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Mortgage Delinquencies
             I Quarter 2011
 According to the latest MBA National Delinquency Survey
  for 1st quarter 2011, the seasonally-adjusted delinquency
  rate increased slightly for 1-4 unit residential mortgage
  loans outstanding.
 The previous year was marked by continuous decreases in
  delinquent mortgage. Looking at non-seasonally-adjusted
  data, delinquency rates in fact decreased again in the first
  quarter of 2011 to 7.79 percent.
 That translates to 3.6 million past due loans, again an 18.5
  percent drop from the peak of 4.5 million in the first
  quarter of last year. That drop is primarily driven by the
  continued decrease in seriously delinquent inventory.
All Loans: Total Past Due, U.S.
                                           SA, Number

4500000                                                                                 4500000



3750000                                                                                 3750000



3000000                                                                                 3000000



2250000                                                                                 2250000



1500000                                                                                 1500000



 750000                                                                                 750000
          00     01     02     03     04      05     06      07    08   09   10
          Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics               06/06/11
All Loans: Total Past Due, U.S.
                          % Change - Year to Year   SA, Number

60                                                                                 60




40                                                                                 40




20                                                                                 20




 0                                                                                 0




-20                                                                                -20
       00    01     02     03     04      05     06      07   08   09   10
      Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics              06/06/11
• Mortgages with only one payment past due have picked up a
  hair to 3.35 percent in the first quarter though they still
  remain at levels prior to those of 2008.
• For mortgages with two missed payments, there was no
  change over the last two quarters and they remain at 1.35
  percent.
Mortgage Payments Past Due 30-59 Days: United States
                                Change - Year to Year   SA, %

0.8                                                                                  0.8


0.6                                                                                  0.6


0.4                                                                                  0.4


0.2                                                                                  0.2


0.0                                                                                  0.0


-0.2                                                                                 -0.2


-0.4                                                                                 -0.4
       00     01     02     03     04      05      06      07   08   09   10
       Source: Mortgage Bankers Association /Haver Analytics              06/06/11
Mortgage Payments Past Due 60-89 Days: United States
                                Change - Year to Year   SA, %

0.6                                                                                  0.6



0.4                                                                                  0.4



0.2                                                                                  0.2



0.0                                                                                  0.0



-0.2                                                                                 -0.2



-0.4                                                                                 -0.4
       00     01     02     03     04      05      06      07   08   09   10
       Source: Mortgage Bankers Association /Haver Analytics              06/06/11
• The percentage of loans that are 90 days or more days past
  due also changed little.
• They stood at 3.62 percent, a decrease of 3 basis points from
  last quarter, but a decrease of 140 basis points from the same
  time last year.
Mortgage Payments Past Due 90+ Days: United States
                                 Change - Year to Year   SA, %

2.25                                                                                  2.25



1.50                                                                                  1.50



0.75                                                                                  0.75



0.00                                                                                  0.00



-0.75                                                                                 -0.75



-1.50                                                                                 -1.50
        00     01     02     03     04      05      06      07   08   09   10
        Source: Mortgage Bankers Association /Haver Analytics              06/06/11
• Mortgage foreclosure inventory is not budging much, either.
  It continues at 1.98 million, which is a 3.8 percent drop from
  a year ago when the inventory stood at 2.05 million.
Mortgage Foreclosure Inventory: United States
                                        EOP, NSA, Number

2400000                                                                                 2400000


2000000                                                                                 2000000


1600000                                                                                 1600000


1200000                                                                                 1200000


 800000                                                                                 800000


 400000                                                                                 400000


      0                                                                                 0
           00    01     02     03     04      05     06      07   08    09   10
          Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics               05/31/11
Mortgage Foreclosure Inventory: United States
                       % Change - Year to Year   EOP, NSA, Number

125                                                                                 125


100                                                                                 100


 75                                                                                 75


 50                                                                                 50


 25                                                                                 25


  0                                                                                 0


-25                                                                                 -25
       00    01     02     03     04      05     06      07   08    09   10
      Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics               05/31/11
• The percentage of loans for which foreclosure actions were
  started during the first quarter was 1.03 percent, down a
  significant 392 basis points from last quarter and 14 basis
  points since last year, which is a 13 percent drop.
Mortgage Foreclosures Started: United States
                                            SA, %

1.50                                                                                 1.50



1.25                                                                                 1.25



1.00                                                                                 1.00



0.75                                                                                 0.75



0.50                                                                                 0.50



0.25                                                                                 0.25
       00     01     02     03     04      05      06      07   08   09   10
       Source: Mortgage Bankers Association /Haver Analytics              06/06/11
Mortgage Foreclosures Started: United States
                          % Change - Year to Year   SA, Number

100                                                                                100


 75                                                                                75


 50                                                                                50


 25                                                                                25


  0                                                                                0


-25                                                                                -25


-50                                                                                -50
      00     01     02     03     04      05     06      07   08   09   10
      Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics              06/06/11
• The share of loans in the seriously delinquent category, those
  90+ days late or in the foreclosure inventory, decreased some
  but still not to the levels needed to see some significant
  improvement.
• Seriously delinquent inventory inched from 8.29 percent in
  the last quarter and 9.65 last year to 8.14 percent in the first
  quarter of this year.
Share of Seriously Delinquent Loans (%)


10                                                                               10



 8                                                                               8



 6                                                                               6



 4                                                                               4



 2                                                                               2



 0                                                                               0
      00     01     02      03   04    05     06    07     08    09   10
     Source: Haver Analytics                                          06/06/11
• Regionally, foreclosure inventory has taken most significant
  turn in the West where it fell from 560, 000 to 448,000 over
  the past year.
• In the other three regions, foreclosure inventory has been on
  an almost constant rise. Inventory still remains the largest in
  the South, with over 826,000 loans in foreclosure.
Mortgage Foreclosure Inventory: South
                                        EOP, NSA, Number

                          Mortgage Foreclosure Inventory: Northeast
                                        EOP, NSA, Number
1000000                                                                                1000000



 800000                                                                                800000



 600000                                                                                600000



 400000                                                                                400000



 200000                                                                                200000



      0                                                                                0
           00    01     02     03     04      05     06      07   08   09   10
          Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics             06/06/11
All Mortgages Past Due: Northeast
                                 Change - Year to Year   SA, %

                               All Mortgages Past Due: South
                                 Change - Year to Year   SA, %
3.00                                                                                  3.00


2.25                                                                                  2.25


1.50                                                                                  1.50


0.75                                                                                  0.75


0.00                                                                                  0.00


-0.75                                                                                 -0.75


-1.50                                                                                 -1.50
         00    01     02     03     04      05     06       07   08   09   10
        Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association /Haver Analytics             05/31/11
Mortgage Payments Past Due 30-59 Days: South
                                          SA, %

                 Mortgage Payments Past Due 30-59 Days: Northeast
                                          SA, %
4.4                                                                                 4.4



4.0                                                                                 4.0



3.6                                                                                 3.6



3.2                                                                                 3.2



2.8                                                                                 2.8



2.4                                                                                 2.4
       00    01     02     03     04      05     06       07   08   09   10
      Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association /Haver Analytics             05/31/11
Mortgage Payments Past Due 90+ Days: Northeast
                                        SA, %

                  Mortgage Payments Past Due 90+ Days: South
                                        SA, %
5                                                                                 5



4                                                                                 4



3                                                                                 3



2                                                                                 2



1                                                                                 1



0                                                                                 0
     00    01     02     03     04      05     06       07   08   09   10
    Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association /Haver Analytics             05/31/11
Mortgage Foreclosures Started: South
                          % Change - Year to Year   SA, Number

                      Mortgage Foreclosures Started: Northeast
                          % Change - Year to Year   SA, Number
100                                                                                100


                                                                                   75
 75


                                                                                   50
 50

                                                                                   25

 25
                                                                                   0


  0
                                                                                   -25


-25                                                                                -50
      00     01     02     03     04      05     06      07   08   09   10
      Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics             06/06/11
Mortgage Foreclosure Inventory: Midwest
                                       EOP, NSA, Number

                           Mortgage Foreclosure Inventory: West
                                       EOP, NSA, Number
600000                                                                                600000


500000                                                                                500000


400000                                                                                400000


300000                                                                                300000


200000                                                                                200000


100000                                                                                100000


     0                                                                                0
          00    01     02     03     04      05     06      07   08   09   10
         Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics             05/31/11
• The decrease in mortgages that are past due has been pretty
  consistent with all regions, falling between 1.3 and 1.7 percent
  over the past year.
• The number of new delinquencies increased slightly in all
  regions, while the number of loans 90+ days past due leveled
  off in the first quarter following a significant decline in the
  past year. The Northeast even saw a slight pick up in the 90+
  category.
• Finally, as expected following the robo-signing crisis, the
  number of foreclosure starts dropped in all four regions with
  largest year-over-year drops seen in the West and South.
  From the quarter before, foreclosure starts down 24 percent
  in Northeast, 18 percent in Midwest, 10 percent in the South,
  and 27 percent in the West.
All Mortgages Past Due: Midwest
                              Change - Year to Year   SA, %

                            All Mortgages Past Due: West
                              Change - Year to Year   SA, %
4                                                                                  4




2                                                                                  2




0                                                                                  0




-2                                                                                 -2




-4                                                                                 -4
      00    01     02     03     04      05     06       07   08   09   10
     Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association /Haver Analytics             05/31/11
Mortgage Payments Past Due 30-59 Days: Midwest
                                          SA, %

                   Mortgage Payments Past Due 30-59 Days: West
                                          SA, %
4.0                                                                                 4.0



3.5                                                                                 3.5



3.0                                                                                 3.0



2.5                                                                                 2.5



2.0                                                                                 2.0



1.5                                                                                 1.5
       00    01     02     03     04      05     06       07   08   09   10
      Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association /Haver Analytics             05/31/11
Mortgage Payments Past Due 90+ Days: West
                                        SA, %

                 Mortgage Payments Past Due 90+ Days: Midwest
                                        SA, %
6                                                                                 6


5                                                                                 5


4                                                                                 4


3                                                                                 3


2                                                                                 2


1                                                                                 1


0                                                                                 0
     00    01     02     03     04      05     06       07   08   09   10
    Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association /Haver Analytics             05/31/11
Mortgage Foreclosures Started: West
                          % Change - Year to Year   SA, Number

                       Mortgage Foreclosures Started: Midwest
                          % Change - Year to Year   SA, Number
200                                                                                100


160                                                                                75


120                                                                                50


 80                                                                                25


 40                                                                                0


  0                                                                                -25


-40                                                                                -50
      00     01     02     03     04      05     06      07   08   09   10
      Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics             06/06/11

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Mortgage Delinquencies: I Quarter 2011

  • 1. Mortgage Delinquencies I Quarter 2011
  • 2.  According to the latest MBA National Delinquency Survey for 1st quarter 2011, the seasonally-adjusted delinquency rate increased slightly for 1-4 unit residential mortgage loans outstanding.  The previous year was marked by continuous decreases in delinquent mortgage. Looking at non-seasonally-adjusted data, delinquency rates in fact decreased again in the first quarter of 2011 to 7.79 percent.  That translates to 3.6 million past due loans, again an 18.5 percent drop from the peak of 4.5 million in the first quarter of last year. That drop is primarily driven by the continued decrease in seriously delinquent inventory.
  • 3. All Loans: Total Past Due, U.S. SA, Number 4500000 4500000 3750000 3750000 3000000 3000000 2250000 2250000 1500000 1500000 750000 750000 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics 06/06/11
  • 4. All Loans: Total Past Due, U.S. % Change - Year to Year SA, Number 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 -20 -20 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics 06/06/11
  • 5. • Mortgages with only one payment past due have picked up a hair to 3.35 percent in the first quarter though they still remain at levels prior to those of 2008. • For mortgages with two missed payments, there was no change over the last two quarters and they remain at 1.35 percent.
  • 6. Mortgage Payments Past Due 30-59 Days: United States Change - Year to Year SA, % 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 -0.2 -0.2 -0.4 -0.4 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Source: Mortgage Bankers Association /Haver Analytics 06/06/11
  • 7. Mortgage Payments Past Due 60-89 Days: United States Change - Year to Year SA, % 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 -0.2 -0.2 -0.4 -0.4 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Source: Mortgage Bankers Association /Haver Analytics 06/06/11
  • 8. • The percentage of loans that are 90 days or more days past due also changed little. • They stood at 3.62 percent, a decrease of 3 basis points from last quarter, but a decrease of 140 basis points from the same time last year.
  • 9. Mortgage Payments Past Due 90+ Days: United States Change - Year to Year SA, % 2.25 2.25 1.50 1.50 0.75 0.75 0.00 0.00 -0.75 -0.75 -1.50 -1.50 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Source: Mortgage Bankers Association /Haver Analytics 06/06/11
  • 10. • Mortgage foreclosure inventory is not budging much, either. It continues at 1.98 million, which is a 3.8 percent drop from a year ago when the inventory stood at 2.05 million.
  • 11. Mortgage Foreclosure Inventory: United States EOP, NSA, Number 2400000 2400000 2000000 2000000 1600000 1600000 1200000 1200000 800000 800000 400000 400000 0 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics 05/31/11
  • 12. Mortgage Foreclosure Inventory: United States % Change - Year to Year EOP, NSA, Number 125 125 100 100 75 75 50 50 25 25 0 0 -25 -25 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics 05/31/11
  • 13. • The percentage of loans for which foreclosure actions were started during the first quarter was 1.03 percent, down a significant 392 basis points from last quarter and 14 basis points since last year, which is a 13 percent drop.
  • 14. Mortgage Foreclosures Started: United States SA, % 1.50 1.50 1.25 1.25 1.00 1.00 0.75 0.75 0.50 0.50 0.25 0.25 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Source: Mortgage Bankers Association /Haver Analytics 06/06/11
  • 15. Mortgage Foreclosures Started: United States % Change - Year to Year SA, Number 100 100 75 75 50 50 25 25 0 0 -25 -25 -50 -50 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics 06/06/11
  • 16. • The share of loans in the seriously delinquent category, those 90+ days late or in the foreclosure inventory, decreased some but still not to the levels needed to see some significant improvement. • Seriously delinquent inventory inched from 8.29 percent in the last quarter and 9.65 last year to 8.14 percent in the first quarter of this year.
  • 17. Share of Seriously Delinquent Loans (%) 10 10 8 8 6 6 4 4 2 2 0 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Source: Haver Analytics 06/06/11
  • 18. • Regionally, foreclosure inventory has taken most significant turn in the West where it fell from 560, 000 to 448,000 over the past year. • In the other three regions, foreclosure inventory has been on an almost constant rise. Inventory still remains the largest in the South, with over 826,000 loans in foreclosure.
  • 19. Mortgage Foreclosure Inventory: South EOP, NSA, Number Mortgage Foreclosure Inventory: Northeast EOP, NSA, Number 1000000 1000000 800000 800000 600000 600000 400000 400000 200000 200000 0 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics 06/06/11
  • 20. All Mortgages Past Due: Northeast Change - Year to Year SA, % All Mortgages Past Due: South Change - Year to Year SA, % 3.00 3.00 2.25 2.25 1.50 1.50 0.75 0.75 0.00 0.00 -0.75 -0.75 -1.50 -1.50 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association /Haver Analytics 05/31/11
  • 21. Mortgage Payments Past Due 30-59 Days: South SA, % Mortgage Payments Past Due 30-59 Days: Northeast SA, % 4.4 4.4 4.0 4.0 3.6 3.6 3.2 3.2 2.8 2.8 2.4 2.4 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association /Haver Analytics 05/31/11
  • 22. Mortgage Payments Past Due 90+ Days: Northeast SA, % Mortgage Payments Past Due 90+ Days: South SA, % 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association /Haver Analytics 05/31/11
  • 23. Mortgage Foreclosures Started: South % Change - Year to Year SA, Number Mortgage Foreclosures Started: Northeast % Change - Year to Year SA, Number 100 100 75 75 50 50 25 25 0 0 -25 -25 -50 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics 06/06/11
  • 24. Mortgage Foreclosure Inventory: Midwest EOP, NSA, Number Mortgage Foreclosure Inventory: West EOP, NSA, Number 600000 600000 500000 500000 400000 400000 300000 300000 200000 200000 100000 100000 0 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics 05/31/11
  • 25. • The decrease in mortgages that are past due has been pretty consistent with all regions, falling between 1.3 and 1.7 percent over the past year. • The number of new delinquencies increased slightly in all regions, while the number of loans 90+ days past due leveled off in the first quarter following a significant decline in the past year. The Northeast even saw a slight pick up in the 90+ category. • Finally, as expected following the robo-signing crisis, the number of foreclosure starts dropped in all four regions with largest year-over-year drops seen in the West and South. From the quarter before, foreclosure starts down 24 percent in Northeast, 18 percent in Midwest, 10 percent in the South, and 27 percent in the West.
  • 26. All Mortgages Past Due: Midwest Change - Year to Year SA, % All Mortgages Past Due: West Change - Year to Year SA, % 4 4 2 2 0 0 -2 -2 -4 -4 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association /Haver Analytics 05/31/11
  • 27. Mortgage Payments Past Due 30-59 Days: Midwest SA, % Mortgage Payments Past Due 30-59 Days: West SA, % 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association /Haver Analytics 05/31/11
  • 28. Mortgage Payments Past Due 90+ Days: West SA, % Mortgage Payments Past Due 90+ Days: Midwest SA, % 6 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association /Haver Analytics 05/31/11
  • 29. Mortgage Foreclosures Started: West % Change - Year to Year SA, Number Mortgage Foreclosures Started: Midwest % Change - Year to Year SA, Number 200 100 160 75 120 50 80 25 40 0 0 -25 -40 -50 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics 06/06/11