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Energy efficiency
in Russia:
new opportunities
As of December,
2011
2
About this document
• 	 The goal of this document is to describe significant changes which took place in energy efficiency space in
Russia as well as current trends in Russian society and State policies aimed to increase sustainable use of
energy resources. Moreover its purpose is to outline new investment opportunities in dynamically growing
energy efficiency market place
• 	 Document is targeting mostly foreign investors and leaders of global energy efficiency market who posses
this unique opportunity to enter a new territory with large potential for investments into energy saving
technologies and equipment
• 	 Here we outline various direction for improvement of energy efficiency in Russian economy and give high level
assessment of market potential. The focus of this document is on priority areas assessed based on the size of
potential, the existing infrastructure and readiness of normative base for stimulating investments:
- Energy savings in buildings
- Decreasing losses of heat and energy
- Improvement of energy efficiency of heat and electricity generation
• 	 Moreover this document describes the results of recent reforms in Russian regulation to increase and
stimulate energy efficiency and existing programs of various institutions and organizations aimed at
supporting project in energy efficiency space.
3
Executive summary
• 	 Lengthy economic decline in the 1990s and insufficient investment in the early 2000s led to a deficit of investments in infrastructure and the energy industry. In
recent years Russia has stepped up its investments, including investments in energy efficiency projects, but despite the robust growth, increase in investments
and demographic recovery of recent years there is still a significant gap in energy efficiency between the Russian economy and those of major countries, which
hampers Russia’s competitiveness
• 	 In 2008 energy efficiency was proclaimed a priority for the modernization of the Russian economy. Public policy in the area of energy savings is aimed at
attracting investment and foreign experience into the sector. The state has taken a range of systemic measures to develop this sector
	 In 2009, the main law 261-FZ was enacted, creating a foundation for energy efficiency in Russia. Over 50 regulations were approved in record time to
create a firm basis for the development of energy efficiency businesses (transition to meter-based payment for energy consumption, obligatory energy
audits for public and regulated bodies, regional energy saving programs, creation of an energy services market, requirement with respect to energy
efficiency class labeling and many other measures)
	 Under the State Energy Efficiency Program, approved in December 2010, RUB 5.2 bn per year were made available to co-finance regional energy efficiency
projects, other supporting measures were enacted, the Russian Energy Agency was created
	 The Presidential Commission for Modernization ran pilot projects in 14 regions and 25 municipalities and published generic technical and organizational
solutions; legislative barriers to developing energy savings in housing, public sector bodies, small-scale energy production and utilities infrastructure were
removed
	 Development institutes have focused on energy efficiency. The Skolkovo innovation center has created an Energy Efficiency Cluster (over 120 projects
related to energy savings), RUSNANO has invested over SD 1.5bn, banks such as Gazprombank, Vnesheconombank, VTB group banks have started offering
specialized lending products for energy efficiency and created energy services subsidiaries
• 	 The market niche for energy efficient technologies in Russia is only just taking shape. The investment potential of identified projects with a payback period of
under 5 years exceeds USD 30bn. Most attractive areas for investors include improvement of energy efficiency of buildings and heating systems, new energy
efficient consuming equipment installations and distributed power generation projects. Right now global leaders in energy efficiency have a unique opportunity
to discover a new growing market with enormous potential
•
•
•
•
4
0. The Russian macroeconomic environment
1. The Russian energy industry — investment opportunities
2. Energy efficiency of the Russian economy
3. Energy efficiency legislation — reform outcomes
4. Public policy in energy efficiency
5. Development institutes and their programs
Energy efficiency in Russia:
new opportunities
5
The Russian macroeconomic
environment
Russia is seventh in the world for GDP volume and growth remains rapid. Thus, between 2000 and 2010 average
GDP growth amounted to 4.8% in real terms and to 5.2% by purchasing power parity. Thus, the Russian economy is
attractive for investment due to a balanced combination of high growth rates and average per capita incomes that are
sufficient to sustain one of the largest consumer markets in Europe
Russia is a rapidly developing country
with 7th
largest economyin the world
Russia is the 7th
largest economy in the world
GDP by purchasing power parity
USD bn, 2010
1
In 2005 prices
USA 14,527
China 10,243
10,243
4,197
2,910
2,234
2,232
2,193
2,179
1,907
Japan
India
Germany
In 1997 Russia became
a G8 member
United Kingdom
Russia
France
Brazil
Italy
0,57
9
2000 2005 2010
0,76
12
0,91
14
Robust GDP growth: annual growth of about 5% since 2000
GDP in real terms1
USD bn
GDP by purchasing power parity per capita1
USD ‘000 per capita
4,8 %
p. a.
5,2 %
p. a.
SOURCE: EIU; Global Insight
6
Russia has gained significant
financial strength since 2000
SOURCE: Central Bank of Russia; EIU; CIA World Factbook
Russia has accumulated significant international reserves (3rd in the world)
International reserves
USD bn
International reserves
USD bn, 2010
Public debt as percentage of GDP fell to 9,4% in 2010, which is among
the lowest in the world
Public debt
GDP percentage
Public debt
GDP percentage, 2010
Foreign direct investment (FDI)
has seen stable growth
FDI volumes in Russia
USD bn
FDI accounts for a larger
percentage of GDP than is the case
for most large economies
FDI in different countries
GDP percentage, 2010
China
Russia
United
Kingdom
India
Germany
USA
3,1
2,9
2,1
1,4
1,4
1,2
2000	 2005	 2010
3
13
43
2000	 2005	 2010
2000	 2005	 2010
28
182
479
2 876
1 063
479 445 387 292 289 287
56,8
14,2
9,4
83,4
76,1
62,9
50,7
16,2
Russia
Russia
China Japan Russia Taiwan South
Korea
Brazil IndiaSaudi
Arabia
India ChinaUSAUnited KingdomGermany
+33 %
p. a.
32 %
p. a.
The Russian macroeconomic
environment
7 SOURCE: Federal State Statistics Service (Russia) ; Ministry of Health and Social Development of Russia
The socio-economic environment
in Russia is improving
The demographic situation in Russia is improving
Birth rate and mortality in Russia
Millions people per annum
Unemployment is among the lowest in major countries and is decreasing
Unemployment in Russia
Percent, 2000–2010
Unemployment in major countries
Percent, 2010
Income levels are rising
Per capita income
RUB ‘000 per month, 2010 prices
Life expectancy1
Eears
0
0
1,5
65
66
67
68
69
2000
2000 India USA Russia Germany Brazil ChinaUnited
Kingdom
05 2010
2000 02 04 06 08 2010201001 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09
2,0
2,5
Births
Deaths
1
Average life expectancy at birth
7
10,6 10,0 9,6
7,5 7,1 6,7 6,1
7,87,6 7,5
9
12
15
18
19
10 %
p. a.
The Russian macroeconomic
environment
8
0. The Russian macroeconomic environment
1. The Russian energy industry — investment opportunities
2. Energy efficiency of the Russian economy
3. Energy efficiency legislation — reform outcomes
4. Public policy in energy efficiency
5. Development institutes and their programs
Energy efficiency in Russia:
new opportunities
9 SOURCE: BP Statistical Review of World Energy, June 2011
Russia is among world’s
biggest power markets
USA China Japan Russia India Canada Germany France Brazil
4 326
4 207
1 145
1 037
922
630 621
573
485
The Russian energy industry —
investment opportunities
Total electric power generation
TWh, 2010
10 SOURCE: Federal State Statistics Service (Russia)
42
86
The structure of power consumption
and industrial structure make issues
of energy efficiency increasingly relevant
in Russia
In GDP
In exports
39
87
39
93
0,9
0,9
3,1
1,2 %
p. a.
2006 08 2010
872
534 570 554
226 226 234
113 117 127
914 916
Industry
Services and other
Residential
1
Extraction and heavy industries
• Most of the power consumption
in Russia is accounted for
by industry (around 60% of
consumption)
• The Russian economy is highly
dependent on energy intensive
sectors, since the share of
energy intensive industry in
GDP is around 40%, and energy
intensive sectors account for
over 90% of exports
• This is the reason why energy
efficiency was chosen as a key
area of modernization of the
Russian economy
Electric power consumption structure
TWh
Share of energy intensive1 industry
Percent
CAGR
Percent,
2006 – 2010
The Russian energy industry —
investment opportunities
11 SOURCE: Federal State Statistics Service (Russia), Enerdata, Ministry of Economic Development of Russia, EIU
Power is not cheap any more:
industrial consumer prices example
	 The myth of cheap Russian
power is no more. In 2011
the price of power for
industrial consumers reached
parity with that in the USA.
According to forecasts by the
Russian Ministry of Economic
Development2, already in 2015
the price of power for Russian
industrial consumers can be
over 1.5 times as high as in the
USA3 and just 10% below the
corresponding price in Germany
150
100
50
2000 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16
0
1
	 Tariffs through 2011 are based on data from the Federal State Statistics Service;
tariff forecasts are according to the Ministry of Economic Development
2
	 Assuming real growth of power prices by 50% between 2011 and 2020,
6.2% inflation and a decrease in the RUB/USD exchange rate from 28.8 to 26.9
3
	 Foreign tariff forecasts are according to Enerdata in the Recovery scenario
Russia1
USA
Germany
Average price of power for industrial consumers
USD/MWh (nominal prices)
The Russian energy industry —
investment opportunities
12 SOURCE: Ministry of Energy General Scheme of Power Generation Development in Russia till 2020
To ensure economic growth, Russia must build
new generation facilities at a much higher pace
than in the last 20 years
•	 In the past 20 years Russia
has not invested enough into
building new generation
• 	 In the next ten years, Russia
has to expand its generation
capacity substantially (by more
than a third of the capacity
available today)
• 	 A substantial portion of this
capacity will be accounted for
by gas and coal generation,
which will create new
possibilities for manufacturers
of energy efficient equipment
New generation capacity
Demand for generation capacity in Russia till 2020
GW per year
GW
1
Not committed and not described in mandatory investment program during Power Sector reform in Russia in 2005-06
6,0 5,5
1,6 1,2
8,0
1970-79 1980-89 1990-99 2000-09 2010-19
2010	 2015	 2020
219
253
282
219
41
212 202
80
New
Existing
47 %
Other
thermal 1
23 %
CHP
21 %
Nuclear
6 %
Hydro
3 %
Others
The Russian energy industry —
investment opportunities
13 SOURCE: Federal State Statistics Service (Russia); Regional Energy Commissions; generation companies’ annual reports
The growth of heat tariffs is far ahead
of inflation
•	 The growth of average heat
tariffs is ahead of inflation
•	 Transmission and distribution
tariffs for heat account for a
significant portion of the end-
user tariff, which increases the
importance of energy savings
in obsolete heating mains
•	 The price of generated heat
varies significantly even within
a single region and often
exceeds Western European
tariffs
•	 For instance, in the Amur
Region over 25% of all thermal
energy is sold at prices
exceeding those in Finland
+15 %
p. a.
Average residential heat tariff in Russia
RUB/m2 per month (nominal prices)
1
Including all major producers of thermal energy which generate 54% of all heat in the Amur Region
2
Assuming an equal split between generation and transmission tariffs for heat
Residential heat tariff
RUB/Gcal (nominal prices)
Industrial heat tariff1
(2010) Tariff RUB/Gcal
12,9
17,8
22,3
2007 2009 2011
Inflation
in Russia
10 %
MOSCOW EXAMPLE THE AMUR REGION EXAMPLE
Generation Transmission
+21%
p. a.
620
2007 2009 2011
955
1 326
430
525
596
729
Finland2
3 000
2 500
2 000
1 500
1 000
500
0
1 0000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000
Annual volume,
‘000 Gcal
The Russian energy industry —
investment opportunities
14 SOURCE: Federal State Statistics Service (Russia); Ministry of Energy of Russia; Enerdata
Another priority is increasing energy
efficiency in heat generation and transmission
•	 The volume of heat generation
by boiler houses outside
the cogeneration cycle is
growing, which is not efficient
and opens up investment
opportunities
•	 At the same time 60% of
these facilities are publicly
owned, which means they can
be either bought or privatized
with subsequent upgrades
– this creates a huge new
segment in the market
•	 The current level of heat losses
is five times as high as in
Europe; a boom in investments
into heat grid refurbishment is
expected in the coming years
Centralized heat production in Russia
Mn Gcal
Percent
Losses of heat in heating mains
Percent, 2010
Share of heat infrastructure with
age above technical norms
Percent, 2010
1997
Russia Heating
grid
Boiler
rooms
Estonia Poland Finland Sweden
2000 05 2009
1 201
>25 59
15
53
14
6 4
1 214 1 429 1337
56 53 47 45
40 43 48 50
4 4 6 5Other
Boiler
houses
Averageage
Years
Numberofplants
‘000
Privatelyowned
percent
CHPs
30
30
70,3
0,3
39
100
The Russian energy industry —
investment opportunities
= 100%
15 SOURCE: Federal State Statistics Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics (USA), Office for National Statistics (UK), Statistics Sweden
Questions of energy efficiency are becoming
increasingly more relevant for the population
Questions of energy efficiency
are becoming more relevant for
the following reasons:
•	 Average spending on energy is
growing ahead of inflation
•	 Utility services account for
over 10% of total spending of
the Russian population, which
is twice as much as in the USA
and only slightly less than in
the UK
Average household spending on utility services1
is growing ahead of inflation
Share of utilities2
in overall household spending
RUB ‘000 per month
Percent, 2009
1
per household
2
Utilities include gas, power, other types of fuel for residential heating and cooking, and water supply
2004
USA
2006
Sweden
2008
Russia
2010
UK
3,1
12,8
1,0
5,1
1,7
5,6
2,3
10,4
+21 %
p.a
Inflation 10,4%
The Russian energy industry —
investment opportunities
16
0. The Russian macroeconomic environment
1. The Russian energy industry — investment opportunities
2. Energy efficiency of the Russian economy
3. Energy efficiency legislation — reform outcomes
4. Public policy in energy efficiency
5. Development institutes and their programs
Energy efficiency in Russia:
new opportunities
17 SOURCE: EIU, BP statistics 2011
Energy efficiency
of the Russian economy
Russia is a “leader” in terms
of energy intensity of the economy
Energy intensity of GDP
tce/USD ‘000, 2010
Oil-producing economies
Developing economies
Northern countries
Russia is a «leader» in energy
intensity of the economy among
BRIC countries, countries with
cold climates and countries with
a similar reliance on natural
resource extraction
Russia Saudi Arabia
Ukraine
Russia Canada Finland
Kazakhstan Russia China India Brazil
UAE Qatar
0,67
1,22
0,67
0,29
0,17
0,73 0,67 0,59
0,44
0,17
0,42
0,29
0,64
18
Priority measures for
government stimulus
SOURCE: McKinsey
Energy efficiency curve, 2020
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
-120
-140
-160
-180
-200
-220
-240
-260
-560
Savings of primary energyresources
Mtce
10	 20	 30	 40	 50	 60	 70	 80	 90	 100	 110	 120	 130	 140	 150	 160	 170	
180	 190	 200	 210	 220	 230	 240
HVAC upgrade in non-residential buildings
Planning in the transport sector
Improved insulation in residential buildings
Replacement of insulating gaskets
Increased share of cogeneration CHPPs
Improved insulation in non-residential buildings
Energy efficient greenfield
projects in upstream
Upgrade of HVAC management systems in
residential buildings
Cogeneration in steelmaking (gas from basicoxygen
furnaces), upgrades
Improved control of maintenance and technological
processes in downstream
Improved control of maintenance and technological
processes in upstream
Energy efficient inventory in residential buildings
Energy efficient home appliances
Energy efficiency in upstream
Maintenance of distribution systems
Energy efficiency in downstream
Heating mains insulation
Installation of home heat meters and thermostats
Improving the efficiency
of old generation facilities
Construction of energy efficient non-residential
Upgrade of residential
buildings in line with
new energy efficiency
norms
Overall energy efficiency in the
iron and steel industry
Cost-cutting measures
in other industries
More rigorous energy
efficiency norms for new
residential buildings
Decrease of grid losses
Energy efficient office equipment
Profitable measures in other industries
Heat pumps to replace electric heating equipmentin
residential buildings
Lighting – LED lamps to replace incandescent bulbs
in residential buildings
Energy efficient power installations at new chemical
plants
Cogeneration in steelmaking (gas from basicoxygen
furnaces), new construction
Электро- и теплоэнергетика Строительство
Нефть и газ Автомобильные перевозки
Другие отраслиCost of reducingenergy consumption
EUR/tce
Energy efficiency
of the Russian economy
19
Estimated size of investment in energy efficien-
cy measures in the Russian residential sector
with payback period of 5 years — about 4 Bn USD
SOURCE: Federal State Statistics Service (Russia); Energy Efficiency Working Group of the Commission of the President of the Russian Federation
List of recommended measures for
the residential sector and utilities
•	 Installation of heat-reflective
screens in public spaces
•	 Replacement of incandescent
light bulbs with compact
fluorescent bulbs in public
spaces
•	 Installation of heat metering
and weather-based distribution
units
•	 Installation of frequency
regulation drives in utility
systems
•	 The list is based on the
assumption of fast payback
of measures in 5 years, in the
absence of this requirement the
investment and energy savings
potential is higher
1
Assuming the implementation of measures with a payback period under five years trialed in pilot projects
2
Assuming that all measure with payback less than 5 years are realized
Residential
housing built
less than 16
years ago
Assets
Number
of assets1
‘000
Share of
attractive
assets for
investment1
Percent
Savings
potential
Mtce
Investment
potential2
USD Mn
216 ~10
Residential
housing built
between 16
and 40 years
ago
1 416 ~70
Residential
housing
built over 40
years ago
1 592 ~30
Central
heating
units
30,4 ~50
0,35 151
5,91
2,22
2,34
2 578
967
299
Overall potential 10,8 3 995
Energy efficiency
of the Russian economy
20
Estimated size investment in energy efficiency
measures in the Russian public sector with
payback period less than 5 years– more than
2.7 USD Bn
SOURCE: Federal State Statistics Service (Russia); Energy Efficiency Working Group of the Commission of the President of the Russian Federation
List of recommended measures for
the public sector
• Replacement of incandescent
light bulbs with energy saving
lamps
• Overhaul of outdoor lighting
systems
• Installation of heat-reflective
screens
• Replacement of outdoor lighting
systems
• The list is based on the
assumption of fast payback
of measures in 5 years, in the
absence of this requirement the
investment and energy savings
potential is higher
1
Assuming the implementation of measures with a payback period under five years trialed in pilot projects
2
Assuming that all measure with payback less than 5 years are realized
Preschool
facilities
Type of
facility
Number of
assets1
,
‘000
Penetration
potential1,
percent
Energy savings
potential,
Mtce
Investment
potential2
USD bn
50,3 ~42
Schools
Healthcare
institutions
Administrative
buildings
895 484
708
519
386
224
134
372
Overall potential
Tertiary
education
institutions
and colleges
45,6 ~41
32,8 ~30
4,0 ~50
7,8 ~50
2 647 1 495
5 156 2 709
Energy efficiency
of the Russian economy
21 SOURCE: Federal State Statistics Service (Russia)
Reduction of heat losses in transmission
can improve energy efficiency by 10%
Russia has great potential with respect to decreasing heat losses
Leveraging this potential will require significant investment
Heat losses in the grid,
percent
Length of grids,
‘000 km
Necessary
investments2
,
RUB bn
Savings potential1
Heat,
mn Gcal/
year
Primary
energy,
Mtce/year
Russia Poland Finland
Decrease of losses
to Polish levels
Replacement of
grids past the end of
useful life
Past the end of
useful life
>25
132
>134
430
>23
14
6
-42%
35%
65%
•	 Russia is a “leader” in heating
mains losses
•	 If Russia decreases heat grid
losses to Polish levels, the
country will save over 10% of
its heat energy
•	 The great length of deteriorated
grids creates significant
investment opportunities
1
Assuming Russian decreases heat grid losses to Polish levels
2
Replacement of grids past the end of normative life
Energy efficiency
of the Russian economy
22 SOURCE: McKinsey, IEA, Federal State Statistics Service (Russia)
Many of Russia’s power generation
facilities are technologically obsolete
The average age of generation
plants is much greater than the
corresponding figure in Europe.
The efficiency rate of obsolete
plants is much lower than that of
modern plants
The average efficiency rate in Russia is much
lower than that of new plants
Percent
Share of facilities over
40 years old
Percent
Gas
Cogeneration
42
56
48
44
39
32
30
30
22
Cogeneration Russia EUCondensation Condensation
Coal
Combined-cycle gas plant
Ultra supercritical coal
Supercritical coal
Energy efficiency
of the Russian economy
23 SOURCE:Federal State Statistics Service (Russia); annual report OAO “Sahalinskaya Kommunalnaya Kompania”
The modernization of boiler houses is a key
lever for increasingenergy efficiency
Boiler houses transition to gas
and solid fuel and the use of
cogeneration mode can help
achieve signi-ficant energy savings
1
Assuming half of boiler houses on liquid fuel transition to gas, heat rate by fuel type is average heat rate
of OAO «Sahalinskaya Kommunalnaya Kompania» in 2010
2
Average heat rate of CHPs (166 kg/Gcal) and boiler houses ( 219 kg/Gcal) are used
Key levers Description
Share of boiler houses by type of fuel
Percent
Transition
to gas
and solid fuel
Transition to
cogeneration
Share of boiler houses with cogeneration
Percent
39
5
54
Solid
Other
•	3 400 boiler houses use liquid fuel
•	The consumption of liquid fuel
is 7.5 mil. ton a year
•	Potential primary power savings
due to transition from liquid to
gas fuel are 1.3 mil. tce1
• Less than 2% of boiler houses
operate in cogeneration mode
• Potential primary energy savings
if the share of cogeneration
doubled are 0.82 mil. tce2
Liquid
Cogeneration
Gas
98
2
Energy efficiency
of the Russian economy
24
0. The Russian macroeconomic environment
1. The Russian energy industry — investment opportunities
2. Energy efficiency of the Russian economy
3. Energy efficiency legislation — reform outcomes
4. Public policy in energy efficiency
5. Development institutes and their programs
Energy efficiency in Russia:
new opportunities
25
Legislative reform concerning
energy savings
• In a year and
a half, federal
ministries and
regulators
developed and
enacted over
50 regulatory
acts
• The reform of
energy savings
legislation
is mostly
completed
• The completed
legal base has
created an
environment
for the
President Dmitry Medvedev proclaims
energy efficiency a priority for Russian
economic development
Enactment of Federal Law FL-261
on energy savings and improving energy
efficiency by Dmitry Medvedev
Approval of requirements with respect to regional and
municipal energy savings and energy efficiency improvement
programs by Vladimir Putin
Definition of the sphere of authority of federal executive
bodies in the area of energy savings and energy efficiency
improvements by Vladimir Putin
Approval of energy passport requirements by Ministry of Energy
Presidential Decree on the evaluation of the energy savings performance
of executive bodies of constituent entities of the Russian Federation and
of local authorities
21.05.2010 Within the frames of the project on creating the innovation cen-
tre “Skolkovo”, the Foundation of Development of the Centre of Research and
Commercializing of the New Technologies was officially registered in Moscow.
Approval of requirements with respect to the conditions and procedure
for energy service contracts in the public sector by Vladimir Putin
Definition of the categories of goods that must be labeled with energy efficiency
class information by Ministry of Industry and Trade
The State Program for Energy Savings and Energy Efficiency Improvements through
2020 approved by Vladimir Putin
Approval of the rules for the formulation of energy efficiency requirements for buildings and
facilities by Ministry of Regions
Procedure for identifying the volume of resource consumption decreases in comparable environments
by Ministry of Economic Development
Agency for Strategic Initiatives in business set up by Vladimir Putin
2009 2010
07 11 12 02 04 05
2011
08 09 12 01 05 08
Energy efficiency legislation –
reform outcomes
26
Legislation changes.
New opportunities (1/2)
Area Key legal provisions Impact of current legislation
Public
sector
Residential
sector and
households
•	 Budget funded entities are obliged to decrease energy resource
consumption by 15% between 2010 and 2015 (3% per year)
•	 Budget funded entities are to pay for energy resources on the basis
of metering data starting in 2011
•	 Budget funded entities must conduct an initial energy audit before
the end of 2012 and repeat it every five years
•	 Energy service contracts conditions, forms and requirements with
respect to the contracting procedure in budget funded entities have
been defined
•	 Budget funded entities’ energy service contracting and accounting
procedures have been approved
•	 The methodology for assessing the impact of measures in
comparable environments has been developed
•	 Energy efficiency requirements for buildings and facilities and
energy efficiency classes determination rules have been approved
•	 The types and characteristics of goods for which energy efficiency
class must be stated have been approved
•	 Energy efficiency class is to be labeled on the goods packaging
•	 Households are to pay for energy resources on the basis of metering
data from mid-2012
•	 Public servants are to lower entities’ energy consumption
•	 Organizations will pay for resources on the basis of
actual consumption
•	 Incentive: savings lead to higher wages
•	 Investment activities and projects in the public sector
are developed on cost-effective bases
•	 Recommended energy saving solutions for the public
sector have been approved
•	 Regional and municipal governments have instructions
regarding expenditure planning with reference to
savings
•	 Energy saving assessing and calculating methodologies
approved by federal law
•	 New buildings and projects are designed with reference
to energy efficiency requirements
•	 People clearly see energy efficient classes of goods in
the stores
•	 Incentive: choose efficient goods and save on household
energy payments
•	 New incentive: significant savings on utility payments for
the family budget
6
15
regulations
enacted
regulations
enacted
Energy efficiency legislation –
reform outcomes
27
Законодательство и изменения.
Новые возможности (2/2)
Area Key legal provisions Impact of current legislation
Industry
Overall
Power and
transport
•	 Large consumers and regulated companies must conduct an initial
energy audit before the end of 2012 and repeat it every five years
•	 The Ministry of Energy has registered over 100 self-regulating
organizations with a membership of over 4,000 energy auditors
•	 Energy passport requirements and issuance procedure have been
approved
•	 Requirements with respect to programs for energy savings
in regulated companies issued by The Federal Tariff Service
•	 Programs for energy savings in regulated companies are being
monitored
•	 Requirements with respect to regional and municipal programs for
energy efficiency have been approved, a variety of cost-effective
measures have been recommended for inclusion into these
programs
•	 Regional and municipal programs for energy efficiency have been
approved in 2010
•	 Performance indexes and controlling procedures for state-driven
energy efficiency measures have been approved for government
bodies at all levels
•	 Investment activities and energy efficiency projects are
developed on cost-effective bases
•	 Energy auditor qualifications requirements have been
determined
•	 Energy efficiency measures feasibility reports are
aggregated to develop best practices
•	 Overall system-based approach for energy efficiency
implementation in power generation and distribution
industry is underway
•	 Overall multilevel energy savings incentive framework
and state investments tools set up
•	 Incentive for government bodies: energy efficiency
is a key lever of modernization
3
16
8
regulations
enacted
regulations
enacted
regulations
enacted
Energy efficiency legislation –
reform outcomes
28
0. The Russian macroeconomic environment
1. The Russian energy industry — investment opportunities
2. Energy efficiency of the Russian economy
3. Energy efficiency legislation — reform outcomes
4. Public policy in energy efficiency
5. Development institutes and their programs
Energy efficiency in Russia:
new opportunities
29
Public policy
in energy efficiency
SOURCE: http://i-russia.ru/
Commission for Modernization
and Technological Development
The President of The
Russian Federation
Dmitry Medvedev
Commission for
Modernization
and Technological
Development of the
Russian Economy
Energy Efficiency
and Resource
Savings working
group
Minister of
Economic
Development
Elvira Nabiullina
Nuclear Technologies
working group
1. Energy efficient apartment blocks
2. Energy efficient social sector
3. Measure, save and pay
4. New light
5. Distributed Power Generation
Computer Technologies and
Applications working group
Space Technology and
Telecommunication working
group
Medical Equipment and
Pharmaceuticals working group
The Prime Minister of The
Russian Federation
Vladimir Putin
Ministry of
Economic
Development
Ministry
of Energy
Ministry
of Regional
Development
Ministry
of Finance
Russian
Energy
Agency
Project
Management
Office
30
Energy efficient apartment blocks
Energy efficient social sector
Measure, save and pay
New light
Distributed Power Generation
25 pilot projects in 14 Russian
regions:
SOURCE: Energy Efficiency working group of the Commission of the President of the Russian Federation
Pilot projects of the energy
efficiency working group
1
A library of technological and organization solutions and business cases has been built for every project
Energy efficient
apartment blocks
Energy efficient social
sector
Measure, save
and pay
New light
Distributed Power
Generation
Pilot projects in apartment blocks implemented in Tyumen, Kazan, Vorkuta, Apatity
Pilot projects conducted and energy service contracts signed in public-sector
organizations in the Kaluga, Nizhny Novgorod and Tver Regions, Tatarstan, the
Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous District and the Perm Territory
Demand for metering equipment assessed, pilot Smart Metering project executed
Solutions to improve the performance of lighting systems in residential housing
and other areas trialed in Kirov, Gorno-Altaysk, Perm
Operational and financial replicable blueprint for modernizing obsolete boiler
houses with transition to cogeneration mode developed in the Yaroslavl, Smolensk,
Sverdlovsk Regions and Bahskortostan
Thermal energy savings: 20%
Power savings in stairwells: 40%
Thermal energy savings: 25%
Power savings for lighting: 15%
87% of public-sector organizations
equipped with metering units
Impact after roll-out: 37bn kW-h
The expected payback period
for the project is 7-8 years
Public policy
in energy efficiency
31
Russian Energy Agency
Goals Activities
•	 Improve the effectiveness of public
policy in the areas of energy efficiency
and energy savings
•	 Serve as a point of contact and as
unifying body of all activities in energy
efficiency space in Russia from setting
normatives to developing public policy
•	 Improve the investment attractiveness
of the electric power industry
•	 Informational and analytic support in the areas of fuel and energy industry, energy efficiency, renewable
energy sources
•	 Development of regional, municipal, public-sector and corporate programs to improve energy efficiency,
supporting the implementation of these programs
•	 Coordination of international cooperation in the areas of improving energy efficiency and renewable
energy sources
•	 Organization of events to raise awareness and providing training related to energy efficiency issues
•	 Methodological support in the areas of energy efficiency and renewables
•	 Expert analysis and support for projects in the areas of energy efficiency and renewables
•	 Support energy service activities and attracting financing
•	 Support innovations and research in the fuel and energy sector, energy efficiency and renewables
•	 Encourage the creation of Russian manufacturing capacity and technology transfer in the areas
of energy efficiency and renewables
Public policy
in energy efficiency
32
• The aim is to launch the roll-out of proven generic
designs in the utilities sector (payback periods of
under 5 years)
Installation of regulating units
Installation of local heating facilities for public-
sector organizations
Replacement of incandescent light bulbs
Installation of frequency regulation drives
at central heating facilities
Overhaul of outdoor lighting systems
Installation of metering equipment
• The guarantees will be given to banks, ensuring low
interest rates for financing sample projects and kick-
starting the energy service mechanism
• The aim is to encourage businesses to execute energy
efficiency-related projects. The guarantees will allow
businesses to get access to preferential terms, so
that energy efficiency projects receive high priority.
Guarantee volume by year:
2011 – RUB 5bn
2012 – RUB 10bn
2013 – RUB 10bn
• The value of the guarantee is at least RUB 1bn
SOURCE: Energy Efficiency working group of the Commission of the President of the Russian Federation
Implementation levers
for the public program
1
Starting from 2012; in 2011, the guarantees amount to RUB 10bn pro rata
Public financing
Public guarantees for loans financing energy
efficiency projects (within the framework of long-term
target agreements)
• Best energy efficiency programs chosen in a
competition among constituent entities of Russia
• Subsidies from the federal budget allocated in
proportion to regional budgets’ allocation to the
implementation of programs, up to RUB 500mn
per region
• Creation of a state information system to record
energy passports and track the performance of
energy efficiency programs
• Awareness campaign to encourage saving behavior
in the country
• Training of staff responsible for energy efficiency in
regional executive bodies and local authorities at the
municipal level
• Other costs
7,00
5,27
0,68
0,50
0,26
0,29
RUB bn in 2011 20,00
10,00
RUB bn per year
10,00
Public policy
in energy efficiency
33
Federal
Budget
Regional
Budget
The planned funding for the implementation of the state energy
savings and energy efficiency program is RUB 7bn in 2011. Key
directions
•	 Subsidies to regions for co-financing energy efficiency
•	 State information system
•	 Comprehensive awareness campaign
•	 Expert training
•	 Responsibility for program
implementation rests
with the Ministry of Energy
•	 Regional budget funds in 2011- RUB 12.2bn
•	 Federal budget subsidies in 2011- RUB 5.27bn
Key items
•	 Co-financing of equipment installation and the
implementation of measures in the residential sector
•	 Energy audits, public sector reporting
•	 Subsidized metering equipment for the population
•	 Modernization of boiler rooms
and reference electrode units
•	 Subsidies to municipalities
Budgetary support for energy
savings in 2011
Budgetary support for energy savings
RUB bn, 2011
1,75
1,60
1,25
1,13 1,09
76% 69% 61%
92% 83%
24% 31% 39%
8% 17%
Tatarstan Krasnodar
Territory
Primorsky
Territory
Regional budget funds
Federal budget subsidies
Moscow
Yamal-Nenets
AD
SOURCE: Russian Energy Agency, working group on energy efficiency
Public policy
in energy efficiency
34 SOURCE: corporate internet sites
Energy savings programs in regulated
organization — examples
Company name Program description
•	 Three large energy efficiency improvement programs implemented
	 - Application of LED equipment (investments of more than RUR 220 million)
- Improvement of the system of fuel and energy resources
- Energy savings in transportation process
•	 Next steps include comprehensive energy savings innovative products, including implementation
of LED equipment, hydrogen power, nanotechnology
•	 Contract on cooperation in the area of energy efficiency with the European Bank of Reconstruction and Development
•	 Energy efficiency program for 2012 – 2015
	 - Optimization of technological process of oil transportation and storage
- Application the electric equipment with higher efficiency ratio
- Wide application of thermal insulation
- Introduction of GLONASS monitoring to reduce the motor fuel consumption
•	 Energy savings program implementation will allow to ensure the savings of fuel and energy resources for 2010 -
2015 by 12% as compared to 2009
•	 Energy savings program for 2010 – 2015
	 - Power efficiency improvement at a construction stage – use of local types of fuel, application of thermal
insulation materials for winter concrete placing
	 - Reduction of technological losses of operating units and of energy consumption
	 - Power savings in sales: decrease in technological and commercial losses of power energy and improvement of
accounting for energy resources
	 - Energy audit (conducted for 16 Hydro power stations)
•	 Energy savings program for 2010 – 2012
	 - Decrease of grid losses, smart grids
	 - Equipment of sites with accounting devices
	 - Decrease of the consumption of electric power and heat in buildings and constructions
	 - Energy audit
Public policy
in energy efficiency
35
0. The Russian macroeconomic environment
1. The Russian energy industry — investment opportunities
2. Energy efficiency of the Russian economy
3. Energy efficiency legislation — reform outcomes
4. Public policy in energy efficiency
5. Development institutes and their programs
Energy efficiency in Russia:
new opportunities
36
Development institutes
and their programs
In the last 2 years over 8 bln USD
were given by over ten newly created
financing funds
• There is a significant number
of institutes which finance
energy efficiency projects
at different stages
of project lifecycle
• Various instruments for
financing by state of already
started projects and grants
in R&D in energy efficiency
• A high number of energy
efficiency projects are already
being financed now
Loans Investments Grants
>2,7
>15
>0,1
>0,3
>5
>20
Used USD bn
Resources USD bn

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Presentation energy19.01 en

  • 1. Energy efficiency in Russia: new opportunities As of December, 2011
  • 2. 2 About this document • The goal of this document is to describe significant changes which took place in energy efficiency space in Russia as well as current trends in Russian society and State policies aimed to increase sustainable use of energy resources. Moreover its purpose is to outline new investment opportunities in dynamically growing energy efficiency market place • Document is targeting mostly foreign investors and leaders of global energy efficiency market who posses this unique opportunity to enter a new territory with large potential for investments into energy saving technologies and equipment • Here we outline various direction for improvement of energy efficiency in Russian economy and give high level assessment of market potential. The focus of this document is on priority areas assessed based on the size of potential, the existing infrastructure and readiness of normative base for stimulating investments: - Energy savings in buildings - Decreasing losses of heat and energy - Improvement of energy efficiency of heat and electricity generation • Moreover this document describes the results of recent reforms in Russian regulation to increase and stimulate energy efficiency and existing programs of various institutions and organizations aimed at supporting project in energy efficiency space.
  • 3. 3 Executive summary • Lengthy economic decline in the 1990s and insufficient investment in the early 2000s led to a deficit of investments in infrastructure and the energy industry. In recent years Russia has stepped up its investments, including investments in energy efficiency projects, but despite the robust growth, increase in investments and demographic recovery of recent years there is still a significant gap in energy efficiency between the Russian economy and those of major countries, which hampers Russia’s competitiveness • In 2008 energy efficiency was proclaimed a priority for the modernization of the Russian economy. Public policy in the area of energy savings is aimed at attracting investment and foreign experience into the sector. The state has taken a range of systemic measures to develop this sector In 2009, the main law 261-FZ was enacted, creating a foundation for energy efficiency in Russia. Over 50 regulations were approved in record time to create a firm basis for the development of energy efficiency businesses (transition to meter-based payment for energy consumption, obligatory energy audits for public and regulated bodies, regional energy saving programs, creation of an energy services market, requirement with respect to energy efficiency class labeling and many other measures) Under the State Energy Efficiency Program, approved in December 2010, RUB 5.2 bn per year were made available to co-finance regional energy efficiency projects, other supporting measures were enacted, the Russian Energy Agency was created The Presidential Commission for Modernization ran pilot projects in 14 regions and 25 municipalities and published generic technical and organizational solutions; legislative barriers to developing energy savings in housing, public sector bodies, small-scale energy production and utilities infrastructure were removed Development institutes have focused on energy efficiency. The Skolkovo innovation center has created an Energy Efficiency Cluster (over 120 projects related to energy savings), RUSNANO has invested over SD 1.5bn, banks such as Gazprombank, Vnesheconombank, VTB group banks have started offering specialized lending products for energy efficiency and created energy services subsidiaries • The market niche for energy efficient technologies in Russia is only just taking shape. The investment potential of identified projects with a payback period of under 5 years exceeds USD 30bn. Most attractive areas for investors include improvement of energy efficiency of buildings and heating systems, new energy efficient consuming equipment installations and distributed power generation projects. Right now global leaders in energy efficiency have a unique opportunity to discover a new growing market with enormous potential • • • •
  • 4. 4 0. The Russian macroeconomic environment 1. The Russian energy industry — investment opportunities 2. Energy efficiency of the Russian economy 3. Energy efficiency legislation — reform outcomes 4. Public policy in energy efficiency 5. Development institutes and their programs Energy efficiency in Russia: new opportunities
  • 5. 5 The Russian macroeconomic environment Russia is seventh in the world for GDP volume and growth remains rapid. Thus, between 2000 and 2010 average GDP growth amounted to 4.8% in real terms and to 5.2% by purchasing power parity. Thus, the Russian economy is attractive for investment due to a balanced combination of high growth rates and average per capita incomes that are sufficient to sustain one of the largest consumer markets in Europe Russia is a rapidly developing country with 7th largest economyin the world Russia is the 7th largest economy in the world GDP by purchasing power parity USD bn, 2010 1 In 2005 prices USA 14,527 China 10,243 10,243 4,197 2,910 2,234 2,232 2,193 2,179 1,907 Japan India Germany In 1997 Russia became a G8 member United Kingdom Russia France Brazil Italy 0,57 9 2000 2005 2010 0,76 12 0,91 14 Robust GDP growth: annual growth of about 5% since 2000 GDP in real terms1 USD bn GDP by purchasing power parity per capita1 USD ‘000 per capita 4,8 % p. a. 5,2 % p. a. SOURCE: EIU; Global Insight
  • 6. 6 Russia has gained significant financial strength since 2000 SOURCE: Central Bank of Russia; EIU; CIA World Factbook Russia has accumulated significant international reserves (3rd in the world) International reserves USD bn International reserves USD bn, 2010 Public debt as percentage of GDP fell to 9,4% in 2010, which is among the lowest in the world Public debt GDP percentage Public debt GDP percentage, 2010 Foreign direct investment (FDI) has seen stable growth FDI volumes in Russia USD bn FDI accounts for a larger percentage of GDP than is the case for most large economies FDI in different countries GDP percentage, 2010 China Russia United Kingdom India Germany USA 3,1 2,9 2,1 1,4 1,4 1,2 2000 2005 2010 3 13 43 2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 28 182 479 2 876 1 063 479 445 387 292 289 287 56,8 14,2 9,4 83,4 76,1 62,9 50,7 16,2 Russia Russia China Japan Russia Taiwan South Korea Brazil IndiaSaudi Arabia India ChinaUSAUnited KingdomGermany +33 % p. a. 32 % p. a. The Russian macroeconomic environment
  • 7. 7 SOURCE: Federal State Statistics Service (Russia) ; Ministry of Health and Social Development of Russia The socio-economic environment in Russia is improving The demographic situation in Russia is improving Birth rate and mortality in Russia Millions people per annum Unemployment is among the lowest in major countries and is decreasing Unemployment in Russia Percent, 2000–2010 Unemployment in major countries Percent, 2010 Income levels are rising Per capita income RUB ‘000 per month, 2010 prices Life expectancy1 Eears 0 0 1,5 65 66 67 68 69 2000 2000 India USA Russia Germany Brazil ChinaUnited Kingdom 05 2010 2000 02 04 06 08 2010201001 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 2,0 2,5 Births Deaths 1 Average life expectancy at birth 7 10,6 10,0 9,6 7,5 7,1 6,7 6,1 7,87,6 7,5 9 12 15 18 19 10 % p. a. The Russian macroeconomic environment
  • 8. 8 0. The Russian macroeconomic environment 1. The Russian energy industry — investment opportunities 2. Energy efficiency of the Russian economy 3. Energy efficiency legislation — reform outcomes 4. Public policy in energy efficiency 5. Development institutes and their programs Energy efficiency in Russia: new opportunities
  • 9. 9 SOURCE: BP Statistical Review of World Energy, June 2011 Russia is among world’s biggest power markets USA China Japan Russia India Canada Germany France Brazil 4 326 4 207 1 145 1 037 922 630 621 573 485 The Russian energy industry — investment opportunities Total electric power generation TWh, 2010
  • 10. 10 SOURCE: Federal State Statistics Service (Russia) 42 86 The structure of power consumption and industrial structure make issues of energy efficiency increasingly relevant in Russia In GDP In exports 39 87 39 93 0,9 0,9 3,1 1,2 % p. a. 2006 08 2010 872 534 570 554 226 226 234 113 117 127 914 916 Industry Services and other Residential 1 Extraction and heavy industries • Most of the power consumption in Russia is accounted for by industry (around 60% of consumption) • The Russian economy is highly dependent on energy intensive sectors, since the share of energy intensive industry in GDP is around 40%, and energy intensive sectors account for over 90% of exports • This is the reason why energy efficiency was chosen as a key area of modernization of the Russian economy Electric power consumption structure TWh Share of energy intensive1 industry Percent CAGR Percent, 2006 – 2010 The Russian energy industry — investment opportunities
  • 11. 11 SOURCE: Federal State Statistics Service (Russia), Enerdata, Ministry of Economic Development of Russia, EIU Power is not cheap any more: industrial consumer prices example The myth of cheap Russian power is no more. In 2011 the price of power for industrial consumers reached parity with that in the USA. According to forecasts by the Russian Ministry of Economic Development2, already in 2015 the price of power for Russian industrial consumers can be over 1.5 times as high as in the USA3 and just 10% below the corresponding price in Germany 150 100 50 2000 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 0 1 Tariffs through 2011 are based on data from the Federal State Statistics Service; tariff forecasts are according to the Ministry of Economic Development 2 Assuming real growth of power prices by 50% between 2011 and 2020, 6.2% inflation and a decrease in the RUB/USD exchange rate from 28.8 to 26.9 3 Foreign tariff forecasts are according to Enerdata in the Recovery scenario Russia1 USA Germany Average price of power for industrial consumers USD/MWh (nominal prices) The Russian energy industry — investment opportunities
  • 12. 12 SOURCE: Ministry of Energy General Scheme of Power Generation Development in Russia till 2020 To ensure economic growth, Russia must build new generation facilities at a much higher pace than in the last 20 years • In the past 20 years Russia has not invested enough into building new generation • In the next ten years, Russia has to expand its generation capacity substantially (by more than a third of the capacity available today) • A substantial portion of this capacity will be accounted for by gas and coal generation, which will create new possibilities for manufacturers of energy efficient equipment New generation capacity Demand for generation capacity in Russia till 2020 GW per year GW 1 Not committed and not described in mandatory investment program during Power Sector reform in Russia in 2005-06 6,0 5,5 1,6 1,2 8,0 1970-79 1980-89 1990-99 2000-09 2010-19 2010 2015 2020 219 253 282 219 41 212 202 80 New Existing 47 % Other thermal 1 23 % CHP 21 % Nuclear 6 % Hydro 3 % Others The Russian energy industry — investment opportunities
  • 13. 13 SOURCE: Federal State Statistics Service (Russia); Regional Energy Commissions; generation companies’ annual reports The growth of heat tariffs is far ahead of inflation • The growth of average heat tariffs is ahead of inflation • Transmission and distribution tariffs for heat account for a significant portion of the end- user tariff, which increases the importance of energy savings in obsolete heating mains • The price of generated heat varies significantly even within a single region and often exceeds Western European tariffs • For instance, in the Amur Region over 25% of all thermal energy is sold at prices exceeding those in Finland +15 % p. a. Average residential heat tariff in Russia RUB/m2 per month (nominal prices) 1 Including all major producers of thermal energy which generate 54% of all heat in the Amur Region 2 Assuming an equal split between generation and transmission tariffs for heat Residential heat tariff RUB/Gcal (nominal prices) Industrial heat tariff1 (2010) Tariff RUB/Gcal 12,9 17,8 22,3 2007 2009 2011 Inflation in Russia 10 % MOSCOW EXAMPLE THE AMUR REGION EXAMPLE Generation Transmission +21% p. a. 620 2007 2009 2011 955 1 326 430 525 596 729 Finland2 3 000 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 0 1 0000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 Annual volume, ‘000 Gcal The Russian energy industry — investment opportunities
  • 14. 14 SOURCE: Federal State Statistics Service (Russia); Ministry of Energy of Russia; Enerdata Another priority is increasing energy efficiency in heat generation and transmission • The volume of heat generation by boiler houses outside the cogeneration cycle is growing, which is not efficient and opens up investment opportunities • At the same time 60% of these facilities are publicly owned, which means they can be either bought or privatized with subsequent upgrades – this creates a huge new segment in the market • The current level of heat losses is five times as high as in Europe; a boom in investments into heat grid refurbishment is expected in the coming years Centralized heat production in Russia Mn Gcal Percent Losses of heat in heating mains Percent, 2010 Share of heat infrastructure with age above technical norms Percent, 2010 1997 Russia Heating grid Boiler rooms Estonia Poland Finland Sweden 2000 05 2009 1 201 >25 59 15 53 14 6 4 1 214 1 429 1337 56 53 47 45 40 43 48 50 4 4 6 5Other Boiler houses Averageage Years Numberofplants ‘000 Privatelyowned percent CHPs 30 30 70,3 0,3 39 100 The Russian energy industry — investment opportunities = 100%
  • 15. 15 SOURCE: Federal State Statistics Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics (USA), Office for National Statistics (UK), Statistics Sweden Questions of energy efficiency are becoming increasingly more relevant for the population Questions of energy efficiency are becoming more relevant for the following reasons: • Average spending on energy is growing ahead of inflation • Utility services account for over 10% of total spending of the Russian population, which is twice as much as in the USA and only slightly less than in the UK Average household spending on utility services1 is growing ahead of inflation Share of utilities2 in overall household spending RUB ‘000 per month Percent, 2009 1 per household 2 Utilities include gas, power, other types of fuel for residential heating and cooking, and water supply 2004 USA 2006 Sweden 2008 Russia 2010 UK 3,1 12,8 1,0 5,1 1,7 5,6 2,3 10,4 +21 % p.a Inflation 10,4% The Russian energy industry — investment opportunities
  • 16. 16 0. The Russian macroeconomic environment 1. The Russian energy industry — investment opportunities 2. Energy efficiency of the Russian economy 3. Energy efficiency legislation — reform outcomes 4. Public policy in energy efficiency 5. Development institutes and their programs Energy efficiency in Russia: new opportunities
  • 17. 17 SOURCE: EIU, BP statistics 2011 Energy efficiency of the Russian economy Russia is a “leader” in terms of energy intensity of the economy Energy intensity of GDP tce/USD ‘000, 2010 Oil-producing economies Developing economies Northern countries Russia is a «leader» in energy intensity of the economy among BRIC countries, countries with cold climates and countries with a similar reliance on natural resource extraction Russia Saudi Arabia Ukraine Russia Canada Finland Kazakhstan Russia China India Brazil UAE Qatar 0,67 1,22 0,67 0,29 0,17 0,73 0,67 0,59 0,44 0,17 0,42 0,29 0,64
  • 18. 18 Priority measures for government stimulus SOURCE: McKinsey Energy efficiency curve, 2020 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 -20 -40 -60 -80 -100 -120 -140 -160 -180 -200 -220 -240 -260 -560 Savings of primary energyresources Mtce 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220 230 240 HVAC upgrade in non-residential buildings Planning in the transport sector Improved insulation in residential buildings Replacement of insulating gaskets Increased share of cogeneration CHPPs Improved insulation in non-residential buildings Energy efficient greenfield projects in upstream Upgrade of HVAC management systems in residential buildings Cogeneration in steelmaking (gas from basicoxygen furnaces), upgrades Improved control of maintenance and technological processes in downstream Improved control of maintenance and technological processes in upstream Energy efficient inventory in residential buildings Energy efficient home appliances Energy efficiency in upstream Maintenance of distribution systems Energy efficiency in downstream Heating mains insulation Installation of home heat meters and thermostats Improving the efficiency of old generation facilities Construction of energy efficient non-residential Upgrade of residential buildings in line with new energy efficiency norms Overall energy efficiency in the iron and steel industry Cost-cutting measures in other industries More rigorous energy efficiency norms for new residential buildings Decrease of grid losses Energy efficient office equipment Profitable measures in other industries Heat pumps to replace electric heating equipmentin residential buildings Lighting – LED lamps to replace incandescent bulbs in residential buildings Energy efficient power installations at new chemical plants Cogeneration in steelmaking (gas from basicoxygen furnaces), new construction Электро- и теплоэнергетика Строительство Нефть и газ Автомобильные перевозки Другие отраслиCost of reducingenergy consumption EUR/tce Energy efficiency of the Russian economy
  • 19. 19 Estimated size of investment in energy efficien- cy measures in the Russian residential sector with payback period of 5 years — about 4 Bn USD SOURCE: Federal State Statistics Service (Russia); Energy Efficiency Working Group of the Commission of the President of the Russian Federation List of recommended measures for the residential sector and utilities • Installation of heat-reflective screens in public spaces • Replacement of incandescent light bulbs with compact fluorescent bulbs in public spaces • Installation of heat metering and weather-based distribution units • Installation of frequency regulation drives in utility systems • The list is based on the assumption of fast payback of measures in 5 years, in the absence of this requirement the investment and energy savings potential is higher 1 Assuming the implementation of measures with a payback period under five years trialed in pilot projects 2 Assuming that all measure with payback less than 5 years are realized Residential housing built less than 16 years ago Assets Number of assets1 ‘000 Share of attractive assets for investment1 Percent Savings potential Mtce Investment potential2 USD Mn 216 ~10 Residential housing built between 16 and 40 years ago 1 416 ~70 Residential housing built over 40 years ago 1 592 ~30 Central heating units 30,4 ~50 0,35 151 5,91 2,22 2,34 2 578 967 299 Overall potential 10,8 3 995 Energy efficiency of the Russian economy
  • 20. 20 Estimated size investment in energy efficiency measures in the Russian public sector with payback period less than 5 years– more than 2.7 USD Bn SOURCE: Federal State Statistics Service (Russia); Energy Efficiency Working Group of the Commission of the President of the Russian Federation List of recommended measures for the public sector • Replacement of incandescent light bulbs with energy saving lamps • Overhaul of outdoor lighting systems • Installation of heat-reflective screens • Replacement of outdoor lighting systems • The list is based on the assumption of fast payback of measures in 5 years, in the absence of this requirement the investment and energy savings potential is higher 1 Assuming the implementation of measures with a payback period under five years trialed in pilot projects 2 Assuming that all measure with payback less than 5 years are realized Preschool facilities Type of facility Number of assets1 , ‘000 Penetration potential1, percent Energy savings potential, Mtce Investment potential2 USD bn 50,3 ~42 Schools Healthcare institutions Administrative buildings 895 484 708 519 386 224 134 372 Overall potential Tertiary education institutions and colleges 45,6 ~41 32,8 ~30 4,0 ~50 7,8 ~50 2 647 1 495 5 156 2 709 Energy efficiency of the Russian economy
  • 21. 21 SOURCE: Federal State Statistics Service (Russia) Reduction of heat losses in transmission can improve energy efficiency by 10% Russia has great potential with respect to decreasing heat losses Leveraging this potential will require significant investment Heat losses in the grid, percent Length of grids, ‘000 km Necessary investments2 , RUB bn Savings potential1 Heat, mn Gcal/ year Primary energy, Mtce/year Russia Poland Finland Decrease of losses to Polish levels Replacement of grids past the end of useful life Past the end of useful life >25 132 >134 430 >23 14 6 -42% 35% 65% • Russia is a “leader” in heating mains losses • If Russia decreases heat grid losses to Polish levels, the country will save over 10% of its heat energy • The great length of deteriorated grids creates significant investment opportunities 1 Assuming Russian decreases heat grid losses to Polish levels 2 Replacement of grids past the end of normative life Energy efficiency of the Russian economy
  • 22. 22 SOURCE: McKinsey, IEA, Federal State Statistics Service (Russia) Many of Russia’s power generation facilities are technologically obsolete The average age of generation plants is much greater than the corresponding figure in Europe. The efficiency rate of obsolete plants is much lower than that of modern plants The average efficiency rate in Russia is much lower than that of new plants Percent Share of facilities over 40 years old Percent Gas Cogeneration 42 56 48 44 39 32 30 30 22 Cogeneration Russia EUCondensation Condensation Coal Combined-cycle gas plant Ultra supercritical coal Supercritical coal Energy efficiency of the Russian economy
  • 23. 23 SOURCE:Federal State Statistics Service (Russia); annual report OAO “Sahalinskaya Kommunalnaya Kompania” The modernization of boiler houses is a key lever for increasingenergy efficiency Boiler houses transition to gas and solid fuel and the use of cogeneration mode can help achieve signi-ficant energy savings 1 Assuming half of boiler houses on liquid fuel transition to gas, heat rate by fuel type is average heat rate of OAO «Sahalinskaya Kommunalnaya Kompania» in 2010 2 Average heat rate of CHPs (166 kg/Gcal) and boiler houses ( 219 kg/Gcal) are used Key levers Description Share of boiler houses by type of fuel Percent Transition to gas and solid fuel Transition to cogeneration Share of boiler houses with cogeneration Percent 39 5 54 Solid Other • 3 400 boiler houses use liquid fuel • The consumption of liquid fuel is 7.5 mil. ton a year • Potential primary power savings due to transition from liquid to gas fuel are 1.3 mil. tce1 • Less than 2% of boiler houses operate in cogeneration mode • Potential primary energy savings if the share of cogeneration doubled are 0.82 mil. tce2 Liquid Cogeneration Gas 98 2 Energy efficiency of the Russian economy
  • 24. 24 0. The Russian macroeconomic environment 1. The Russian energy industry — investment opportunities 2. Energy efficiency of the Russian economy 3. Energy efficiency legislation — reform outcomes 4. Public policy in energy efficiency 5. Development institutes and their programs Energy efficiency in Russia: new opportunities
  • 25. 25 Legislative reform concerning energy savings • In a year and a half, federal ministries and regulators developed and enacted over 50 regulatory acts • The reform of energy savings legislation is mostly completed • The completed legal base has created an environment for the President Dmitry Medvedev proclaims energy efficiency a priority for Russian economic development Enactment of Federal Law FL-261 on energy savings and improving energy efficiency by Dmitry Medvedev Approval of requirements with respect to regional and municipal energy savings and energy efficiency improvement programs by Vladimir Putin Definition of the sphere of authority of federal executive bodies in the area of energy savings and energy efficiency improvements by Vladimir Putin Approval of energy passport requirements by Ministry of Energy Presidential Decree on the evaluation of the energy savings performance of executive bodies of constituent entities of the Russian Federation and of local authorities 21.05.2010 Within the frames of the project on creating the innovation cen- tre “Skolkovo”, the Foundation of Development of the Centre of Research and Commercializing of the New Technologies was officially registered in Moscow. Approval of requirements with respect to the conditions and procedure for energy service contracts in the public sector by Vladimir Putin Definition of the categories of goods that must be labeled with energy efficiency class information by Ministry of Industry and Trade The State Program for Energy Savings and Energy Efficiency Improvements through 2020 approved by Vladimir Putin Approval of the rules for the formulation of energy efficiency requirements for buildings and facilities by Ministry of Regions Procedure for identifying the volume of resource consumption decreases in comparable environments by Ministry of Economic Development Agency for Strategic Initiatives in business set up by Vladimir Putin 2009 2010 07 11 12 02 04 05 2011 08 09 12 01 05 08 Energy efficiency legislation – reform outcomes
  • 26. 26 Legislation changes. New opportunities (1/2) Area Key legal provisions Impact of current legislation Public sector Residential sector and households • Budget funded entities are obliged to decrease energy resource consumption by 15% between 2010 and 2015 (3% per year) • Budget funded entities are to pay for energy resources on the basis of metering data starting in 2011 • Budget funded entities must conduct an initial energy audit before the end of 2012 and repeat it every five years • Energy service contracts conditions, forms and requirements with respect to the contracting procedure in budget funded entities have been defined • Budget funded entities’ energy service contracting and accounting procedures have been approved • The methodology for assessing the impact of measures in comparable environments has been developed • Energy efficiency requirements for buildings and facilities and energy efficiency classes determination rules have been approved • The types and characteristics of goods for which energy efficiency class must be stated have been approved • Energy efficiency class is to be labeled on the goods packaging • Households are to pay for energy resources on the basis of metering data from mid-2012 • Public servants are to lower entities’ energy consumption • Organizations will pay for resources on the basis of actual consumption • Incentive: savings lead to higher wages • Investment activities and projects in the public sector are developed on cost-effective bases • Recommended energy saving solutions for the public sector have been approved • Regional and municipal governments have instructions regarding expenditure planning with reference to savings • Energy saving assessing and calculating methodologies approved by federal law • New buildings and projects are designed with reference to energy efficiency requirements • People clearly see energy efficient classes of goods in the stores • Incentive: choose efficient goods and save on household energy payments • New incentive: significant savings on utility payments for the family budget 6 15 regulations enacted regulations enacted Energy efficiency legislation – reform outcomes
  • 27. 27 Законодательство и изменения. Новые возможности (2/2) Area Key legal provisions Impact of current legislation Industry Overall Power and transport • Large consumers and regulated companies must conduct an initial energy audit before the end of 2012 and repeat it every five years • The Ministry of Energy has registered over 100 self-regulating organizations with a membership of over 4,000 energy auditors • Energy passport requirements and issuance procedure have been approved • Requirements with respect to programs for energy savings in regulated companies issued by The Federal Tariff Service • Programs for energy savings in regulated companies are being monitored • Requirements with respect to regional and municipal programs for energy efficiency have been approved, a variety of cost-effective measures have been recommended for inclusion into these programs • Regional and municipal programs for energy efficiency have been approved in 2010 • Performance indexes and controlling procedures for state-driven energy efficiency measures have been approved for government bodies at all levels • Investment activities and energy efficiency projects are developed on cost-effective bases • Energy auditor qualifications requirements have been determined • Energy efficiency measures feasibility reports are aggregated to develop best practices • Overall system-based approach for energy efficiency implementation in power generation and distribution industry is underway • Overall multilevel energy savings incentive framework and state investments tools set up • Incentive for government bodies: energy efficiency is a key lever of modernization 3 16 8 regulations enacted regulations enacted regulations enacted Energy efficiency legislation – reform outcomes
  • 28. 28 0. The Russian macroeconomic environment 1. The Russian energy industry — investment opportunities 2. Energy efficiency of the Russian economy 3. Energy efficiency legislation — reform outcomes 4. Public policy in energy efficiency 5. Development institutes and their programs Energy efficiency in Russia: new opportunities
  • 29. 29 Public policy in energy efficiency SOURCE: http://i-russia.ru/ Commission for Modernization and Technological Development The President of The Russian Federation Dmitry Medvedev Commission for Modernization and Technological Development of the Russian Economy Energy Efficiency and Resource Savings working group Minister of Economic Development Elvira Nabiullina Nuclear Technologies working group 1. Energy efficient apartment blocks 2. Energy efficient social sector 3. Measure, save and pay 4. New light 5. Distributed Power Generation Computer Technologies and Applications working group Space Technology and Telecommunication working group Medical Equipment and Pharmaceuticals working group The Prime Minister of The Russian Federation Vladimir Putin Ministry of Economic Development Ministry of Energy Ministry of Regional Development Ministry of Finance Russian Energy Agency Project Management Office
  • 30. 30 Energy efficient apartment blocks Energy efficient social sector Measure, save and pay New light Distributed Power Generation 25 pilot projects in 14 Russian regions: SOURCE: Energy Efficiency working group of the Commission of the President of the Russian Federation Pilot projects of the energy efficiency working group 1 A library of technological and organization solutions and business cases has been built for every project Energy efficient apartment blocks Energy efficient social sector Measure, save and pay New light Distributed Power Generation Pilot projects in apartment blocks implemented in Tyumen, Kazan, Vorkuta, Apatity Pilot projects conducted and energy service contracts signed in public-sector organizations in the Kaluga, Nizhny Novgorod and Tver Regions, Tatarstan, the Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous District and the Perm Territory Demand for metering equipment assessed, pilot Smart Metering project executed Solutions to improve the performance of lighting systems in residential housing and other areas trialed in Kirov, Gorno-Altaysk, Perm Operational and financial replicable blueprint for modernizing obsolete boiler houses with transition to cogeneration mode developed in the Yaroslavl, Smolensk, Sverdlovsk Regions and Bahskortostan Thermal energy savings: 20% Power savings in stairwells: 40% Thermal energy savings: 25% Power savings for lighting: 15% 87% of public-sector organizations equipped with metering units Impact after roll-out: 37bn kW-h The expected payback period for the project is 7-8 years Public policy in energy efficiency
  • 31. 31 Russian Energy Agency Goals Activities • Improve the effectiveness of public policy in the areas of energy efficiency and energy savings • Serve as a point of contact and as unifying body of all activities in energy efficiency space in Russia from setting normatives to developing public policy • Improve the investment attractiveness of the electric power industry • Informational and analytic support in the areas of fuel and energy industry, energy efficiency, renewable energy sources • Development of regional, municipal, public-sector and corporate programs to improve energy efficiency, supporting the implementation of these programs • Coordination of international cooperation in the areas of improving energy efficiency and renewable energy sources • Organization of events to raise awareness and providing training related to energy efficiency issues • Methodological support in the areas of energy efficiency and renewables • Expert analysis and support for projects in the areas of energy efficiency and renewables • Support energy service activities and attracting financing • Support innovations and research in the fuel and energy sector, energy efficiency and renewables • Encourage the creation of Russian manufacturing capacity and technology transfer in the areas of energy efficiency and renewables Public policy in energy efficiency
  • 32. 32 • The aim is to launch the roll-out of proven generic designs in the utilities sector (payback periods of under 5 years) Installation of regulating units Installation of local heating facilities for public- sector organizations Replacement of incandescent light bulbs Installation of frequency regulation drives at central heating facilities Overhaul of outdoor lighting systems Installation of metering equipment • The guarantees will be given to banks, ensuring low interest rates for financing sample projects and kick- starting the energy service mechanism • The aim is to encourage businesses to execute energy efficiency-related projects. The guarantees will allow businesses to get access to preferential terms, so that energy efficiency projects receive high priority. Guarantee volume by year: 2011 – RUB 5bn 2012 – RUB 10bn 2013 – RUB 10bn • The value of the guarantee is at least RUB 1bn SOURCE: Energy Efficiency working group of the Commission of the President of the Russian Federation Implementation levers for the public program 1 Starting from 2012; in 2011, the guarantees amount to RUB 10bn pro rata Public financing Public guarantees for loans financing energy efficiency projects (within the framework of long-term target agreements) • Best energy efficiency programs chosen in a competition among constituent entities of Russia • Subsidies from the federal budget allocated in proportion to regional budgets’ allocation to the implementation of programs, up to RUB 500mn per region • Creation of a state information system to record energy passports and track the performance of energy efficiency programs • Awareness campaign to encourage saving behavior in the country • Training of staff responsible for energy efficiency in regional executive bodies and local authorities at the municipal level • Other costs 7,00 5,27 0,68 0,50 0,26 0,29 RUB bn in 2011 20,00 10,00 RUB bn per year 10,00 Public policy in energy efficiency
  • 33. 33 Federal Budget Regional Budget The planned funding for the implementation of the state energy savings and energy efficiency program is RUB 7bn in 2011. Key directions • Subsidies to regions for co-financing energy efficiency • State information system • Comprehensive awareness campaign • Expert training • Responsibility for program implementation rests with the Ministry of Energy • Regional budget funds in 2011- RUB 12.2bn • Federal budget subsidies in 2011- RUB 5.27bn Key items • Co-financing of equipment installation and the implementation of measures in the residential sector • Energy audits, public sector reporting • Subsidized metering equipment for the population • Modernization of boiler rooms and reference electrode units • Subsidies to municipalities Budgetary support for energy savings in 2011 Budgetary support for energy savings RUB bn, 2011 1,75 1,60 1,25 1,13 1,09 76% 69% 61% 92% 83% 24% 31% 39% 8% 17% Tatarstan Krasnodar Territory Primorsky Territory Regional budget funds Federal budget subsidies Moscow Yamal-Nenets AD SOURCE: Russian Energy Agency, working group on energy efficiency Public policy in energy efficiency
  • 34. 34 SOURCE: corporate internet sites Energy savings programs in regulated organization — examples Company name Program description • Three large energy efficiency improvement programs implemented - Application of LED equipment (investments of more than RUR 220 million) - Improvement of the system of fuel and energy resources - Energy savings in transportation process • Next steps include comprehensive energy savings innovative products, including implementation of LED equipment, hydrogen power, nanotechnology • Contract on cooperation in the area of energy efficiency with the European Bank of Reconstruction and Development • Energy efficiency program for 2012 – 2015 - Optimization of technological process of oil transportation and storage - Application the electric equipment with higher efficiency ratio - Wide application of thermal insulation - Introduction of GLONASS monitoring to reduce the motor fuel consumption • Energy savings program implementation will allow to ensure the savings of fuel and energy resources for 2010 - 2015 by 12% as compared to 2009 • Energy savings program for 2010 – 2015 - Power efficiency improvement at a construction stage – use of local types of fuel, application of thermal insulation materials for winter concrete placing - Reduction of technological losses of operating units and of energy consumption - Power savings in sales: decrease in technological and commercial losses of power energy and improvement of accounting for energy resources - Energy audit (conducted for 16 Hydro power stations) • Energy savings program for 2010 – 2012 - Decrease of grid losses, smart grids - Equipment of sites with accounting devices - Decrease of the consumption of electric power and heat in buildings and constructions - Energy audit Public policy in energy efficiency
  • 35. 35 0. The Russian macroeconomic environment 1. The Russian energy industry — investment opportunities 2. Energy efficiency of the Russian economy 3. Energy efficiency legislation — reform outcomes 4. Public policy in energy efficiency 5. Development institutes and their programs Energy efficiency in Russia: new opportunities
  • 36. 36 Development institutes and their programs In the last 2 years over 8 bln USD were given by over ten newly created financing funds • There is a significant number of institutes which finance energy efficiency projects at different stages of project lifecycle • Various instruments for financing by state of already started projects and grants in R&D in energy efficiency • A high number of energy efficiency projects are already being financed now Loans Investments Grants >2,7 >15 >0,1 >0,3 >5 >20 Used USD bn Resources USD bn