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The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity initiative
            (TEEB) and Climate Change


                              Patrick ten Brink
                    TEEB for Policy Makers Co-ordinator
   Head of Brussels Office, Institute for European Environmental Policy (IEEP)

                  Deltas in Times of Climate Change
                                  Session DP FE 1.3
                                 30 September 2010
                                    13:00 – 14:45
                                    Beurs Lounge
                             Rotterdam, the Netherlands
Presentation overview

                  1. Introduction
                     –   TEEB ambitions and process and approach
                     –   Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services
                     –   The growing awareness of value
                  2. Biodiversity and climate change
                     –   Need for climate action : coral reef emergency
                     –   Need for BD action for climate: mitigation –
                         Green Carbon and REDD+
                     –   BD and adaptation – Ecosystem based
                         adaption
                     –   Investment in natural capital
                     –   Other responses and instruments
                  3. Summary
TEEB origins




               Source: Bishop (2010) Presentation at BIOECON
TEEB‟s Genesis and progress

                        “Potsdam Initiative – Biological Diversity 2010”
                      1) The economic significance of the global loss of
                                    biological diversity

                     Sweden
                    Sept. 2009

                                  Brussels
                                 13 Nov 2009
TEEB Interim                                    London     India, Brazil, Belgium,
Report @ CBD COP-                              July 2009   Japan % South Africa
9, Bonn, May 2008                                                Sept. 2010




                                                               CBD COP 10 Nagoya Japan
TEEB final reports for different audiences

                            TEEB Ecological and
                            Economic Foundations (D0)
                            www.teebweb.org


                            TEEB for Policy-Makers (D1)
                            www.teebweb.org


                            TEEB for Local Policy (D2)
                            September 2010



                            TEEB for Business (D3)
                            July 2010


                            TEEB for Citizens (D4)
What is biodiversity?


“the variability among living organisms from all sources including, terrestrial, marine
and other aquatic ecosystems and the ecological complexes of which they are part;
this includes diversity within species, between species and of ecosystems”
                                                                              (CBD 1992).


In other words, biodiversity includes:
 Diversity within species populations - genetic variation;
• The number of species, and
• The diversity of ecosystems.

Both quantity and quality of biodiversity are important when considering the links between
nature, economic activity and human well being.
How does Biodiversity help economic activity and
human wellbeing ? Ecosystem Services

Ecosystem services = flows of value to human societies as a result of the state and
quantity of natural capital.


• Provisioning services – e.g. wild foods, crops, fresh water and plant-derived medicines;
• Regulating services – e.g. filtration of pollutants by wetlands, climate regulation through
carbon storage and water cycling, pollination and protection from disasters;
• Cultural services – e.g. recreation, spiritual and aesthetic values, education;
• Supporting services – e.g. soil formation, photosynthesis and nutrient cycling.
                                                                                    (MA 2005)


From an economic point of view, the flows of ecosystem services can be seen as the
„dividend‟ that society receives from natural capital.
Maintaining stocks of natural capital allow the sustained provision of future flows of
ecosystem services, and thereby help to ensure enduring human well-being.
Biodiversity and ecosystem services

Biodiversity   „Quality‟     „Quantity‟         Services (examples)

Ecosystems     Variety       Extent             • Recreation
                                                • Water regulation
                                                • Carbon storage

Species        Diversity     Population         • Food, fibre, fuel
                                                • Design inspiration
                                                • Pollination

Genes          Variability   Number             • Medicinal discovery
                                                • Disease resistance
                                                • Adaptive capacity


                                          Source: Bishop (2010) Presentation at BIOECON
Links from Drivers to ecosystem functions
to impacts and wellbeing

     Drivers      Pressures                State               Impact

    (Human)
     Drivers
                                                                         Human
                     e.g.                                               Wellbeing
                 changes in                                                 &
                    land use,
    Natural     climate change,         Biodiversity
    Drivers        pollution,
                                                       Ecosystem        Economic
                   water use,
                                                        Services          Value
                invasive alien
                 species (IAS)
   Policies
   Nat. Reg.
    Loc. Int.                     Ecosystem
                                   functions




                                  Response
Critical issues

The values of biodiversity and ecosystems are missing
•   Many not known (but this is changing); widespread lack of awareness
•   They are generally not integrated into the economic signals, into markets – the
    economy is therefore often not part of the solution
•   Values are not taken systematically into account in assessments and decision
    making
•   The value of nature is not reflected in national accounts nor in leading macro
    economic indicators


    Inappropriate incentives; misinterpretation of right solutions, insufficient
    evidence base at policy makers‟ finger tips and weaker public support for action
    There is not enough political will or conviction or awareness of benefits/cost to
    launch due policies
    Biodiversity loss continues – eroding natural capital base without realising its
    value
The Global Loss of
   Biodiversity
                                                                                        2000




     Source: L Braat presentation COP9 Bonn May 2008 on the COPI Study; building on MNP data
The Global Loss of
   Biodiversity
                                                                                     2050




      Source: L Braat presentation COP9 Bonn May 2008 on the COPI Study; building on MNP data
TEEB for Policy Makers report
                                 The Global Biodiversity Crisis
                                 •    Coral reef emergency
                                 •    Deforestation
                                 •    Loss of public goods…


                                 Measuring what we manage
                                 • BD & ecosystem service indicators
                                 • Natural capital accounts
                                 • Beyond GDP indicators et al

                                 Available Solutions
                                 •   PES water, PES – REDD+
                                 •   Markets, GPP
                                 •   Subsidy reform
                                 •   Legislation, liability, taxes & charges
                                 •   Protected Areas
                                 •   Investment in natural capital et al

  http://www.teebweb.org/
                                Responding to the value of nature
Part I: The Opportunity
Chapter 1: The Value of Nature for Local Development
Part II: The Tools
Chapter 2: Conceptual Frameworks for Considering the Benefits of
   Nature
Chapter 3: Tools for Valuation and Appraisal of Ecosystem
   Services in Policy Making
Part III: The Practice
Chapter 4: Ecosystem Services in Cities and Public Management
Chapter 5: Ecosystems Services in Rural Areas and Natural
   Resource Management
Chapter 6: Spatial Planning and Environmental Assessments
Chapter 7: Ecosystem Services and Protected Areas
Chapter 8: Payments for Ecosystem Services and Conservation
   Banking
Chapter 9: Certification and Labelling
Part IV: Conclusion
Chapter 10: Making Your Natural Capital Work for Local
   Development
Overview of tools and databases
“I believe that the great part of miseries of mankind are brought upon them
         by false estimates they have made of the value of things.”
                                                    Benjamin Franklin, 1706-1790




     “There is a renaissance underway, in which people are waking up to
    the tremendous values of natural capital and devising ingenious ways
         of incorporating these values into major resource decisions.”
                                               Gretchen Daily, Stanford University
Multiple benefits from ecosystems

Provisioning services                              Many services from the same resource
•   Food, fibre and fuel
•   Water provision
•   Genetic resources

Regulating Services
•   Climate /climate change regulation
•   Water and waste purification
•   Air purification
•   Erosion control
•   Natural hazards mitigation
•   Pollination
•   Biological control

Cultural Services
•   Aesthetics, Landscape value, recreation and
    tourism
•   Cultural values and inspirational services

Supporting Services
•   Soil formation                                Important to appreciate the whole set of
                                                           eco-system services
+ Resilience - eg to climate change
‘We never know the worth of water 'til the well is dry’.         ‘

                                              English proverb




  ‘Men do not value a good deed unless it brings a reward’

                           Ovid, B.C. 43 – 18 A.D., Roman Poet
Ecosystem Services and awareness of values

Provisioning services
                                        Market values – known and generally taken into account in decision
•   Food, fibre and fuel                making on land use decisions
•   Water provision
•   Genetic resources                   Value historically often overlooked; private sector exceptions

Regulating Services
•   Climate /climate change regulation                  Value long ignored, now being understood >> new
                                                        instruments, markets, investments
•   Water and waste purification
•   Air purification
                                                        Value often appreciated only after loss/damage felt
•   Erosion control
•   Natural hazards mitigation
                                                        Value often appreciated only after service gone >>
•   Pollination                                         Replacement/substitute costs
•   Biological control

Cultural Services
•   Aesthetics, Landscape value, recreation and                Sometimes value explicit / implicit in markets
    tourism                                                    (e.g. tourism spend / house prices)
•   Cultural values and inspirational services
                                                               Values generally rarely calculated
Supporting Services - e.g. soil formation

Habitat Services - e.g. nurseries             The benefits to our economies, livelihoods and wellbeing have
                                             generally not been taken into account. There is, however, now a
+ Resilience - e.g. to climate change        new awareness of the value of ecosystem services and a growing
                                                           use of instruments to reward benefits.
Multiple Benefits: at the Urban level – City of Toronto
 • Estimating the value of the Greenbelt for the City of Toronto
 • The greenbelt around Toronto offers $ 2.7 billion worth of non-market ecological
     services with an average value of $ 3, 571 / ha.
 → Implication re: future management of the greater city area ?


   Ecosystem                        Annual Value
   Valuation Benefits               (2005, CDN $)
   Carbon Values                    366 million
   Air Protection Values            69 million
   Watershed Values                 409 million
   Pollination Values               360 million
   Biodiversity Value               98 million
   Recreation Value                 95 million
   Agricultural Land                329 million
   Value

Source: Wilson, S. J. (2008)
Map: http://greenbeltalliance.ca/images/Greebelt_2_update.jpg
Taking account of public goods
          …can change what is the “right” decision on land/resource use

 US$        Based only on private gain, the “trade-off”                                 Shrimp Farm
 /ha/yr          choice favours conversion…..                                           Mangroves
                                                                          $12,392/ha
10000
            $9632/ha
                                                                    After
                                                                   Adding   Storm
                                                                    Public  protection
5000                                                               Benefits
                                                                    From
                                                                  mangroves
                                   $1220/ha                                   Fishery
                       $584/ha                                                nursery
                                                        $584/ha
             private profits      private     private
   0                              profits     profits                        Net of public
                                   less                                         costs of
                                 subsidies                                    restoration
                                                                                needed
                                                                             after 5 years

       If public wealth is included, the “trade-off”
             choice changes completely…..
                                                                  -ve $11,172/ha
       >> fundamental rationale for public policy                                  Source: Barbier et al, 2007
Presentation overview

                  1. Introduction
                     –   TEEB ambitions and process and approach
                     –   Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services
                     –   The growing awareness of value
                  2. Biodiversity and climate change
                     –   Need for climate action : coral reef emergency
                     –   Need for BD action for climate: mitigation –
                         Green Carbon and REDD+
                     –   BD and adaptation – Ecosystem based
                         adaption
                     –   Investment in natural capital
                     –   Other responses and instruments
                  3. Summary
TEEB Climate Issues Update



                             Coral reef emergency


                             Forest carbon for climate
                             mitigation


                             National accounting for
                             forest carbon


                             Ecosystem investment for
                             climate adaptation
Coral Reefs
•Major coral reef loss already happening given temperature rise to date.




•Need as ambitious commitments as possible for GHG emissions reductions -
450ppm and 2 degrees already accepting major losses
WHAT WE LIKE TO THINK ALL CORAL REEFS LOOK LIKE….
WHAT CORAL REEFS INCREASINGLY LOOK LIKE….
Coral Reef valuations thresholds…

 • Coral Reef Services (per hectare) can have very high values
 • global valuation studies place the value as high as US$ 172 billion
   per annum
 • Over 500 million people a year dependent on the services from reefs
 • however…. Coral Reefs are an ecosystem at the threshold of
   irreversibility
 • ethical choice coming up : stabilization targets …
    – at 450 ppm CO2 for 2 degrees
    – at 350 ppm CO2 for Coral Reef survival in the long term
“Playing the full hand” of carbon colours
• Brown Carbon
    – CO2 emissions from human energy use and industry
• Green Carbon
    – carbon stored in terrestrial ecosystems, e.g. plant biomass and soils in
      forests, agricultural lands, wetlands and pasture
• Blue Carbon
    – 55% of all carbon in living organisms are stored in oceans, most of this in
      mangroves, marshes, see grasses, coral reefs and macro-algae
• Black Carbon
    – soot emissions from incomplete combustion of fuels absorb heat in the
      atmosphere and reduce ability to reflect sunlight


 By halting the loss of “green” and “blue” carbon, the world could
  mitigate as much as 25% of total GHG emissions, with co-benefits for
  biodiversity, food security and livelihoods (IPCC 2007, Nellemann et al. in press)
Tropical forests of the world:
      largest terrestrial carbon sinks
Areas of rapid land use cover change
The role of tropical forests in climate regulation

            • tropical forests store a fourth of all terrestrial carbon
                – 547 gigatonnes (Gt) out 2,052 Gt (Trumper et al. 2009)

            • tropical forest capturing
                – up to 4.8 Gt CO2 annually! (Lewis & White 2009)

            • stopping deforestation holds an excellent cost-benefit
              ratio
                – halving deforestation generates net benefits of about
                  $ 3.7 trillion (NPV) including only the avoided damage costs of
                  climate change (Eliasch Review 2008)




                                                                                    30
REDD-Plus:      Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest
    Degradation-Plus

Major potential for this instrument to address Green carbon
•   Curb deforestation/degradation - deforestation ~17% of global GHG emissions
•   Could offer substantial biodiversity co-benefits: range of ecosystem services
•   Eliasch (2008) estimated that REDD could lead to a halving of deforestation rates by 2030
    and have an estimated long-term net benefit of US$3.7 trillion in present value terms
•   One of the few areas given fairly solid support at the UNFCCC’s Copenhagen COP
•   Many risks that need to be addressed: carbon leakage, additionality, permanence,
    biodiversity impacts (carbon only focus; plantations), competition for land


Needs:
Confidence: monitoring & verification; natural capital accounts
Experience: pilot projects, capacity building, monitoring solutions
Investment: money for the projects and payments.
Evolution: phasing from pilot, to funds, to market links….
Investment in ecological infrastructure

Ecological infrastructure key for adaptation to climate change


•   Afforestation: carbon store+ reduced risk of soil erosion & landslides
•   Wetlands and forests and reduced risk of flooding impacts
•   Mangroves and coastal erosion and natural hazards
•   Restore Forests, lakes and wetlands to address water scarcity
•   Coral reefs as fish nurseries for fisheries productivity / food security
•   PAs & connectivity to facilitate resilience of ecosystems and species

                     From local to national to EU efforts

                     Global responsibility / contribution
Nature-based climate change mitigation in Germany
• drainage of 930,000 ha peatlands in Germany for agriculture cause
  emissions of 20 Mio. t of CO2-eq. per year
• total damage of these emissions amounts to 1.4 billion €
• peatland restoration: low cost and biodiversity friendly mitigation option
 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern:
     • pilot project between 2000-2008
       • restoration of 30,000 ha (10%)
       • emission savings of up to 300,000 t CO2-eq.
       • avoidance cost of 8 to 12 € / t CO2
       • if alternative land use options are realized
         (extensive grazing, reed production or alder
         forest) costs decrease to 0 to 4 € / t CO2
       • where Maize can be grown restoration can not
         compete
                                                                        Restored peatland in Trebeltal 2007
Source: Federal Environmental Agency 2007; MLUV MV 2009; Schäfer 2009
                                                                        Foto: D. Zak, http://www.fv-berlin.de
Investments in Ecological Infrastructure


• restoration can be cost effective way of
  providing a service :


   planting mangroves along coastline in Vietnam cost
      $1.1 million but saved $ 7.3 million annually in
      dyke maintenance (GRID-Arendal 2002; Reid and Huq
     2005)
Protected Areas (PAs)
•    Better managed, better connected, better governed and better
     financed protected areas are recognised as key to both mitigation and
     adaptation responses to climate change.
•    Climate change mitigation: 15% of global terrestrial carbon stock is
     contained in protected areas (Campbell et al.2008).
•    Adaptation: help people adapt - maintaining ecosystem services that reduce
     natural disaster impacts (coastal and river protection, control of desertification), stabilise
     soils and enhance resilience to changing conditions.


              Finalisation of the networks (in EU             – notably MPAs - &    globally)

              Address financing gap – new funding, new instruments (eg PES)

              In EU: use of funding – better integration (EAFRG, LFA, EFRD etc)
              New Biodiversity fund ?
Subsidy Reform : Win-win biodiversity & climate
     1 trillion US$/year spent on subsidies – value for money ?




     Establish transparent and comprehensive subsidy inventories

     Develop prioritised plans of action for subsidy removal or reform,
       for implementation in the medium term
“Imaginary public goods of avoided public bads”
- Biofuels
                             Early stated ambitions: helping avoid climate
                            change – avoiding a public bad.

                             Subsidies in many forms launched

                             US$ 11/yr („06: US+EU+Canada)   (GSI 2007, OECD 2008)

                             Cost   of reducing CO2 ~ US$ 960 to 1700/tCO2
                            equiv. (OECD 2008)

                            Not cost effective cf EU-ETS: ~ US $ 30-50 / t

                            Where biofuels fom converted forrest lands –
                            there may be net increase of emissions

                            Effect opposite to stated objective.

     Urgent need to review biofuels policies / instruments
Natural resource management & spatial planning

•   Flooding of River Elbe, Germany (2002)
•   Damage over EUR 2 billion
•   Assessment that flood damage (+ cost of dams) by far exceed costs of upstream flooding
    arrangements with land holders
→ The value of upstream ecosystems in regulating floods was re-discovered !
→ Local authorities start changing spatial planning & seeking arrangements upstream
River Elbe flooding, Germany
 Step 1: Specify and agree on the problem
 •   August 2002 heavy floods of the river Elbe, direct economic damage of over 9 billion €
 •   occasion to revise system of flood protection
     towards integrated flood risk management                                                 © DPA




 Step 2: Which ecosystem service are relevant
 •   flood protection
 •   habitat for a multitude of species
 •   nutrient retention


 Step 3: Define information needs and select methods
 •   CBA of different alternatives (relocate dykes, establish polder)
 •   replacement costs for assessment of the nutrient and pollutant filters
 •   contingent valuation for the willingness to pay for flood control
Step 4: Conduct the assessment
• relocation of the dykes creates a new flood retention
   area of just 35,000 ha of land
• establish polder includes the creation of a surface of
   3,248 ha
• combination of both measures with dike relocations
   (3402 ha) and steered polders (4143 ha)

Step 5: Identify and appraise policy options
• all options have a positive benefit-cost-ratio if
   environmental benefits are included in the calculation
• BCR: - relocation of the dykes = 3.1
         - establish polders = 9.9
         - combination = 4.6

Step 6: Assess the distributional impacts of policy
   response
• Maps are being made that indicate economic losses and
   social impacts involved in flooding
                                                                                    © Grossmann, M.; Hartje, V.; Meyerhoff, J.
   Sources: Grossmann, M., Hartje, V., Meyerhoff, J. (2010) Ökonomische Bewertung
   naturverträglicher Hochwasservorsorge an der Elbe. Naturschutz und Biologische
   Vielfalt 89, Bundesamt für Naturschutz: Bonn.
TEEBcases – online accessible best
       practice examples

                                                       • final version will
                                                         contain more than
                                                         100 cases from
                                                         around the world

                                                       • showcasing the
                                                         incorporation of
                                                         economic valuation
                                                         into local decision-
                                                         making

                                                       • In cooperation with
                                                         EEA - accessible via
                                                         teebweb.org


                   http://www.eea.europa.eu/teeb/map
The Business Angle: Aspirations/objectives
 From carbon neutral …
                        … to biodiversity positive

• Danone Group: “Attain carbon neutrality for the major Danone brands,
   including Evian, by the end of 2011.”
• Marks & Spencer: “Our goal is to become carbon neutral by 2012 in our UK
   and Republic of Ireland operations.”
• Coca Cola: “Our goal is to safely return to communities and nature an amount of
   water equivalent to what we use in all of our beverages and their production.”
• BC Hydro: “long-term goal of no net incremental environmental impact.”
• Walmart: “Committed … to permanently conserve at least one acre of
   priority wildlife habitat for every developed acre.”
• Rio Tinto: “Our goal is to have a „net positive impact‟ on biodiversity.”


                                                  Source: Bishop (2010) Presentation at BIOECON
Biodiversity and Climate

• Important synergies: win-wins for the two.
• Cannot address climate without biodiversity - mitigation & adaptation
• Or address biodiversity without addressing climate – e.g. corals, IAS
• Avoid partial solutions that focus only on part of the picture - eg wrong
  REDD design/implementation; biofuels subsidies that encourage land conversion)
• Moving to a low-carbon economy critical
• This is only part of the solution – need to move to a resource efficient
  economy & work within natures resource and ecosystem limits
• With 9 billion people in 2050, a lot of resource boundaries and ecosystem
  thresholds risk being crossed.
• Need systematic use of windows of opportunity at global to local
  levels, and realise policy synergies and avoid policy disconnect
• Taking account of the services from, and values of, nature in
  decisions will be essential and cost effective.
Thank you

Where do you see particular needs and opportunities for working with
        nature for Delta cities in Times of Climate Change?


             TEEB Reports available on http://www.teebweb.org/
 & TEEB in Policy Making will come out as an Earthscan book in March 2011
                                          `
                   Patrick ten Brink, ptenbrink@ieep.eu



                  IEEP is an independent, not-for-profit institute dedicated to the analysis,
                     understanding and promotion of policies for a sustainable
                     environment in Europe www.ieep.eu
                  Manual of EU Environmental Policy:
                     http://www.earthscan.co.uk/JournalsHome/MEEP/tabid/102319/Default.aspx

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TEEB and climate by Patrick ten Brink of IEEP at Delta & Climate Conf Rotterdam 30 Sep 2010

  • 1. The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity initiative (TEEB) and Climate Change Patrick ten Brink TEEB for Policy Makers Co-ordinator Head of Brussels Office, Institute for European Environmental Policy (IEEP) Deltas in Times of Climate Change Session DP FE 1.3 30 September 2010 13:00 – 14:45 Beurs Lounge Rotterdam, the Netherlands
  • 2. Presentation overview 1. Introduction – TEEB ambitions and process and approach – Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services – The growing awareness of value 2. Biodiversity and climate change – Need for climate action : coral reef emergency – Need for BD action for climate: mitigation – Green Carbon and REDD+ – BD and adaptation – Ecosystem based adaption – Investment in natural capital – Other responses and instruments 3. Summary
  • 3. TEEB origins Source: Bishop (2010) Presentation at BIOECON
  • 4. TEEB‟s Genesis and progress “Potsdam Initiative – Biological Diversity 2010” 1) The economic significance of the global loss of biological diversity Sweden Sept. 2009 Brussels 13 Nov 2009 TEEB Interim London India, Brazil, Belgium, Report @ CBD COP- July 2009 Japan % South Africa 9, Bonn, May 2008 Sept. 2010 CBD COP 10 Nagoya Japan
  • 5. TEEB final reports for different audiences TEEB Ecological and Economic Foundations (D0) www.teebweb.org TEEB for Policy-Makers (D1) www.teebweb.org TEEB for Local Policy (D2) September 2010 TEEB for Business (D3) July 2010 TEEB for Citizens (D4)
  • 6. What is biodiversity? “the variability among living organisms from all sources including, terrestrial, marine and other aquatic ecosystems and the ecological complexes of which they are part; this includes diversity within species, between species and of ecosystems” (CBD 1992). In other words, biodiversity includes:  Diversity within species populations - genetic variation; • The number of species, and • The diversity of ecosystems. Both quantity and quality of biodiversity are important when considering the links between nature, economic activity and human well being.
  • 7. How does Biodiversity help economic activity and human wellbeing ? Ecosystem Services Ecosystem services = flows of value to human societies as a result of the state and quantity of natural capital. • Provisioning services – e.g. wild foods, crops, fresh water and plant-derived medicines; • Regulating services – e.g. filtration of pollutants by wetlands, climate regulation through carbon storage and water cycling, pollination and protection from disasters; • Cultural services – e.g. recreation, spiritual and aesthetic values, education; • Supporting services – e.g. soil formation, photosynthesis and nutrient cycling. (MA 2005) From an economic point of view, the flows of ecosystem services can be seen as the „dividend‟ that society receives from natural capital. Maintaining stocks of natural capital allow the sustained provision of future flows of ecosystem services, and thereby help to ensure enduring human well-being.
  • 8. Biodiversity and ecosystem services Biodiversity „Quality‟ „Quantity‟ Services (examples) Ecosystems Variety Extent • Recreation • Water regulation • Carbon storage Species Diversity Population • Food, fibre, fuel • Design inspiration • Pollination Genes Variability Number • Medicinal discovery • Disease resistance • Adaptive capacity Source: Bishop (2010) Presentation at BIOECON
  • 9. Links from Drivers to ecosystem functions to impacts and wellbeing Drivers Pressures State Impact (Human) Drivers Human e.g. Wellbeing changes in & land use, Natural climate change, Biodiversity Drivers pollution, Ecosystem Economic water use, Services Value invasive alien species (IAS) Policies Nat. Reg. Loc. Int. Ecosystem functions Response
  • 10. Critical issues The values of biodiversity and ecosystems are missing • Many not known (but this is changing); widespread lack of awareness • They are generally not integrated into the economic signals, into markets – the economy is therefore often not part of the solution • Values are not taken systematically into account in assessments and decision making • The value of nature is not reflected in national accounts nor in leading macro economic indicators Inappropriate incentives; misinterpretation of right solutions, insufficient evidence base at policy makers‟ finger tips and weaker public support for action There is not enough political will or conviction or awareness of benefits/cost to launch due policies Biodiversity loss continues – eroding natural capital base without realising its value
  • 11. The Global Loss of Biodiversity 2000 Source: L Braat presentation COP9 Bonn May 2008 on the COPI Study; building on MNP data
  • 12. The Global Loss of Biodiversity 2050 Source: L Braat presentation COP9 Bonn May 2008 on the COPI Study; building on MNP data
  • 13. TEEB for Policy Makers report The Global Biodiversity Crisis • Coral reef emergency • Deforestation • Loss of public goods… Measuring what we manage • BD & ecosystem service indicators • Natural capital accounts • Beyond GDP indicators et al Available Solutions • PES water, PES – REDD+ • Markets, GPP • Subsidy reform • Legislation, liability, taxes & charges • Protected Areas • Investment in natural capital et al http://www.teebweb.org/ Responding to the value of nature
  • 14. Part I: The Opportunity Chapter 1: The Value of Nature for Local Development Part II: The Tools Chapter 2: Conceptual Frameworks for Considering the Benefits of Nature Chapter 3: Tools for Valuation and Appraisal of Ecosystem Services in Policy Making Part III: The Practice Chapter 4: Ecosystem Services in Cities and Public Management Chapter 5: Ecosystems Services in Rural Areas and Natural Resource Management Chapter 6: Spatial Planning and Environmental Assessments Chapter 7: Ecosystem Services and Protected Areas Chapter 8: Payments for Ecosystem Services and Conservation Banking Chapter 9: Certification and Labelling Part IV: Conclusion Chapter 10: Making Your Natural Capital Work for Local Development Overview of tools and databases
  • 15. “I believe that the great part of miseries of mankind are brought upon them by false estimates they have made of the value of things.” Benjamin Franklin, 1706-1790 “There is a renaissance underway, in which people are waking up to the tremendous values of natural capital and devising ingenious ways of incorporating these values into major resource decisions.” Gretchen Daily, Stanford University
  • 16. Multiple benefits from ecosystems Provisioning services Many services from the same resource • Food, fibre and fuel • Water provision • Genetic resources Regulating Services • Climate /climate change regulation • Water and waste purification • Air purification • Erosion control • Natural hazards mitigation • Pollination • Biological control Cultural Services • Aesthetics, Landscape value, recreation and tourism • Cultural values and inspirational services Supporting Services • Soil formation Important to appreciate the whole set of eco-system services + Resilience - eg to climate change
  • 17. ‘We never know the worth of water 'til the well is dry’. ‘ English proverb ‘Men do not value a good deed unless it brings a reward’ Ovid, B.C. 43 – 18 A.D., Roman Poet
  • 18. Ecosystem Services and awareness of values Provisioning services Market values – known and generally taken into account in decision • Food, fibre and fuel making on land use decisions • Water provision • Genetic resources Value historically often overlooked; private sector exceptions Regulating Services • Climate /climate change regulation Value long ignored, now being understood >> new instruments, markets, investments • Water and waste purification • Air purification Value often appreciated only after loss/damage felt • Erosion control • Natural hazards mitigation Value often appreciated only after service gone >> • Pollination Replacement/substitute costs • Biological control Cultural Services • Aesthetics, Landscape value, recreation and Sometimes value explicit / implicit in markets tourism (e.g. tourism spend / house prices) • Cultural values and inspirational services Values generally rarely calculated Supporting Services - e.g. soil formation Habitat Services - e.g. nurseries The benefits to our economies, livelihoods and wellbeing have generally not been taken into account. There is, however, now a + Resilience - e.g. to climate change new awareness of the value of ecosystem services and a growing use of instruments to reward benefits.
  • 19. Multiple Benefits: at the Urban level – City of Toronto • Estimating the value of the Greenbelt for the City of Toronto • The greenbelt around Toronto offers $ 2.7 billion worth of non-market ecological services with an average value of $ 3, 571 / ha. → Implication re: future management of the greater city area ? Ecosystem Annual Value Valuation Benefits (2005, CDN $) Carbon Values 366 million Air Protection Values 69 million Watershed Values 409 million Pollination Values 360 million Biodiversity Value 98 million Recreation Value 95 million Agricultural Land 329 million Value Source: Wilson, S. J. (2008) Map: http://greenbeltalliance.ca/images/Greebelt_2_update.jpg
  • 20. Taking account of public goods …can change what is the “right” decision on land/resource use US$ Based only on private gain, the “trade-off” Shrimp Farm /ha/yr choice favours conversion….. Mangroves $12,392/ha 10000 $9632/ha After Adding Storm Public protection 5000 Benefits From mangroves $1220/ha Fishery $584/ha nursery $584/ha private profits private private 0 profits profits Net of public less costs of subsidies restoration needed after 5 years If public wealth is included, the “trade-off” choice changes completely….. -ve $11,172/ha >> fundamental rationale for public policy Source: Barbier et al, 2007
  • 21. Presentation overview 1. Introduction – TEEB ambitions and process and approach – Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services – The growing awareness of value 2. Biodiversity and climate change – Need for climate action : coral reef emergency – Need for BD action for climate: mitigation – Green Carbon and REDD+ – BD and adaptation – Ecosystem based adaption – Investment in natural capital – Other responses and instruments 3. Summary
  • 22. TEEB Climate Issues Update Coral reef emergency Forest carbon for climate mitigation National accounting for forest carbon Ecosystem investment for climate adaptation
  • 23. Coral Reefs •Major coral reef loss already happening given temperature rise to date. •Need as ambitious commitments as possible for GHG emissions reductions - 450ppm and 2 degrees already accepting major losses
  • 24. WHAT WE LIKE TO THINK ALL CORAL REEFS LOOK LIKE….
  • 25. WHAT CORAL REEFS INCREASINGLY LOOK LIKE….
  • 26. Coral Reef valuations thresholds… • Coral Reef Services (per hectare) can have very high values • global valuation studies place the value as high as US$ 172 billion per annum • Over 500 million people a year dependent on the services from reefs • however…. Coral Reefs are an ecosystem at the threshold of irreversibility • ethical choice coming up : stabilization targets … – at 450 ppm CO2 for 2 degrees – at 350 ppm CO2 for Coral Reef survival in the long term
  • 27. “Playing the full hand” of carbon colours • Brown Carbon – CO2 emissions from human energy use and industry • Green Carbon – carbon stored in terrestrial ecosystems, e.g. plant biomass and soils in forests, agricultural lands, wetlands and pasture • Blue Carbon – 55% of all carbon in living organisms are stored in oceans, most of this in mangroves, marshes, see grasses, coral reefs and macro-algae • Black Carbon – soot emissions from incomplete combustion of fuels absorb heat in the atmosphere and reduce ability to reflect sunlight  By halting the loss of “green” and “blue” carbon, the world could mitigate as much as 25% of total GHG emissions, with co-benefits for biodiversity, food security and livelihoods (IPCC 2007, Nellemann et al. in press)
  • 28. Tropical forests of the world: largest terrestrial carbon sinks
  • 29. Areas of rapid land use cover change
  • 30. The role of tropical forests in climate regulation • tropical forests store a fourth of all terrestrial carbon – 547 gigatonnes (Gt) out 2,052 Gt (Trumper et al. 2009) • tropical forest capturing – up to 4.8 Gt CO2 annually! (Lewis & White 2009) • stopping deforestation holds an excellent cost-benefit ratio – halving deforestation generates net benefits of about $ 3.7 trillion (NPV) including only the avoided damage costs of climate change (Eliasch Review 2008) 30
  • 31. REDD-Plus: Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation-Plus Major potential for this instrument to address Green carbon • Curb deforestation/degradation - deforestation ~17% of global GHG emissions • Could offer substantial biodiversity co-benefits: range of ecosystem services • Eliasch (2008) estimated that REDD could lead to a halving of deforestation rates by 2030 and have an estimated long-term net benefit of US$3.7 trillion in present value terms • One of the few areas given fairly solid support at the UNFCCC’s Copenhagen COP • Many risks that need to be addressed: carbon leakage, additionality, permanence, biodiversity impacts (carbon only focus; plantations), competition for land Needs: Confidence: monitoring & verification; natural capital accounts Experience: pilot projects, capacity building, monitoring solutions Investment: money for the projects and payments. Evolution: phasing from pilot, to funds, to market links….
  • 32. Investment in ecological infrastructure Ecological infrastructure key for adaptation to climate change • Afforestation: carbon store+ reduced risk of soil erosion & landslides • Wetlands and forests and reduced risk of flooding impacts • Mangroves and coastal erosion and natural hazards • Restore Forests, lakes and wetlands to address water scarcity • Coral reefs as fish nurseries for fisheries productivity / food security • PAs & connectivity to facilitate resilience of ecosystems and species From local to national to EU efforts Global responsibility / contribution
  • 33. Nature-based climate change mitigation in Germany • drainage of 930,000 ha peatlands in Germany for agriculture cause emissions of 20 Mio. t of CO2-eq. per year • total damage of these emissions amounts to 1.4 billion € • peatland restoration: low cost and biodiversity friendly mitigation option Mecklenburg-Vorpommern: • pilot project between 2000-2008 • restoration of 30,000 ha (10%) • emission savings of up to 300,000 t CO2-eq. • avoidance cost of 8 to 12 € / t CO2 • if alternative land use options are realized (extensive grazing, reed production or alder forest) costs decrease to 0 to 4 € / t CO2 • where Maize can be grown restoration can not compete Restored peatland in Trebeltal 2007 Source: Federal Environmental Agency 2007; MLUV MV 2009; Schäfer 2009 Foto: D. Zak, http://www.fv-berlin.de
  • 34. Investments in Ecological Infrastructure • restoration can be cost effective way of providing a service : planting mangroves along coastline in Vietnam cost $1.1 million but saved $ 7.3 million annually in dyke maintenance (GRID-Arendal 2002; Reid and Huq 2005)
  • 35. Protected Areas (PAs) • Better managed, better connected, better governed and better financed protected areas are recognised as key to both mitigation and adaptation responses to climate change. • Climate change mitigation: 15% of global terrestrial carbon stock is contained in protected areas (Campbell et al.2008). • Adaptation: help people adapt - maintaining ecosystem services that reduce natural disaster impacts (coastal and river protection, control of desertification), stabilise soils and enhance resilience to changing conditions. Finalisation of the networks (in EU – notably MPAs - & globally) Address financing gap – new funding, new instruments (eg PES) In EU: use of funding – better integration (EAFRG, LFA, EFRD etc) New Biodiversity fund ?
  • 36. Subsidy Reform : Win-win biodiversity & climate 1 trillion US$/year spent on subsidies – value for money ? Establish transparent and comprehensive subsidy inventories Develop prioritised plans of action for subsidy removal or reform, for implementation in the medium term
  • 37. “Imaginary public goods of avoided public bads” - Biofuels  Early stated ambitions: helping avoid climate change – avoiding a public bad.  Subsidies in many forms launched  US$ 11/yr („06: US+EU+Canada) (GSI 2007, OECD 2008)  Cost of reducing CO2 ~ US$ 960 to 1700/tCO2 equiv. (OECD 2008) Not cost effective cf EU-ETS: ~ US $ 30-50 / t Where biofuels fom converted forrest lands – there may be net increase of emissions Effect opposite to stated objective. Urgent need to review biofuels policies / instruments
  • 38. Natural resource management & spatial planning • Flooding of River Elbe, Germany (2002) • Damage over EUR 2 billion • Assessment that flood damage (+ cost of dams) by far exceed costs of upstream flooding arrangements with land holders → The value of upstream ecosystems in regulating floods was re-discovered ! → Local authorities start changing spatial planning & seeking arrangements upstream
  • 39. River Elbe flooding, Germany Step 1: Specify and agree on the problem • August 2002 heavy floods of the river Elbe, direct economic damage of over 9 billion € • occasion to revise system of flood protection towards integrated flood risk management © DPA Step 2: Which ecosystem service are relevant • flood protection • habitat for a multitude of species • nutrient retention Step 3: Define information needs and select methods • CBA of different alternatives (relocate dykes, establish polder) • replacement costs for assessment of the nutrient and pollutant filters • contingent valuation for the willingness to pay for flood control
  • 40. Step 4: Conduct the assessment • relocation of the dykes creates a new flood retention area of just 35,000 ha of land • establish polder includes the creation of a surface of 3,248 ha • combination of both measures with dike relocations (3402 ha) and steered polders (4143 ha) Step 5: Identify and appraise policy options • all options have a positive benefit-cost-ratio if environmental benefits are included in the calculation • BCR: - relocation of the dykes = 3.1 - establish polders = 9.9 - combination = 4.6 Step 6: Assess the distributional impacts of policy response • Maps are being made that indicate economic losses and social impacts involved in flooding © Grossmann, M.; Hartje, V.; Meyerhoff, J. Sources: Grossmann, M., Hartje, V., Meyerhoff, J. (2010) Ökonomische Bewertung naturverträglicher Hochwasservorsorge an der Elbe. Naturschutz und Biologische Vielfalt 89, Bundesamt für Naturschutz: Bonn.
  • 41. TEEBcases – online accessible best practice examples • final version will contain more than 100 cases from around the world • showcasing the incorporation of economic valuation into local decision- making • In cooperation with EEA - accessible via teebweb.org http://www.eea.europa.eu/teeb/map
  • 42. The Business Angle: Aspirations/objectives From carbon neutral … … to biodiversity positive • Danone Group: “Attain carbon neutrality for the major Danone brands, including Evian, by the end of 2011.” • Marks & Spencer: “Our goal is to become carbon neutral by 2012 in our UK and Republic of Ireland operations.” • Coca Cola: “Our goal is to safely return to communities and nature an amount of water equivalent to what we use in all of our beverages and their production.” • BC Hydro: “long-term goal of no net incremental environmental impact.” • Walmart: “Committed … to permanently conserve at least one acre of priority wildlife habitat for every developed acre.” • Rio Tinto: “Our goal is to have a „net positive impact‟ on biodiversity.” Source: Bishop (2010) Presentation at BIOECON
  • 43. Biodiversity and Climate • Important synergies: win-wins for the two. • Cannot address climate without biodiversity - mitigation & adaptation • Or address biodiversity without addressing climate – e.g. corals, IAS • Avoid partial solutions that focus only on part of the picture - eg wrong REDD design/implementation; biofuels subsidies that encourage land conversion) • Moving to a low-carbon economy critical • This is only part of the solution – need to move to a resource efficient economy & work within natures resource and ecosystem limits • With 9 billion people in 2050, a lot of resource boundaries and ecosystem thresholds risk being crossed. • Need systematic use of windows of opportunity at global to local levels, and realise policy synergies and avoid policy disconnect • Taking account of the services from, and values of, nature in decisions will be essential and cost effective.
  • 44. Thank you Where do you see particular needs and opportunities for working with nature for Delta cities in Times of Climate Change? TEEB Reports available on http://www.teebweb.org/ & TEEB in Policy Making will come out as an Earthscan book in March 2011 ` Patrick ten Brink, ptenbrink@ieep.eu IEEP is an independent, not-for-profit institute dedicated to the analysis, understanding and promotion of policies for a sustainable environment in Europe www.ieep.eu Manual of EU Environmental Policy: http://www.earthscan.co.uk/JournalsHome/MEEP/tabid/102319/Default.aspx