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inside                                 August 2011                                                 features
              Editor’s Note
p02           Initial Thoughts


p04
              Leader's Insights
              Envisioning Asia 2060
                                                                                                    22
              Experts' Insights
p06           Foresight and Challenges in Communicating
              its Result to Decision Makers

              Industry Insights
p09           New Business Potential Via Resource Recovery
              in the Wastewater Sector

p15           Growing Together - Future Forum 2020:
              A Foresight Project for Natural Fiber

p20           The Challenges of Research in Malaysia:
              Prioritisation of Research and Bringing Research to the Market
                                                                                                    32
              Foresight Interconnect™
p14           myForesight™ Bookclub

              cover story
p22           Greening the Future Through Malaysian Biomass Initiatives (MBI)

              Trends & Issues
p32           Cloud Computing for SMEs in Malaysia:
              A Public Private Partnership- Unlocking the Potential
              of Cloud Computing for a New World of Business

p34           The National Science and Research Council                                             34
p38           Can We Ignore Nuclear?

              Viewpoints
p40           Foresight on Construction Technology
              Manufactured Housing/Industrialised Building System (IBS)

p48           A Letter From The Future


EDITORIAL BOARD
EDITOR-IN-CHIEF                              PUBLISHED BY
Rushdi Abdul Rahim                           Malaysian Industry-Government Group
                                             for High Technology
WRITERS                                      Prime Minister's Department 3517, Jalan Teknokrat 5
Datuk Ir. Abdul Kadir Mohd Din               63000 Cyberjaya Selangor Darul Ehsan



                                                                                                    40
Claudio Chauke Nehme                         www.might.org.my
Marcio De Miranda Santos
Lelio Fellows Filho                          FOR INQUIRIES
Gilda Massari Coelho                         myForesight™
Dilip Tambyrajah
Nik Ahmad Faizul Abdul Mallek                Phone	        : +603 8315 7888
Puvaneswary Ramasamy                         Fax		         : +603 8312 0300
John Galligan                                E-mail	       : foresight@might.org.my
Dr. Dzaharudin Mansor                        Website	      : www.myforesight.my
Dr. Vilasini Pillai
Muhammad Hasif Hasan                         DISCLAIMER
Abdul Rahman Hamdan                          Any article included in this publication and/
Patrick Ethe Raj                             or opinions expressed therein do not necessarily
K. Thambiratnam                              reflect the views of the myForesight™
M.S. Shahir                                  but remain solely those of the author(s).

CONTRIBUTORS                                 The Publisher is not to be held responsible for
Mohd Nurul Azammi Mohd Nudri                 any copyright violation of articles, which have
                                             been provided by contributing writers.
Natrah Mohd Emran
Mohd Afzanizam Mohd Bahrin
Ani Suzila Anas
Ahmad Nazri Abudin
Mohd Kamaruzaman Abdullah
August 2011




    editor’s note


                                                Initial
                                                Thoughts
                                                BY
                                                RUSHDI ABDUL RAHIM
                                                Director
                                                myForesight™
                                                rushdi@might.org.my




    Talk of the future has never failed to illicit comments from individuals with diverse
    and marginalizing opinions. This is especially true in the form of things we need to
    focus on to reach our desired future.




    I
           t has been an interesting quarter for us at       u	 Utilization of a well-known framework/model;      account; social & environmental impacts, safety &
           myForesight. The past few months saw us                                                                security etc. It is worth to note that PEMANDU
2          presenting our body of work to the global         u	 The process must be transparent;                  themselves acknowledges the NKEA are not
           audience during the FTA conference in                                                                  intended to be definitive but serves as a starting
           Seville, Spain; experts and colleagues in         u	 Will be problems or issues based either           point.
    Manchester Institute of Innovation Research                 realized or anticipated;
    (MIoIR) as well as participants of a seminar                                                                  Tan Sri Dato Zulkifli’s article on envisioning
    organized by ISTIC-UNESCO. Whereas at                    u	 Trans-disciplinary and diverse engagement of      Asia 2060 describes on the need of taking various
    the home front, recommendations were being                  stakeholders;                                     factors into account in developing visions of the
    considered, uptakes on the focus areas are                                                                    future.
    made and to be implemented into realizable               u	 Considerations into long term impact and
    programmes.                                                 strategies;                                       Through our participation of FTA conference in
                                                                                                                  May, we have managed to widen our network,
    This is particularly true in the case of conversion      u	 Considerations       of     resources      and    leverage on the experience of other countries that
    of palm oil into bio mass energy which is our               competencies.                                     has also conducted foresight initiatives. Therefore,
    cover story. The Malaysian Biomass initiative                                                                 in this issue, we are providing the Brazilian
    (MBI) is a programme under the Global Science            Foresight anyone? Keep watching this space for       case study of the challenges in communicating
    Innovation Advisory Council (GSIAC) which                more updates on this matter. You will find details   foresight results to decision makers.
    was announced with much fanfare in New York              on the NSRC on page 34.
    by our Prime Minister on the 17th of May 2011.                                                                For this issue, insights from the industry includes
    Leveraging on global network and expertise,              Talk of the future has never failed to illicit       Datuk Abdul Kadir’s piece on the business potential
    GSIAC will be the platform for Malaysia to tap           comments from individuals with diverse and           of waste water sector as well as contributions from
    into the knowledge of world renowned experts in          marginalizing opinions. This is especially true in   International Natural Fibre Organization on the
    their respective field in the realm on S&T. Suffice      the form of things we need to focus on to reach      future of natural fibre.
    to say that the selection of the initiative took stock   our desired future. Now, it seems that everybody
    of the focus areas identified by myForesight.            is currently jumping into the PEMANDU ETP            As usual, we hope you find the magazine
                                                             NKEA bandwagon. Unfortunately, there are             beneficial and thought provoking.
    We have also presented findings that were made           widespread misconceptions that anything that
    during the last National Technology Foresight to         is not part of the NKEA is not worth taking          We expect you to have your opinion on certain
    the newly formed National Science & Research             a look. People tend to forget the NKEA are           matters. We want to hear them. We welcome your
    Council (NSRC). One of the main tasks of the             short to medium term focus areas which is            feedback and contributions.
    NSRC was to identify and prioritize the focus            intended on trying to achieve our aspirations
    areas for Malaysia’s R&D activities. Note that the       of being developed nation by 2020. However
    council members pointed out that to prioritize           in envisioning the future, there are other
    the areas, it must satisfy the following:-               considerations that needs to be taken into
August 2011




    leader's insights


    Envisioning
    Asia 2060
                              BY
                              Professor Tan Sri Dato' Dzulkifli Abd Razak
                              Vice-Chancellor
                              Universiti Sains Malaysia




                                 Experience has shown that countries
                                     that grow rich are not necessarily
                                      those well-endowed with natural
                                resources but those that invest wisely
                                   in building their human capital and
4                                  allocating a reasonable percentage
                                    of their gross domestic product to
                                            research and development.




    A
                  group of experts met last week            The competing interests of economics and               Union may be too Eurocentric to be modelled by
                  at Tamkang University Graduate            geopolitics are still measured and characterised       Asians in creating a common platform.
                  Institute of Future Studies in Taipei     by rules and procedures dictated by several
                  to discuss "Global Transitions and        international agencies marked by their vested, if      Interestingly, Jeremy Rifkin made a similar
                   Asia 2060". The broad focus of the       subtle, pro-West agenda. Hence, virtually nothing      observation vis-a-vis the US when he recognised
    meeting, co-hosted by the US-based Foundation           new emerges based on the "tangibles". Asia is          as early as 2005 that the American Dream was
    for the Future was on three areas — climate,            trailing very much behind, struggling with the         dying. "The American model is not working
    political economy and identity. The writer gave the     catch-up game laid out by the West.                    and globalisation under American stewardship
    keynote address.                                                                                               has failed totally," he was quoted as saying
                                                            In contrast, the contending view based on the          (International Herald Tribune, March 26-27,
    The meeting came out with four possible scenarios       "intangibles" is a more challenging one, drawing       2005).
    for the future, ranging from a borderless Asia in a     from the strengths and norms that are closely
    changing world to one that is fragmented over and       associated with, if not uniquely, Asia.                He envisioned an European Dream "while trying
    above the current geopolitical boundaries. The                                                                 to make European policies the default for the rest
    possibility of some of the bigger countries splitting   The key argument is about bringing into focus          of the world..."
    up into North and South, or even East and West          the unifying elements that could make an Asian
    portions was not ruled out.                             "entity" based on commonalities as a source of         In the same way, Asia needs to be doubly cautious
                                                            cohesiveness. These are by and large the enduring      about blindly emulating the existing models in
    Overall, perhaps the two most contentious ideas         shared Asian values, without which it is difficult     the West, especially in a new millennium with its
    in the discussions related to the issue of the          to imagine even a cluster as successful as ASEAN       multitude of new challenges, given the perception
    "tangibles" against the "intangibles". The former       lasting. This is critical to realise because Asia is   that a shift of gravity is taking place from the West
    reflected the thinking of the previous century and      too diverse in terms of not only its population and    to Asia as the world's economic dynamo.
    was dominated by the existing Western-centric           geographical size, but its level of development,
    matrixes despite the increasingly precarious            governance and democracy, distribution of wealth,      However, some are still in denial this is happening.
    position of the so-called "Washington consensus".       as well as existing disparities. Thus, the European    One view expressed in the Foreign Policy
August 2011




                                                                                                                                leader's insights




                                                                                                                                                                         5




magazine ( July-August 2009) noted that Asia is           Second, unlike the Western hemisphere, its Eastern    climate, for example, Asia's large population base
nowhere near closing the economic and military            counterpart has somehow been fragmented               and the worsening overall pollution trends can
gap with the West. It added that Asia does not            into at least "Near", "Middle" and "Far" East that    cripple its future ambitions.
seem to play an equally inspiring role as the West        ultimately make up much of Asia. To what extent
as a thought leader. It seems that we are back to the     can Asia iron out the apparent differences and        Similarly, on the political economic front, some
importance of the "intangibles" beyond the idea           become a truly unified global force of the future?    participants were mindful of Asia's history that is
of nation-states and the capitalist ideology being        Can Asia and its rich historical, cultural and        littered with conflicts for power and resources,
alien to this part of the world. After all, Asian roots   civilisational experiences celebrate diversity as a   now that China and India are being dubbed the
are more community-oriented vis-a-vis that of             major unifying platform towards a more globalised     new colonisers.
Americans and Europeans.                                  world?
                                                                                                                Ultimately, this will have drastic ramifications for
With respect to this, I posed three questions that        Lastly, given that the Confucian, Vedic and Islamic   the issue of identity for Asia's existence as a unique
Asia needs to seriously ponder if it is to make a         ethics are generally pervasive throughout Asia,       non-Western entity and value system amidst the
difference beginning five decades from now. First,        how far can they collectively redefine the current    faltering Western Dream (not just American) that
as Asia pushes forward into the future, how much          global ethics that evolved during the days of the     Rifkin referred to.
of the current global construct can it reshape            Renaissance of Western Europe? This is taking
to make it more just and fair? In the previous            cognizance of the fact that today's global ethics     That is not to say that Asians cannot learn from the
centuries, many global agendas were pursued by            are failing, as indicated by the various global       experiences of others, since it is naive to assume
the industrialised countries of the global north          crises extending into ecology, economics and also     that Asia has all the answers — especially in
that invariably put their interests ahead of the          geopolitics, which therefore need to be urgently      creating a more inclusive Global Dream, one that
rest, including Asia, perpetuating an uneven              revisited.                                            has the characteristics of an Asian Dream as well.
playing field. Can Asia provide a more equitable
leadership?                                               In essence, to what extent are the three dimensions
                                                          of climate, political economy and identity factored     This article was published in The Edge Malaysia -
                                                          into the Asia 2060 equation? On the issue of            22th November 2010
August 2011




    experts' insights


    Foresight and Challenges
    In Communicating
    Its Result To Decision Makers
                                                                                                                         BY
                                                                                                                         Claudio Chauke Nehme1,2, Marcio de Miranda
                                                                                                                         Santos1, Lelio Fellows Filho1, Gilda Massari
                                                                                                                         Coelho1
                                                                                                                         1-Centre for Strategic Studies and Management (CGEE)
                                                                                                                         2-Catholic University of Brasilia
                                                                                                                         chauke@cgee.org.br

    This article is an excerpt from the original paper entitled “The Challenges of
    Communicating the Foresight Study Outcomes to Better Advise Decision Makers
    in Policy and Strategy Matters”. The paper was presented during the Fourth
    International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA)
    and Grand Societal Challenges in Seville, Spain on the 12-13th May 2011.

6                                                                                                                                   sharing perceptions, free of prejudices, cultural
    Introduction                                             Out-of-the-box thinking in foresight                                   influences, and reasoning processes. This concept
                                                             exercises                                                              requires that experts and other stakeholders think
    The Center for Strategic Studies and Management                                                                                 about new possibilities and collectively foresee
    - CGEE is a non-profit Brazilian think tank, created     The concept of out-of-the-box thinking adopted                         related approaches, imagine influences and impacts
    in 2001 and qualified as a Social Organization by the    by CGEE is related to the Learning Organization                        regarding a specific issue. The mindset revision with
    Brazilian President, and supervised by Ministry of       Theory (Tosey, 2005). The idea is to establish an                      experts and stakeholders uses mainly qualitative
    Science and Technology, in order to promote Science,     oriented process aiming at making decisions or                         approaches.
    Technology and Innovation (ST&I) development
    to advance economic growth, competitiveness and
    well-being in Brazil. The scope of CGEE's activities        Figure 1         CGEE's Methodological Approach
    covers three integrated themes: foresight studies;                 Definition of main objectives
                                                                                                                 Planning main components
    strategic evaluation of large programs and projects;               • Public policies
    and information and knowledge diffusion related to          1      • Strategic directives
                                                                              Strategic goals
                                                                                                             •
                                                                                                             •
                                                                                                                 Strategic focus
                                                                                                                 Time horizon
    the Brazilian ST&I System. CGEE is considered an                                                         •   Special coverage
                                                                                                             •   Institutional and expert mobilization
    interface organization in the ST&I environment. It                                                       •   Duration and cost
    has the responsibility of articulating Government,                       Theme selection                 •   Methodology (Method and techniques)

                                                                2
                                                                       • Governmental plans and              •   Consultation (Target audience, extent, frequency and reach)
    Private Sector, Academia, and other relevant ST&I                    programs                            •   Partners
    representatives in the sense of gathering collective               • Priority issues                     •   Relationships with ongoing initiatives
                                                                       • Critical questions                  •   Available infrastructure
    understanding to develop its activities. From 2001                                                       •   Dissemination strategic
                                                                                 Themes
    to date, CGEE has conducted nearly 400 foresight
    studies and program/project evaluations, mobilizing
                                                                                Initial phase                   Main phase                         Commitment phase                 Decision Making
    more than 2000 experts per year coming from 300                          Look and see what          What seems to be happening?                What can be made?               What will be done?
    institutions.                                               3               is happening             What is really happening?
                                                                                                           What might happen?
                                                                                                                                                                               4   How it will be done?


                                                                        • Collection and organization   • Information interpretation             • Dissemination of results        • Selection of strategic
                                                             What?
    This article addresses the challenges of                              of information                • Knowledge production                     among stakeholders.               options
    communicating the results of foresight processes to                 • Diagnostics studies and
                                                                                                        • Forecast and Foresight                 • Workshops.                      • Interaction of key
                                                             How?                                         methods and techniques                 • Publication and
    Brazilian decision makers in a way that truly supports                analysis
                                                                                                          (Delphi, Roadmaps,                       communication tools
                                                                                                                                                                                     decision makers
                                                                        • Intelligence systems                                                                                     • Options for strategic
    their decisions. It stresses the role of intangibles                                                  Scenarios, etc)                          (Report, Newsletters,
                                                                                                                                                                                     Implementation of the
                                                                        • Better understanding of                                                  Press articles, Website)
    as a central outcome of foresight exercises and the      Results      SWOT and STEEPV
                                                                                                        • Network structuring                                                        main decision (Plans,
                                                                                                        • Collective learning                    • Extended perception of            programs, etc)
    importance to promote out-of-the-box thinking.                        dimensions
                                                                        • Trends
                                                                                                        • List of key technologies                 strategic options.              • Identification of other
                                                                                                        • Shared understanding of the            • Consensus and
    Lessons learned are presented as well as a case study.                                                main topic future implications           commitment
                                                                                                                                                                                     issues for future
                                                                                                                                                                                     analysis.




                                                                                Information                       Knowlegde                          Commitment                          Strategy
What?                                                                                                                • Selection of strategic
                                       of information                  • Knowledge production                    among stakeholders.            options

                                      • Diagnostics studies and        • Forecast and Foresight             • Workshops.                      • Interaction of key
                         How?           analysis                         methods and techniques             • Publication and                              August 2011
                                                                                                                                                decision makers
                                      • Intelligence systems             (Delphi, Roadmaps,                   communication tools
                                                                         Scenarios, etc)                      (Report, Newsletters,           • Options for strategic
                                      • Better understanding of                                               Press articles, Website)          Implementation of the
                                                                       • Network structuring                                                    main decision (Plans,
                         Results        SWOT and STEEPV
                                                                       • Collective learning                • Extended perception of            programs, etc)
                                        dimensions
                                                                       • List of key technologies             strategic options.              • Identification of other
                                      • Trends
                                                                       • Shared understanding of the        • Consensus and                     issues for future
                                                                         main topic future implications       commitment                        analysis.

                                                                                                                                                      experts' insights
                                         Information                            Knowlegde                          Commitment                       Strategy
   Figure 2        Strategies to promote out-off-the-box thought


                                                                                                                                          FINEP: Defined
                         Validation process               Timeline                                                                        Activities


                                                                         Understanding
                                                                                                                         Premises        FINEP: Government
                                                                           possible
                                                                                                                                         Company
                                                                            futures

                                                                                                                                                                 Short Term (5 years)
                                                        Scenarios???                                                                     ST&I System
                                                                                                   FINEP’s
                                                                                                                                                                 Policy &          PACTI
                                                                                                 Future Vision
                                                                                                                                                                 Action Plans
                                                                                                   Strategy
                                                                                                                                                                                   PPA
                                            FINEP: Structuring
      National and international            actions
      environments
                                                                                                                                          Possible answers
                                                                           How does                                                       to FINEP’s challenges
                                                                         FINEP perceive
                                           Studies and                                                                    External
   Seminars: external scenarios                                             possible
                                           reflexions about                                                               studies
   vs internal context                                                       futures
                                           influence relations
                                                                                                                                          Trends to short,
                                                                                                                                          middle, and long terms

               Group dynamics
                                             Game of change




                                               Planning                              Initial                          Consolidation                   Commitment
                                                phase             Second, introducing collective intelligence phase
                                                                                     phase                               over                               phase
                                                                                                                                                                                                  7
Intangibles                                                       all phases of the process in a systematic manner                   Case study:
                                      Negotiation of the proposal
                                                                  is the key for achieving success (Glenn, 2010).
                                                                                  Data Collection                     Final studies
                                                                                                                                     Brazilian Innovation Agency.
                                                                                                                                                           Future vision
High importance and attention isand governance model In other words, collaboration, interaction and
                                          given to the
generation of intangibles along the development                   communication are all important, as well as
                                                                               Preliminary diagnosis
                                                                                                                                     This topic describes briefly how CGEE recently
                                                                                                             Future trends and potential               Core competencies
of strategic foresight exercises. The process of
                                         Initiating the process
                                                                  attempts to design and plan the foresight exercise on FINEP
                                                                                                               future impacts        conducted an organizational foresight exercise for the
sharing experiences, the collective learning and                  with a sense of anticipation, pointing out the most
                                                                                       Survey                                        main federal ST&I funding agency in Brazil – FINEP,
                                                                                                             (Includes final results of the            Strategic objectives
understanding, the creation of shared commitment                  difficult points and where revisions of mindsets areinterviews known as the Brazilian Innovation Agency
                                                                                                               GTs, timeline,        also
                                                                                                                 with stakeholders and
on the main decisions to be taken and the and discussionexpected. Preliminary studies
                                     Presentation shared
                                                                                                                      workshops)
                                                                                                                                     (Coelho, et al., 2011). FINEP's mission is to promote
                                                                                                                                                        Strategic roadmap
                                            of the work plan
vision on future possibilities are all intangibles to                                                                                the economic and social development in Brazil through
be pursued. Their value many times surpasses and                  The foresight Timeline
                                                                                       exercises conducted by CGEE                   public funding of science, technology and innovation
                                           Implementation of
complements tangible outcomes, such as reports
                                        the governance model
                                                                                                                   Figure
                                                                  comprise three distinct phases, as seen inUpdated diagnosis businesses, universities, technological institutions
                                                                                                                                     in
and publications, as they are usually absorbed as                 1. The InitialBenchmarking
                                                                                    Phase establishes the baseline of the
                                                                                                            (Includes final results of theother public and private organizations.
                                                                                                                                     and
knowledge by those participating.                                                                           GTs, benchmarking, SWOT,
                                                                  exercise, usually mapping what is going surveyand workshops)
                                                                                                                on related
                                                                                     Interviews
                                                                  to the main issue. The Main Phase is where most                    The challenge of promoting out-of-the-box thinking
                                                                  interpretation of information takes place and                      was very complex in this case. It required a broad
                                                                  creativity is required at the bestand validation workshops
                                                                           Mobilization, thematic of the participant’s               exercise of exploring future perspectives and a
Methodological Approach                                           capacity. Studies, scenario planning, workshops,                   systematic process of questioning "what is going on" and
                                                                  and electronic tools are applied, among others, in                 "what should we do differently", with the participation
There are some key elements embedded in                           order to revise and transform mindsets, understand                 of staff and a range of potential beneficiaries and
CGEE's methodological approach. First and most                    possible futures associated to the main issues. In                 stakeholders. Figure 2 presents the main ideas and
important, stakeholders must be involved in the                   this phase, CGEE intends to build a good decision-                 designed strategy on how out-of-the-box thinking was
exercise from the very beginning. They must feel                  making process, making it as comprehensive as                      implemented at the agency.
comfortable and confident to participate in all                   possible. In the Dissemination Phase the main
phases, irrespective to the complexities involved.                recommendations are fine-tuned with decision                       The turning point to truly revise its mindset was when
To have them engaged, CGEE’s team must listen,                    makers in all their aspects and an implementation                  FINEP was prepared to visualize its challenges and
interpret and understand the client’s needs,                      strategy is first designed.                                        a feasible strategic position for itself in the future. In
desires and preoccupations and to describe and                                                                                       other words, to define a challenging, yet successful,
translate - to all participants, in an understandable                                                                                Future Vision required a strategy which, on one hand,
way - the main objectives and strategic goals taking                                                                                 should balance the knowledge related to the present
into consideration possibilities, opportunities and                                                                                  and some relevant future possibilities, and on the other
different perspectives.                                                                                                              hand, should compare, contrast and merge the internal
                                                                                                                                     and external views.
FINEP: Structuring
ternational       actions

                                            August 2011                                                        Possible answers
                                                   How does                                                    to FINEP’s challenges
                                                 FINEP perceive
                 Studies and                                                          External
l scenarios                                         possible
                 reflexions about                                                     studies
                                                     futures
                 influence relations
                                                                                                               Trends to short,
                                                                                                               middle, and long terms

dynamics
              experts' insights
                Game of change


                 Figure 3           Methodological process for the development of FINEP/SMP                                                     situation emerges from the policy environment.
                                                                                                                                                The sense of timing is related to the sense of
                                                                                                                                                opportunity so as to create initiatives and projects
                    Planning                                Initial              Consolidation                           Commitment
                     phase                                  phase                   phase                                  phase                in the course of a government mandate. The main
                                                                                                                                                challenge is to introduce a long-term perception
              Negotiation of the proposal                 Data Collection             Final studies                         Future vision       and analysis to elaborate strategic foresight for the
               and governance model                                                                                                             interest of the State.
                                                     Preliminary diagnosis    Future trends and potential                Core competencies
                 Initiating the process                                        future impacts on FINEP                                          Second, in the corporate sector, in general, there is
                                                              Survey          (Includes final results of the             Strategic objectives   doubt about the importance of long-term strategies.
                                                                                GTs, timeline, interviews
              Presentation and discussion                                        with stakeholders and                                          The sense of timing is driven by the necessity of
                                                      Preliminary studies
                   of the work plan                                                    workshops)                         Strategic roadmap     urgent decision-making. An aptitude can be noted
                                                             Timeline                                                                           for a competitive intelligence approach rather than
                  Implementation of                                               Updated diagnosis                                             strategic foresight. But, on the other hand, when a
                the governance model                      Benchmarking
                                                                              (Includes final results of the
                                                                                                                                                strategic foresight starts to make sense, this kind
                                                                              GTs, benchmarking, SWOT,                                          of stakeholder usually invests in getting involved
                                                            Interviews           surveyand workshops)
                                                                                                                                                in the foresight exercise and, afterwards, becomes
                                                                                                                                                one of the most active decision makers and takes
                                                  Mobilization, thematic and validation workshops                                               advantage of the foresight outcomes.

                                                                                                                                                Last, the Academia circle has strong barriers in
                                                                                                                                                accepting strategic foresight conduction. In this
              The construction process, shown in Figure                      stakeholders – around three thousand people-, not                  case, time is not a problem; the scientific and
              3, was participatory and involved internal and                 only with the process, but also – and mainly – with                methodological rigor is more important and it is
              external stakeholders in a continuous process of               its continuity.                                                    crucial to get this kind of stakeholder involved. After
              value addition to the information obtained in the                                                                                 this first moment, the strategic foresight exercise
              process, always searching for consensus among the              This represents an important intangible gain, where                becomes an extremely gratifying activity.
      8       participants at the various stages of the process.             the process was as important as the outcomes.
                                                                             Strategic foresight proved to be a powerful                        In concluding, the Foresight exercises are usually
              The planning phase included defining the strategic             instrument for long-term planning, counting on                     exposed to some dangerous traps or milestones
              management plan methodology and governance                     a diversity of methods and techniques and, above                   along their applications. In order to avoid
              model for managing the process, motivating and                 all, having flexibility and resilience in its application          these situations, it is important to note some
              mobilizing the workforce.                                      which enabled its adaptation to the specific needs                 characteristics related to each group:
                                                                             of the study.
              Some premises oriented the proposal:                                                                                              n	 Government representatives frequently start
                                                                             The principle of participation that generates                         making decisions before interpreting what was
              n	 Participatory process - the involvement of                  commitment and the use of methods that rely                           obtained in the first phase (information and
                 managers, employees, experts and stakeholders               simultaneously on evidence, creativity, expertise                     data gathering), as discussed before.
                 in all stages of the process.                               and interaction, conferred methodological
                                                                             robustness to the process and provided quality to                  n	 Corporate executives may have difficulties
              n	 Commitment by the senior management,                        the results.                                                          thinking beyond their business. Foresight
                 regarding the process, the methodology and                                                                                        exercises and innovation strategies are
                 the results obtained.                                                                                                             interconnected and it is important to stress
                                                                                                                                                   the possible influence and impacts from other
              n	 Strategies focused on prospective vision and on             Lessons learned                                                       business segments.
                 the definition of strategic guidelines covering
                 horizons of 5, 10 and 15 years.                             The case study presented, as well as others prepared               n	 Academia often has difficulties thinking
                                                                             by CGEE, identified three types of decision makers:                   beyond disciplinary structures. Due to a long
              n	 Thinking out-of-the-box, with the stimulus to do            government, corporate, and academia.                                  disciplinary tradition of research and learning
                 different things differently.                                                                                                     in the academic world, when foresight exercises
                                                                             Their different perspectives must be taken into                       and innovation strategies are applied to new
              n	 Governance model built to contribute to the                 consideration during the development of the                           future possibilities in academia, huge efforts
                 development of the plan, validation and                     foresight study and when communicating its                            of mindset revision and transformation are
                 application of results and with clear attribution           results. Preparation and delivery timing vary                         needed.
                 of responsibilities between the parties.                    substantially among government, corporate and
                                                                             academia clients, so it is very important to be aware
                                                                             and respect their timing.
              The methodological approach assured, through
              the participatory process, the commitment of                   First, the Government sector usually desires to
              an expressive contingent of internal and external              make decisions when some problem or urgent
August 2011




                                                         industry insights


New Business Potential
Via Resource Recovery
in the Wastewater Sector
    BY
    Datuk Ir. Abdul Kadir Mohd. Din
    Chief Executive Officer,
    Indah Water Konsortium Sdn. Bhd.




                                                                              9




                                                                  Biosolids


          Bioffluent




                                       Dewatering
                                                    Biogas
August 2011                                                                   Disposed                  Thickening         Biogas

                                                                                                                              Anaerobic Digestion

                                                                                                                                  Dewatering                  Biosolids

     industry insights
                                                                    Figure 1       Typical Sewage Treatment Process - Activated Sludge System -
     INTRODUCTION
     	                                                                                Preliminary Treatment                                    Secondary Treatment
     Historically, the first thought of sewage treatment
     dates back to the end of 18th Century when
                                                                                   Coarse            Grit Removal Grease       Anoxic    Aeration                    Clarifier
     septic tanks were introduced in the West. By the                              Screen                          Trap         Tank      Tank
     nineteenth century sewage treatment methods
     developed rapidly to meet the needs of basic                 Raw
     sanitation. Today, modern and sophisticated               Influent                         Fine Screen                                                                           Treated
     treatment technologies are continuously developed                                                                                                                               Effluent
     for the purpose of protection of environmental                                Pump Sump
                                                                                                                                                              RAS
     quality in a cost efficient manner. The key driver




                                                                                        Screenings
     for this trend is the increasing need for a more




                                                                                                                     Scum
                                                                                                                                          Sludge Treatment      WAS
     sustainable long term solution in terms of both the




                                                                                                              Grit
     economics and the environment.
     	
     In this regard, the current practice in safe disposal                                              Disposed                  Thickening         Biogas
     of end products from sewage treatment namely, the
     effluent and sewage sludge, will no longer be able                                                                       Anaerobic Digestion
     to meet the complex environmental challenges of
     climate and water sensitive futures. For this, the                                                                           Dewatering                  Biosolids
     sewage treatment industry needs to be transformed
     into a resource harvesting industry. This paper
     describes the paradigm shift from traditional basic            Figure 2        Resource Potential from Sewage Treatment
     treatment to potential new business model via
     resource recovery in the sewerage sector. The key                                                                      Sewage Treatment Plant
     idea is utilizing the ‘Green Technology’ and ‘Zero
10   Waste Concept’ to transform the sewerage industry
                                                                      By-Product




     into a sustainable and economically attractive
     model.                                                                            Effluent                                      Biosolids                           Biogas
                                                                         The




     Basic Sewage Treatment
                                                              Current
                                                               Fare




     The typical treatment process flow for a modern                                  Discharge                                     Dispose                               Flare
     mechanized activated sludge plant is depicted in
     Figure 1.
                                                                                                                                 Calorific Value:                Methane : 65 - 70%
                                                              Potential Values




                                                                                   BOD < 50 mg/l
                                                                                                                                 < 3,500 kcal/kg                   CO2 : < 25%
     Basically it involves 2 main components namely: (i)                           COD < 100 mg/l
                                                                                                                            N < 3%; P < 1%; K < 0.1%                N2: < 5%
     Pre-treatment for grit and grease removal; (ii) Main                           SS < 100 mg/l
                                                                                                                             Organic Matter < 50%
     treatment process units where the major organic
     and solids pollutants are removed via Biological
     process (ie. secondary treatment). The secondary                                                                              Fertilizer/
                                                                                    Recycle Water                              Renewable Energy                 Renewable Energy
     treatment process involves a reactor or tank for
     biological breakdown of organic pollutant by native
     sewage microbes (i.e. MLSS). This basic secondary
     treatment technology produces clear effluent that
     can be discharged into the environment, whilst          foot print. The latest being a variation of Sequencing                     Plausible scenarios were
     the waste sludge (WAS) is typically stabilized and
     dewatered into semisolid form (at 15-20% dry solid
                                                             Batch Reactors, Moving Bed Bioreactor,
                                                             Membrane Bioreactor, Combination of Anaerobic
                                                                                                                                        then created to enable
     content; also known as biosolids) for disposal to       UASB (Upflow Anaerobic Sludge Blanket) and                                 the identification of
     landfills. If the stabilization process is involved,    Aerobic systems. Although these developments                               technology priorities that
     there is anaerobic sludge digestion and biogas is       produces high quality treated effluent, the waste
     produced as well.                                       by-products remains typically disposed unto the                            is required to support the
                                                             receiving environment.                                                     nation’s vision 2020.
     More recently technologies are focused on
     enhancing nutrient removal namely nitrogen and
     phosphorus as well as in reducing the operating
     energy requirement of systems as well as smaller
August 2011




                                                                                                                                                       industry insights
   Figure 3        Bioeffluent Reuse                                                                                                     example of bio-effluent quality is shown in
                                                                                                                                         Figure 3. Treated effluent without any additional
   Parameters          Units    Average           WHO Std             MOH Std
                                                                                     • IWK’s Pilot Project – Effluent to Recycle Water   treatment was also found to be beneficial to
                                                                                     • The results meet the WHO and MOH standard.
                                                                                                                                         plant growth, potentially with chlorination such
   Colour             Hazen           <5              15                 15
                                                                                                                                         application can be widely and applied. Such
   Turbidity           NTU           <0.5             5                   5                                                              potential needs to be realized as it will greatly
   Aluminium           mg/l          <0.01           0.2                 0.2                                                             relieve water stress areas and contribute towards
   Chloride            mg/l           <1             250                 250
                                                                                                                                         sustainable water resources for future.
   Copper              mg/l          <0.01            2                   1
                                                                                                                                         The potential benefits of biosolids reuse is far
   H2S                 mg/l          <0.01           0.05               0.05          RO Units                                           reaching. R&D studies has shown there is sufficient
   Iron                mg/l          <0.01           0.3                 0.3                                                             nutrient content in the biosolids where the typical
   Manganese           mg/l          <0.01           0.5                 0.1
                                                                                                                                         values of N:P:K average at 3% of the biosoilds
                                                                                                                                         whilst its organic matter content is typically more
   Sodium              mg/l          5.58            200                 200
                                                                                                                                         than 50% and can contribute to improving soil
   Sulfate             mg/l          1.75            400                 400                    CMF-S UNIT                   RO UNIT     conditions and nutrient uptake for plant growth
   TDS                 mg/l          12.9            1000               1000                                                             (see Figure 4). The energy value contained in
   Zinc                mg/l          0.02             3                   5          Advantages of Recycled Bioeffluent System           the dry solids is also a potential to be tapped via
                                                                                                                                         gasification process. Analysis of typical biosolids
   Flouride            mg/l          0.07            1.5                 0.9         • No requirement for advance technology
                                                                                     • Low capital cost
                                                                                                                                         from IWK plants in Malaysia show the calorific
   Hardness            mg/l           <1             30*                 500         • Easy installation, operation & maintenance        value ranging from 2000 to 3500 kcal/kg.
   Silica              mg/l           0.2            10*                 10*         • Reliable source, quantity                         	
                                                                                     • Low price compare to potable water
                                                                                                                                         Another potential is the energy available within
                                                                                                                                         biogas generated from anaerobic digestion, at
                                                                                                                                         65% methane composition there is a minimum
  Figure 4         Biosolids Reuse                                                                                                       of 5000kcal/m3 of biogas being generated
                                                                                                                                         (Figure 5). For each of these potentials the
                                                                                                                                         Green Technology methods and approaches               11
                                                                                                                                         are summarized in Table 1 and Figure 6.
                                                                                                                                         Green Technology is envisioned by Malaysia’s
                                                                                                                                         Premier Y.A.B. Dato’ Sri Mohd. Najib bin Tun
                                                                                                                                         Haji Abdul Razak as one of the emerging drivers
                                             Co-composting of Sewage Sludge and
  Vermicomposting of
                                                   Municipals Solid Waste
                                                                                                      Utilisation of Sewage Sludge       of economic growth for the nation. The national
  sewage sludge                                                                                       as Soil Amendment
                                                                                                                                         Green Technology Policy was officially launched
                                                                                                                                         in July 2009 which defines green technology
                                                                                                                                         as "the development and application of products,
                                                                                                                                         equipment and systems used to conserve the natural
                                                                                                                                         environment and resources, which minimizes and
                                                                                                                                         reduces negative impact of human activities”.
                                                                                                                                         Hence technology for resource recovery for water,
  Utilisation of Sewage                                                                               Biosolids as Fertilizer for
  Sludge as Fertiliser for                                                                            Non-Food Crop: Application in
                                                                                                                                         nutrients for soil and vegetation and renewable
  Various Crops                                                                                       Rubber Plantation                  energy is very much in line with our national
                                                      BIOSOLIDS                                                                          aspirations for a green economy that meets the
                                                           Advantages of Biosolids as a Fertilizer                                       complex demand of the impending carbon neutral
                                                                                                                                         and sustainable future.
                                                           1.	   Reduced used of chemical fertilizer
                                                           2.	   No smell, reliable source & quantity
                                                           3.	   Low capital cost, easy installation, operation & maintenance
                                                           4.	   Low price compared to chemical fertilizer
  Sewage Sludge in                                         5.	   Premium quality where biological base enhances soil fertility
  Forest Rehabilitation &                                        & nutrient uptake                                                       Strategies and Way Forward
  Regeneration
                                                                                                                                         The application of Green Technology to produce
                                                                                                                                         value and material from sewerage waste by products
                                                                       the potential value for reuse is summarized                       will have the following benefits:
Potential New Business in                                              in Figure 2. Treated effluent can be reused
Sewage via Resource Recovery &                                         for landscaping and industrial applications.                      •	    Minimize discharge of treated effluent into
Green Technology Application                                           Local research had identified this potential                            water courses and reduce potable water
                                                                       and shown that with additional downstream                               stress.
There are three (3) waste byproducts, treated                          filtration units that can range from                              •	    Environmental friendly outlet for Biosolids
effluent, biosolids and biogas that can be converted                   media based, to membrane and or RO types can                            whereby disposal to landfill is avoided.
for beneficial reuse is as shown in Figure 1 whilst                    produce bioeffluent for industrial uptake. An
August 2011




     industry insights
     •	    Biogas as Cheaper source of electricity is          Figure 5        Biogas Reuse as Renewable Energy
           found.
     •	    Green house gas emissions is minimized.                                                                                       Typical Biogas Characteristics
                                                             Towards Green Technology Biogas to
     •	    Public satisfaction is eventually achieved        Renewable Energy                                                         Parameters                 Units              Value
           when the highest level environmental quality
                                                                                                                                      Carbon Dioxide (CO2)       % v/v               28
           is maintained.                                    • BIOGAS - Valuable source of untapped
     •	    Sustainable sewerage development could be         energy potential.                                                        Oxygen (O2)                % v/v               <1

           achieved.                                                                                                                  Methane (CH4)              % v/v                65
                                                             • Sustainable option to reduce
                                                                                                                                      Moisture Content           % v/v                4
     However, there are barriers and challenges to           consumption of fossil based electricity;
                                                                                                                                      Nitrogen (N2)              % v/v                3
     successful implementation of Green Technology
     for resource recovery in the sewerage sector. The       • Supports the Government’s target
     primary barriers and challenges include the lack        towards increasing the use of renewable
     of funding; lack of incentive schemes; lack of          energy.
     economic of scale for immediate implementation
     of the initiatives, lack of locally acclimatized
     affordable technology, poor public acceptance of
     the recycled products.

     As such, to overcome this, the following strategy
     and action plans need to be agreed and developed:

     •	    Government to provide grant or funds to                          Biogas Generation Units                                         Power Generation Unit
           encourage 3R – for new waste minimization
           and recycling projects.
     •	    Implement Pilot Projects to demonstrate             Figure 6         Illustration of Green Technology Applications for The Sewerage Sector
           the use of Green Technology for successful
                                                                                                                                  GHG (CO2)
12         utilization of sewerage waste products to be
           implemented.                                                               GHG (CO2 and N2O)
                                                                                                                                        (Flared)                          GHG (CO2, N20, CH4)
     •	    Allocate Research & Development funds
                                                             Energy (Electricity)
           dedicated to encourage innovation in cheaper                                                                  GHGs (CO2)      GHG (Biogas)
           cleaner production of treated Bioeffluent,
           fertilizer and renewable energy such as from
           Biosolids and Biogas.
     •	    Intensive and creative public awareness            Sewage                                            Sludge                                   Dewatered
           program to educate the public on recycling                        WASTEWATER TREATMENT                           ANAEROBIC METHANE
                                                                                                                                                          Biosolids
                                                                                                                                                                           SEWAGE SLUDGE
           of sewerage by-products.                                                   Vs                                           Vs                                            Vs
     •	    Provide Policy & Guidelines for utilization of                     WATER RECLAIMATION                                 BIOGAS                                      BIOSOLIDS

           sewerage beneficial products such as treated
           Bioeffluent, fertilizer and energy source.
     •	    Community engagement to be encouraged                                                                            Renewable Energy Fuel for
           via small medium industry entrepreneurship                               Recycled Bio-Effluent for                   Power/Electricity                     Fertilizer; Soil Conditioner; &
           program and good incentives for Green                                    Landscape & Industry Use                                                            Renewable Energy Fuel
           Technology projects.
     •	    More regional plants to be established to
           provide the economics of scale to generate       IWK as the national sewerage services provider                       Plausible scenarios were
     •	
           Biosolids and Biogas of critical mass.
           All regional plants shall be provided with
                                                            is well positioned to realize such new business                      then created to enable
                                                            opportunities for Malaysia. It is envisaged Malaysia
           anaerobic digestion for sludge treatment.        can lead other emerging nations to transform                         the identification of
     •	    Developer shall be encouraged with               sewerage services into sustainable model. For a start                technology priorities that
           incentives to build Zero Waste plants.           IWK has taken initiative to establish demonstration
     •	    Integrated resource management to be             projects on bioeffluent reuse with government’s                      is required to support the
           advocated, planned and developed for             support and is looking into biogas demonstration                     nation’s vision 2020.
           implementation.                                  projects at IWK’s regional plants. With further
                                                            government support the vision of Malaysia as
                                                            leader in sewerage transformation (Figure 7) for
                                                            Asia can be realized.
August 2011




                                                                                                                                 industry insights
   Table 1      Green Technology Methods for Resource Recovery


      Sewerage                                                                                          Green Technology                      Valued Added
                                    Inherent Values               Intervention Required
     By-Products                                                                                          Applications                    Products/Applications
                            Water source                         Purification and Disinfection     Membrane filtration,                  Recycled water for
                                                                                                   Ultrafiltration Reverse               Industries/Landscape Use.
                                                                                                   Osmosis

    Treated Effluent        Nutrient Source – e.g. Nitrogen      Source separation & nutrient      Biotransformation and                 Recycled Nutrient capsules,
                            & Phosphorus; Excess Residual        recovery                          Bioaccumulation using                 Nutrient Feed Meal for
                            Pharmaceuticals                                                        microbes, algae and/or                Livestock; Recovered
                                                                                                   duckweeds                             pharmaceuticals.
                                                                                                   Fluidized Bed Reactors

                            Organic Matter ;Macro & Micro        Bioconversion Process             Composting &                          Bulk Organic Media Fertilizer
                            Nutrients (i.e. N:P:K, Mg, Ca, Zn,                                     Vermicomposting
                            Fe, Mn);.
                                                                 Fortification and nutrient        Mixing and packaging                  Soil Conditioner Pellets/
                                                                 supplementation                                                         Briquettes; Retail Fertilizer
                                                                                                                                         Pellets

                            Energy/Heating Value                 Conversion to fuel pellets        Thermal drying                        Co-firing fuel for Energy
        Biosolids
                                                                                                                                         Intensive Industry

                                                                 Conversion to Hydrogen gas        Gasification                          Renewable Energy for
                                                                 and eventually to electricity     Fuel Cell Technology                  Power Supply


                                                                 Conversion to Biogas              Anaerobic Digestion                   Renewable Energy for
                                                                                                                                         Power Supply                    13

                            Energy/Heating Value                 Conversion to electricity         Biogas Engine &                       Renewable Energy for
         Biogas                                                                                    Fuel Cell Technology                  Power Supply




                                                          Figure 7       Transformation From a Utility (Brown) Model to a Resource Recovery (Green) Model
Summary and Conclusion                                                                                                                           Source
                                                                                                                                               separation
There is enormous benefit to be gained from                                    Wastewater generation
the application of Green Technology to harvest
the much untapped resources in the sewerage
sector. For this, we need to transform the manner
sewage treatment is being planned and developed                                                                              Energy
                                                                                    Wastewater
in this country. Malaysia needs to leap frog our                                    collection &
sewerage services into a zero waste, and product                                    conveyance system
                                                                                                                              Nutrient                       Water
harvesting based on the waste to wealth model
                                                               Wastewater
that is both environmentally and economically            conveyance system              Wastewater
sustainable. With the higher vision of sewage               Treated
                                                                                        treatment system
as a resource instead of waste, the drive is to             Biosolids
                                                            Disposal
establish green technologies to produce feedstock
and by-products that could be used to catalyze
                                                                               Treated Wastewater Biogas
downstream processing to produce value added                                         Disposal      Flare
materials which have economic benefits (waste to
wealth concept). In the future, it is inevitable that
sewage treatment could be a lucrative business
when all the stakeholders could appreciate the                                                                                        Energy
inherent potential in this industry. Malaysia can
establish a Green Technology Hub and be a leader                        BROWN ENVIRONMENT                                    GREEN ENVIRONMENT
in this waste to wealth concept and strategize its
sustainability through zero waste management.
August 2011




     BookClub
                                                                                                  LeARnIng fRoM THe
                                                                                                  fUTURe: coMPeTITIve
                                                                                                  foReSIgHT ScenARIoS
                                                                                                  Liam Fahey/ Robert Randall.
                                                                                                  Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
                                                                                                  Inc Published 1997/11                                SUSTAInABLe
                                                                                                                                                       exceLLence: THe
                                                                                                                                                       fUTURe of BUSIneSS
                                                                                                                                                       In A fAST-cHAngIng
                                                                                                                                                       woRLD
                                                                                                                                                       Aron Cramer/
                                                                                                                                                       Zachary Karabell
          YoUng PeoPLe, eDUcATIon,
          AnD SUSTAInABLe
          DeveLoPMenT: exPLoRIng
          PRIncIPLeS, PeRSPecTIveS,
          AnD PRAxIS
          Peter Blaze Corcoran (Editor),
          Philip Molo Osano (Editor)




                                                             •	   ISBN-10:	9780471303527	
                                                             •	   ISBN-13:	978-0471303527	

                                                             How important is nit to know and learn from the
                                                             future?                                                 Today’s business landscape is changing: Natural
14                                                                                                                   resources are growing ever more scarce and
                                                             In recent decades, the world has often been caught      expensive. Technology and changing consumer
                                                             unaware by momentous events–oil shortages               expectations are making transparency a fact of life.
                                                             and gluts, the collapse of the Soviet empire, and       The rise of emerging economies creates vast market
                                                             technology that quickly transformed whole               opportunities for companies—and better living
                                                             industries. The question is, how do we learn to         standards for hundreds of millions.
                                                             anticipate and find opportunities in such sudden
     •	     ISBN-10: 9086860931
            ISBN-10:	9086860931	                             crises?                                                 In Sustainable Excellence, Aron Cramer and Zachary
     •	     ISBN-13:	978-9086860937                                                                                  Karabell tell the stories of the companies who are
                                                             The future will always be unpredictable, but with the   transforming themselves by responding to these
     Young people, education and sustainable                 right techniques, it can be anticipated and managed.    paradigm shifts and in the process shaping the future.
     developement is a collection of 38 essays co-                                                                   From their work with several international companies,
     authored by 68 contributors from 25 nations,            Learning from the Future reveals how these              Cramer and Karabell know firsthand how business
     representing a diversity of geography, gender, and      innovative organizations harness imagination and        can successfully grapple with big-picture issues like
     generation.                                             strategic management techniques to create scenarios     resource scarcity, supply chain complexities, and
                                                             that simulate future opportunities and threats. This    the diverse expectations of government and the
     Young people have an enormous stake in the              book makes preparing for unpredictable futures a        public. In Sustainable Excellence, they tell the stories
     present and future state of Earth. Almost half of the   practical part of every manager’s job. It shows how     of how Coca-Cola and Greenpeace collaborated
     human population is under the age of 25. If young       scenario learning readies companies for industry        on a refrigerator that fights climate change, how
     people's resources of energy, time, and knowledge       and market evolutions and customers′ new needs.         companies like Best Buy and Nike are transforming
     are misdirected towards violence, terrorism,            Scenario learning envisions how industry segments       the very products they sell to deliver more value to
     socially isolating technologies, and unsustainable      may gain or lose profit potential, how certain          consumers with less waste, how GE and Google
     consumption, civilization risks destabilization. Yet,   technologies could dominate a market or fail to         created an innovative partnership that is developing
     there is a powerful opportunity for society if young    be accepted, how new trends could propel mass           “smart grids” that radically reduce energy use, and
     people can participate positively in all aspects of     markets, what circumstances could derail a merger.      how business leaders like Starbucks’ founder and
     sustainable development. In order to do so young                                                                CEO Howard Schultz put sustainable excellence at
     people need education, political support, resources,    To help readers construct truly useful scenarios and    the center of his company’s business strategy.
     skills, and hope.                                       learn from them, this book offers the latest insights
                                                             of 25 internationally known scenario developers.        Through these and other fascinating stories
     This volume offers a global perspective on              Their case studies explore rapid technology             Sustainable Excellence makes the case for a different
     education initiatives by and for young people that      innovation, regulatory destabilization, actions by      way of doing business – one that will define both
     promote a transition to sustainability.                 new or traditional competitors, and investment          business success and economic vitality in the 21st
                                                             opportunities.                                          century.
August 2011




                                                                     industry insights


Growing Together –
Future Forum 2020
A Foresight Project for Natural Fiber
          BY
          Dilip Tambyrajah
          Secretary,
          The International Natural Fiber Organization Zoetermeer,
          The Netherlands
          Dilip.Tambyrajah@wxs.nl




                                                                                         15
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My foresight 3rd edition

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3. inside August 2011 features Editor’s Note p02 Initial Thoughts p04 Leader's Insights Envisioning Asia 2060 22 Experts' Insights p06 Foresight and Challenges in Communicating its Result to Decision Makers Industry Insights p09 New Business Potential Via Resource Recovery in the Wastewater Sector p15 Growing Together - Future Forum 2020: A Foresight Project for Natural Fiber p20 The Challenges of Research in Malaysia: Prioritisation of Research and Bringing Research to the Market 32 Foresight Interconnect™ p14 myForesight™ Bookclub cover story p22 Greening the Future Through Malaysian Biomass Initiatives (MBI) Trends & Issues p32 Cloud Computing for SMEs in Malaysia: A Public Private Partnership- Unlocking the Potential of Cloud Computing for a New World of Business p34 The National Science and Research Council 34 p38 Can We Ignore Nuclear? Viewpoints p40 Foresight on Construction Technology Manufactured Housing/Industrialised Building System (IBS) p48 A Letter From The Future EDITORIAL BOARD EDITOR-IN-CHIEF PUBLISHED BY Rushdi Abdul Rahim Malaysian Industry-Government Group for High Technology WRITERS Prime Minister's Department 3517, Jalan Teknokrat 5 Datuk Ir. Abdul Kadir Mohd Din 63000 Cyberjaya Selangor Darul Ehsan 40 Claudio Chauke Nehme www.might.org.my Marcio De Miranda Santos Lelio Fellows Filho FOR INQUIRIES Gilda Massari Coelho myForesight™ Dilip Tambyrajah Nik Ahmad Faizul Abdul Mallek Phone : +603 8315 7888 Puvaneswary Ramasamy Fax : +603 8312 0300 John Galligan E-mail : foresight@might.org.my Dr. Dzaharudin Mansor Website : www.myforesight.my Dr. Vilasini Pillai Muhammad Hasif Hasan DISCLAIMER Abdul Rahman Hamdan Any article included in this publication and/ Patrick Ethe Raj or opinions expressed therein do not necessarily K. Thambiratnam reflect the views of the myForesight™ M.S. Shahir but remain solely those of the author(s). CONTRIBUTORS The Publisher is not to be held responsible for Mohd Nurul Azammi Mohd Nudri any copyright violation of articles, which have been provided by contributing writers. Natrah Mohd Emran Mohd Afzanizam Mohd Bahrin Ani Suzila Anas Ahmad Nazri Abudin Mohd Kamaruzaman Abdullah
  • 4. August 2011 editor’s note Initial Thoughts BY RUSHDI ABDUL RAHIM Director myForesight™ rushdi@might.org.my Talk of the future has never failed to illicit comments from individuals with diverse and marginalizing opinions. This is especially true in the form of things we need to focus on to reach our desired future. I t has been an interesting quarter for us at u Utilization of a well-known framework/model; account; social & environmental impacts, safety & myForesight. The past few months saw us security etc. It is worth to note that PEMANDU 2 presenting our body of work to the global u The process must be transparent; themselves acknowledges the NKEA are not audience during the FTA conference in intended to be definitive but serves as a starting Seville, Spain; experts and colleagues in u Will be problems or issues based either point. Manchester Institute of Innovation Research realized or anticipated; (MIoIR) as well as participants of a seminar Tan Sri Dato Zulkifli’s article on envisioning organized by ISTIC-UNESCO. Whereas at u Trans-disciplinary and diverse engagement of Asia 2060 describes on the need of taking various the home front, recommendations were being stakeholders; factors into account in developing visions of the considered, uptakes on the focus areas are future. made and to be implemented into realizable u Considerations into long term impact and programmes. strategies; Through our participation of FTA conference in May, we have managed to widen our network, This is particularly true in the case of conversion u Considerations of resources and leverage on the experience of other countries that of palm oil into bio mass energy which is our competencies. has also conducted foresight initiatives. Therefore, cover story. The Malaysian Biomass initiative in this issue, we are providing the Brazilian (MBI) is a programme under the Global Science Foresight anyone? Keep watching this space for case study of the challenges in communicating Innovation Advisory Council (GSIAC) which more updates on this matter. You will find details foresight results to decision makers. was announced with much fanfare in New York on the NSRC on page 34. by our Prime Minister on the 17th of May 2011. For this issue, insights from the industry includes Leveraging on global network and expertise, Talk of the future has never failed to illicit Datuk Abdul Kadir’s piece on the business potential GSIAC will be the platform for Malaysia to tap comments from individuals with diverse and of waste water sector as well as contributions from into the knowledge of world renowned experts in marginalizing opinions. This is especially true in International Natural Fibre Organization on the their respective field in the realm on S&T. Suffice the form of things we need to focus on to reach future of natural fibre. to say that the selection of the initiative took stock our desired future. Now, it seems that everybody of the focus areas identified by myForesight. is currently jumping into the PEMANDU ETP As usual, we hope you find the magazine NKEA bandwagon. Unfortunately, there are beneficial and thought provoking. We have also presented findings that were made widespread misconceptions that anything that during the last National Technology Foresight to is not part of the NKEA is not worth taking We expect you to have your opinion on certain the newly formed National Science & Research a look. People tend to forget the NKEA are matters. We want to hear them. We welcome your Council (NSRC). One of the main tasks of the short to medium term focus areas which is feedback and contributions. NSRC was to identify and prioritize the focus intended on trying to achieve our aspirations areas for Malaysia’s R&D activities. Note that the of being developed nation by 2020. However council members pointed out that to prioritize in envisioning the future, there are other the areas, it must satisfy the following:- considerations that needs to be taken into
  • 5.
  • 6. August 2011 leader's insights Envisioning Asia 2060 BY Professor Tan Sri Dato' Dzulkifli Abd Razak Vice-Chancellor Universiti Sains Malaysia Experience has shown that countries that grow rich are not necessarily those well-endowed with natural resources but those that invest wisely in building their human capital and 4 allocating a reasonable percentage of their gross domestic product to research and development. A group of experts met last week The competing interests of economics and Union may be too Eurocentric to be modelled by at Tamkang University Graduate geopolitics are still measured and characterised Asians in creating a common platform. Institute of Future Studies in Taipei by rules and procedures dictated by several to discuss "Global Transitions and international agencies marked by their vested, if Interestingly, Jeremy Rifkin made a similar Asia 2060". The broad focus of the subtle, pro-West agenda. Hence, virtually nothing observation vis-a-vis the US when he recognised meeting, co-hosted by the US-based Foundation new emerges based on the "tangibles". Asia is as early as 2005 that the American Dream was for the Future was on three areas — climate, trailing very much behind, struggling with the dying. "The American model is not working political economy and identity. The writer gave the catch-up game laid out by the West. and globalisation under American stewardship keynote address. has failed totally," he was quoted as saying In contrast, the contending view based on the (International Herald Tribune, March 26-27, The meeting came out with four possible scenarios "intangibles" is a more challenging one, drawing 2005). for the future, ranging from a borderless Asia in a from the strengths and norms that are closely changing world to one that is fragmented over and associated with, if not uniquely, Asia. He envisioned an European Dream "while trying above the current geopolitical boundaries. The to make European policies the default for the rest possibility of some of the bigger countries splitting The key argument is about bringing into focus of the world..." up into North and South, or even East and West the unifying elements that could make an Asian portions was not ruled out. "entity" based on commonalities as a source of In the same way, Asia needs to be doubly cautious cohesiveness. These are by and large the enduring about blindly emulating the existing models in Overall, perhaps the two most contentious ideas shared Asian values, without which it is difficult the West, especially in a new millennium with its in the discussions related to the issue of the to imagine even a cluster as successful as ASEAN multitude of new challenges, given the perception "tangibles" against the "intangibles". The former lasting. This is critical to realise because Asia is that a shift of gravity is taking place from the West reflected the thinking of the previous century and too diverse in terms of not only its population and to Asia as the world's economic dynamo. was dominated by the existing Western-centric geographical size, but its level of development, matrixes despite the increasingly precarious governance and democracy, distribution of wealth, However, some are still in denial this is happening. position of the so-called "Washington consensus". as well as existing disparities. Thus, the European One view expressed in the Foreign Policy
  • 7. August 2011 leader's insights 5 magazine ( July-August 2009) noted that Asia is Second, unlike the Western hemisphere, its Eastern climate, for example, Asia's large population base nowhere near closing the economic and military counterpart has somehow been fragmented and the worsening overall pollution trends can gap with the West. It added that Asia does not into at least "Near", "Middle" and "Far" East that cripple its future ambitions. seem to play an equally inspiring role as the West ultimately make up much of Asia. To what extent as a thought leader. It seems that we are back to the can Asia iron out the apparent differences and Similarly, on the political economic front, some importance of the "intangibles" beyond the idea become a truly unified global force of the future? participants were mindful of Asia's history that is of nation-states and the capitalist ideology being Can Asia and its rich historical, cultural and littered with conflicts for power and resources, alien to this part of the world. After all, Asian roots civilisational experiences celebrate diversity as a now that China and India are being dubbed the are more community-oriented vis-a-vis that of major unifying platform towards a more globalised new colonisers. Americans and Europeans. world? Ultimately, this will have drastic ramifications for With respect to this, I posed three questions that Lastly, given that the Confucian, Vedic and Islamic the issue of identity for Asia's existence as a unique Asia needs to seriously ponder if it is to make a ethics are generally pervasive throughout Asia, non-Western entity and value system amidst the difference beginning five decades from now. First, how far can they collectively redefine the current faltering Western Dream (not just American) that as Asia pushes forward into the future, how much global ethics that evolved during the days of the Rifkin referred to. of the current global construct can it reshape Renaissance of Western Europe? This is taking to make it more just and fair? In the previous cognizance of the fact that today's global ethics That is not to say that Asians cannot learn from the centuries, many global agendas were pursued by are failing, as indicated by the various global experiences of others, since it is naive to assume the industrialised countries of the global north crises extending into ecology, economics and also that Asia has all the answers — especially in that invariably put their interests ahead of the geopolitics, which therefore need to be urgently creating a more inclusive Global Dream, one that rest, including Asia, perpetuating an uneven revisited. has the characteristics of an Asian Dream as well. playing field. Can Asia provide a more equitable leadership? In essence, to what extent are the three dimensions of climate, political economy and identity factored This article was published in The Edge Malaysia - into the Asia 2060 equation? On the issue of 22th November 2010
  • 8. August 2011 experts' insights Foresight and Challenges In Communicating Its Result To Decision Makers BY Claudio Chauke Nehme1,2, Marcio de Miranda Santos1, Lelio Fellows Filho1, Gilda Massari Coelho1 1-Centre for Strategic Studies and Management (CGEE) 2-Catholic University of Brasilia chauke@cgee.org.br This article is an excerpt from the original paper entitled “The Challenges of Communicating the Foresight Study Outcomes to Better Advise Decision Makers in Policy and Strategy Matters”. The paper was presented during the Fourth International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA) and Grand Societal Challenges in Seville, Spain on the 12-13th May 2011. 6 sharing perceptions, free of prejudices, cultural Introduction Out-of-the-box thinking in foresight influences, and reasoning processes. This concept exercises requires that experts and other stakeholders think The Center for Strategic Studies and Management about new possibilities and collectively foresee - CGEE is a non-profit Brazilian think tank, created The concept of out-of-the-box thinking adopted related approaches, imagine influences and impacts in 2001 and qualified as a Social Organization by the by CGEE is related to the Learning Organization regarding a specific issue. The mindset revision with Brazilian President, and supervised by Ministry of Theory (Tosey, 2005). The idea is to establish an experts and stakeholders uses mainly qualitative Science and Technology, in order to promote Science, oriented process aiming at making decisions or approaches. Technology and Innovation (ST&I) development to advance economic growth, competitiveness and well-being in Brazil. The scope of CGEE's activities Figure 1 CGEE's Methodological Approach covers three integrated themes: foresight studies; Definition of main objectives Planning main components strategic evaluation of large programs and projects; • Public policies and information and knowledge diffusion related to 1 • Strategic directives Strategic goals • • Strategic focus Time horizon the Brazilian ST&I System. CGEE is considered an • Special coverage • Institutional and expert mobilization interface organization in the ST&I environment. It • Duration and cost has the responsibility of articulating Government, Theme selection • Methodology (Method and techniques) 2 • Governmental plans and • Consultation (Target audience, extent, frequency and reach) Private Sector, Academia, and other relevant ST&I programs • Partners representatives in the sense of gathering collective • Priority issues • Relationships with ongoing initiatives • Critical questions • Available infrastructure understanding to develop its activities. From 2001 • Dissemination strategic Themes to date, CGEE has conducted nearly 400 foresight studies and program/project evaluations, mobilizing Initial phase Main phase Commitment phase Decision Making more than 2000 experts per year coming from 300 Look and see what What seems to be happening? What can be made? What will be done? institutions. 3 is happening What is really happening? What might happen? 4 How it will be done? • Collection and organization • Information interpretation • Dissemination of results • Selection of strategic What? This article addresses the challenges of of information • Knowledge production among stakeholders. options communicating the results of foresight processes to • Diagnostics studies and • Forecast and Foresight • Workshops. • Interaction of key How? methods and techniques • Publication and Brazilian decision makers in a way that truly supports analysis (Delphi, Roadmaps, communication tools decision makers • Intelligence systems • Options for strategic their decisions. It stresses the role of intangibles Scenarios, etc) (Report, Newsletters, Implementation of the • Better understanding of Press articles, Website) as a central outcome of foresight exercises and the Results SWOT and STEEPV • Network structuring main decision (Plans, • Collective learning • Extended perception of programs, etc) importance to promote out-of-the-box thinking. dimensions • Trends • List of key technologies strategic options. • Identification of other • Shared understanding of the • Consensus and Lessons learned are presented as well as a case study. main topic future implications commitment issues for future analysis. Information Knowlegde Commitment Strategy
  • 9. What? • Selection of strategic of information • Knowledge production among stakeholders. options • Diagnostics studies and • Forecast and Foresight • Workshops. • Interaction of key How? analysis methods and techniques • Publication and August 2011 decision makers • Intelligence systems (Delphi, Roadmaps, communication tools Scenarios, etc) (Report, Newsletters, • Options for strategic • Better understanding of Press articles, Website) Implementation of the • Network structuring main decision (Plans, Results SWOT and STEEPV • Collective learning • Extended perception of programs, etc) dimensions • List of key technologies strategic options. • Identification of other • Trends • Shared understanding of the • Consensus and issues for future main topic future implications commitment analysis. experts' insights Information Knowlegde Commitment Strategy Figure 2 Strategies to promote out-off-the-box thought FINEP: Defined Validation process Timeline Activities Understanding Premises FINEP: Government possible Company futures Short Term (5 years) Scenarios??? ST&I System FINEP’s Policy & PACTI Future Vision Action Plans Strategy PPA FINEP: Structuring National and international actions environments Possible answers How does to FINEP’s challenges FINEP perceive Studies and External Seminars: external scenarios possible reflexions about studies vs internal context futures influence relations Trends to short, middle, and long terms Group dynamics Game of change Planning Initial Consolidation Commitment phase Second, introducing collective intelligence phase phase over phase 7 Intangibles all phases of the process in a systematic manner Case study: Negotiation of the proposal is the key for achieving success (Glenn, 2010). Data Collection Final studies Brazilian Innovation Agency. Future vision High importance and attention isand governance model In other words, collaboration, interaction and given to the generation of intangibles along the development communication are all important, as well as Preliminary diagnosis This topic describes briefly how CGEE recently Future trends and potential Core competencies of strategic foresight exercises. The process of Initiating the process attempts to design and plan the foresight exercise on FINEP future impacts conducted an organizational foresight exercise for the sharing experiences, the collective learning and with a sense of anticipation, pointing out the most Survey main federal ST&I funding agency in Brazil – FINEP, (Includes final results of the Strategic objectives understanding, the creation of shared commitment difficult points and where revisions of mindsets areinterviews known as the Brazilian Innovation Agency GTs, timeline, also with stakeholders and on the main decisions to be taken and the and discussionexpected. Preliminary studies Presentation shared workshops) (Coelho, et al., 2011). FINEP's mission is to promote Strategic roadmap of the work plan vision on future possibilities are all intangibles to the economic and social development in Brazil through be pursued. Their value many times surpasses and The foresight Timeline exercises conducted by CGEE public funding of science, technology and innovation Implementation of complements tangible outcomes, such as reports the governance model Figure comprise three distinct phases, as seen inUpdated diagnosis businesses, universities, technological institutions in and publications, as they are usually absorbed as 1. The InitialBenchmarking Phase establishes the baseline of the (Includes final results of theother public and private organizations. and knowledge by those participating. GTs, benchmarking, SWOT, exercise, usually mapping what is going surveyand workshops) on related Interviews to the main issue. The Main Phase is where most The challenge of promoting out-of-the-box thinking interpretation of information takes place and was very complex in this case. It required a broad creativity is required at the bestand validation workshops Mobilization, thematic of the participant’s exercise of exploring future perspectives and a Methodological Approach capacity. Studies, scenario planning, workshops, systematic process of questioning "what is going on" and and electronic tools are applied, among others, in "what should we do differently", with the participation There are some key elements embedded in order to revise and transform mindsets, understand of staff and a range of potential beneficiaries and CGEE's methodological approach. First and most possible futures associated to the main issues. In stakeholders. Figure 2 presents the main ideas and important, stakeholders must be involved in the this phase, CGEE intends to build a good decision- designed strategy on how out-of-the-box thinking was exercise from the very beginning. They must feel making process, making it as comprehensive as implemented at the agency. comfortable and confident to participate in all possible. In the Dissemination Phase the main phases, irrespective to the complexities involved. recommendations are fine-tuned with decision The turning point to truly revise its mindset was when To have them engaged, CGEE’s team must listen, makers in all their aspects and an implementation FINEP was prepared to visualize its challenges and interpret and understand the client’s needs, strategy is first designed. a feasible strategic position for itself in the future. In desires and preoccupations and to describe and other words, to define a challenging, yet successful, translate - to all participants, in an understandable Future Vision required a strategy which, on one hand, way - the main objectives and strategic goals taking should balance the knowledge related to the present into consideration possibilities, opportunities and and some relevant future possibilities, and on the other different perspectives. hand, should compare, contrast and merge the internal and external views.
  • 10. FINEP: Structuring ternational actions August 2011 Possible answers How does to FINEP’s challenges FINEP perceive Studies and External l scenarios possible reflexions about studies futures influence relations Trends to short, middle, and long terms dynamics experts' insights Game of change Figure 3 Methodological process for the development of FINEP/SMP situation emerges from the policy environment. The sense of timing is related to the sense of opportunity so as to create initiatives and projects Planning Initial Consolidation Commitment phase phase phase phase in the course of a government mandate. The main challenge is to introduce a long-term perception Negotiation of the proposal Data Collection Final studies Future vision and analysis to elaborate strategic foresight for the and governance model interest of the State. Preliminary diagnosis Future trends and potential Core competencies Initiating the process future impacts on FINEP Second, in the corporate sector, in general, there is Survey (Includes final results of the Strategic objectives doubt about the importance of long-term strategies. GTs, timeline, interviews Presentation and discussion with stakeholders and The sense of timing is driven by the necessity of Preliminary studies of the work plan workshops) Strategic roadmap urgent decision-making. An aptitude can be noted Timeline for a competitive intelligence approach rather than Implementation of Updated diagnosis strategic foresight. But, on the other hand, when a the governance model Benchmarking (Includes final results of the strategic foresight starts to make sense, this kind GTs, benchmarking, SWOT, of stakeholder usually invests in getting involved Interviews surveyand workshops) in the foresight exercise and, afterwards, becomes one of the most active decision makers and takes Mobilization, thematic and validation workshops advantage of the foresight outcomes. Last, the Academia circle has strong barriers in accepting strategic foresight conduction. In this The construction process, shown in Figure stakeholders – around three thousand people-, not case, time is not a problem; the scientific and 3, was participatory and involved internal and only with the process, but also – and mainly – with methodological rigor is more important and it is external stakeholders in a continuous process of its continuity. crucial to get this kind of stakeholder involved. After value addition to the information obtained in the this first moment, the strategic foresight exercise process, always searching for consensus among the This represents an important intangible gain, where becomes an extremely gratifying activity. 8 participants at the various stages of the process. the process was as important as the outcomes. Strategic foresight proved to be a powerful In concluding, the Foresight exercises are usually The planning phase included defining the strategic instrument for long-term planning, counting on exposed to some dangerous traps or milestones management plan methodology and governance a diversity of methods and techniques and, above along their applications. In order to avoid model for managing the process, motivating and all, having flexibility and resilience in its application these situations, it is important to note some mobilizing the workforce. which enabled its adaptation to the specific needs characteristics related to each group: of the study. Some premises oriented the proposal: n Government representatives frequently start The principle of participation that generates making decisions before interpreting what was n Participatory process - the involvement of commitment and the use of methods that rely obtained in the first phase (information and managers, employees, experts and stakeholders simultaneously on evidence, creativity, expertise data gathering), as discussed before. in all stages of the process. and interaction, conferred methodological robustness to the process and provided quality to n Corporate executives may have difficulties n Commitment by the senior management, the results. thinking beyond their business. Foresight regarding the process, the methodology and exercises and innovation strategies are the results obtained. interconnected and it is important to stress the possible influence and impacts from other n Strategies focused on prospective vision and on Lessons learned business segments. the definition of strategic guidelines covering horizons of 5, 10 and 15 years. The case study presented, as well as others prepared n Academia often has difficulties thinking by CGEE, identified three types of decision makers: beyond disciplinary structures. Due to a long n Thinking out-of-the-box, with the stimulus to do government, corporate, and academia. disciplinary tradition of research and learning different things differently. in the academic world, when foresight exercises Their different perspectives must be taken into and innovation strategies are applied to new n Governance model built to contribute to the consideration during the development of the future possibilities in academia, huge efforts development of the plan, validation and foresight study and when communicating its of mindset revision and transformation are application of results and with clear attribution results. Preparation and delivery timing vary needed. of responsibilities between the parties. substantially among government, corporate and academia clients, so it is very important to be aware and respect their timing. The methodological approach assured, through the participatory process, the commitment of First, the Government sector usually desires to an expressive contingent of internal and external make decisions when some problem or urgent
  • 11. August 2011 industry insights New Business Potential Via Resource Recovery in the Wastewater Sector BY Datuk Ir. Abdul Kadir Mohd. Din Chief Executive Officer, Indah Water Konsortium Sdn. Bhd. 9 Biosolids Bioffluent Dewatering Biogas
  • 12. August 2011 Disposed Thickening Biogas Anaerobic Digestion Dewatering Biosolids industry insights Figure 1 Typical Sewage Treatment Process - Activated Sludge System - INTRODUCTION Preliminary Treatment Secondary Treatment Historically, the first thought of sewage treatment dates back to the end of 18th Century when Coarse Grit Removal Grease Anoxic Aeration Clarifier septic tanks were introduced in the West. By the Screen Trap Tank Tank nineteenth century sewage treatment methods developed rapidly to meet the needs of basic Raw sanitation. Today, modern and sophisticated Influent Fine Screen Treated treatment technologies are continuously developed Effluent for the purpose of protection of environmental Pump Sump RAS quality in a cost efficient manner. The key driver Screenings for this trend is the increasing need for a more Scum Sludge Treatment WAS sustainable long term solution in terms of both the Grit economics and the environment. In this regard, the current practice in safe disposal Disposed Thickening Biogas of end products from sewage treatment namely, the effluent and sewage sludge, will no longer be able Anaerobic Digestion to meet the complex environmental challenges of climate and water sensitive futures. For this, the Dewatering Biosolids sewage treatment industry needs to be transformed into a resource harvesting industry. This paper describes the paradigm shift from traditional basic Figure 2 Resource Potential from Sewage Treatment treatment to potential new business model via resource recovery in the sewerage sector. The key Sewage Treatment Plant idea is utilizing the ‘Green Technology’ and ‘Zero 10 Waste Concept’ to transform the sewerage industry By-Product into a sustainable and economically attractive model. Effluent Biosolids Biogas The Basic Sewage Treatment Current Fare The typical treatment process flow for a modern Discharge Dispose Flare mechanized activated sludge plant is depicted in Figure 1. Calorific Value: Methane : 65 - 70% Potential Values BOD < 50 mg/l < 3,500 kcal/kg CO2 : < 25% Basically it involves 2 main components namely: (i) COD < 100 mg/l N < 3%; P < 1%; K < 0.1% N2: < 5% Pre-treatment for grit and grease removal; (ii) Main SS < 100 mg/l Organic Matter < 50% treatment process units where the major organic and solids pollutants are removed via Biological process (ie. secondary treatment). The secondary Fertilizer/ Recycle Water Renewable Energy Renewable Energy treatment process involves a reactor or tank for biological breakdown of organic pollutant by native sewage microbes (i.e. MLSS). This basic secondary treatment technology produces clear effluent that can be discharged into the environment, whilst foot print. The latest being a variation of Sequencing Plausible scenarios were the waste sludge (WAS) is typically stabilized and dewatered into semisolid form (at 15-20% dry solid Batch Reactors, Moving Bed Bioreactor, Membrane Bioreactor, Combination of Anaerobic then created to enable content; also known as biosolids) for disposal to UASB (Upflow Anaerobic Sludge Blanket) and the identification of landfills. If the stabilization process is involved, Aerobic systems. Although these developments technology priorities that there is anaerobic sludge digestion and biogas is produces high quality treated effluent, the waste produced as well. by-products remains typically disposed unto the is required to support the receiving environment. nation’s vision 2020. More recently technologies are focused on enhancing nutrient removal namely nitrogen and phosphorus as well as in reducing the operating energy requirement of systems as well as smaller
  • 13. August 2011 industry insights Figure 3 Bioeffluent Reuse example of bio-effluent quality is shown in Figure 3. Treated effluent without any additional Parameters Units Average WHO Std MOH Std • IWK’s Pilot Project – Effluent to Recycle Water treatment was also found to be beneficial to • The results meet the WHO and MOH standard. plant growth, potentially with chlorination such Colour Hazen <5 15 15 application can be widely and applied. Such Turbidity NTU <0.5 5 5 potential needs to be realized as it will greatly Aluminium mg/l <0.01 0.2 0.2 relieve water stress areas and contribute towards Chloride mg/l <1 250 250 sustainable water resources for future. Copper mg/l <0.01 2 1 The potential benefits of biosolids reuse is far H2S mg/l <0.01 0.05 0.05 RO Units reaching. R&D studies has shown there is sufficient Iron mg/l <0.01 0.3 0.3 nutrient content in the biosolids where the typical Manganese mg/l <0.01 0.5 0.1 values of N:P:K average at 3% of the biosoilds whilst its organic matter content is typically more Sodium mg/l 5.58 200 200 than 50% and can contribute to improving soil Sulfate mg/l 1.75 400 400 CMF-S UNIT RO UNIT conditions and nutrient uptake for plant growth TDS mg/l 12.9 1000 1000 (see Figure 4). The energy value contained in Zinc mg/l 0.02 3 5 Advantages of Recycled Bioeffluent System the dry solids is also a potential to be tapped via gasification process. Analysis of typical biosolids Flouride mg/l 0.07 1.5 0.9 • No requirement for advance technology • Low capital cost from IWK plants in Malaysia show the calorific Hardness mg/l <1 30* 500 • Easy installation, operation & maintenance value ranging from 2000 to 3500 kcal/kg. Silica mg/l 0.2 10* 10* • Reliable source, quantity • Low price compare to potable water Another potential is the energy available within biogas generated from anaerobic digestion, at 65% methane composition there is a minimum Figure 4 Biosolids Reuse of 5000kcal/m3 of biogas being generated (Figure 5). For each of these potentials the Green Technology methods and approaches 11 are summarized in Table 1 and Figure 6. Green Technology is envisioned by Malaysia’s Premier Y.A.B. Dato’ Sri Mohd. Najib bin Tun Haji Abdul Razak as one of the emerging drivers Co-composting of Sewage Sludge and Vermicomposting of Municipals Solid Waste Utilisation of Sewage Sludge of economic growth for the nation. The national sewage sludge as Soil Amendment Green Technology Policy was officially launched in July 2009 which defines green technology as "the development and application of products, equipment and systems used to conserve the natural environment and resources, which minimizes and reduces negative impact of human activities”. Hence technology for resource recovery for water, Utilisation of Sewage Biosolids as Fertilizer for Sludge as Fertiliser for Non-Food Crop: Application in nutrients for soil and vegetation and renewable Various Crops Rubber Plantation energy is very much in line with our national BIOSOLIDS aspirations for a green economy that meets the Advantages of Biosolids as a Fertilizer complex demand of the impending carbon neutral and sustainable future. 1. Reduced used of chemical fertilizer 2. No smell, reliable source & quantity 3. Low capital cost, easy installation, operation & maintenance 4. Low price compared to chemical fertilizer Sewage Sludge in 5. Premium quality where biological base enhances soil fertility Forest Rehabilitation & & nutrient uptake Strategies and Way Forward Regeneration The application of Green Technology to produce value and material from sewerage waste by products the potential value for reuse is summarized will have the following benefits: Potential New Business in in Figure 2. Treated effluent can be reused Sewage via Resource Recovery & for landscaping and industrial applications. • Minimize discharge of treated effluent into Green Technology Application Local research had identified this potential water courses and reduce potable water and shown that with additional downstream stress. There are three (3) waste byproducts, treated filtration units that can range from • Environmental friendly outlet for Biosolids effluent, biosolids and biogas that can be converted media based, to membrane and or RO types can whereby disposal to landfill is avoided. for beneficial reuse is as shown in Figure 1 whilst produce bioeffluent for industrial uptake. An
  • 14. August 2011 industry insights • Biogas as Cheaper source of electricity is Figure 5 Biogas Reuse as Renewable Energy found. • Green house gas emissions is minimized. Typical Biogas Characteristics Towards Green Technology Biogas to • Public satisfaction is eventually achieved Renewable Energy Parameters Units Value when the highest level environmental quality Carbon Dioxide (CO2) % v/v 28 is maintained. • BIOGAS - Valuable source of untapped • Sustainable sewerage development could be energy potential. Oxygen (O2) % v/v <1 achieved. Methane (CH4) % v/v 65 • Sustainable option to reduce Moisture Content % v/v 4 However, there are barriers and challenges to consumption of fossil based electricity; Nitrogen (N2) % v/v 3 successful implementation of Green Technology for resource recovery in the sewerage sector. The • Supports the Government’s target primary barriers and challenges include the lack towards increasing the use of renewable of funding; lack of incentive schemes; lack of energy. economic of scale for immediate implementation of the initiatives, lack of locally acclimatized affordable technology, poor public acceptance of the recycled products. As such, to overcome this, the following strategy and action plans need to be agreed and developed: • Government to provide grant or funds to Biogas Generation Units Power Generation Unit encourage 3R – for new waste minimization and recycling projects. • Implement Pilot Projects to demonstrate Figure 6 Illustration of Green Technology Applications for The Sewerage Sector the use of Green Technology for successful GHG (CO2) 12 utilization of sewerage waste products to be implemented. GHG (CO2 and N2O) (Flared) GHG (CO2, N20, CH4) • Allocate Research & Development funds Energy (Electricity) dedicated to encourage innovation in cheaper GHGs (CO2) GHG (Biogas) cleaner production of treated Bioeffluent, fertilizer and renewable energy such as from Biosolids and Biogas. • Intensive and creative public awareness Sewage Sludge Dewatered program to educate the public on recycling WASTEWATER TREATMENT ANAEROBIC METHANE Biosolids SEWAGE SLUDGE of sewerage by-products. Vs Vs Vs • Provide Policy & Guidelines for utilization of WATER RECLAIMATION BIOGAS BIOSOLIDS sewerage beneficial products such as treated Bioeffluent, fertilizer and energy source. • Community engagement to be encouraged Renewable Energy Fuel for via small medium industry entrepreneurship Recycled Bio-Effluent for Power/Electricity Fertilizer; Soil Conditioner; & program and good incentives for Green Landscape & Industry Use Renewable Energy Fuel Technology projects. • More regional plants to be established to provide the economics of scale to generate IWK as the national sewerage services provider Plausible scenarios were • Biosolids and Biogas of critical mass. All regional plants shall be provided with is well positioned to realize such new business then created to enable opportunities for Malaysia. It is envisaged Malaysia anaerobic digestion for sludge treatment. can lead other emerging nations to transform the identification of • Developer shall be encouraged with sewerage services into sustainable model. For a start technology priorities that incentives to build Zero Waste plants. IWK has taken initiative to establish demonstration • Integrated resource management to be projects on bioeffluent reuse with government’s is required to support the advocated, planned and developed for support and is looking into biogas demonstration nation’s vision 2020. implementation. projects at IWK’s regional plants. With further government support the vision of Malaysia as leader in sewerage transformation (Figure 7) for Asia can be realized.
  • 15. August 2011 industry insights Table 1 Green Technology Methods for Resource Recovery Sewerage Green Technology Valued Added Inherent Values Intervention Required By-Products Applications Products/Applications Water source Purification and Disinfection Membrane filtration, Recycled water for Ultrafiltration Reverse Industries/Landscape Use. Osmosis Treated Effluent Nutrient Source – e.g. Nitrogen Source separation & nutrient Biotransformation and Recycled Nutrient capsules, & Phosphorus; Excess Residual recovery Bioaccumulation using Nutrient Feed Meal for Pharmaceuticals microbes, algae and/or Livestock; Recovered duckweeds pharmaceuticals. Fluidized Bed Reactors Organic Matter ;Macro & Micro Bioconversion Process Composting & Bulk Organic Media Fertilizer Nutrients (i.e. N:P:K, Mg, Ca, Zn, Vermicomposting Fe, Mn);. Fortification and nutrient Mixing and packaging Soil Conditioner Pellets/ supplementation Briquettes; Retail Fertilizer Pellets Energy/Heating Value Conversion to fuel pellets Thermal drying Co-firing fuel for Energy Biosolids Intensive Industry Conversion to Hydrogen gas Gasification Renewable Energy for and eventually to electricity Fuel Cell Technology Power Supply Conversion to Biogas Anaerobic Digestion Renewable Energy for Power Supply 13 Energy/Heating Value Conversion to electricity Biogas Engine & Renewable Energy for Biogas Fuel Cell Technology Power Supply Figure 7 Transformation From a Utility (Brown) Model to a Resource Recovery (Green) Model Summary and Conclusion Source separation There is enormous benefit to be gained from Wastewater generation the application of Green Technology to harvest the much untapped resources in the sewerage sector. For this, we need to transform the manner sewage treatment is being planned and developed Energy Wastewater in this country. Malaysia needs to leap frog our collection & sewerage services into a zero waste, and product conveyance system Nutrient Water harvesting based on the waste to wealth model Wastewater that is both environmentally and economically conveyance system Wastewater sustainable. With the higher vision of sewage Treated treatment system as a resource instead of waste, the drive is to Biosolids Disposal establish green technologies to produce feedstock and by-products that could be used to catalyze Treated Wastewater Biogas downstream processing to produce value added Disposal Flare materials which have economic benefits (waste to wealth concept). In the future, it is inevitable that sewage treatment could be a lucrative business when all the stakeholders could appreciate the Energy inherent potential in this industry. Malaysia can establish a Green Technology Hub and be a leader BROWN ENVIRONMENT GREEN ENVIRONMENT in this waste to wealth concept and strategize its sustainability through zero waste management.
  • 16. August 2011 BookClub LeARnIng fRoM THe fUTURe: coMPeTITIve foReSIgHT ScenARIoS Liam Fahey/ Robert Randall. Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc Published 1997/11 SUSTAInABLe exceLLence: THe fUTURe of BUSIneSS In A fAST-cHAngIng woRLD Aron Cramer/ Zachary Karabell YoUng PeoPLe, eDUcATIon, AnD SUSTAInABLe DeveLoPMenT: exPLoRIng PRIncIPLeS, PeRSPecTIveS, AnD PRAxIS Peter Blaze Corcoran (Editor), Philip Molo Osano (Editor) • ISBN-10: 9780471303527 • ISBN-13: 978-0471303527 How important is nit to know and learn from the future? Today’s business landscape is changing: Natural 14 resources are growing ever more scarce and In recent decades, the world has often been caught expensive. Technology and changing consumer unaware by momentous events–oil shortages expectations are making transparency a fact of life. and gluts, the collapse of the Soviet empire, and The rise of emerging economies creates vast market technology that quickly transformed whole opportunities for companies—and better living industries. The question is, how do we learn to standards for hundreds of millions. anticipate and find opportunities in such sudden • ISBN-10: 9086860931 ISBN-10: 9086860931 crises? In Sustainable Excellence, Aron Cramer and Zachary • ISBN-13: 978-9086860937 Karabell tell the stories of the companies who are The future will always be unpredictable, but with the transforming themselves by responding to these Young people, education and sustainable right techniques, it can be anticipated and managed. paradigm shifts and in the process shaping the future. developement is a collection of 38 essays co- From their work with several international companies, authored by 68 contributors from 25 nations, Learning from the Future reveals how these Cramer and Karabell know firsthand how business representing a diversity of geography, gender, and innovative organizations harness imagination and can successfully grapple with big-picture issues like generation. strategic management techniques to create scenarios resource scarcity, supply chain complexities, and that simulate future opportunities and threats. This the diverse expectations of government and the Young people have an enormous stake in the book makes preparing for unpredictable futures a public. In Sustainable Excellence, they tell the stories present and future state of Earth. Almost half of the practical part of every manager’s job. It shows how of how Coca-Cola and Greenpeace collaborated human population is under the age of 25. If young scenario learning readies companies for industry on a refrigerator that fights climate change, how people's resources of energy, time, and knowledge and market evolutions and customers′ new needs. companies like Best Buy and Nike are transforming are misdirected towards violence, terrorism, Scenario learning envisions how industry segments the very products they sell to deliver more value to socially isolating technologies, and unsustainable may gain or lose profit potential, how certain consumers with less waste, how GE and Google consumption, civilization risks destabilization. Yet, technologies could dominate a market or fail to created an innovative partnership that is developing there is a powerful opportunity for society if young be accepted, how new trends could propel mass “smart grids” that radically reduce energy use, and people can participate positively in all aspects of markets, what circumstances could derail a merger. how business leaders like Starbucks’ founder and sustainable development. In order to do so young CEO Howard Schultz put sustainable excellence at people need education, political support, resources, To help readers construct truly useful scenarios and the center of his company’s business strategy. skills, and hope. learn from them, this book offers the latest insights of 25 internationally known scenario developers. Through these and other fascinating stories This volume offers a global perspective on Their case studies explore rapid technology Sustainable Excellence makes the case for a different education initiatives by and for young people that innovation, regulatory destabilization, actions by way of doing business – one that will define both promote a transition to sustainability. new or traditional competitors, and investment business success and economic vitality in the 21st opportunities. century.
  • 17. August 2011 industry insights Growing Together – Future Forum 2020 A Foresight Project for Natural Fiber BY Dilip Tambyrajah Secretary, The International Natural Fiber Organization Zoetermeer, The Netherlands Dilip.Tambyrajah@wxs.nl 15