CEE – lessons for growth
Successful business strategies vary across Europe. What works in Western countries may not necessarily be best for the still fast-growing markets of Central and Eastern Europe. What are the differences and how can strategies be aligned efficiently? Where is the highest potential and what are the threats? Last but not least: how have these emerging markets achieved in two years what it took the “mature” Western European markets 10 years or more to accomplish? With a keynote address by Frans Muller, Member of the Management Board, Metro AG, this special seminar will deliver practical knowledge and best-practice examples from CEE countries and provide ready-to-use, down-to-earth solutions for companies in that region. It is also a great opportunity for participants who would like to learn more about emerging markets and shape their strategies and operations accordingly.
Facilitated by ECR Poland and ECR Russia
59. We work for people in our country live better and wealthier, saving
their money every day
Nationwide roll-
out began
Format renovation, first
«economy hypermarket»
opened
26
Total number of stores in Russia
Number of stores outside SPb
13
Oleg Zherebtsov Number of stores in Saint-Petersburg
Founder,
Chairman of the Board, 13
shareholder +2 stores
cash&carry format 3
9
First store opened
6
13
4 10
3 3 3 9
2 2 6
1 1 1 1 1 4
2 3 3 2 3
1 1 1 1 1
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 г. 2007 г.
59
Source: Lenta Functional Meetings
economy in each purchase. always.
60. Lenta is…
Top-10 Hypermarket Food retailers, by Top-10 Hypermarket Food retailers, by
annual turnover 2007, $ billion number of stores opened by April 2008
Metro C&C 4,6 Metro C&C 40
Auchan 3,7 Mosmart 29
Lenta 1,6 ALPI 28
Okay 1,2 Lenta 26
Lenta’s annual turnover 2004
Karusel 0,8 - 2007, $ billion Karusel 23
1,559
ALPI 0,8 Auchan 17
Mosmart 0,7 x 3,5 Liniya 17
1,016
Liniya 0,7 Okay 16
0,653
Real 0,5 Vester 15
0,442
Vester 0,4 Perekriostok 15
2004 2005 2006 2007
60
Source: Lenta, desk research, company’s data Functional Meetings
economy in each purchase. always.
61. Lenta operates in 6 of 7 Federal Districts, in 11 cities
DC
North-Western FD
Central FD
Far Eastern FD
Privolzhsky FD Ural FD
Southern FD
DC
Siberian FD
DC
61
Source: Lenta Functional Meetings
economy in each purchase. always.
62. Russian market seems to be attractive
Share of Top5 retailers by
Number of Hypermarkets per 1
country, %
million inhabitants
Denmark 95
Finland 26 GRDI score, 2007 Norway 92
Germany 20
Finland 82
France 20
Sweden 81
GB 18
Germany 80
Denmark 17
Switzerland 16
Hungary 75
Czech Republic 15 Austria 65
Sweden 14 Switzerland 65
Slovakia 14 UK 63
Ireland 11 Belgium 63
Spain 9 Ireland 59
Austria 9 France 58
Italy 8 Netherlands 57
Hungary 8 Portugal 52
Norway 7 Spain 48
Belgium 7 Czech Republic 39
Portugal 6 Italy 39
Poland 5 321 hypermarkets total (April 2008) Greece 29
Greece 4 Poland 15
Netherland 3
2,23 hypermarkets per 1 million people
Russia 10
Russia 2
62
Source: Mintel, RBC, AC Nielsen, AT Kearney Functional Meetings
economy in each purchase. always.
63. Annual retail turnover growth rate in Russia – 24% (2007)
Food retailing growth rate in Europe
Russian retail (food + nonfood) growth,
and Russia, %, 2006 / 2005
2000 - 2007
Greece 14
36% Russia 10
31%
Hungary 9
23% 22% 24%
20% Ireland 8
14% $448 billion
Sweden 7
10758
Czech Republic 6
8690 Poland 5
7630 Finland 5
5888
6235 Portugal 5
4750
4577 4062 Netherlands 4
3803 3321 Denmark 4
3099
2374 2463 Spain 4
2031
1669 4870
1271 3568 3940 UK 3
2914
1771 2114
1103 1430 Norway 3
Austria 3
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
France 2
Total annual retail trade turnover, billion RUB
Italy 2
Nonfood annual retail trade turnover, billion RUB
Switzerland 1
Food annual retail trade turnover, billion RUB
Belgium 1
Total annual retail trade turnover gross rate, %
Germany 0,4
63
Source: GKS, Mintel Functional Meetings
economy in each purchase. always.
64. Russian retail is young and has a huge potential…
142 200 000 of people (official data, 2007) 121 500 rub annual income per capita
17 267 300 000 000 rub ($719 billion)
… but there are some peculiarities:
North-Western FD
Central FD 10%
26%
Far Eastern FD
5000
Privolzhsky FD Ural FD km
Southern FD
21% 9% 5%
16% Siberian FD
14%
64% of total population
live on 13% of total square
9 000 km, 11 days by train
64
Source: GKS Functional Meetings
economy in each purchase. always.
65. Competition is stronger than official data shows
15% limit of domination (municipal district / region)
price control by government
bureaucracy & corruption
lack of free locations for new hypermarkets
lack of effective human resources
65 Functional Meetings
economy in each purchase. always.
66. In some cities market is oversaturated
Structure of steady customers of leading hypermarket nets in SPb
(% of customers made main part of purchases in this net)
August- January- July- January- July- October-
April-June’07
December’05 June’06 December’06 March’07 September’07 December’07
N=455
N=924 N=975 N=966 N=446 N=441 N=403
Покупают 34 30 36
только в Ленте 49 45 49 44
Покупают в 66 70 64
51 55 51 56
Ленте и других
магазинах
Покупают 34 33
48 43 41 48 42
только в ТК
О'Кей
Покупают в Т К 66 67
52 58 59 52 58
О'Кей и других
магазинах
Покупают 39 34 31 35
43 42
только в Т К 52
Карусель
Покупают в 66 69 65
57 58 61
Карусели и 48
других магазинах
% of customers make main part of purchases in this net
% of customers make main part of purchases in other nets
66
Source: Tracking Research by O+K for Lenta Functional Meetings
economy in each purchase. always.
67. On Shelf Availability is very important today
Young, rapidly increasing market
Customers become more and more
Competition is also rapidly exacting
increasing
Price become less important for
Huge territory people, but are still important
Difficult logistics Effective assortment is what people
expect to find in hypermarket
Low level of market saturation
People expect to find items they
Regional expansion era began in used to buy
2006-2007
No goods on shelf – no money!
67 Functional Meetings
economy in each purchase. always.
68. Sometimes customers couldn’t find items they need
Food NonFood
89% 11% 44% 56%
% of customers buy all goods they need in Lenta
% of customers have to visit other stores to buy some items they need
Assortment research Competitors price and assortment monitoring
Call-center to collect customer’s Trade personnel offers surveys
requests
68
Source: Assortment Research by WorkLine for Lenta, December 2007 Meetings
Functional
economy in each purchase. always.
69. Customers should find item they need!
Customer couldn’t
find SKU it needed
SKU is on shelf, but customer SKU is not on shelf
couldn’t find it (Out Of Shelf)
Navigation / Sections SKU is not SKU is in matrix,
layout is not resizing Planograms in matrix SKU is in matrix, is but there is no SKU
perfect were changed in store, but not on in store (Out Of
shelf (Out Of Shelf) Store)
Space
planning
and ad hoc
projects
Underorder Underdelivery by Underdelivery by
Category management and supplier DC
Assortment analysis
OSA project +
Stocks and orders report
Physical audit
69 Functional Meetings
economy in each purchase. always.
70. Space planning by Strategix oftware
Z-Matrix
Assortment SAP based tool
planning
Floor Planning
Store space planning by Intactix
Optimal stock
Space Planning volume for each
Shelf space planning by Intactix SKU in each store
Optimal layout
Intactix
Shelf layout execution Knowledge Base
Intactix
Monitoring and analysis Knowledge Base
of the results
70 Functional Meetings
economy in each purchase. always.
71. Assortment report:
SKUs, people wanted to buy in Lenta, but didn’t find them
FOOD: позиции, которых покупателям не хватает в ТК Лента, и которые они вынуждены
покупать в других магазинах
(таблица содержит только те SKU которые респонденты называли 2 и более раз)
Город ТК СчетТовар Группа Категория
Астрахань 31 1 алкоголь водка-5 озер- Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Астрахань 31 1 алкоголь водка-5 озер-бутылка 0,5л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Астрахань 31 1 алкоголь водка кедровая-зеленая марка-1 л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Астрахань 31 1 алкоголь водка-зеленая марка-кедровая 1л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Астрахань 31 1 водка- зеленая марка- кедровая 1 л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Астрахань 31 1 водка зелёная марка кедровая-главспирттрест-1 л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Астрахань 31 1 водка-зелёная марка-1л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Астрахань 31 1 водка-зелёная марка-кедровая 1л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Астрахань 31 1 алкоголь водка-немирофф-перцовая 0,5, 0,7 л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Астрахань 31 1 водка Немиров- Украина- 1 л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Астрахань 31 1 водка-немирофф-0,5л 0,7л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Астрахань 31 1 коньяк-старый кёнигсберг-0,5л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Астрахань 31 1 коньяк-старый кенинсберг-по 0,5 Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Волгоград 32 1 водка ВВ- отечественная- 0,5, 1 л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Волгоград 32 1 водка-в/в-0,5л 0,75л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Волгоград 32 1 водка-вв-0,5-0,75л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Волгоград 32 1 водка - немиров - 1л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Волгоград 32 1 водка Немирофф- отечественная- 0,5, 1 л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Волгоград 32 1 водка-немиров-0,5л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Волгоград 32 1 водка-Немиров-1л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Волгоград 32 1 водка-немиров-1л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Волгоград 32 1 водка-Немиров-1л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Волгоград 32 1 водка-немирофф-1 л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Волгоград 32 1 водка-немирофф-1 л Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Волгоград 32 1 водка-отеч немирофф-на березовых бруньках Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Волгоград 32 1 водка-отеч немирофф-с перцем Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Волгоград 32 1 водка - тещины слезы - 0,5 литра, 1 литр Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
Волгоград 32 1 водка - тещины слезы - 1 литр Алкогольные напитки Крепкий алкоголь
71 Functional Meetings
economy in each purchase. always.
72. Stocks and orders report
72
Source: Stocks&Orders report, May 2008 Functional Meetings
economy in each purchase. always.
73. OSA project
Since 2005
Data we supply ECR:
All of Lenta stores
Only some suppliers
Weekly update
Full or partial Out Of Store Incorrect stocks
Out Of Shelf (calculation) Cause analysis
Service Level DC covering
Undersales losses
73 Functional Meetings
economy in each purchase. always.
74. OSA project allows us to measure OOS efficiently
25%
20%
OOS analytics outsourcing: 26 stores*1
manager + 40 categories * 1 manager +
logistic dept. are free from OOS report 15%
preparing
Out Of Shelf calculation: analytical model 10%
to reveal OOShelf cases
5%
Benchmarks
EDI
0%
23-Apr-06
05-Jul-06
03-May-06
14-May-06
24-May-06
04-Jun-06
14-Jun-06
25-Jun-06
Retailer1 Retailer2 Retailer3
Retailer4 Retailer5
74
Source: OSA report, 2006 Functional Meetings
economy in each purchase. always.
75. 75
January
2007
25%
February
2007
March 2007
Source: OOS report, May 2008
April 2007
20%
May 2007
June 2007
July 2007
August 2007
September
2007
Functional Meetings
October
2007
Results for Lenta: level of OOS is being reduced
November
2007
December
2007
20%
January
2008
February
2008
March 2008
April 2008
economy in each purchase. always.
16%
76. Thank You For Your Attention!
alexey.orlov@lenta.com
76 Functional Meetings
economy in each purchase. always.
77. Shopper-Based Design
Category Management Project
Poland : 2007 / 2008
Jerzy Glinka – Tesco
Richard Reed – Procter & Gamble
Femcare Reinvention in
Tesco
78. Agenda
• PART 1 : ECR Category Management Vision
• PART 2 : Market Landscape & Category
Challenges
• PART 3 : Femcare Reinvention Project
• PART 4 : Key Results & Learnings
78
80. Category Management Vision
Shopper understanding and JBP
ECR
Efficient Consumer Response
Europe are strategic choices for effective & critical category
development at Retail
80
81. ECR
Efficient Consumer Response
Europe Category Management Vision
Clarity on strategic alignment
Consumer/
Information Fact based
Shopper
sharing decision making
understanding
Effective day to day co-operation
83. Market Landscape
Tesco Poland in 2008
• 304 stores (49 hypermarkets, 36 compact hypermarkets , 219 supermarkets)
• 165 Towns, 5 Distrbution Centres
• 23 Petrol Stations
• 2 Brands : Tesco and Savia
• 4,500,000 Customers a week
• 230 MM transactions/year
• Appr. 5,4% of Poland FMCG
83
84. Tesco Strategy :
The Best Shopping Trip In Town
• The prices are great
• I can get what I want
• The staff are great
• I don’t queue
• Shopping is easy and enjoyable
• Tesco : For You And Your Family
84
85. Market Landscape
P&G in Femcare Poland
• Strong value and volume share player in Poland (42%, 35%)
• 4 Brands : across Premium and Mid Tiers
• Fastest share growth portfolio across last 2 years
• Innovation leader in all femcare sub categories (ultra pads, thin pantyliners,
scented & soothing femcare products)
• Key category growth player across the market (avg. price index. 125%)
85
86. Key Femcare Category
Challenges
in 2007
• Deliver category growth in-line with or ahead of total business
growth
• Boost category avg. transaction value ahead of key competition
• Improve Femcare category perception with Tesco shoppers
and ahead of the market
• Resolve Out Of Stock issue (esp. in Pantyliners)
86
87. Femcare Reinvention Project
Built on extensive category-tailored / shopper researches:
• Shopper Data I & II
• Purchase Decision Tree studies
• Segmentation studies
• Adjacency research
• Category knowledge / Focus groups (FDG) learnings
• Out Of Stock shopper behaviours
• Other regular industry sources eg Nielsen
88. Shopper Data Analyses
BASIC SHOPPER UNDERSTANDING
Shopper I Shopper II
Household Panel Data + Questionnaire
What shoppers do ! What shoppers think !
Strategic Direction = Strategy & Plan
31
Shopper I – quantitive data Shopper II – qualitative data
Polish households Polish shoppers
88
89. Tesco Femcare sSopper vs. Key Competitors Analysis
2006 Loyalty Average number of visits Average amount spent per visit
2005
2006 Index 2006 Index 2006 Index
Tesco 30,4 105 3,0 102 5,4 101
Auchan 26,6 104 2,6 100 6,4 111
Carrefour 30,4 113 3,2 111 5,6 111
Kaufland 24,1 106 3,2 110 4,6 99
Real (Hypermarket) 26,8 80 2,9 86 6,0 100
100
20,5
80
55,5
60 39,2
40
25,5
20 40,3
19,0
0
As % of Total Shoppers As % of Total Turnover
100
80
7,1
24,9
Loyals Hoppers Occasionals
Tesco Femcare
58,6
60
40
– frequent visits but low spendings
68,1
25,2
20
16,1
0
As % of Total Shoppers
Loyals Hoppers Occasionals
As % of Total Turnover
89
90. Tesco Femcare Shoppers Rating
70 65,2 64,6 62,4
60
61,7
OVERALL
54
50
51% 52%
48% RATING
46%
Area of
40
improvement
30 26%
20
10
0
Tesco Auchan Carrefour Kaufland Real (Hypermarket)
% answers excellent/v.good Average Overall Rating
70
63,7 62,8
VALUE for MONEY 60
60,1 61,5
53,6
RATING 50 48% 47% 45%
41%
Area of 40
30
Improvement 24%
20
10
0
Tesco Auchan Carrefour Kaufland Real (Hypermarket)
% answers excellent/v.good Average Value for Money Rating 90
91. Tesco Femcare Category Perception Study
Poland 2007 - Catamenials - Close enough -
#
Normalized Data Carrefo
ur real,- Tesco
Carrefour real,- Tesco
Sklep oferuje duzy wybór rozmairów
2 opakowań różnych marek kobiecych 1 1 -2 1 -2 1 1
produktów do higieny intymnej
Sklep oferuje dużą różnorodność kobiecych
3 produktów do higieny intymnej (podpasek, 2 1 -1 4 -1 1 4
wkładek, tamponów)
Sklep oferuje wystarczający wybór dobrze
4 znanych marek kobiecych produktów higieny 3 -2 1 -1 -2 -1 1
intymnej
Najnowsze produkty do higieny intymnej są
6
szybko dostępne w tym sklepie
4 1 3 0 0 1 3
7 Sklep oferuje szeroki wybór podpasek 5 2 -1 1 -1 1 2
8 Sklep oferuje szeroki wybór wkładek 6 2 1 0 0 1 2
9 Sklep oferuje szeroki wybór tamponów 7 3 1 1 1
1 3
Łatwo jest znaleźć na półce szukane przeze
15
mnie kobiece produkty do higieny intymnej
8 -3 -1 -4-4 -3 -1
Ceny promocyjne na kobiece produkty do
18
higieny intymnej są dobrze oznakowane
9 2 0 1 0 1 2
Pólki z produktami kobiecymi do higieny
19 intymnej są dobrze zorganizowane i ładnie 10 1 -3 -4 -4 -3 1
wyglądają
Kobiece produkty do higieny intymnej w
22 promocji są zawsze dostępne - nie ma braków 11 -2 1 3 -2 1 3
towaru na promocji
Wiem że w tym sklepie mogę zaufać jakości -4 -4 -1 0
26
kobiecych produktów do higieny intymnej
12 0 -1
Mogę całkowicie zaspokoic własne potrzeby -4 -2 0
27
jak również potrzeby mojej rodziny
13 -4 0 -2
Zdecydowanie mogę polecić moim
znajomym/przyjacielom dokonywanie zakupów -5 -1 0
28
kobiecych produktów do higieny intymnej w
14 -1 -5 0
-5 0 5
tym sklepie
91
92. Shelf OOS shopper reaction study
In case of OOS, Tesco loses more then 1/3 rd of potential shoppers
Loss for Retailer
38,4 %
35,5 %
Decline in
intended
expenditures
Buy another
brand in this 2,9 %
store Don’t buy
34,7 %
at all They buy Decline in
31,8% another intended
version/size of expenditures
this brand in
this store
They buy the Buy the brand
brand in in this store at
another store
21,9 % next buying
trip
7,8%
Shopper II Study 92
94. Femcare Reinvention Project
Category Definition
Key challenges
Success Criteria
Category Role
3 Month
Category Review
Category Assessment
Range Review Plan
Category Scorecard
Data analysis
Category Recommendation
Category Strategies
Process
Final Reinvention
Category Tactics
In-store Implementation
Plan Implementation
94
95. Femcare Reinvention Project
Key project objectives:
•Build CATEGORY VALUE (converting shoppers to higher tiers)
=> +4% increase of total category in 6M
•Improve SHOPPER SATISFACTION (as defined in shopper study)
=> improve Tesco Fempro Value Share from 5.3% to 5.8%
Reduce SHELF OUT OF STOCKS via assortment and shopper-based
design shelving)
=> 4% OOS reduction
95
96. Femcare Category Strategies
• Easiness - simplify shopper purchase decision at the SHELF
• Trade-In - convince shoppers to start using Femcare Care products
which they were not using before via driving awareness
• Trade-Up - convince shoppers to buy more and better performing
products
• Trade-Across - convince shoppers to cross-shop through logical
adjacencies and system usage education on-shelf
96
98. Category Tactics
2. Efficient Shelving: Layout Recommendation based on:
•Shopper Purchase Decision Trees
•Shopper Based Design - category principles
•Tesco “golden-shelf merchandising rules”
•Formats design by category / store format to fit space &
strategy
98
99. Implementation Plan, Actions & Owners
What Who When
Category Analysis & Vision P&G Innovation/ Jun’07
Tesco Commercial
Range & Space Review Tesco Commercial/ Jul-Aug’07
P&G CBD
Initial Reco for P&G – Tesco Commercial Sep’07
Assortment&Space
Final category&planogram Tesco Range&Space Dept Oct’07
Stores Roll-out Tesco Operations/ Oct’07
P&G Operations
99
106. Next Steps: Shelf Optimization
To include : overhead category signage, sub-category shelf dividers, on-shelf
navigation/education, testers, “new’’section etc.
(estimated additional Total Category growth : +4%)
106
107. Key Learnings
Shopper-Based Insights = starting point for the work
– „think like a Shopper” approach to highlight real opportunities
Mutual Collaboration & Data Sharing = success driver
Category Re-Invention = core business process
- not just a range, space and layout project; not a “one off”.
Excellence of Execution = a pre-requisite for success
- a “make-it or break-it” factor for the category result
107