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Managing climate risks
The role of economic instruments for
Public-Private Partnerships
Session on „Public-private
partnerships to build disaster and
climate resilience”
OECD
18.6.2014
Reinhard Mechler
Key points for discussion
• IPCC 2014 climate risk perspective
• Role of economic instruments for
incentivizing adaptation
• Risk financing instruments
• Considering equity and efficiency
IPCC risk perspective: Dealing with
climate variability and change
IPCC, 2014
IPCC risk perspective: Dealing with climate variability
and change
Example: Losses from coastal and riverine flooding in
Europe
IPCC, 2014
Economic instruments in DRR and CCCA
Instrument category Instruments
Subsidies Grants; tax reductions; price supports
Taxes and fees Land taxes and fees; energy taxes
Licences, permits and
variations
Tradable units; project based offsets; advance market commitment
Other Market Based
Instruments
Payments for ecosystem services; water markets; habitat banking
Risk Financing
Instruments (RFIs)
Risk Pool; insurance; catastrophe bonds; weather derivatives
MBI
RFI
Economic instruments in DRR and CCCA
1. Helping to directly manage impacts
• Risk financing
good evidence
2. Helping to indirectly manage risks
• by providing incentives (all instruments)
mixed and limited evidence
3. Managing risk and promoting growth
• RFI manage systemic risk and thus allow higher return-
higher risk activities
Limited evidence
Economic instruments in DRR and CCCA
- IPCC AR5 WG II
• Economic instruments have high potential as flexible tools
because they directly and indirectly provide incentives for
anticipating and reducing impacts and can have lower costs to the
public budget.
• Instruments offer some useful possibilities for addressing climate
change but they also have problems of effective implementation
that need to be addressed.
• Risk financing mechanisms at local, national, regional, and global
scales contribute to increasing resilience to climate extremes
and climate variability, but involve major design challenges so as to
avoid providing disincentives, causing market failure and
worsening equity situations (medium confidence).
Sector-specific ability of economic
instruments to incentivise adaptation
Bräuninger et al., 2011
Flood risk in Europe - only a third insured,
and risk increasing
Total annual average flood risk: 3.4 billion Euro
AT B BU CZ
DK
ES
FI
F
D
G
H
IR
IT
LV
LTLUNLPL
POROSK
SL
ES
S
UK
Total annual uninsured average flood risk: 2.3 billion
Euro
AT
B BUCZ
DK
ES
FI
F
D
G
HIRITLV
LTLUNL
PL
PORO
SK
SL
ESS
UK
Bräuninger et al., 2011
Commercial
insurance
UK
Netherlands
(loss compensation)
France all hazards
system
Commercial
sovereign
insurance
Caribbean
Catastrophe
Risk
Insurance
Facility
EU Solidarity Fund
(loss compensation)
Public Private
Central
European
Catastrophe Risk
Insurance
Facility
National/provincial flood property insurance
International sovereign risk pools
US NFIP
Insurance markets: public-private
partnerships are omnipresent
• Inform clients about available risk prevention measures and associated costs
 enabling to evaluate potential risks, benefits of the insurance contract on
offer, and the cost of risk prevention measures
 reward risk reduction by premium discounts
• But: Insurance often provides disincentive and leads to moral hazard (i.e.
inaction due to inappropriate incentives)
• Insurers can require risk reduction as a contractual condition: e.g. fire safety
measures as a condition for insuring a home or business
• Also: insurers can work jointly and invest in risk reduction
Example Switzerland: cantonal public monopoly insurers contribute to risk
reduction, including building codes and land-use planning, and also financing of
the Fire Service and Cantonal Civil Defense Services
Incentivizing risk management and climate adaptation
Opportunities and challenges of risk financing
instruments
Assessment of the risk financing
instruments based on multiple criteria
Bräuninger et al., 2011
The European Solidarity Fund (EUSF)
EUSF under risk of depletion due to large scale flood events
Jongman et al. (2014)
1/3 climate
2/3 socioeconomics
Risk
acceptance
threshold
Managing risk
Mechler et al. (2014)
Rethinking the EUSF
Reduction in losses after insurance and EUSF
Jongman et al. (2014)
Key points for discussion
• IPCC 2014 climate risk perspective
• Role of economic instruments for
incentivizing adaptation
• Risk financing instruments
• Considering equity and efficiency

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Managing climate risks through public-private partnerships and risk financing instruments

  • 1. Managing climate risks The role of economic instruments for Public-Private Partnerships Session on „Public-private partnerships to build disaster and climate resilience” OECD 18.6.2014 Reinhard Mechler
  • 2. Key points for discussion • IPCC 2014 climate risk perspective • Role of economic instruments for incentivizing adaptation • Risk financing instruments • Considering equity and efficiency
  • 3. IPCC risk perspective: Dealing with climate variability and change IPCC, 2014
  • 4. IPCC risk perspective: Dealing with climate variability and change Example: Losses from coastal and riverine flooding in Europe IPCC, 2014
  • 5. Economic instruments in DRR and CCCA Instrument category Instruments Subsidies Grants; tax reductions; price supports Taxes and fees Land taxes and fees; energy taxes Licences, permits and variations Tradable units; project based offsets; advance market commitment Other Market Based Instruments Payments for ecosystem services; water markets; habitat banking Risk Financing Instruments (RFIs) Risk Pool; insurance; catastrophe bonds; weather derivatives MBI RFI
  • 6. Economic instruments in DRR and CCCA 1. Helping to directly manage impacts • Risk financing good evidence 2. Helping to indirectly manage risks • by providing incentives (all instruments) mixed and limited evidence 3. Managing risk and promoting growth • RFI manage systemic risk and thus allow higher return- higher risk activities Limited evidence
  • 7. Economic instruments in DRR and CCCA - IPCC AR5 WG II • Economic instruments have high potential as flexible tools because they directly and indirectly provide incentives for anticipating and reducing impacts and can have lower costs to the public budget. • Instruments offer some useful possibilities for addressing climate change but they also have problems of effective implementation that need to be addressed. • Risk financing mechanisms at local, national, regional, and global scales contribute to increasing resilience to climate extremes and climate variability, but involve major design challenges so as to avoid providing disincentives, causing market failure and worsening equity situations (medium confidence).
  • 8. Sector-specific ability of economic instruments to incentivise adaptation Bräuninger et al., 2011
  • 9. Flood risk in Europe - only a third insured, and risk increasing Total annual average flood risk: 3.4 billion Euro AT B BU CZ DK ES FI F D G H IR IT LV LTLUNLPL POROSK SL ES S UK Total annual uninsured average flood risk: 2.3 billion Euro AT B BUCZ DK ES FI F D G HIRITLV LTLUNL PL PORO SK SL ESS UK Bräuninger et al., 2011
  • 10. Commercial insurance UK Netherlands (loss compensation) France all hazards system Commercial sovereign insurance Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility EU Solidarity Fund (loss compensation) Public Private Central European Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility National/provincial flood property insurance International sovereign risk pools US NFIP Insurance markets: public-private partnerships are omnipresent
  • 11. • Inform clients about available risk prevention measures and associated costs  enabling to evaluate potential risks, benefits of the insurance contract on offer, and the cost of risk prevention measures  reward risk reduction by premium discounts • But: Insurance often provides disincentive and leads to moral hazard (i.e. inaction due to inappropriate incentives) • Insurers can require risk reduction as a contractual condition: e.g. fire safety measures as a condition for insuring a home or business • Also: insurers can work jointly and invest in risk reduction Example Switzerland: cantonal public monopoly insurers contribute to risk reduction, including building codes and land-use planning, and also financing of the Fire Service and Cantonal Civil Defense Services Incentivizing risk management and climate adaptation Opportunities and challenges of risk financing instruments
  • 12. Assessment of the risk financing instruments based on multiple criteria Bräuninger et al., 2011
  • 13. The European Solidarity Fund (EUSF) EUSF under risk of depletion due to large scale flood events Jongman et al. (2014) 1/3 climate 2/3 socioeconomics
  • 15. Rethinking the EUSF Reduction in losses after insurance and EUSF Jongman et al. (2014)
  • 16. Key points for discussion • IPCC 2014 climate risk perspective • Role of economic instruments for incentivizing adaptation • Risk financing instruments • Considering equity and efficiency