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Prospering in an Increasingly
Complex World
Managing your “Fifth Force”
to manage your performance and risk
3
“Elevator Speech”
An invisible “Fifth Force” (Social Context) drives human behavior.
E.G., Unmanaged Fifth Forces were Root Causes of:
Challenger’s Explosion Hubble’s Flaw KAL’s Crashing Fukushima’s Disaster
Your managed Fifth Force enhances performance & reduces risk
You can (must?)
manage your
Fifth Force with
(“4-D”) tools
Online
Development
Workshops Coaching
4
Occasionally,
societies get
“excess energy”
from stored
energy Hundreds of Years
On average, we
only have the
energy we can
extract from
the sun
Today, we are harvesting energy stored over millions of years
“Excess Energy” Tech & Social Complexity
+ +
Complexity is
increasing
Technically &
Socially
Technical success, at
every level requires
effective response
to Social Complexity
5
High Tech
Challenger’s Explosion KAL Crashing Hubble's Mirror Flaw
NOAA-N’ Dropped
Low Tech Catastrophic
Fukushima Explosion
Flawed Contexts – Nothing is Immune
The Fundamental Forces
Manmade “Fifth Force” Fields
Control Human Behaviors
Mother Nature’s Force
Fields Control Technical Matters
Scientists & Engineers Teams & Leaders
Gravity Weak
Nuclear E-M
Years, developing individual
technical abilities
Easy “4-D Systems” processes,
managing collective behaviors
Appreciation
Inclusion
Hope
Response-ability
Social Contexts
7
Diane Vaughan: The
important question is
“Why did they proceed to
launch when all the data
suggested otherwise?”
What Could Have Prevented the Explosion?
Technical
error
Fifth Force management would have prevented this disaster.
“It is unfortunate that the
sociological explanation is
the correct one, as these
forces are invisible and
unacknowledged.”
Root cause?
Technical abilities or Social context?
Space
Shuttle
Challenger’s
Explosion –
7 Astronaut
Fatalities
Fifth Force: Pressure to launch;
Behavior: “Normalization of
Deviance”  Required ever
stronger technical arguments
to delay a launch than continue
8
Hubble
What Could Have Prevented the Flaw?
Technical
error
Failure Review
Board: The root
cause was a
“leadership
failure”
Ground-based
“Team Social
Context” was not
in the vocabulary
Fifth Force management would have prevented this failure.And, diminished the overruns by hundreds of Millions of dollars
Root cause?
Technical abilities or Social context?
Hubble’s
Flawed
Mirror –
Useless $2B
Telescope
Fifth Force: Stress of recurrent ($400M)
Overruns Unrelenting hostility
toward the contractor’s management;
Behavior: First rationalized suspicious
test results, then withheld them
9
What (finally) Restored KAL to safe flight?
Alteon, a
Boeing
subsidiary,
placed
observers in
the cockpits
Fifth Force:
Confucianism in KAL
cockpits;
Behavior: First Officers
ignored Captain's
errors, “tuned-out”
Safe flight requires
two pilots, working
as a team;
One “driving” &
One managing the
avionics
Fifth Force management (English, “CRM) restored safe flight.
Root cause?
Individual’s piloting abilities or Social context?
Korean Air
Lines Crashing
at 17X
international
norms, for four
years!
10
Harry’s Diner
More Examples
NOAA-N’ –
crew dropped
Satellite 
$135M in
damages
Fifth Force: Culture of
habituated sloppiness;
Behavior: Ignored
procedure that verified
bottom bolts were in place
He hired
consultants
to train his
waiters
Fifth Force: Waiters had too many
roles, insufficient toasters;
Behaviors: Impossible to make
consistent toast (training would
have been a total waste)
Fukushima Daiichi Fifth Force: Culture of Japan
Behavior: Reflexive obedience;
Reluctance to question
authority; Groupism; and
Insularity
Kurokawa-san, Chair –
Government Failure Review
Board:
This disaster was both
manmade and avoidable
12
Social Contexts  Behaviors
Would you modify your behaviors in each of these contexts:
Giving /
receiving a
marriage
proposal?
Fiancé's
family
dinner?
Bachelor /
bachelorette
party?
Hijacked on
honeymoon?
“It is unfortunate that the sociological explanation is the correct
one, as these forces are invisible and unacknowledged.”
Managing the Invisible Fifth Force Field
#5 – Seeing Invisible Forces
2. Use “tracer
particles” to
measure the
field
1. Analyze the
field into
manageable
components
14
“Analyzing” Invisible Fields
“The right coordinate system turns an impossible problem
into two really hard ones.” – Undergraduate physics
+
Deciding
InformationDilbertCartesian
Intuited
Sensed
Emotional Sensed
15
Jung’s “Types” Name the “Dimensions”
Intuited
Emotional Logical
Sensed
“Cultivating” –
Human potential,
Naturally
appreciate
people
“Visioning” –
Imagination
and Thinking,
Naturally
generate ideas
“Including” –
Enjoy
Relationships,
Naturally give
people a sense of
belonging
“Directing” –
Organization
and Process,
Naturally
manage people
& expectations
16
4 “Dimensions” ≡ Universal Human Needs
Physiological Needs:
Air, water, sleep, food
Emotional Need,
Feeling safe
“Arab Spring”
17
“Visioning” –
We all need
hopeful
futures
“Cultivating” –
We all need to
feel
appreciated
“Directing” –
We all need
the ability to
respond
“Including” –
We all need to
feel that we
belong
4 “Dimensions” ≡ Universal Human Needs
Feeling valued, loved
(emotional need)
Feeling included
(emotional need)
Hopeful future
(logical need)
Response-ability
(logical need)
Motivation & Performance
(Self-Actualization) The Four “Dimensions”
18
Hopeful,
Realistic,
Futures
Feel
Appreciated
Meet your
Account-
ability
Feel
Included
Making Invisible Force Fields Visible
Observe Peoples’
Behaviors
Observe
tracer particles
How might you
observe invisible
magnetic fields?
How might you
observe invisible
Social Contexts?
That they
address core
human needs
What would be the
first criterion for
these behaviors?
19
Eight Context-setting Behaviors
Mutual
Respect w/Open
Communications
Authenticity
and Efficiency,
Absent Anger
Willful
Collaboration
Appreciate Interests
Inclusion
20
Inappropriate Inclusion Anger, Unfairness
These live in
groups (think
“teams”) and
know each
other.
Two are separated and asked to
perform a simple task. If you
reward both (equally) with
cucumber, they are perfectly happy
to do this 25 times in a row.
An old
experiment,
with fresh
Capuchin
monkeys.
However,
if you give
one a
coveted
grape…..
And, the
other only
cucumber,
expect an
ATTACK
22
Feeling Excluded  Anger
23
Eight Context-setting Behaviors
“Magical”
Solutions
Response-able
Action
Mutual
Respect w/Open
Communications
Authenticity
and Efficiency,
Absent Anger
Willful
Collaboration
Trustworthiness
Creativity
Clear and
Achievable
Expectations
Appreciate Interests Reality
Inclusion Integrity No Drama
Commitment
Accountable
24
Social Context Management
Online
Development
(Assessments)
Workshops Coaching
The 4-D System develops Social Context management abilities
While intellectual
ability is adequate for
Technical effectiveness
Social effectiveness requires
intellectual, emotional, &
behavioral abilities
“CSW” - Creating a Favorable Context (Fifth Force)
- Must Express?
Stuck in “S” (Situation)
Move Attention to Outcome
Expressed Story-lines and Emotions inhibit progress
(Mindsets/Attitudes)
Expressed Story-lines and Emotions advance progress
Authentic Appreciation -
Opens Communications
Shared Interests -
Stimulates Collaboration
Thorough Inclusion -
Builds Support & Avoids Anger
Kept Agreements -
Demonstrate Trustworthiness
Reality-based Optimism -
Focus on Outcome
100% Commitment -
Solutions appear
Absence of Drama -
Sustains Response-ability
Clear RAAs -
Efficient Action
Now, take action to
Realize desired Outcome!
Intellectual,
Reference
manual
Intellectual,
Repetition,
Behavior
feedback,
Actions,
Progress
tracking
Intellectual,
Emotional,
Solutions,
Actions
Intellectual,
Emotional,
Experiential,
Systems
perspective
Intellectual,
Emotional,
Solutions,
Actions
25
“Systems Engineering” Your Home Context
Accept
Personality
Differences
Healthy
Family
Culture
Emotions
Appropriate Expressions of:
No Family
Secrets
Mutual
Respect
Behaviors  Context
Sense of
Belonging
Reality
Hope
Response-
abilityThoughts&
26
“Systems Engineering” Your Team Context
Innate Personality
Culture Diagrams
Expressed ThoughtsExpressed Emotions
- Must Express?
Stuck in “S” (Situation)
Move Attention to Outcome
Expressed Story-lines and Emotions inhibit progress
(Mindsets/Attitudes)
Expressed Story-lines and Emotions advance progress
Authentic Appreciation -
Opens Communications
Shared Interests -
Stimulates Collaboration
Thorough Inclusion -
Builds Support & Avoids Anger
Kept Agreements -
Demonstrate Trustworthiness
Reality-based Optimism -
Focus on Outcome
100% Commitment -
Solutions appear
Absence of Drama -
Sustains Response-ability
Clear RAAs -
Efficient Action
Now, take action to
Realize desired Outcome!
Mutual
Respect
8 Behaviors  Context
Sense of
Belonging
Hopeful
Future
Account-
ability
27
Simultaneous Leadership Development
To efficiently align ferromagnetic particles, would you?
Or
Use tweezers? Use a field?
4-D Context Management
Can you afford to develop people one at time?
More importantly, why should you?
Like my “training” at NASA
Team Development (Assessments)
A Fifth Force Management/Enhancement Tool
These enhance performance 4% with every repetition
29
TDAs Benchmark Fifth Force ≡ Performance
50% 100%
Fitted a curve
Bottom Ave. Top
>
Ave.
<
Ave.
Divided into
5 equal–area quintiles
 Quintiles 
30
TDAs Drive Performance Enhancement
Bottom
Quintile
< Ave.
Quintile
Average
Quintile
> Ave.
Quintile
Top
Quintile
53% 66% 70% 75%
66%
71% 76% 80%
72%
75% 79% 83%
77% 81%
84% 90%
All 198 teams with multiple assessments (2008)
Average ~4% Enhancement / TDA cycle
+7%/TDA
+5%/TDA
+4%/TDA
+2%/TDA
+2%/TDA
+13% +4% +5%
31
Willing
Collaboration
Reality-based
Optimism
Appreciation,
Openness
100%
Commitment
High Trust-
worthiness
Effective
Inclusion
Organization
(Accountable)
Response-
ability
Incessant
Criticism
Unrelenting
Conflict
Isolation,
Anger
No
Trust
Blind
Optimism
No
Commitment
Drama
(Victim)
No Account-
ability
Bottom and Top Team Contexts
32
Bottom Ave. Top
>
Ave.
<
Ave.
57%
68%
72%
81%
6/07
9/07
4/08
6/09
Real “ABC” Team Data Lloyds of London SOEs-ChinaEDF-France Mines - Malaysia
How do TDAs Work?
On-line
Segment
Why? Case Studies What’s good Repetition
Leader’s
Briefing
Next TDA?
Responsible Action Due
Smith, John Implement an
Appreciation
Enhancement
System
6/28/2012
Workshop? Behavior-specific actions?
33
Unpleasant Reality – the Forgetting Curve
We forget >90% of what
we learn within a week –
Hermann Ebbinghaus
Internalizing
the
Times–table
Practicing
sports
4-D repetition
can change my
behaviors
(habits) forever
We forget 90% of what we
learn in University class
within 30 days –
Brain Rules (John Medina)
34
Repetition on Three Time Scales
Choose a 4-D
“Czar”-Track TDA
actions; discuss at
staff meetings
Re-TDA,
4%
boost
per cycle
Re-workshop,
a two or
three-day
event
Coaching,
boost
0.4% per
session
Bottom
Quintile
< Ave.
Quintile
Average
Quintile
> Ave.
Quintile
Top
Quintile
53% 66% 70% 75%
66%
71% 76% 80%
72%
75% 79% 83%
77% 81%
84% 90%
All 198 teams with multiple assessments (2008)
Average ~4% Enhancement / TDA cycle
+7%/TDA
+5%/TDA
+4%/TDA
+2%/TDA
+2%/TDA
+13% +4% +5%
.... .
..
.... .. .. .
.... .. .
.
Re-IDA 
attention
to your
behaviors
And, Re-
workshop, a
two or three-
day event
35
Take Responsibility for your Context
Get your (or use your 4-D
Provider’s) 4-D Assessment
Management Dashboard
When your team leader briefs
your TDA Report, choose your
actions
Re-TDA Behavior-enhancement Format?
Closure
Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful,
committed citizens can change the world.
Indeed, it’s the only thing that ever has.
– Margaret Mead, Anthropologist
Visit www.4-DSystems.com for (free) resources
- A “presenter’s guide” for this presentation
- Videos providing workshop slide narrations
- You Assessment Management Dashboard
- A 4-D Provider “User’s Manual”
charlie.pellerin@gmail.com

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Prospering in an increasingly complex world

  • 1. Prospering in an Increasingly Complex World Managing your “Fifth Force” to manage your performance and risk
  • 2. 3 “Elevator Speech” An invisible “Fifth Force” (Social Context) drives human behavior. E.G., Unmanaged Fifth Forces were Root Causes of: Challenger’s Explosion Hubble’s Flaw KAL’s Crashing Fukushima’s Disaster Your managed Fifth Force enhances performance & reduces risk You can (must?) manage your Fifth Force with (“4-D”) tools Online Development Workshops Coaching
  • 3. 4 Occasionally, societies get “excess energy” from stored energy Hundreds of Years On average, we only have the energy we can extract from the sun Today, we are harvesting energy stored over millions of years “Excess Energy” Tech & Social Complexity + + Complexity is increasing Technically & Socially Technical success, at every level requires effective response to Social Complexity
  • 4. 5 High Tech Challenger’s Explosion KAL Crashing Hubble's Mirror Flaw NOAA-N’ Dropped Low Tech Catastrophic Fukushima Explosion Flawed Contexts – Nothing is Immune
  • 5. The Fundamental Forces Manmade “Fifth Force” Fields Control Human Behaviors Mother Nature’s Force Fields Control Technical Matters Scientists & Engineers Teams & Leaders Gravity Weak Nuclear E-M Years, developing individual technical abilities Easy “4-D Systems” processes, managing collective behaviors Appreciation Inclusion Hope Response-ability Social Contexts
  • 6. 7 Diane Vaughan: The important question is “Why did they proceed to launch when all the data suggested otherwise?” What Could Have Prevented the Explosion? Technical error Fifth Force management would have prevented this disaster. “It is unfortunate that the sociological explanation is the correct one, as these forces are invisible and unacknowledged.” Root cause? Technical abilities or Social context? Space Shuttle Challenger’s Explosion – 7 Astronaut Fatalities Fifth Force: Pressure to launch; Behavior: “Normalization of Deviance”  Required ever stronger technical arguments to delay a launch than continue
  • 7. 8 Hubble What Could Have Prevented the Flaw? Technical error Failure Review Board: The root cause was a “leadership failure” Ground-based “Team Social Context” was not in the vocabulary Fifth Force management would have prevented this failure.And, diminished the overruns by hundreds of Millions of dollars Root cause? Technical abilities or Social context? Hubble’s Flawed Mirror – Useless $2B Telescope Fifth Force: Stress of recurrent ($400M) Overruns Unrelenting hostility toward the contractor’s management; Behavior: First rationalized suspicious test results, then withheld them
  • 8. 9 What (finally) Restored KAL to safe flight? Alteon, a Boeing subsidiary, placed observers in the cockpits Fifth Force: Confucianism in KAL cockpits; Behavior: First Officers ignored Captain's errors, “tuned-out” Safe flight requires two pilots, working as a team; One “driving” & One managing the avionics Fifth Force management (English, “CRM) restored safe flight. Root cause? Individual’s piloting abilities or Social context? Korean Air Lines Crashing at 17X international norms, for four years!
  • 9. 10 Harry’s Diner More Examples NOAA-N’ – crew dropped Satellite  $135M in damages Fifth Force: Culture of habituated sloppiness; Behavior: Ignored procedure that verified bottom bolts were in place He hired consultants to train his waiters Fifth Force: Waiters had too many roles, insufficient toasters; Behaviors: Impossible to make consistent toast (training would have been a total waste) Fukushima Daiichi Fifth Force: Culture of Japan Behavior: Reflexive obedience; Reluctance to question authority; Groupism; and Insularity Kurokawa-san, Chair – Government Failure Review Board: This disaster was both manmade and avoidable
  • 10. 12 Social Contexts  Behaviors Would you modify your behaviors in each of these contexts: Giving / receiving a marriage proposal? Fiancé's family dinner? Bachelor / bachelorette party? Hijacked on honeymoon?
  • 11. “It is unfortunate that the sociological explanation is the correct one, as these forces are invisible and unacknowledged.” Managing the Invisible Fifth Force Field #5 – Seeing Invisible Forces 2. Use “tracer particles” to measure the field 1. Analyze the field into manageable components
  • 12. 14 “Analyzing” Invisible Fields “The right coordinate system turns an impossible problem into two really hard ones.” – Undergraduate physics + Deciding InformationDilbertCartesian Intuited Sensed Emotional Sensed
  • 13. 15 Jung’s “Types” Name the “Dimensions” Intuited Emotional Logical Sensed “Cultivating” – Human potential, Naturally appreciate people “Visioning” – Imagination and Thinking, Naturally generate ideas “Including” – Enjoy Relationships, Naturally give people a sense of belonging “Directing” – Organization and Process, Naturally manage people & expectations
  • 14. 16 4 “Dimensions” ≡ Universal Human Needs Physiological Needs: Air, water, sleep, food Emotional Need, Feeling safe “Arab Spring”
  • 15. 17 “Visioning” – We all need hopeful futures “Cultivating” – We all need to feel appreciated “Directing” – We all need the ability to respond “Including” – We all need to feel that we belong 4 “Dimensions” ≡ Universal Human Needs Feeling valued, loved (emotional need) Feeling included (emotional need) Hopeful future (logical need) Response-ability (logical need) Motivation & Performance (Self-Actualization) The Four “Dimensions”
  • 16. 18 Hopeful, Realistic, Futures Feel Appreciated Meet your Account- ability Feel Included Making Invisible Force Fields Visible Observe Peoples’ Behaviors Observe tracer particles How might you observe invisible magnetic fields? How might you observe invisible Social Contexts? That they address core human needs What would be the first criterion for these behaviors?
  • 17. 19 Eight Context-setting Behaviors Mutual Respect w/Open Communications Authenticity and Efficiency, Absent Anger Willful Collaboration Appreciate Interests Inclusion
  • 18. 20 Inappropriate Inclusion Anger, Unfairness These live in groups (think “teams”) and know each other. Two are separated and asked to perform a simple task. If you reward both (equally) with cucumber, they are perfectly happy to do this 25 times in a row. An old experiment, with fresh Capuchin monkeys. However, if you give one a coveted grape….. And, the other only cucumber, expect an ATTACK
  • 20. 23 Eight Context-setting Behaviors “Magical” Solutions Response-able Action Mutual Respect w/Open Communications Authenticity and Efficiency, Absent Anger Willful Collaboration Trustworthiness Creativity Clear and Achievable Expectations Appreciate Interests Reality Inclusion Integrity No Drama Commitment Accountable
  • 21. 24 Social Context Management Online Development (Assessments) Workshops Coaching The 4-D System develops Social Context management abilities While intellectual ability is adequate for Technical effectiveness Social effectiveness requires intellectual, emotional, & behavioral abilities “CSW” - Creating a Favorable Context (Fifth Force) - Must Express? Stuck in “S” (Situation) Move Attention to Outcome Expressed Story-lines and Emotions inhibit progress (Mindsets/Attitudes) Expressed Story-lines and Emotions advance progress Authentic Appreciation - Opens Communications Shared Interests - Stimulates Collaboration Thorough Inclusion - Builds Support & Avoids Anger Kept Agreements - Demonstrate Trustworthiness Reality-based Optimism - Focus on Outcome 100% Commitment - Solutions appear Absence of Drama - Sustains Response-ability Clear RAAs - Efficient Action Now, take action to Realize desired Outcome! Intellectual, Reference manual Intellectual, Repetition, Behavior feedback, Actions, Progress tracking Intellectual, Emotional, Solutions, Actions Intellectual, Emotional, Experiential, Systems perspective Intellectual, Emotional, Solutions, Actions
  • 22. 25 “Systems Engineering” Your Home Context Accept Personality Differences Healthy Family Culture Emotions Appropriate Expressions of: No Family Secrets Mutual Respect Behaviors  Context Sense of Belonging Reality Hope Response- abilityThoughts&
  • 23. 26 “Systems Engineering” Your Team Context Innate Personality Culture Diagrams Expressed ThoughtsExpressed Emotions - Must Express? Stuck in “S” (Situation) Move Attention to Outcome Expressed Story-lines and Emotions inhibit progress (Mindsets/Attitudes) Expressed Story-lines and Emotions advance progress Authentic Appreciation - Opens Communications Shared Interests - Stimulates Collaboration Thorough Inclusion - Builds Support & Avoids Anger Kept Agreements - Demonstrate Trustworthiness Reality-based Optimism - Focus on Outcome 100% Commitment - Solutions appear Absence of Drama - Sustains Response-ability Clear RAAs - Efficient Action Now, take action to Realize desired Outcome! Mutual Respect 8 Behaviors  Context Sense of Belonging Hopeful Future Account- ability
  • 24. 27 Simultaneous Leadership Development To efficiently align ferromagnetic particles, would you? Or Use tweezers? Use a field? 4-D Context Management Can you afford to develop people one at time? More importantly, why should you? Like my “training” at NASA
  • 25. Team Development (Assessments) A Fifth Force Management/Enhancement Tool These enhance performance 4% with every repetition
  • 26. 29 TDAs Benchmark Fifth Force ≡ Performance 50% 100% Fitted a curve Bottom Ave. Top > Ave. < Ave. Divided into 5 equal–area quintiles  Quintiles 
  • 27. 30 TDAs Drive Performance Enhancement Bottom Quintile < Ave. Quintile Average Quintile > Ave. Quintile Top Quintile 53% 66% 70% 75% 66% 71% 76% 80% 72% 75% 79% 83% 77% 81% 84% 90% All 198 teams with multiple assessments (2008) Average ~4% Enhancement / TDA cycle +7%/TDA +5%/TDA +4%/TDA +2%/TDA +2%/TDA +13% +4% +5%
  • 29. 32 Bottom Ave. Top > Ave. < Ave. 57% 68% 72% 81% 6/07 9/07 4/08 6/09 Real “ABC” Team Data Lloyds of London SOEs-ChinaEDF-France Mines - Malaysia How do TDAs Work? On-line Segment Why? Case Studies What’s good Repetition Leader’s Briefing Next TDA? Responsible Action Due Smith, John Implement an Appreciation Enhancement System 6/28/2012 Workshop? Behavior-specific actions?
  • 30. 33 Unpleasant Reality – the Forgetting Curve We forget >90% of what we learn within a week – Hermann Ebbinghaus Internalizing the Times–table Practicing sports 4-D repetition can change my behaviors (habits) forever We forget 90% of what we learn in University class within 30 days – Brain Rules (John Medina)
  • 31. 34 Repetition on Three Time Scales Choose a 4-D “Czar”-Track TDA actions; discuss at staff meetings Re-TDA, 4% boost per cycle Re-workshop, a two or three-day event Coaching, boost 0.4% per session Bottom Quintile < Ave. Quintile Average Quintile > Ave. Quintile Top Quintile 53% 66% 70% 75% 66% 71% 76% 80% 72% 75% 79% 83% 77% 81% 84% 90% All 198 teams with multiple assessments (2008) Average ~4% Enhancement / TDA cycle +7%/TDA +5%/TDA +4%/TDA +2%/TDA +2%/TDA +13% +4% +5% .... . .. .... .. .. . .... .. . . Re-IDA  attention to your behaviors And, Re- workshop, a two or three- day event
  • 32. 35 Take Responsibility for your Context Get your (or use your 4-D Provider’s) 4-D Assessment Management Dashboard When your team leader briefs your TDA Report, choose your actions Re-TDA Behavior-enhancement Format?
  • 33. Closure Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world. Indeed, it’s the only thing that ever has. – Margaret Mead, Anthropologist Visit www.4-DSystems.com for (free) resources - A “presenter’s guide” for this presentation - Videos providing workshop slide narrations - You Assessment Management Dashboard - A 4-D Provider “User’s Manual” charlie.pellerin@gmail.com