The European Union

1. The Nature and the Pace of: Change

2. Change is not just something that happens It is a process and has a life of its own

3. The Nature and Pace of Change Who are these People and How are they Different???

5. Prediction is always tricky, especially where the future is involved ( Sam Goldwyn) Here are two best-selling books based on trying to predict the future

6. And Change Can Come Very Fast

8. The Salem Witch Trials were evidence of the resistance to change in early America Any challenge to the existing order of society was considered challenging something ordained by God, and so you were executed as a traitor . Those who challenged the existing religion were deemed Heretics and executed.

9. Why did change begin? In China, right up to the 1900s, the Emperors sat on a throne underneath a sign which simply said: Change Nothing . This does not encourage free-thinking. When the Protestant religion developed in Europe it broke the old Catholic rigid order that had persecuted people like Galileo, and it allowed, and even encouraged, change. This came in time to unleash all those minds that created the Industrial Revolution and Capitalism. They were looked down on in the Old Europe, and once they secured power, the world was their oyster.

12. Things are Speeding Up

13. Quantifying the Rate of Change in Technology.

14. Some Theory: 1, Schumpeter Josef Schumpeter, an Austrian economist, came up with the idea that change comes in waves , not as a smooth progression from one thing to the next. These waves get overtaken by new technologies , like oil displacing steam. But notice, tbe length of each wave diminishes meaning change is getting faster . Also, notice the slope of the back of the wave (left side of wave). It is getting steeper . What does that mean?

16. Alvin speaks…… “ The roaring current of change, a current so powerful today that it overturns institutions, shifts our values and kills our roots. Change is the process by which the future invades our lives. I became appalled by how little is actually known about adaptivity…Earnest intellectuals talk bravely about “educating for change,” or “preparing people for the future.” But we know virtually nothing about how to do it. Many studies focus on where change is taking us, but there is very little on how we adapt to it, which is a function of the rate of change.” “ The Death of Permanence.” Just think about it. Napoleon and his army traveled at the same speed as Julius Caesar. Grant could use the locomotive and today we can be in Iraq in half a day.”

17. His Real Warning Comes in this Quote…. “ The Roaring Current of change; a current so powerful today, that it overturns institutions, shifts our values, and kills our roots. Change is the process by which the future invades our lives.”

19. But What are We Supposed to do About This? But Mr . The Problem of the Technological “Wild Card” But Mr. Malthus’ Predictions Did Not Come True. Why? Because technology came along that allowed us to produce much more food per acre and per farmer . But, the point is this: “Was Malthus wrong ?” Of course he could not predict science and technology that did not even exist when he was writing

23. Let's look at the technology of Recorded Sound 1870

24. The flat wax disk 1900

25. The LP 1940/50

26. Stereo LP 1950s

27. Reel to Reel 1950s

28. The short-lived 8-track 1950-60

29. The Cassette Recorder 1960 d1990s

30. The CD, 1980s

31. MP3 1990s

33. And Next….?

34. Evidence and “Victims” of Change Outsourcing

35. Evidence and “Victims” of Change The Family?

36. Evidence and “Victims” of Change The "Small Farmer"

37. Evidence and “Victims” of Change The Neighborhood

38. Homogenization

39. Evidence and “Victims” of Change The Death of Downtown

40. Evidence and “Victims” of Change Privacy?