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Integrated Social Media:
Business Impact Study 2011
Emerging Hot Topics Part I – #4




     Irfan Kamal                Dr. Walter Carl
     SVP, Digital/Social   Founder and Chief Research Officer
           Ogilvy                     ChatThreads
The New, More Pointed Questions

 Social is no longer an afterthought: It’s now
 where many of our customers spend their time.
 We need to plan budget allocations in
 2011 and 2012 around concrete business goals.
 To that end:
 1. Can social media impact sales (spend / consumption)?

 2. Which channel combinations are the most effective?




                                                 #ARFAM6
Situation

 Can social media impact sales?
 Two recent studies with conflicting results

 – (+) Edison Research 2011: 24% of social network users cited
   Facebook as an influencer of their purchase decisions

 – (-) Forrester/GSI Commerce 2011: Social networks drove <1%
   sales – based on directly traceable effect/referrer




                                                  #ARFAM6
Objectives

 Evaluate the purchase impact of social media, by
 itself, relative to and in conjunction with
 other channels
 Social media =
 Facebook (brand page or feed item)
 Twitter (brand handle or tweet)
 Online video/Youtube or Facebook
 Online rating/review
 Blog




                                       #ARFAM6
Methodology:
Overview
 Category: Quick Service Restaurants (QSR), including the
 following 5 brands: KFC, McDonald’s, Subway, Taco Bell,
 Wendy’s (analysis was category and brand-specific)
 Data (from ChatThreads BrandEncounter™ Platform):
 Real-time capture of brand touchpoints reported via mobile
 device (SMS) or Web browser companion button for 7 days,
 surveys pre/post touchpoint tracking
 Recruitment: Screened for recent QSR visits; active
 on social media within the past week; QSR brand
 fan/follower status
 Participants: 404 participated on rolling 7-day basis,
 submitting 5,623 touchpoints between 1/20/11 and 5/6/11
 (2 staggered time periods)

                                              #ARFAM6
BRANDS Findings Preview:
Significant Touchpoint Examples
 Social media report examples:
  FB BRAND FEED: “[Wendy‟s] face         BLOG: People that love taco bell
  book post on my wall the burger        are just blogging at their experience
  looks good – „Just a friendly          there and people who work there
  reminder that our burgers are          are commenting on how much their
  made with 100% pure ...‟”              company is hiring because of the
                                         need for jobs.

  REVIEW: This person here               FB FRIEND STATUS: “Friends
  really loves KFC and goes              been out at KFC and enjoyed a
  there weekly.                          delicious meal.”

 OOH report examples:
   BILLBOARD: [McDonald‟s] great            BILLBOARD:
   billboards with a smiling face that      [Subway] made me
   spells out outrageous values             want to buy it


                                                          #ARFAM6
Key Methodology Observations

 To attempt to minimize the impact of
 fans/followers who already spend more than
 others, we looked specifically at the relationship
 between touchpoint exposure and pre- and post-
 changes in purchase (consumption, spend)
 We looked at a short time frame (1 week) to focus
 in on the immediate impact of the touchpoints
 Only statistically significant (95% CI, p<0.05)
 results are reported




                                          #ARFAM6
Results Preview:
   Exposure




               #ARFAM6
Results: Exposure Volume
        QSR Media Touchpoints

        1.00
        0.90
        0.80
        0.70
        0.60
Index




        0.50
        0.40
        0.30
        0.20
        0.10
        0.00
                  TV ad      Word of       OOH        Social        PR        Radio       Online       Print     Search   Website
                              mouth                   media      (roll up)               (roll up)   (roll up)
                             (roll up)               (roll up)
  Source: ChatThreads BrandEncounter™ QSR Study. n = 5,623 touchpoint encounters. Participants n = 404. Q1-Q2 2011.



                                                                                                            #ARFAM6
Results Preview:
     Spend




               #ARFAM6
Findings Preview: Does Social Media Impact
 SPEND TREND?

         YES.           LIKELIHOOD OF A SPEND
                        INCREASE IS 1.5-7X*

 EXPOSURE:
 Social media (KFC)                                      +7x

 Social media + OOH (Category)…                          +1.5x


*Compared to people unexposed to these touchpoints


                                                     #ARFAM6
Findings Preview: Does Social Media Impact
SPEND AMOUNT?




   YES.                        +17%
    Social media + PR
    (Category)
                              WEEKLY
                               SPEND
                              AMOUNT



                                  #ARFAM6
Results Preview:
 Consumption




               #ARFAM6
Findings Preview: Does Social Media Impact
 CONSUMPTION TREND?

         YES.           LIKELIHOOD OF A CONSUMPTION
                        INCREASE IS ~2X*

 EXPOSURE:

  Social media + TV ad (Wendy’s)…                        +2x

  Social media + OOH (Category)…                         +1.5x


*Compared to people unexposed to these touchpoints


                                                     #ARFAM6
Findings Preview: Does Social Media Impact
 CONSUMPTION FREQ?




  UNCLEAR*.
                                                      ?
                                                  7 DAY
                                               CONSUMPTION
                                                FREQUENCY
*Is the magnitude significant enough to be managerially important?


                                                        #ARFAM6
QSR Findings Preview Summary:
     Social Media Purchase Impact
           Social+PR Exposure

           +17% increase              in spend
           (category)
                 Social+TV Exposure

                 2x greater    likelihood of higher
                 consumption (Wendy’s)
EXPOSURE


                        Social only Exposure          TV only Exposure

                        7x greater      likelihood    3x greater
                        of higher spend (KFC)         likelihood of higher
                                                      spend (Taco Bell)
            Social+OOH Exposure

            1.5x greater likelihood of higher
            spend or consumption (category)

                                                          #ARFAM6
QSR Study Preview:
Conclusions

 Social media, particularly when combined with
 OOH, PR or TV exposure is associated with
 significant purchase shifts across QSR
  – +17% week-on-week spend amount increase
  – ~2x higher likelihood of consumption increase week-on-week
  – Multi-channel matters! Only 1 significant result by itself vs.
    4 significant in combination with other channels
 Relative to exposure, social media appears to
 provide strong impact
  – Evaluate driving purchase by increasing exposure to social +
    OOH/PR/TV combinations




                                                    #ARFAM6
QSR Study Preview:
To Explore

 Data across other industry sectors
 Data across online or hybrid sectors (e.g. e-tail)
 Data across extended time periods, to capture
 longer-term effects (e.g. for TV ads)
 Correlation with specific brand activities within
 social media
 Larger sample sizes to look at finer interactions




                                          #ARFAM6
Thanks, and for More…

  Irfan Kamal, irfan.kamal@ogilvy.com
  twitter: @irfankamal

  Dr. Walter Carl, walter@chatthreads.com
  twitter: @ChatThreads




                                #ARFAM6
Appendix:
Data Collection
    Detail


                  #ARFAM6
Data Collection Platform:
      ChatThreads BrandEncounter™
                                                                                            Wendy’s
  1                                                                                         Visited brand’s
                                                           Participant records brand,
                                                                                            Facebook page
                                                           touchpoint and experience
                                                3          via SMS or browser button.       Very positive

                                                           Time/date is auto-stamped.       8:09 pm; 1/24/2011
 400+ participants recruited through                       Geo-located.
 3rd party proprietary community.                                                           Aberdeen, WA




                                                4
                                                           Pictures of the touchpoint
                                                           can be added to record.
                                       EVENTS




 2




                                                5
Participant encounters                                     Participants can also add
a brand touchpoint.                                        notes.

Consumers can record
any touchpoint including
social, TV, search, print,
online ads and OOH.
                         All brand touchpoints captured, including
                         social, TV, search, print, online ads, OOH (total of
                         21)
                                                                                        #ARFAM6

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Integrated Social Media: Business Impact Study 2011

  • 1. Integrated Social Media: Business Impact Study 2011 Emerging Hot Topics Part I – #4 Irfan Kamal Dr. Walter Carl SVP, Digital/Social Founder and Chief Research Officer Ogilvy ChatThreads
  • 2. The New, More Pointed Questions Social is no longer an afterthought: It’s now where many of our customers spend their time. We need to plan budget allocations in 2011 and 2012 around concrete business goals. To that end: 1. Can social media impact sales (spend / consumption)? 2. Which channel combinations are the most effective? #ARFAM6
  • 3. Situation Can social media impact sales? Two recent studies with conflicting results – (+) Edison Research 2011: 24% of social network users cited Facebook as an influencer of their purchase decisions – (-) Forrester/GSI Commerce 2011: Social networks drove <1% sales – based on directly traceable effect/referrer #ARFAM6
  • 4. Objectives Evaluate the purchase impact of social media, by itself, relative to and in conjunction with other channels Social media = Facebook (brand page or feed item) Twitter (brand handle or tweet) Online video/Youtube or Facebook Online rating/review Blog #ARFAM6
  • 5. Methodology: Overview Category: Quick Service Restaurants (QSR), including the following 5 brands: KFC, McDonald’s, Subway, Taco Bell, Wendy’s (analysis was category and brand-specific) Data (from ChatThreads BrandEncounter™ Platform): Real-time capture of brand touchpoints reported via mobile device (SMS) or Web browser companion button for 7 days, surveys pre/post touchpoint tracking Recruitment: Screened for recent QSR visits; active on social media within the past week; QSR brand fan/follower status Participants: 404 participated on rolling 7-day basis, submitting 5,623 touchpoints between 1/20/11 and 5/6/11 (2 staggered time periods) #ARFAM6
  • 6. BRANDS Findings Preview: Significant Touchpoint Examples Social media report examples: FB BRAND FEED: “[Wendy‟s] face BLOG: People that love taco bell book post on my wall the burger are just blogging at their experience looks good – „Just a friendly there and people who work there reminder that our burgers are are commenting on how much their made with 100% pure ...‟” company is hiring because of the need for jobs. REVIEW: This person here FB FRIEND STATUS: “Friends really loves KFC and goes been out at KFC and enjoyed a there weekly. delicious meal.” OOH report examples: BILLBOARD: [McDonald‟s] great BILLBOARD: billboards with a smiling face that [Subway] made me spells out outrageous values want to buy it #ARFAM6
  • 7. Key Methodology Observations To attempt to minimize the impact of fans/followers who already spend more than others, we looked specifically at the relationship between touchpoint exposure and pre- and post- changes in purchase (consumption, spend) We looked at a short time frame (1 week) to focus in on the immediate impact of the touchpoints Only statistically significant (95% CI, p<0.05) results are reported #ARFAM6
  • 8. Results Preview: Exposure #ARFAM6
  • 9. Results: Exposure Volume QSR Media Touchpoints 1.00 0.90 0.80 0.70 0.60 Index 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 TV ad Word of OOH Social PR Radio Online Print Search Website mouth media (roll up) (roll up) (roll up) (roll up) (roll up) Source: ChatThreads BrandEncounter™ QSR Study. n = 5,623 touchpoint encounters. Participants n = 404. Q1-Q2 2011. #ARFAM6
  • 10. Results Preview: Spend #ARFAM6
  • 11. Findings Preview: Does Social Media Impact SPEND TREND? YES. LIKELIHOOD OF A SPEND INCREASE IS 1.5-7X* EXPOSURE: Social media (KFC) +7x Social media + OOH (Category)… +1.5x *Compared to people unexposed to these touchpoints #ARFAM6
  • 12. Findings Preview: Does Social Media Impact SPEND AMOUNT? YES. +17% Social media + PR (Category) WEEKLY SPEND AMOUNT #ARFAM6
  • 14. Findings Preview: Does Social Media Impact CONSUMPTION TREND? YES. LIKELIHOOD OF A CONSUMPTION INCREASE IS ~2X* EXPOSURE: Social media + TV ad (Wendy’s)… +2x Social media + OOH (Category)… +1.5x *Compared to people unexposed to these touchpoints #ARFAM6
  • 15. Findings Preview: Does Social Media Impact CONSUMPTION FREQ? UNCLEAR*. ? 7 DAY CONSUMPTION FREQUENCY *Is the magnitude significant enough to be managerially important? #ARFAM6
  • 16. QSR Findings Preview Summary: Social Media Purchase Impact Social+PR Exposure +17% increase in spend (category) Social+TV Exposure 2x greater likelihood of higher consumption (Wendy’s) EXPOSURE Social only Exposure TV only Exposure 7x greater likelihood 3x greater of higher spend (KFC) likelihood of higher spend (Taco Bell) Social+OOH Exposure 1.5x greater likelihood of higher spend or consumption (category) #ARFAM6
  • 17. QSR Study Preview: Conclusions Social media, particularly when combined with OOH, PR or TV exposure is associated with significant purchase shifts across QSR – +17% week-on-week spend amount increase – ~2x higher likelihood of consumption increase week-on-week – Multi-channel matters! Only 1 significant result by itself vs. 4 significant in combination with other channels Relative to exposure, social media appears to provide strong impact – Evaluate driving purchase by increasing exposure to social + OOH/PR/TV combinations #ARFAM6
  • 18. QSR Study Preview: To Explore Data across other industry sectors Data across online or hybrid sectors (e.g. e-tail) Data across extended time periods, to capture longer-term effects (e.g. for TV ads) Correlation with specific brand activities within social media Larger sample sizes to look at finer interactions #ARFAM6
  • 19. Thanks, and for More… Irfan Kamal, irfan.kamal@ogilvy.com twitter: @irfankamal Dr. Walter Carl, walter@chatthreads.com twitter: @ChatThreads #ARFAM6
  • 20. Appendix: Data Collection Detail #ARFAM6
  • 21. Data Collection Platform: ChatThreads BrandEncounter™ Wendy’s 1 Visited brand’s Participant records brand, Facebook page touchpoint and experience 3 via SMS or browser button. Very positive Time/date is auto-stamped. 8:09 pm; 1/24/2011 400+ participants recruited through Geo-located. 3rd party proprietary community. Aberdeen, WA 4 Pictures of the touchpoint can be added to record. EVENTS 2 5 Participant encounters Participants can also add a brand touchpoint. notes. Consumers can record any touchpoint including social, TV, search, print, online ads and OOH. All brand touchpoints captured, including social, TV, search, print, online ads, OOH (total of 21) #ARFAM6