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P kelley slides-for_mcs
Global urban and rural Populations in billions (2007 and 2050)
UN Dept. of Economic and Social Affairs

9
8
7
6
Urban less developed
5
Urban industrailized
4
Rural

3
2
1
0
2007

2050
Cities of over 5 million inhabitants (1950, 2000, and 2015)
United Nations Organization, F. Lamiont
Slums/Informal Settlements

• 970 million people live in slums as of
2005
• More than 70% of urban dwellers in
Africa live in slums
• 270 million urban residents in south and
central Asia live in slums
• It is projected that if urban poverty rises
at the same pace, nearly 2 billion people
would be in slums by 2030
12/12/2011

4
Tenure Security

12/12/2011

5
Value Chain Shelter

12/12/2011

6
Housing at the Base of the Pyramid
BOP demand for housing

Income Distribution

Formal

Informal
income

Informal

Upper &
Middle class

Poor
National
Poverty Line

Very poor $2/day

Extreme poverty $1/day

12/12/2011

Formal
title

• Two-thirds of the world’s
population in lower income
countries live in substandard
shelter
• 70% of the world’s population
access shelter through
“progressive housing” (Ferguson.
2003)
• BOP spends more than $330 bn
annually on housing (WRI 2007)
• Over 20% of microenterprise
loans commonly are used for
housing
• Mortgage finance as a share of
GDP is very low in many
developing countries (Brazil 2%,
Indonesia 3%, Bolivia 8.6%,
against 79% US, 43% EU –
Ferguson 2010)

7

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P kelley slides-for_mcs

  • 2. Global urban and rural Populations in billions (2007 and 2050) UN Dept. of Economic and Social Affairs 9 8 7 6 Urban less developed 5 Urban industrailized 4 Rural 3 2 1 0 2007 2050
  • 3. Cities of over 5 million inhabitants (1950, 2000, and 2015) United Nations Organization, F. Lamiont
  • 4. Slums/Informal Settlements • 970 million people live in slums as of 2005 • More than 70% of urban dwellers in Africa live in slums • 270 million urban residents in south and central Asia live in slums • It is projected that if urban poverty rises at the same pace, nearly 2 billion people would be in slums by 2030 12/12/2011 4
  • 7. Housing at the Base of the Pyramid BOP demand for housing Income Distribution Formal Informal income Informal Upper & Middle class Poor National Poverty Line Very poor $2/day Extreme poverty $1/day 12/12/2011 Formal title • Two-thirds of the world’s population in lower income countries live in substandard shelter • 70% of the world’s population access shelter through “progressive housing” (Ferguson. 2003) • BOP spends more than $330 bn annually on housing (WRI 2007) • Over 20% of microenterprise loans commonly are used for housing • Mortgage finance as a share of GDP is very low in many developing countries (Brazil 2%, Indonesia 3%, Bolivia 8.6%, against 79% US, 43% EU – Ferguson 2010) 7