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R&D Budgeting - It's Harder than Rocket
               Science
                   Or

    Long Range Budgeting in a Short
             Term Town

                  Or

Budgeting: Democracy Trumps Efficiency


                                           1
Our system is perfectly and purposely
     designed to not be efficient

As a result, finding and holding on to a
credible budget is tougher than Rocket
                 Science


   What’s the Bottom Line?
                                           2
Managing Expectations and Influencing
             the Arrow/Circle Touchpoints

                                        “White House”
             NASA Office of                             Contractors
             Legislative Affairs


        Office of
        Management &                                               International Partners
                                   Congressional Members
        Budget
                                   Congressional Staffers

           Media                   Congressional Budget                    Outside Science
                                          Office                           Community

                                   Congressional Research
                                          Service
        Office of Science
                                   General Accountability          Space Advocacy
        and Technology
                                           Office                  Groups
        Policy

                                                            NASA Centers
                NASA Headquarters

                                       General Public
What is the bottom line? Our system is perfectly designed to not be efficient. To
                                                                                             3
protect Freedom and liberty is it’s purpose. No one player holds the key to power.
The Facts Of Budget Life
All major issues revolve around money. In the
Federal government, the budget drives the debate
Timing is everything. Stakeholders at all levels
have different products and expectations relating
to different phases of the budget cycle
Change happens…constantly
It’s not “your” budget. How you see the budget
depends on where you sit and what stage you are
looking at…one person’s requirement is seen by
the next level as only the request…
It is never complete
The Facts Of Budget Life
One does not go and get capital. One builds
credit so capital seeks you
Budget process gets longer and more
complicated every year. Federal government
requires nearly two years to settle on a set of one-
year estimates…and even then it is rarely
approved by Congress before the year in question
begins...usually takes months. Plan accordingly
Your every move will be second guessed…by a
myriad of people looking over your shoulder
It is political! You never know when lightning will
strike…facts can have little relevance if you are
caught in the middle of a big political battle
A perspective on Efficiency vs Democracy
…I have always worked with public funds…from dictatorship
to democracy, … from war and defense departments to the
civilian space agency. …no top research manager today can
ignore the economic, political, and even the social interface of
huge national programs. He can’t hold himself aloof from
politics and say he doesn't care for it. It matters. And it
matters most in a free country. In a democracy, the amount of
politics is in direct proportion to the amount of the budget –
and there's a lot of money in space. Democracy, with its
system of checks and balances, is not the fastest reacting form
of government... but…the public, once informed and aroused
can be trusted to make the right decision. It is essential that
the team members understand the system of government
under which it works
       –   Excerpt from 1962 speech of Wernher Von Braun           6
Budget Advocacy – Depends Where You Sit

            Task manager to Branch Chief
              Project to Ctr Directorate
           Project to Program (and Center)
         Program to HQ Mission Directorate
                Theme Manager to AA
        HQ Mission Directorate to Administrator
                    NASA to OMB
              Executive vs. Legislative
                  House vs. Senate
          Authorizations vs. Appropriations
             Republicans vs. Democrats
                 Member vs. Member
                Coalition vs. Coalition

Where does your sense of where the us vs them mentality start?
                                                            7
                  An OMB Story….
By 2020, “Boots on the moon”…
We will have had


  3-4 Presidents
  8 elections for House of Representatives
  3 Senate elections
  15 budgets
  So much for stability. However there are three
    things that will probably outlast us all…
                                                   8
The Moon…Our Curiosity…and…




                              9
…the Basis of Our Budget Authority
          “We the people of the United States, in order
          to form a more perfect Union, establish
          Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide
          for the common defense, promote the
          general Welfare, and secure the Blessings
          of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do
          ordain and establish this Constitution for the
          United States of America."




It all starts with the Constitution but where does funding
NASA fit in?
The Space Act refers to our role in support of the
“general welfare”                                            10
The President’s Budget - Broad National Priorities



   • Sets priority on war against terrorism
   • Promotes strong economy; includes other
     high-priority domestic initiatives
   • Restrains spending throughout the rest of
     government
   • Maintains focus on results instead of
     dollars



                                                 11
Where’s the Money?

                                              2007 Outlays
                                                    $2,770 Billion
                                                                                                     Discretionary 37%
                                          Net Interest                                   DoD
                                                                                     Discretionary
                                                                                                          Homeland
   *Other Mandatory                                                                                        Security
                                                    9%
                                                   9%                                                    Discretionary
                                                                              18%
                               12%                                                                        1%


       7%              7%
Medicaid
                                                                                             18%                  NDNH
                                                                                                               Discretionary
                                14%
                                                              21%
                                                                21%                                         18%


          Medicare

                                                                                            Mandatory 63%
                                                          Social Security

* Includes -- Means Tested Income Support, Federal Employee Retirement, and other.


                                                                                                                  NASA is in here
                                                                                                     .7% of discretionary spending
                                                                                                                               12
On What Basis are Decisions Made?
           Budget Priority Factors
Strategic Relevance/Criticality
 – Critical to achieve level 0 requirements as defined by
    Exploration vision
 – Critical to achieve level 0 as expanded to cover NASA goals
 – Directly critical to either of the above
 – Tangentially relevant to the above
 – Not relevant to the above
Agency Credibility (President’s Vision, Strategic plan,
External commitment)
State of Development (Implementation, formulation,
feasibility, early technology)
Cost impact of delay (significant or limited cost impact)
Process for Resolving issues (general order: project,
program, theme, directorate, agency, overguide (hopeful
thinking)
                                                                 13
Budget Stages – Where are we?
                                         We are here
Calendar yr          04             05    06    07               08             09                   FY Budget
         08 Budget to Congress
         The “baseline” for FY09
         formulation (POP 07)                                                  09                    09
             08 Submit to OMB
                                                               08               (08 accountability
                                                                                report)
                                                                                                     08
  Appropriation bill signed or CR


                                                 07             (07 accountability report)           07

                                         06       (06 accountability report)
                                                                                                     06




                                                                                                          14
  Formulation             Advocacy            Execution               Audit/Evaluation
From Project submit to Appropriation takes at
                   minimum 20 Months - Change Happens!

    M     A      M      J     J     A        S   O     N      D     J    F    M     A     M      J/J    A        S   O



                                                        20 MONTHS

Guidelines POP or PPBE 06                                                                               08 Appropriation
                                                                         • Final budget
                                                             PRESIDENT   approval
                                                                         • Budget message to
                                                                           Congress


                                                                         CONGRESS • Budget Resolution
                                                                                      • Authorization Acts
                                         OMB                                          • Appropriation Acts
                                         • Review and
                                         integrate agency
                                         recommendations
                                           - Markup and                                                OMB
                                         reclama process                                                • Midyear update /
                                         • Secure final                                                   sequester report
                                         determinations by                                              • Apportionment of
                                           President                                                      appropriated funds


   AGENCIES                                                                                      • Operating Plans
  • Internal determination of requirements                                                       • Obligations
    and authorities                                                                                                  AGENCIES
                                                                                                 • Costs
    - Formation of budget recommendations
                                                              We are here                        • Outlays



                                                                                                                               15
What’s a Project Manager to Do?
Requirements need to be credible, responsible, and focused on
results with clearly defined milestones and a baseline against which
progress can be measured.
Credibility counts. A successful track record makes the job of
convincing people of the need for resources much easier.
 – Tell reviewers about the project’s accomplishments and the milestones
   it has met to date.
 – Show evidence of program control techniques and produce earned
   value reports that lend credibility to projections, accompanied by plans
   to resolve any problems.
 – Let the stakeholders understand relationship of resources to outcomes
Be ready to trace the requirements from the project to the agency
goals and objectives. This will enable the stakeholders to know why
this project matters and how it contributes to the larger policy goals.
It answers the “so what” factor and enables the reviewers up the
line to translate an issue to their own bosses.
Be responsive to any questions that come back; deadlines are
looming and lack of responsiveness could lead to the wrong
information going forward.
Awareness of operating plan, commitments, obligation, and costing
rates. Don’t give anyone an excuse to take those funds away so
careful and realistic planning is important.                                  16
Budget Dynamics for Exploration

Four months into the year and we are facing a
full year CR.
Implications for budget we just submitted to
Congress
Go as you can afford to pay – schedule is the
variable
Dynamics of preliminary estimates becoming
the gospel early in formulation
Protecting the roll through to compensate for flat
funding curve

                                                     17
Program/Budget Framework: Enabling
                     Exploration
Advanced Capabilities Theme                                                  Constellation Theme

                                                                                 Constellation
    Lunar Precursor           Human             Technology
                                                                                 Program (JSC)
    Robotic Program          Program             Program
        (MSFC)                 (JSC)              (LaRC)
                                                                                      Orion
  • Global Map of the   • Human spaceflight   • Thermal
                        medical standards     Protection System                       Ares I




                                                                                                   Moon, Mars
  Moon for landing




                                                                                                   Destination:
  site determination                          for CEV
                        • Countermeasure
                                                                                     Ares V




                                                                  Products
  • Identification of   testing and           • Cabin air
  potential Lunar       validation            monitor for ISS
                                              and Orion                             Ground
  resources
                        • Research to                                              Operations
  • Assessment of       accurately estimate   • Non toxic RCS
  radiation hazard in   and reduce space      and orbital                           Mission
  low Lunar orbit       radiation risks       maneuvering                          Operations
                                              engines
  • Technology risk     • Physiological and
  reduction for human   medical studies on    • Nuclear surface                       EVA
  lunar landers         human/space suit      power technology
                        interaction           requirements




                                                                                                   Destination:
                                                                                Commercial Crew/




                                                                                                       ISS
                                                                                 Cargo Program
                                                                                     (JSC)
                                  Office of the Chief     Requirements
                                  Health and Medical
                                        Officer
                                                                                                        18
Protecting the roll through is essential for success…but very hard in a
 town that that has a short term focus - Basis for FY07 Budget Submit

              8000.0                                                                                              AR
                                                                                                               LUN E
                                                                                                             R UR
                                                                                                           FO CT
              7000.0                                                                                    GE ITE
                                                                                          EVA         ED RCH
                                                                                                     W A

              6000.0
                                                             ECANS

              5000.0
                                                                                                              Lande r

                                 Taxe s
              4000.0                                                                          SE&I
                                                                                                      He avy Lift LV

              3000.0
                                                                             Cre w Launch Ve hicle
                                           IP/ ISS
              2000.0
                                                              Cre w Exploration Ve hicle
              1000.0
                                                                                 Launch & M is s ion Sys te m s
                   0.0   FY 06     FY 07             FY 08           FY 09            FY 10           FY 11              FY 12




                         FY06      FY07              FY08            FY09             FY10            FY11              FY12
FY05 Carry In             192
Available Budget         1734      3058              3068            3613             4084            7698               8344
Requirement              1361      2564              2877            4047             4619            5614               7306
Total Available           565      494               191              434              535            2084               1038
Cum Delta                 565      1059              1250             816              281            2365             193403
The thing about democracy, beloveds, is that it is
 not neat, orderly, or quiet. It requires a certain
               relish for confusion

               - Molly Ivans, columnist




                                                      20

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Hunter andrew

  • 1. R&D Budgeting - It's Harder than Rocket Science Or Long Range Budgeting in a Short Term Town Or Budgeting: Democracy Trumps Efficiency 1
  • 2. Our system is perfectly and purposely designed to not be efficient As a result, finding and holding on to a credible budget is tougher than Rocket Science What’s the Bottom Line? 2
  • 3. Managing Expectations and Influencing the Arrow/Circle Touchpoints “White House” NASA Office of Contractors Legislative Affairs Office of Management & International Partners Congressional Members Budget Congressional Staffers Media Congressional Budget Outside Science Office Community Congressional Research Service Office of Science General Accountability Space Advocacy and Technology Office Groups Policy NASA Centers NASA Headquarters General Public What is the bottom line? Our system is perfectly designed to not be efficient. To 3 protect Freedom and liberty is it’s purpose. No one player holds the key to power.
  • 4. The Facts Of Budget Life All major issues revolve around money. In the Federal government, the budget drives the debate Timing is everything. Stakeholders at all levels have different products and expectations relating to different phases of the budget cycle Change happens…constantly It’s not “your” budget. How you see the budget depends on where you sit and what stage you are looking at…one person’s requirement is seen by the next level as only the request… It is never complete
  • 5. The Facts Of Budget Life One does not go and get capital. One builds credit so capital seeks you Budget process gets longer and more complicated every year. Federal government requires nearly two years to settle on a set of one- year estimates…and even then it is rarely approved by Congress before the year in question begins...usually takes months. Plan accordingly Your every move will be second guessed…by a myriad of people looking over your shoulder It is political! You never know when lightning will strike…facts can have little relevance if you are caught in the middle of a big political battle
  • 6. A perspective on Efficiency vs Democracy …I have always worked with public funds…from dictatorship to democracy, … from war and defense departments to the civilian space agency. …no top research manager today can ignore the economic, political, and even the social interface of huge national programs. He can’t hold himself aloof from politics and say he doesn't care for it. It matters. And it matters most in a free country. In a democracy, the amount of politics is in direct proportion to the amount of the budget – and there's a lot of money in space. Democracy, with its system of checks and balances, is not the fastest reacting form of government... but…the public, once informed and aroused can be trusted to make the right decision. It is essential that the team members understand the system of government under which it works – Excerpt from 1962 speech of Wernher Von Braun 6
  • 7. Budget Advocacy – Depends Where You Sit Task manager to Branch Chief Project to Ctr Directorate Project to Program (and Center) Program to HQ Mission Directorate Theme Manager to AA HQ Mission Directorate to Administrator NASA to OMB Executive vs. Legislative House vs. Senate Authorizations vs. Appropriations Republicans vs. Democrats Member vs. Member Coalition vs. Coalition Where does your sense of where the us vs them mentality start? 7 An OMB Story….
  • 8. By 2020, “Boots on the moon”… We will have had 3-4 Presidents 8 elections for House of Representatives 3 Senate elections 15 budgets So much for stability. However there are three things that will probably outlast us all… 8
  • 10. …the Basis of Our Budget Authority “We the people of the United States, in order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America." It all starts with the Constitution but where does funding NASA fit in? The Space Act refers to our role in support of the “general welfare” 10
  • 11. The President’s Budget - Broad National Priorities • Sets priority on war against terrorism • Promotes strong economy; includes other high-priority domestic initiatives • Restrains spending throughout the rest of government • Maintains focus on results instead of dollars 11
  • 12. Where’s the Money? 2007 Outlays $2,770 Billion Discretionary 37% Net Interest DoD Discretionary Homeland *Other Mandatory Security 9% 9% Discretionary 18% 12% 1% 7% 7% Medicaid 18% NDNH Discretionary 14% 21% 21% 18% Medicare Mandatory 63% Social Security * Includes -- Means Tested Income Support, Federal Employee Retirement, and other. NASA is in here .7% of discretionary spending 12
  • 13. On What Basis are Decisions Made? Budget Priority Factors Strategic Relevance/Criticality – Critical to achieve level 0 requirements as defined by Exploration vision – Critical to achieve level 0 as expanded to cover NASA goals – Directly critical to either of the above – Tangentially relevant to the above – Not relevant to the above Agency Credibility (President’s Vision, Strategic plan, External commitment) State of Development (Implementation, formulation, feasibility, early technology) Cost impact of delay (significant or limited cost impact) Process for Resolving issues (general order: project, program, theme, directorate, agency, overguide (hopeful thinking) 13
  • 14. Budget Stages – Where are we? We are here Calendar yr 04 05 06 07 08 09 FY Budget 08 Budget to Congress The “baseline” for FY09 formulation (POP 07) 09 09 08 Submit to OMB 08 (08 accountability report) 08 Appropriation bill signed or CR 07 (07 accountability report) 07 06 (06 accountability report) 06 14 Formulation Advocacy Execution Audit/Evaluation
  • 15. From Project submit to Appropriation takes at minimum 20 Months - Change Happens! M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J/J A S O 20 MONTHS Guidelines POP or PPBE 06 08 Appropriation • Final budget PRESIDENT approval • Budget message to Congress CONGRESS • Budget Resolution • Authorization Acts OMB • Appropriation Acts • Review and integrate agency recommendations - Markup and OMB reclama process • Midyear update / • Secure final sequester report determinations by • Apportionment of President appropriated funds AGENCIES • Operating Plans • Internal determination of requirements • Obligations and authorities AGENCIES • Costs - Formation of budget recommendations We are here • Outlays 15
  • 16. What’s a Project Manager to Do? Requirements need to be credible, responsible, and focused on results with clearly defined milestones and a baseline against which progress can be measured. Credibility counts. A successful track record makes the job of convincing people of the need for resources much easier. – Tell reviewers about the project’s accomplishments and the milestones it has met to date. – Show evidence of program control techniques and produce earned value reports that lend credibility to projections, accompanied by plans to resolve any problems. – Let the stakeholders understand relationship of resources to outcomes Be ready to trace the requirements from the project to the agency goals and objectives. This will enable the stakeholders to know why this project matters and how it contributes to the larger policy goals. It answers the “so what” factor and enables the reviewers up the line to translate an issue to their own bosses. Be responsive to any questions that come back; deadlines are looming and lack of responsiveness could lead to the wrong information going forward. Awareness of operating plan, commitments, obligation, and costing rates. Don’t give anyone an excuse to take those funds away so careful and realistic planning is important. 16
  • 17. Budget Dynamics for Exploration Four months into the year and we are facing a full year CR. Implications for budget we just submitted to Congress Go as you can afford to pay – schedule is the variable Dynamics of preliminary estimates becoming the gospel early in formulation Protecting the roll through to compensate for flat funding curve 17
  • 18. Program/Budget Framework: Enabling Exploration Advanced Capabilities Theme Constellation Theme Constellation Lunar Precursor Human Technology Program (JSC) Robotic Program Program Program (MSFC) (JSC) (LaRC) Orion • Global Map of the • Human spaceflight • Thermal medical standards Protection System Ares I Moon, Mars Moon for landing Destination: site determination for CEV • Countermeasure Ares V Products • Identification of testing and • Cabin air potential Lunar validation monitor for ISS and Orion Ground resources • Research to Operations • Assessment of accurately estimate • Non toxic RCS radiation hazard in and reduce space and orbital Mission low Lunar orbit radiation risks maneuvering Operations engines • Technology risk • Physiological and reduction for human medical studies on • Nuclear surface EVA lunar landers human/space suit power technology interaction requirements Destination: Commercial Crew/ ISS Cargo Program (JSC) Office of the Chief Requirements Health and Medical Officer 18
  • 19. Protecting the roll through is essential for success…but very hard in a town that that has a short term focus - Basis for FY07 Budget Submit 8000.0 AR LUN E R UR FO CT 7000.0 GE ITE EVA ED RCH W A 6000.0 ECANS 5000.0 Lande r Taxe s 4000.0 SE&I He avy Lift LV 3000.0 Cre w Launch Ve hicle IP/ ISS 2000.0 Cre w Exploration Ve hicle 1000.0 Launch & M is s ion Sys te m s 0.0 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY05 Carry In 192 Available Budget 1734 3058 3068 3613 4084 7698 8344 Requirement 1361 2564 2877 4047 4619 5614 7306 Total Available 565 494 191 434 535 2084 1038 Cum Delta 565 1059 1250 816 281 2365 193403
  • 20. The thing about democracy, beloveds, is that it is not neat, orderly, or quiet. It requires a certain relish for confusion - Molly Ivans, columnist 20