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NLMK Q2 2012 US GAAP
1. NLMK
Q2 AND 6M 2012 US GAAP CONSOLIDATED
RESULTS
Moscow, August 9, 2012
2. DISCLAIMER
This document is confidential and has been prepared by NLMK (the “Company”) solely for use at the investor presentation of the Company and may not be
reproduced, retransmitted or further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any other purpose.
This document does not constitute or form part of any advertisement of securities, any offer or invitation to sell or issue or any solicitation of any offer to purchase
or subscribe for, any shares in the Company or Global Depositary Shares (GDSs), nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its presentation or distribution form the
basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision.
No reliance may be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information contained in this document or on assumptions made as to its completeness. No
representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by the Company, its subsidiaries or any of their respective advisers, officers, employees or agents, as to the
accuracy of the information or opinions or for any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of this presentation or its contents.
This document is for distribution only in the United Kingdom and the presentation is being made only in the United Kingdom to persons having professional
experience in matters relating to investments falling within Article 19(1) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (the
“Order”) or high net worth entities, and other persons to whom it may otherwise lawfully be communicated, falling within Article 49(2) of the Order (all such
persons together being referred to as “relevant persons”). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its
contents.
The distribution of this document in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law and any person into whose possession this document comes should inform
themselves about, and observe, any such restrictions.
This document may include forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include matters that are not historical facts or statements regarding
the Company’s intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, the Company’s results of operations, financial condition, liquidity,
prospects, growth, strategies, and the industry in which the Company operates. By their nature, forwarding-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties
because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. The Company cautions you that forward-looking statements
are not guarantees of future performance and that the Company’s actual results of operations, financial condition and liquidity and the development of the
industry in which the Company operates may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in this document. In
addition, even if the Company’s results of operations, financial condition and liquidity and the development of the industry in which the Company operates are
consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in this document, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in
future periods. The Company does not undertake any obligation to review or confirm analysts’ expectations or estimates or to update any forward-looking
statements to reflect events that occur or circumstances that arise after the date of this presentation.
By attending this presentation you agree to be bound by the foregoing terms.
2
3. HIGHLIGHTS
Q2 ‘12 FINANCIAL RESULTS EPS
0,05 $/share
• Revenue $3,257 m (+5% q-o-q) 0,05
0,04 0,04
• EBITDA $596 m (+38%),
0,03
0,03 0,03
• EBITDA margin 18.3% (+4.3 п.п.)
0,02
• EPS 0,046$ (+61%), net profit margin of 8.5% (+2.9 p.p.)
0,01
• Operating cash flow: $304 m (-39%)
0,00
• Capex: $453 m (+27%) Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012
• Net debt/12M EBITDA: 1,90
Q2 ‘12 OPERATING RESULTS
• Steel output: 3,843 m t (+6%) EBITDA MARGIN
20% 18% 16%-18%
• Steel sales: 3,817 m t (-1%)
15% 14% 14%
incl. NLMK Int’l sales of 1,128 m t (0%) 12%
• Revenue/t $853 (+7%) 10%
• Slab cash cost at Lipetsk plant: $411/t (+4%)
5%
0%
Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012E
3
4. PRODUCTION
Q2’12 OUTPUT UP 6% Q/Q CRUDE STEEL PRODUCTION, QUARTERLY
• Novolipetsk (Steel segment) 3,130 m t (+6% qoq) 4 million t 3.6 3.8 ~3.8
3,5 3.2
• NLMK Long Steel 0.465 m t (+10% qoq) 3
2.9
• NLMK USA 0.181 m t (-8% qoq) 2,5
2
1,5
CAPACITY UTILIZATION OF 96% 1
0,5
• Lipetsk plant (Steel segment) 99% (+2 pp)
0
• NLMK Long Steel 85% (+8 pp) Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012E
• NLMK USA 94% (-6 pp) Steel Segment Long Segment Foreign Rolled Products
OUTLOOK
• Q3’12 steel output to remain flat at 3.8 m t
CAPACITY UTILIZATION
Novolipetsk 99%
97%
NLMK Long 85%
77%
NLMK USA 94%
100%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%
Q2 2012 Q1 2012
4
5. MARKETS
DEMAND IN Q2’12 GLOBAL STEEL RUN RATE AND STEEL STOCK LEVELS
85%
• Steel consumption in Russia grew 7% qoq 1,2
Index, Jan 2011 = 1
• Demand in the global markets remained weak 1,1 80%
1 75%
PRICING ENVIRONMENT 0,9
70%
Run rate (RHS)
• In Russia prices impacted by weaker RUB/US$ FX rate 0,8
Germany stocks (LHS)
65%
0,7 Chinese stocks (LHS)
• US prices were lower by 1-4% qoq USA stocks (LHS)
0,6 60%
• European prices under pressure from unstable economic
Jan-11
Feb-11
Mar-11
Apr-11
May-11
Jun-11
Jul-11
Aug-11
Sep-11
Oct-11
Nov-11
Dec-11
Jan-12
Feb-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
conditions
RUSSIAN STEEL CONSUMPTION (LEFT)
NLMK MARKET POSITION (RIGHT) AVERAGE SELLING PRICES (INDICATIVE) BY REGION
7 million t per % NLMK steel production share in Russia 1000 $/t Quarterly dynamics
month in Q2 was 20,4% adjusted for
6 900 production/sales cycle
5 800
4 700
3 100% 600
84%
2 500 HRC Export FOB
1 33% 400 HRC US domestic, FOB
24% 18% 24%
11% 19% EU domestic, EXW
0 300
Pre-painted
HDG
GO
NGO
CRC
HRC
Re-bar
Metalware
июн-12
Jan-11
Feb-11
Mar-11
Mar-11
Apr-11
May-11
Jun-11
Jul-11
Aug-11
Sep-11
Oct-11
Nov-11
Dec-11
Jan-12
Jan-12
Feb-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Jan-11
Apr-11
Jul-11
Oct-11
Jan-12
Apr-12
Steel production
Steel products consumption Source: Steel Business Briefing 5
6. SALES GEOGRAPHY
DOMESTIC SALES REVENUE BY REGION
$ million
• Domestic sales share up 4 pp to 32% 353
3 000 253 337
168
• Revenue from domestic sales up 10% to $1.2 bn 266
353
359 332
361 527 494
458
2 000 364 269 191
878 273
EXPORT SALES 698 740
634
1 000
• Decline in US sales as competition intensified 1 308
902 1 057 1 163
• Seasonally weaker sales in the M.East -
• Decreasing sales in EU Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012
Russia EU M.East (incl Turkey) N.America Asia Other
SALES BY REGION
4 million t
0,30 0,37
0,26
0,36 0,63 0,55
3 0,20 0,83
0,56 0,63 0,61
0,50 0,38 0,33
2 0,47
0,34
0,68 0,83 0,75
0,56
1
1,11 1,06 1,10 1,20
0
Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012
Other Asia N.America M.East (incl Turkey) EU Russia
6
7. SALES STRUCTURE
GROWTH IN VALUE ADDED GRADES Q2 ‘12 REVENUE AND SALES BY PRODUCT
• Significant growth of construction steel driven by 100% 4% 2% Pig iron
seasonally strong demand in Russia 90%
22%
14% Slabs
80% HRC
• Growth in electrical steel sales from better demand in 70% 22%
Plates
domestic and international markets 60% 26% 8% CRC
50% 13% HDG
DECREASE OF ORDINARY GRADES 40%
7% High value
added
9% Pre-painted
14% products
• Decrease of third party sales of slabs as intersegmental 30% Share in 2% 4% NGO
8%
20% revenue – Transformer
trade went up 2% 2% 44% 8%
10% 2% Rebar
10% 10%
• Drop in merchant pig iron as demand deteriorated 0% 2% Metalware
Sales Revenue
Other
• HRC sales came under pressure from growing competition
SALES BY PRODUCTS Q2 ‘12 SALES STRUCTURE DYNAMICS
4 million t
NGO
30%
1,11 1,00 Metalware
3 0,80 1,15 23%
Long steel 20%
0,39 0,47
0,37 GO 17%
0,33
2 Pre-painted 14%
1,32 1,34 1,37
1,26 CRC 4%
1 HDG -1%
1,03 0,97 Slabs -4%
0,89 0,82
HRC -5%
0
Plates -11%
Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012
Pig iron -36%
Semi-finished Long steel Value added flat Flat steel -40% -20% 0% 20% 40%
7
8. PRODUCTION COSTS
• Change in input mix (growth in pellets consumption COST OF GOODS SOLD DYNAMICS
2600 $ million
and imported coal) was impacting costs 2 367
2400
2 210 2 205
• Lower RUB FX rate (c. 75% of costs) and growth in own 2200
2 163
feedstock mitigated costs’ growth 2000
1800
• Decline in segmental production cost on the back of
1600
raw material prices softening 1400
• Long steel segment COGS grew as output increased 1200
1000
Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012
PRODUCTION COSTS BY SEGMENTS CONSOLIDATED PRODUCTION COSTS IN Q2 2012
Iron ore 11%
Consolidated production costs 2 205
2 210 12% 11% Coal / coke 19%
Intersegmental operations 878 Scrap 15%
806 11%
Ferroalloys 4%
84 19%
Mining segment 0,8% 4%
74 Materials 18%
Long products segment 387 Electric energy 7%
272 7%
Natural gas 4%
Foreign rolled products segment 952 15%
919 18% Other energy 0.8%
4%
Steel segment 1 660 Other costs 11%
1 751
Labor 12%
Q2 2012 Q1 2012 - 1 000 2 000 3 000
$ million 8
9. PROFITABILITY
Q2’12 EBITDA GREW + 38% Q/Q SEGMENTS CONTRIBUTION TO EBITDA: Q1 VS Q2’12
• Improved product mix and stable production costs 700 $ million +30
650 +152 +21
PROFITABILITY BY SEGMENT +5
600
550 596
• Steel: Growth in domestic sales supported better 500
-44
product mix 450
400 432
• Long: Sales volumes growth, improved product mix, 350
300
usage of own billets as a feedstock 250
200
• Foreign assets: Average selling prices growth, costs
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
segment
Foreign RPS
Long steel
Mining
Other
Steel
under control
• Mining : Sales growth, COGS firmly low
NLMK GROUP EBITDA margin SEGMENTS CONTRIBUTION TO Q2’12 EBITDA
20% 16%-18% 700 $ million
247
600
15% -14 596
500
400 50
318
10%
18% 300
14% 14% -5
12% 200
5%
100
0% 0
Segment
Segment
Q2 2012
Foreign RPS
segment
Other
Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012E
Mining
Steel
Long
9
10. CASH FLOW
OPERATING CASH FLOW Q2’12 CASH BRIDGE
• Decreased due to seasonal stocks build
$ million
CHANGE IN CASH
• Change in product mix -157
FINANCING CASH FLOW FX rate change +31
• Net cash inflow of $110 m
Dividends
o as the company used its credit lines to repay short -113
term debt and for corporate purposes FREE CASH FLOW
-74
o Paid dividends
Other financial operations
-156
Net loans
+231
PPE -453
Operating and financing cash flow and investments
$ million OPERATING CASH FLOW 304
800
Profit tax -84
400
Other non cash operations -53
0
Working capital change -155
-400
-800 EBITDA 596
Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012
Operating CF Financing CF Investments
10
11. DEBT
DEBT POSITION CHANGE IN DEBT PORTFOLIO
• Gross debt $4.34 bn (-3%) $6 $ billion
0,4 -0,1 -0,4
• Cash and equivalents1 $0.78 bn (-17%) $5
• Net debt / 12M EBITDA 1,90 $4
1,8 2,0
$3
• Balanced debt and cash position
$2
RATINGS
2,7 ST Debt LT Debt 2,4
$1
• Investment grade from three rating agencies
$0
31 March 12 Loans Payments FX rate and 30 June 12
other factors
FINANCIAL DEBT BY CURRENCY 2 CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS BY CURRENCY2
RUB RUB
32%
40% 37%
47% $US US$
Euro Euro
13% 31%
1. Cash, cash equivalents and short term deposits
2. As at 30.06.2012г. 11
12. MATURITY
DEBT MATURITY SHORT TERM DEBT MATURITY PROFILE 1
• Short term debt $1.97 bn 2,5
$ billion
• Short term part of PXF, SIF obligations, 0.5
2,0 2.375
• Payment of RUB three year notes
1,5 0.8
• Long term debt $2.372 bn
1,0
• RUB three year notes, long term part of PXF, 0.7
0,5
and ECA facilities
0.3
0,0
• Long term obligation of SIF
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
Q1 2013
Q2 2013
INTEREST EXPENSE4 LONG TERM DEBT MATURITY PROFILE 2
70 $ million $2 000 $ million 1,892
60 $1 800
$1 600
50 $1 400
40 $1 200 1,054
$1 000 892
30 $800
20 $600 481
$400
10
$200
0 $0
Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 2012 2013 2014 2015 and
onward
1. The ST maturity payments include interests accrued and bond coupon payments in 2012
2. .The maturity payments do not include interests PXF Notes ECA EBRD SIF Other
3 At the exchange rate as of 30.06.2012 12
4. Quarterly figures are derived by computational method based on reporting data for the 6M, 9M, 12M 2011 and for the 3M, 6M 2012.
14. STEEL SEGMENT (1)
HIGHER PROFITABILITY FOR THE SEGMENT Q2 SALES AND REVENUE STRUCTURE
• EBITDA margin +14% or 6 p.p. up q-o-q, due to 000’t 2 220 $ 1 816 Pig iron
100% million
6% 3%
• Improved product mix 90% Slabs
24%
• Growth in domestic sales 80%
38%
HRC
70% CRC
• Lower COGS 60%
17%
HDG
50% 15%
21% PC
40% High value 7%
30% added 9% Transformer
17% products
20% 7% Dynamo
6% 4%
10% 3%
3% 6%
0% 0%3% 10% Coke (trading)
0%
Sales Revenue Others
REVENUE AND EBITDA MARGIN Q1 SALES AND REVENUE STRUCTURE
$ billion 18% 000’t 2 353 $ 1795 Pig iron
1,89 100% 5%
2,0 1,79 1,82 16% 9% million
90% Slabs
14% 14%
80% 27% HRC
1,5 12% 37%
11% 70% CRC
10%
60% 19%
1,0 8% 8% HDG
50%
6% 22% 16% PC
0,42 0,46 40%
0,5 0,33 4% High value
30% added 8% Transformer
2% 20% 16% products 8% Dynamo
0,0 0% 6% 6%
10% 3% 3%
Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 2% 5%
0% 0%3% 5% Coke (trading)
0%
Revenue from third parties (LHS) Sales Revenue Others
Intercompany sales (LHS)
EBITDA margin (RHS) 14
15. STEEL SEGMENT (2)
PRODUCTION EXPENSES -5% Q/Q CASH COST AND FOREX RATE DYNAMICS
35
• RUR/US$ FX rate marked decline in production costs, as 450
$/t
411
RUR/$
395 34
c. 90% costs RUB related 400
33
350 294 32
• Slab cash cost (+4%), on pellets consumption and 300 262
31
250
imported coal increase, and high scrap prices 200 30
150 29
100 28
50 27
0 26
Jan-12
Feb-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Q1 2012 Q2 2012
Slab Coke
BOF STEEL CASH COST FOR GLOBAL PRODUCERS SLAB CASH COST
Coking coal and coke 30%
700 $/t production
57 Iron ore materials 21%
600
124 Scrap 12%
31
500 Other materials 8%
17 $411/t
400 Novolipetsk 18 Electricity 4%
Natural gas 4%
300 31
85 Personnel 7%
200 48
106
113
120
127
134
141
1
8
43
15
22
29
36
50
57
64
71
78
85
92
99
Other expenses 18%
100 mtpa 260 mtpa 500 mtpa 550 mtpa
Cumulative capacity of BOF production
15
16. LONG PRODUCTS SEGMENT (1)
REVENUE +20% SALES STRUCTURE AND REVENUE IN Q2 2012
• Increase in domestic demand and high capacity utilization ‘000 t 497 $ million
500 28
after start of EAF
77
400 329 Scrap
PROFITABILITY + 5 P.P.
300 10 Metalware
• Increased sales, better product mix and lower specific 57
Long products
200 390
production costs Billets
259
100 Others
0 2 4 1
0
Sales Revenue
SEGMENT’S REVENUE AND EBITDA SALES STRUCTURE AND REVENUE IN Q1 2012
350 $ million 329 25% 500 ‘000 t $ million
299 20% 404
275
280 259 15% 400 19
10% 63 275 Scrap
204
210 10% 5% 300 Metalware
8% 162 7
4% 0% 47
126 200 Long products
140 -5%
-11% -10% 322 Billets
73
70 -15% 100 218
Others
-20% 4
0 -25% 0
Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Sales Revenue
Revenue from 3-rd parties (LHS)
Revenue from intercompany sales (LHS)
EBITDA margin (RHS) 16
17. LONG PRODUCTS SEGMENT (2)
PRODUCTION COSTS + 42% CASH COST AND FOREX RATE DYNAMICS
• Soared sales to 3-rd parties $/t
35
RUR/$
500 444 453 34
• Seasonal growth of internal operations (scrap supplies 33
400 32
to Lipetsk site)
300 31
• Billets costs up 2% to $453/t on FX rate and scrap prices 30
200 29
28
100
27
0 26
Jan-12
Feb-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Q1 2012 Q2 2012
Billet cost
BILLET CASH COST AT NSMMZ*
0% Scrap 78%
4% 1% 10%
Electricity 7%
7%
Ferroalloys 4%
$453/t
Natural gas 0%
78% Labor 1%
Other materials 10%
* NSMMZ – key steel production plant of the Long Products segment 17
18. MINING SEGMENT
DYNAMICS OF IRON ORE CONCENTRATE SALES AND
SEGMENT’S REVENUE PRODUCTION COST
• Growth driven by higher sales incl. third party sales. This 5,0 million t 25 $/t
21 22
was partially offset by the decline in iron ore price 4,0 20
PRODUCTION COST 0,90
0,48
3,0 15
• Cash costs insignificantly grew due to inflation influence
2,0 10
on the expenditure components of the segment (mining 3,00 3,01
1,0 5
and beneficiation)
0,0 0
• Stoilensky remains one of the most efficient producers in Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q1 2012 Q2 2012
the world with a production cost of $22/t and EBITDA Sales to the 3-rd parties
Iron ore concentrate
margin of 69% Sales to NLMK
EVALUATION OF IRON ORE CONCENTRATE PRODUCTION COST
SEGMENT’S REVENUE AND EBITDA IN THE WORLD
$140
400 360 80%
$/t $120 $/t
300 281 274 75% $100
$80
73% 69%
200 69% 70%
$60
86 $40 STOILENSKY
100 65%
36 $20
1
0 60% $0
Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 0 500 1 000 1 500
Revenue from 3-rd parties (l.h.) Cumulative capacity of iron ore beneficiation
Revenue from intercompany sales (l.h.)
EBITDA margin (r.h.) 18
19. FOREIGN ROLLED PRODUCTS SEGMENT (1)
PROFITABILITY OF THE SEGMENT SALES STRUCTURE AND REVENUE OF NLMK USA
• EBITDA margin about 0% in Q1 and Q2 due to: 600 ‘000 t mln
$ million ‘000 t $ million
485
• Active sales strategy on the volatile Europe 387 433
374
102 Others
market 400 2 82 19
128 90
• Slight increase in Q2 sales prices 105 75 Coated steel
107 92
• Continuous reduction in production cost 200
CRC
256 245
187 188
HRC
0
Sales Revenue Sales Revenue
Q2 2012 Q1 2012
SEGMENT’S REVENUE AND EBITDA SALES STRUCTURE AND REVENUE OF NLMK EUROPE
1,2 ‘000 t $ million ‘000 t $ million
$ billion 800 696
1,0 642 612 Semi-finished
15 615
15
0,8 600 17 15 Plate
292
0,6 260
286 270 HRC
0,989 1,026 400
0,4 0,909
CRC
0,2 252 153 268 197
200
39 31 Coated steel
0,0 -0,010 -0,005 27 27
-0,117 89 104 94 92
Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 0 0 12 11 Others
-0,2
Sales Revenue Sales Revenue
EBITDA Sales revenue from the 3-rd parties
Q2 2012 Q1 2012
19
20. FOREIGN ROLLED PRODUCTS SEGMENT (2)
PRODUCTION COSTS EURO EXCHANGE RATE DYNAMICS
• COGS up 4% due to 1,36 $/EUR
1,34
• Marginal slab price increase for EU 1,32
• US$/EUR exchange rate decrease for EU 1,30
1,28
operations 1,26
1,24
• Softer scrap prices for N. American assets
1,22
• N.American assets consumed more slabs from 1,20
1,18
Novolipetsk
Jan-12
Feb-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
• 6% qoq growth in internal slab sales to the Segment
to 0.75 m
NLMK INDIANA CASH COST OF SLAB
Scrap 75%
12%
3%
0% Electric energy 4%
6%
4% Ferroalloys 6%
$600/t
Natural gas 0%
75%
Personal costs 3%
Other materials 12%
20
22. CAPEX
GROWTH IN CRUDE STEEL CAPACITY CAPEX
• Blast Furnace #7 / BOF3,4 m tpa project completed. 100%
$ million
2500
Utilisation rates are increasing. 80% 2000
• Improved steel quality, +30 new steel grades 76% 74%
60% 81% 82% 1500
• Kaluga mini mill (1,5 m tpa of long steel) expected to 87%
40% 1000
launch Q2 2013.
20% 500
FINISHED PRODUCTS OUTPUT GROWTH 24% 19% 13% 18% 26%
0% 0
• Growth in rolling capacity to produce value added 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E
products Maintanance Development
• Improved quality of the existing (incl niche) products
VERTICAL INTEGRATION
• Iron ore capacity growth with continued expansion of
CAPEX BY SEGMENT, 2012 (E)
Stoilensky
• Coal deposits projects ongoing
11%
• Expansion of scrap capacity Steel Segment
IMPROVED EFFICIENCY
20% Long Segment
• Growth of self-sufficiency and efficient use of energy
52%
Mining Segment
17% Foreign RPS
22
23. OUTLOOK
PRODUCTION
• Q3 2012 steel output to remain flat at 3.8 m t
• 12M 2012: 15 m t, + 25% yoy
FINANCIALS
• Q3 Revenue down by 5-10% qoq on lower market prices
• EBITDA margin to stay at 16-18% as costs are also down
• Results will depend on the input material prices and FX rate movements
MARKET OUTLOOK
• Seasonal slowdown in international markets in Q3 to be aggravated by the sluggish macroeconomic conditions
• Q3 steel prices on the record low levels since early 2012
• Stable demand in the domestic market
23