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John Halliwell
EPRI Senior Project Manager
Tennessee Environmental Conference – Energy Workshop EV Panel
Discussion
March 13, 2013
Plug-In Electric Vehicle Update
2© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
EPRI’s History…
• Founded by and for the electricity
industry in 1973
• Independent, nonprofit center for
public interest energy and
environmental research
• Collaborative resource for the
electricity sector
• Major offices in Palo Alto, CA;
Charlotte, NC; Knoxville, TN
–  Laboratories in Knoxville,
Charlotte and Lenox, MA
Chauncey Starr
EPRI Founder
3© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
And a “plug” for Plug In…
http://www.plugin2013.com/
4© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
From the Energy Information Administration
(EIA) Web Site: Why Worry about Vehicles?
The US
consumes
about 900
million (that’s
900,000,000)
gallons of oil
per day
About 45% of
that goes to
transportation
We use about
370 million
gallons of
gasoline a day
www.eia.gov
5© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
2012 2013 2014
Tesla Roadster since
2008
Mitsubishi I Launch
Early 2012
Nissan LEAF since
2010
Ford Focus Electric
Launch Early 2012
BMW ActiveE trial
begins 2012
Fisker Karma Launch
2011
smart fortwo electric
drive Launch 2012
Toyota Plug In Prius
Launches Early 2012
Chevrolet Volt since
2010
Tesla Model S
Launches Mid-2012
Tesla Model X Launch
2013
Toyota RAV4 EV
Launch 2013
Chevrolet Spark
Launch 2013
Ford C-MAX Energi
Launch Late 2012
Ford Fusion Energi
Launch 2013
Cadillac ELR Launch
2014
BYD e6 Launch 2013
CODA Sedan Launch
Early 2012
BYD F3DM Launch
2013
Volvo C30 Electric
Launch 2013
Toyota FT-EV Launch
2013
BMW i3 Launch 2013
BMW i8 Launch 2014
Volkswagen E-Golf
Launch 2014
Volvo V70 PHEV
Launch 2014
Honda Fit EV Launch
Late 2012
Volkswagen E-Bugster
Launch 2014
Mitsubishi Px-MiEV
Launch 2014
Audi A1 E-Tron Launch
2014
Scion iQ Launch
Late 2012
Kia Ray Launch 2014
Hyundai BlueOn
Launch 2014
Source:
EEI
6© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
U.S. Cumulative PEV Sales to Date
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Apr-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
CumulativePEVSales
LEAF Volt Tesla Prius Plug-in Ford Energi (C-Max & Fusion) Other
J.D. Powers Press Release
Indicated that Tennessee is
9th in US PEV Sales as of
October 2012
7© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
Dec-03
Jan-04
Feb-04
Mar-04
Apr-04
May-04
Jun-04
Jul-04
Aug-04
Sep-04
Oct-04
Nov-04
Dec-04
Jan-05
Feb-05
Mar-05
Apr-05
May-05
Jun-05
Jul-05
Aug-05
Sep-05
Oct-05
Nov-05
Dec-05
Jan-06
Feb-06
CumulativeHEVSales
Insight Prius
Compared to Previous Hybrid Electric Vehicle
Sales
8© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
0	
  
2	
  
4	
  
6	
  
8	
  
10	
  
12	
  
14	
  
16	
  
18	
  
20	
  
2010	
   2011	
   2012	
   2013	
   2014	
   2015	
  
Cumula&ve	
  PEVs	
  (thousand	
  vehicles)	
  
Low	
   Medium	
   High	
  
Predicted Population of Plug-In Vehicles for
Tennessee – EPRI Research Estimate
9© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Top Ten Tennessee Counties Listed By
Expected PEV Population
Davidson
Shelby
Knox
Hamilton
Williamson
Sullivan Rutherford
Sumner
Blount
Washington
Nashville
Nashville area
Nashville area
Nashville area
Memphis Knoxville
Chattanooga
Bristol/Kingsport
Knoxville area
Johnson City
10© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Non-Residential Infrastructure Main Objectives:
11© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
300
322
398
76
394
551
733
946
376
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
NumberofNewEVSEInstallations
Workplace Public Cumulative
Estimates of New EVSE Installations to Match
Projected PEV Growth
2 per PEV
1.5 per PEV 1 per PEV
12© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Map Key
13© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Station Locations Based on Population and
Traffic Flows
14© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
West Tennessee
15© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Central Tennessee
16© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
East Tennessee
17© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Together…Shaping the Future of Electricity

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EPRI Senior Manager Discusses EV Updates

  • 1. John Halliwell EPRI Senior Project Manager Tennessee Environmental Conference – Energy Workshop EV Panel Discussion March 13, 2013 Plug-In Electric Vehicle Update
  • 2. 2© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. EPRI’s History… • Founded by and for the electricity industry in 1973 • Independent, nonprofit center for public interest energy and environmental research • Collaborative resource for the electricity sector • Major offices in Palo Alto, CA; Charlotte, NC; Knoxville, TN –  Laboratories in Knoxville, Charlotte and Lenox, MA Chauncey Starr EPRI Founder
  • 3. 3© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. And a “plug” for Plug In… http://www.plugin2013.com/
  • 4. 4© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. From the Energy Information Administration (EIA) Web Site: Why Worry about Vehicles? The US consumes about 900 million (that’s 900,000,000) gallons of oil per day About 45% of that goes to transportation We use about 370 million gallons of gasoline a day www.eia.gov
  • 5. 5© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 2012 2013 2014 Tesla Roadster since 2008 Mitsubishi I Launch Early 2012 Nissan LEAF since 2010 Ford Focus Electric Launch Early 2012 BMW ActiveE trial begins 2012 Fisker Karma Launch 2011 smart fortwo electric drive Launch 2012 Toyota Plug In Prius Launches Early 2012 Chevrolet Volt since 2010 Tesla Model S Launches Mid-2012 Tesla Model X Launch 2013 Toyota RAV4 EV Launch 2013 Chevrolet Spark Launch 2013 Ford C-MAX Energi Launch Late 2012 Ford Fusion Energi Launch 2013 Cadillac ELR Launch 2014 BYD e6 Launch 2013 CODA Sedan Launch Early 2012 BYD F3DM Launch 2013 Volvo C30 Electric Launch 2013 Toyota FT-EV Launch 2013 BMW i3 Launch 2013 BMW i8 Launch 2014 Volkswagen E-Golf Launch 2014 Volvo V70 PHEV Launch 2014 Honda Fit EV Launch Late 2012 Volkswagen E-Bugster Launch 2014 Mitsubishi Px-MiEV Launch 2014 Audi A1 E-Tron Launch 2014 Scion iQ Launch Late 2012 Kia Ray Launch 2014 Hyundai BlueOn Launch 2014 Source: EEI
  • 6. 6© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. U.S. Cumulative PEV Sales to Date - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 CumulativePEVSales LEAF Volt Tesla Prius Plug-in Ford Energi (C-Max & Fusion) Other J.D. Powers Press Release Indicated that Tennessee is 9th in US PEV Sales as of October 2012
  • 7. 7© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 Dec-03 Jan-04 Feb-04 Mar-04 Apr-04 May-04 Jun-04 Jul-04 Aug-04 Sep-04 Oct-04 Nov-04 Dec-04 Jan-05 Feb-05 Mar-05 Apr-05 May-05 Jun-05 Jul-05 Aug-05 Sep-05 Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05 Jan-06 Feb-06 CumulativeHEVSales Insight Prius Compared to Previous Hybrid Electric Vehicle Sales
  • 8. 8© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 0   2   4   6   8   10   12   14   16   18   20   2010   2011   2012   2013   2014   2015   Cumula&ve  PEVs  (thousand  vehicles)   Low   Medium   High   Predicted Population of Plug-In Vehicles for Tennessee – EPRI Research Estimate
  • 9. 9© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. Top Ten Tennessee Counties Listed By Expected PEV Population Davidson Shelby Knox Hamilton Williamson Sullivan Rutherford Sumner Blount Washington Nashville Nashville area Nashville area Nashville area Memphis Knoxville Chattanooga Bristol/Kingsport Knoxville area Johnson City
  • 10. 10© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. Non-Residential Infrastructure Main Objectives:
  • 11. 11© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 300 322 398 76 394 551 733 946 376 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 NumberofNewEVSEInstallations Workplace Public Cumulative Estimates of New EVSE Installations to Match Projected PEV Growth 2 per PEV 1.5 per PEV 1 per PEV
  • 12. 12© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. Map Key
  • 13. 13© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. Station Locations Based on Population and Traffic Flows
  • 14. 14© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. West Tennessee
  • 15. 15© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. Central Tennessee
  • 16. 16© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. East Tennessee
  • 17. 17© 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. Together…Shaping the Future of Electricity