focused on Europe with an aggregate AUM of USD 250 million. Numen’s investment philosophy is based on a strong understanding of credit fundamentals that encompasses a wide range of aspects from Enterprise Valuation, Cash-flow Analysis, Prospectus / Document analysis, Creditor rights and Knowledge of bankruptcy proceedings. www.numencapital.com About marcus evans Summits marcus evans Summits are high level business forums for the world’s leading decision-makers to meet, learn and discuss strategies and solutions. Held at exclusive locations around the world, these events provide attendees with a unique opportunity to individually tailor their schedules of keynote presentations, think tanks, seminars and one-to-one business meetings. For more information, please visit: www.marcusevans.com Upcoming Events APAC Investments Summit - www.apacinvestmentssummit.com Elite Summit - www.elitesummit.com Emerging Markets Investments Summit - www.emisummit.com Private Wealth Management Summit (North America) - www.privatewealthsummit.com To view the web version of this interview, please click here: www.epi-summit.com/KushalKumar