SlideShare une entreprise Scribd logo
1  sur  14
Télécharger pour lire hors ligne
Disclaimer statement

This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and
businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be,
forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on
management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could
cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements.
Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Royal Dutch Shell
to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and
assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’,
‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’,
‘‘will’’, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘risks’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘should’’ and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that
could affect the future operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those
expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this presentations, including (without limitation): (a) price
fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for the Group’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d)
drilling and production results; (e) reserve estimates; (f) loss of market and industry competition; (g) environmental and
physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and
successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and
countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including potential litigation
and regulatory effects arising from recategorisation of reserves; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various
countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with
governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs;
and (m) changes in trading conditions. All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified
in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue
reliance on forward-looking statements. Additional factors that may affect future results are contained in Royal Dutch Shell’s
20-F for the year ended December 31, 2008 (available at www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov ). These factors also
should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 3
March 2010. Neither Royal Dutch Shell nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any
forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results
could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this
presentation.
1
4 Factors determine CO2 Emissions


       CO2 emissions     =
                             Xx Xx
                             people       GDP
                                        person
                                                      energy
                                                     unit GDP
                                                                x unit energy
                                                                     CO2




Only four factors govern the outcome, being:
 •  Population               Number of people
 •  Standard of Living       GDP per person
 •  Energy Intensity         Energy per unit of GDP (efficiency of the economy)
 •  Carbon Intensity         CO2 per unit of energy (reflects the energy source)
Decarbonisation Pathways, incl Gas

Emission reduction (CO2 / unit energy)



Further shift to   Nuclear     Renewables   Bio-products   Carbon capture
natural gas        power                                   and storage



Energy conservation and efficiency (energy / unit GDP)



Mass               Road        Buildings    Low energy     Doing things
transportation     transport                appliances     differently
Bright Future for Gas Supply




                                                                 The Guardian: UK’s carbon emission dropped by
                                                                                   2% in 2008
                                                                                               2 Feb 2010


                                                                  “According to the Department of Energy and Climate Change, the

                                                                  decrease is the result of continuing to switch

      CERA: Storage levels higher than the                        from coal to natural gas for making electricity,
                                                                    combined with lower consumption of fossil fuels in industry and
                 previous year
                                                                                              transport.”
          CERA reported recently that “the European Gas
       Coordination Group met in January 2010, noting that
      storage levels were higher than in the previous year and

       praising the industry for ensuring supply.”




5
A/S Gas : Abundant & Secure gas resource in Europe


                             NO:
                          109 TCF



         UK:
        49 TCF             DK
                          2.1 TCF



                            DE
                  NL:     9 TCF
                 53 TCF




                                    South
                                    Stream




 6
                                                     Source: CERA
Europe is surrounded by large gas reserves
                            accessible to its market



                                                   ?

                                                    Russia: 
                                                    45 TCM
                           Indigenous:
                              6 TCM




     Trinidad
     &Tobag                                South
         o
                               Stream
      1 TCM


      Nigeria
                                                  Caspian &
      4 TCM
                                                    Middle East: 
                                                                 86 TCM
                 North
                 Africa
                 7 TCM



7
                                                                                 Source: CERA
Unconventional Gas Global Distribution of GIIP -
                                                US National Petroleum Council



                                                                     5,485 TCF




                                  1200 TCF
              8,228 TCF


                                                         5,094 TCF

                                  3,370 TCF

                  3,448 TCF
                                    1,097 TCF
                                                                       3,487 TCF




8
“Natural gas will play a key role whatever the policy landscape…”
                                                                  2009 World Energy Outlook,
IEA




                                                             All three of CERA’s
                                                        scenarios show natural gas
                                                         growing or maintaining its
                                                           share of Europe’s total
                                                          primary energy demand




      9
                                                                                 Source: CERA
Gas is Core to the Clean Energy Solution




10
                                                 Source: Eurostat data, Shell analysis
Shell is a major contributor to gas supply into Europe


      START-UP DATE                                                  FIRST LNG MARCH 09, TRAIN 2 ONSTREAM MAY 09

       2008

       2009
                                                   GJOA
       2010+
                                         CORRIB
                                                          HALFDAN PHASE IV

                                                                     KASHAGAN
                                                                                     SAKHALIN II

                                                    QATARGAS 4        PEARL GTL

                                                                                      GUMUSUT-KAKAP



                                                  AFAM
         Nigeria LNG T6
                                                                        GORGON
                                                                                      NWS T5 / ANGEL

                                                                 PLUTO (WOODSIDE)




          Start up 2007
                                                 Qatargas 4: 2010+
          •  MID YEAR RESULTS 2009 START UPS ADD 140 KBOE/D PEAK PRODUCTION
                            •  ~1 MLN BOE/D UNDER CONSTRUCTION
                                                                                          KEY POST-FID PROJECTS
                    •  PRE-FID OPTIONS FOR UPSTREAM GROWTH TO ~2020



11
Towards more power generation from Gas


      •    Current UK power generation is 40% gas driven
           and 80% of UK homes utilise gas for heating



      •    World Gas supply equivalent to 150+ years of
           current consumption



      •    Gas fired power, when compared to Coal :

              -    50-70% less CO2 output

              -    60% less capital intensive per MW installed

              -    Lower power generation costs compared to
                   other sources

              -    More flexible to deliver peak outputs

              -    Can be retrofitted to include CCS




12
GAS a prominent part of EU Energy Mix deserves EU
                   Policy support

      •  The Reality is - We need ALL fuels for some decades to
        come
      •  Natural gas merits a prominent place in the EU energy
        mix
      •  Gas is abundant, safe, less polluting, reliable
      •  Shell is committed to work with you to realise the full
        potential for gas in Europe




13
14

Contenu connexe

Tendances

Duke Energy 3Q 05_Final_Transcript
Duke Energy 3Q 05_Final_TranscriptDuke Energy 3Q 05_Final_Transcript
Duke Energy 3Q 05_Final_Transcriptfinance21
 
xcel energy Better_Investing_April2008
xcel energy  Better_Investing_April2008xcel energy  Better_Investing_April2008
xcel energy Better_Investing_April2008finance26
 
TCEH Competitive Analysis July 2015
TCEH Competitive Analysis July 2015TCEH Competitive Analysis July 2015
TCEH Competitive Analysis July 2015Farhan Baig
 
Russ Ford- UBS Global Oil & Gas Conference – May 24, 2011
Russ Ford- UBS Global Oil & Gas Conference – May 24, 2011 Russ Ford- UBS Global Oil & Gas Conference – May 24, 2011
Russ Ford- UBS Global Oil & Gas Conference – May 24, 2011 Shell plc
 
One North Sea Report
One North Sea ReportOne North Sea Report
One North Sea ReportMark Burnett
 
Stimulus bill energy opportunities
Stimulus bill energy opportunitiesStimulus bill energy opportunities
Stimulus bill energy opportunitiespmalo23
 
Fuel for power
Fuel for powerFuel for power
Fuel for powerpmalo23
 
Energy & Carbon Management newsletter - Dec 12
Energy & Carbon Management newsletter - Dec 12Energy & Carbon Management newsletter - Dec 12
Energy & Carbon Management newsletter - Dec 12EnergyandCarbonManagement
 
progress energy Qslides10/08
progress energy Qslides10/08progress energy Qslides10/08
progress energy Qslides10/08finance25
 
01. Van Acker Roland Berger
01. Van Acker   Roland Berger01. Van Acker   Roland Berger
01. Van Acker Roland BergerWim_van_Acker
 
New base special 24 march 2014
New base special  24 march 2014New base special  24 march 2014
New base special 24 march 2014Khaled Al Awadi
 
public serviceenterprise group Lehman
public serviceenterprise group  Lehmanpublic serviceenterprise group  Lehman
public serviceenterprise group Lehmanfinance20
 
Steven fawkes shale gas 07 11 12
Steven fawkes shale gas 07 11 12Steven fawkes shale gas 07 11 12
Steven fawkes shale gas 07 11 12Steven Fawkes
 
Oscar prieto (atlantic lng ) global benchmark by 2013
Oscar prieto (atlantic lng )   global benchmark by 2013Oscar prieto (atlantic lng )   global benchmark by 2013
Oscar prieto (atlantic lng ) global benchmark by 2013Naturgas
 
July 2010 - Michigan Energy Forum - Robert H. German
July 2010 - Michigan Energy Forum - Robert H. GermanJuly 2010 - Michigan Energy Forum - Robert H. German
July 2010 - Michigan Energy Forum - Robert H. GermanAnnArborSPARK
 

Tendances (17)

Duke Energy 3Q 05_Final_Transcript
Duke Energy 3Q 05_Final_TranscriptDuke Energy 3Q 05_Final_Transcript
Duke Energy 3Q 05_Final_Transcript
 
xcel energy Better_Investing_April2008
xcel energy  Better_Investing_April2008xcel energy  Better_Investing_April2008
xcel energy Better_Investing_April2008
 
TCEH Competitive Analysis July 2015
TCEH Competitive Analysis July 2015TCEH Competitive Analysis July 2015
TCEH Competitive Analysis July 2015
 
Russ Ford- UBS Global Oil & Gas Conference – May 24, 2011
Russ Ford- UBS Global Oil & Gas Conference – May 24, 2011 Russ Ford- UBS Global Oil & Gas Conference – May 24, 2011
Russ Ford- UBS Global Oil & Gas Conference – May 24, 2011
 
One North Sea Report
One North Sea ReportOne North Sea Report
One North Sea Report
 
Stimulus bill energy opportunities
Stimulus bill energy opportunitiesStimulus bill energy opportunities
Stimulus bill energy opportunities
 
Japan20120531
Japan20120531Japan20120531
Japan20120531
 
Fuel for power
Fuel for powerFuel for power
Fuel for power
 
Caribbean Energy Macro-Related Challenges
Caribbean Energy Macro-Related ChallengesCaribbean Energy Macro-Related Challenges
Caribbean Energy Macro-Related Challenges
 
Energy & Carbon Management newsletter - Dec 12
Energy & Carbon Management newsletter - Dec 12Energy & Carbon Management newsletter - Dec 12
Energy & Carbon Management newsletter - Dec 12
 
progress energy Qslides10/08
progress energy Qslides10/08progress energy Qslides10/08
progress energy Qslides10/08
 
01. Van Acker Roland Berger
01. Van Acker   Roland Berger01. Van Acker   Roland Berger
01. Van Acker Roland Berger
 
New base special 24 march 2014
New base special  24 march 2014New base special  24 march 2014
New base special 24 march 2014
 
public serviceenterprise group Lehman
public serviceenterprise group  Lehmanpublic serviceenterprise group  Lehman
public serviceenterprise group Lehman
 
Steven fawkes shale gas 07 11 12
Steven fawkes shale gas 07 11 12Steven fawkes shale gas 07 11 12
Steven fawkes shale gas 07 11 12
 
Oscar prieto (atlantic lng ) global benchmark by 2013
Oscar prieto (atlantic lng )   global benchmark by 2013Oscar prieto (atlantic lng )   global benchmark by 2013
Oscar prieto (atlantic lng ) global benchmark by 2013
 
July 2010 - Michigan Energy Forum - Robert H. German
July 2010 - Michigan Energy Forum - Robert H. GermanJuly 2010 - Michigan Energy Forum - Robert H. German
July 2010 - Michigan Energy Forum - Robert H. German
 

Similaire à The role of natural gas in eu energy security

3.4 – "Natural Gas – Conventional & Unconventional Gas Sources" – Jakub Sieme...
3.4 – "Natural Gas – Conventional & Unconventional Gas Sources" – Jakub Sieme...3.4 – "Natural Gas – Conventional & Unconventional Gas Sources" – Jakub Sieme...
3.4 – "Natural Gas – Conventional & Unconventional Gas Sources" – Jakub Sieme...Pomcert
 
Snam 2030 vision and 2021-2025 plan
Snam 2030 vision and 2021-2025 planSnam 2030 vision and 2021-2025 plan
Snam 2030 vision and 2021-2025 planSnam
 
Polygeneration and CCS India
Polygeneration and CCS IndiaPolygeneration and CCS India
Polygeneration and CCS IndiaRahulA
 
Energy Efficiency – Good for the World’s Economy; Good for the Nation’s Econo...
Energy Efficiency – Good for the World’s Economy; Good for the Nation’s Econo...Energy Efficiency – Good for the World’s Economy; Good for the Nation’s Econo...
Energy Efficiency – Good for the World’s Economy; Good for the Nation’s Econo...Alliance To Save Energy
 
GC Environmental Commodities Newsletter - June 2011
GC Environmental Commodities Newsletter - June 2011GC Environmental Commodities Newsletter - June 2011
GC Environmental Commodities Newsletter - June 2011Rameez Shaikh
 
M.Sc thesis Presentation
M.Sc thesis PresentationM.Sc thesis Presentation
M.Sc thesis Presentationubongsimon
 
Meta-review of long-term energy & carbon prices
Meta-review of long-term energy & carbon pricesMeta-review of long-term energy & carbon prices
Meta-review of long-term energy & carbon pricesLeonardo ENERGY
 
Renewable Energy : The United Kingdom Approach
Renewable Energy : The United Kingdom ApproachRenewable Energy : The United Kingdom Approach
Renewable Energy : The United Kingdom ApproachGavin Harper
 
AREVA, business & strategy overview - April 2009 - Appendix1
AREVA, business & strategy overview - April 2009 - Appendix1AREVA, business & strategy overview - April 2009 - Appendix1
AREVA, business & strategy overview - April 2009 - Appendix1AREVA
 
Power generation from_coal
Power generation from_coalPower generation from_coal
Power generation from_coalDangtra Catse
 
Informing the debate around the role of hydrogen in net zero pathways for dif...
Informing the debate around the role of hydrogen in net zero pathways for dif...Informing the debate around the role of hydrogen in net zero pathways for dif...
Informing the debate around the role of hydrogen in net zero pathways for dif...IEA-ETSAP
 
Perspectives on the role of CO2 capture and utilisation (CCU) in climate chan...
Perspectives on the role of CO2 capture and utilisation (CCU) in climate chan...Perspectives on the role of CO2 capture and utilisation (CCU) in climate chan...
Perspectives on the role of CO2 capture and utilisation (CCU) in climate chan...Global CCS Institute
 
Saudi Aramco KapSarc Quarterly Research Report- December 2018
Saudi Aramco KapSarc Quarterly Research Report- December 2018Saudi Aramco KapSarc Quarterly Research Report- December 2018
Saudi Aramco KapSarc Quarterly Research Report- December 2018Energy for One World
 

Similaire à The role of natural gas in eu energy security (20)

3.4 – "Natural Gas – Conventional & Unconventional Gas Sources" – Jakub Sieme...
3.4 – "Natural Gas – Conventional & Unconventional Gas Sources" – Jakub Sieme...3.4 – "Natural Gas – Conventional & Unconventional Gas Sources" – Jakub Sieme...
3.4 – "Natural Gas – Conventional & Unconventional Gas Sources" – Jakub Sieme...
 
Snam 2030 vision and 2021-2025 plan
Snam 2030 vision and 2021-2025 planSnam 2030 vision and 2021-2025 plan
Snam 2030 vision and 2021-2025 plan
 
11v3 ch10
11v3 ch1011v3 ch10
11v3 ch10
 
Polygeneration and CCS India
Polygeneration and CCS IndiaPolygeneration and CCS India
Polygeneration and CCS India
 
Energy Efficiency – Good for the World’s Economy; Good for the Nation’s Econo...
Energy Efficiency – Good for the World’s Economy; Good for the Nation’s Econo...Energy Efficiency – Good for the World’s Economy; Good for the Nation’s Econo...
Energy Efficiency – Good for the World’s Economy; Good for the Nation’s Econo...
 
xel_090804
xel_090804xel_090804
xel_090804
 
GC Environmental Commodities Newsletter - June 2011
GC Environmental Commodities Newsletter - June 2011GC Environmental Commodities Newsletter - June 2011
GC Environmental Commodities Newsletter - June 2011
 
Ece
EceEce
Ece
 
M.Sc thesis Presentation
M.Sc thesis PresentationM.Sc thesis Presentation
M.Sc thesis Presentation
 
Meta-review of long-term energy & carbon prices
Meta-review of long-term energy & carbon pricesMeta-review of long-term energy & carbon prices
Meta-review of long-term energy & carbon prices
 
Renewable Energy : The United Kingdom Approach
Renewable Energy : The United Kingdom ApproachRenewable Energy : The United Kingdom Approach
Renewable Energy : The United Kingdom Approach
 
AREVA, business & strategy overview - April 2009 - Appendix1
AREVA, business & strategy overview - April 2009 - Appendix1AREVA, business & strategy overview - April 2009 - Appendix1
AREVA, business & strategy overview - April 2009 - Appendix1
 
行政學1
行政學1行政學1
行政學1
 
行政學1
行政學1行政學1
行政學1
 
Sostenibilidad Energética y Regulación renovable
Sostenibilidad Energética y Regulación renovableSostenibilidad Energética y Regulación renovable
Sostenibilidad Energética y Regulación renovable
 
Power generation from_coal
Power generation from_coalPower generation from_coal
Power generation from_coal
 
Informing the debate around the role of hydrogen in net zero pathways for dif...
Informing the debate around the role of hydrogen in net zero pathways for dif...Informing the debate around the role of hydrogen in net zero pathways for dif...
Informing the debate around the role of hydrogen in net zero pathways for dif...
 
International CCS (Projects) - (Policy) Reflections, Tim Dixon - Ethics and G...
International CCS (Projects) - (Policy) Reflections, Tim Dixon - Ethics and G...International CCS (Projects) - (Policy) Reflections, Tim Dixon - Ethics and G...
International CCS (Projects) - (Policy) Reflections, Tim Dixon - Ethics and G...
 
Perspectives on the role of CO2 capture and utilisation (CCU) in climate chan...
Perspectives on the role of CO2 capture and utilisation (CCU) in climate chan...Perspectives on the role of CO2 capture and utilisation (CCU) in climate chan...
Perspectives on the role of CO2 capture and utilisation (CCU) in climate chan...
 
Saudi Aramco KapSarc Quarterly Research Report- December 2018
Saudi Aramco KapSarc Quarterly Research Report- December 2018Saudi Aramco KapSarc Quarterly Research Report- December 2018
Saudi Aramco KapSarc Quarterly Research Report- December 2018
 

Plus de E.ON Exploration & Production

Samarbeid, mangfold og utfordringer - .. med hilsen fra Japan og Tyskland
Samarbeid, mangfold og utfordringer - .. med hilsen fra Japan og TysklandSamarbeid, mangfold og utfordringer - .. med hilsen fra Japan og Tyskland
Samarbeid, mangfold og utfordringer - .. med hilsen fra Japan og TysklandE.ON Exploration & Production
 
Forebygging av storulykker - Wintershalls erfaringer
Forebygging av storulykker - Wintershalls erfaringerForebygging av storulykker - Wintershalls erfaringer
Forebygging av storulykker - Wintershalls erfaringerE.ON Exploration & Production
 
Falling objects: Engaging the ”man-in-the-loop” to achieve real safety improv...
Falling objects: Engaging the ”man-in-the-loop” to achieve real safety improv...Falling objects: Engaging the ”man-in-the-loop” to achieve real safety improv...
Falling objects: Engaging the ”man-in-the-loop” to achieve real safety improv...E.ON Exploration & Production
 
Håndbok beste praksis forebygging fallende gjenstander
Håndbok beste praksis forebygging fallende gjenstanderHåndbok beste praksis forebygging fallende gjenstander
Håndbok beste praksis forebygging fallende gjenstanderE.ON Exploration & Production
 
Fallende gjenstander: resultater fra spørreundersøkelsen og anbefalingsliste ...
Fallende gjenstander: resultater fra spørreundersøkelsen og anbefalingsliste ...Fallende gjenstander: resultater fra spørreundersøkelsen og anbefalingsliste ...
Fallende gjenstander: resultater fra spørreundersøkelsen og anbefalingsliste ...E.ON Exploration & Production
 
Fallende gjenstander, bakgrunn og formål med prosjektet
Fallende gjenstander, bakgrunn og formål med prosjektetFallende gjenstander, bakgrunn og formål med prosjektet
Fallende gjenstander, bakgrunn og formål med prosjektetE.ON Exploration & Production
 
Presentasjon, fallende gjenstander resultat fra spørreundersøkelse
Presentasjon, fallende gjenstander resultat fra spørreundersøkelsePresentasjon, fallende gjenstander resultat fra spørreundersøkelse
Presentasjon, fallende gjenstander resultat fra spørreundersøkelseE.ON Exploration & Production
 

Plus de E.ON Exploration & Production (20)

Erfaringer ved bruk av felles beredskapsressurser
Erfaringer ved bruk av felles beredskapsressurserErfaringer ved bruk av felles beredskapsressurser
Erfaringer ved bruk av felles beredskapsressurser
 
Områdeberedskap – status i arbeidet
Områdeberedskap – status i arbeidetOmrådeberedskap – status i arbeidet
Områdeberedskap – status i arbeidet
 
Forebygging av storulykker
Forebygging av storulykkerForebygging av storulykker
Forebygging av storulykker
 
Forebygging av storulykker
Forebygging av storulykkerForebygging av storulykker
Forebygging av storulykker
 
Hvordan kan vi forebygge storulykker?
Hvordan kan vi forebygge storulykker?  Hvordan kan vi forebygge storulykker?
Hvordan kan vi forebygge storulykker?
 
Ledelse og storulykkesrisiko
Ledelse og storulykkesrisikoLedelse og storulykkesrisiko
Ledelse og storulykkesrisiko
 
Samarbeid, mangfold og utfordringer - .. med hilsen fra Japan og Tyskland
Samarbeid, mangfold og utfordringer - .. med hilsen fra Japan og TysklandSamarbeid, mangfold og utfordringer - .. med hilsen fra Japan og Tyskland
Samarbeid, mangfold og utfordringer - .. med hilsen fra Japan og Tyskland
 
Nytt HMS-regelverk – struktur og utvikling
Nytt HMS-regelverk – struktur og utvikling Nytt HMS-regelverk – struktur og utvikling
Nytt HMS-regelverk – struktur og utvikling
 
Forebygging av storulykker - Wintershalls erfaringer
Forebygging av storulykker - Wintershalls erfaringerForebygging av storulykker - Wintershalls erfaringer
Forebygging av storulykker - Wintershalls erfaringer
 
Falling objects: Engaging the ”man-in-the-loop” to achieve real safety improv...
Falling objects: Engaging the ”man-in-the-loop” to achieve real safety improv...Falling objects: Engaging the ”man-in-the-loop” to achieve real safety improv...
Falling objects: Engaging the ”man-in-the-loop” to achieve real safety improv...
 
Håndbok beste praksis forebygging fallende gjenstander
Håndbok beste praksis forebygging fallende gjenstanderHåndbok beste praksis forebygging fallende gjenstander
Håndbok beste praksis forebygging fallende gjenstander
 
Fallende gjenstander: Tiltaksplan
Fallende gjenstander: Tiltaksplan Fallende gjenstander: Tiltaksplan
Fallende gjenstander: Tiltaksplan
 
Fallende gjenstander: resultater fra spørreundersøkelsen og anbefalingsliste ...
Fallende gjenstander: resultater fra spørreundersøkelsen og anbefalingsliste ...Fallende gjenstander: resultater fra spørreundersøkelsen og anbefalingsliste ...
Fallende gjenstander: resultater fra spørreundersøkelsen og anbefalingsliste ...
 
Fallende gjenstander, bakgrunn og formål med prosjektet
Fallende gjenstander, bakgrunn og formål med prosjektetFallende gjenstander, bakgrunn og formål med prosjektet
Fallende gjenstander, bakgrunn og formål med prosjektet
 
Hva gjør OLF etter hendelsen i Mexicogulfen
Hva gjør OLF etter hendelsen i MexicogulfenHva gjør OLF etter hendelsen i Mexicogulfen
Hva gjør OLF etter hendelsen i Mexicogulfen
 
The public sector and integrated operations
The public sector and integrated operationsThe public sector and integrated operations
The public sector and integrated operations
 
Scenariepresentasjon, OLFs årskonferanse
Scenariepresentasjon, OLFs årskonferanseScenariepresentasjon, OLFs årskonferanse
Scenariepresentasjon, OLFs årskonferanse
 
Energinasjonen Norge 2040
Energinasjonen Norge 2040Energinasjonen Norge 2040
Energinasjonen Norge 2040
 
Presentasjon, fallende gjenstander resultat fra spørreundersøkelse
Presentasjon, fallende gjenstander resultat fra spørreundersøkelsePresentasjon, fallende gjenstander resultat fra spørreundersøkelse
Presentasjon, fallende gjenstander resultat fra spørreundersøkelse
 
Helicopter Safety Study 3 (HSS-3)
Helicopter Safety Study 3 (HSS-3)Helicopter Safety Study 3 (HSS-3)
Helicopter Safety Study 3 (HSS-3)
 

The role of natural gas in eu energy security

  • 1. Disclaimer statement This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Royal Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘will’’, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘risks’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘should’’ and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this presentations, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for the Group’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserve estimates; (f) loss of market and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including potential litigation and regulatory effects arising from recategorisation of reserves; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; and (m) changes in trading conditions. All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Additional factors that may affect future results are contained in Royal Dutch Shell’s 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2008 (available at www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov ). These factors also should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 3 March 2010. Neither Royal Dutch Shell nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. 1
  • 2. 4 Factors determine CO2 Emissions CO2 emissions = Xx Xx people GDP person energy unit GDP x unit energy CO2 Only four factors govern the outcome, being: •  Population Number of people •  Standard of Living GDP per person •  Energy Intensity Energy per unit of GDP (efficiency of the economy) •  Carbon Intensity CO2 per unit of energy (reflects the energy source)
  • 3.
  • 4. Decarbonisation Pathways, incl Gas Emission reduction (CO2 / unit energy) Further shift to Nuclear Renewables Bio-products Carbon capture natural gas power and storage Energy conservation and efficiency (energy / unit GDP) Mass Road Buildings Low energy Doing things transportation transport appliances differently
  • 5. Bright Future for Gas Supply The Guardian: UK’s carbon emission dropped by 2% in 2008 2 Feb 2010 “According to the Department of Energy and Climate Change, the decrease is the result of continuing to switch CERA: Storage levels higher than the from coal to natural gas for making electricity, combined with lower consumption of fossil fuels in industry and previous year transport.” CERA reported recently that “the European Gas Coordination Group met in January 2010, noting that storage levels were higher than in the previous year and praising the industry for ensuring supply.” 5
  • 6. A/S Gas : Abundant & Secure gas resource in Europe NO: 109 TCF UK: 49 TCF DK 2.1 TCF DE NL: 9 TCF 53 TCF South Stream 6 Source: CERA
  • 7. Europe is surrounded by large gas reserves accessible to its market ? Russia: 45 TCM Indigenous: 6 TCM Trinidad &Tobag South o Stream 1 TCM Nigeria Caspian & 4 TCM Middle East: 86 TCM North Africa 7 TCM 7 Source: CERA
  • 8. Unconventional Gas Global Distribution of GIIP - US National Petroleum Council 5,485 TCF 1200 TCF 8,228 TCF 5,094 TCF 3,370 TCF 3,448 TCF 1,097 TCF 3,487 TCF 8
  • 9. “Natural gas will play a key role whatever the policy landscape…” 2009 World Energy Outlook, IEA All three of CERA’s scenarios show natural gas growing or maintaining its share of Europe’s total primary energy demand 9 Source: CERA
  • 10. Gas is Core to the Clean Energy Solution 10 Source: Eurostat data, Shell analysis
  • 11. Shell is a major contributor to gas supply into Europe START-UP DATE FIRST LNG MARCH 09, TRAIN 2 ONSTREAM MAY 09 2008 2009 GJOA 2010+ CORRIB HALFDAN PHASE IV KASHAGAN SAKHALIN II QATARGAS 4 PEARL GTL GUMUSUT-KAKAP AFAM Nigeria LNG T6 GORGON NWS T5 / ANGEL PLUTO (WOODSIDE) Start up 2007 Qatargas 4: 2010+ •  MID YEAR RESULTS 2009 START UPS ADD 140 KBOE/D PEAK PRODUCTION •  ~1 MLN BOE/D UNDER CONSTRUCTION KEY POST-FID PROJECTS •  PRE-FID OPTIONS FOR UPSTREAM GROWTH TO ~2020 11
  • 12. Towards more power generation from Gas •  Current UK power generation is 40% gas driven and 80% of UK homes utilise gas for heating •  World Gas supply equivalent to 150+ years of current consumption •  Gas fired power, when compared to Coal : -  50-70% less CO2 output -  60% less capital intensive per MW installed -  Lower power generation costs compared to other sources -  More flexible to deliver peak outputs -  Can be retrofitted to include CCS 12
  • 13. GAS a prominent part of EU Energy Mix deserves EU Policy support •  The Reality is - We need ALL fuels for some decades to come •  Natural gas merits a prominent place in the EU energy mix •  Gas is abundant, safe, less polluting, reliable •  Shell is committed to work with you to realise the full potential for gas in Europe 13
  • 14. 14