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Press briefing
24 November 2015
This survey on self-driving vehicles was prepared with the support of
The Boston Consulting Group
Self-Driving Vehicles in an Urban Context
120151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx
Project dedicated to shaping new urban mobility with self-driving cars
World Economic Forum project with the
support of The Boston Consulting Group
Objective: Develop road map for a
real-world pilot of urban mobility
Private sector Public sector+
Understand consumer perspective on
self-driving vehicles
— Conduct qualitative and quantitative
customer research
— Conduct city policy maker interviews
Develop future urban mobility
scenarios
— Assess impact on key stakeholders
incl. consumers and operators
— Understand larger impact on cities
Develop roadmap for pilot
implementation
— Define action items for each
stakeholder in operating model for pilot
government and other stakeholders
In focus in this document
Joint
project
Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group
Source: World Economic Forum; BCG
Delphi Automotive Plc
Ministry of Transport
Singapore
Land Transport
Authority Singapore
United Arab
Emirates
Ministry of Cabinet
Affairs
Roads & Transport
Authority Dubai
Drive Sweden
Uber
Siemens AG
Toyota Motor
Corporation
Renault-Nissan
Alliance
Qualcomm Incorporated
Audi AG
AB Volvo
UPS
HERE
General Motors
Company
ChargePoint
PSA Peugeot Citroën
DB Mobility
Logistics AG
220151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx
Study provides fresh insights into
consumer perception of self-driving vehicles
Extensive study of consumer and city perspective since June 2015
— Six 4-hour focus groups
conducted in Singapore,
Berlin and London
— MindDiscovery technique
applied to identify people's
motivations and fears with
respect to self-driving
vehicles
— Discussion around self-
driving vehicles, but also
specific mobility models
such as shared self-driving
taxis
Step 1:
consumer focus groups
Step 2:
consumer survey
— In-depth online survey in ten
countries
— 5,500 city inhabitants
surveyed with various socio-
demographic profiles
— Conjoint analysis included
to understand consumer
preferences between different
shared mobility models
Step 3:
city survey
— Interview series with diverse
set of cities
— 25 city policy makers
interviewed
— Discussion about city
priorities and challenges
and potential role of self-
driving vehicles and related
mobility models
Gothenburg
Helsinki
Amsterdam
New York
Miami
Pittsburgh
Toronto
Dusseldorf
Graz
Dubai
Singapore
Milton Keynes
Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group
Source: World Economic Forum; BCG
320151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx
10 insights from consumers and cities that surprised us
Many consumers are very open to trying and buying a self-driving car1
The key reason for this is not having to park a self-driving car2
Consumers want a traditional OEM to produce the self-driving car3
Many are willing to pay more than $5K extra for a self-driving car5
To consumers, a self-driving car is electric or hybrid4
They are slightly more reluctant to share a self-driving taxi, but will do it at a high discount6
Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group
Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, consumer survey August 2015, city policy maker interviews 2015
Key impediments to them are public acceptance and technological readiness8
SDVs primarily seen as last mile solution complementing public transport9
7 Cities expect self-driving vehicles to become a reality in the next 10 years
They prefer having many private players offering self-driving taxis10
ConsumersCities
420151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx
1 Many consumers are very open to trying a self-driving car
29%
32%
31%
21%
56%
12%
19%
31%
38%
25%
27%
29%
43%
27%
23%
29%
24%
22%
31%
32%
24%
25%
19%
16%
17%
20%
10%
24%
25%
24%
18%
20%
17%
11%
6%
10%
15%
19%
16%
8%
7%
14%
12%
12%
15%
21%
22%
19%
7%
17%
18%
3%
6%
2%
UK
US
2%
Germany
France
China
Global
UAE
Singapore
Netherlands
Japan
India
Q: Imagine that the fully self-driving vehicle became
available in the market. How likely would you be to
consider taking a ride in it (for example as a test drive,
taxi or rental car)?
58% say they would take a ride
in a fully self-driving car
… but only 35% of parents would let
their children ride alone in one
Unlikely Very unlikelyNeutral - Neither likely nor unlikelyVery likely Likely
Q:How likely would you be to let your children ride
alone in a fully self-driving car?
n=5,635 n=2,480
In % of respondents per country In % of respondents per country
13%
16%
8%
10%
12%
22%
30%
19%
21%
31%
19%
10%
16%
19%
10%
15%
20%
14%
24%
23%
23%
20%
19%
25%
25%
23%
22%
23%
26%
24%
21%
11%
29%
28%
30%
19%
19%
21%
22%
14%
25%
32%
7%
25%
40%
23%
27%
40%
30%
7%
7%
UK
US
2%
Netherlands
3%
India
Germany
27%
Global
China
France
Singapore
UAE
5%
Japan
Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group
Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, consumer survey August 2015
Consumers
58% of respondents 35% of respondents
520151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx
"Drops me off, finds a parking spot and parks on its own"
"Allows me to multi-task/be productive during my ride"
"Switches to self-driving mode during traffic"
2 Consumers see a direct benefit in not having to park and being
able to do something else during their travel time
43.5%
39.6%
35.0%
Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group
Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, consumer survey August 2015
Consumers
Drivers
620151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx
3 The most preferred producer of a self-driving car is a traditional OEM
OEM as primary source of trust
… with other players contributing their relevant expertise
5%6%
12%15%16%
46%
Auto-
motive
suppliers
Gov’t-
owned and
supervised
company
New
car
manu-
facturer
I don’t
know
Tech
company
Traditional
car
manufacturer
Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group
Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, consumer survey August 2015
… in cooperation with other players
&
Mobility and
logistics players Infra playersTech players
4%
10%
17%
69%
I don’t knowAloneWith auto
supplier
With tech
company
In % of respondents In % of respondents
n=5,635
Consumers
n = 2,579
Traditional
OEMs
720151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx
3 Picture is consistent across all regions – trust in OEM
particularly strong in France, Germany and Japan
Q: Who would be the ideal manufacturer of a
self-driving car? n=5,635
7 11
10
15
11 14
11 14
7 8
11 19
18 15
23
34
10 12
24 22
20 13
7 25 9
10
16 19
10
21
50
58
47
57
33
47 44 44
32
11000 5889
766
5
45
2
Singapore
1 31
UK
2
US
32
China
0
3
Japan
3
3
India
1
3
4
Germany
2 3
France NL UAE
0
New car manufacturer
OtherA government-owned and supervised company
Automotive suppliers
I don’t know
Technology company
Traditional car manufacturer
In % of respondents per country
Consumers
Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group
Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, consumer survey August 2015
820151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx
9%9%
15%
29%
37%
4 In consumers' minds, self-driving cars will be electric or hybrid
Q: What type of engine do you think self-driving vehicles will primarily have?
n = 5,635
In % of total respondents
Hybrid
?
Electric I don't know Fuel cellTrad. combustion
Consumers
66% of respondents
Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group
Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, consumer survey August 2015
920151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx
5 Many are ready to pay more for a fully self-driving car
1. Percentage of respondents that quoted an acceptable price for fully self-driving car
in excess of base price quoted for regular car
Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group
Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, consumer survey August 2015
9
16
10
6
6
10
9
8
8
6
9
13
11
21
8
18
14
6
16
28
12
8
9
24
9
3
24
21
62
52
61
73
51
58
57
72
64
5710
4
3
89
3 1
3 1
3
6
Global
4
… of which many would
pay up to $5K more
In % of respondents per country
$3,000 - $5000
$0 - $999 > $5,000$2,000 - $2,999
$1,000 - $1,999
% of consumers willing to pay more
for a fully self-driving car1
38%
46%
47%
31%
42%
51%
50%
42%
50%
39%
43%Global
In % of respondents per country
Consumers
1020151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx
6 Consumers are more reluctant to share a self-driving taxi with
strangers
Q: How likely are you to consider using a shared self-
driving taxi?
n = 5,635
In % of total respondents
37% of respondents
19%18%
25%25%
12%
Neutral -
neither
likely nor
unlikely
Very likely Likely Very
unlikely
Unlikely
"It is not safe for a lady to share
with strangers."
Janice, 39
"Me, as a woman, I would never
want to share a ride with three
drunk guys at night"
Jennifer, 26
"Who will maintain the car if it
gets dirty?"
Keryn, 32
Consumers
1120151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx
6 Highest willingness to use a shared self-driving taxi in China
and India
Q: How likely are you to consider using a
shared self-driving taxi?
n=5,635
20
9
32
16
42
25
21
35
16
11
23
32
13
17
21
21
25
18
25
30
35
25
27
26
12
22
20
10
22 25
22
14
25
17
23
29 29 30
14 13
31 29
1078
India
5
6
Germany
4
NL UAE
5
UKFrance
5
China SingaporeJapan US
Neutral - Neither likely nor unlikely LikelyUnlikelyVery unlikely Very likely
In % of respondents per country
Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group
Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, consumer survey August 2015
Consumers
1220151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx
6 But at a sufficiently steep discount, they all opt for sharing their taxi
1. Based on a shared taxi configuration of 2 additional passengers, 5 additional minutes of wait time and no selection choice of other passengers
Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group
Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, consumer survey August 2015
Price for shared
self-driving taxi
ride vs. a regular
taxi ride at $20
$5$7$10
52%
47%
37%
% of respondents opting for shared self-driving taxi1
vs. regular taxi priced at $20
Consumers
1320151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx
7 Cities believe that self-driving vehicles become a reality
in the next 10 years
Most cities expect commercialization in
next 10 years
And many of them have specific SDV
related initiatives under way
1. Due to small sample size results are not statistically representative; Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group
Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, city policy maker interviews 2015
2041-
2045
2036-
2040
4%
0%
2031-
2035
0%
2026-
2030
8%
2021-
2025
40%
2016-
2020
48%
" We are very supportive of
self-driving vehicle testing
in our city."
" We want to test self-driving vehicles
in real-life to see how they could change
our city."
Cities
Extensive multi-year SDV
trials announced in October
2015
Singapore
Uber and Carnegie Mellon
University developing and
testing SDVs in Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
DriveME project with 100
self-driving Volvo cars on
public roads to start in 2017
Gothenburg
Trials of autonomous pod
cars starting in 2016 as part
of project UK Autodrive
Milton Keynes
Promotion of self-driving
vehicles development as part
of Dutch EU presidency 2016
Amsterdam
Started exploring impact on
city; plans to develop two-
year roadmap by year end
Toronto
Project GATEway to start trial
of pod cars in Greenwich
area in 2016
London
In % of total interviewees1
1420151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx
8 Key impediments to realization are societal acceptance and
technology
56%
Regulation
Governance
Consumer acceptance
44%Technology
8%
20%
"This requires a significant cultural change"
"We will need to get the public used to self-driving
cars gradually."
"The technical challenge of interacting with
pedestrians in the city cannot easily be solved"
"Technology needs to be safe and approved and
consumers need to feel safe using them"
"How will crashes be programmed? Who decides on
the right priority for saving lives?"
1
2
Top impediments (multiple counts possible)
In % of total interviewees1
1.Due to small sample size results are not statistically representative; Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group
Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, city policy maker interviews 2015
Homogeneous picture across most cities Rationale
Regulation not considered the most significant roadblock
Cities
1520151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx
9 Self-driving vehicles primarily seen as last mile solution
Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group; Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, city policy maker interviews 2015
Medium-sized
cities
Car-centric
cities
Established
megacities
New
megacities
1 2 3 4
Cities
— Last mile solution
— Gothenburg
— Mostly complementary
— Outside city center
— Substitution of some low
frequency bus routes
— Last mile solution
— Miami
— Mostly complementary
— Both in city center and
outside
— Substitution of some low
frequency bus routes
— Last mile solution
— Freight transport
— Utility
— New York City
— Strictly complementary
— Outside city center
— Fixed and scheduled
services
— Last mile solution
— Freight transport
— Utility
— Complementary and
enhancing
— Both in city center and
outside
Example
city
Use case
Desired
role vs.
public
transport
— Singapore
1620151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx
9 Benefits perceived are both at societal and at individual level
Cities
Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group
Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, city policy maker interviews 2015
Equitable
access to
mobility
Improved
road
safety
Increased
traffic
efficiency
Freed up
space
Decrease in
pollution
Decreased
transport
cost
Better
service
1
2
3
4
5
6
7— "Access to elderly and disabled"
— "Better access in low density areas"
— "Increased convenience"
— "More & better mobility
choices"
— "Cheaper mobility for end
consumer"
— "Lower cost of travel to city &
consumer"
— "Less car travel at low occupancy"
— "Fewer cars on the streets"
— "Less parking space needed in
city center"
— "Possibility for new city planning"
— "No need to add new
car-focused capacity"
— "Less congestion, better
flow"
— "Reduction of accidents"
— "More safety for all road users"
Individual
benefits
1720151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx
10 Most cities prefer having many private players offering
shared fleets
Most cities open to working with third parties for provision
of on demand services
Peer-to-peerMultiple
private
players
4%
Private
player
8%
City
0%
88%
Free market economy most desirable Rationale
1. Due to small sample size results are not statistically representative; Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group
Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, city policy maker interviews 2015
The city is not best suited to operate shared
self-driving fleets
— Long decision making processes
— Long and rigid investment horizons
— Decisions influenced by political considerations
— Difficulty funding required investments
Rather, the city should assume an enabling and
regulating role
— Enable development of new technologies and
provide testing environment
— Ensure safety at trials
— Regulate the market
— Safety and security
— Reach
— Definition of service levels
Cities
In % of total interviewees1

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Self driving vehicles in an urban context

  • 1. Press briefing 24 November 2015 This survey on self-driving vehicles was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group Self-Driving Vehicles in an Urban Context
  • 2. 120151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx Project dedicated to shaping new urban mobility with self-driving cars World Economic Forum project with the support of The Boston Consulting Group Objective: Develop road map for a real-world pilot of urban mobility Private sector Public sector+ Understand consumer perspective on self-driving vehicles — Conduct qualitative and quantitative customer research — Conduct city policy maker interviews Develop future urban mobility scenarios — Assess impact on key stakeholders incl. consumers and operators — Understand larger impact on cities Develop roadmap for pilot implementation — Define action items for each stakeholder in operating model for pilot government and other stakeholders In focus in this document Joint project Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group Source: World Economic Forum; BCG Delphi Automotive Plc Ministry of Transport Singapore Land Transport Authority Singapore United Arab Emirates Ministry of Cabinet Affairs Roads & Transport Authority Dubai Drive Sweden Uber Siemens AG Toyota Motor Corporation Renault-Nissan Alliance Qualcomm Incorporated Audi AG AB Volvo UPS HERE General Motors Company ChargePoint PSA Peugeot Citroën DB Mobility Logistics AG
  • 3. 220151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx Study provides fresh insights into consumer perception of self-driving vehicles Extensive study of consumer and city perspective since June 2015 — Six 4-hour focus groups conducted in Singapore, Berlin and London — MindDiscovery technique applied to identify people's motivations and fears with respect to self-driving vehicles — Discussion around self- driving vehicles, but also specific mobility models such as shared self-driving taxis Step 1: consumer focus groups Step 2: consumer survey — In-depth online survey in ten countries — 5,500 city inhabitants surveyed with various socio- demographic profiles — Conjoint analysis included to understand consumer preferences between different shared mobility models Step 3: city survey — Interview series with diverse set of cities — 25 city policy makers interviewed — Discussion about city priorities and challenges and potential role of self- driving vehicles and related mobility models Gothenburg Helsinki Amsterdam New York Miami Pittsburgh Toronto Dusseldorf Graz Dubai Singapore Milton Keynes Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group Source: World Economic Forum; BCG
  • 4. 320151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx 10 insights from consumers and cities that surprised us Many consumers are very open to trying and buying a self-driving car1 The key reason for this is not having to park a self-driving car2 Consumers want a traditional OEM to produce the self-driving car3 Many are willing to pay more than $5K extra for a self-driving car5 To consumers, a self-driving car is electric or hybrid4 They are slightly more reluctant to share a self-driving taxi, but will do it at a high discount6 Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, consumer survey August 2015, city policy maker interviews 2015 Key impediments to them are public acceptance and technological readiness8 SDVs primarily seen as last mile solution complementing public transport9 7 Cities expect self-driving vehicles to become a reality in the next 10 years They prefer having many private players offering self-driving taxis10 ConsumersCities
  • 5. 420151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx 1 Many consumers are very open to trying a self-driving car 29% 32% 31% 21% 56% 12% 19% 31% 38% 25% 27% 29% 43% 27% 23% 29% 24% 22% 31% 32% 24% 25% 19% 16% 17% 20% 10% 24% 25% 24% 18% 20% 17% 11% 6% 10% 15% 19% 16% 8% 7% 14% 12% 12% 15% 21% 22% 19% 7% 17% 18% 3% 6% 2% UK US 2% Germany France China Global UAE Singapore Netherlands Japan India Q: Imagine that the fully self-driving vehicle became available in the market. How likely would you be to consider taking a ride in it (for example as a test drive, taxi or rental car)? 58% say they would take a ride in a fully self-driving car … but only 35% of parents would let their children ride alone in one Unlikely Very unlikelyNeutral - Neither likely nor unlikelyVery likely Likely Q:How likely would you be to let your children ride alone in a fully self-driving car? n=5,635 n=2,480 In % of respondents per country In % of respondents per country 13% 16% 8% 10% 12% 22% 30% 19% 21% 31% 19% 10% 16% 19% 10% 15% 20% 14% 24% 23% 23% 20% 19% 25% 25% 23% 22% 23% 26% 24% 21% 11% 29% 28% 30% 19% 19% 21% 22% 14% 25% 32% 7% 25% 40% 23% 27% 40% 30% 7% 7% UK US 2% Netherlands 3% India Germany 27% Global China France Singapore UAE 5% Japan Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, consumer survey August 2015 Consumers 58% of respondents 35% of respondents
  • 6. 520151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx "Drops me off, finds a parking spot and parks on its own" "Allows me to multi-task/be productive during my ride" "Switches to self-driving mode during traffic" 2 Consumers see a direct benefit in not having to park and being able to do something else during their travel time 43.5% 39.6% 35.0% Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, consumer survey August 2015 Consumers Drivers
  • 7. 620151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx 3 The most preferred producer of a self-driving car is a traditional OEM OEM as primary source of trust … with other players contributing their relevant expertise 5%6% 12%15%16% 46% Auto- motive suppliers Gov’t- owned and supervised company New car manu- facturer I don’t know Tech company Traditional car manufacturer Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, consumer survey August 2015 … in cooperation with other players & Mobility and logistics players Infra playersTech players 4% 10% 17% 69% I don’t knowAloneWith auto supplier With tech company In % of respondents In % of respondents n=5,635 Consumers n = 2,579 Traditional OEMs
  • 8. 720151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx 3 Picture is consistent across all regions – trust in OEM particularly strong in France, Germany and Japan Q: Who would be the ideal manufacturer of a self-driving car? n=5,635 7 11 10 15 11 14 11 14 7 8 11 19 18 15 23 34 10 12 24 22 20 13 7 25 9 10 16 19 10 21 50 58 47 57 33 47 44 44 32 11000 5889 766 5 45 2 Singapore 1 31 UK 2 US 32 China 0 3 Japan 3 3 India 1 3 4 Germany 2 3 France NL UAE 0 New car manufacturer OtherA government-owned and supervised company Automotive suppliers I don’t know Technology company Traditional car manufacturer In % of respondents per country Consumers Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, consumer survey August 2015
  • 9. 820151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx 9%9% 15% 29% 37% 4 In consumers' minds, self-driving cars will be electric or hybrid Q: What type of engine do you think self-driving vehicles will primarily have? n = 5,635 In % of total respondents Hybrid ? Electric I don't know Fuel cellTrad. combustion Consumers 66% of respondents Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, consumer survey August 2015
  • 10. 920151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx 5 Many are ready to pay more for a fully self-driving car 1. Percentage of respondents that quoted an acceptable price for fully self-driving car in excess of base price quoted for regular car Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, consumer survey August 2015 9 16 10 6 6 10 9 8 8 6 9 13 11 21 8 18 14 6 16 28 12 8 9 24 9 3 24 21 62 52 61 73 51 58 57 72 64 5710 4 3 89 3 1 3 1 3 6 Global 4 … of which many would pay up to $5K more In % of respondents per country $3,000 - $5000 $0 - $999 > $5,000$2,000 - $2,999 $1,000 - $1,999 % of consumers willing to pay more for a fully self-driving car1 38% 46% 47% 31% 42% 51% 50% 42% 50% 39% 43%Global In % of respondents per country Consumers
  • 11. 1020151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx 6 Consumers are more reluctant to share a self-driving taxi with strangers Q: How likely are you to consider using a shared self- driving taxi? n = 5,635 In % of total respondents 37% of respondents 19%18% 25%25% 12% Neutral - neither likely nor unlikely Very likely Likely Very unlikely Unlikely "It is not safe for a lady to share with strangers." Janice, 39 "Me, as a woman, I would never want to share a ride with three drunk guys at night" Jennifer, 26 "Who will maintain the car if it gets dirty?" Keryn, 32 Consumers
  • 12. 1120151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx 6 Highest willingness to use a shared self-driving taxi in China and India Q: How likely are you to consider using a shared self-driving taxi? n=5,635 20 9 32 16 42 25 21 35 16 11 23 32 13 17 21 21 25 18 25 30 35 25 27 26 12 22 20 10 22 25 22 14 25 17 23 29 29 30 14 13 31 29 1078 India 5 6 Germany 4 NL UAE 5 UKFrance 5 China SingaporeJapan US Neutral - Neither likely nor unlikely LikelyUnlikelyVery unlikely Very likely In % of respondents per country Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, consumer survey August 2015 Consumers
  • 13. 1220151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx 6 But at a sufficiently steep discount, they all opt for sharing their taxi 1. Based on a shared taxi configuration of 2 additional passengers, 5 additional minutes of wait time and no selection choice of other passengers Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, consumer survey August 2015 Price for shared self-driving taxi ride vs. a regular taxi ride at $20 $5$7$10 52% 47% 37% % of respondents opting for shared self-driving taxi1 vs. regular taxi priced at $20 Consumers
  • 14. 1320151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx 7 Cities believe that self-driving vehicles become a reality in the next 10 years Most cities expect commercialization in next 10 years And many of them have specific SDV related initiatives under way 1. Due to small sample size results are not statistically representative; Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, city policy maker interviews 2015 2041- 2045 2036- 2040 4% 0% 2031- 2035 0% 2026- 2030 8% 2021- 2025 40% 2016- 2020 48% " We are very supportive of self-driving vehicle testing in our city." " We want to test self-driving vehicles in real-life to see how they could change our city." Cities Extensive multi-year SDV trials announced in October 2015 Singapore Uber and Carnegie Mellon University developing and testing SDVs in Pittsburgh Pittsburgh DriveME project with 100 self-driving Volvo cars on public roads to start in 2017 Gothenburg Trials of autonomous pod cars starting in 2016 as part of project UK Autodrive Milton Keynes Promotion of self-driving vehicles development as part of Dutch EU presidency 2016 Amsterdam Started exploring impact on city; plans to develop two- year roadmap by year end Toronto Project GATEway to start trial of pod cars in Greenwich area in 2016 London In % of total interviewees1
  • 15. 1420151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx 8 Key impediments to realization are societal acceptance and technology 56% Regulation Governance Consumer acceptance 44%Technology 8% 20% "This requires a significant cultural change" "We will need to get the public used to self-driving cars gradually." "The technical challenge of interacting with pedestrians in the city cannot easily be solved" "Technology needs to be safe and approved and consumers need to feel safe using them" "How will crashes be programmed? Who decides on the right priority for saving lives?" 1 2 Top impediments (multiple counts possible) In % of total interviewees1 1.Due to small sample size results are not statistically representative; Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, city policy maker interviews 2015 Homogeneous picture across most cities Rationale Regulation not considered the most significant roadblock Cities
  • 16. 1520151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx 9 Self-driving vehicles primarily seen as last mile solution Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group; Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, city policy maker interviews 2015 Medium-sized cities Car-centric cities Established megacities New megacities 1 2 3 4 Cities — Last mile solution — Gothenburg — Mostly complementary — Outside city center — Substitution of some low frequency bus routes — Last mile solution — Miami — Mostly complementary — Both in city center and outside — Substitution of some low frequency bus routes — Last mile solution — Freight transport — Utility — New York City — Strictly complementary — Outside city center — Fixed and scheduled services — Last mile solution — Freight transport — Utility — Complementary and enhancing — Both in city center and outside Example city Use case Desired role vs. public transport — Singapore
  • 17. 1620151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx 9 Benefits perceived are both at societal and at individual level Cities Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, city policy maker interviews 2015 Equitable access to mobility Improved road safety Increased traffic efficiency Freed up space Decrease in pollution Decreased transport cost Better service 1 2 3 4 5 6 7— "Access to elderly and disabled" — "Better access in low density areas" — "Increased convenience" — "More & better mobility choices" — "Cheaper mobility for end consumer" — "Lower cost of travel to city & consumer" — "Less car travel at low occupancy" — "Fewer cars on the streets" — "Less parking space needed in city center" — "Possibility for new city planning" — "No need to add new car-focused capacity" — "Less congestion, better flow" — "Reduction of accidents" — "More safety for all road users" Individual benefits
  • 18. 1720151124 Press release deck_vF_clean.pptx 10 Most cities prefer having many private players offering shared fleets Most cities open to working with third parties for provision of on demand services Peer-to-peerMultiple private players 4% Private player 8% City 0% 88% Free market economy most desirable Rationale 1. Due to small sample size results are not statistically representative; Note: This survey was prepared with the support of The Boston Consulting Group Source: World Economic Forum; BCG analysis, city policy maker interviews 2015 The city is not best suited to operate shared self-driving fleets — Long decision making processes — Long and rigid investment horizons — Decisions influenced by political considerations — Difficulty funding required investments Rather, the city should assume an enabling and regulating role — Enable development of new technologies and provide testing environment — Ensure safety at trials — Regulate the market — Safety and security — Reach — Definition of service levels Cities In % of total interviewees1