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International Republican Institute
Public Opinion Survey
Residents of Ukraine
March 14 – 26, 2014
Detailed Methodology
2
• The survey was conducted by the public opinion and market research company Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization
on behalf of the International Republican Institute. The field work was carried out by Rating Group Ukraine.
• Data was collected throughout Ukraine (including Crimea) March 14–26, 2014, through face-to-face interviews at
respondents’ home.
• The sample consisted of 1,200 permanent residents of Ukraine older than the age of 18 and eligible to vote. It is
representative of the general population by age, gender, education, region and size of the settlement.
• Multistage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday respondent’s selection
procedures.
• Stage one: 27 official administrative regions of Ukraine were defined (25 regions of Ukraine, Kyiv and Sevastopol).
All regions of Ukraine were surveyed.
• Stage two: selection of the settlements - towns and villages. Towns were grouped into subtypes according to the
size:
• City more than one million residents
• City 500,000-999,000 residents
• City 100,000-499,000 residents
• City 50,000-99,000 residents
• City to 50,000 residents
• Village
• Settlements were selected at random. The number of selected settlements in each region was proportional to the
share of population living in a particular type of the settlement in each region.
• Stage three: primary sampling units were described.
• The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.8 percent.
• Response rate was 63 percent.
• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.
• The survey was funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development.
International Republican Institute
Russian-Speaking Citizens
Not Under Pressure or Threat
Do you feel that Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine are under
pressure or threat because of their language?
4
5%
7%
14%
71%
3%
Definitely yes
Rather yes
Rather no
Definitely no
Don't know/Refused to
answer
Do you feel that Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine are under
pressure or threat because of their language?
5
3%
12%
5%
17%
13%
17%
76%
49%
3%
5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Ethnic
Ukrainian
Ethnic
Russian
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
By ethnicity
Do you feel that Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine are under
pressure or threat because of their language?
6
1%
3%
13%
5%
3%
2%
11%
12%
7%
11%
23%
16%
88%
83%
51%
58%
1%
1%
2%
8%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation to send its
army to protect Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine?
7
7%
6%
9%
72%
6%
Definitely yes
Rather yes
Rather no
Definitely no
Don't know/Refused to
answer
Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation to send its
army to protect Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine?
8
1%
1%
16%
12%
1%
11%
12%
5%
5%
16%
12%
93%
91%
51%
49%
1%
1%
6%
15%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation to send its
army to protect Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine?
9
3%
23%
4%
20%
9%
11%
80%
32%
4%
14%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Ethnic
Ukrainian
Ethnic
Russian
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
By ethnicity
International Republican Institute
Majority Want Closer
Ties to Europe
If Ukraine was able to enter only one international economic
union, should it be with…?
11
42%
36%
37%
32%
40%
42%
41%
52%
40%
43%
41%
42%
37%
37%
36%
27%
3%
4%
5%
6%
5%
5%
9%
6%
15%
17%
17%
20%
18%
16%
14%
14%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
November
2011
March 2012
May 2012
August 2012
May 2013
September
2013
February 2014
March 2014
European Union Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan
Other Don't know/Refused to answer
If Ukraine was able to enter only one international economic
union, should it be with…?
12
90%
70%
29%
20%
3%
9%
37%
59%
2%
11%
10%
3%
5%
10%
24%
18%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
West
Center
South
East
European Union Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan
Other Don't know/Refused to answer
If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining the
European Union, how would you vote?
13
53%
28%
8%
11%
Would vote for Ukraine
to join the EU
Would vote against
Ukraine joining the EU
Would not vote
Don't know/Refused to
answer
If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining the
European Union, how would you vote?
14
90%
71%
29%
22%
4%
16%
37%
55%
2%
2%
23%
7%
4%
11%
11%
16%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Would vote for Ukraine to join the EU Would vote against Ukraine joining the EU
Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer
If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining the Customs
Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan, how would you vote?
15
28%
51%
15%
6%
Would vote for Ukraine
to join the Customs
Union
Would vote against
Ukraine joining the
Customs Union
Would not vote
Don't know/Refused to
answer
If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining the
Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan, how would
you vote?
16
6%
10%
31%
62%
77%
74%
32%
19%
9%
5%
35%
17%
8%
11%
2%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Would vote for Ukraine to join the Customs Union Would vote against Ukraine joining the Customs Union
Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer
Do you think that the authorities of Ukraine should sign the
Association Agreement with the European Union as soon as
possible?
17
25%
35%
20%
18%
16%
12%
25%
21%
14%
14%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
February 2014
March 2014
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
Do you think that the authorities of Ukraine should sign the
Association Agreement with the European Union as soon as
possible?
18
72%
42%
12%
13%
18%
30%
15%
9%
3%
9%
15%
19%
2%
6%
35%
42%
5%
13%
23%
17%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining NATO, how
would you vote?
19
34%
44%
9%
13%
Would vote for Ukraine
to join NATO
Would vote against
Ukraine joining NATO
Would not vote
Don't know/Refused to
answer
If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining NATO, how
would you vote?
20
64%
47%
11%
14%
17%
33%
52%
67%
5%
4%
26%
8%
14%
16%
11%
11%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Would vote for Ukraine to join NATO Would vote against Ukraine joining NATO
Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer
International Republican Institute
Majority Consider Russia’s
Actions an Invasion
In your opinion, a referendum in Crimea on joining Russia is…?
22
23%
68%
1%
8%
A legitimate right of the
residents of Crimea to
express their opinion about
the future of Crimea
An attempt to break
Ukraine into several parts
and threat to its
independence
Other
Don't know/Refused to
answer
In your opinion, a referendum in Crimea on joining Russia is…?
23
2%
7%
41%
45%
94%
87%
48%
40%
2%
2%
5%
10%
13%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
A legitimate right of the residents of Crimea to express their opinion about the future of Crimea
An attempt to break Ukraine into several parts and threat to its independence
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
1%
2%
In your opinion, what should the status of Crimea should be?
24
50%
13%
13%
8%
5%
1%
1%
9%
Autonomous republic within
Ukraine
Crimean-Tatar autonomous
republic within Ukraine
Should become part of
Russia
Become an oblast of Ukraine
Should become an
independent state
Should become part of
Turkey
Other
Don't know/Refused to
answer
In your opinion, what the status of Crimea should be?
25
61%
66%
42%
31%
14%
11%
11%
16%
3%
31%
20%
16%
8%
4%
5%
2%
3%
4%
11%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
6%
6%
6%
15%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Autonomous republic within Ukraine Crimean-Tatar autonomous republic within Ukraine
Should become part of Russia Become an oblast of Ukraine
Should become an independent state Should become part of Turkey
Other Don't know/Refused to answer
How do you evaluate Russia’s actions in Crimea? In your opinion, are
they aimed at...?
26
54%
17%
13%
5%
4%
1%
6%
Invasion and occupation of independent Ukraine
Threat to new Ukrainian political leaders
Protection of Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine
Response to the new Crimea leaders asking for help
Protection of Russian military base in Sevastopol
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
How do you evaluate Russia’s actions in Crimea? In your opinion, are
they aimed at...?
27
74%
20%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Invasion and occupation of independent
Ukraine
Threat to new Ukrainian political leaders
Protection of Russian-speaking citizens of
Ukraine
Response to the new Crimea leaders
asking for help
Protection of Russian military base in
Sevastopol
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
Western Ukraine
How do you evaluate Russia’s actions in Crimea? In your opinion, are
they aimed at...?
28
75%
16%
3%
2%
1%
0%
3%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Invasion and occupation of independent
Ukraine
Threat to new Ukrainian political leaders
Response to the new Crimea leaders
asking for help
Protection of Russian-speaking citizens of
Ukraine
Protection of Russian military base in
Sevastopol
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
Central Ukraine
How do you evaluate Russia’s actions in Crimea? In your opinion, are
they aimed at...?
29
37%
31%
15%
7%
2%
2%
6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Invasion and occupation of independent
Ukraine
Protection of Russian-speaking citizens of
Ukraine
Threat to new Ukrainian political leaders
Response to the new Crimea leaders
asking for help
Protection of Russian military base in
Sevastopol
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
Southern Ukraine
How do you evaluate Russia’s actions in Crimea? In your opinion, are
they aimed at...?
30
30%
22%
17%
10%
8%
1%
12%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Invasion and occupation of independent
Ukraine
Protection of Russian-speaking citizens of
Ukraine
Threat to new Ukrainian political leaders
Response to the new Crimea leaders
asking for help
Protection of Russian military base in
Sevastopol
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
Eastern Ukraine
What do you think should be done with Ukraine-Russia agreement
about the Russian Naval base in Sevastopol? Should this agreement…?
31
46%
18%
11%
8%
2%
14%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Be terminated immediately and Russian
military should leave Crimea
Should be re-negotiated and Ukraine should
have more say in Russia's military actions
and movements in Crimea
Nothing has to be changed
Ukrainian troops should leave Crimea, only
Russian troops should remain
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
What do you think should be done with Ukraine-Russia agreement
about the Russian Naval base in Sevastopol? Should this agreement…?
32
69%
13%
3%
3%
1%
11%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Be terminated immediately and Russian
military should leave Crimea
Should be re-negotiated and Ukraine should
have more say in Russia's military actions
and movements in Crimea
Nothing has to be changed
Ukrainian troops should leave Crimea, only
Russian troops should remain
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
Western Ukraine
What do you think should be done with Ukraine-Russia agreement
about the Russian Naval base in Sevastopol? Should this agreement…?
33
63%
17%
4%
3%
1%
12%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Be terminated immediately and Russian
military should leave Crimea
Should be re-negotiated and Ukraine should
have more say in Russia's military actions
and movements in Crimea
Nothing has to be changed
Ukrainian troops should leave Crimea, only
Russian troops should remain
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
Central Ukraine
What do you think should be done with Ukraine-Russia agreement
about the Russian Naval base in Sevastopol? Should this agreement…?
34
31%
23%
20%
12%
1%
13%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Be terminated immediately and Russian
military should leave Crimea
Nothing has to be changed
Should be re-negotiated and Ukraine should
have more say in Russia's military actions
and movements in Crimea
Ukrainian troops should leave Crimea, only
Russian troops should remain
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
Southern Ukraine
What do you think should be done with Ukraine-Russia agreement
about the Russian Naval base in Sevastopol? Should this agreement…?
35
23%
22%
17%
16%
2%
20%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Should be re-negotiated and Ukraine should
have more say in Russia's military actions
and movements in Crimea
Be terminated immediately and Russian
military should leave Crimea
Nothing has to be changed
Ukrainian troops should leave Crimea, only
Russian troops should remain
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
Eastern Ukraine
In your opinion, should Ukraine…?
36
64%
10%
14%
1%
1%
10%
Remain a unitary country
Remain a unitary country,
but without Crimea
Become a federal country
Be divided into several
countries
Other
Difficult to answer/No
answer
In your opinion, should Ukraine…?
37
86%
78%
44%
45%
3%
7%
25%
8%
3%
6%
22%
26%
2%
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
8%
8%
6%
16%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Remain a unitary country Remain a unitary country, but without Crimea
Become a federal country Be divided into several countries
Other Difficult to answer/No answer
International Republican Institute
Elections
Do you think that early presidential and parliamentary
elections should be carried out in the near future?
39
<1%
2%
27%
10%
11%
35%
35%
30%
12%
45%
50%
12%
9%
7%
14%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
Do you think that early presidential and parliamentary
elections should be carried out in the near future?
40
40%
36%
14%
17%
46%
39%
26%
30%
6%
11%
17%
11%
4%
6%
18%
20%
4%
8%
25%
22%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
International Republican Institute
Presidential Election
Are you going to vote in the presidential election to be held on
May 25, 2014?
42
48%
51%
31%
32%
4%
4%
12%
8%
5%
5%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Ukraine
Ukraine without
Crimea
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
Are you going to vote in the presidential election to be held on
May 25, 2014?
43
78%
46%
26%
43%
19%
46%
22%
29%
1%
3%
9%
5%
2%
2%
38%
12%
3%
5%
11%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May
25, 2014?
44
21%
11%
10%
6%
3%
3%
3%
3%
6%
8%
14%
13%
0% 10% 20% 30%
Petro Poroshenko
Yuliya Tymoshenko
Vitaliy Klychko
Serhiy Tihipko
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Petro Symonenko
Oleh Tyahnybok
Mykhaylo Dobkin
Other
Against all
I would not vote
Difficult to answer/Don’t know
Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May
25, 2014?
45
27%
14%
13%
7%
4%
4%
3%
3%
7%
7%
12%
0% 10% 20% 30%
Petro Poroshenko
Yuliya Tymoshenko
Vitaliy Klychko
Serhiy Tihipko
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Petro Symonenko
Oleh Tyahnybok
Mykhaylo Dobkin
Other
Against all
Difficult to answer/Don’t know
Respondents who are going to vote in presidential election, N=946
Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May
25, 2014?
46
34%
23%
17%
6%
4%
1%
1%
1%
3%
2%
8%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Petro Poroshenko
Vitaliy Klychko
Yuliya Tymoshenko
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Oleh Tyahnybok
Serhiy Tihipko
Petro Symonenko
Dmytro Yarosh
Other
I would not vote
Difficult to answer/Don’t know
Western Ukraine
Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May
25, 2014?
47
34%
16%
12%
4%
4%
4%
2%
1%
6%
6%
2%
9%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Petro Poroshenko
Yuliya Tymoshenko
Vitaliy Klychko
Serhiy Tihipko
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Oleh Tyahnybok
Petro Symonenko
Dmytro Yarosh
Other
Against all
I would not vote
Difficult to answer/Don’t know
Central Ukraine
Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May
25, 2014?
48
9%
8%
5%
3%
2%
1%
1%
5%
10%
44%
13%
0% 20% 40% 60%
Yuliya Tymoshenko
Petro Poroshenko
Serhiy Tihipko
Vitaliy Klychko
Petro Symonenko
Mykhaylo Dobkin
Nataliya Korolevska
Other
Against all
I would not vote
Difficult to answer/Don’t know
Southern Ukraine
Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May
25, 2014?
49
11%
8%
7%
7%
4%
3%
2%
1%
1%
7%
13%
14%
22%
0% 10% 20% 30%
Serhiy Tihipko
Mykhaylo Dobkin
Petro Poroshenko
Petro Symonenko
Yuliya Tymoshenko
Vitaliy Klychko
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Oleh Tyahnybok
Nataliya Korolevska
Other
Against all
I would not vote
Difficult to answer/Don’t know
Eastern Ukraine
Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May
25, 2014?
50
22%
12%
11%
6%
3%
3%
3%
3%
6%
8%
10%
13%
0% 10% 20% 30%
Petro Poroshenko
Yuliya Tymoshenko
Vitaliy Klychko
Serhiy Tihipko
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Petro Symonenko
Oleh Tyahnybok
Mykhaylo Dobkin
Other
Against all
I would not vote
Difficult to answer/Don’t know
Ukraine without Crimea
Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May
25, 2014?
51
64%
23%
4%
3%
2%
4%
1%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Yuliya Tymoshenko
Petro Poroshenko
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Vitaliy Klychko
Oleh Tyahnybok
Other
Difficult to answer/Don’t know
Respondents, in parliamentary elections intending to vote for Batkivshchyna, N=187
Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May
25, 2014?
52
71%
19%
3%
2%
1%
2%
3%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Vitaliy Klychko
Petro Poroshenko
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Serhiy Tihipko
Yuliya Tymoshenko
Other
Difficult to answer/Don’t know
Respondents, in parliamentary elections intending to vote for Ukrainian Democratic Alliance
for Reform, N=147
Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May
25, 2014?
53
91%
3%
2%
1%
2%
2%
0% 50% 100%
Petro Poroshenko
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Petro Symonenko
Yuliya Tymoshenko
Other
Difficult to answer/Don’t know
Respondents, in parliamentary elections intending to vote for Solidarnist, N=134
Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May
25, 2014?
54
55%
14%
3%
2%
1%
7%
2%
2%
14%
0% 20% 40% 60%
Serhiy Tihipko
Mykhaylo Dobkin
Petro Symonenko
Nataliya Korolevska
Petro Poroshenko
Other
Against all
I would not vote
Difficult to answer/Don’t know
Respondents, in parliamentary elections intending to vote for Party of Regions, N=73
Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May
25, 2014?
55
43%
30%
8%
6%
4%
2%
7%
0% 20% 40% 60%
Oleh Tyahnybok
Petro Poroshenko
Vitaliy Klychko
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Yuliya Tymoshenko
Dmytro Yarosh
Difficult to answer/Don’t know
Respondents, in parliamentary elections intending to vote for Svoboda, N=56
Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May
25, 2014?
56
7%
7%
5%
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
5%
19%
4%
46%
0% 20% 40% 60%
Petro Poroshenko
Serhiy Tihipko
Mykhaylo Dobkin
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Yuliya Tymoshenko
Vitaliy Klychko
Petro Symonenko
Nataliya Korolevska
Other
Against all
I would not vote
Difficult to answer/Don’t know
Respondents having no opinion for which party to vote in parliamentary elections, N=248
If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential
election, who would you vote for?
57
25%
26%
19%
20%
31%
32%
15%
11%
10%
10%
Ukraine
Ukraine without
Crimea
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Vitaliy Klychko Yuliya Tymoshenko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
If the following candidates are in the second round of the
presidential election, who would you vote for?
58
50%
32%
5%
11%
29%
29%
11%
7%
9%
26%
31%
52%
3%
3%
46%
17%
8%
10%
7%
12%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Vitaliy Klychko Yuliya Tymoshenko Against both
I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential
election, who would you vote for?
59
17%
18%
35%
36%
25%
26%
14%
11%
9%
9%
Ukraine
Ukraine without
Crimea
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Vitaliy Klychko Petro Poroshenko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
If the following candidates are in the second round of the
presidential election, who would you vote for?
60
34%
20%
5%
9%
52%
54%
15%
13%
4%
15%
29%
49%
2%
2%
45%
16%
7%
9%
6%
13%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Vitaliy Klychko Petro Poroshenko Against both
I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential
election, who would you vote for?
61
37%
39%
12%
12%
25%
26%
15%
11%
11%
12%
Ukraine
Ukraine without
Crimea
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Vitaliy Klychko Serhiy Tihipko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
If the following candidates are in the second round of the
presidential election, who would you vote for?
62
74%
50%
9%
12%
3%
8%
9%
24%
10%
28%
28%
32%
3%
3%
45%
17%
10%
11%
9%
15%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Vitaliy Klychko Serhiy Tihipko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential
election, who would you vote for?
63
36%
38%
15%
16%
25%
26%
15%
11%
9%
9%
Ukraine
Ukraine without
Crimea
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Petro Poroshenko Yuliya Tymoshenko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
If the following candidates are in the second round of the
presidential election, who would you vote for?
64
62%
53%
12%
15%
23%
21%
11%
6%
6%
15%
27%
49%
2%
3%
45%
16%
7%
8%
5%
14%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Petro Poroshenko Yuliya Tymoshenko Against both
I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential
election, who would you vote for?
65
30%
32%
13%
13%
30%
32%
15%
11%
12%
12%
Ukraine
Ukraine without
Crimea
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Yuliya Tymoshenko Serhiy Tihipko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
If the following candidates are in the second round of the
presidential election, who would you vote for?
66
58%
41%
12%
10%
5%
9%
9%
25%
20%
36%
27%
34%
5%
3%
44%
16%
12%
11%
8%
15%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Yuliya Tymoshenko Serhiy Tihipko Against both
I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential
election, who would you vote for?
67
46%
48%
10%
11%
19%
20%
15%
11%
10%
10%
Ukraine
Ukraine without
Crimea
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Petro Poroshenko Serhiy Tihipko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
If the following candidates are in the second round of the
presidential election, who would you vote for?
68
78%
69%
16%
16%
2%
7%
7%
22%
8%
14%
27%
29%
2%
3%
44%
17%
10%
7%
6%
16%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Petro Poroshenko Serhiy Tihipko Against both
I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
In your opinion, will the next presidential election be…?
69
2%
4%
7%
17%
20%
34%
39%
35%
27%
26%
22%
15%
16%
19%
17%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
Absolutely free and fair Rather free and fair Rather not free and fair
Absolutely not free and fair Don't know/Refused to answer
In your opinion, will the next presidential election be…?
70
12%
12%
2%
1%
51%
48%
20%
14%
17%
22%
37%
34%
4%
4%
23%
30%
16%
13%
18%
21%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Absolutely free and fair Rather free and fair Rather not free and fair
Absolutely not free and fair Don't know/Refused to answer
International Republican Institute
Parliamentary Elections
If early parliamentary elections were announced today, would
you vote in such elections?
72
33%
34%
41%
42%
36%
34%
35%
33%
8%
7%
8%
5%
19%
20%
10%
12%
4%
5%
6%
8%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
May 2013
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
If early parliamentary elections were announced today, would
you vote in such elections?
73
42%
45%
33%
34%
5%
4%
12%
9%
8%
8%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Ukraine
Ukraine without
Crimea
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
If early parliamentary elections were announced today, would
you vote in such elections?
74
67%
40%
27%
36%
26%
48%
24%
28%
3%
3%
7%
6%
2%
4%
36%
12%
2%
5%
6%
18%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
If parliamentary elections were held today, which political party
would you vote for?
75
16%
12%
11%
6%
5%
4%
4%
1%
5%
16%
21%
0% 10% 20% 30%
Batkivshchyna (Y. Tymoshenko)
Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reform
(V.Klychko)
Solidarnist (P.Poroshenko)
Party of Regions
Svoboda (O.Tyahnybok)
Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko (O.Lyashko)
Communist Party of Ukraine (P.Symonenko)
Pravyi Sector (D.Yarosh)
Other
I would not vote
Don't know/Refused to answer
If parliamentary elections were held today, which political party
would you vote for?
76
20%
16%
14%
7%
6%
5%
4%
2%
6%
20%
0% 10% 20% 30%
Batkivshchyna (Y. Tymoshenko)
Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reform
(V.Klychko)
Solidarnist (P.Poroshenko)
Party of Regions
Svoboda (O.Tyahnybok)
Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko (O.Lyashko)
Communist Party of Ukraine (P.Symonenko)
Pravyi Sector (D.Yarosh)
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
Respondents who are going to vote in parliamentary elections, N=898
If parliamentary elections were held today, which political party
would you vote for?
77
24%
24%
18%
9%
7%
2%
1%
1%
2%
2%
11%
0% 10% 20% 30%
Batkivshchyna (Y. Tymoshenko)
Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reform
(V.Klychko)
Solidarnist (P.Poroshenko)
Svoboda (O.Tyahnybok)
Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko (O.Lyashko)
Pravyi Sector (D.Yarosh)
Party of Regions
Communist Party of Ukraine (P.Symonenko)
Other
I would not vote
Don't know/Refused to answer
Western Ukraine
If parliamentary elections were held today, which political party
would you vote for?
78
23%
17%
16%
8%
6%
2%
2%
2%
5%
6%
13%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Batkivshchyna (Y. Tymoshenko)
Solidarnist (P.Poroshenko)
Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reform
(V.Klychko)
Svoboda (O.Tyahnybok)
Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko (O.Lyashko)
Party of Regions
Communist Party of Ukraine (P.Symonenko)
Pravyi Sector (D.Yarosh)
Other
I would not vote
Don't know/Refused to answer
Central Ukraine
If parliamentary elections were held today, which political party
would you vote for?
79
10%
5%
5%
3%
2%
2%
1%
1%
4%
44%
23%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Batkivshchyna (Y. Tymoshenko)
Solidarnist (P.Poroshenko)
Party of Regions
Communist Party of Ukraine (P.Symonenko)
Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reform
(V.Klychko)
Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko (O.Lyashko)
Ukraine – Forward! (N.Korolevska)
Nasha Ukrayina (V.Yushchenko)
Other
I would not vote
Don't know/Refused to answer
Southern Ukraine
If parliamentary elections were held today, which political party
would you vote for?
80
15%
8%
5%
5%
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
7%
18%
34%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Party of Regions
Communist Party of Ukraine (P.Symonenko)
Batkivshchyna (Y. Tymoshenko)
Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reform (V.Klychko)
Solidarnist (P.Poroshenko)
Svoboda (O.Tyahnybok)
Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko (O.Lyashko)
Pravyi Sector (D.Yarosh)
Ukraine – Forward! (N.Korolevska)
Other
I would not vote
Don't know/Refused to answer
Eastern Ukraine
If parliamentary elections were held today, which political party
would you vote for?
81
17%
13%
12%
6%
5%
4%
4%
1%
5%
12%
21%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Batkivshchyna (Y. Tymoshenko)
Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reform
(V.Klychko)
Solidarnist (P.Poroshenko)
Party of Regions
Svoboda (O.Tyahnybok)
Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko (O.Lyashko)
Communist Party of Ukraine (P.Symonenko)
Pravyi Sector (D.Yarosh)
Other
I would not vote
Don't know/Refused to answer
Ukraine without Crimea
In your opinion, will the next parliamentary elections be…?
82
4%
7%
20%
33%
36%
26%
22%
16%
18%
18%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
February 2014
March 2014
Absolutely free and fair Rather free and fair Rather not free and fair
Absolutely not free and fair Don't know/Refused to answer
In your opinion, will the next parliamentary elections be…?
83
10%
13%
2%
1%
49%
48%
19%
14%
17%
20%
37%
32%
4%
6%
24%
33%
20%
13%
18%
20%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Absolutely free and fair Rather free and fair Rather not free and fair
Absolutely not free and fair Don't know/Refused to answer
International Republican Institute
Mood of Ukraine
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are
going in the right direction or wrong direction?
85
13%
13%
14%
24%
15% 15%
18%
30%
71%
73%
66%
58%
69% 67%
64%
52%
16%
14%
20%
18%
16% 18%
17%
18%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
November
2011
March
2012
May 2012 August
2012
May 2013 September
2013
February
2014
March
2014
Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/Refused to answer
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are
going in the right direction or wrong direction?
86
42%
54%
13%
8%
36%
29%
77%
72%
22%
18%
10%
20%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/Refused to answer
Over the last 12 months, the financial situation of your household
has…?
87
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
6%
6%
9%
14%
8%
9%
8%
3%
37%
39%
45%
37%
46%
41%
44%
46%
36%
34%
30%
27%
30%
30%
31%
29%
18%
18%
13%
15%
14%
17%
14%
18%
2%
2%
3%
5%
1%
2%
2%
3%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
November 2011
March 2012
May 2012
August 2012
May 2013
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same
Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/Refused to answer
Over the last 12 months, the financial situation of your household
has…?
88
1%
1%
5%
3%
3%
2%
56%
54%
33%
39%
24%
29%
27%
33%
10%
11%
29%
24%
4%
2%
7%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same
Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/Refused to answer
<1%
<1%
In the next 12 months, do you expect the economic situation in
Ukraine will…?
89
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
1%
1%
7%
8%
13%
17%
8%
12%
9%
11%
30%
32%
35%
31%
38%
27%
20%
16%
32%
32%
26%
24%
29%
29%
31%
26%
17%
15%
11%
11%
12%
17%
28%
35%
13%
12%
14%
16%
12%
13%
12%
11%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
November 2011
March 2012
May 2012
August 2012
May 2013
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same
Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/Refused to answer
<1%
In the next 12 months, do you expect the economic situation in
Ukraine will…?
90
1%
1%
1%
15%
21%
4%
4%
23%
20%
16%
8%
28%
31%
18%
24%
18%
18%
59%
49%
15%
9%
3%
14%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same
Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/Refused to answer
Are you ready to live through some economic difficulties now (e.g.,
higher tariffs and prices) if it makes your life better in long term?
91
10%
29%
21%
30%
10%
Definitely yes
Rather yes
Rather no
Definitely no
Don't know/Refused
to answer
Are you ready to live through some economic difficulties now (e.g.,
higher tariffs and prices) if it makes your life better in long term?
92
22%
10%
5%
2%
44%
38%
17%
15%
13%
25%
24%
22%
11%
16%
44%
51%
10%
11%
9%
10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
International Republican Institute
Views on Foreign Countries
How would you evaluate your attitude towards…?
94
50%
46%
40%
37%
31%
34%
31%
40%
38%
21%
15%
22%
16%
24%
45%
1%
1%
4%
1%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Poland
European
Union
Canada
United States
Russia
Warm Neutral Cold Don't know/Refused to answer
How would you evaluate your attitude towards…?
95
81%
79%
71%
66%
12%
17%
19%
25%
30%
18%
2%
2%
1%
3%
68%
3%
1%
1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
European
Union
Poland
Canada
United States
Russia
Warm Neutral Cold Don't know/Refused to answer
Western Ukraine
How would you evaluate your attitude towards…?
96
70%
61%
55%
53%
10%
28%
30%
40%
39%
20%
2%
7%
2%
7%
68%
2%
3%
1%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Poland
European
Union
Canada
United States
Russia
Warm Neutral Cold Don't know/Refused to answer
Central Ukraine
How would you evaluate your attitude towards…?
97
46%
25%
21%
15%
11%
24%
43%
39%
46%
53%
28%
31%
39%
38%
32%
2%
1%
1%
1%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Russia
Poland
European
Union
United States
Canada
Warm Neutral Cold Don't know/Refused to answer
Southern Ukraine
How would you evaluate your attitude towards…?
98
59%
24%
20%
18%
12%
23%
48%
45%
38%
38%
15%
27%
30%
42%
49%
3%
1%
5%
2%
1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Russia
Poland
Canada
European
Union
United States
Warm Neutral Cold Don't know/Refused to answer
Eastern Ukraine
International Republican Institute
Views on the
EuroMaidan Protests
Did you support the EuroMaidan protests in Ukraine?
100
23%
31%
22%
26%
18%
11%
33%
27%
5%
5%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
February 2014
March 2014
Strongly supported Rather supported Rather didn't support
Strongly didn't support Don't know/Refused to answer
Did you support the EuroMaidan protests in Ukraine?
101
66%
41%
11%
7%
25%
39%
21%
17%
4%
7%
15%
18%
3%
7%
48%
50%
2%
5%
4%
7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Strongly supported Rather supported Rather didn't support
Strongly didn't support Don't know/Refused to answer
How have you perceived these protests?
102
25%
22%
17%
16%
14%
2%
4%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
This is a revolution
This is a movement for
rapprochement with Europe
This is a political coup d’etat
This is a conflict of Ukrainian
elites
It's a mess and chaos
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
How have you perceived these protests?
103
44%
27%
11%
10%
2%
1%
5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
This is a revolution
This is a movement for
rapprochement with Europe
This is a political coup d’etat
This is a conflict of Ukrainian
elites
It's a mess and chaos
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
Western Ukraine
How have you perceived these protests?
104
34%
28%
15%
9%
6%
3%
5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
This is a movement for
rapprochement with Europe
This is a revolution
This is a conflict of Ukrainian
elites
This is a political coup d’etat
It's a mess and chaos
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
Central Ukraine
How have you perceived these protests?
105
30%
27%
17%
12%
11%
1%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
It's a mess and chaos
This is a political coup d’etat
This is a revolution
This is a movement for
rapprochement with Europe
This is a conflict of Ukrainian
elites
Other
Don't know/Refused to
answer
Southern Ukraine
How have you perceived these protests?
106
26%
26%
19%
14%
12%
1%
2%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
This is a political coup d’etat
This is a conflict of Ukrainian
elites
It's a mess and chaos
This is a revolution
This is a movement for
rapprochement with Europe
Other
Don't know/Refused to
answer
Eastern Ukraine
In your opinion, have the protests on the
Maidan achieved their goal?
107
9%
36%
23%
19%
13%
Definitely yes
Rather yes
Rather no
Definitely no
Don't know/Refused to
answer
In your opinion, have the protests on the
Maidan achieved their goal?
108
16%
10%
5%
5%
53%
45%
17%
26%
15%
27%
24%
24%
5%
7%
40%
27%
11%
11%
14%
18%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
In your opinion, the changes which were brought by the
protests on the Maidan will improve or worsen the situation in
Ukraine?
109
11%
31%
13%
11%
26%
8%
Improve a lot
Improve somewhat
Stay the same
Worsen somewhat
Worsen a lot
Difficult to answer/No
answer
In your opinion, the changes which were brought by the
protests on the Maidan will improve or worsen the situation in
Ukraine?
110
28%
11%
5%
3%
38%
47%
18%
16%
17%
10%
8%
18%
4%
16%
13%
10%
3%
9%
53%
43%
10%
6%
3%
10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Improve a lot Improve somewhat
Stay the same Worsen somewhat
Worsen a lot Don't know/Refused to answer
In your opinion, the changes which were brought by the protests on
the Maidan will improve or worsen the situation for you personally?
111
7%
24%
27%
11%
21%
10%
Improve a lot
Improve somewhat
Stay the same
Worsen somewhat
Worsen a lot
Difficult to answer/No
answer
In your opinion, the changes which were brought by the protests on
the Maidan will improve or worsen the situation for you personally?
112
15%
6%
6%
2%
35%
32%
15%
14%
33%
34%
15%
23%
2%
14%
16%
12%
3%
6%
34%
41%
12%
8%
14%
8%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same
Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/Refused to answer
From what sources of information have you received information about
EuroMaidan events and current political situation in Ukraine?
113
91%
41%
40%
33%
30%
25%
15%
13%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
0% 50% 100%
Ukrainian TV
Internet
Relatives/Friends
Newspapers
Russian TV
Radio
Colleagues at work
Social networks (Facebook, Vkontakte, Odnoklasniki)
Magazines
Billboards/Stands in the streets
Leaflets/Other printed materials
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
(several answers possible)
From what sources of information have you received information about
EuroMaidan events and current political situation in Ukraine?
114
96%
43%
43%
33%
33%
14%
10%
9%
2%
1%
1%
0% 50% 100%
Ukrainian TV
Newspapers
Internet
Radio
Relatives/Friends
Russian TV
Social networks (Facebook, Vkontakte, Odnoklasniki)
Colleagues at work
Magazines
Billboards/Stands in the streets
Don't know/Refused to answer
Western Ukraine
(several answers possible)
From what sources of information have you received information about
EuroMaidan events and current political situation in Ukraine?
115
95%
49%
38%
36%
34%
20%
16%
11%
5%
4%
3%
2%
2%
0% 50% 100%
Ukrainian TV
Relatives/Friends
Newspapers
Internet
Radio
Colleagues at work
Russian TV
Social networks (Facebook, Vkontakte, Odnoklasniki)
Magazines
Billboards/Stands in the streets
Leaflets/Other printed materials
Meetings with politicians
Other
Central Ukraine
(several answers possible)
From what sources of information have you received information about
EuroMaidan events and current political situation in Ukraine?
116
82%
47%
46%
30%
29%
25%
17%
14%
1%
1%
0% 50% 100%
Ukrainian TV
Russian TV
Internet
Relatives/Friends
Newspapers
Social networks (Facebook, Vkontakte, Odnoklasniki)
Radio
Colleagues at work
Magazines
Billboards/Stands in the streets
Southern Ukraine
(several answers possible)
From what sources of information have you received information about
EuroMaidan events and current political situation in Ukraine?
117
90%
44%
43%
41%
21%
15%
13%
10%
1%
1%
0% 50% 100%
Ukrainian TV
Russian TV
Relatives/Friends
Internet
Newspapers
Colleagues at work
Radio
Social networks (Facebook, Vkontakte, Odnoklasniki)
Magazines
Don't know/Refused to answer
Eastern Ukraine
(several answers possible)
International Republican Institute
Priorities and Views on
the New Government
In your opinion, reforms in which three area should be the
priority for the Cabinet of Ministers under Prime Minister
Yatsenyuk?
119
50%
24%
24%
22%
21%
19%
17%
16%
15%
14%
13%
7%
6%
5%
5%
5%
4%
3%
3%
2%
1%
4%
6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Anticorruption/Public procurement
Defense/Military
Pension/Social benefits
Industrial production
Public administration/Civil service
Healthcare
Law-enforcement
Judiciary
Agriculture/Land
Lustration
Decentralization/Local self-governance
Elections/Referendum
Deregulation/Support of entrepreneurship
Taxes
Education/Science
Housing/Communal economy
Energy
Infrastructure/Roads/Etc.
Youth
Environment
Sport
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
In your opinion, reforms in which three area should be the
priority for the Cabinet of Ministers under Prime Minister
Yatsenyuk?
120
57%
36%
28%
23%
21%
19%
15%
13%
13%
12%
10%
8%
8%
7%
5%
5%
4%
2%
2%
2%
2%
0% 20% 40% 60%
Anticorruption/Public procurement
Defense/Military
Public administration/Civil service
Law-enforcement
Lustration
Judiciary
Pension/Social benefits
Industrial development
Healthcare
Decentralization/Local self-governance
Agriculture/Land
Elections/Referendum
Education/Science
Taxes
Deregulation/Support of entrepreneurship
Infrastructure/Roads/Etc.
Youth
Energy
Housing/Communal economy
Environment
Don't know/Refused to answer
Western Ukraine
In your opinion, reforms in which three area should be the
priority for the Cabinet of Ministers under Prime Minister
Yatsenyuk?
121
53%
35%
26%
21%
21%
21%
20%
19%
18%
17%
8%
6%
5%
5%
5%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
2%
1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Anticorruption/Public procurement
Defense/Military
Pension/Social benefits
Law-enforcement
Healthcare
Agriculture/Land
Industrial development
Judiciary
Public administration/Civil service
Lustration
Decentralization/Local self-governance
Energy
Elections/Referendum
Deregulation/Support of entrepreneurship
Taxes
Education/Science
Infrastructure/Roads/Etc.
Youth
Housing/Communal economy
Environment
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
Central Ukraine
In your opinion, reforms in which three area should be the
priority for the Cabinet of Ministers under Prime Minister
Yatsenyuk?
122
40%
29%
17%
17%
16%
16%
15%
14%
12%
10%
10%
8%
8%
6%
4%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
5%
17%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Anticorruption/Public procurement
Industrial development
Public administration/Civil service
Pension/Social benefits
Defense/Military
Healthcare
Decentralization/Local self-governance
Agriculture/Land
Deregulation/Support of entrepreneurship
Judiciary
Elections/Referendum
Law-enforcement
Housing/Communal economy
EducationScience
Lustration
Taxes
Energy
Infrastructure/Roads/Etc.
Youth
Sport
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
Southern Ukraine
In your opinion, reforms in which three area should be the
priority for the Cabinet of Ministers under Prime Minister
Yatsenyuk?
123
47%
33%
26%
23%
21%
17%
14%
14%
12%
10%
8%
7%
6%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
8%
8%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Anticorruption/Public procurement
Pension/Social benefits
Industrial development
Healthcare
Public administration/Civil service
Decentralization and Local self-governance
Judiciary
Law-enforcement
Agriculture/Land
Housing/Communal economy
Defense/Military
Elections/Referendum
Taxes
Energy
Deregulation/Support of entrepreneurship
Education/Science
Environment
Infrastructure/Roads/Etc.
Youth
Sport
Lustration
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
Eastern Ukraine
Do you approve or disapprove of the job acting President of
Ukraine Oleksandr Turchynov is doing?
124
9%
33%
20%
27%
11%
Strongly approve
Somewhat approve
Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove
Don't know/Refused to
answer
Do you approve or disapprove of the job acting President of
Ukraine Oleksandr Turchynov is doing?
125
20%
12%
3%
3%
51%
51%
16%
12%
16%
18%
18%
25%
5%
6%
54%
48%
8%
13%
9%
12%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove Don't know/Refused to answer
Do you approve or disapprove of the job the Cabinet of
Ministers of Ukraine under Prime Minister Yatsenyuk is doing?
126
12%
35%
17%
27%
9%
Strongly approve
Somewhat approve
Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove
Don't know/Refused to
answer
Do you approve or disapprove of the job the Cabinet of
Ministers of Ukraine under Prime Minister Yatsenyuk is doing?
127
27%
15%
5%
3%
51%
51%
19%
13%
10%
17%
17%
24%
5%
8%
53%
47%
7%
9%
6%
13%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove Don't know/Refused to answer
Do you approve or disapprove of the job the Parliament of
Ukraine is doing?
128
<1%
2%
6%
10%
11%
33%
35%
30%
24%
45%
50%
26%
9%
7%
11%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove Don't know/Refused to answer
Do you approve or disapprove of the job the Parliament of
Ukraine is doing?
129
11%
8%
3%
2%
53%
46%
16%
13%
20%
23%
25%
28%
6%
9%
48%
45%
10%
14%
8%
12%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove Don't know/Refused to answer
International Republican Institute
Demographics
Demographics
45%
55%
23%
35%
42%
83%
13%
4%
29%
40%
31%
23%
2%
18%
1%
30%
6%
7%
10%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Male
Female
18-29 years
30-49 years
50 years and older
Ukrainian
Russian
Other
Secondary or lower
Vocational
Higher
Blue collar
Farmer
White collar
Higher or medium executive
Retired (not working)
Student
Housewife
Unemployed
Other
GENDERAGEETHNICITYEDUCATIONOCCUPATION
131
Demographics
132
78%
7%
3%
1%
11%
41%
57%
1%
1%
13%
8%
18%
8%
22%
31%
22%
30%
19%
29%
0% 50% 100%
Orthodox
Greek Catholic
Other
Atheist
Believe in God but don't belong to any religion
Bad
Average
Good
No answer
City with more than 1 million
City with 500-999 thousand
City with 100-499 thousand
City with 50-99 thousand
Up to 50 thousand
Rural area
West
Center
South
East
RELIGION
SITUATIONOF
FAMILYSETTLEMENTTYPEREGIONS
Demographics
133
Oblasts in the West:
Chernivetska, Ivano-Frankivska, Khmelnytska, Lvivska
Rivnenska, Ternopilska, Transcarpathian, Volynska
Oblasts in the Center:
Cherkaska, Chernihivska, Kirovogradska, Kyivska, Poltavska,
Sumska, Vinnytska, Zhytomyrska, and the city of Kyiv
Oblasts in the South:
Autonomous Region of Crimea, Khersonska, Mykolaivska,
Odeska, Sevastopol, Zaporizka
Oblasts in the East:
Dnipropetrovska, Donetska, Kharkivska, Luhanska
What can you say about the financial status of your family?
134
12%
11%
11%
12%
7%
10%
8%
11%
30%
31%
31%
29%
30%
26%
26%
30%
41%
36%
38%
41%
42%
41%
45%
44%
14%
17%
15%
14%
20%
20%
18%
13%
2%
3%
3%
3%
1%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
<1%
1%
<1%
<1%
1%
1%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Nov 2011
March 2012
May 2012
August 2012
May 2013
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
Need to save money for food
Enough money for food but it is necessary to save or borrow money for buying clothes and shoes
Enough money for food and necessary clothes and shoes. It is necessary to save or borrow money for such purchases as a good
suit, a mobile phone or a vacuum cleaner
Enough money for food, buying clothes, shoes and other purchases. It is necessary to save or borrow money for purchasing
more expensive things (such as a laundry machine or a refrigerator)
Enough money for food, buying clothes, shoes and expensive purchases. It is necessary to save or borrow money for purchases
like a car or an apartment
I can buy anything at any time
www.IRI.org | @IRIGlobal
International Republican Institute
(202) 408-9450 | info@iri.org

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IRI Public Opinion Survey in Ukraine: March 2014

  • 1. International Republican Institute Public Opinion Survey Residents of Ukraine March 14 – 26, 2014
  • 2. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was conducted by the public opinion and market research company Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the International Republican Institute. The field work was carried out by Rating Group Ukraine. • Data was collected throughout Ukraine (including Crimea) March 14–26, 2014, through face-to-face interviews at respondents’ home. • The sample consisted of 1,200 permanent residents of Ukraine older than the age of 18 and eligible to vote. It is representative of the general population by age, gender, education, region and size of the settlement. • Multistage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday respondent’s selection procedures. • Stage one: 27 official administrative regions of Ukraine were defined (25 regions of Ukraine, Kyiv and Sevastopol). All regions of Ukraine were surveyed. • Stage two: selection of the settlements - towns and villages. Towns were grouped into subtypes according to the size: • City more than one million residents • City 500,000-999,000 residents • City 100,000-499,000 residents • City 50,000-99,000 residents • City to 50,000 residents • Village • Settlements were selected at random. The number of selected settlements in each region was proportional to the share of population living in a particular type of the settlement in each region. • Stage three: primary sampling units were described. • The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.8 percent. • Response rate was 63 percent. • Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. • The survey was funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development.
  • 3. International Republican Institute Russian-Speaking Citizens Not Under Pressure or Threat
  • 4. Do you feel that Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine are under pressure or threat because of their language? 4 5% 7% 14% 71% 3% Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 5. Do you feel that Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine are under pressure or threat because of their language? 5 3% 12% 5% 17% 13% 17% 76% 49% 3% 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Ethnic Ukrainian Ethnic Russian Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer By ethnicity
  • 6. Do you feel that Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine are under pressure or threat because of their language? 6 1% 3% 13% 5% 3% 2% 11% 12% 7% 11% 23% 16% 88% 83% 51% 58% 1% 1% 2% 8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 7. Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation to send its army to protect Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine? 7 7% 6% 9% 72% 6% Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 8. Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation to send its army to protect Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine? 8 1% 1% 16% 12% 1% 11% 12% 5% 5% 16% 12% 93% 91% 51% 49% 1% 1% 6% 15% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 9. Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation to send its army to protect Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine? 9 3% 23% 4% 20% 9% 11% 80% 32% 4% 14% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Ethnic Ukrainian Ethnic Russian Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer By ethnicity
  • 10. International Republican Institute Majority Want Closer Ties to Europe
  • 11. If Ukraine was able to enter only one international economic union, should it be with…? 11 42% 36% 37% 32% 40% 42% 41% 52% 40% 43% 41% 42% 37% 37% 36% 27% 3% 4% 5% 6% 5% 5% 9% 6% 15% 17% 17% 20% 18% 16% 14% 14% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% November 2011 March 2012 May 2012 August 2012 May 2013 September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 European Union Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan Other Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 12. If Ukraine was able to enter only one international economic union, should it be with…? 12 90% 70% 29% 20% 3% 9% 37% 59% 2% 11% 10% 3% 5% 10% 24% 18% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% West Center South East European Union Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan Other Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 13. If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining the European Union, how would you vote? 13 53% 28% 8% 11% Would vote for Ukraine to join the EU Would vote against Ukraine joining the EU Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 14. If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining the European Union, how would you vote? 14 90% 71% 29% 22% 4% 16% 37% 55% 2% 2% 23% 7% 4% 11% 11% 16% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Would vote for Ukraine to join the EU Would vote against Ukraine joining the EU Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 15. If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining the Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan, how would you vote? 15 28% 51% 15% 6% Would vote for Ukraine to join the Customs Union Would vote against Ukraine joining the Customs Union Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 16. If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining the Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan, how would you vote? 16 6% 10% 31% 62% 77% 74% 32% 19% 9% 5% 35% 17% 8% 11% 2% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Would vote for Ukraine to join the Customs Union Would vote against Ukraine joining the Customs Union Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 17. Do you think that the authorities of Ukraine should sign the Association Agreement with the European Union as soon as possible? 17 25% 35% 20% 18% 16% 12% 25% 21% 14% 14% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% February 2014 March 2014 Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 18. Do you think that the authorities of Ukraine should sign the Association Agreement with the European Union as soon as possible? 18 72% 42% 12% 13% 18% 30% 15% 9% 3% 9% 15% 19% 2% 6% 35% 42% 5% 13% 23% 17% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 19. If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining NATO, how would you vote? 19 34% 44% 9% 13% Would vote for Ukraine to join NATO Would vote against Ukraine joining NATO Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 20. If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining NATO, how would you vote? 20 64% 47% 11% 14% 17% 33% 52% 67% 5% 4% 26% 8% 14% 16% 11% 11% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Would vote for Ukraine to join NATO Would vote against Ukraine joining NATO Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 21. International Republican Institute Majority Consider Russia’s Actions an Invasion
  • 22. In your opinion, a referendum in Crimea on joining Russia is…? 22 23% 68% 1% 8% A legitimate right of the residents of Crimea to express their opinion about the future of Crimea An attempt to break Ukraine into several parts and threat to its independence Other Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 23. In your opinion, a referendum in Crimea on joining Russia is…? 23 2% 7% 41% 45% 94% 87% 48% 40% 2% 2% 5% 10% 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East A legitimate right of the residents of Crimea to express their opinion about the future of Crimea An attempt to break Ukraine into several parts and threat to its independence Other Don't know/Refused to answer 1% 2%
  • 24. In your opinion, what should the status of Crimea should be? 24 50% 13% 13% 8% 5% 1% 1% 9% Autonomous republic within Ukraine Crimean-Tatar autonomous republic within Ukraine Should become part of Russia Become an oblast of Ukraine Should become an independent state Should become part of Turkey Other Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 25. In your opinion, what the status of Crimea should be? 25 61% 66% 42% 31% 14% 11% 11% 16% 3% 31% 20% 16% 8% 4% 5% 2% 3% 4% 11% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 6% 6% 6% 15% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Autonomous republic within Ukraine Crimean-Tatar autonomous republic within Ukraine Should become part of Russia Become an oblast of Ukraine Should become an independent state Should become part of Turkey Other Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 26. How do you evaluate Russia’s actions in Crimea? In your opinion, are they aimed at...? 26 54% 17% 13% 5% 4% 1% 6% Invasion and occupation of independent Ukraine Threat to new Ukrainian political leaders Protection of Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine Response to the new Crimea leaders asking for help Protection of Russian military base in Sevastopol Other Don't know/Refused to answer 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
  • 27. How do you evaluate Russia’s actions in Crimea? In your opinion, are they aimed at...? 27 74% 20% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Invasion and occupation of independent Ukraine Threat to new Ukrainian political leaders Protection of Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine Response to the new Crimea leaders asking for help Protection of Russian military base in Sevastopol Other Don't know/Refused to answer Western Ukraine
  • 28. How do you evaluate Russia’s actions in Crimea? In your opinion, are they aimed at...? 28 75% 16% 3% 2% 1% 0% 3% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Invasion and occupation of independent Ukraine Threat to new Ukrainian political leaders Response to the new Crimea leaders asking for help Protection of Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine Protection of Russian military base in Sevastopol Other Don't know/Refused to answer Central Ukraine
  • 29. How do you evaluate Russia’s actions in Crimea? In your opinion, are they aimed at...? 29 37% 31% 15% 7% 2% 2% 6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Invasion and occupation of independent Ukraine Protection of Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine Threat to new Ukrainian political leaders Response to the new Crimea leaders asking for help Protection of Russian military base in Sevastopol Other Don't know/Refused to answer Southern Ukraine
  • 30. How do you evaluate Russia’s actions in Crimea? In your opinion, are they aimed at...? 30 30% 22% 17% 10% 8% 1% 12% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Invasion and occupation of independent Ukraine Protection of Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine Threat to new Ukrainian political leaders Response to the new Crimea leaders asking for help Protection of Russian military base in Sevastopol Other Don't know/Refused to answer Eastern Ukraine
  • 31. What do you think should be done with Ukraine-Russia agreement about the Russian Naval base in Sevastopol? Should this agreement…? 31 46% 18% 11% 8% 2% 14% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Be terminated immediately and Russian military should leave Crimea Should be re-negotiated and Ukraine should have more say in Russia's military actions and movements in Crimea Nothing has to be changed Ukrainian troops should leave Crimea, only Russian troops should remain Other Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 32. What do you think should be done with Ukraine-Russia agreement about the Russian Naval base in Sevastopol? Should this agreement…? 32 69% 13% 3% 3% 1% 11% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Be terminated immediately and Russian military should leave Crimea Should be re-negotiated and Ukraine should have more say in Russia's military actions and movements in Crimea Nothing has to be changed Ukrainian troops should leave Crimea, only Russian troops should remain Other Don't know/Refused to answer Western Ukraine
  • 33. What do you think should be done with Ukraine-Russia agreement about the Russian Naval base in Sevastopol? Should this agreement…? 33 63% 17% 4% 3% 1% 12% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Be terminated immediately and Russian military should leave Crimea Should be re-negotiated and Ukraine should have more say in Russia's military actions and movements in Crimea Nothing has to be changed Ukrainian troops should leave Crimea, only Russian troops should remain Other Don't know/Refused to answer Central Ukraine
  • 34. What do you think should be done with Ukraine-Russia agreement about the Russian Naval base in Sevastopol? Should this agreement…? 34 31% 23% 20% 12% 1% 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Be terminated immediately and Russian military should leave Crimea Nothing has to be changed Should be re-negotiated and Ukraine should have more say in Russia's military actions and movements in Crimea Ukrainian troops should leave Crimea, only Russian troops should remain Other Don't know/Refused to answer Southern Ukraine
  • 35. What do you think should be done with Ukraine-Russia agreement about the Russian Naval base in Sevastopol? Should this agreement…? 35 23% 22% 17% 16% 2% 20% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Should be re-negotiated and Ukraine should have more say in Russia's military actions and movements in Crimea Be terminated immediately and Russian military should leave Crimea Nothing has to be changed Ukrainian troops should leave Crimea, only Russian troops should remain Other Don't know/Refused to answer Eastern Ukraine
  • 36. In your opinion, should Ukraine…? 36 64% 10% 14% 1% 1% 10% Remain a unitary country Remain a unitary country, but without Crimea Become a federal country Be divided into several countries Other Difficult to answer/No answer
  • 37. In your opinion, should Ukraine…? 37 86% 78% 44% 45% 3% 7% 25% 8% 3% 6% 22% 26% 2% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% 8% 8% 6% 16% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Remain a unitary country Remain a unitary country, but without Crimea Become a federal country Be divided into several countries Other Difficult to answer/No answer
  • 39. Do you think that early presidential and parliamentary elections should be carried out in the near future? 39 <1% 2% 27% 10% 11% 35% 35% 30% 12% 45% 50% 12% 9% 7% 14% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 40. Do you think that early presidential and parliamentary elections should be carried out in the near future? 40 40% 36% 14% 17% 46% 39% 26% 30% 6% 11% 17% 11% 4% 6% 18% 20% 4% 8% 25% 22% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% West Center South East Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 42. Are you going to vote in the presidential election to be held on May 25, 2014? 42 48% 51% 31% 32% 4% 4% 12% 8% 5% 5% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Ukraine Ukraine without Crimea Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 43. Are you going to vote in the presidential election to be held on May 25, 2014? 43 78% 46% 26% 43% 19% 46% 22% 29% 1% 3% 9% 5% 2% 2% 38% 12% 3% 5% 11% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% West Center South East Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 44. Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May 25, 2014? 44 21% 11% 10% 6% 3% 3% 3% 3% 6% 8% 14% 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% Petro Poroshenko Yuliya Tymoshenko Vitaliy Klychko Serhiy Tihipko Anatoliy Hrytsenko Petro Symonenko Oleh Tyahnybok Mykhaylo Dobkin Other Against all I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
  • 45. Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May 25, 2014? 45 27% 14% 13% 7% 4% 4% 3% 3% 7% 7% 12% 0% 10% 20% 30% Petro Poroshenko Yuliya Tymoshenko Vitaliy Klychko Serhiy Tihipko Anatoliy Hrytsenko Petro Symonenko Oleh Tyahnybok Mykhaylo Dobkin Other Against all Difficult to answer/Don’t know Respondents who are going to vote in presidential election, N=946
  • 46. Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May 25, 2014? 46 34% 23% 17% 6% 4% 1% 1% 1% 3% 2% 8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Petro Poroshenko Vitaliy Klychko Yuliya Tymoshenko Anatoliy Hrytsenko Oleh Tyahnybok Serhiy Tihipko Petro Symonenko Dmytro Yarosh Other I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know Western Ukraine
  • 47. Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May 25, 2014? 47 34% 16% 12% 4% 4% 4% 2% 1% 6% 6% 2% 9% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Petro Poroshenko Yuliya Tymoshenko Vitaliy Klychko Serhiy Tihipko Anatoliy Hrytsenko Oleh Tyahnybok Petro Symonenko Dmytro Yarosh Other Against all I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know Central Ukraine
  • 48. Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May 25, 2014? 48 9% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 5% 10% 44% 13% 0% 20% 40% 60% Yuliya Tymoshenko Petro Poroshenko Serhiy Tihipko Vitaliy Klychko Petro Symonenko Mykhaylo Dobkin Nataliya Korolevska Other Against all I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know Southern Ukraine
  • 49. Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May 25, 2014? 49 11% 8% 7% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 7% 13% 14% 22% 0% 10% 20% 30% Serhiy Tihipko Mykhaylo Dobkin Petro Poroshenko Petro Symonenko Yuliya Tymoshenko Vitaliy Klychko Anatoliy Hrytsenko Oleh Tyahnybok Nataliya Korolevska Other Against all I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know Eastern Ukraine
  • 50. Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May 25, 2014? 50 22% 12% 11% 6% 3% 3% 3% 3% 6% 8% 10% 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% Petro Poroshenko Yuliya Tymoshenko Vitaliy Klychko Serhiy Tihipko Anatoliy Hrytsenko Petro Symonenko Oleh Tyahnybok Mykhaylo Dobkin Other Against all I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know Ukraine without Crimea
  • 51. Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May 25, 2014? 51 64% 23% 4% 3% 2% 4% 1% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Yuliya Tymoshenko Petro Poroshenko Anatoliy Hrytsenko Vitaliy Klychko Oleh Tyahnybok Other Difficult to answer/Don’t know Respondents, in parliamentary elections intending to vote for Batkivshchyna, N=187
  • 52. Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May 25, 2014? 52 71% 19% 3% 2% 1% 2% 3% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Vitaliy Klychko Petro Poroshenko Anatoliy Hrytsenko Serhiy Tihipko Yuliya Tymoshenko Other Difficult to answer/Don’t know Respondents, in parliamentary elections intending to vote for Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reform, N=147
  • 53. Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May 25, 2014? 53 91% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 0% 50% 100% Petro Poroshenko Anatoliy Hrytsenko Petro Symonenko Yuliya Tymoshenko Other Difficult to answer/Don’t know Respondents, in parliamentary elections intending to vote for Solidarnist, N=134
  • 54. Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May 25, 2014? 54 55% 14% 3% 2% 1% 7% 2% 2% 14% 0% 20% 40% 60% Serhiy Tihipko Mykhaylo Dobkin Petro Symonenko Nataliya Korolevska Petro Poroshenko Other Against all I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know Respondents, in parliamentary elections intending to vote for Party of Regions, N=73
  • 55. Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May 25, 2014? 55 43% 30% 8% 6% 4% 2% 7% 0% 20% 40% 60% Oleh Tyahnybok Petro Poroshenko Vitaliy Klychko Anatoliy Hrytsenko Yuliya Tymoshenko Dmytro Yarosh Difficult to answer/Don’t know Respondents, in parliamentary elections intending to vote for Svoboda, N=56
  • 56. Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May 25, 2014? 56 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 5% 19% 4% 46% 0% 20% 40% 60% Petro Poroshenko Serhiy Tihipko Mykhaylo Dobkin Anatoliy Hrytsenko Yuliya Tymoshenko Vitaliy Klychko Petro Symonenko Nataliya Korolevska Other Against all I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know Respondents having no opinion for which party to vote in parliamentary elections, N=248
  • 57. If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential election, who would you vote for? 57 25% 26% 19% 20% 31% 32% 15% 11% 10% 10% Ukraine Ukraine without Crimea 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Vitaliy Klychko Yuliya Tymoshenko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
  • 58. If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential election, who would you vote for? 58 50% 32% 5% 11% 29% 29% 11% 7% 9% 26% 31% 52% 3% 3% 46% 17% 8% 10% 7% 12% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% West Center South East Vitaliy Klychko Yuliya Tymoshenko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
  • 59. If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential election, who would you vote for? 59 17% 18% 35% 36% 25% 26% 14% 11% 9% 9% Ukraine Ukraine without Crimea 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Vitaliy Klychko Petro Poroshenko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
  • 60. If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential election, who would you vote for? 60 34% 20% 5% 9% 52% 54% 15% 13% 4% 15% 29% 49% 2% 2% 45% 16% 7% 9% 6% 13% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% West Center South East Vitaliy Klychko Petro Poroshenko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
  • 61. If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential election, who would you vote for? 61 37% 39% 12% 12% 25% 26% 15% 11% 11% 12% Ukraine Ukraine without Crimea 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Vitaliy Klychko Serhiy Tihipko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
  • 62. If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential election, who would you vote for? 62 74% 50% 9% 12% 3% 8% 9% 24% 10% 28% 28% 32% 3% 3% 45% 17% 10% 11% 9% 15% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% West Center South East Vitaliy Klychko Serhiy Tihipko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
  • 63. If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential election, who would you vote for? 63 36% 38% 15% 16% 25% 26% 15% 11% 9% 9% Ukraine Ukraine without Crimea 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Petro Poroshenko Yuliya Tymoshenko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
  • 64. If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential election, who would you vote for? 64 62% 53% 12% 15% 23% 21% 11% 6% 6% 15% 27% 49% 2% 3% 45% 16% 7% 8% 5% 14% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% West Center South East Petro Poroshenko Yuliya Tymoshenko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
  • 65. If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential election, who would you vote for? 65 30% 32% 13% 13% 30% 32% 15% 11% 12% 12% Ukraine Ukraine without Crimea 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Yuliya Tymoshenko Serhiy Tihipko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
  • 66. If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential election, who would you vote for? 66 58% 41% 12% 10% 5% 9% 9% 25% 20% 36% 27% 34% 5% 3% 44% 16% 12% 11% 8% 15% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% West Center South East Yuliya Tymoshenko Serhiy Tihipko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
  • 67. If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential election, who would you vote for? 67 46% 48% 10% 11% 19% 20% 15% 11% 10% 10% Ukraine Ukraine without Crimea 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Petro Poroshenko Serhiy Tihipko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
  • 68. If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential election, who would you vote for? 68 78% 69% 16% 16% 2% 7% 7% 22% 8% 14% 27% 29% 2% 3% 44% 17% 10% 7% 6% 16% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% West Center South East Petro Poroshenko Serhiy Tihipko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
  • 69. In your opinion, will the next presidential election be…? 69 2% 4% 7% 17% 20% 34% 39% 35% 27% 26% 22% 15% 16% 19% 17% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 Absolutely free and fair Rather free and fair Rather not free and fair Absolutely not free and fair Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 70. In your opinion, will the next presidential election be…? 70 12% 12% 2% 1% 51% 48% 20% 14% 17% 22% 37% 34% 4% 4% 23% 30% 16% 13% 18% 21% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% West Center South East Absolutely free and fair Rather free and fair Rather not free and fair Absolutely not free and fair Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 72. If early parliamentary elections were announced today, would you vote in such elections? 72 33% 34% 41% 42% 36% 34% 35% 33% 8% 7% 8% 5% 19% 20% 10% 12% 4% 5% 6% 8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% May 2013 September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 73. If early parliamentary elections were announced today, would you vote in such elections? 73 42% 45% 33% 34% 5% 4% 12% 9% 8% 8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Ukraine Ukraine without Crimea Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 74. If early parliamentary elections were announced today, would you vote in such elections? 74 67% 40% 27% 36% 26% 48% 24% 28% 3% 3% 7% 6% 2% 4% 36% 12% 2% 5% 6% 18% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% West Center South East Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 75. If parliamentary elections were held today, which political party would you vote for? 75 16% 12% 11% 6% 5% 4% 4% 1% 5% 16% 21% 0% 10% 20% 30% Batkivshchyna (Y. Tymoshenko) Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reform (V.Klychko) Solidarnist (P.Poroshenko) Party of Regions Svoboda (O.Tyahnybok) Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko (O.Lyashko) Communist Party of Ukraine (P.Symonenko) Pravyi Sector (D.Yarosh) Other I would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 76. If parliamentary elections were held today, which political party would you vote for? 76 20% 16% 14% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 6% 20% 0% 10% 20% 30% Batkivshchyna (Y. Tymoshenko) Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reform (V.Klychko) Solidarnist (P.Poroshenko) Party of Regions Svoboda (O.Tyahnybok) Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko (O.Lyashko) Communist Party of Ukraine (P.Symonenko) Pravyi Sector (D.Yarosh) Other Don't know/Refused to answer Respondents who are going to vote in parliamentary elections, N=898
  • 77. If parliamentary elections were held today, which political party would you vote for? 77 24% 24% 18% 9% 7% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 11% 0% 10% 20% 30% Batkivshchyna (Y. Tymoshenko) Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reform (V.Klychko) Solidarnist (P.Poroshenko) Svoboda (O.Tyahnybok) Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko (O.Lyashko) Pravyi Sector (D.Yarosh) Party of Regions Communist Party of Ukraine (P.Symonenko) Other I would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer Western Ukraine
  • 78. If parliamentary elections were held today, which political party would you vote for? 78 23% 17% 16% 8% 6% 2% 2% 2% 5% 6% 13% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Batkivshchyna (Y. Tymoshenko) Solidarnist (P.Poroshenko) Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reform (V.Klychko) Svoboda (O.Tyahnybok) Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko (O.Lyashko) Party of Regions Communist Party of Ukraine (P.Symonenko) Pravyi Sector (D.Yarosh) Other I would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer Central Ukraine
  • 79. If parliamentary elections were held today, which political party would you vote for? 79 10% 5% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 4% 44% 23% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Batkivshchyna (Y. Tymoshenko) Solidarnist (P.Poroshenko) Party of Regions Communist Party of Ukraine (P.Symonenko) Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reform (V.Klychko) Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko (O.Lyashko) Ukraine – Forward! (N.Korolevska) Nasha Ukrayina (V.Yushchenko) Other I would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer Southern Ukraine
  • 80. If parliamentary elections were held today, which political party would you vote for? 80 15% 8% 5% 5% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% 7% 18% 34% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Party of Regions Communist Party of Ukraine (P.Symonenko) Batkivshchyna (Y. Tymoshenko) Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reform (V.Klychko) Solidarnist (P.Poroshenko) Svoboda (O.Tyahnybok) Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko (O.Lyashko) Pravyi Sector (D.Yarosh) Ukraine – Forward! (N.Korolevska) Other I would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer Eastern Ukraine
  • 81. If parliamentary elections were held today, which political party would you vote for? 81 17% 13% 12% 6% 5% 4% 4% 1% 5% 12% 21% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Batkivshchyna (Y. Tymoshenko) Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reform (V.Klychko) Solidarnist (P.Poroshenko) Party of Regions Svoboda (O.Tyahnybok) Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko (O.Lyashko) Communist Party of Ukraine (P.Symonenko) Pravyi Sector (D.Yarosh) Other I would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer Ukraine without Crimea
  • 82. In your opinion, will the next parliamentary elections be…? 82 4% 7% 20% 33% 36% 26% 22% 16% 18% 18% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% February 2014 March 2014 Absolutely free and fair Rather free and fair Rather not free and fair Absolutely not free and fair Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 83. In your opinion, will the next parliamentary elections be…? 83 10% 13% 2% 1% 49% 48% 19% 14% 17% 20% 37% 32% 4% 6% 24% 33% 20% 13% 18% 20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% West Center South East Absolutely free and fair Rather free and fair Rather not free and fair Absolutely not free and fair Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 85. Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are going in the right direction or wrong direction? 85 13% 13% 14% 24% 15% 15% 18% 30% 71% 73% 66% 58% 69% 67% 64% 52% 16% 14% 20% 18% 16% 18% 17% 18% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% November 2011 March 2012 May 2012 August 2012 May 2013 September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 86. Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are going in the right direction or wrong direction? 86 42% 54% 13% 8% 36% 29% 77% 72% 22% 18% 10% 20% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 87. Over the last 12 months, the financial situation of your household has…? 87 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 6% 6% 9% 14% 8% 9% 8% 3% 37% 39% 45% 37% 46% 41% 44% 46% 36% 34% 30% 27% 30% 30% 31% 29% 18% 18% 13% 15% 14% 17% 14% 18% 2% 2% 3% 5% 1% 2% 2% 3% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% November 2011 March 2012 May 2012 August 2012 May 2013 September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 88. Over the last 12 months, the financial situation of your household has…? 88 1% 1% 5% 3% 3% 2% 56% 54% 33% 39% 24% 29% 27% 33% 10% 11% 29% 24% 4% 2% 7% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/Refused to answer <1% <1%
  • 89. In the next 12 months, do you expect the economic situation in Ukraine will…? 89 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 7% 8% 13% 17% 8% 12% 9% 11% 30% 32% 35% 31% 38% 27% 20% 16% 32% 32% 26% 24% 29% 29% 31% 26% 17% 15% 11% 11% 12% 17% 28% 35% 13% 12% 14% 16% 12% 13% 12% 11% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% November 2011 March 2012 May 2012 August 2012 May 2013 September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/Refused to answer <1%
  • 90. In the next 12 months, do you expect the economic situation in Ukraine will…? 90 1% 1% 1% 15% 21% 4% 4% 23% 20% 16% 8% 28% 31% 18% 24% 18% 18% 59% 49% 15% 9% 3% 14% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% West Center South East Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 91. Are you ready to live through some economic difficulties now (e.g., higher tariffs and prices) if it makes your life better in long term? 91 10% 29% 21% 30% 10% Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 92. Are you ready to live through some economic difficulties now (e.g., higher tariffs and prices) if it makes your life better in long term? 92 22% 10% 5% 2% 44% 38% 17% 15% 13% 25% 24% 22% 11% 16% 44% 51% 10% 11% 9% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 94. How would you evaluate your attitude towards…? 94 50% 46% 40% 37% 31% 34% 31% 40% 38% 21% 15% 22% 16% 24% 45% 1% 1% 4% 1% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Poland European Union Canada United States Russia Warm Neutral Cold Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 95. How would you evaluate your attitude towards…? 95 81% 79% 71% 66% 12% 17% 19% 25% 30% 18% 2% 2% 1% 3% 68% 3% 1% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% European Union Poland Canada United States Russia Warm Neutral Cold Don't know/Refused to answer Western Ukraine
  • 96. How would you evaluate your attitude towards…? 96 70% 61% 55% 53% 10% 28% 30% 40% 39% 20% 2% 7% 2% 7% 68% 2% 3% 1% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Poland European Union Canada United States Russia Warm Neutral Cold Don't know/Refused to answer Central Ukraine
  • 97. How would you evaluate your attitude towards…? 97 46% 25% 21% 15% 11% 24% 43% 39% 46% 53% 28% 31% 39% 38% 32% 2% 1% 1% 1% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Russia Poland European Union United States Canada Warm Neutral Cold Don't know/Refused to answer Southern Ukraine
  • 98. How would you evaluate your attitude towards…? 98 59% 24% 20% 18% 12% 23% 48% 45% 38% 38% 15% 27% 30% 42% 49% 3% 1% 5% 2% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Russia Poland Canada European Union United States Warm Neutral Cold Don't know/Refused to answer Eastern Ukraine
  • 99. International Republican Institute Views on the EuroMaidan Protests
  • 100. Did you support the EuroMaidan protests in Ukraine? 100 23% 31% 22% 26% 18% 11% 33% 27% 5% 5% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% February 2014 March 2014 Strongly supported Rather supported Rather didn't support Strongly didn't support Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 101. Did you support the EuroMaidan protests in Ukraine? 101 66% 41% 11% 7% 25% 39% 21% 17% 4% 7% 15% 18% 3% 7% 48% 50% 2% 5% 4% 7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Strongly supported Rather supported Rather didn't support Strongly didn't support Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 102. How have you perceived these protests? 102 25% 22% 17% 16% 14% 2% 4% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% This is a revolution This is a movement for rapprochement with Europe This is a political coup d’etat This is a conflict of Ukrainian elites It's a mess and chaos Other Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 103. How have you perceived these protests? 103 44% 27% 11% 10% 2% 1% 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% This is a revolution This is a movement for rapprochement with Europe This is a political coup d’etat This is a conflict of Ukrainian elites It's a mess and chaos Other Don't know/Refused to answer Western Ukraine
  • 104. How have you perceived these protests? 104 34% 28% 15% 9% 6% 3% 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% This is a movement for rapprochement with Europe This is a revolution This is a conflict of Ukrainian elites This is a political coup d’etat It's a mess and chaos Other Don't know/Refused to answer Central Ukraine
  • 105. How have you perceived these protests? 105 30% 27% 17% 12% 11% 1% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% It's a mess and chaos This is a political coup d’etat This is a revolution This is a movement for rapprochement with Europe This is a conflict of Ukrainian elites Other Don't know/Refused to answer Southern Ukraine
  • 106. How have you perceived these protests? 106 26% 26% 19% 14% 12% 1% 2% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% This is a political coup d’etat This is a conflict of Ukrainian elites It's a mess and chaos This is a revolution This is a movement for rapprochement with Europe Other Don't know/Refused to answer Eastern Ukraine
  • 107. In your opinion, have the protests on the Maidan achieved their goal? 107 9% 36% 23% 19% 13% Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 108. In your opinion, have the protests on the Maidan achieved their goal? 108 16% 10% 5% 5% 53% 45% 17% 26% 15% 27% 24% 24% 5% 7% 40% 27% 11% 11% 14% 18% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 109. In your opinion, the changes which were brought by the protests on the Maidan will improve or worsen the situation in Ukraine? 109 11% 31% 13% 11% 26% 8% Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Difficult to answer/No answer
  • 110. In your opinion, the changes which were brought by the protests on the Maidan will improve or worsen the situation in Ukraine? 110 28% 11% 5% 3% 38% 47% 18% 16% 17% 10% 8% 18% 4% 16% 13% 10% 3% 9% 53% 43% 10% 6% 3% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 111. In your opinion, the changes which were brought by the protests on the Maidan will improve or worsen the situation for you personally? 111 7% 24% 27% 11% 21% 10% Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Difficult to answer/No answer
  • 112. In your opinion, the changes which were brought by the protests on the Maidan will improve or worsen the situation for you personally? 112 15% 6% 6% 2% 35% 32% 15% 14% 33% 34% 15% 23% 2% 14% 16% 12% 3% 6% 34% 41% 12% 8% 14% 8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 113. From what sources of information have you received information about EuroMaidan events and current political situation in Ukraine? 113 91% 41% 40% 33% 30% 25% 15% 13% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 50% 100% Ukrainian TV Internet Relatives/Friends Newspapers Russian TV Radio Colleagues at work Social networks (Facebook, Vkontakte, Odnoklasniki) Magazines Billboards/Stands in the streets Leaflets/Other printed materials Other Don't know/Refused to answer (several answers possible)
  • 114. From what sources of information have you received information about EuroMaidan events and current political situation in Ukraine? 114 96% 43% 43% 33% 33% 14% 10% 9% 2% 1% 1% 0% 50% 100% Ukrainian TV Newspapers Internet Radio Relatives/Friends Russian TV Social networks (Facebook, Vkontakte, Odnoklasniki) Colleagues at work Magazines Billboards/Stands in the streets Don't know/Refused to answer Western Ukraine (several answers possible)
  • 115. From what sources of information have you received information about EuroMaidan events and current political situation in Ukraine? 115 95% 49% 38% 36% 34% 20% 16% 11% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 0% 50% 100% Ukrainian TV Relatives/Friends Newspapers Internet Radio Colleagues at work Russian TV Social networks (Facebook, Vkontakte, Odnoklasniki) Magazines Billboards/Stands in the streets Leaflets/Other printed materials Meetings with politicians Other Central Ukraine (several answers possible)
  • 116. From what sources of information have you received information about EuroMaidan events and current political situation in Ukraine? 116 82% 47% 46% 30% 29% 25% 17% 14% 1% 1% 0% 50% 100% Ukrainian TV Russian TV Internet Relatives/Friends Newspapers Social networks (Facebook, Vkontakte, Odnoklasniki) Radio Colleagues at work Magazines Billboards/Stands in the streets Southern Ukraine (several answers possible)
  • 117. From what sources of information have you received information about EuroMaidan events and current political situation in Ukraine? 117 90% 44% 43% 41% 21% 15% 13% 10% 1% 1% 0% 50% 100% Ukrainian TV Russian TV Relatives/Friends Internet Newspapers Colleagues at work Radio Social networks (Facebook, Vkontakte, Odnoklasniki) Magazines Don't know/Refused to answer Eastern Ukraine (several answers possible)
  • 118. International Republican Institute Priorities and Views on the New Government
  • 119. In your opinion, reforms in which three area should be the priority for the Cabinet of Ministers under Prime Minister Yatsenyuk? 119 50% 24% 24% 22% 21% 19% 17% 16% 15% 14% 13% 7% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 4% 6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Anticorruption/Public procurement Defense/Military Pension/Social benefits Industrial production Public administration/Civil service Healthcare Law-enforcement Judiciary Agriculture/Land Lustration Decentralization/Local self-governance Elections/Referendum Deregulation/Support of entrepreneurship Taxes Education/Science Housing/Communal economy Energy Infrastructure/Roads/Etc. Youth Environment Sport Other Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 120. In your opinion, reforms in which three area should be the priority for the Cabinet of Ministers under Prime Minister Yatsenyuk? 120 57% 36% 28% 23% 21% 19% 15% 13% 13% 12% 10% 8% 8% 7% 5% 5% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 0% 20% 40% 60% Anticorruption/Public procurement Defense/Military Public administration/Civil service Law-enforcement Lustration Judiciary Pension/Social benefits Industrial development Healthcare Decentralization/Local self-governance Agriculture/Land Elections/Referendum Education/Science Taxes Deregulation/Support of entrepreneurship Infrastructure/Roads/Etc. Youth Energy Housing/Communal economy Environment Don't know/Refused to answer Western Ukraine
  • 121. In your opinion, reforms in which three area should be the priority for the Cabinet of Ministers under Prime Minister Yatsenyuk? 121 53% 35% 26% 21% 21% 21% 20% 19% 18% 17% 8% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 2% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Anticorruption/Public procurement Defense/Military Pension/Social benefits Law-enforcement Healthcare Agriculture/Land Industrial development Judiciary Public administration/Civil service Lustration Decentralization/Local self-governance Energy Elections/Referendum Deregulation/Support of entrepreneurship Taxes Education/Science Infrastructure/Roads/Etc. Youth Housing/Communal economy Environment Other Don't know/Refused to answer Central Ukraine
  • 122. In your opinion, reforms in which three area should be the priority for the Cabinet of Ministers under Prime Minister Yatsenyuk? 122 40% 29% 17% 17% 16% 16% 15% 14% 12% 10% 10% 8% 8% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 5% 17% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Anticorruption/Public procurement Industrial development Public administration/Civil service Pension/Social benefits Defense/Military Healthcare Decentralization/Local self-governance Agriculture/Land Deregulation/Support of entrepreneurship Judiciary Elections/Referendum Law-enforcement Housing/Communal economy EducationScience Lustration Taxes Energy Infrastructure/Roads/Etc. Youth Sport Other Don't know/Refused to answer Southern Ukraine
  • 123. In your opinion, reforms in which three area should be the priority for the Cabinet of Ministers under Prime Minister Yatsenyuk? 123 47% 33% 26% 23% 21% 17% 14% 14% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 8% 8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Anticorruption/Public procurement Pension/Social benefits Industrial development Healthcare Public administration/Civil service Decentralization and Local self-governance Judiciary Law-enforcement Agriculture/Land Housing/Communal economy Defense/Military Elections/Referendum Taxes Energy Deregulation/Support of entrepreneurship Education/Science Environment Infrastructure/Roads/Etc. Youth Sport Lustration Other Don't know/Refused to answer Eastern Ukraine
  • 124. Do you approve or disapprove of the job acting President of Ukraine Oleksandr Turchynov is doing? 124 9% 33% 20% 27% 11% Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 125. Do you approve or disapprove of the job acting President of Ukraine Oleksandr Turchynov is doing? 125 20% 12% 3% 3% 51% 51% 16% 12% 16% 18% 18% 25% 5% 6% 54% 48% 8% 13% 9% 12% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 126. Do you approve or disapprove of the job the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine under Prime Minister Yatsenyuk is doing? 126 12% 35% 17% 27% 9% Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 127. Do you approve or disapprove of the job the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine under Prime Minister Yatsenyuk is doing? 127 27% 15% 5% 3% 51% 51% 19% 13% 10% 17% 17% 24% 5% 8% 53% 47% 7% 9% 6% 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 128. Do you approve or disapprove of the job the Parliament of Ukraine is doing? 128 <1% 2% 6% 10% 11% 33% 35% 30% 24% 45% 50% 26% 9% 7% 11% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 129. Do you approve or disapprove of the job the Parliament of Ukraine is doing? 129 11% 8% 3% 2% 53% 46% 16% 13% 20% 23% 25% 28% 6% 9% 48% 45% 10% 14% 8% 12% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don't know/Refused to answer
  • 131. Demographics 45% 55% 23% 35% 42% 83% 13% 4% 29% 40% 31% 23% 2% 18% 1% 30% 6% 7% 10% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Male Female 18-29 years 30-49 years 50 years and older Ukrainian Russian Other Secondary or lower Vocational Higher Blue collar Farmer White collar Higher or medium executive Retired (not working) Student Housewife Unemployed Other GENDERAGEETHNICITYEDUCATIONOCCUPATION 131
  • 132. Demographics 132 78% 7% 3% 1% 11% 41% 57% 1% 1% 13% 8% 18% 8% 22% 31% 22% 30% 19% 29% 0% 50% 100% Orthodox Greek Catholic Other Atheist Believe in God but don't belong to any religion Bad Average Good No answer City with more than 1 million City with 500-999 thousand City with 100-499 thousand City with 50-99 thousand Up to 50 thousand Rural area West Center South East RELIGION SITUATIONOF FAMILYSETTLEMENTTYPEREGIONS
  • 133. Demographics 133 Oblasts in the West: Chernivetska, Ivano-Frankivska, Khmelnytska, Lvivska Rivnenska, Ternopilska, Transcarpathian, Volynska Oblasts in the Center: Cherkaska, Chernihivska, Kirovogradska, Kyivska, Poltavska, Sumska, Vinnytska, Zhytomyrska, and the city of Kyiv Oblasts in the South: Autonomous Region of Crimea, Khersonska, Mykolaivska, Odeska, Sevastopol, Zaporizka Oblasts in the East: Dnipropetrovska, Donetska, Kharkivska, Luhanska
  • 134. What can you say about the financial status of your family? 134 12% 11% 11% 12% 7% 10% 8% 11% 30% 31% 31% 29% 30% 26% 26% 30% 41% 36% 38% 41% 42% 41% 45% 44% 14% 17% 15% 14% 20% 20% 18% 13% 2% 3% 3% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Nov 2011 March 2012 May 2012 August 2012 May 2013 September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 Need to save money for food Enough money for food but it is necessary to save or borrow money for buying clothes and shoes Enough money for food and necessary clothes and shoes. It is necessary to save or borrow money for such purchases as a good suit, a mobile phone or a vacuum cleaner Enough money for food, buying clothes, shoes and other purchases. It is necessary to save or borrow money for purchasing more expensive things (such as a laundry machine or a refrigerator) Enough money for food, buying clothes, shoes and expensive purchases. It is necessary to save or borrow money for purchases like a car or an apartment I can buy anything at any time
  • 135. www.IRI.org | @IRIGlobal International Republican Institute (202) 408-9450 | info@iri.org