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DETERMINANTS OF
HOUSEHOLDS’ INVESTMENT IN
ENERGY EFFICIENCY AND
RENEWABLES
EVIDENCE FROM THE OECD SURVEY
Nadia Ameli and Nicola Brandt
Outline
• Data
• Methodology
• Results
• Policy conclusions
Motivation and Background
• Credit constraints
• Principal-agent problems (owner effect)
• Information problems
• Bounded rationality
“The Efficiency Gap” and households’
technology adoption
The HH survey data
• 12’000 households
• Australia, Canada, Chile, France,
Israel, Japan, Korea, Netherlands,
Spain, Sweden, Switzerland
• Survey on Household Environmental
Behaviour and Attitudes (2011) from
the Environment Directorate
The HH survey data: Technologies
• Energy-efficient appliances (62%)
• Light bulbs (82%)
• Heat pumps (4%)
• Solar panels (11%)
• Thermal insulation (34%)
• Heat thermostat (33%)
• Energy-efficient windows (38%)
• Socioeconomic (age, education, income, HH size,
no cope, gender)
• Dwellings (house, tenure, owner, rural)
• Attitudes, beliefs and behaviour (green
growthers/altruist/sceptics, NGO, cost bias)
• Household’s knowledge about energy use,
spending and exposure to price (metered, energy
bill known, kWh known, energy behaviour index)
The HH survey data: variables
• The probability of household’s investing in good i is
modelled as:
𝑃 𝑦𝑖 = 1|𝑥𝑖 =
exp 𝛽𝑋 𝑖
1+exp 𝛽𝑋 𝑖
= Λ 𝛽𝑋𝑖
where Λ denotes the logistic cumulative distribution
function
Econometric Model: Logit
• APPL: income, owner, NGO, Beh_Index, kWh, metered
• BULB: age, HHsize, owner, house, tenure, rural, sceptics, NGO, Beh_Index, Ebill
• THERM: age, income, owner, house, tenure, rural, NGO, Beh_Index, kWh, Ebill, cost bias
• SOLAR: HHsize, house, rural, Env_NGO, Beh_Index, Ebill, cost bias
• PUMPS: age, income, owner, rural, altruist, green-growther, Env_NGO
• INSULATION: age, income, owner, house, tenure, sceptics, NGO, Beh_Index
• WINDOWS: age, income, owner, house, tenure, rural, NGO, Beh_Index, Ebill, metered
Bayesian Model Averaging method
Technologies Explanatory variable: Owner
Marginal effects Obser.
Energy-efficient appliances
0.0785***
(0.0122)
8 605
Heat thermostats
0.0714***
(0.0134)
7 334
Thermal insulation
0.141***
(0.0136)
6 807
Light bulbs
0.0186***
(0.00789)
10 951
Heat pumps
0.00884***
(0.00302)
7 645
Energy-efficient windows
0.131***
(0.0143)
7 269
Some results: owner effect
Technologies Explanatory variable: Income
Marginal effects Obser.
Energy-efficient appliances
0.0833***
(0.00978)
8 605
Thermal insulation
0.0508***
(0.0107)
6 807
Heat thermostats
0.00306***
(0.00053)
7 334
Energy-efficient windows
0.0474***
(0.0115)
7 269
Some results: capital constraints
the influence of income on the ability to invest
Some results: capital constraints
Predicted probability of investing in energy-efficient
appliances depending on changes in income
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 140000 160000 180000
Predicted probability of investing
Technologies Explanatory variable: NGO
Marginal effects Obser.
Energy-efficient appliances
0.0797***
(0.0112)
8 605
Light bulbs
0.0511***
(0.00696)
10 951
Thermal insulation
0.0638***
(0.0123)
6 807
*Solar panels
0.0536***
(0.0121)
6 485
*Heat pumps
0.0209***
(0.00659)
7 645
Heat thermostats
0.0535***
(0.0115)
7 334
Energy-efficient windows
0.0546***
(0.0126)
7 269
Some results: attitudes, beliefs and
behaviour
*Variable: environmental NGO
Some results: Attitudes, beliefs and
behaviours
Technologies
Explanatory variable: Energy
behaviour index
Marginal effects Obser.
Energy-efficient appliances
0.0322***
(0.00319)
8 605
Light bulbs
0.0196***
(0.00186)
10 951
Heat thermostats
0.0182***
(0.00332)
7 334
Solar panels
0.00634***
(0.00167)
6 485
Thermal insulation
0.0309***
(0.00358)
6 807
Energy-efficient windows
0.0232***
(0.00364)
7 269
Some conclusions
• Evidence for credit constraints
• Evidence for the owner effect
• Attitudes and beliefs are important
Targeted policies are required
Capital constraints
• Financing/Loan (PACE, Green Deal, KfW)
• Direct subsidies, tax credit, rebates
Policy recommendations
Principal-agent problem
• Energy labels/product standards
• Explicitly allowing owners to increase
the rent after implementing EE and RE
Policy recommendations
Promoting energy conservation actions
and pro-environmental behaviour
• Information programs (peer comparison
feedback)
• “Nudge” (loft clearance scheme, UK)

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Factors Determining Household Investment in Energy Efficiency and Renewables

  • 1. DETERMINANTS OF HOUSEHOLDS’ INVESTMENT IN ENERGY EFFICIENCY AND RENEWABLES EVIDENCE FROM THE OECD SURVEY Nadia Ameli and Nicola Brandt
  • 2. Outline • Data • Methodology • Results • Policy conclusions
  • 3. Motivation and Background • Credit constraints • Principal-agent problems (owner effect) • Information problems • Bounded rationality “The Efficiency Gap” and households’ technology adoption
  • 4. The HH survey data • 12’000 households • Australia, Canada, Chile, France, Israel, Japan, Korea, Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland • Survey on Household Environmental Behaviour and Attitudes (2011) from the Environment Directorate
  • 5. The HH survey data: Technologies • Energy-efficient appliances (62%) • Light bulbs (82%) • Heat pumps (4%) • Solar panels (11%) • Thermal insulation (34%) • Heat thermostat (33%) • Energy-efficient windows (38%)
  • 6. • Socioeconomic (age, education, income, HH size, no cope, gender) • Dwellings (house, tenure, owner, rural) • Attitudes, beliefs and behaviour (green growthers/altruist/sceptics, NGO, cost bias) • Household’s knowledge about energy use, spending and exposure to price (metered, energy bill known, kWh known, energy behaviour index) The HH survey data: variables
  • 7. • The probability of household’s investing in good i is modelled as: 𝑃 𝑦𝑖 = 1|𝑥𝑖 = exp 𝛽𝑋 𝑖 1+exp 𝛽𝑋 𝑖 = Λ 𝛽𝑋𝑖 where Λ denotes the logistic cumulative distribution function Econometric Model: Logit
  • 8. • APPL: income, owner, NGO, Beh_Index, kWh, metered • BULB: age, HHsize, owner, house, tenure, rural, sceptics, NGO, Beh_Index, Ebill • THERM: age, income, owner, house, tenure, rural, NGO, Beh_Index, kWh, Ebill, cost bias • SOLAR: HHsize, house, rural, Env_NGO, Beh_Index, Ebill, cost bias • PUMPS: age, income, owner, rural, altruist, green-growther, Env_NGO • INSULATION: age, income, owner, house, tenure, sceptics, NGO, Beh_Index • WINDOWS: age, income, owner, house, tenure, rural, NGO, Beh_Index, Ebill, metered Bayesian Model Averaging method
  • 9. Technologies Explanatory variable: Owner Marginal effects Obser. Energy-efficient appliances 0.0785*** (0.0122) 8 605 Heat thermostats 0.0714*** (0.0134) 7 334 Thermal insulation 0.141*** (0.0136) 6 807 Light bulbs 0.0186*** (0.00789) 10 951 Heat pumps 0.00884*** (0.00302) 7 645 Energy-efficient windows 0.131*** (0.0143) 7 269 Some results: owner effect
  • 10. Technologies Explanatory variable: Income Marginal effects Obser. Energy-efficient appliances 0.0833*** (0.00978) 8 605 Thermal insulation 0.0508*** (0.0107) 6 807 Heat thermostats 0.00306*** (0.00053) 7 334 Energy-efficient windows 0.0474*** (0.0115) 7 269 Some results: capital constraints the influence of income on the ability to invest
  • 11. Some results: capital constraints Predicted probability of investing in energy-efficient appliances depending on changes in income 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 140000 160000 180000 Predicted probability of investing
  • 12. Technologies Explanatory variable: NGO Marginal effects Obser. Energy-efficient appliances 0.0797*** (0.0112) 8 605 Light bulbs 0.0511*** (0.00696) 10 951 Thermal insulation 0.0638*** (0.0123) 6 807 *Solar panels 0.0536*** (0.0121) 6 485 *Heat pumps 0.0209*** (0.00659) 7 645 Heat thermostats 0.0535*** (0.0115) 7 334 Energy-efficient windows 0.0546*** (0.0126) 7 269 Some results: attitudes, beliefs and behaviour *Variable: environmental NGO
  • 13. Some results: Attitudes, beliefs and behaviours Technologies Explanatory variable: Energy behaviour index Marginal effects Obser. Energy-efficient appliances 0.0322*** (0.00319) 8 605 Light bulbs 0.0196*** (0.00186) 10 951 Heat thermostats 0.0182*** (0.00332) 7 334 Solar panels 0.00634*** (0.00167) 6 485 Thermal insulation 0.0309*** (0.00358) 6 807 Energy-efficient windows 0.0232*** (0.00364) 7 269
  • 14. Some conclusions • Evidence for credit constraints • Evidence for the owner effect • Attitudes and beliefs are important
  • 15. Targeted policies are required Capital constraints • Financing/Loan (PACE, Green Deal, KfW) • Direct subsidies, tax credit, rebates
  • 16. Policy recommendations Principal-agent problem • Energy labels/product standards • Explicitly allowing owners to increase the rent after implementing EE and RE
  • 17. Policy recommendations Promoting energy conservation actions and pro-environmental behaviour • Information programs (peer comparison feedback) • “Nudge” (loft clearance scheme, UK)