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Dig now ,[object Object],Stavanger, April 10 2008 Rudolf van der Berg [email_address]
Disclaimer No.  2 June 2009 The opinions expressed here are my own.  They do not represent the view of Logica
Situation OECD governments are pressured (not) to do something about broadband No.  2 June 2009 Job Growth Innovation Green Society Weightless Society World Peace Proponents Waste Too Soon No Government Competition Opponents Government
Dig Now or dig later? Paul Keleher, Flickr No.  2 June 2009 What needs to happen if our country wants to remain competitive? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Dig now No.  2 June 2009 Fibre to the curb is the minimum, but will you get it? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Market No.  2 June 2009 New entrants Short term investors Service providers Customers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Market outcome = possibility to monetize benefits + possibility to invest.  Let’s look at demand, money and  supply
Market parties – Customers No.  2 June 2009 Cannot monetize benefits + no possibility to invest ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Kalandrakas, Flickr ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Market parties – Service providers No.  2 June 2009 Low possibility to invest + medium possibility to monetize ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Demand side wants it, but cannot invest
Market parties – Long term investors No.  2 June 2009 High possibility to invest + risk averse ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Market parties – Short term investors No.  2 June 2009 Medium possibility to invest + Short term ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Money side dislikes yield or risk
Market parties – Incumbent fixed networks No.  2 June 2009 High possibility to invest  + low possibility to monetize ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Market parties – New entrants No.  2 June 2009 Low possibility to invest  + low possibility to monetize ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Market parties – Wireless No.  2 June 2009 High possibility to invest  + low possibility to monetize ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Market: Only when forced to
Governments No.  2 June 2009 High possibility to invest + high possibility to monetize ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Hey now, are we back to pre-90s? Rageforst, Flickr
Conclusion No.  2 June 2009 Those that benefit will not build it, those that build it will not benefit.  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Governments - What are you looking at me for? Flickr, ESGPHOTO
Conclusion No.  2 June 2009 To solve the deadlock players will have to step out of their comfort zone ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Flickr, ESGPHOTO Yewenyi, Fliickr
No.  2 June 2009 Title of Presentation

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Dig Now

  • 1.
  • 2. Disclaimer No. 2 June 2009 The opinions expressed here are my own. They do not represent the view of Logica
  • 3. Situation OECD governments are pressured (not) to do something about broadband No. 2 June 2009 Job Growth Innovation Green Society Weightless Society World Peace Proponents Waste Too Soon No Government Competition Opponents Government
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. No. 2 June 2009 Title of Presentation

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. For SlideShare: Presentation given to OECD Workshop on Fibre. There is a paper on the same subject by the OECD called the Future of Fibre Networks and Investment available at http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/49/8/40390735.pdf