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A Bridge Too Far?
Risk Appetite, Governance and Corporate Strategy



                                                                          CONCLUSIONS PAPER



Insights from a Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP) webcast
sponsored by SAS




Featuring:

Deepa Govindarajan, Lecturer,
IMCA Centre, Henley Business School, University of Reading

Lon O’Sullivan, Executive Director, Firm Market Risk,
Morgan Stanley

David M. Wallace, Global Financial Services Marketing Manager,
SAS

Peter Went, Senior Researcher,
Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP) Research Center
SAS Conclusions Paper




Table of Contents
Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  1
Icebergs and Unsinkable Ships. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  2
Risk Appetite: What It Is and What It Isn’t . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  3
Risk Appetite, Risk Tolerance, Risk Profile and Risk Ceiling . . . . . . .  3
Seven Recommendations for Stronger Risk Management. . . . . . . . .  5
  1. Address the Full Risk Ecosystem. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  5
  1. Create a Meaningful Risk Appetite Statement. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  6
  3. Manage the End-to-End Risk Life Cycle. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  6
  4. Establish an Environment of Collaborative Decision Making. . . . . . .  6
  5. Strike a Balance Between Bottom-Up and Top-Down Approaches .  7
  6. Report on Risk in a Way that Supports Sound Decisions. . . . . . . . .  8
  7. Establish Ownership at Multiple Levels of the Company. . . . . . . . . .  9
Closing Thoughts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  9
About the Presenters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  10
A Bridge Too Far? Risk Appetite, Governance and Corporate Strategy




Introduction
    “ firms that recorded relatively larger unexpected losses tended to champion
     …
     the expansion of risk without commensurate focus on controls across the
     organization or at the business-line level.”

    “ senior management’s drive to generate earnings was not accompanied by
     …
     clear guidance on the tolerance for expanding exposures to risk.”

    “ balance sheet limits may have been freely exceeded rather than serving as a
     …
     constraint to business lines.”

    “ irms rarely compile for their boards and senior management relevant measures
     F
     of risk … a view of how risk levels compare with limits, the level of capital that the
     firm would need to maintain after sustaining a loss of the magnitude of the risk
     measure, and the actions that management could take to restore capital after
     sustaining a loss.”

Those words came from the report, Risk Management Lessons from the Global Banking
Crisis of 2008, submitted by the international Senior Supervisors Group. In hindsight,
the authors could have dropped the year from that title. They did drop it the next year,
when their report focused on risk management frameworks and the IT infrastructures
that support those frameworks. The report card for financial services firms wasn’t much               “ n integrated, firmwide risk
                                                                                                       A
better in that report:
                                                                                                       management system – one that
    “ no single firm was observed to have developed a fully comprehensive
     …                                                                                                 can provide immediate analysis
     framework containing all the better practice elements described in this report.”                  and speedy results… is going

    “ aggregation of risk data remains a challenge for institutions, despite its
     …
                                                                                                       to be key to success in the
     criticality to strategic planning and decision making.”                                           volatile financial environment
                                                                                                       that we are clearly are going to
    “…considerably more work is needed to strengthen those practices that were
    revealed to be especially weak at the height of the crisis.”1
                                                                                                       have for the next several years.”

                                                                                                      David Wallace
“Many firms have made progress in developing their risk appetite frameworks and have                  Global Financial Services Marketing
begun multiyear projects to improve the supporting IT infrastructure,” said David M.                  Manager, SAS
Wallace, Global Financial Services Marketing Manager at SAS. “As a provider of risk
solutions, we have seen much more interest over the past three years in firms looking to
have additional technology to support a firmwide view of risk exposures.

“Consolidation of risk data on spreadsheets doesn’t provide the required ability for
stress testing and scenario analysis. An integrated, firmwide risk management system –
one that can provide immediate analysis and speedy results, one that can allow senior
management and boards of directors to make decisions in near-real time – is going to
be key to success in the volatile financial environment that we are clearly are going to
have for the next several years.”

1
	 Source: Senior Supervisors Group, Observations on Developments in Risk Appetite Frameworks and IT
  Infrastructure, December 29, 2010.




                                                                                                                                            1
SAS Conclusions Paper




Icebergs and Unsinkable Ships
“The recent financial meltdown has come as something of a shock to those who had
been led to believe the modern financial industry had seen the end of boom-and-
bust cycles, through the optimization of resource allocation and very sophisticated
risk diversification managed by very intelligent people sitting in financial analyst firms,”
said Deepa Govindarajan, a lecturer at the Henley Business School at the University of
Reading.

“As a consequence of the crisis, firms, regulators and governments are paying much
more attention to recovery and resolution plans, stress testing, and other tools to
prevent future crises. Still, the correct scrutiny of corporate risk appetite has been given
considerably less attention than other prominently debated mechanisms, such as
macroprudential oversight and resolution tools. This might be because some influential
commentators and regulators are still intrinsically wedded to the belief that the need for
a regulatory presence or intervention is solely for cases where the market failed to make       “ e may build very well-
                                                                                                 W
its own corrections. In their view, the regulators’ place in the financial world is to ensure
                                                                                                 capitalized firms and have
that failing firms are wound down in an orderly manner, and that any systemic bubbles
are addressed as they come up.                                                                   excellent macroprudential
                                                                                                 oversight, but it’s really
“This sounds perfectly reasonable and proportionate, but it is based on an immature
                                                                                                 important that strategic
philosophy that views the world solely through the lens of utopian mathematical
economic models, such as those that assume that other things remain constant.                    choices are evaluated in
                                                                                                 conjunction with the risks
“Here’s a simple analogy. Even if we build a very robust passenger ship – the Titanic,
                                                                                                 those choices pose. …
for example – it is advisable not to crash it into icebergs every day. It is really important
that the ship is well-run and on a sensible course in the first place. We need to ensure         We must adopt a more
that the crew is not incentivized to take disproportionate risks that could cause a tragic       realistic approach to the
catastrophe, even if the Coast Guard has sophisticated weather reports, or even if there
                                                                                                 management of risk, beyond
are enough lifeboats to get people ashore.
                                                                                                 simply attempting to prevent
“Similarly, we may build very well-capitalized firms and have excellent macroprudential          stakeholder detriment or
oversight, but it’s really important that strategic choices are evaluated in conjunction with
                                                                                                 addressing it after the fact.”
the risks those choices pose. More attention deserves to be paid to proactively holding
boards accountable, and by this, I mean by institutional investors [and] regulators who         Deepa Govindarajan
are more really informed parties within the discussion about the firm itself. We must           Lecturer, IMCA Centre, Henley Business
adopt a more realistic approach to the management of risk, beyond simply attempting             School, University of Reading

to prevent stakeholder detriment or addressing it after the fact.

“As the first port of call, a formal risk appetite statement allows the board to provide
strong boundaries within which management executes business strategy. It allows
interested parties to properly evaluate those strategic choices. In situations where
boards are unwilling or unable to disclose this information more widely, we would require
regulators to step in to address those deficiencies, because there are some discussions
that can only be held in a closed room.”




2
A Bridge Too Far? Risk Appetite, Governance and Corporate Strategy




Risk Appetite: What It Is and What It Isn’t
“Experts argue that because risk appetite has been poorly understood, both by boards           “ isk appetite is complex.
                                                                                                R
and by senior management, in turn, it was inappropriately implemented by those who
were mandated to assume risks on a daily basis,” said Peter Went, Senior Researcher
                                                                                                It reflects risk culture. It reflects
at the Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP) Research Center. “That is widely         how well active risk taking is
believed to have contributed to the extent of this crisis.”                                     understood and incorporated

In a perfect world, risk appetite is:
                                                                                                into the institutional, cultural,
                                                                                                strategic and governance fabric
•	 Defined as the level and duration of quantifiable and active risk exposure (including
   the potential for adverse outcomes) that organizations are willing and/or able to            of the firm. If it is not incorporated
   assume to achieve strategic objectives.                                                      well, this delicate structure
•	 Embedded in the governance framework in support of stakeholders’ tactical and                breaks at its weakest link.”
   strategic priorities, decisions and objectives.
                                                                                               Peter Went
•	 Reflected in hard and soft risk metrics – such as threshold income levels and
                                                                                               Senior Researcher, GARP Research Center
   benchmark risk-adjusted return levels – that support business decision making and
   reporting, both internal and external.
•	 Understood to be a continuously evolving and consistently articulated connection
   between strategic objectives and realities, target setting and follow-up, and risk
   management priorities.

“Risk appetite is both a process – developing the framework – and a policy statement
that reflects the risk appetite,” said Went. “A formal risk appetite statement, effectively
stated, allows the board to provide strong boundaries within which management
executes business strategy. A consistently promoted, policed and polished risk appetite
is an essential component of any robust risk architecture.”



Risk Appetite, Risk Tolerance, Risk Profile and Risk Ceiling
What do we mean by risk appetite? People often talk about risk ceiling, appetite,
                                                                                               “ isk appetite is a continuously
                                                                                                R
tolerance and profile in the same breath, when they actually mean different things. Figure 1
presents Govindarajan’s approach to differentiating these terms.                                evolving and consistently
                                                                                                articulated connection
Risk ceiling. The black line at the top of the chart represents the risk ceiling, the
                                                                                                between strategic objectives
threshold beyond which firms would no longer be able or allowed to operate. This
threshold could be breached by financial weakness, loss of reputation or other                  and realities, target setting
temporary shock from which the firm might not recover without extreme measures, such            and follow-up, and risk
as government intervention.
                                                                                                management priorities.”
Risk appetite. The red line depicts risk appetite, the aggregated account of the               Peter Went,
board’s willingness to allow management to take certain risks in the pursuit of strategic      Senior Researcher, GARP Research Center
objectives. While the risk ceiling is relatively stable (assuming there’s no major financial
crisis), the risk appetite does change to reflect internal and external conditions.




                                                                                                                                         3
SAS Conclusions Paper




             Risk profile. The green line describes the risk profile, the true risk position of the firm
             at any given point. “The diagram shows that it takes a little bit of time for the actual risk
             profile of the firm to adjust to changes in risk appetite, assuming it’s a well-run firm, and
             people actually do what the board wants them to do,” said Govindarajan.

        Risk tolerances. The two blue lines reflect the risk tolerances, the boundaries within
        which executive management is willing to allow the true, day-to-day risk profile of the
        firm to fluctuate. “The upper line reflects the level to which the risk profile can rise before
        the executive team expects board intervention,” said Govindarajan. “The lower bound of
        risk tolerance reflects the minimum level of risk the executive team would expect to take
                                                                                                                “ ome argue that risk appetite
                                                                                                                 S
Terminology
        to achieve strategic objectives. We cannot achieve returns without risk. The risk-bearing
        capacity is basically that zone below the risk ceiling in which the firm seeks to achieve a              is simply a chicken-and-egg
        trade-off between risk and return.”                                                                      problem. The risk culture
             6                                                                                                   reflects the risk appetite, and
                                                                                            Ri sk Ce i l i ng    the risk appetite shapes the
             5
                                                                                                                 risk culture. Acknowledging this
                                                                                            Ri sk Appe ti te     interrelationship is essential,
             4

                                                                                                                 since these two jointly define
             3                                                                              Ri sk Profi l e      the level, complexity and
                                                                                                                 aggressiveness that firms can
             2
                                                                                            Ri sk
                                                                                                                 take risks and expose their
                                                                                            Tol e rance -
                                                                                            Uppe r
                                                                                                                 stakeholders to these risks.”
             1

                                                                                            Ri sk
                                                                                            Tol e rance -
                                                                                                                Peter Went
                                                                                            Lowe r
                                                                                                                Senior Researcher, GARP Research Center
             0
                 Jan-   Feb-   Mar-   Apr-   May-    Jun-      Jul-   Aug-   Sep-   Oct-
                  09     09     09     09     09      09        09     09     09     09
                                             Ti me Hori z on




             Figure 1. The relative relationships among risk ceiling, risk appetite, risk profile and risk
             tolerances.


             It is important to distinguish between risk appetite and risk tolerance, because they
             are not the same thing, said Govindarajan. “In the real world, there is invariably a time
             lag between the communication of a board decision, the change in risk appetite, and
             the reality of when management can translate that into credible actions. … Setting
             the ongoing tolerance to the variability of the profile allows executive management to
             react to factors such as movements in the market, the competence of staff in achieving
             targets, cultural issues, measurement errors and model risks.

             “Even where risk appetite is understood and deployed effectively, events such as limit
             breaches can and do occur, and we all know that in our day-to-day world. An upper
             bound of risk tolerance therefore provides a legitimate and formal means for executive
             management to ensure that the time lag in the transmission of risk appetite to each of
             the various business areas does not result in breaches of the board’s risk appetite on a
             day-to-day basis.




             4
A Bridge Too Far? Risk Appetite, Governance and Corporate Strategy




“The headroom between the risk profile and the upper bound of risk tolerance allows           “ eflect on your own risk
                                                                                               R
management to deploy resources and take necessary mitigating actions before risk
                                                                                               appetite statement, if you
appetite as a whole is infringed. It also gives executives the freedom and the legitimacy
to engage in risk taking and to act without constantly referring back to the board             have one, and see whether
room or requiring regulatory nannying. The lower bound is also important, because it           it reflects a difference
underlines the extent to which executive teams believe that it makes credible business
                                                                                               between risk appetite and
sense to make further investments that would result in the reduction of risk. There is no
point reducing risk if it the investment is not generating return.”                            risk tolerance, whether you
                                                                                               make a clear distinction
“Reflect on your own risk appetite statement, if you have one, and see whether there
                                                                                               between risk tolerances and
it reflects a difference between risk appetite and risk tolerance, whether you make a
clear distinction between risk tolerances and risk profiles, and whether your resource         risk profiles, and whether your
deployment and your investments reflect your risk appetite in appropriate policies,            resource deployment and your
processes, systems and transparent limits.”                                                    investments reflect your risk
                                                                                               appetite in appropriate policies,
Seven Recommendations for Stronger Risk Management                                             processes, systems and
                                                                                               transparent limits.”
Our panelists discussed seven practices that bring greater clarity to risk appetite while
also embedding it into the overall risk management framework.                                 Deepa Govindarajan
                                                                                              Lecturer, IMCA Centre, Henley Business
                                                                                              School, University of Reading
1. Address the Full Risk Ecosystem
In setting risk appetite, firms will attempt to quantify and analyze five common types of
risk, said Lon O’Sullivan, Executive Director of Firm Market Risk at Morgan Stanley:

•	 Market risk focuses on changes in portfolio value related to changes in market
   prices, correlations and volatilities, using tools such as Value at Risk (VaR) analysis,
   stress testing and reverse stress testing to articulate this risk and quantify it to
   senior management.
•	 Credit risk relates primarily to lending and counterparty risk, pricing that risk and
   setting appropriate limits. “This is a critical piece for most banks, as a big chunk of
   the exposures that any financial institution will face has to do with counterparties         Benefits of a Sound Risk
   and lending activities,” said O’Sullivan.                                                    Appetite Statement
•	 Operational risk relates to processes and people, uncovering operational risk                •	 Establish and communicate a
   issues and determining how to mitigate them, often revealed through such tools                  high-level strategy.
   as risk and control self-assessment (RCSA).                                                  •	 Ensure good governance and
•	 Liquidity risk concerns the ability to fund and trade the products on the balance               board accountability.
   sheet, to manage the sources and maturities of the funding, and to make sure
                                                                                                •	 Evaluate performance and temper
   there is a sufficient liquidity pool.
                                                                                                   irrational exuberance.
•	 Capital risk, or the risk of a company losing the amount of an investment, has
   become one of the most important aspects of the firm in the last few years, and              •	 Mitigate capital and other financial
   one of the key metrics used to measure risk appetite and risk tolerance.                        risks.

                                                                                                •	 Manage risk in holistic context.




                                                                                                                                          5
SAS Conclusions Paper




1. Create a Meaningful Risk Appetite Statement
“Risk appetite is a corollary for business strategies, so boards that cannot articulate or
                                                                                              “ isks are not additive in nature.
                                                                                               R
oversee risk appetite are inherently saying they cannot oversee the associated business
strategy,” said Govindarajan. “Currently, executives have found it difficult to engage the     If we were to take any traditional
risk appetite statement, because the statement has come to resemble a series of very           firm and simply sum up the
empty platitudes. The banality of such statements ensures that they cannot be turned
                                                                                               lowest limits there, no firm
into practical policies, and this clearly defeats the motives of soundness, consistency
and transparency.                                                                              would be in business. There are
                                                                                               diversifications and correlations
“Some boards have delegated the creation of risk appetite statements to the executive
                                                                                               to consider to understand how
team or to the risk management function. This may be due to the mistaken belief that
risk appetite can be aggregated from the underlying limits currently used within the risk      the risks actually evolve in the
management framework, which, unfortunately, means that the cart is placed before               market and can interact or
the horse. In such cases, interactions of risks – and the articulation and balancing of
                                                                                               trigger each other.”
stakeholder objectives – have inadvertently been glossed over.
                                                                                              Lon O’Sullivan
“It is important that risk appetite is articulated by the board. The executives must then     Executive Director, Firm Market Risk,
translate that risk appetite into sensible processes, policies, limits and procedures.”       Morgan Stanley



3. Manage the End-to-End Risk Life Cycle
Financial firms must have a mechanism that manages all the stages of the risk life cycle
and aligns with the risk appetite statement. It must also have formal processes to:

•	 Identify the key risks in their area, on all five dimensions described earlier.
•	 Assess the potential impact of these risks, using standardized risk measurement
   methodologies and reporting.
•	 Implement a control structure around these risks – such as stated limits, ongoing
   monitoring and early warning of potential breaches – to certify that risk appetite is
   being appropriately managed.
•	 Report on all of the firm’s risk exposures, material concentrations and key risk
   indicators (KRIs).
•	 Manage those risks to optimize the risk and capital profile, advise senior
   management on risk-based decisions, and help the corporate board and senior
   management set appropriate risk appetite levels.

“Reporting needs to occur at a variety of levels – at a very granular level and a very high
level – to be able to aggregate a comprehensive set of risk reports that capture the full
populations of positions and counterparties in one’s portfolio,” said O’Sullivan.


4. Establish an Environment of Collaborative Decision Making
Higher-risk products may carry higher margins; more conservative products deliver
lower returns. Therefore, should the risk management function define the product
mix that traders should sell? Whose responsibility is it to strike that balance between
marketing/sales revenues and risk management controls?




6
A Bridge Too Far? Risk Appetite, Governance and Corporate Strategy




This is a provocative question for which the answer is evolving, said Went. “We have              “f you look at the lessons from
                                                                                                   I
seen a change in practice in that the control function is getting more and more power
in some decisions. Even though it should not be the risk managers’ role to decide what
                                                                                                   the financial crisis, it seems
trades to put on, their voices have to be heard. Their understanding of other risk aspects         that many risk decisions were
that perhaps the business side is not fully aware of must be incorporated in these                 made in silos. There wasn’t
decisions. It should be an integrated and mutually supportive discussion between the
                                                                                                   a very good feedback loop
business and the control side.
                                                                                                   between the bottom-up risk
“I cannot masquerade as a trader, and traders cannot masquerade as risk managers. It               decisions and what the board
is more important for these two professional groups to jointly arrive to a solution that is
                                                                                                   and senior management
not only beneficial for the trader but also beneficial for the long-term success, survivability
and sustainability of the institution.”                                                            understood was going on
                                                                                                   from the perspective of the
5. Strike a Balance Between Bottom-Up and Top-Down Approaches                                      risk appetite and the level of
O’Sullivan described and compared two very different models for managing risk: bottom-             exposures that were trending
up and top-down.                                                                                   up in many cases during the

“Bottom-up risk management considers risk at the transaction or risk factor level and
                                                                                                   height of the crisis.”
is very detailed. For each product or position that comes on, an evaluation is done.
                                                                                                  David Wallace
Limits or other controls are set at the individual trading desk or at the business level.         Global Financial Services Marketing
Risk reporting is typically done at the product or business level as well. Market, credit,        Manager, SAS
operational and liquidity risks tend to be managed independently at this level. Risk and
business heads attempt to put the story together in order to construct the big picture.

“The advantage to this bottom-up approach is that you get much more detailed
information about product or business-facing risks in your portfolio. You are able to
independently evaluate market, credit and operational risk in isolation – and spend a lot of
time thinking about how each will impact the desk level or an individual transaction. You
get a very detailed understanding of each transaction, which makes it easier to manage
at a very granular level. Typically, you are working with heads of desks or individual
traders to define the risk appetite and tolerance, and to negotiate amongst these parties.
The challenge here is that it is very difficult to see the forest when you’re focused on          “ he advantage to this
                                                                                                   T
specific trees.”                                                                                   bottom-up approach is that
                                                                                                   you get much more detailed
“If you look at the lessons from the financial crisis, it seems that many risk decisions were
made in silos. There wasn’t a very good feedback loop between the bottom-up risk                   information about product or
decisions and what the board and senior management understood was going on from                    business-facing risks in your
the perspective of the risk appetite and the level of exposures that were trending up in           portfolio. … The challenge here
many cases during the height of the crisis,” said Wallace.
                                                                                                   is that it is very difficult to see
In contrast, a top-down risk management approach takes a more enterprise-level view                the forest when you’re focused
of risk, looking across combined market, credit, operational, liquidity and capital risks.         on specific trees.”
Stress testing and reverse stress testing is implemented across all products, businesses
and risk types. There may be a dedicated team that works with business and risk heads             Peter Went
to manage the big picture. Risk appetite decisions are made at the firm level.                    Senior Researcher, GARP Research Center




                                                                                                                                            7
SAS Conclusions Paper




“The key advantage of this approach is that you can focus not only on individual
transactions but also the correlations amongst the various assets, products, positions
and counterparties,” said O’Sullivan. “We can consider risks across businesses and
across products.

“Putting together a cohesive picture of risk across all dimensions is challenging, and         “ ffective risk management
                                                                                                E
something that needs to be invested in by firms to consider all risks, not just individual
                                                                                                is often about delivering the
risks. Sometimes the sum of the parts is more than the whole, and sometimes it’s less,
but putting this kind of structure in place will allow firms to gain competitive advantage.”    message in a simple and clear
                                                                                                manner, while still translating
6. Report on Risk in a Way that Supports Sound Decisions                                        the key message or challenge
“Risk reporting sometimes gets trivialized as just something that one does,” said               that will require a risk decision
O’Sullivan. “However, it is one of the most critical components of the risk framework.          to be made. Many risk
Poor risk reporting, missing exposures, not having consistency in the way that you’re
                                                                                                managers are notoriously poor
thinking about risks – it all equals bad decision making in firms.
                                                                                                at this critical management
“Good risk reporting should cover all material product areas and all of the                     skill.”
aforementioned risks. It should use standardized measures, so risks can be clearly
communicated,” said O’Sullivan. “If we have, say, interest rate risk being calculated          Lon O’Sullivan
                                                                                               Executive Director, Firm Market Risk,
one way for one position and a different way for another position, how would the firm
                                                                                               Morgan Stanley
put those risks together and determine its aggregate risk exposure on interest rates?
Without standardized measurements, it is very difficult for a board or senior executives
to act on a risk decision.”

Risk reporting should reflect ongoing monitoring of key controls, such as position
limits or VaR limits, so the control process is transparent and senior management can
evaluate how the portfolio stands relative to risk appetite.

Equally important, risk reporting should address its audience, be readily understood by
them, and be comprehensive enough to support decisive action.

“The second element of delivering the message is effective management through risk
advisory,” said O’Sullivan. “In my view, risk advisory is the most important element in risk
management. Measuring and reporting is fundamental, but influencing risk decisions is
the most important aspect of being a risk manager.

“In order to exert that influence, you have to be able to explain a case to board
members who are not likely to be intimate with the jargon and complexities of
risk professionals. Therefore, the most effective risk managers are those who can
make themselves understood to an audience that might not have a technical or
risk background. When I construct presentations, I often think: If I had to give this
presentation to my grandmother, would she understand it? And if my answer is no, then
I start over.”




8
A Bridge Too Far? Risk Appetite, Governance and Corporate Strategy




7. Establish Ownership at Multiple Levels of the Company
O’Sullivan summarized three levels of governance that would typically occur in a financial      “ ood risk management is not
                                                                                                 G
institution:                                                                                     only about having the right
•	 At the top of the list is the Board Risk Committee, a subcommittee of the board               answer. It’s about being able to
   of directors that is chartered to handle specific risk issues. Typically composed of
                                                                                                 communicate the answer and
   non-management directors, this subcommittee sets risk appetite, enforces the risk
   governance structure and monitors the risk profile against the agreed-upon risk               influence the correct decision
   appetite.                                                                                     to be made.”
•	 Executive Risk Committees are management committees typically composed of the
                                                                                                Lon O’Sullivan
   most senior officers (C-level executives and their direct reports). These committees         Executive Director, Firm Market Risk,
   tend to meet once or twice a month and are accountable for day-to-day risk                   Morgan Stanley
   management for the firm.
•	 Divisional Risk Committees are charged with looking at each division independently
   and coming up with a risk strategy and a risk tolerance. These committees are
   typically made up of desk heads and other key executives who meet weekly and
   focus on business-specific issues.

“Effective governance means that information flows seamlessly up and down this
hierarchy of risk committees,” said O’Sullivan. “Risk decisions made by the Board Risk
Committee should be pushed down to the Executive Risk Committee and ultimately
down to the Divisional Risk Committees. A feedback and interaction loop flowing up the
chain is equally important.”
                                                                                                “ here should be no such thing
                                                                                                 T
Govindarajan agreed: “There should be ownership at board level, ownership at executive
                                                                                                 as a separate, standalone
level, and ownership within the firm. The board must oversee how the scene is set
and balance strategic objectives. Executives must manage the risk profile and the risk           risk appetite framework. Risk
management framework. And through a good risk culture, the organization must own                 appetite guides your risk
the risk appetite statement.”
                                                                                                 management framework and
                                                                                                 the way you manage risk within
Closing Thoughts                                                                                 the firm.”
“Boards that view risk functions simply as a way to keep out of trouble – and who do not        Deepa Govindarajan
play an active role in setting risk appetite and risk limits – are really not doing a service   Lecturer, IMCA Centre, Henley Business
to their shareholders,” said O’Sullivan. “Risk is also about addressing strategic business      School, University of Reading
risk and future business opportunities, in addition to managing what’s currently on the
books.” Effective governance structures promote better management of future risks, as
well as better understanding of past risks.

“To do this well – to establish a meaningful risk appetite statement and framework –
requires consistent and unwavering support and monitoring by the board and faithful
enforcement by senior management,” said Went. “That is why risk appetite is not a
static statement, but rather a proactive and dynamic framework that distills changing
conditions, possibilities and constraints.”




                                                                                                                                         9
SAS Conclusions Paper




About the Presenters
Deepa Govindarajan
Lecturer and Visiting Fellow, ICMA Centre
Henley Business School, University of Reading

Deepa Govindarajan, Lecturer and Visiting Fellow at the ICMA Centre at the University
of Reading’s Henly Business School, teaches compliance, risk management and
regulation within the master’s program. Her research interests cover corporate risk
appetite, senior management arrangements and governance within financial institutions,
qualitative decision making, operational risk, the sociopolitical context of banking and
financial regulation, and the comparative study of international banking regulations.

Govindarajan periodically serves as an independent expert advisor to regulators, banks,
asset managers and insurers. She facilitates board discussions related to the definition
and dissemination of risk appetite, and the risk implications of strategic choices. As a
specialist in governance and risk oversight, Govindarajan also evaluates financial firms’
governance arrangements, risk management frameworks and risk culture.

In addition to roles at Citigroup, the UK Financial Services Authority (FSA), and Lloyds
Banking Group, Govindarajan has also held positions in consulting and academia.


Lon O’Sullivan, FRM
Executive Director, Firm Market Risk Division
Morgan Stanley

As Executive Director in Morgan Stanley’s Firm Market Risk Division, Lon O’Sullivan leads
the Global Portfolio Analysis group and is responsible for briefing senior management
on key market risk exposures. He spent three years at Morgan Stanley’s London office,
where he was responsible for creating the regional analysis and reporting team.

Prior to Morgan Stanley, O’Sullivan worked as a market risk manager for foreign
exchange and commodity risk, and as an equity derivatives product controller at
Deutsche Bank.

O’Sullivan earned a bachelor’s degree in economics from Binghamton University,
State University of New York (SUNY), and a master’s in finance from the London
Business School. He has been a certified Financial Risk Manager (FRM®) with the
Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP) since 2005. O’Sullivan served on the
committee for GARP’s professional chapter in London before his relocation back to
New York and is currently a co-director for the New York chapter of GARP.




10
A Bridge Too Far? Risk Appetite, Governance and Corporate Strategy




David M. Wallace
Global Financial Services Marketing Manager
SAS

As Global Financial Services Marketing Manager for SAS, David M. Wallace is
responsible for defining industry strategy for the banking and capital markets segments
of the global financial services industry. He has more than 30 years of experience in
applying information technology to solve customer needs, including a focus on the
financial services industry for nearly 20 years.

Before joining SAS, Wallace was Manager, Corporate  Investment Banking,
Americas FSI Marketing for Hewlett-Packard. He also held a number of senior sales
and marketing positions over a 23-year career at HP. During a 10-year assignment
managing the relationship with a top-five US financial services firm, Wallace was
responsible for client projects in consumer banking, commercial banking, trust
administration, retirement services, corporate and investment banking, shared services,
and retail brokerage, among others.

Wallace holds a bachelor’s degree in economics from the University of North Carolina at
Wilmington and an MBA from East Carolina University.


Peter Went
Senior Researcher
GARP Research Center

Peter Went is a Senior Researcher for GARP’s Research Center, where he conducts
research in financial risk management. Went has co-authored five books on risk
management and numerous articles on foreign exchange, global equity market and
commodity risk, as well as on the effects of emerging financial regulation on financial
and capital markets.

Previously, Went worked for a boutique investment firm and taught finance and risk
management at University of Nebraska and the University of Connecticut.

Went has a degree in economics from the Stockholm School of Economics and a
doctorate in finance from the University of Nebraska. He is a Chartered Financial Analyst
(CFA) and a board member of Woodlands Financial Services Corporation.




                                                                                                                        11
About SAS
SAS is the leader in business analytics software and services, and the largest independent vendor in the business intelligence market.
Through innovative solutions, SAS helps customers at more than 55,000 sites improve performance and deliver value by making better
decisions faster. Since 1976, SAS has been giving customers around the world THE POWER TO KNOW ® For more information on
                                                                                                           .
SAS® Business Analytics software and services, visit sas.com.




                        SAS Institute Inc. World Headquarters   +1 919 677 8000
                        To contact your local SAS office, please visit:                    sas.com/offices
                        SAS and all other SAS Institute Inc. product or service names are registered trademarks or trademarks of SAS Institute Inc. in the USA
                        and other countries. ® indicates USA egistration. Other brand and product names are trademarks of their respective companies.
                        Copyright © 2012, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved. 105872_S83089_0712

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A Bridge Too Far? Risk Appetite, Governance and Corporate Strategy (Whitepaper)

  • 1. A Bridge Too Far? Risk Appetite, Governance and Corporate Strategy CONCLUSIONS PAPER Insights from a Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP) webcast sponsored by SAS Featuring: Deepa Govindarajan, Lecturer, IMCA Centre, Henley Business School, University of Reading Lon O’Sullivan, Executive Director, Firm Market Risk, Morgan Stanley David M. Wallace, Global Financial Services Marketing Manager, SAS Peter Went, Senior Researcher, Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP) Research Center
  • 2. SAS Conclusions Paper Table of Contents Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Icebergs and Unsinkable Ships. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 Risk Appetite: What It Is and What It Isn’t . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 Risk Appetite, Risk Tolerance, Risk Profile and Risk Ceiling . . . . . . . 3 Seven Recommendations for Stronger Risk Management. . . . . . . . . 5 1. Address the Full Risk Ecosystem. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 1. Create a Meaningful Risk Appetite Statement. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 3. Manage the End-to-End Risk Life Cycle. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 4. Establish an Environment of Collaborative Decision Making. . . . . . . 6 5. Strike a Balance Between Bottom-Up and Top-Down Approaches . 7 6. Report on Risk in a Way that Supports Sound Decisions. . . . . . . . . 8 7. Establish Ownership at Multiple Levels of the Company. . . . . . . . . . 9 Closing Thoughts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 About the Presenters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
  • 3. A Bridge Too Far? Risk Appetite, Governance and Corporate Strategy Introduction “ firms that recorded relatively larger unexpected losses tended to champion … the expansion of risk without commensurate focus on controls across the organization or at the business-line level.” “ senior management’s drive to generate earnings was not accompanied by … clear guidance on the tolerance for expanding exposures to risk.” “ balance sheet limits may have been freely exceeded rather than serving as a … constraint to business lines.” “ irms rarely compile for their boards and senior management relevant measures F of risk … a view of how risk levels compare with limits, the level of capital that the firm would need to maintain after sustaining a loss of the magnitude of the risk measure, and the actions that management could take to restore capital after sustaining a loss.” Those words came from the report, Risk Management Lessons from the Global Banking Crisis of 2008, submitted by the international Senior Supervisors Group. In hindsight, the authors could have dropped the year from that title. They did drop it the next year, when their report focused on risk management frameworks and the IT infrastructures that support those frameworks. The report card for financial services firms wasn’t much “ n integrated, firmwide risk A better in that report: management system – one that “ no single firm was observed to have developed a fully comprehensive … can provide immediate analysis framework containing all the better practice elements described in this report.” and speedy results… is going “ aggregation of risk data remains a challenge for institutions, despite its … to be key to success in the criticality to strategic planning and decision making.” volatile financial environment that we are clearly are going to “…considerably more work is needed to strengthen those practices that were revealed to be especially weak at the height of the crisis.”1 have for the next several years.” David Wallace “Many firms have made progress in developing their risk appetite frameworks and have Global Financial Services Marketing begun multiyear projects to improve the supporting IT infrastructure,” said David M. Manager, SAS Wallace, Global Financial Services Marketing Manager at SAS. “As a provider of risk solutions, we have seen much more interest over the past three years in firms looking to have additional technology to support a firmwide view of risk exposures. “Consolidation of risk data on spreadsheets doesn’t provide the required ability for stress testing and scenario analysis. An integrated, firmwide risk management system – one that can provide immediate analysis and speedy results, one that can allow senior management and boards of directors to make decisions in near-real time – is going to be key to success in the volatile financial environment that we are clearly are going to have for the next several years.” 1 Source: Senior Supervisors Group, Observations on Developments in Risk Appetite Frameworks and IT Infrastructure, December 29, 2010. 1
  • 4. SAS Conclusions Paper Icebergs and Unsinkable Ships “The recent financial meltdown has come as something of a shock to those who had been led to believe the modern financial industry had seen the end of boom-and- bust cycles, through the optimization of resource allocation and very sophisticated risk diversification managed by very intelligent people sitting in financial analyst firms,” said Deepa Govindarajan, a lecturer at the Henley Business School at the University of Reading. “As a consequence of the crisis, firms, regulators and governments are paying much more attention to recovery and resolution plans, stress testing, and other tools to prevent future crises. Still, the correct scrutiny of corporate risk appetite has been given considerably less attention than other prominently debated mechanisms, such as macroprudential oversight and resolution tools. This might be because some influential commentators and regulators are still intrinsically wedded to the belief that the need for a regulatory presence or intervention is solely for cases where the market failed to make “ e may build very well- W its own corrections. In their view, the regulators’ place in the financial world is to ensure capitalized firms and have that failing firms are wound down in an orderly manner, and that any systemic bubbles are addressed as they come up. excellent macroprudential oversight, but it’s really “This sounds perfectly reasonable and proportionate, but it is based on an immature important that strategic philosophy that views the world solely through the lens of utopian mathematical economic models, such as those that assume that other things remain constant. choices are evaluated in conjunction with the risks “Here’s a simple analogy. Even if we build a very robust passenger ship – the Titanic, those choices pose. … for example – it is advisable not to crash it into icebergs every day. It is really important that the ship is well-run and on a sensible course in the first place. We need to ensure We must adopt a more that the crew is not incentivized to take disproportionate risks that could cause a tragic realistic approach to the catastrophe, even if the Coast Guard has sophisticated weather reports, or even if there management of risk, beyond are enough lifeboats to get people ashore. simply attempting to prevent “Similarly, we may build very well-capitalized firms and have excellent macroprudential stakeholder detriment or oversight, but it’s really important that strategic choices are evaluated in conjunction with addressing it after the fact.” the risks those choices pose. More attention deserves to be paid to proactively holding boards accountable, and by this, I mean by institutional investors [and] regulators who Deepa Govindarajan are more really informed parties within the discussion about the firm itself. We must Lecturer, IMCA Centre, Henley Business adopt a more realistic approach to the management of risk, beyond simply attempting School, University of Reading to prevent stakeholder detriment or addressing it after the fact. “As the first port of call, a formal risk appetite statement allows the board to provide strong boundaries within which management executes business strategy. It allows interested parties to properly evaluate those strategic choices. In situations where boards are unwilling or unable to disclose this information more widely, we would require regulators to step in to address those deficiencies, because there are some discussions that can only be held in a closed room.” 2
  • 5. A Bridge Too Far? Risk Appetite, Governance and Corporate Strategy Risk Appetite: What It Is and What It Isn’t “Experts argue that because risk appetite has been poorly understood, both by boards “ isk appetite is complex. R and by senior management, in turn, it was inappropriately implemented by those who were mandated to assume risks on a daily basis,” said Peter Went, Senior Researcher It reflects risk culture. It reflects at the Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP) Research Center. “That is widely how well active risk taking is believed to have contributed to the extent of this crisis.” understood and incorporated In a perfect world, risk appetite is: into the institutional, cultural, strategic and governance fabric • Defined as the level and duration of quantifiable and active risk exposure (including the potential for adverse outcomes) that organizations are willing and/or able to of the firm. If it is not incorporated assume to achieve strategic objectives. well, this delicate structure • Embedded in the governance framework in support of stakeholders’ tactical and breaks at its weakest link.” strategic priorities, decisions and objectives. Peter Went • Reflected in hard and soft risk metrics – such as threshold income levels and Senior Researcher, GARP Research Center benchmark risk-adjusted return levels – that support business decision making and reporting, both internal and external. • Understood to be a continuously evolving and consistently articulated connection between strategic objectives and realities, target setting and follow-up, and risk management priorities. “Risk appetite is both a process – developing the framework – and a policy statement that reflects the risk appetite,” said Went. “A formal risk appetite statement, effectively stated, allows the board to provide strong boundaries within which management executes business strategy. A consistently promoted, policed and polished risk appetite is an essential component of any robust risk architecture.” Risk Appetite, Risk Tolerance, Risk Profile and Risk Ceiling What do we mean by risk appetite? People often talk about risk ceiling, appetite, “ isk appetite is a continuously R tolerance and profile in the same breath, when they actually mean different things. Figure 1 presents Govindarajan’s approach to differentiating these terms. evolving and consistently articulated connection Risk ceiling. The black line at the top of the chart represents the risk ceiling, the between strategic objectives threshold beyond which firms would no longer be able or allowed to operate. This threshold could be breached by financial weakness, loss of reputation or other and realities, target setting temporary shock from which the firm might not recover without extreme measures, such and follow-up, and risk as government intervention. management priorities.” Risk appetite. The red line depicts risk appetite, the aggregated account of the Peter Went, board’s willingness to allow management to take certain risks in the pursuit of strategic Senior Researcher, GARP Research Center objectives. While the risk ceiling is relatively stable (assuming there’s no major financial crisis), the risk appetite does change to reflect internal and external conditions. 3
  • 6. SAS Conclusions Paper Risk profile. The green line describes the risk profile, the true risk position of the firm at any given point. “The diagram shows that it takes a little bit of time for the actual risk profile of the firm to adjust to changes in risk appetite, assuming it’s a well-run firm, and people actually do what the board wants them to do,” said Govindarajan. Risk tolerances. The two blue lines reflect the risk tolerances, the boundaries within which executive management is willing to allow the true, day-to-day risk profile of the firm to fluctuate. “The upper line reflects the level to which the risk profile can rise before the executive team expects board intervention,” said Govindarajan. “The lower bound of risk tolerance reflects the minimum level of risk the executive team would expect to take “ ome argue that risk appetite S Terminology to achieve strategic objectives. We cannot achieve returns without risk. The risk-bearing capacity is basically that zone below the risk ceiling in which the firm seeks to achieve a is simply a chicken-and-egg trade-off between risk and return.” problem. The risk culture 6 reflects the risk appetite, and Ri sk Ce i l i ng the risk appetite shapes the 5 risk culture. Acknowledging this Ri sk Appe ti te interrelationship is essential, 4 since these two jointly define 3 Ri sk Profi l e the level, complexity and aggressiveness that firms can 2 Ri sk take risks and expose their Tol e rance - Uppe r stakeholders to these risks.” 1 Ri sk Tol e rance - Peter Went Lowe r Senior Researcher, GARP Research Center 0 Jan- Feb- Mar- Apr- May- Jun- Jul- Aug- Sep- Oct- 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 Ti me Hori z on Figure 1. The relative relationships among risk ceiling, risk appetite, risk profile and risk tolerances. It is important to distinguish between risk appetite and risk tolerance, because they are not the same thing, said Govindarajan. “In the real world, there is invariably a time lag between the communication of a board decision, the change in risk appetite, and the reality of when management can translate that into credible actions. … Setting the ongoing tolerance to the variability of the profile allows executive management to react to factors such as movements in the market, the competence of staff in achieving targets, cultural issues, measurement errors and model risks. “Even where risk appetite is understood and deployed effectively, events such as limit breaches can and do occur, and we all know that in our day-to-day world. An upper bound of risk tolerance therefore provides a legitimate and formal means for executive management to ensure that the time lag in the transmission of risk appetite to each of the various business areas does not result in breaches of the board’s risk appetite on a day-to-day basis. 4
  • 7. A Bridge Too Far? Risk Appetite, Governance and Corporate Strategy “The headroom between the risk profile and the upper bound of risk tolerance allows “ eflect on your own risk R management to deploy resources and take necessary mitigating actions before risk appetite statement, if you appetite as a whole is infringed. It also gives executives the freedom and the legitimacy to engage in risk taking and to act without constantly referring back to the board have one, and see whether room or requiring regulatory nannying. The lower bound is also important, because it it reflects a difference underlines the extent to which executive teams believe that it makes credible business between risk appetite and sense to make further investments that would result in the reduction of risk. There is no point reducing risk if it the investment is not generating return.” risk tolerance, whether you make a clear distinction “Reflect on your own risk appetite statement, if you have one, and see whether there between risk tolerances and it reflects a difference between risk appetite and risk tolerance, whether you make a clear distinction between risk tolerances and risk profiles, and whether your resource risk profiles, and whether your deployment and your investments reflect your risk appetite in appropriate policies, resource deployment and your processes, systems and transparent limits.” investments reflect your risk appetite in appropriate policies, Seven Recommendations for Stronger Risk Management processes, systems and transparent limits.” Our panelists discussed seven practices that bring greater clarity to risk appetite while also embedding it into the overall risk management framework. Deepa Govindarajan Lecturer, IMCA Centre, Henley Business School, University of Reading 1. Address the Full Risk Ecosystem In setting risk appetite, firms will attempt to quantify and analyze five common types of risk, said Lon O’Sullivan, Executive Director of Firm Market Risk at Morgan Stanley: • Market risk focuses on changes in portfolio value related to changes in market prices, correlations and volatilities, using tools such as Value at Risk (VaR) analysis, stress testing and reverse stress testing to articulate this risk and quantify it to senior management. • Credit risk relates primarily to lending and counterparty risk, pricing that risk and setting appropriate limits. “This is a critical piece for most banks, as a big chunk of the exposures that any financial institution will face has to do with counterparties Benefits of a Sound Risk and lending activities,” said O’Sullivan. Appetite Statement • Operational risk relates to processes and people, uncovering operational risk • Establish and communicate a issues and determining how to mitigate them, often revealed through such tools high-level strategy. as risk and control self-assessment (RCSA). • Ensure good governance and • Liquidity risk concerns the ability to fund and trade the products on the balance board accountability. sheet, to manage the sources and maturities of the funding, and to make sure • Evaluate performance and temper there is a sufficient liquidity pool. irrational exuberance. • Capital risk, or the risk of a company losing the amount of an investment, has become one of the most important aspects of the firm in the last few years, and • Mitigate capital and other financial one of the key metrics used to measure risk appetite and risk tolerance. risks. • Manage risk in holistic context. 5
  • 8. SAS Conclusions Paper 1. Create a Meaningful Risk Appetite Statement “Risk appetite is a corollary for business strategies, so boards that cannot articulate or “ isks are not additive in nature. R oversee risk appetite are inherently saying they cannot oversee the associated business strategy,” said Govindarajan. “Currently, executives have found it difficult to engage the If we were to take any traditional risk appetite statement, because the statement has come to resemble a series of very firm and simply sum up the empty platitudes. The banality of such statements ensures that they cannot be turned lowest limits there, no firm into practical policies, and this clearly defeats the motives of soundness, consistency and transparency. would be in business. There are diversifications and correlations “Some boards have delegated the creation of risk appetite statements to the executive to consider to understand how team or to the risk management function. This may be due to the mistaken belief that risk appetite can be aggregated from the underlying limits currently used within the risk the risks actually evolve in the management framework, which, unfortunately, means that the cart is placed before market and can interact or the horse. In such cases, interactions of risks – and the articulation and balancing of trigger each other.” stakeholder objectives – have inadvertently been glossed over. Lon O’Sullivan “It is important that risk appetite is articulated by the board. The executives must then Executive Director, Firm Market Risk, translate that risk appetite into sensible processes, policies, limits and procedures.” Morgan Stanley 3. Manage the End-to-End Risk Life Cycle Financial firms must have a mechanism that manages all the stages of the risk life cycle and aligns with the risk appetite statement. It must also have formal processes to: • Identify the key risks in their area, on all five dimensions described earlier. • Assess the potential impact of these risks, using standardized risk measurement methodologies and reporting. • Implement a control structure around these risks – such as stated limits, ongoing monitoring and early warning of potential breaches – to certify that risk appetite is being appropriately managed. • Report on all of the firm’s risk exposures, material concentrations and key risk indicators (KRIs). • Manage those risks to optimize the risk and capital profile, advise senior management on risk-based decisions, and help the corporate board and senior management set appropriate risk appetite levels. “Reporting needs to occur at a variety of levels – at a very granular level and a very high level – to be able to aggregate a comprehensive set of risk reports that capture the full populations of positions and counterparties in one’s portfolio,” said O’Sullivan. 4. Establish an Environment of Collaborative Decision Making Higher-risk products may carry higher margins; more conservative products deliver lower returns. Therefore, should the risk management function define the product mix that traders should sell? Whose responsibility is it to strike that balance between marketing/sales revenues and risk management controls? 6
  • 9. A Bridge Too Far? Risk Appetite, Governance and Corporate Strategy This is a provocative question for which the answer is evolving, said Went. “We have “f you look at the lessons from I seen a change in practice in that the control function is getting more and more power in some decisions. Even though it should not be the risk managers’ role to decide what the financial crisis, it seems trades to put on, their voices have to be heard. Their understanding of other risk aspects that many risk decisions were that perhaps the business side is not fully aware of must be incorporated in these made in silos. There wasn’t decisions. It should be an integrated and mutually supportive discussion between the a very good feedback loop business and the control side. between the bottom-up risk “I cannot masquerade as a trader, and traders cannot masquerade as risk managers. It decisions and what the board is more important for these two professional groups to jointly arrive to a solution that is and senior management not only beneficial for the trader but also beneficial for the long-term success, survivability and sustainability of the institution.” understood was going on from the perspective of the 5. Strike a Balance Between Bottom-Up and Top-Down Approaches risk appetite and the level of O’Sullivan described and compared two very different models for managing risk: bottom- exposures that were trending up and top-down. up in many cases during the “Bottom-up risk management considers risk at the transaction or risk factor level and height of the crisis.” is very detailed. For each product or position that comes on, an evaluation is done. David Wallace Limits or other controls are set at the individual trading desk or at the business level. Global Financial Services Marketing Risk reporting is typically done at the product or business level as well. Market, credit, Manager, SAS operational and liquidity risks tend to be managed independently at this level. Risk and business heads attempt to put the story together in order to construct the big picture. “The advantage to this bottom-up approach is that you get much more detailed information about product or business-facing risks in your portfolio. You are able to independently evaluate market, credit and operational risk in isolation – and spend a lot of time thinking about how each will impact the desk level or an individual transaction. You get a very detailed understanding of each transaction, which makes it easier to manage at a very granular level. Typically, you are working with heads of desks or individual traders to define the risk appetite and tolerance, and to negotiate amongst these parties. The challenge here is that it is very difficult to see the forest when you’re focused on “ he advantage to this T specific trees.” bottom-up approach is that you get much more detailed “If you look at the lessons from the financial crisis, it seems that many risk decisions were made in silos. There wasn’t a very good feedback loop between the bottom-up risk information about product or decisions and what the board and senior management understood was going on from business-facing risks in your the perspective of the risk appetite and the level of exposures that were trending up in portfolio. … The challenge here many cases during the height of the crisis,” said Wallace. is that it is very difficult to see In contrast, a top-down risk management approach takes a more enterprise-level view the forest when you’re focused of risk, looking across combined market, credit, operational, liquidity and capital risks. on specific trees.” Stress testing and reverse stress testing is implemented across all products, businesses and risk types. There may be a dedicated team that works with business and risk heads Peter Went to manage the big picture. Risk appetite decisions are made at the firm level. Senior Researcher, GARP Research Center 7
  • 10. SAS Conclusions Paper “The key advantage of this approach is that you can focus not only on individual transactions but also the correlations amongst the various assets, products, positions and counterparties,” said O’Sullivan. “We can consider risks across businesses and across products. “Putting together a cohesive picture of risk across all dimensions is challenging, and “ ffective risk management E something that needs to be invested in by firms to consider all risks, not just individual is often about delivering the risks. Sometimes the sum of the parts is more than the whole, and sometimes it’s less, but putting this kind of structure in place will allow firms to gain competitive advantage.” message in a simple and clear manner, while still translating 6. Report on Risk in a Way that Supports Sound Decisions the key message or challenge “Risk reporting sometimes gets trivialized as just something that one does,” said that will require a risk decision O’Sullivan. “However, it is one of the most critical components of the risk framework. to be made. Many risk Poor risk reporting, missing exposures, not having consistency in the way that you’re managers are notoriously poor thinking about risks – it all equals bad decision making in firms. at this critical management “Good risk reporting should cover all material product areas and all of the skill.” aforementioned risks. It should use standardized measures, so risks can be clearly communicated,” said O’Sullivan. “If we have, say, interest rate risk being calculated Lon O’Sullivan Executive Director, Firm Market Risk, one way for one position and a different way for another position, how would the firm Morgan Stanley put those risks together and determine its aggregate risk exposure on interest rates? Without standardized measurements, it is very difficult for a board or senior executives to act on a risk decision.” Risk reporting should reflect ongoing monitoring of key controls, such as position limits or VaR limits, so the control process is transparent and senior management can evaluate how the portfolio stands relative to risk appetite. Equally important, risk reporting should address its audience, be readily understood by them, and be comprehensive enough to support decisive action. “The second element of delivering the message is effective management through risk advisory,” said O’Sullivan. “In my view, risk advisory is the most important element in risk management. Measuring and reporting is fundamental, but influencing risk decisions is the most important aspect of being a risk manager. “In order to exert that influence, you have to be able to explain a case to board members who are not likely to be intimate with the jargon and complexities of risk professionals. Therefore, the most effective risk managers are those who can make themselves understood to an audience that might not have a technical or risk background. When I construct presentations, I often think: If I had to give this presentation to my grandmother, would she understand it? And if my answer is no, then I start over.” 8
  • 11. A Bridge Too Far? Risk Appetite, Governance and Corporate Strategy 7. Establish Ownership at Multiple Levels of the Company O’Sullivan summarized three levels of governance that would typically occur in a financial “ ood risk management is not G institution: only about having the right • At the top of the list is the Board Risk Committee, a subcommittee of the board answer. It’s about being able to of directors that is chartered to handle specific risk issues. Typically composed of communicate the answer and non-management directors, this subcommittee sets risk appetite, enforces the risk governance structure and monitors the risk profile against the agreed-upon risk influence the correct decision appetite. to be made.” • Executive Risk Committees are management committees typically composed of the Lon O’Sullivan most senior officers (C-level executives and their direct reports). These committees Executive Director, Firm Market Risk, tend to meet once or twice a month and are accountable for day-to-day risk Morgan Stanley management for the firm. • Divisional Risk Committees are charged with looking at each division independently and coming up with a risk strategy and a risk tolerance. These committees are typically made up of desk heads and other key executives who meet weekly and focus on business-specific issues. “Effective governance means that information flows seamlessly up and down this hierarchy of risk committees,” said O’Sullivan. “Risk decisions made by the Board Risk Committee should be pushed down to the Executive Risk Committee and ultimately down to the Divisional Risk Committees. A feedback and interaction loop flowing up the chain is equally important.” “ here should be no such thing T Govindarajan agreed: “There should be ownership at board level, ownership at executive as a separate, standalone level, and ownership within the firm. The board must oversee how the scene is set and balance strategic objectives. Executives must manage the risk profile and the risk risk appetite framework. Risk management framework. And through a good risk culture, the organization must own appetite guides your risk the risk appetite statement.” management framework and the way you manage risk within Closing Thoughts the firm.” “Boards that view risk functions simply as a way to keep out of trouble – and who do not Deepa Govindarajan play an active role in setting risk appetite and risk limits – are really not doing a service Lecturer, IMCA Centre, Henley Business to their shareholders,” said O’Sullivan. “Risk is also about addressing strategic business School, University of Reading risk and future business opportunities, in addition to managing what’s currently on the books.” Effective governance structures promote better management of future risks, as well as better understanding of past risks. “To do this well – to establish a meaningful risk appetite statement and framework – requires consistent and unwavering support and monitoring by the board and faithful enforcement by senior management,” said Went. “That is why risk appetite is not a static statement, but rather a proactive and dynamic framework that distills changing conditions, possibilities and constraints.” 9
  • 12. SAS Conclusions Paper About the Presenters Deepa Govindarajan Lecturer and Visiting Fellow, ICMA Centre Henley Business School, University of Reading Deepa Govindarajan, Lecturer and Visiting Fellow at the ICMA Centre at the University of Reading’s Henly Business School, teaches compliance, risk management and regulation within the master’s program. Her research interests cover corporate risk appetite, senior management arrangements and governance within financial institutions, qualitative decision making, operational risk, the sociopolitical context of banking and financial regulation, and the comparative study of international banking regulations. Govindarajan periodically serves as an independent expert advisor to regulators, banks, asset managers and insurers. She facilitates board discussions related to the definition and dissemination of risk appetite, and the risk implications of strategic choices. As a specialist in governance and risk oversight, Govindarajan also evaluates financial firms’ governance arrangements, risk management frameworks and risk culture. In addition to roles at Citigroup, the UK Financial Services Authority (FSA), and Lloyds Banking Group, Govindarajan has also held positions in consulting and academia. Lon O’Sullivan, FRM Executive Director, Firm Market Risk Division Morgan Stanley As Executive Director in Morgan Stanley’s Firm Market Risk Division, Lon O’Sullivan leads the Global Portfolio Analysis group and is responsible for briefing senior management on key market risk exposures. He spent three years at Morgan Stanley’s London office, where he was responsible for creating the regional analysis and reporting team. Prior to Morgan Stanley, O’Sullivan worked as a market risk manager for foreign exchange and commodity risk, and as an equity derivatives product controller at Deutsche Bank. O’Sullivan earned a bachelor’s degree in economics from Binghamton University, State University of New York (SUNY), and a master’s in finance from the London Business School. He has been a certified Financial Risk Manager (FRM®) with the Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP) since 2005. O’Sullivan served on the committee for GARP’s professional chapter in London before his relocation back to New York and is currently a co-director for the New York chapter of GARP. 10
  • 13. A Bridge Too Far? Risk Appetite, Governance and Corporate Strategy David M. Wallace Global Financial Services Marketing Manager SAS As Global Financial Services Marketing Manager for SAS, David M. Wallace is responsible for defining industry strategy for the banking and capital markets segments of the global financial services industry. He has more than 30 years of experience in applying information technology to solve customer needs, including a focus on the financial services industry for nearly 20 years. Before joining SAS, Wallace was Manager, Corporate Investment Banking, Americas FSI Marketing for Hewlett-Packard. He also held a number of senior sales and marketing positions over a 23-year career at HP. During a 10-year assignment managing the relationship with a top-five US financial services firm, Wallace was responsible for client projects in consumer banking, commercial banking, trust administration, retirement services, corporate and investment banking, shared services, and retail brokerage, among others. Wallace holds a bachelor’s degree in economics from the University of North Carolina at Wilmington and an MBA from East Carolina University. Peter Went Senior Researcher GARP Research Center Peter Went is a Senior Researcher for GARP’s Research Center, where he conducts research in financial risk management. Went has co-authored five books on risk management and numerous articles on foreign exchange, global equity market and commodity risk, as well as on the effects of emerging financial regulation on financial and capital markets. Previously, Went worked for a boutique investment firm and taught finance and risk management at University of Nebraska and the University of Connecticut. Went has a degree in economics from the Stockholm School of Economics and a doctorate in finance from the University of Nebraska. He is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) and a board member of Woodlands Financial Services Corporation. 11
  • 14. About SAS SAS is the leader in business analytics software and services, and the largest independent vendor in the business intelligence market. Through innovative solutions, SAS helps customers at more than 55,000 sites improve performance and deliver value by making better decisions faster. Since 1976, SAS has been giving customers around the world THE POWER TO KNOW ® For more information on . SAS® Business Analytics software and services, visit sas.com. SAS Institute Inc. World Headquarters   +1 919 677 8000 To contact your local SAS office, please visit: sas.com/offices SAS and all other SAS Institute Inc. product or service names are registered trademarks or trademarks of SAS Institute Inc. in the USA and other countries. ® indicates USA egistration. Other brand and product names are trademarks of their respective companies. Copyright © 2012, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved. 105872_S83089_0712