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An introduction to Innovation Studies
     and Technological Change

          Anthony Bartzokas
            UNU - MERIT
          4 September 2006
Basic fact 1: Technology and Welfare
Basic fact 2: R&D and Economic Growth
Basic fact 3: Concentration of R&D activities
    (global 1000 leading R&D investors)
An overview: research on technology and
               innovation
•   History of ideas: technology and theorizing [progress, power,
    ethics, man vs. nature]
•   Technology per se was seen as given-like tastes
•   Schumpeter- innovation dynamics key to capitalism-
•   Adoption – migrant from sociology
•   Induce innovation-innovation as economic activity
•   Human capital-the dynamics of learning and accumulation of
    knowledge
•   Knowledge as a public good
•   Innovation as an economic activity
•   Technology and catching up
•   Innovation and dual structures
•   Social innovation
The Policy relevance of these
       research programmes
• The development of scientific communities

• Emphasis on basic research in the US

• OECD and Innovation Policy processes

• Technological Development in Developing
  Countries

• Globalisation and diverging growth trajectories
Breaking down innovation

Usually thought of as composing three or four activities,
all of which are required to achieve productivity growth:

– Invention – the conception of a new idea; prototypes
– Development - reducing the new idea to practice
– Commercialization – bringing it to the marketplace
– Diffusion – the result of adoption by consumers

Diffusion can be very slow

The importance of some innovations initially greatly
underestimated
A broad definition of Innovation

Innovation is the creation and use of new products
  and processes, including:
• use of new equipment or materials
• use of new markets or sources of supply
• new organizational forms
• creation of completely new products
• product modifications and restyling
• selling in new markets or new segments
 N. Rosenberg ‘Transportation in boxes is one of the major
 innovations for the global economy’
Sources of Data



•   OECD                                        •   Technology spillovers data (variety of
                                                    methodologies)
•   NSF
                                                •   Measurement of technological assets in
•   Eurostat
                                                    regional clusters
•   European Report on S&T indicators
                                                •   Agriculture R&D (IFPR)
•   CIS and similar surveys
                                                •   Research and technology collaboration
•   UNESCO report                                   data
•   World Bank Innovation Database              •   Technology Diffusion (GPT) data
•   Firm level R&D data [IPTS, 700 larger       •   Technology transfer payments data
    firms]
                                                •   Business Environment Data (World Bank)
•   Several patents data bases
                                                •   Technological infrastructure data (various
•   Scientific publications                         sources, especially for ICT)
•   Country level Technology and Innovation     •   Scientific publications data
    statistics
                                                •   ECLAC data base for the world economy
•   MNC R&D data (UNCTAD and national
                                                •   Several sources of information on the
    surveys)
                                                    quality of education
•   Corporate assets: several publications
                                                •   Case studies and ad hoc reports with
    drawing on annual reports
                                                    survey findings on a wide range of topics
•   Innovation and technological capabilities
    indexes (RAND, Porter, ArCo, UNIDO)
•   Knowledge flows studies


    A footnote: take the time to visit some of these sources on-line
An example

               STAN Indicators Database 2005




                         R&D INTENSITY using PRODUCTION
Indicator:


                                                         k
                                    ANBERD
                              k                          i
                     RDIP         =                          x 100
                              i
                                     PROD ik


Formula:




                         Where: ANBERD and PROD are the business enterprise Research and
                         Development and production at current prices, respectively. For zones, data
                         have been converted to common unit using the Purchasing Power Parities
                         for total GDP.




                         For each country (or country group), this indicator expresses the R&D
Description:
                         expenditures by sector relative to the production.
A map of innovation inputs and outputs

                          Market structure and industry;
                           Appropriability environment
    Demand pull
                                                             Firm size and
(taste, market size)
                                                             Market share,
 Tech. Opportunity                  R&D and other            Diversification,
   (science base)               Innovation investments       And experience




                                       Knowledge
                                Firm-level capital created
                                By innovation investment


               Patents,
              Other IPR
                                                             Innovative sales
                                    Innovation output




  Diffusion                      Outcomes: Productivity,      Physical capital
  process                             Profitability,           Worker skills
                                  And Economic Growth
The Innovation Development System: A Framework
CUSTOMERS                                                                     OTHER KNOWLEDGE
                        INDUSTRY                      LINKAGE
                                                                                  SOURCES

                                                                                     Research
                    Large TNC                     Knowledge Linkage,                 Institutes
                                                     Transfer and
                                                     Development
  Export
                                                     Organisations
                      Large                                                         Universities
                     Domestic
                                                    Metrology and
                                                                                    Vocational
                                                     Standards
                                                                                     Training
                       SME

 Domestic
                                                                                Foreign
                     Start-Ups
                                                                               Technology
                                                                                Sources



    Policy and Incentive Systems                                   Financial and Funding Systems
                               Legal Frameworks            Organisational Structures
                                        INSTITUTIONAL CONTEXT
Evolution of Industry Structure
                over the Life Cycle
              INTRODUCTION         GROWTH                 MATURITY           DECLINE
DEMAND        Affluent buyers      Increasing            Mass market      Knowledgeable,
                                   penetration           replacement      customers
                                                         demand

TECHNOLOGY    Competing            Standardization    Incremental         Well-diffused
              technologies         process innovation innovation          technology

PRODUCTS      Wide variety,        Quality improves      Standard-        Comm-
              poor quality         Dominant design       ization          oditization

MANUFACT-     Short-runs, skill    Capacity shortage,    Deskilling       Overcapacity
URING         intensive            mass-production       Overcapacity

TRADE          -----Production shifts from advanced to developing countries-----

COMPETITION   Few firms            Entry, merger         Shakeout &        Price wars,
                                   & exit                consolidation     exit

KEY           Product innovation   Process techno-      Cost efficiency    Overhead red-
SUCCESS       Establish credible   logy. Design for     High quality       uction, ration-
FACTORS       image for firm &     mfg. Access to       Fast product       alization, low
              product.             Dist. Brands.        development        cost sourcing
Beyond simple metaphors…
Research Programmes on Technology and Innovation


                 Points of Departure
 – From markets to incentives for rational and identical agents and
   then to innovation
 – From agents (firms with asymmetrical capabilities) to markets
   and innovation
 – From structural incentives (production system characteristics) to
   incentives and innovation dynamics

     • Additional Questions:
         – What is the driving force behind asymmetrical capabilities (codified
           knowledge, corporate structures, core competences, networking…)
         – Stylized facts and the level of theorizing [general trends and valid
           metaphors: product cycle, waves, critical technologies, paradigms etc.)
Critical thinking is needed…Myths and their
                          implications


(i) Technology is (just) Applied Science      Set up R&D Institutes

(ii) Technological Self-reliance is Key, period   Indigenization as end in itself

(iii) More Technology is always Good       Focus on R&D Spending, not Content
     or Value Added

(iv) High tech is the Best technology    Expensive, high-tech Champions,
    State or Private

(v) Technology is well understood and easily transferred      Focus on
    Regulation

(vi) R&D is Key, and led by Research       Focus on Research, not Development
UNU –MERIT
    PhD Programme

INNOVATION STUDIES AND
     DEVELOPMENT

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Introductory Lecture Innovation Studies and Development

  • 1. An introduction to Innovation Studies and Technological Change Anthony Bartzokas UNU - MERIT 4 September 2006
  • 2. Basic fact 1: Technology and Welfare
  • 3. Basic fact 2: R&D and Economic Growth
  • 4. Basic fact 3: Concentration of R&D activities (global 1000 leading R&D investors)
  • 5. An overview: research on technology and innovation • History of ideas: technology and theorizing [progress, power, ethics, man vs. nature] • Technology per se was seen as given-like tastes • Schumpeter- innovation dynamics key to capitalism- • Adoption – migrant from sociology • Induce innovation-innovation as economic activity • Human capital-the dynamics of learning and accumulation of knowledge • Knowledge as a public good • Innovation as an economic activity • Technology and catching up • Innovation and dual structures • Social innovation
  • 6. The Policy relevance of these research programmes • The development of scientific communities • Emphasis on basic research in the US • OECD and Innovation Policy processes • Technological Development in Developing Countries • Globalisation and diverging growth trajectories
  • 7. Breaking down innovation Usually thought of as composing three or four activities, all of which are required to achieve productivity growth: – Invention – the conception of a new idea; prototypes – Development - reducing the new idea to practice – Commercialization – bringing it to the marketplace – Diffusion – the result of adoption by consumers Diffusion can be very slow The importance of some innovations initially greatly underestimated
  • 8. A broad definition of Innovation Innovation is the creation and use of new products and processes, including: • use of new equipment or materials • use of new markets or sources of supply • new organizational forms • creation of completely new products • product modifications and restyling • selling in new markets or new segments N. Rosenberg ‘Transportation in boxes is one of the major innovations for the global economy’
  • 9. Sources of Data • OECD • Technology spillovers data (variety of methodologies) • NSF • Measurement of technological assets in • Eurostat regional clusters • European Report on S&T indicators • Agriculture R&D (IFPR) • CIS and similar surveys • Research and technology collaboration • UNESCO report data • World Bank Innovation Database • Technology Diffusion (GPT) data • Firm level R&D data [IPTS, 700 larger • Technology transfer payments data firms] • Business Environment Data (World Bank) • Several patents data bases • Technological infrastructure data (various • Scientific publications sources, especially for ICT) • Country level Technology and Innovation • Scientific publications data statistics • ECLAC data base for the world economy • MNC R&D data (UNCTAD and national • Several sources of information on the surveys) quality of education • Corporate assets: several publications • Case studies and ad hoc reports with drawing on annual reports survey findings on a wide range of topics • Innovation and technological capabilities indexes (RAND, Porter, ArCo, UNIDO) • Knowledge flows studies A footnote: take the time to visit some of these sources on-line
  • 10. An example STAN Indicators Database 2005 R&D INTENSITY using PRODUCTION Indicator: k ANBERD k i RDIP = x 100 i PROD ik Formula: Where: ANBERD and PROD are the business enterprise Research and Development and production at current prices, respectively. For zones, data have been converted to common unit using the Purchasing Power Parities for total GDP. For each country (or country group), this indicator expresses the R&D Description: expenditures by sector relative to the production.
  • 11. A map of innovation inputs and outputs Market structure and industry; Appropriability environment Demand pull Firm size and (taste, market size) Market share, Tech. Opportunity R&D and other Diversification, (science base) Innovation investments And experience Knowledge Firm-level capital created By innovation investment Patents, Other IPR Innovative sales Innovation output Diffusion Outcomes: Productivity, Physical capital process Profitability, Worker skills And Economic Growth
  • 12.
  • 13. The Innovation Development System: A Framework CUSTOMERS OTHER KNOWLEDGE INDUSTRY LINKAGE SOURCES Research Large TNC Knowledge Linkage, Institutes Transfer and Development Export Organisations Large Universities Domestic Metrology and Vocational Standards Training SME Domestic Foreign Start-Ups Technology Sources Policy and Incentive Systems Financial and Funding Systems Legal Frameworks Organisational Structures INSTITUTIONAL CONTEXT
  • 14. Evolution of Industry Structure over the Life Cycle INTRODUCTION GROWTH MATURITY DECLINE DEMAND Affluent buyers Increasing Mass market Knowledgeable, penetration replacement customers demand TECHNOLOGY Competing Standardization Incremental Well-diffused technologies process innovation innovation technology PRODUCTS Wide variety, Quality improves Standard- Comm- poor quality Dominant design ization oditization MANUFACT- Short-runs, skill Capacity shortage, Deskilling Overcapacity URING intensive mass-production Overcapacity TRADE -----Production shifts from advanced to developing countries----- COMPETITION Few firms Entry, merger Shakeout & Price wars, & exit consolidation exit KEY Product innovation Process techno- Cost efficiency Overhead red- SUCCESS Establish credible logy. Design for High quality uction, ration- FACTORS image for firm & mfg. Access to Fast product alization, low product. Dist. Brands. development cost sourcing
  • 15. Beyond simple metaphors… Research Programmes on Technology and Innovation Points of Departure – From markets to incentives for rational and identical agents and then to innovation – From agents (firms with asymmetrical capabilities) to markets and innovation – From structural incentives (production system characteristics) to incentives and innovation dynamics • Additional Questions: – What is the driving force behind asymmetrical capabilities (codified knowledge, corporate structures, core competences, networking…) – Stylized facts and the level of theorizing [general trends and valid metaphors: product cycle, waves, critical technologies, paradigms etc.)
  • 16. Critical thinking is needed…Myths and their implications (i) Technology is (just) Applied Science Set up R&D Institutes (ii) Technological Self-reliance is Key, period Indigenization as end in itself (iii) More Technology is always Good Focus on R&D Spending, not Content or Value Added (iv) High tech is the Best technology Expensive, high-tech Champions, State or Private (v) Technology is well understood and easily transferred Focus on Regulation (vi) R&D is Key, and led by Research Focus on Research, not Development
  • 17. UNU –MERIT PhD Programme INNOVATION STUDIES AND DEVELOPMENT