1. Energy and Power Africa
Cornelis van der Waal
Business Unit Leader - Africa
Sponsored by:
We Accelerate Growth
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2. Africa – Did you know ?
$1 trillion 60% 30% 7 000MW
Needed over The % of Of Africa’s Is needed
the Next 20 Africa’s Electricity Every Year in
Years to Meet Population Demand is Africa to Meet
Africa’s Power without from the Growth
Demand Electricity Mining Demand
Access Sector
> 1%
Africa’s Share of Global RE 250MW 9% 13%
Investment in 2011 Is the Average Africa Accounts
Additional Growth in for 13% of the
Cogeneration Genset World's
Planned for Rental On Population, but
Africa by 2016 the Accounts for
Continent Only 5% of
Global Energy
Consumption
13% 5.5%
Of the Global Average
Hydro Potential Economic
is in Africa (Less Growth
than 20% of this Across the
Developed to Continent
Date)

3. So What will Shape this Market?
Energy and Power
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4. A number of countries have been identified as high potential
growth areas
Medium Term Country Opportunity Outlook (Africa), 2012-2017
Morocco
Algeria Libya Egypt
Western Sahara
Senegal Mauritania
Mali Niger Chad
Gambia Sudan
Guinea Bissau
Guinea Nigeria
Sierra Leone Ethiopia
CAR
Liberia Ghana
Benin Somalia
Burkina Cote D’Ivoire Togo DRC Kenya
Faso Cameroon
Uganda
Equatorial Guinea Tanzania
Republic of Congo
Gabon Angola
Zambia
Current RE Mix in Africa (2011)
Mozambique
Namibia
High Growth Zimbabwe
Botswana
Medium Growth South Africa
Low Growth * Electricity development driven by
mineral resources
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5. The Current Level of Electrification is a Good Indicator of
Economic Expansion Realities in the Medium Term
Levels of Electrification in Selected African Countries
High Electricity Access
Medium Electricity Access
Low Electricity Access
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6. Energy Demand and Supply Analysis – Where are the Gaps?
3000 25%
2500
20%
2000
MW 15% %
Growt
1500
h
10%
1000
5%
500
0 0%
Energy Deficit in MW Electricity Demand
Percentage Growth for
2011 Note: South Africa's existing power infrastructure
is in need of significant maintenance
Africa’s fast growing markets have significant deficits in their electricity supply, a
gap which is necessary to fill to fuel its economic growth
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7. Where are the Key Projects?
22,000 MW of renewable 7,200 MW of
energy (solar and wind) to wind power
be developed between 2011 generation
and 2030 capacity
Morocco
Algeria
Egypt
2,000 MW Wind
Power Plant and
2,000 MW Solar 1,800MW Gibe III
Power Plan is currently under
Nigeria Ethiopia construction
Mediterranean
Solar Plan (MSP) Kenya
and Desertec
(DII) are the
650MW combined driving seat for
cycle gas plant the renewable
(CCGT) energy growth
World’s 3rd
largest
supercritical coal South Africa 428km
transmission
fired plant
line project
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8. RE Planned Growth
Installed Capacity 2011 Planned Capacity by 2020
Kenya, 1 852
Algeria, 29 Kenya, 250 Ethiopia, 857
Algeria, 4 600 Tanzania, 274
Ethiopia, 14 Uganda, 114
Rwanda, 104
Tanzania, 32
Egypt, 567 Uganda, 56 South Africa,
Rwanda, 7 6 000
South Africa,
10 Egypt, 7 350
Morroco, 300
Morroco,
Tunisia, 115 Tunisia, 650 4 000
1,380 MW 25,800 MW
Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass
> > >
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9. Distributed Power and Africa – The Next Best Thing?
Key
Installed Power Rental (2011)
70MW Suppliers
Installed Power Rental (2009)
100MW
New Equipment Sales (2009)
$13.9 Million
Installed Power Rental (2011)
New Equipment Sales (2009)
408MW
$900 Million
New Equipment Sales (2009)
$16 Million
Installed Power Rental (2012)
New Equipment Sales (2009)
393MW
$14.5 Million
New Equipment Sales (2009)
$101.8 Million
New Equipment Sales (2011)
$164.3 Million
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10. South Africa in Focus
South Africa – Focus Renewable Energy:
17GW by 2030
Solar: PV and CSP a combined target
Eskom 5 year $40 billion of 9.4GW
Wind: 8.4GW target with a key focus
Investment Budget - on localisation
Other: 1000MW of small hydro,
13% Transmission municipal waste to energy and
55% Generation biomass
13% Distribution
New IPP’s Licenced in 2012:
8% Other
2030 - 9.6GW Added 31 RE Projects
Nuclear 3,725biddingup for allocation at present with
more
MW is
rounds expected shortly
In excess of $50 billion expected
before 2025
Significant opportunity for
Distribution Backlog (2012):
nuclear equipment suppliers $4.3 Billion
Significant opportunity for local Poor infrastructure management the past 15
manufacturers years has created a significant opportunity
Key focus on transformers, switchgear, smart
metring and cables
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11. Conclusions
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