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THE SAUDI ARABIA POWER
TRANSMISSION & DISTRIBUTION
         SECTOR

 OPPORTUNITIES & CHANGES


           Presented by:
           ABHAY BHARGAVA
           INDUSTRY MANAGER
           ENERGY & POWER SYSTEMS
           FROST & SULLIVAN INTERNATIONAL INC.
AGENDA


  1


      2


          3


          4


      5


  6


              2
SAUDI ARABIA – RAPID ECONOMIC GROWTH ENVISAGED




   Downstream       Power          Water &          General                 Metals &
 Petrochemicals &   Sector        Wastewater     Infrastructure             Mining
      Plastics

                       SAUDI ARABIA
                       Inflation %                 6%
                       Population (Millions)       26+
                       Unemployment %            10-11 %
                       Ease of doing business     1 (11)
                       Percentage of GCC GDP       43%
                       Percentage of ME GDP        27%
                       Percentage of GCC Power
                       T&D investments             70%
                                                           Source: Frost & Sullivan research/
                                                           IMF/ World Bank data


                                                                                                3
SAUDI ARABIA – POWER GENERATION GROWTH PLAN

         GW
                 Significant growth in Power Generation




    $100 Billion* spend between 2011-   Private sector contribution expected
       2020 on Power Generation              to grow from 7.4% to 17%+
                                                          Source: Frost & Sullivan research/
                                                          SEC/ KACARE published data

                                                                                         4
SAUDI ARABIA – POWER GENERATION: INVESTMENT IMPACT
                             T&D lines: $
                              8 – 10 Billion




                                                                           Switchgear:
       Transformers:                                                     $ 5.5 - 6 Billion
       $ 7.5 - 8 Billion

Forecasted cumulative investments till 2016                          Source: Frost & Sullivan research/
                                                                     SEC published data

                                                    Number of
       4500 – 5000 Km of                                              Cumulative spend
                                               customers expected
        380kV lines to be                                              on T&D ~$30
                                               to increase by 26%/
          laid by 2016                                               Billion (2011 -2016)
                                                      1.7 Mn

                                                                                                     5
SAUDI ARABIA – PRESENT T&D INFRASTRUCTURE




                                                                     Source: SEC

Interconnection of regions the next priority in T&D infrastructure development
                                                                                   6
SAUDI ARABIA – TRANSFORMER LANDSCAPE

                  2010 KSA Transformer market ~ $ 1 Billion
                  Only ~70 Million manufactured locally

                  Local manufacturing focused primarily on
                  distribution transformers

                  Requirement - Technical capabilities & skilled
                  manpower for local manufacturing

                  Opportunities:

                   • To develop local skill and expertise Tackle
                     unemployment issues & contribute to Saudization
                   • Develop local vendors for supply of components to
                     transformer manufacturers
                                                       Source: Frost & Sullivan research

                                                                                     7
SAUDI ARABIA – SWITCHGEAR LANDSCAPE




                                      Source: Frost & Sullivan research

                                                                    8
SAUDI ARABIA – SUB-STATION EPC LANDSCAPE




                                           Source: Frost & Sullivan research

                                                                         9
SAUDI ARABIA – OVERHEAD TRANSMISSION LINES EPC LANDSCAPE




                                           Source: Frost & Sullivan research

                                                                        10
GLOBAL TRENDS SHAPING THE POWER DISTRIBUTION MARKETS

                      1990                    2000                          2010                              2020

                                       Micro-              IT
                                                                          Operational           Enhanced
                                     Generation        Convergence
                                                                           Efficiency          Management
                 Building                                    Low
                                      Energy                                                                    Smart
                Automation                                  Energy               Smart
 Evolution of                       Management                                                 Intelligent      Towns
                                                           Lighting               Grids
 Technology                            Home                                    Intelligent       Green
                                                               Micro-                           Buildings
                  Building           Automation                                 Buildings
                                                             Renewables
                Management                                                                                   Energy
                 & Control                 Systems                 Green                  Integrated         Control
                                         Integration              Buildings               Networking
                       Building            Building                    Building                    Smart
                        Control           Automation                  Performance                 Buildings


                                      Automated              IT                Smart            Virtual
Emergence of     Building            Meter Reading       Convergence          Metering          power
   Smart &      Automation              (AMR)                                                   plants
                                                             Boom in                                              Smart
  Intelligent
                                                                           Advanced                           Cities/Towns
 Technology                                                 Renewables                       Home Area
                                                                            Metering
                                      Energy                                                  Network
                                                                         Infrastructure
                                    Management                                                 (HAN)
                                                                             (AMI)

                             1990                 2000                        2010                            2020
                                                                                                             Source: Frost & Sullivan


                                                                                                                               11
FUTURE SMART ENERGY OPPORTUNITY- GLOBALLY

                                                          Automation
                                                          companies
                               Market moving        increasingly exploiting
                                towards total        arising opportunities    Advances in storage
                                  solutions                                      technologies


                   Home Area
                    Network                                                                  Alliances between Utilities,
                                                                                             Communication providers,
                                                                                                 OEM‘s & distribution
                                                                                                     companies
        Autonomous
   distribution network –
         Micro Grids
                                                Future Opportunities

                                                                                               New technologies such as
                                                                                              superconducing cables, and
 Smart Meters                                                                                   high voltage DC (HVDC)




                                                   Smart Energy


                                                                                          Source: Frost & Sullivan research

                                                                                                                            12
GLOBAL SMART TECHNOLOGY MATURITY CURVE
                              Smart Energy Technology Market:
                           Regional Life Cycle Analysis (World), 2010
Time Scale




                                North America

                                             Western Europe
                      Middle East

                         Asia       Central & Eastern Europe

             Africa
                          Latin America

                      Development                     Growth        Maturity

                                                                               Source: Frost & Sullivan


                                                                                                    13
SMART ENERGY – UPCOMING TRENDS & OPPORTUNITIES FOR SAUDI
ARABIA




                                                      14
POWER T&D SECTOR IN SAUDI ARABIA - MARKET DRIVERS




                Industrialization
                 in Saudi Arabia
    Power
   Capacity
 Augmentation


           Infrastructure                                             Grid
                                     Energy       Technology    Interconnectivity
            replacement             efficiency   advancements




 <GPS>                                                                              15
                                                                                     15
POWER T&D SECTOR IN SAUDI ARABIA - THE MARKET CHALLENGES


                         Lack of
                      coordination   Technology         Insufficient
        Constant        between       adoption            focus on
     investments to   stakeholders                         Energy
      meet Peaking                                       efficiency
        demand

                                                                        (Lack of)
                                                                       supporting
                                                                       Mandates/
                                                                       Regulations



                                                              Lack of
                                         Financing           qualified
                                      (especially for       manpower
                                        higher cost
                                     Energy efficient
                                        equipment



 <GPS>                                                                               16
                                                                                      16
SUMMARIZING OPPORTUNITIES




    Network components (Substation
                                      Local manufacturing of Transformers
     equipment, Cables, Conductors,
                                                 & Switchgear
       Distribution Components)


                                      Design, Installation. Commissioning,
             Smart meters
                                           and Maintenance services


    Automation Solution Providers &
                                      Smart grid related services like DRM
     Network management services




 <GPS>                                                                       17
                                                                              17
RECOMMENDATIONS FOR A SUPPORTING INFRASTRUCTURE


                      •There is need to develop localized Saudi manufacturing enterprises
                      •There is need to develop localized Saudi manufacturing enterprises
 Promote National
 Promote National      which would be able to address most of the equipment requirement
                        which would be able to address most of the equipment requirement
    Enterprises
     Enterprises       for the power sector in the country
                        for the power sector in the country

                      •Further develop capabilities of local enterprises through focus on
                      •Further develop capabilities of local enterprises through focus on
    Develop the
    Develop the        training
                        training
    Capabilities
     Capabilities     •Provide an environment that encourages JV’s – especially those
                      •Provide an environment that encourages JV’s – especially those
                       focused on technology transfer and development of local talent
                        focused on technology transfer and development of local talent

                      •Certified Technical education courses are a must to create a national
                      •Certified Technical education courses are a must to create a national
                       pool of human talent
                        pool of human talent
 Develop national
 Develop national
  human talent        •Focus should be on developing courses that are recognized by the
                      •Focus should be on developing courses that are recognized by the
   human talent        Industry, to ensure relevance of training with specific industry
                        Industry, to ensure relevance of training with specific industry
                       requirements
                        requirements

Attract Investment
 Attract Investment   •Saudi Arabia should look at attracting more service providers to set up
   for Industrial     •Saudi Arabia should look at attracting more service providers to set up
    for Industrial     facilities in the country, in view of the large investments in the sector
                        facilities in the country, in view of the large investments in the sector
Equipment Services
 Equipment Services


 <GPS>                                                                                              18
                                                                                                     18
THANK YOU

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Saudi Arabia Power Sector Growth Opportunities

  • 1. THE SAUDI ARABIA POWER TRANSMISSION & DISTRIBUTION SECTOR OPPORTUNITIES & CHANGES Presented by: ABHAY BHARGAVA INDUSTRY MANAGER ENERGY & POWER SYSTEMS FROST & SULLIVAN INTERNATIONAL INC.
  • 2. AGENDA 1 2 3 4 5 6 2
  • 3. SAUDI ARABIA – RAPID ECONOMIC GROWTH ENVISAGED Downstream Power Water & General Metals & Petrochemicals & Sector Wastewater Infrastructure Mining Plastics SAUDI ARABIA Inflation % 6% Population (Millions) 26+ Unemployment % 10-11 % Ease of doing business 1 (11) Percentage of GCC GDP 43% Percentage of ME GDP 27% Percentage of GCC Power T&D investments 70% Source: Frost & Sullivan research/ IMF/ World Bank data 3
  • 4. SAUDI ARABIA – POWER GENERATION GROWTH PLAN GW Significant growth in Power Generation $100 Billion* spend between 2011- Private sector contribution expected 2020 on Power Generation to grow from 7.4% to 17%+ Source: Frost & Sullivan research/ SEC/ KACARE published data 4
  • 5. SAUDI ARABIA – POWER GENERATION: INVESTMENT IMPACT T&D lines: $ 8 – 10 Billion Switchgear: Transformers: $ 5.5 - 6 Billion $ 7.5 - 8 Billion Forecasted cumulative investments till 2016 Source: Frost & Sullivan research/ SEC published data Number of 4500 – 5000 Km of Cumulative spend customers expected 380kV lines to be on T&D ~$30 to increase by 26%/ laid by 2016 Billion (2011 -2016) 1.7 Mn 5
  • 6. SAUDI ARABIA – PRESENT T&D INFRASTRUCTURE Source: SEC Interconnection of regions the next priority in T&D infrastructure development 6
  • 7. SAUDI ARABIA – TRANSFORMER LANDSCAPE 2010 KSA Transformer market ~ $ 1 Billion Only ~70 Million manufactured locally Local manufacturing focused primarily on distribution transformers Requirement - Technical capabilities & skilled manpower for local manufacturing Opportunities: • To develop local skill and expertise Tackle unemployment issues & contribute to Saudization • Develop local vendors for supply of components to transformer manufacturers Source: Frost & Sullivan research 7
  • 8. SAUDI ARABIA – SWITCHGEAR LANDSCAPE Source: Frost & Sullivan research 8
  • 9. SAUDI ARABIA – SUB-STATION EPC LANDSCAPE Source: Frost & Sullivan research 9
  • 10. SAUDI ARABIA – OVERHEAD TRANSMISSION LINES EPC LANDSCAPE Source: Frost & Sullivan research 10
  • 11. GLOBAL TRENDS SHAPING THE POWER DISTRIBUTION MARKETS 1990 2000 2010 2020 Micro- IT Operational Enhanced Generation Convergence Efficiency Management Building Low Energy Smart Automation Energy Smart Evolution of Management Intelligent Towns Lighting Grids Technology Home Intelligent Green Micro- Buildings Building Automation Buildings Renewables Management Energy & Control Systems Green Integrated Control Integration Buildings Networking Building Building Building Smart Control Automation Performance Buildings Automated IT Smart Virtual Emergence of Building Meter Reading Convergence Metering power Smart & Automation (AMR) plants Boom in Smart Intelligent Advanced Cities/Towns Technology Renewables Home Area Metering Energy Network Infrastructure Management (HAN) (AMI) 1990 2000 2010 2020 Source: Frost & Sullivan 11
  • 12. FUTURE SMART ENERGY OPPORTUNITY- GLOBALLY Automation companies Market moving increasingly exploiting towards total arising opportunities Advances in storage solutions technologies Home Area Network Alliances between Utilities, Communication providers, OEM‘s & distribution companies Autonomous distribution network – Micro Grids Future Opportunities New technologies such as superconducing cables, and Smart Meters high voltage DC (HVDC) Smart Energy Source: Frost & Sullivan research 12
  • 13. GLOBAL SMART TECHNOLOGY MATURITY CURVE Smart Energy Technology Market: Regional Life Cycle Analysis (World), 2010 Time Scale North America Western Europe Middle East Asia Central & Eastern Europe Africa Latin America Development Growth Maturity Source: Frost & Sullivan 13
  • 14. SMART ENERGY – UPCOMING TRENDS & OPPORTUNITIES FOR SAUDI ARABIA 14
  • 15. POWER T&D SECTOR IN SAUDI ARABIA - MARKET DRIVERS Industrialization in Saudi Arabia Power Capacity Augmentation Infrastructure Grid Energy Technology Interconnectivity replacement efficiency advancements <GPS> 15 15
  • 16. POWER T&D SECTOR IN SAUDI ARABIA - THE MARKET CHALLENGES Lack of coordination Technology Insufficient Constant between adoption focus on investments to stakeholders Energy meet Peaking efficiency demand (Lack of) supporting Mandates/ Regulations Lack of Financing qualified (especially for manpower higher cost Energy efficient equipment <GPS> 16 16
  • 17. SUMMARIZING OPPORTUNITIES Network components (Substation Local manufacturing of Transformers equipment, Cables, Conductors, & Switchgear Distribution Components) Design, Installation. Commissioning, Smart meters and Maintenance services Automation Solution Providers & Smart grid related services like DRM Network management services <GPS> 17 17
  • 18. RECOMMENDATIONS FOR A SUPPORTING INFRASTRUCTURE •There is need to develop localized Saudi manufacturing enterprises •There is need to develop localized Saudi manufacturing enterprises Promote National Promote National which would be able to address most of the equipment requirement which would be able to address most of the equipment requirement Enterprises Enterprises for the power sector in the country for the power sector in the country •Further develop capabilities of local enterprises through focus on •Further develop capabilities of local enterprises through focus on Develop the Develop the training training Capabilities Capabilities •Provide an environment that encourages JV’s – especially those •Provide an environment that encourages JV’s – especially those focused on technology transfer and development of local talent focused on technology transfer and development of local talent •Certified Technical education courses are a must to create a national •Certified Technical education courses are a must to create a national pool of human talent pool of human talent Develop national Develop national human talent •Focus should be on developing courses that are recognized by the •Focus should be on developing courses that are recognized by the human talent Industry, to ensure relevance of training with specific industry Industry, to ensure relevance of training with specific industry requirements requirements Attract Investment Attract Investment •Saudi Arabia should look at attracting more service providers to set up for Industrial •Saudi Arabia should look at attracting more service providers to set up for Industrial facilities in the country, in view of the large investments in the sector facilities in the country, in view of the large investments in the sector Equipment Services Equipment Services <GPS> 18 18