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Financial results Q3 2011

21 October 2011
It should be noted that certain statements herein which are not historical facts, including, without
limitation those regarding expectations for market growth and developments; expectations for growth
and profitability; and statements preceded by “believes”, “expects”, “anticipates”, “foresees”, or similar
expressions, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Since these statements are based on current plans, estimates and
projections, they involve risks and uncertainties which may cause actual results to materially differ from
those expressed in such forward-looking statements. Such factors include, but are not limited to: (1)
operating factors such as continued success of manufacturing activities and the achievement of
efficiencies therein, continued success of product development, acceptance of new products or services
by the Group’s targeted customers, success of the existing and future collaboration arrangements,
changes in business strategy or development plans or targets, changes in the degree of protection
created by the Group’s patents and other intellectual property rights, the availability of capital on
acceptable terms; (2) industry conditions, such as strength of product demand, intensity of competition,
prevailing and future global market prices for the Group’s products and the pricing pressures thereto,
price fluctuations in raw materials, financial condition of the customers and the competitors of the
Group, the potential introduction of competing products and technologies by competitors; and (3)
general economic conditions, such as rates of economic growth in the Group’s principal geographic
markets or fluctuations in exchange and interest rates.




                                      Financial results Q3 2011   21 October 2011                      2
Solid quarter


•   EUR 204 million operating profit
    excl. NRI and FV

•   Strong cash flow after Capex
    EUR 282 million

•   Improved liquidity at EUR 1 181
    million

•   Increased curtailments to control
    inventories




                               Financial results Q3 2011   21 October 2011   3
Higher prices continue to support result

                    EBIT excl NRI and fair valuation                               EBIT margin*, % 4 Q avg
              300                                                                                                               10 %


              240                                                                                                               8%
EUR million




              180                                                                                                               6%


              120                                                                                                               4%


              60                                                                                                                2%


               0                                                                                                                0%



                                                                                            *excluding NRI and fair valuation




                                     Financial results Q3 2011   21 October 2011                                                 4
Early curtailments are important
      Operative working capital


              2 800                                                                                                                28,0 %
              2 600                                                                                                                26,0 %
              2 400                                                                                                                24,0 %
              2 200                                                                                                                22,0 %
EUR million




              2 000                                                                                                                20,0 %
              1 800                                                                                                                18,0 %
              1 600                                                                                                                16,0 %
              1 400                                                                                                                14,0 %
              1 200                                                                                                                12,0 %
              1 000                                                                                                                10,0 %
                      09Q1 09Q2 09Q3 09Q4 10Q1 10Q2 10Q3 10Q4 11Q1 11Q2 11Q3

                      Operative Working Capital at the end of Q                              Working Capital per Sales ratio
                                                   *Operative working capital = trade receivables + inventories – trade payables




                                               Financial results Q3 2011   21 October 2011                                            5
We have jumped the curve
Operating Rate % vs. EBIT %*


      10 %



          8%
EBIT %*




          6%                                                                                                   Q3 2011


          4%
                                                                                                               Q3 2008

          2%



          0%
            90 %   91 %   92 %   93 %                 94 %              95 %   96 %          97 %       98 %
                                                Operating Rate %

                                                                               *Excluding NRIs and FV



                                 Financial results Q3 2011   21 October 2011                                      6
Continued to increase flexibility
FY2007- Q3 YTD 2011


                    0,30




                    0,28
Fixed Costs/Sales




                    0,26




                    0,24




                    0,22
                           FY2007   FY2008              FY2009                   FY2010   Q3 YTD 2011




                                       Financial results Q3 2011   21 October 2011                      7
Our market pulp and magazine paper deliveries up

                         Market pulp                                                  Magazine Paper***                                                   Industrial Packaging*
                 120                                                                                                                                    101
                                                                                110
                 115
                                                                                105                                                                     100
                 110
        INDEX




                                                                                                                                                INDEX
                                                                                                                                                         99




                                                                      INDEX
                 105                                                            100
                                                                                                                                                         98
                 100                                                             95
                  95                                                                                                                                     97
                                                                                 90
                  90                                                                                                                                     96
                                                                                 85
                         Q3/10       Q2/11       Q3/11                                                                                                                 Q3/10     Q2/11        Q3/11
                                                                                            Q3/10          Q2/11            Q3/11



                Wood Products ****                                 Fine Paper                                             Consumer Board                                 Newsprint**
           110                                               102                                                    108
                                                                                                                                                                 105
                                                             100                                                    106
           105                                                                                                                                                   100
                                                                                                                    104
                                                              98
                                                                                                            INDEX
                                                     INDEX
INDEX




                                                                                                                                                         INDEX
           100                                                                                                      102                                           95
                                                              96                                                    100
                95                                                                                                                                                90
                                                              94                                                     98
                90                                            92                                                     96                                           85
                                                                                                                     94                                           80
                85                                            90
                                                                                                                            Q3/10   Q2/11   Q3/11                        Q3/10    Q2/11        Q3/11
                       Q3/10     Q2/11   Q3/11                     Q3/10          Q2/11        Q3/11
                                             *Index is calculated average of paper and board deliveries (1 000 t) index and                             ** Includes Varkaus and Maxau mills
                                             the corrugated packaging deliveries (million m2) index. Includes Kotka mill.                               ***Includes Kotka mill
                                                                                                                                                        **** Includes Kotka mill


                                                                              Financial results Q3 2011   21 October 2011                                                                 8
Summary financials Q3 2011

                                                                                                             Change %           Change %
EUR million                                                   III/2011                 II/2011   III/2010
                                                                                                             Q311/Q310          Q311/Q211

Sales                                                              2 739                 2 817      2 624                4.4               -2.8

EBITDA, excl. NRI and fair valuations                                 339                  358        366               -7.3               -5.1

Operating profit, excl. NRI and fair valuations                       204                  228        255             -19.9              -10.6

Profit before tax, excl. NRI                                          111                  182        220             -49.7              -39.0

Loss/profit before tax                                                 -17               150.1      225.8            -107.7             -111.5

Earnings per share, excl. NRI (EUR)                                  0.10                 0.21       0.23             -56.5              -52.4

ROCE, excl. NRI and fair valuations (%)                                9.3                10.4       12.4             -25.0              -10.6



Cash flow from operations                                             362                  207        304              19.1               74.7

Cash flow after investing activities                                  282                  122        230              22.4             131.5

Debt/equity                                                          0.45                 0.41       0.43                4.7               9.8
                                                                                                                       NRI = Non-recurring items
                                                                     Fair valuations include synthetic options net of realised and open hedges,
                               CO2 emission rights, and valuations of biological assets related to forest assets in equity accounted investments


                                                Financial results Q3 2011    21 October 2011                                               9
Operating profit by segments

                                                                                           Change %        Change %
EUR million                              III/2011                 II/2011       III/2010
                                                                                           Q311/Q310       Q311/Q211
Consumer Board                                     64                     85          78          -17.0             -23.8
 % of sales                                     10.3                 12.8           13.1          -21.4             -19.5
Industrial Packaging                               20                     20          19            7.5               3.1
 % of sales                                       7.9                     8.1        8.3           -4.8              -2.5
Newsprint and Book Paper                           34                     28           0           n/m               22.2

 % of sales                                     10.2                      8.2        0.0           n/m               24.4

Magazine Paper                                     48                     34          46            6.2              42.5

 % of sales                                       8.6                     6.6        8.4            2.4              30.3

Fine Paper                                         38                     49          71          -46.7             -22.4

 % of sales                                       7.1                     9.2       12.6          -43.7             -22.8
Wood Products                                      10                     35          25          -61.1             -72.2
 % of sales                                       2.4                     7.6        5.9          -59.3             -68.4

                                                                                             excluding non-recurring items



                           Financial results Q3 2011    21 October 2011                                             10
Solid platform for growth

                         Net Debt                  Net Debt/EBITDA excl NRI and fair valuations
              5 000                                                                                                                        6,0

              4 500                                                                                                                        5,0

              4 000                                                                                                                        4,0
EUR million




              3 500                                                                                                                        3,0

              3 000                                                                                                                        2,0

              2 500                                                                                                                        1,0

              2 000                                                                                                                        0,0




                      SENA divestment closed in Q4 2007                                              EBITDA: Continuing operations
                      Merchants divestment closed in Q2 2008                                             Net debt: Total operations



                                                       Financial results Q3 2011   21 October 2011                                    11
Near term outlook

•   Our production curtailments to                                            Demand        Price
                                                                              development   development
    control inventory levels have                                             Q4/11 vs      Q4/11 vs
    increased in Q3 and will continue                                         Q4/10         Q3/11
    in Q4
                                                             Consumer Board

                                                             Industrial
•   EBIT excl. NRI and FV in Q4                              Packaging
    estimated to be somewhat lower
                                                             Newsprint and
    year on year                                             Book Paper

                                                             Coated
                                                             Magazine Paper

                                                             Uncoated
                                                             Magazine Paper

                                                             Coated Fine
                                                             Paper
                                                             Uncoated Fine
                                                             Paper
                                                             Wood Products

                              Financial results Q3 2011   21 October 2011                            12
Solid third quarter


•   Strong cash flow and balance
    sheet



•   Production curtailments continue




•   Growth projects proceeding




                             Financial results Q3 2011   21 October 2011   13
Rethinking continues!
Cost inflation diminishing

            Realised   Realised
            Q3/11 vs   Q3/11 vs
            Q3/10      Q2/11
Pulp wood

Sawlogs

RCP

Pulp

Chemicals

Energy



                         Financial results Q3 2011   21 October 2011   16
Net Financial Items

                                                                                                              Change %           Change %
EUR million                                                 III/2011                II/2011       III/2010
                                                                                                              Q311/Q310          Q311/Q211
Net interest expense                                           -35.9                  -28.3         -23.9             -50.2             -26.9


Foreign exchange gains and losses                               -11.4                   -0.7        -18.1              37.0               n/m


Other financial items, of which                              -146.1                     -5.6         -9.1              n/m                n/m

 PIK notes                                                         2.1                      1.9       1.5

 Fair valuation of interest rate derivates*                    -16.4                    -3.3          4.3

 Fair valuation of long-term debt                                 -1.1                      0.4      -2.6

 NewPage lease provision                                     -128.2                         0.0       0.0

 Other items                                                      -2.5                  -4.6        -12.3


Total net financial items                                    -193.4                   -34.6         -51.1              n/m                n/m

                                                                                                  *Not hedge accounted interest rate derivatives.



                                              Financial results Q3 2011   21 October 2011                                                  17
Softwood pulp prices still on high level
       Stora Enso’s market pulp is softwood

            1 100

            1 000

             900

                                                                                                                                                         Bleached softwood kraft
USD/tonne




             800
                                                                                                                                                         pulp
                                                                                                                                                         Bleached hardwood kraft
             700
                                                                                                                                                         pulp

             600

             500

             400
                    07Q1
                           07Q2
                                  07Q3
                                         07Q4
                                                08Q1
                                                       08Q2
                                                              08Q3
                                                                     08Q4
                                                                            09Q1
                                                                                   09Q2
                                                                                          09Q3
                                                                                                 09Q4
                                                                                                        10Q1
                                                                                                               10Q2
                                                                                                                      10Q3
                                                                                                                             10Q4
                                                                                                                                    11Q1
                                                                                                                                           11Q2
                                                                                                                                                  11Q3
                                                                                                                                                                     Source: FOEX


                                                                              Financial results Q3 2011         21 October 2011                                                18
Pulp wood and saw log prices decreased from Q2 2011
  Wood prices in Finland

          80

          70

          60

          50
EUR/m 3




                                                                                                                                                                                Pulpwood, Pine
          40
                                                                                                                                                                                Sawlogs, Pine
          30

          20

          10

           0
                      06Q2


                                    06Q4


                                                  07Q2


                                                                07Q4


                                                                              08Q2


                                                                                            08Q4


                                                                                                          09Q2


                                                                                                                        09Q4


                                                                                                                                      10Q2


                                                                                                                                                    10Q4


                                                                                                                                                                  11Q2
               06Q1


                             06Q3


                                           07Q1


                                                         07Q3


                                                                       08Q1


                                                                                     08Q3


                                                                                                   09Q1


                                                                                                                 09Q3


                                                                                                                               10Q1


                                                                                                                                             10Q3


                                                                                                                                                           11Q1


                                                                                                                                                                         11Q3
                                                                                                                                                Source: METLA




                                                                                     Financial results Q3 2011          21 October 2011                                                         19
Wood prices in Sweden

          600


          500


          400
                                                                                                                                                                                            Pulpwood
SEK/m 3




          300
                                                                                                                                                                                            Sawlogs
          200


          100


           0
                              06Q3
                                     06Q4
                                            07Q1




                                                                        08Q1
                                                                                 08Q2




                                                                                                             09Q2
                                                                                                                    09Q3
                                                                                                                           09Q4




                                                                                                                                                       10Q4
                                                                                                                                                              11Q1
                06Q1
                       06Q2




                                                   07Q2
                                                          07Q3
                                                                 07Q4




                                                                                        08Q3
                                                                                               08Q4
                                                                                                      09Q1




                                                                                                                                  10Q1
                                                                                                                                         10Q2
                                                                                                                                                10Q3




                                                                                                                                                                     11Q2
                                                                                                                                                                            11Q3
                                                                                                                                                                Pulpwood includes pine, spruce and birch.
                                                                                                                                                                       Sawlogs include pine and spruce.

                                                                                                                                                                                   Source: SDC, Skogsstyrelsen

                                                                               Financial results Q3 2011        21 October 2011                                                                          20
RCP prices decreasing from Q2 2011

            200


            160
EUR/tonne




            120                                                                                                                                          Mixed

                                                                                                                                                         OCC
             80
                                                                                                                                                         De-inking
             40


              0
                  07Q1

                         07Q2

                                07Q3

                                       07Q4

                                              08Q1




                                                                                          09Q3

                                                                                                 09Q4

                                                                                                        10Q1

                                                                                                               10Q2
                                                     08Q2

                                                             08Q3

                                                                    08Q4

                                                                            09Q1

                                                                                   09Q2




                                                                                                                      10Q3

                                                                                                                             10Q4

                                                                                                                                    11Q1

                                                                                                                                           11Q2

                                                                                                                                                  11Q3
                                                                   German RCP price development, free delivered
                                                            Source: Verband Deutscher Papierfabriken/Stora Enso



                                                                           Financial results Q3 2011    21 October 2011                                              21
Capital expenditure and depreciation
              Q1 2008 – Q3 2011

              250                                                                                         10 %


              200                                                                                         8%
EUR million




              150                                                                                         6%


              100                                                                                         4%


              50                                                                                          2%


               0                                                                                          0%


                      Capex       Depreciation and impairment excl NRI                 Capex % of sales



                                         Financial results Q3 2011   21 October 2011                      22
Debt/equity
 2005 – Q3 2011

0,8
      0,70
0,7

0,6                              0,56
             0,54
                                                       0,51
0,5                                                                                                        0,45
                                                                                           0,41
                    0,39                                                 0,39    0,38
0,4

0,3

0,2

0,1

 0
      2005   2006   2007        2008                   2009              2010   Q1 2011   Q2 2011       Q3 2011
                                                                                                  Total operations



                           Financial results Q3 2011   21 October 2011                                         23
Transaction risk and hedges
as at 30 September 2011


 EUR million                                                                                  USD     GBP    SEK

 Estimated annual net operating cash flow exposure                                            1 040    570   -790

 Transaction hedges as at 30 September 2011                                                   -560    -250   470

 Hedging percentage as at 30 September 2011 for the next 12 months                             54%    44%    59%

    USD, GBP and SEK have additional hedges for 13-16 months which will increase the
    hedging percentage 8%, 4% and 7% respectively.

    Operating Profit: Currency strengthening of + 10%
    Based on estimated next 12 months net operating                           EUR million
    cash flow exposure.
    USD                                                                              104
    SEK                                                                              -79
    GBP                                                                               57

     The sensitivity is based on estimated next 12 months net operating cash flow. The
     calculation does not take into account currency hedges, and assumes no changes occur
     other than a single currency exchange rate movement. Weakening would have the
     opposite impact.



                                                Financial results Q3 2011   21 October 2011                   24
Maturity profile
 30 September 2011

€m                                    Bonds                 Other loans / liabilities                 Commercial paper


                                                    SEK 500m 3.5% 2015
1 000                                               SEK 1.4 bn S+3.7% 2015
                                                    SEK 2.4 bn 5.75% 2015
 900

 800
            EUR 750m 5.125% 2014
                                                                                    EUR 390m E+4.21% 2016
 700                                                                                USD 507m 6.404% 2016

 600
                                                                                                            USD 300m 7.25% 2036
 500

 400

 300

 200

 100

     0
         2011        2012      2013      2014          2015               2016          2017   2018    2019-2035    2036
                Revolving Credit Facility € 700 million matures in January 2014 and is fully undrawn

                                              Financial results Q3 2011    21 October 2011                                        25
Energy balance Q3 2011


      Total energy self
       sufficiency 60%

     Self sufficiency 53%                   Self sufficiency 62%
50                                                                                   Impact** on operating profit from
40                                                                                                                              EUR million p.a.
30                                                                                   10% change in:
20
10
 0
                Electricity                           Fuels                          Electricity market price                        ~8


     Internal           External (hedged)     External (non-hedged)                  Fossil fuel price                              ~14




                                                                                                **) Remaining impact on non-hedged volume




                                                  Financial results Q3 2011   21 October 2011
Stora Enso Electricity procurement Q3 2011
        20000
GWh/a



        18000



        16000



        14000



        12000
                                                 Sales to market
                                                 Open position
        10000
                                                 Local tariff
                                                 Financial contracts
        8000                                     Physical contracts
                                                 PVO production
                                                 Own production
        6000



        4000



        2000



           0
                2011   2012        2013   2014
                              27
        -2000

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Stora Enso’s Interim Review for January - September 2011

  • 1. Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011
  • 2. It should be noted that certain statements herein which are not historical facts, including, without limitation those regarding expectations for market growth and developments; expectations for growth and profitability; and statements preceded by “believes”, “expects”, “anticipates”, “foresees”, or similar expressions, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Since these statements are based on current plans, estimates and projections, they involve risks and uncertainties which may cause actual results to materially differ from those expressed in such forward-looking statements. Such factors include, but are not limited to: (1) operating factors such as continued success of manufacturing activities and the achievement of efficiencies therein, continued success of product development, acceptance of new products or services by the Group’s targeted customers, success of the existing and future collaboration arrangements, changes in business strategy or development plans or targets, changes in the degree of protection created by the Group’s patents and other intellectual property rights, the availability of capital on acceptable terms; (2) industry conditions, such as strength of product demand, intensity of competition, prevailing and future global market prices for the Group’s products and the pricing pressures thereto, price fluctuations in raw materials, financial condition of the customers and the competitors of the Group, the potential introduction of competing products and technologies by competitors; and (3) general economic conditions, such as rates of economic growth in the Group’s principal geographic markets or fluctuations in exchange and interest rates. Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 2
  • 3. Solid quarter • EUR 204 million operating profit excl. NRI and FV • Strong cash flow after Capex EUR 282 million • Improved liquidity at EUR 1 181 million • Increased curtailments to control inventories Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 3
  • 4. Higher prices continue to support result EBIT excl NRI and fair valuation EBIT margin*, % 4 Q avg 300 10 % 240 8% EUR million 180 6% 120 4% 60 2% 0 0% *excluding NRI and fair valuation Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 4
  • 5. Early curtailments are important Operative working capital 2 800 28,0 % 2 600 26,0 % 2 400 24,0 % 2 200 22,0 % EUR million 2 000 20,0 % 1 800 18,0 % 1 600 16,0 % 1 400 14,0 % 1 200 12,0 % 1 000 10,0 % 09Q1 09Q2 09Q3 09Q4 10Q1 10Q2 10Q3 10Q4 11Q1 11Q2 11Q3 Operative Working Capital at the end of Q Working Capital per Sales ratio *Operative working capital = trade receivables + inventories – trade payables Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 5
  • 6. We have jumped the curve Operating Rate % vs. EBIT %* 10 % 8% EBIT %* 6% Q3 2011 4% Q3 2008 2% 0% 90 % 91 % 92 % 93 % 94 % 95 % 96 % 97 % 98 % Operating Rate % *Excluding NRIs and FV Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 6
  • 7. Continued to increase flexibility FY2007- Q3 YTD 2011 0,30 0,28 Fixed Costs/Sales 0,26 0,24 0,22 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 Q3 YTD 2011 Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 7
  • 8. Our market pulp and magazine paper deliveries up Market pulp Magazine Paper*** Industrial Packaging* 120 101 110 115 105 100 110 INDEX INDEX 99 INDEX 105 100 98 100 95 95 97 90 90 96 85 Q3/10 Q2/11 Q3/11 Q3/10 Q2/11 Q3/11 Q3/10 Q2/11 Q3/11 Wood Products **** Fine Paper Consumer Board Newsprint** 110 102 108 105 100 106 105 100 104 98 INDEX INDEX INDEX INDEX 100 102 95 96 100 95 90 94 98 90 92 96 85 94 80 85 90 Q3/10 Q2/11 Q3/11 Q3/10 Q2/11 Q3/11 Q3/10 Q2/11 Q3/11 Q3/10 Q2/11 Q3/11 *Index is calculated average of paper and board deliveries (1 000 t) index and ** Includes Varkaus and Maxau mills the corrugated packaging deliveries (million m2) index. Includes Kotka mill. ***Includes Kotka mill **** Includes Kotka mill Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 8
  • 9. Summary financials Q3 2011 Change % Change % EUR million III/2011 II/2011 III/2010 Q311/Q310 Q311/Q211 Sales 2 739 2 817 2 624 4.4 -2.8 EBITDA, excl. NRI and fair valuations 339 358 366 -7.3 -5.1 Operating profit, excl. NRI and fair valuations 204 228 255 -19.9 -10.6 Profit before tax, excl. NRI 111 182 220 -49.7 -39.0 Loss/profit before tax -17 150.1 225.8 -107.7 -111.5 Earnings per share, excl. NRI (EUR) 0.10 0.21 0.23 -56.5 -52.4 ROCE, excl. NRI and fair valuations (%) 9.3 10.4 12.4 -25.0 -10.6 Cash flow from operations 362 207 304 19.1 74.7 Cash flow after investing activities 282 122 230 22.4 131.5 Debt/equity 0.45 0.41 0.43 4.7 9.8 NRI = Non-recurring items Fair valuations include synthetic options net of realised and open hedges, CO2 emission rights, and valuations of biological assets related to forest assets in equity accounted investments Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 9
  • 10. Operating profit by segments Change % Change % EUR million III/2011 II/2011 III/2010 Q311/Q310 Q311/Q211 Consumer Board 64 85 78 -17.0 -23.8 % of sales 10.3 12.8 13.1 -21.4 -19.5 Industrial Packaging 20 20 19 7.5 3.1 % of sales 7.9 8.1 8.3 -4.8 -2.5 Newsprint and Book Paper 34 28 0 n/m 22.2 % of sales 10.2 8.2 0.0 n/m 24.4 Magazine Paper 48 34 46 6.2 42.5 % of sales 8.6 6.6 8.4 2.4 30.3 Fine Paper 38 49 71 -46.7 -22.4 % of sales 7.1 9.2 12.6 -43.7 -22.8 Wood Products 10 35 25 -61.1 -72.2 % of sales 2.4 7.6 5.9 -59.3 -68.4 excluding non-recurring items Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 10
  • 11. Solid platform for growth Net Debt Net Debt/EBITDA excl NRI and fair valuations 5 000 6,0 4 500 5,0 4 000 4,0 EUR million 3 500 3,0 3 000 2,0 2 500 1,0 2 000 0,0 SENA divestment closed in Q4 2007 EBITDA: Continuing operations Merchants divestment closed in Q2 2008 Net debt: Total operations Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 11
  • 12. Near term outlook • Our production curtailments to Demand Price development development control inventory levels have Q4/11 vs Q4/11 vs increased in Q3 and will continue Q4/10 Q3/11 in Q4 Consumer Board Industrial • EBIT excl. NRI and FV in Q4 Packaging estimated to be somewhat lower Newsprint and year on year Book Paper Coated Magazine Paper Uncoated Magazine Paper Coated Fine Paper Uncoated Fine Paper Wood Products Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 12
  • 13. Solid third quarter • Strong cash flow and balance sheet • Production curtailments continue • Growth projects proceeding Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 13
  • 15.
  • 16. Cost inflation diminishing Realised Realised Q3/11 vs Q3/11 vs Q3/10 Q2/11 Pulp wood Sawlogs RCP Pulp Chemicals Energy Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 16
  • 17. Net Financial Items Change % Change % EUR million III/2011 II/2011 III/2010 Q311/Q310 Q311/Q211 Net interest expense -35.9 -28.3 -23.9 -50.2 -26.9 Foreign exchange gains and losses -11.4 -0.7 -18.1 37.0 n/m Other financial items, of which -146.1 -5.6 -9.1 n/m n/m PIK notes 2.1 1.9 1.5 Fair valuation of interest rate derivates* -16.4 -3.3 4.3 Fair valuation of long-term debt -1.1 0.4 -2.6 NewPage lease provision -128.2 0.0 0.0 Other items -2.5 -4.6 -12.3 Total net financial items -193.4 -34.6 -51.1 n/m n/m *Not hedge accounted interest rate derivatives. Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 17
  • 18. Softwood pulp prices still on high level Stora Enso’s market pulp is softwood 1 100 1 000 900 Bleached softwood kraft USD/tonne 800 pulp Bleached hardwood kraft 700 pulp 600 500 400 07Q1 07Q2 07Q3 07Q4 08Q1 08Q2 08Q3 08Q4 09Q1 09Q2 09Q3 09Q4 10Q1 10Q2 10Q3 10Q4 11Q1 11Q2 11Q3 Source: FOEX Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 18
  • 19. Pulp wood and saw log prices decreased from Q2 2011 Wood prices in Finland 80 70 60 50 EUR/m 3 Pulpwood, Pine 40 Sawlogs, Pine 30 20 10 0 06Q2 06Q4 07Q2 07Q4 08Q2 08Q4 09Q2 09Q4 10Q2 10Q4 11Q2 06Q1 06Q3 07Q1 07Q3 08Q1 08Q3 09Q1 09Q3 10Q1 10Q3 11Q1 11Q3 Source: METLA Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 19
  • 20. Wood prices in Sweden 600 500 400 Pulpwood SEK/m 3 300 Sawlogs 200 100 0 06Q3 06Q4 07Q1 08Q1 08Q2 09Q2 09Q3 09Q4 10Q4 11Q1 06Q1 06Q2 07Q2 07Q3 07Q4 08Q3 08Q4 09Q1 10Q1 10Q2 10Q3 11Q2 11Q3 Pulpwood includes pine, spruce and birch. Sawlogs include pine and spruce. Source: SDC, Skogsstyrelsen Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 20
  • 21. RCP prices decreasing from Q2 2011 200 160 EUR/tonne 120 Mixed OCC 80 De-inking 40 0 07Q1 07Q2 07Q3 07Q4 08Q1 09Q3 09Q4 10Q1 10Q2 08Q2 08Q3 08Q4 09Q1 09Q2 10Q3 10Q4 11Q1 11Q2 11Q3 German RCP price development, free delivered Source: Verband Deutscher Papierfabriken/Stora Enso Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 21
  • 22. Capital expenditure and depreciation Q1 2008 – Q3 2011 250 10 % 200 8% EUR million 150 6% 100 4% 50 2% 0 0% Capex Depreciation and impairment excl NRI Capex % of sales Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 22
  • 23. Debt/equity 2005 – Q3 2011 0,8 0,70 0,7 0,6 0,56 0,54 0,51 0,5 0,45 0,41 0,39 0,39 0,38 0,4 0,3 0,2 0,1 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Total operations Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 23
  • 24. Transaction risk and hedges as at 30 September 2011 EUR million USD GBP SEK Estimated annual net operating cash flow exposure 1 040 570 -790 Transaction hedges as at 30 September 2011 -560 -250 470 Hedging percentage as at 30 September 2011 for the next 12 months 54% 44% 59% USD, GBP and SEK have additional hedges for 13-16 months which will increase the hedging percentage 8%, 4% and 7% respectively. Operating Profit: Currency strengthening of + 10% Based on estimated next 12 months net operating EUR million cash flow exposure. USD 104 SEK -79 GBP 57 The sensitivity is based on estimated next 12 months net operating cash flow. The calculation does not take into account currency hedges, and assumes no changes occur other than a single currency exchange rate movement. Weakening would have the opposite impact. Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 24
  • 25. Maturity profile 30 September 2011 €m Bonds Other loans / liabilities Commercial paper SEK 500m 3.5% 2015 1 000 SEK 1.4 bn S+3.7% 2015 SEK 2.4 bn 5.75% 2015 900 800 EUR 750m 5.125% 2014 EUR 390m E+4.21% 2016 700 USD 507m 6.404% 2016 600 USD 300m 7.25% 2036 500 400 300 200 100 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019-2035 2036 Revolving Credit Facility € 700 million matures in January 2014 and is fully undrawn Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011 25
  • 26. Energy balance Q3 2011 Total energy self sufficiency 60% Self sufficiency 53% Self sufficiency 62% 50 Impact** on operating profit from 40 EUR million p.a. 30 10% change in: 20 10 0 Electricity Fuels Electricity market price ~8 Internal External (hedged) External (non-hedged) Fossil fuel price ~14 **) Remaining impact on non-hedged volume Financial results Q3 2011 21 October 2011
  • 27. Stora Enso Electricity procurement Q3 2011 20000 GWh/a 18000 16000 14000 12000 Sales to market Open position 10000 Local tariff Financial contracts 8000 Physical contracts PVO production Own production 6000 4000 2000 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 27 -2000