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Improving Marriott

Naian (Tim) Chang ● Marie Iannone ● Kelsey Merlo
         Joshua Bridges ● Thomas Shane



                                              12/16/2012   1
Executive Summary
OBJECTIVE
How can Marriott exceed consensus expectations of earnings, $1.17 billion, over the next two
years?
RECOMMENDATION
Marriott can improve upon its existing operations and sell off units to exceed earnings
expectations by $200 million.
    Sustainable Operations         Improve Loyalty Program           Sell Underperforming Units
•    Lack of sustainable
     operations                    •   Little differentiation         •   Sell off Mid-tier hotel
•    Reduce energy, water, and         between loyalty programs           portfolio
     waste usage                   •   Automatic check-in             •   Accor as buyer
•    Increase operating            •   Refer-a-Friend program         •   Generate $4.6 billion
     efficiency

Financial Impact: Marriott will increase its Net Income to $1.3 billion plus $4.6 billion one time
cash inflow from selling underperforming hotels


                                                                                        12/16/2012   2
Sustainable
Operations




              12/16/2012   3
Post-recession, Marriott’s failure to implement sustainable operating
practices has led it’s operating margins to lag behind competitors

   Operating Margins for the Luxury Hotel Segment                                           Competitors
         0.25
                                         Competitors’ Ave: 17.2%               •   50% of Intercontinental Hotels
             0.2
                                                                                   have converted to “Green
         0.15                                                                      Engage” program
 Operating




                                                                               •   Starwood “Sustainable
  Margin




             0.1                                                                   Initiative” for better
                                                  Marriott Ave: 2.9%
         0.05                                                                      energy, water, waste practices

              0                                                                                  Marriott
                      2009                  2010                 2011
        -0.05                                                                  •   0.2% of Hotels are certified by
                                                                                   LEED (Leadership in Energy
                                                                                   Environmental Design)
         10% deduction in energy consumption would have                        •   Energy Star Program has been
         the same financial impact as increasing ADR by $2                         deployed almost exclusively in
                                                                                   mid-tier offerings like Fairfield Inn

 Source: Marriott, Starwood, Intercontinental, Wyndham 10k reports, Deloitte


             Sustainability                     Loyalty Program                    Sell Hotels              12/16/2012   4
Marriot will generate costs savings for a minimal increase in investment
by implementing sustainable energy, water, and waste practices


                                                                          LEED certified hotel’s average percent savings
                           • Onsite co-generator
                                                                           80%
                              Saves enough                                             70%
    Energy                      electricity to light 240
                                homes a day                                60%
                           • Green windows, and roof                                                40%           38%          35%
                                                                           40%

                           • DuLow-flow shower head
                              Saves 2 gal. per minute                     20%
     Water                 • al-flush toilets
                              Uses 50% less water                           0%
                                                                                    Solid Waste    Water      Energy Usage    Carbon
                                                                                                  Emissions                  Emissions
                           • Compost waste
                              Cost to remove
     Waste                      compost is 50% less                          The initial investment premium for
                                than cost to remove                          Sustainable Practices has fallen from 15% in
                                trash                                        2001 to 2-5% in 2012

Source: University of Michigan – High Performance Hospitality, Efficiency Partnership


        Sustainability                           Loyalty Program                              Sell Hotels               12/16/2012       5
Investing in sustainable initiatives will increase Marriott’s key revenue
 drivers and operating efficiency


                                                          Revenue per available
            Improve Brand                                                                 Operating Efficiency
                                                                 room




     • Leading “Green                                     • Attract more                 • Lower operating
       Practices” as hotel                                  clientele                      costs and
       differentiator                                     • 34% of customers               commodity
     • Internal controls                                    willing to pay more            exposure
       increase ease of                                     to stay in “Green”           • Mitigate future risk
       change                                               hotel                          of regulation and
       implementation                                                                      litigation
Source: University of Michigan – High Performance Hospitality


          Sustainability                           Loyalty Program                Sell Hotels        12/16/2012   6
Improve customer
experience




                   12/16/2012   7
Marriott currently competes closely with Hilton for business
    travelers, but does little to differentiate

                                Hilton usage increases steadily
                                                                                30% affluent Americans say loyalty membership
                                   while Marriott flounders
 % of people who stayed in a




                                                                                   affects what hotel brand they patronize
                               25%
    hotel past 12 months




                                                                       Hilton
                               23%                                     Brands   Criterias                Marriott    Hilton
                               21%
                                                                   Marriott     4 Membership Levels                    
                                                                   Brands
                                                                                Frequent Flyer Miles                   
                               19%
                                     2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011              Vacation Packages                      
                                      Patrons primarily use                     Bonus Points                           
                                     Marriot and Hilton Hotels                  Priority Late Checkout                 
                                       for business travel
        29%                            Marriott Brand   Hilton Brand            eFolio                                 
        25%                                                28%          29%
        21%
                                                                                No Blackout Dates                      
                                      18%     21%
        17%                                                                             Loyalty Program benefits are
                                        Personal              Business             extremely similar and easy to replicate
Source: (Mintel Hotel Accommodations), (Hilton Honors, Marriott Rewards)

                                 Sustainability                  Loyalty Program                Sell Hotels         12/16/2012   8
Marriott should implement an automatic check-in system to cater to
 business travelers’ demands for efficient and fast service

 Other travel services
                                                                    76% of men and 79% of women
 provide time-conscious
 services                                                          value express check-in / check-out

 •     Airline Services                                     How does it work?
                                                     • Check in using phone
          Baggage Delivery                          • Receive room number
          Security Screening                        • Hotel desk programs
          Check-In & Boarding                         room to match your
                                                       permanent card
 • Car Rentals                                       • Skip the desk and go to
                                                       your room
          Skip the counter                                           Differentiates Marriot from other
          E-receipts                                            hotels to attract frequent business travelers
Source: (Research Alert; Business Websites; Advanstar Communications, Inc.)


          Sustainability                          Loyalty Program                   Sell Hotels        12/16/2012   9
Implementing a refer-a-friend program will continue to drive demand
for Marriott hotels


People who are referred by friends are 3     Recommended Implementation
times more likely to buy in than others
                                             • Refer a friend using Marriott
                                               website
                                             • Referred receives 2500 points
                                             • Referee receives 1000 points
                                             • 5 referrals = one free upgrade!




Companies using loyalty programs have
experienced up to an 800% return on
referred patrons
Source: J. Alsever, 2011


        Sustainability     Loyalty Program        Sell Hotels         12/16/2012   10
Sell
Underperforming
Hotels



                  12/16/2012   11
Marriott should sell three of its midscale hotel brands -
 Courtyard, Fairfield, and SpringHill


                                                            Marriott Brands by Market Value and Desire to Sell
                            Marriott Hotel
  Courtyard                 Brand Holding
 by Marriott
                                                                    Fairfield
                                                     Courtyard
                                                                    Inn and
   Fairfield                                        by Marriott                                            International
                                                                     Suites         Marriot Hotels
   Inn and
    Suites

  SpringHill                                                            Spring
  TownPlace                                          Residence           Hill                                                 Bulgari
                                  Luxury
                                                        Inn                                          AC          Ritz
  Residence                       Midscale                              Town      Renaissance
     Inn                          Economy
                                                                        Place                        JW
                                                           Profitable                              Underperforming      EDITION


                              •   Midscale brands do not perform well in comparison to luxury brands
                              •   Marriott still offers brands similar to Courtyard, Fairfield, and SpringHill
Source: Marriott 2011 10K


          Sustainability                     Loyalty Program                        Sell Hotels                  12/16/2012   12
Acquisition by Accor with greater focus on mid-scale hotel brands, will
benefit both Marriott and Accor


                                                  Midscale Hotel Brand Holding Profitability
 % of Midscale Brand Holding




                               60%

                               40%

                               20%

                               0%
                                     0%      5%      10%          15%         20%         25%            30%   35%           40%
                                                           Return on Assets (Measure of Profitability)
Source: Star(Websites), Each Company’s 10K

          Benefits Marriott will gain:                                                   Benefits Accor will gain:
▪ More budget for luxury hotel brands                                        ▪ Increase market share for midscale hotels
▪ Eliminate weak brands                                                      ▪ Consolidate into one successful network
▪ Increase luxury identity of Marriott                                       ▪ Larger customer base

                                Sustainability          Loyalty Program                     Sell Hotels         12/16/2012   13
The strategic sale of Courtyard, Fairfield, and SpringHill to Accor will
provide at least $4.6 billion cash inflow


               Brand                          Total Market Value Per Brand                  Lowest Sale Price
             Courtyard                                  $ 2,160                                 $ 2,210
    Fairfield Inn & Suites                                   $ 1,600                               $ 1,650
        SpringHill Suites                                    $   680                               $     700
                                                                                            $ 4560 (millions)
        Brand Contribution to Total Cash Inflow from Sale
                                                                                                  Key Assumptions
                                                                                                  • Total market value
                                                                                                      equals the future
                                                                                                      value of the brand
                                                                                     $4.6         • Sale price is
                                                                                    Billion           calculated based on
                                                                                    2% goodwill
                                                                                                      goodwill of 2%
                                                                                                      (indicated in green)

 SpringHill Suites   Fairfield Inn & Suites      Courtyard       Total Revenue

       Sustainability                         Loyalty Program                    Sell Hotels               12/16/2012   14
Financials and Risk




                      12/16/2012   15
Implementing our 3 recommendations leads to Marriott surpassing
market forecasts


  Net Income Growth               $1,545                                       Cash Inflow from
                    $1,373                   Best                              Selling
                               Base                                            Underperforming
         $1,202                                                     $375       Hotels:
                    Worst                                 $203

                       Forecasted Total
                                                    $32                         $4.6 Billion
                  NI for 2012-2013: $1170M

                                           Sustainable Operations          Improve Customer Experience
   2 Years’ Total NI (Millions)
                                    Increase in Rev Increase in cost Increase in Rev Increase in cost
   Best Case          $1,545                1%             1.5%               0.5%                   1%
   Base Case          $1,373               0.75%           1.75%               0.3%                1.5%
   Worst Case         $1,202               0.5%             2%                 0.1%                  2%
                                                                                      Source: JPMorgan Forecast


                                                                                                 12/16/2012       16
Level of
       Impact
                  X
                            Risk and Mitigation Strategies
Probability of Occurrence


                            Risk                 Rating         Risk Mitigation Strategy
          Initial investment to switch to                    Prioritize implementation
          sustainable practices offsets           X          schedule to introduce high ROI
          decrease in costs                                  practices first
          Loyalty program does not induce                    Ensure best practices when
          new sales and increase repeat                      marketing new program
                                                  X
          business
          Marriott is unable to find a            X          Be willing to negotiate on price
          buyer for its mid-tier portfolio                   and hotel brands that we are
                                                             willing to sell
          Lack of mid-tier hotel options                     Effectively deploy increased
                                                      X
          lowers Marriott’s future revenue                   cash for sale to improve
          potential                                          current portfolio.


                                                                                     12/16/2012   17
Executive Summary
OBJECTIVE
How can Marriott exceed consensus expectations of earnings, $1.17 billion, over the next two
years?
RECOMMENDATION
Marriott can improve upon its existing operations and sell off units to exceed earnings
expectations by $200 million.
    Sustainable Operations         Improve Loyalty Program           Sell Underperforming Units
•    Lack of sustainable
     operations                    •   Little differentiation         •   Sell off Mid-tier hotel
•    Reduce energy, water, and         between loyalty programs           portfolio
     waste usage                   •   Automatic check-in             •   Accor as buyer
•    Increase operating            •   Refer-a-Friend program         •   Generate $4.6 billion
     efficiency

Financial Impact: Marriott will increase its Net Income to $1.3 billion plus $4.6 billion one time
cash inflow from selling underperforming hotels


                                                                                        12/16/2012   18
Thank you




            12/16/2012   19
Appendix




           12/16/2012   20
Team Members
      Naian (Tim) Chang,
                                               Marie Iannone, ’13
      ’13
                                               BSBA
      BSBA




       Kelsey Merlo, ‘12                       Joshua Bridges, ‘12
       BSBA                                    BSBA




                           Thomas Shane, ’12
                           BSBA



                                                            12/16/2012   21
Appendix – Table of Contents
•    Marriott’s industry and         •   A plan for diversity           •   Market Revenue Forecast
     competitors                     •   Starwood franchising fees 10K •    Marriott & Accor’s
•    Porter’s Five Forces            •   Data and facts for going green     Liquidity/Financial Health
•    Marriott’s competitive              part 1                         •   Marriott’s Income Statement
     advantage                       •   Data and facts for going green •   Marriott’s Balance Sheet:
•    Marriott’s challenges               part 2                             Asset
•    One way Marriott can invest     •   Data and facts for LEED and •      Marriott’s Balance Sheet:
     new cash                            Marriott’s LEED certified          Liability and Equity
•    Strategically increase              hotels                         •   Accor’s Balance Sheet: Asset
     advertising in feeder           •   Starwood management fees •         Accor’s Balance Sheet:
     demographics                    •   Calculating brand market           Liability and Equity
•    Loyalty programs are not that       value and desire to sell
     loyal                           •   Marriott brands by category
•    2-year Implementation Plan      •   Marriott category percentages
•    Hotel capacity in the world         – before and after sale
•    LEED’s success                  •   Comparable Marriott brands
•    Financial impact calculations   •   Calculating sale price for
•    The 2006 sale                       underperforming brands

                                                                                         12/16/2012   22
Marriott’s industry and its major competitors


Industry
    Marriott competes in the global hotels and resorts industry (lifecycle: mature)
           The industry expects to generate close to $580 billion (growing at 1.6%) in revenue in 2012

Competitive Landscape
    Low industry concentration
           The top four players in 2012 account for less than 7% of the market share
    Competitors include:
External Competitors                                                       Internal Competitors

    Compete for some of the same
    customers but are not in the same
                                                          Revenue Growth
    industry as Marriott
           Motels
           Bed and breakfast establishments
           Caravan parks
           Camping grounds
           Hostels
                                                                                            Market Share
Source: IBISWorld Industry Report G4611-GL
Global Hotels & Resorts               Go Back   to Appendix – Table of Content                             12/16/2012   23
Porter’s Five Forces Analysis: some challenges for Marriott

                                      Suppliers
                              Partnership with airlines
                                                                                         Key Success Factors
                           Partnership with travel agencies
                              Large base of food supply
                                                                                         •   Access to multiskilled
                               (Low bargaining power)
                                                                                             and flexible
                                                                                             workforce
    Entrants                                                          Substitutes        •   Being part of a
                                        Rivals                                               franchising chain
 High barriers to                                                 No direct substitute
      entry                        Oligopoly Luxury                                      •   Receiving the benefit
                                        Hotels                     for luxury hotels
 High initial cost                   Local Hotels                 In-house activities        of word-of-mouth
 Unattractive for                 Competitive Pricing               One-day travel           recommendations
     entry
                                     (Moderate                        (Moderate
                                                                                         •   Proximity to key
    (High bar)                      Competition)                        variety)
                                                                                             markets
                                                                                         •   Ability to quickly
                                                                                             adopt new
                                       Buyers                                                technology
                          Price sensitive vs. quality seeking                            •   Ability to control
                                   Well-informed                                             stock on hand
                                Exhibit brand loyalty
                          (Moderately high bargaining power)

Source: IBISWorld Industry Report G4611-GL
Global Hotels & Resorts               Go Back     to Appendix – Table of Content                     12/16/2012   24
Marriott’s competitive advantage (core resources & capabilities) and
competitive position

        Core Values                   Brand Image                  Diversification            Technology
         (Resource)                    (Resource)                    (Capability)             (Capability)
1. Put people first           Higher brand recognition       Global presence and       Technical innovations to
2. Pursue excellence          and recall makes the           strong brand portfolio    ease the business process
3. Embrace change             company priority choice        diversifies the revenue   & increase hassle-free
4. Act with integrity and     for clients                    sources                   experience for the
   serve our world                                                                     customers




  Source: DATAMONITOR


Marriott has3,362 properties globally and a total of 586,515 guest rooms (about 175
rooms in each property) across 68 countries and territories. Marriott accounts for a 2% market

share.

Source: IBISWorld Industry Report G4611-GL
Global Hotels & Resorts               Go Back   to Appendix – Table of Content                 12/16/2012   25
Marriott’s challenges


Challenges                                   Recommendations



       Financing                              Sell underperforming hotels

         ability                              Exit economy hotel market
                                              (+) Increase resources to improve underperforming
                                                  hotels
                                              ( -) Marriott’s low-scale hotels are growing profitable

  Improving
                    Sustainable
   customer
                    operations                Third party financing (PE/Shares/Bonds)
    loyalty                                   (+) Quick cash inflow
                                              ( -) Hard to find/Dilute share price/High cost of the debt




                        Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content                            12/16/2012    26
One way Marriott can invest new cash



                           Sell underperforming hotels (cash inflow)


                 Leading “Green Practices” as hotel differentiator

 Energy                                  Water                                     Waste
 • Onsite co-generator                   • Low-flow shower head – saves 2          • Compost waste
 • Saves enough electricity to light       gal. per minute                         • Cost to remove compost is 50%
   240 homes a day                       • Dual-flush toilets                        less than cost to remove trash
 • Green windows, and roof               • Uses 50% less water




                                   Improving customer loyalty

Source: University of Michigan – High Performance
Hospitality, Efficiency Partnership     Go Back to Appendix –   Table of Content                      12/16/2012   27
Strategically increase advertising in feeder demographics




       Strategic increases                          Feeder demographic:
       • Sponsorships                               • Business class travelers
         • Universities                               • Age 22-28
         • Increase                                   • University students
       • Appearances                                    • Business professions
         • Universities                                 • Other Majors (economics, Political
         • Major business                                 Science etc)




                            Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content                    12/16/2012   28
Loyalty programs are not that loyal


       Percentage of respondents who belong to a loyalty program and
       patronized another hotel chain.
                                       36%
              33%                            33%
                                                            30%
                    27%                                           26% 27%
                                                   23%                                      23%
                          21%
                                                                                  18% 18%


              Marriott                 Hilton                 InterContintal        Wyndham
                            Marriott    Hilton           InterContinetal       Wyndham
(Mintel Hotel Accommodations)

                                 Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content                  12/16/2012   29
2-year Implementation Plan




 Q1, Q2                          Q3, Q4                                Q5, Q6                                  Q7, Q8
 •Automatic check-in trials      •Automatic check-in national launch   •International Launch                   •Automatic check-in international
 •Large markets                  •Referral program trials              •Automatic check-in international        Launch
  •NY, Charlotte, DMV, Atlanta    •Large markets                        trials                                 •Referral Program international trials
                                                                        •Large markets: the                     (Q7), Launch (Q8)
                                                                         Americas, Asia, Europe(Spain, Italy
                                                                         Germany)
                                                                       •Referral program national launch




                                    Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content                                                   12/16/2012        30
Hotel capacity in the world




                        Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content   12/16/2012   31
LEED’s success



 • As mentioned above, hotels lose up to 25%
   and more of the price of an overnight when
   they deal with merchant sites.
 • Mintel
                 LEED-certified buildings, typically
                 save:
                 • 30% to 50% in energy usage
                 • 35% in carbon emissions
                 • 40% in water emissions
                 • 70% in solid waste



                 Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content   12/16/2012   32
Financial impact calculations




                        Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content   12/16/2012   33
The 2006 sale



 • 2006, we have sold 65 hotels for
   approximately $5.6 billion
 • Starwood 10K




                Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content   12/16/2012   34
A plan for diversity


   • Successfully tailoring MAR’s brands to specific
     regions. MAR has tailored its
   • Fairfield, Courtyard, and Residence Inn brands to
     suit customer preferences in India,
   • China, and Latin America, which has greatly
     improved its ability to win development
   • contracts internationally. In China, development
     will continue to be driven by the
   • dramatic infrastructure development across the
     country, and the increased propensity
   • for Chinese intra-country domestic leisure travel.
Source: JP Morgan report
                           Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content   12/16/2012   35
Starwood franchising fees 10K




                       Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content   12/16/2012   36
Data and facts for going green


 • 12% of consumers will pay extra for green building
 • Costs 2-5% more to build green
 • per ton charge to remove compost is half of what it
   costs to remove trash
 • 40% lower water costs throw better toilets, 1.3 gallon
   per flush to .7 or .9
 • Low flow shower head saves water at 2 gallons per
   minute. Which tested best out of 4
 • Co-generator allows units motor to go from 60 mhz to
   42 mhz. Using 100 watts instead of 200 watss for 50%
   decrease in power consumed
                       Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content   12/16/2012   37
Data and facts for going green


 • Hotel utility costs 60-70 is energy.
 • 34% of consumers would be willing to pay more
   to stay in green hotel
 • 51% of hotels are green
 • Low emittance windows that reflect radiant heat
 • Marriott already has CFLs and good washers
 • Saved $6 million in 2006
   http://www.energystar.gov/ia/business/challenge
   /learn_more/Hotel.pdf

                       Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content   12/16/2012   38
Data and facts for LEED and Marriott’s LEED certified hotels



  LEED-certified buildings, typically save:
  • 30% to 50% in energy usage
  • 35% in carbon emissions
  • 40% in water emissions
  • 70% in solid waste
                      http://www.fypower.org/pdf/BPG_hotels.pdf
  Marriott currently has 11 LEED certified
  hotels, 3,718
  50% of intercontinental hotels have been
  converted to green engage for average of 10%
  energy savings




                        Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content    12/16/2012   39
Starwood management fees




                    Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content   12/16/2012   40
Calculating brand market value and desire to sell




Source: Marriott 2011 10K

                            Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content   12/16/2012   41
Marriott brands by category



        Luxury                      Midscale                          Economy

• Marriott Hotels             • Courtyard                       • Marriott Executive
  and Resorts                 • Fairfield Inn and                 Apartments
• Renaissance Hotels            Suites
• JW Marriott                 • Marriott ExecuStay
• Autograph                   • SpringHill Suites
  Collection (AC)             • Residence Inn
• Bulgari Hotels and          • TownePlace Suites
  Resorts
• The Ritz-Carlton
• EDITION



                       Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content               12/16/2012   42
Marriott category percentages – before and after sale



                 Before Sale                                     After Sale
         Economy                                       Economy
            5%                                            5%
        0%


                                                        Midscale
            Midscale                                     17%
             28%
                           Luxury                                        Luxury
                            67%                                           78%


       0%




                        Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content                    12/16/2012   43
Comparable Marriott brands



• Courtyard – Marriott
• Fairfield – Residence Inn




                     Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content   12/16/2012   44
Calculating sale price for underperforming brands




                                                         North American International Total MV Per
 Brand                                                                                                                Selling Price
                                                         MV             MV            Brand
 Courtyard by Marriott® ("Courtyard")                    $ 1,951,275,528.63   $ 216,017,120.57   $ 2,167,292,649.19   $ 2,210,638,502.18


 Fairfield Inn & Suites by Marriott® ("Fairfield Inn &
                                                         $ 1,609,446,238.94   $   4,747,629.02   $ 1,614,193,867.96   $ 1,646,477,745.32
 Suites")


 SpringHill Suites by Marriott® ("SpringHill Suites")    $   681,284,764.86   $             -    $ 681,284,764.86     $   694,910,460.16


                                                                                                                      $ 4,552,026,707.66




                                              Selling Price = Total MV x (1 + Goodwill)
                                                           *Goodwill = 2%


                                            Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content                                    12/16/2012   45
Market Revenue Forecast




                                                               2012NI:$530M
                                                               2013NI:$640M
                                                                 Forecasted
                                                               Total 2 yrs’ NI:
                                                                  $1170M



                                                                  Source: JPMorgan
                                                                  Forecast




                      Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content       12/16/2012   46
Marriott & Accor’s Liquidity/Financial Health
        Marriott




                                                Accor




                                                        Source: MorningStar
                        Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content                12/16/2012   47
Marriott’s Income Statement

                                                                                                            Fiscal Years ($ in Millions)


                                                                                                     2009               2010                2011

    REVENUES:
    Base management fees (1)                                                                     $     530          $     562          $      602
    Franchise fees (1)                                                                                        400                441                 506
    Incentive management fees (1)                                                                             154                182                 195
    Owned, leased, corporate housing, and other revenue                                                     1,019              1,046               1,083
    Timeshare sales and services (including net note securitization gains of $37 in 2009)                   1,123              1,221               1,088
    Cost reimbursements (1)                                                                                 7,682              8,239               8,843
    Revenue from sale of brands
    Total Revenues                                                                                      10,908             11,691              12,317

    OPERATING COSTS AND EXPENSES
    Owned, leased, and corporate housing-direct                                                            951                   955                 943
    Timeshare-direct                                                                                     1,040                 1,022                 929
    Timeshare strategy-impairment charges                                                                  614             -                         324
    Reimbursed costs (1)                                                                                 7,682                 8,239               8,843
    Restructuring costs                                                                                      51            -                   -
    General, administrative, and other (1)                                                                 722                 780                 752
              Total cost of sales                                                                       11,060             10,996              11,791
    Income (loss) from operations                                                                        (152)                 695                 526
    (Losses) gains and other income (including gain on debt extinguishment of $21 in 2009) (1)               31                 35                  (7)
    Interest expense (1)                                                                                 (118)               (180)               (164)
    Interest income (1)                                                                                      25                 19                  14
    Equity in losses (1)                                                                                   (66)               (18)                (13)
    Timeshare strategy - impairment charges (non-operating) (1)                                          (138)             -                   -
    INCOME BEFORE PROVISION FOR INCOME TAXES                                                             (418)                 551                 356
    Provision for income taxes                                                                               65               (93)               (158)
    NET INCOME                                                                                           (353)                 458                 198


                                                                                                        Source: 10K
                                              Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content                                                       12/16/2012      48
Marriott’s Balance Sheet: Asset


                                                                                 2011              2010
          ASSETS
          Current assets
          Cash and equivalents                                      $        102         $      505
          Accounts and notes receivable (1) (including from VIEs
          of $0 and $125, respectively)                                            875               938
          Inventory                                                                 11             1,489
          Current deferred taxes, net                                              282               246
          Prepaid expenses                                                          54                81
          Other (including from VIEs of $0 and $31, respectively)            -                       123
                                                                                 1,324             3,382
          Property and equipment                                                 1,168             1,307
          Intangible assets
          Goodwill                                                                 875               875
          Contract acquisition costs and other (1)                                 846               768
                                                                                 1,721             1,643
          Equity and cost method investments (1)                                   265               250
          Notes receivable (1) (including from VIEs of $0 and
          $910, respectively)                                                      298             1,264
          Deferred taxes, net (1)                                                  873               932
          Other (including from VIEs of $0 and $14, respectively)
          (1)                                                                      261                 205
                                                                    $    5,910           $     8,983




                                                                                 Source: 10K
                                    Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content                               12/16/2012   49
Marriott’s Balance Sheet: Liability and Equity


           LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
           Current liabilities
           Current portion of long-term debt (including from VIEs
           of $0 and $126, respectively)                               $        355           $    138
           Accounts payable (1)                                                        548                634
           Accrued payroll and benefits                                                650                692
           Liability for guest loyalty program                                         514                486
           Other (1) (including from VIEs of $0 and $3,
           respectively)                                                                491                551
                                                                                      2,558              2,501
           Long-term debt (including from VIEs of $0 and $890,
           respectively)                                                              1,816              2,691
           Liability for guest loyalty program                                        1,434              1,313
           Other long-term liabilities (1)                                              883                893
           Marriott shareholders' equity
           Class A Common Stock                                                        5                     5
           Additional paid-in-capital                                             2,513                 3,644
           Retained earnings                                                      3,212                 3,286
           Treasury stock, at cost                                              (6,463)               (5,348)
           Accumulated other comprehensive loss                                     (48)                   (2)
                                                                                  (781)                 1,585
                                                                       $    5,910        $        8,983




                                                                                Source: 10K
                                       Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content                             12/16/2012   50
Accor’s Balance Sheet: Asset




                                                                  Source: 10K
                         Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content                 12/16/2012   51
Accor’s Balance Sheet: Liability and Equity




                                                                   Source: 10K
                          Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content                 12/16/2012   52

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Improve Marriott's Earnings with Sustainable Operations

  • 1. Improving Marriott Naian (Tim) Chang ● Marie Iannone ● Kelsey Merlo Joshua Bridges ● Thomas Shane 12/16/2012 1
  • 2. Executive Summary OBJECTIVE How can Marriott exceed consensus expectations of earnings, $1.17 billion, over the next two years? RECOMMENDATION Marriott can improve upon its existing operations and sell off units to exceed earnings expectations by $200 million. Sustainable Operations Improve Loyalty Program Sell Underperforming Units • Lack of sustainable operations • Little differentiation • Sell off Mid-tier hotel • Reduce energy, water, and between loyalty programs portfolio waste usage • Automatic check-in • Accor as buyer • Increase operating • Refer-a-Friend program • Generate $4.6 billion efficiency Financial Impact: Marriott will increase its Net Income to $1.3 billion plus $4.6 billion one time cash inflow from selling underperforming hotels 12/16/2012 2
  • 3. Sustainable Operations 12/16/2012 3
  • 4. Post-recession, Marriott’s failure to implement sustainable operating practices has led it’s operating margins to lag behind competitors Operating Margins for the Luxury Hotel Segment Competitors 0.25 Competitors’ Ave: 17.2% • 50% of Intercontinental Hotels 0.2 have converted to “Green 0.15 Engage” program Operating • Starwood “Sustainable Margin 0.1 Initiative” for better Marriott Ave: 2.9% 0.05 energy, water, waste practices 0 Marriott 2009 2010 2011 -0.05 • 0.2% of Hotels are certified by LEED (Leadership in Energy Environmental Design) 10% deduction in energy consumption would have • Energy Star Program has been the same financial impact as increasing ADR by $2 deployed almost exclusively in mid-tier offerings like Fairfield Inn Source: Marriott, Starwood, Intercontinental, Wyndham 10k reports, Deloitte Sustainability Loyalty Program Sell Hotels 12/16/2012 4
  • 5. Marriot will generate costs savings for a minimal increase in investment by implementing sustainable energy, water, and waste practices LEED certified hotel’s average percent savings • Onsite co-generator 80%  Saves enough 70% Energy electricity to light 240 homes a day 60% • Green windows, and roof 40% 38% 35% 40% • DuLow-flow shower head  Saves 2 gal. per minute 20% Water • al-flush toilets  Uses 50% less water 0% Solid Waste Water Energy Usage Carbon Emissions Emissions • Compost waste  Cost to remove Waste compost is 50% less The initial investment premium for than cost to remove Sustainable Practices has fallen from 15% in trash 2001 to 2-5% in 2012 Source: University of Michigan – High Performance Hospitality, Efficiency Partnership Sustainability Loyalty Program Sell Hotels 12/16/2012 5
  • 6. Investing in sustainable initiatives will increase Marriott’s key revenue drivers and operating efficiency Revenue per available Improve Brand Operating Efficiency room • Leading “Green • Attract more • Lower operating Practices” as hotel clientele costs and differentiator • 34% of customers commodity • Internal controls willing to pay more exposure increase ease of to stay in “Green” • Mitigate future risk change hotel of regulation and implementation litigation Source: University of Michigan – High Performance Hospitality Sustainability Loyalty Program Sell Hotels 12/16/2012 6
  • 8. Marriott currently competes closely with Hilton for business travelers, but does little to differentiate Hilton usage increases steadily 30% affluent Americans say loyalty membership while Marriott flounders % of people who stayed in a affects what hotel brand they patronize 25% hotel past 12 months Hilton 23% Brands Criterias Marriott Hilton 21% Marriott 4 Membership Levels   Brands Frequent Flyer Miles   19% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Vacation Packages   Patrons primarily use Bonus Points   Marriot and Hilton Hotels Priority Late Checkout   for business travel 29% Marriott Brand Hilton Brand eFolio   25% 28% 29% 21% No Blackout Dates   18% 21% 17% Loyalty Program benefits are Personal Business extremely similar and easy to replicate Source: (Mintel Hotel Accommodations), (Hilton Honors, Marriott Rewards) Sustainability Loyalty Program Sell Hotels 12/16/2012 8
  • 9. Marriott should implement an automatic check-in system to cater to business travelers’ demands for efficient and fast service Other travel services 76% of men and 79% of women provide time-conscious services value express check-in / check-out • Airline Services How does it work? • Check in using phone  Baggage Delivery • Receive room number  Security Screening • Hotel desk programs  Check-In & Boarding room to match your permanent card • Car Rentals • Skip the desk and go to your room  Skip the counter Differentiates Marriot from other  E-receipts hotels to attract frequent business travelers Source: (Research Alert; Business Websites; Advanstar Communications, Inc.) Sustainability Loyalty Program Sell Hotels 12/16/2012 9
  • 10. Implementing a refer-a-friend program will continue to drive demand for Marriott hotels People who are referred by friends are 3 Recommended Implementation times more likely to buy in than others • Refer a friend using Marriott website • Referred receives 2500 points • Referee receives 1000 points • 5 referrals = one free upgrade! Companies using loyalty programs have experienced up to an 800% return on referred patrons Source: J. Alsever, 2011 Sustainability Loyalty Program Sell Hotels 12/16/2012 10
  • 12. Marriott should sell three of its midscale hotel brands - Courtyard, Fairfield, and SpringHill Marriott Brands by Market Value and Desire to Sell Marriott Hotel Courtyard Brand Holding by Marriott Fairfield Courtyard Inn and Fairfield by Marriott International Suites Marriot Hotels Inn and Suites SpringHill Spring TownPlace Residence Hill Bulgari Luxury Inn AC Ritz Residence Midscale Town Renaissance Inn Economy Place JW Profitable Underperforming EDITION • Midscale brands do not perform well in comparison to luxury brands • Marriott still offers brands similar to Courtyard, Fairfield, and SpringHill Source: Marriott 2011 10K Sustainability Loyalty Program Sell Hotels 12/16/2012 12
  • 13. Acquisition by Accor with greater focus on mid-scale hotel brands, will benefit both Marriott and Accor Midscale Hotel Brand Holding Profitability % of Midscale Brand Holding 60% 40% 20% 0% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Return on Assets (Measure of Profitability) Source: Star(Websites), Each Company’s 10K Benefits Marriott will gain: Benefits Accor will gain: ▪ More budget for luxury hotel brands ▪ Increase market share for midscale hotels ▪ Eliminate weak brands ▪ Consolidate into one successful network ▪ Increase luxury identity of Marriott ▪ Larger customer base Sustainability Loyalty Program Sell Hotels 12/16/2012 13
  • 14. The strategic sale of Courtyard, Fairfield, and SpringHill to Accor will provide at least $4.6 billion cash inflow Brand Total Market Value Per Brand Lowest Sale Price Courtyard $ 2,160 $ 2,210 Fairfield Inn & Suites $ 1,600 $ 1,650 SpringHill Suites $ 680 $ 700 $ 4560 (millions) Brand Contribution to Total Cash Inflow from Sale Key Assumptions • Total market value equals the future value of the brand $4.6 • Sale price is Billion calculated based on 2% goodwill goodwill of 2% (indicated in green) SpringHill Suites Fairfield Inn & Suites Courtyard Total Revenue Sustainability Loyalty Program Sell Hotels 12/16/2012 14
  • 15. Financials and Risk 12/16/2012 15
  • 16. Implementing our 3 recommendations leads to Marriott surpassing market forecasts Net Income Growth $1,545 Cash Inflow from $1,373 Best Selling Base Underperforming $1,202 $375 Hotels: Worst $203 Forecasted Total $32 $4.6 Billion NI for 2012-2013: $1170M Sustainable Operations Improve Customer Experience 2 Years’ Total NI (Millions) Increase in Rev Increase in cost Increase in Rev Increase in cost Best Case $1,545 1% 1.5% 0.5% 1% Base Case $1,373 0.75% 1.75% 0.3% 1.5% Worst Case $1,202 0.5% 2% 0.1% 2% Source: JPMorgan Forecast 12/16/2012 16
  • 17. Level of Impact X Risk and Mitigation Strategies Probability of Occurrence Risk Rating Risk Mitigation Strategy Initial investment to switch to Prioritize implementation sustainable practices offsets X schedule to introduce high ROI decrease in costs practices first Loyalty program does not induce Ensure best practices when new sales and increase repeat marketing new program X business Marriott is unable to find a X Be willing to negotiate on price buyer for its mid-tier portfolio and hotel brands that we are willing to sell Lack of mid-tier hotel options Effectively deploy increased X lowers Marriott’s future revenue cash for sale to improve potential current portfolio. 12/16/2012 17
  • 18. Executive Summary OBJECTIVE How can Marriott exceed consensus expectations of earnings, $1.17 billion, over the next two years? RECOMMENDATION Marriott can improve upon its existing operations and sell off units to exceed earnings expectations by $200 million. Sustainable Operations Improve Loyalty Program Sell Underperforming Units • Lack of sustainable operations • Little differentiation • Sell off Mid-tier hotel • Reduce energy, water, and between loyalty programs portfolio waste usage • Automatic check-in • Accor as buyer • Increase operating • Refer-a-Friend program • Generate $4.6 billion efficiency Financial Impact: Marriott will increase its Net Income to $1.3 billion plus $4.6 billion one time cash inflow from selling underperforming hotels 12/16/2012 18
  • 19. Thank you 12/16/2012 19
  • 20. Appendix 12/16/2012 20
  • 21. Team Members Naian (Tim) Chang, Marie Iannone, ’13 ’13 BSBA BSBA Kelsey Merlo, ‘12 Joshua Bridges, ‘12 BSBA BSBA Thomas Shane, ’12 BSBA 12/16/2012 21
  • 22. Appendix – Table of Contents • Marriott’s industry and • A plan for diversity • Market Revenue Forecast competitors • Starwood franchising fees 10K • Marriott & Accor’s • Porter’s Five Forces • Data and facts for going green Liquidity/Financial Health • Marriott’s competitive part 1 • Marriott’s Income Statement advantage • Data and facts for going green • Marriott’s Balance Sheet: • Marriott’s challenges part 2 Asset • One way Marriott can invest • Data and facts for LEED and • Marriott’s Balance Sheet: new cash Marriott’s LEED certified Liability and Equity • Strategically increase hotels • Accor’s Balance Sheet: Asset advertising in feeder • Starwood management fees • Accor’s Balance Sheet: demographics • Calculating brand market Liability and Equity • Loyalty programs are not that value and desire to sell loyal • Marriott brands by category • 2-year Implementation Plan • Marriott category percentages • Hotel capacity in the world – before and after sale • LEED’s success • Comparable Marriott brands • Financial impact calculations • Calculating sale price for • The 2006 sale underperforming brands 12/16/2012 22
  • 23. Marriott’s industry and its major competitors Industry Marriott competes in the global hotels and resorts industry (lifecycle: mature) The industry expects to generate close to $580 billion (growing at 1.6%) in revenue in 2012 Competitive Landscape Low industry concentration The top four players in 2012 account for less than 7% of the market share Competitors include: External Competitors Internal Competitors Compete for some of the same customers but are not in the same Revenue Growth industry as Marriott Motels Bed and breakfast establishments Caravan parks Camping grounds Hostels Market Share Source: IBISWorld Industry Report G4611-GL Global Hotels & Resorts Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 23
  • 24. Porter’s Five Forces Analysis: some challenges for Marriott Suppliers Partnership with airlines Key Success Factors Partnership with travel agencies Large base of food supply • Access to multiskilled (Low bargaining power) and flexible workforce Entrants Substitutes • Being part of a Rivals franchising chain High barriers to No direct substitute entry Oligopoly Luxury • Receiving the benefit Hotels for luxury hotels High initial cost Local Hotels In-house activities of word-of-mouth Unattractive for Competitive Pricing One-day travel recommendations entry (Moderate (Moderate • Proximity to key (High bar) Competition) variety) markets • Ability to quickly adopt new Buyers technology Price sensitive vs. quality seeking • Ability to control Well-informed stock on hand Exhibit brand loyalty (Moderately high bargaining power) Source: IBISWorld Industry Report G4611-GL Global Hotels & Resorts Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 24
  • 25. Marriott’s competitive advantage (core resources & capabilities) and competitive position Core Values Brand Image Diversification Technology (Resource) (Resource) (Capability) (Capability) 1. Put people first Higher brand recognition Global presence and Technical innovations to 2. Pursue excellence and recall makes the strong brand portfolio ease the business process 3. Embrace change company priority choice diversifies the revenue & increase hassle-free 4. Act with integrity and for clients sources experience for the serve our world customers Source: DATAMONITOR Marriott has3,362 properties globally and a total of 586,515 guest rooms (about 175 rooms in each property) across 68 countries and territories. Marriott accounts for a 2% market share. Source: IBISWorld Industry Report G4611-GL Global Hotels & Resorts Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 25
  • 26. Marriott’s challenges Challenges Recommendations Financing Sell underperforming hotels ability Exit economy hotel market (+) Increase resources to improve underperforming hotels ( -) Marriott’s low-scale hotels are growing profitable Improving Sustainable customer operations Third party financing (PE/Shares/Bonds) loyalty (+) Quick cash inflow ( -) Hard to find/Dilute share price/High cost of the debt Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 26
  • 27. One way Marriott can invest new cash Sell underperforming hotels (cash inflow) Leading “Green Practices” as hotel differentiator Energy Water Waste • Onsite co-generator • Low-flow shower head – saves 2 • Compost waste • Saves enough electricity to light gal. per minute • Cost to remove compost is 50% 240 homes a day • Dual-flush toilets less than cost to remove trash • Green windows, and roof • Uses 50% less water Improving customer loyalty Source: University of Michigan – High Performance Hospitality, Efficiency Partnership Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 27
  • 28. Strategically increase advertising in feeder demographics Strategic increases Feeder demographic: • Sponsorships • Business class travelers • Universities • Age 22-28 • Increase • University students • Appearances • Business professions • Universities • Other Majors (economics, Political • Major business Science etc) Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 28
  • 29. Loyalty programs are not that loyal Percentage of respondents who belong to a loyalty program and patronized another hotel chain. 36% 33% 33% 30% 27% 26% 27% 23% 23% 21% 18% 18% Marriott Hilton InterContintal Wyndham Marriott Hilton InterContinetal Wyndham (Mintel Hotel Accommodations) Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 29
  • 30. 2-year Implementation Plan Q1, Q2 Q3, Q4 Q5, Q6 Q7, Q8 •Automatic check-in trials •Automatic check-in national launch •International Launch •Automatic check-in international •Large markets •Referral program trials •Automatic check-in international Launch •NY, Charlotte, DMV, Atlanta •Large markets trials •Referral Program international trials •Large markets: the (Q7), Launch (Q8) Americas, Asia, Europe(Spain, Italy Germany) •Referral program national launch Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 30
  • 31. Hotel capacity in the world Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 31
  • 32. LEED’s success • As mentioned above, hotels lose up to 25% and more of the price of an overnight when they deal with merchant sites. • Mintel LEED-certified buildings, typically save: • 30% to 50% in energy usage • 35% in carbon emissions • 40% in water emissions • 70% in solid waste Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 32
  • 33. Financial impact calculations Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 33
  • 34. The 2006 sale • 2006, we have sold 65 hotels for approximately $5.6 billion • Starwood 10K Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 34
  • 35. A plan for diversity • Successfully tailoring MAR’s brands to specific regions. MAR has tailored its • Fairfield, Courtyard, and Residence Inn brands to suit customer preferences in India, • China, and Latin America, which has greatly improved its ability to win development • contracts internationally. In China, development will continue to be driven by the • dramatic infrastructure development across the country, and the increased propensity • for Chinese intra-country domestic leisure travel. Source: JP Morgan report Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 35
  • 36. Starwood franchising fees 10K Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 36
  • 37. Data and facts for going green • 12% of consumers will pay extra for green building • Costs 2-5% more to build green • per ton charge to remove compost is half of what it costs to remove trash • 40% lower water costs throw better toilets, 1.3 gallon per flush to .7 or .9 • Low flow shower head saves water at 2 gallons per minute. Which tested best out of 4 • Co-generator allows units motor to go from 60 mhz to 42 mhz. Using 100 watts instead of 200 watss for 50% decrease in power consumed Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 37
  • 38. Data and facts for going green • Hotel utility costs 60-70 is energy. • 34% of consumers would be willing to pay more to stay in green hotel • 51% of hotels are green • Low emittance windows that reflect radiant heat • Marriott already has CFLs and good washers • Saved $6 million in 2006 http://www.energystar.gov/ia/business/challenge /learn_more/Hotel.pdf Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 38
  • 39. Data and facts for LEED and Marriott’s LEED certified hotels LEED-certified buildings, typically save: • 30% to 50% in energy usage • 35% in carbon emissions • 40% in water emissions • 70% in solid waste http://www.fypower.org/pdf/BPG_hotels.pdf Marriott currently has 11 LEED certified hotels, 3,718 50% of intercontinental hotels have been converted to green engage for average of 10% energy savings Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 39
  • 40. Starwood management fees Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 40
  • 41. Calculating brand market value and desire to sell Source: Marriott 2011 10K Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 41
  • 42. Marriott brands by category Luxury Midscale Economy • Marriott Hotels • Courtyard • Marriott Executive and Resorts • Fairfield Inn and Apartments • Renaissance Hotels Suites • JW Marriott • Marriott ExecuStay • Autograph • SpringHill Suites Collection (AC) • Residence Inn • Bulgari Hotels and • TownePlace Suites Resorts • The Ritz-Carlton • EDITION Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 42
  • 43. Marriott category percentages – before and after sale Before Sale After Sale Economy Economy 5% 5% 0% Midscale Midscale 17% 28% Luxury Luxury 67% 78% 0% Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 43
  • 44. Comparable Marriott brands • Courtyard – Marriott • Fairfield – Residence Inn Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 44
  • 45. Calculating sale price for underperforming brands North American International Total MV Per Brand Selling Price MV MV Brand Courtyard by Marriott® ("Courtyard") $ 1,951,275,528.63 $ 216,017,120.57 $ 2,167,292,649.19 $ 2,210,638,502.18 Fairfield Inn & Suites by Marriott® ("Fairfield Inn & $ 1,609,446,238.94 $ 4,747,629.02 $ 1,614,193,867.96 $ 1,646,477,745.32 Suites") SpringHill Suites by Marriott® ("SpringHill Suites") $ 681,284,764.86 $ - $ 681,284,764.86 $ 694,910,460.16 $ 4,552,026,707.66 Selling Price = Total MV x (1 + Goodwill) *Goodwill = 2% Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 45
  • 46. Market Revenue Forecast 2012NI:$530M 2013NI:$640M Forecasted Total 2 yrs’ NI: $1170M Source: JPMorgan Forecast Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 46
  • 47. Marriott & Accor’s Liquidity/Financial Health Marriott Accor Source: MorningStar Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 47
  • 48. Marriott’s Income Statement Fiscal Years ($ in Millions) 2009 2010 2011 REVENUES: Base management fees (1) $ 530 $ 562 $ 602 Franchise fees (1) 400 441 506 Incentive management fees (1) 154 182 195 Owned, leased, corporate housing, and other revenue 1,019 1,046 1,083 Timeshare sales and services (including net note securitization gains of $37 in 2009) 1,123 1,221 1,088 Cost reimbursements (1) 7,682 8,239 8,843 Revenue from sale of brands Total Revenues 10,908 11,691 12,317 OPERATING COSTS AND EXPENSES Owned, leased, and corporate housing-direct 951 955 943 Timeshare-direct 1,040 1,022 929 Timeshare strategy-impairment charges 614 - 324 Reimbursed costs (1) 7,682 8,239 8,843 Restructuring costs 51 - - General, administrative, and other (1) 722 780 752 Total cost of sales 11,060 10,996 11,791 Income (loss) from operations (152) 695 526 (Losses) gains and other income (including gain on debt extinguishment of $21 in 2009) (1) 31 35 (7) Interest expense (1) (118) (180) (164) Interest income (1) 25 19 14 Equity in losses (1) (66) (18) (13) Timeshare strategy - impairment charges (non-operating) (1) (138) - - INCOME BEFORE PROVISION FOR INCOME TAXES (418) 551 356 Provision for income taxes 65 (93) (158) NET INCOME (353) 458 198 Source: 10K Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 48
  • 49. Marriott’s Balance Sheet: Asset 2011 2010 ASSETS Current assets Cash and equivalents $ 102 $ 505 Accounts and notes receivable (1) (including from VIEs of $0 and $125, respectively) 875 938 Inventory 11 1,489 Current deferred taxes, net 282 246 Prepaid expenses 54 81 Other (including from VIEs of $0 and $31, respectively) - 123 1,324 3,382 Property and equipment 1,168 1,307 Intangible assets Goodwill 875 875 Contract acquisition costs and other (1) 846 768 1,721 1,643 Equity and cost method investments (1) 265 250 Notes receivable (1) (including from VIEs of $0 and $910, respectively) 298 1,264 Deferred taxes, net (1) 873 932 Other (including from VIEs of $0 and $14, respectively) (1) 261 205 $ 5,910 $ 8,983 Source: 10K Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 49
  • 50. Marriott’s Balance Sheet: Liability and Equity LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY Current liabilities Current portion of long-term debt (including from VIEs of $0 and $126, respectively) $ 355 $ 138 Accounts payable (1) 548 634 Accrued payroll and benefits 650 692 Liability for guest loyalty program 514 486 Other (1) (including from VIEs of $0 and $3, respectively) 491 551 2,558 2,501 Long-term debt (including from VIEs of $0 and $890, respectively) 1,816 2,691 Liability for guest loyalty program 1,434 1,313 Other long-term liabilities (1) 883 893 Marriott shareholders' equity Class A Common Stock 5 5 Additional paid-in-capital 2,513 3,644 Retained earnings 3,212 3,286 Treasury stock, at cost (6,463) (5,348) Accumulated other comprehensive loss (48) (2) (781) 1,585 $ 5,910 $ 8,983 Source: 10K Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 50
  • 51. Accor’s Balance Sheet: Asset Source: 10K Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 51
  • 52. Accor’s Balance Sheet: Liability and Equity Source: 10K Go Back to Appendix – Table of Content 12/16/2012 52

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. REV par = the same
  2. Increase # of HotelsLower ongoing cost Burden of Owner
  3. The chart on the left indicates Marriott’s number of hotel holding of different segments (luxury, midscale, and economy). We can see from the chart that Marriott depends heavily on its luxury hotel business segment. The chart on the right demonstrates that these luxury hotels are the most profitable segment for Marriott’s brand hotel holding. However, the mid-scale hotels are underperforming. In this way, Marriott should sell three of its midscale hotel brands - Courtyard, Fairfield, and Spring Hill. These hotels inhibitMarriott’s potential to reach maximum profitability. Source: Marriott 2011 10K
  4. Focusing on the mid-scale hotel market this graph displays Marriott’s return on assets relative to its competitors. As one can see Accor has a large mid-scale holding as well as a high return on assets. An acquisition of Marriott’s mid-scale hotels by Accor would provide both Accor and Marriott benefits for the future. Source: Star(Websites), Each Company’s 10K
  5. The minimum sale price of the mid-scale hotels is equal to the combined market value of the 3 hotels listed above in addition to the goodwill of about 2%. Usually, the acquirer would pay a 20%-30% premium on top of the total market value.Source: Annual Report
  6. Cash inflow = $4560 Million
  7. The global hotels and resorts industry is a low growth, and low concentration industry. There are both external and internal competitors of the global hotels and resorts industry that pose a threat to Marriott International’s competitive position.External competitors, though they are not technically part of this industry, can take business away from those firms that do compete in the industry.They include motels, bed and breakfasts, caravan parks, camp grounds, and hostelsInternal competitors are those other hotel and resort firms that compete for the global hotel and resort industry market shareMarriott International has the greatest market share at 2%, followed by Hilton with 1.7%The top four players in this industry are expected to account for 6-7% of the market share, demonstrating the low market concentrationSource: IBISWorld Industry Report G4611-GL Global Hotels & Resorts
  8. Always a substitute for food and drink suppliers for hotels, these companies have minimal bargaining power with Marriott because they can leverage the potential of another supplier at a lower cost.Airlines that overbook a flight have no option but to provide lodging to those customers that will not be able to travel and need a place to stay overnight. Key Buying IndustriesGlobal AirlinesFlight crews demand industry services.Global Travel Agency ServicesOperators in this industry book hotel and resort accommodation on behalf of customers.Global ConsumersConsumers require accommodation when traveling, whether for business or pleasure. Key Selling IndustriesGlobal Milk & Cream ManufacturingThis industry supplies dairy products to hotels.Global Fruit & Vegetables ProcessingThis industry supplies fruits and vegetables to hotels.Global Beer ManufacturingThis industry supplies beer to hotels.Global Spirits ManufacturingThis industry supplies alcohol to hotels.Global Horse Betting & LotteriesHotels and resorts accommodate visitors to casinos.Key Success FactorsThe key success factors in the Global Hotels & Resorts industry are:Access to multiskilled and flexible workforceAccess to multi-skilled and well trained staff is vital to ensure high levels of guest service and satisfaction.Being part of a franchising chainIt is important for companies in the industry to closely evaluate the benefits of being part of a chain orfranchised group, particularly in areas such as marketing and promotion.Receiving the benefit of word-of-mouth recommendationsGood word-of-mouth recommendations are often the most successful promotional tool in the Hospitalitydivision.Proximity to key marketsIt is important for companies in the industry to be located close to other businesses that offer services andproducts for those in the same market.Ability to quickly adopt new technologyOperators need to be aware of the new technology available in this industry for information, promotions,bookings and reservations and general management control systems.Ability to control stock on handIt is imperative for operators to understand the various room availability and tariff mechanisms used inthis industry.Source: IBISWorld Industry Report G4611-GL Global Hotels & Resorts
  9. A: Marriott International dictates all of its business decisions through its set of core values. Consistent leadership supports the employment of these core values, as JW Marriott has led the company since 1965.Set of core values:1. Put people first2. Pursue excellence3. Embrace change4. Act with integrity and serve our worldDemonstrates the value of this resource through global partnershipsHabitat for HumanityFeeding AmericaB: Marriott’s brand has been atop the the industry in excellence and brand recognition for years.The company ranked 37th in the Fortune's 2011 rating of World's Most Admired Companies after ruling the list as the number one for ten consecutive years. The 'Most Admired' list is made up of companies that are ranked by Executives, Directors, and Analysts in their own industry on eight criteria, including innovation, people management, uses of corporate assets, social responsibility, quality of management, financial soundness, long-term investment, and products/services quality.Marriott International continues to improve its brand image through partnershipsFor example, Marriott partnered with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, an NFL franchise, this past MondayC: Marriott International maintains focused on improving its lodging in developed nations and providing new lodging in emerging marketsIts widespread global presence will continue to grow as they will have hotels in over 70 countries by the end of 2012D:Marriott International prides itself on incorporating advanced technology into the hotel experience of its customers.For example: One of the frontrunners of the technical success has been the Marriott's Automated Reservation System for Hotel Accommodations (MARSH), a well known reservation system being used by the Marriott. This system encompasses the entire database of all its customers visiting anywhere in any part of the world.The MARSH system differentiates Marriott from its competitors in that it offers customers more personal attention during their stayThis strategy demonstrates Marriott’s refreshing commitment to its customers. They now focus on the statistic of revenue per customer rather than revenue per property.Technical innovations to ease the business process and increase hassle-free experience for thecustomersMarriott had adopted several innovative technical programs to suit its business requirements and supportthe customer related problems. These programs have been developed either in-house or with the externalsupport. One of the frontrunners of the technical success has been the Marriott's Automated ReservationSystem for Hotel Accommodations (MARSH), a well known reservation system being used by the Marriott.This system encompasses the entire database of all its customers visiting anywhere in any part of theworld. Thus, the information of a customer visiting Courtyard, London would already be available throughMARSH as that customer had once visited Ritz-Carlton, Millenia Singapore. The MARSH, hence, gives theMarriott an edge over its competitors, in providing personalized attention to each of its customer. TheMARSH success led to the implementation of the e-business strategy which transformed Marriott from aproperty-focused to a customer- focused company. The main aspect of this strategy was the moreimportance given to revenue earned per customer than the revenue earned per property and to providebetter customer service through the use of information technology proactively and through facilities onoffer through websites.Higher brand recognition and recall makes the company priority choice for clientsMarriott is one of the leading hotel and leisure companies known for its strong brand portfolio in all themajor segments and market. The company operates in most major markets and segments around theworld through its luxury brands such as Marriott Hotels & Resorts, JW Marriott Hotels & Resorts, The Ritz-Carlton, Bulgari Hotels & Resorts, Grand Residences and mid-priced brands like Courtyard, and FairfieldInn. At a corporate level, Marriott has a high brand recall. The company ranked 37 in the Fortune's 2011rating of World's Most Admired Companies after ruling the list as the number one for ten consecutiveyears. The 'Most Admired' list is made up of companies that are ranked by Executives, Directors, andAnalysts in their own industry on eight criteria, including innovation, people management, uses ofcorporate assets, social responsibility, quality of management, financial soundness, long-term investment,and products/services quality.Global presence and strong brand portfolio diversifies the revenue sourcesMarriott is one of the key players in lodging and hospitality industry with operations spanning 70 countriesaround the globe. It earns revenues from both matured and emerging markets. The established presencein matured markets like the US and Canada drives the value growth while the presence in emergingmarkets drives the volume growth. Besides, a global presence shields the country from risks specific to aparticular economy.Source: IBISWorld Industry Report G4611-GL Global Hotels & Resorts
  10. As for improving customer loyalty, every hotel is investing in their customer's experience in order to attract more customers. Marriott is doing really good in their loyalty program except not having a more complicated data system that provides more convenient and automatic check-in. However, this system cost money.Hotel utility costs represent about 6 percent of all operating costs. Plus, 60%-70% of the cost is energy. 34% of consumers would be willing to pay more to stay in green hotel. Through a strategic approach to energy efficiency, a 10 percent reduction in energy consumption would have the same financial effect as increasing the average daily room rate (ADR) by $0.62 in limited-service hotels and by $1.35 in full-service hotels. However, this requires huge investment in green energy and generators.All in all, the ability to finance is the most important issue. We are currently in debt: 1% of our revenue is cash and our debt to equity ratio is 16, while the industry average is around 6. In order to have the cash to finance, we can:1. Sell underperforming hotels -- best choice2. Exit economy hotel market(+) Increase resources to improve underperforming hotels(-) Marriott’s low-scale hotels are growing profitable3. Third party financing (PE/Shares/Bonds)(+) Quick cash inflow(-) Hard to find/Dilute share price/High cost of the debtSource: University of Michigan – High Performance Hospitality, Efficiency Partnership, Marriott's 10-K
  11. Total Debt: 6 billion dollars, Debt to Equity Ratio: 16. If we decrease the debt to 3 billion dollars, then debt to equity ratio = 8 (industry average DE ratio = 6)Given the recommended plan to sell off the mid-scale hotels, one way that Marriott can utilize the new cash includes investing into leading “green practices” that can essentially set them a part from their competitors. These “green practices” have been segmented into 3 categories including energy, water and waste. EnergyAccording data from energy star hotels on average in America spend around $2,196 per room per year which calculated is about 6% of operating costsBy using some of the cash inflow and installing an onsite co-generator, the Marriott can save enough energy to light 240 homes a day Energy savings improve the operation of capital equipment, enhances the bottom line and improves customer experience34% of consumers would be willing to pay more to stay in a hotel that has an emphasis on being green 2. WaterInstalling Low-flow shower head that save on average 2 gallonsper minute Dual-flush toiletsThese changes will cause 50% less water3. WasteFocusing energy on compost waste as the cost to remove compost waste is 50% less than the cost to remove trashThe improvements in these areas will in turn augment customer loyalty which is one of the underlining goals for many Hotel chains. Source: University of Michigan – High Performance Hospitality, Efficiency Partnership