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A Tale of Two Business
       Systems

 To Lean or Not to be Lean
Fifteen years Ago
 Womack and Jones describe two business
 systems
 Mass vs. Lean
 “Ideal organizations” were General Motors
 and Toyota
 Dire problems were predicted for the former
 and bright prospects for the later
 They were right!
             WEC 09/07            2
Toyota is now set to pass General Motors as
the worlds largest and most successful
manufacturing firm, after a fifty-five year
chase




            WEC 09/07            3
What Can Be Learned?
 GM lost because of high wages and legacy
 costs in North America (WRONG!)

 Toyota won because of a superior business
 plan (RIGHT!)

 Compare “mass and lean” business systems

            WEC 09/07            4
Each System Consists of Five
Elements
 Management focus
 Product development process
 Supplier management process
 Production and logistics process
 Customer management process




             WEC 09/07              5
Management Focus
 At GM, the focus has always been on “the
 numbers”, financial performance metrics for
 divisions and functions as established by
 Alford Sloan in the 1920’s
 At Toyota, the focus has always been on the
 value-creating processes & how to improve
 them


             WEC 09/07            6
Management Focus
 At GM, managers have areas of authority
 where they make their numbers to succeed

 At Toyota, successful managers take
 responsibility for solving problems with
 processes



             WEC 09/07             7
Product Development
 At GM, senior engineers with large
 numbers of direct reports seek to determine
 quickly the best design and prove it through
 sophisticated prototypes
 At Toyota:
 Chief Engineer—with no direct reports,
 who links customers to development
 process

             WEC 09/07             8
Management Focus
 Toyota:
 Set based concurrent design—assumes that
 starting design concepts are usually wrong
 Sophisticated knowledge management –
 avoids rediscovering what is already known
 Rapid prototyping—but only of significant
 features



            WEC 09/07            9
Product Development
 Results:
 Toyota in North America has a $2,500 per
 car transaction price advantage over GM, a
 larger number than the production cost gap
 Toyota has just announced a plan to go
 from design freeze to launch in one year
 leaving GM far behind!


             WEC 09/07            10
Supplier Management
 Now equally outsourced but…
 At GM, a large number of suppliers for
 each product category competes for short-
 term contracts. Objective of purchasing
 leaders is to reduce prices while meeting
 quality, delivery, and technology targets



             WEC 09/07            11
Supplier Management
 At Toyota, a small number of suppliers for
 each product category participates in joint
 cost reduction and quality improvement
 exercises. Objective of purchasing leaders
 is to reduce shared costs while meeting
 quality, delivery, technology and supplier
 margin targets by improving design and
 production processes.

             WEC 09/07             12
Supplier Management
 Results”
 GM suppliers give the company the lowest rating
 on desirable companies to work for & provide new
 technology reluctantly
 Toyota suppliers rate Toyota as the best company
 to work for & provide new technology eagerly
 Irony: Every day working for Toyota is hard, but
 in the long run the experience is much better


              WEC 09/07               13
Production
 Toyota’s objective (as in every element of
 its business system) is to create a perfect
 process in which every step in production
 is:
 Valuable (as defined by the customer)
 Capable (Six sigma)
 Available (Total Productive Maintenance)
 Flexible (Toyota Production System)
             WEC 09/07             14
These Steps are Linked By:
 Flow (TPS)
 Pull (TPS)
 Leveling (TPS)




            WEC 09/07   15
Production
 The sad irony:
 GM now knows this and can design and run plants
 at the “Toyota” level. (The firm has done
 impressive work with “production” processes in
 the Office)
 GM’s inability to defend its employees, when
 dramatic productivity gains are needed at a time of
 steadily falling market share, has produced a
 political stalemate in making the lean leap.

               WEC 09/07                16
Allied Issue: Production Location
 Mass production firms (including retailers) have
 tended to do some very simple thinking about
 location logic, particularly for suppliers:
 Evaluate the labor intensity of the process
 Relocate labor-intensive processes to lowest wage
 locations
  – Because of the steep wage gradients across the world,
    this has led to dramatic relocations in production in the
    past decade


                  WEC 09/07                     17
Lean Location Logic
 Lean firms, including Toyota, have tended to take
 a different approach:
 They believe that it is desirable to make products
 in the market of sale as close to the customer as
 possible
 This permits the total time from order to cash to be
 minimized and also minimizes the need for
 forecasting
 The first step in location analysis, therefore, is to
 calculate the “lean cost” in the market of sale

               WEC 09/07                  18
Lean Location Logic
 If this cost is competitive, then locate or
 retain production in the market of sale
 Note: Toyota has recently concluded that
 lean production costs are competitive in
 Canada despite high Canadian wages
 If this cost is not competitive, evaluate
 lower-wage production sites using lean
 math

             WEC 09/07              19
Lean Math
   Pick candidate locations
   Logical choices are:
A. Lowest-wage point within the region of
   sale (i.e., Mexico for customers in the
   North American region)
B. Lowest-wage point in the world (i.e.,
   China, India, Vietnam, etc.)


              WEC 09/07            20
Lean Math
For each location (including the high-wage market-
  of-sale location) calculate:

  Factory costs (“lean” and “mass”)
  Supplied materials costs
  Logistics costs—inventories and expensive freight
  needed to meet a given level-of-service
  Remaindering costs of overstocks
  Quality costs
                WEC 09/07               21
Lean Math
Then add the costs of:

  Currency risk
  Country risk
  Company (supplier) risk




              WEC 09/07     22
Conclusion of Lean Math
The total cost of much low-wage production
 is higher than it appears
 Currency, country & company risks
 acknowledged but, in practice, are often
 written as zero
 The lowest-cost site for custom products &
 products with rapid technology changes is
 still in high-wage markets of sale provided
 lean methods are used

             WEC 09/07             23
Conclusion of Lean Math
 The lowest-cost site for many commodity
 items is at the lowest-wage point within the
 region of sale. (Remember: Lean thinkers
 love trucks but don’t like planes and boats)

 When currency, country & company risks
 are real but incalculable, a portfolio of
 production locations and suppliers is critical
 to long-term success

             WEC 09/07              24
Customer Management
 In Japan, Toyota plans ahead with its
 customer partners and makes most vehicles
 to order (pre-sold, pull)
 In the rest of the world, Toyota has adopted
 traditional “mass consumption” customer
 relations, with products made to forecast
 and dealers assigned the task of selling
 stock produced (push)

             WEC 09/07             25
Customer Management
 Sales & service processes outside Japan are
 based on mass production methods
 Final element of the Lean Business System
 is Missing!
 This presents a major opportunity for
 manufacturers



             WEC 09/07            26
Lean Solutions
 Today, most consumers want their problems
 solved more than they want products for the
 sake of having products




             WEC 09/07            27
Lean Solutions
 Consumers have a few simple problems:
 Mobility
 Communication, information management, and
 entertainment
 Healthcare
 Shelter
 Financial management
 Personal logistics (to buy the bazillion items we
 need or want)
               WEC 09/07                 28
Lean Solutions
 By applying lean thinking to the
 consumption and provision process, it is
 possible to:
 Reduce customer time and hassle
 Increase level of service
 Reduce provider costs
 Create a win-win for customers and
 providers in service economies
             WEC 09/07             29
Lean Solutions: Example
 Billy Bob’s Lean Car Repair Service
 By pre-diagnosing work, pre-ordering parts,
 separating jobs into value streams, and
 using standardized work and material
 supply:
 Increase first-time, on-time same day from
 60 to 80%
 Reduce consumer and provider time
 expenditure by 65%
             WEC 09/07            30
Lean Solutions: Example
 Reduces cost of typical service by 30%
 Increase demand (at constant prices) by
 building repeat business
 Capture life-of-the-vehicle repair revenue




             WEC 09/07             31
Prospect for Local Industry
 Future of manufacturing can be answered
 by a question:
 What business system will be used
 Lean or mass?
 Toyota or GM?
 Can the final element of a lean business
 system to solve customer problems be
 implemented?
            WEC 09/07             32
Prospect for Local Industry
 If companies stick with traditional mass
 methods:
 Drift of manufacturing abroad will continue
 until stopped by currency shifts or political
 barriers
 Standards of living, driven by mass
 production methods in service &
 manufacturing are likely to be stagnant or
 worse

             WEC 09/07              33
Alternatively
If companies embrace Lean business system
Some drift of production of commodity items to
Mexico and elsewhere is inevitable
New products—with new technologies or custom
order will emerge to offset losses
Service activities can be transformed
Standards of living and quality of life will rise no
matter what the rest of the world does

                WEC 09/07               34
Lean
Best of all:



  It is a free choice!




               WEC 09/07   35

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A Tale of Two Business Systems: Lean vs Mass Production

  • 1. A Tale of Two Business Systems To Lean or Not to be Lean
  • 2. Fifteen years Ago Womack and Jones describe two business systems Mass vs. Lean “Ideal organizations” were General Motors and Toyota Dire problems were predicted for the former and bright prospects for the later They were right! WEC 09/07 2
  • 3. Toyota is now set to pass General Motors as the worlds largest and most successful manufacturing firm, after a fifty-five year chase WEC 09/07 3
  • 4. What Can Be Learned? GM lost because of high wages and legacy costs in North America (WRONG!) Toyota won because of a superior business plan (RIGHT!) Compare “mass and lean” business systems WEC 09/07 4
  • 5. Each System Consists of Five Elements Management focus Product development process Supplier management process Production and logistics process Customer management process WEC 09/07 5
  • 6. Management Focus At GM, the focus has always been on “the numbers”, financial performance metrics for divisions and functions as established by Alford Sloan in the 1920’s At Toyota, the focus has always been on the value-creating processes & how to improve them WEC 09/07 6
  • 7. Management Focus At GM, managers have areas of authority where they make their numbers to succeed At Toyota, successful managers take responsibility for solving problems with processes WEC 09/07 7
  • 8. Product Development At GM, senior engineers with large numbers of direct reports seek to determine quickly the best design and prove it through sophisticated prototypes At Toyota: Chief Engineer—with no direct reports, who links customers to development process WEC 09/07 8
  • 9. Management Focus Toyota: Set based concurrent design—assumes that starting design concepts are usually wrong Sophisticated knowledge management – avoids rediscovering what is already known Rapid prototyping—but only of significant features WEC 09/07 9
  • 10. Product Development Results: Toyota in North America has a $2,500 per car transaction price advantage over GM, a larger number than the production cost gap Toyota has just announced a plan to go from design freeze to launch in one year leaving GM far behind! WEC 09/07 10
  • 11. Supplier Management Now equally outsourced but… At GM, a large number of suppliers for each product category competes for short- term contracts. Objective of purchasing leaders is to reduce prices while meeting quality, delivery, and technology targets WEC 09/07 11
  • 12. Supplier Management At Toyota, a small number of suppliers for each product category participates in joint cost reduction and quality improvement exercises. Objective of purchasing leaders is to reduce shared costs while meeting quality, delivery, technology and supplier margin targets by improving design and production processes. WEC 09/07 12
  • 13. Supplier Management Results” GM suppliers give the company the lowest rating on desirable companies to work for & provide new technology reluctantly Toyota suppliers rate Toyota as the best company to work for & provide new technology eagerly Irony: Every day working for Toyota is hard, but in the long run the experience is much better WEC 09/07 13
  • 14. Production Toyota’s objective (as in every element of its business system) is to create a perfect process in which every step in production is: Valuable (as defined by the customer) Capable (Six sigma) Available (Total Productive Maintenance) Flexible (Toyota Production System) WEC 09/07 14
  • 15. These Steps are Linked By: Flow (TPS) Pull (TPS) Leveling (TPS) WEC 09/07 15
  • 16. Production The sad irony: GM now knows this and can design and run plants at the “Toyota” level. (The firm has done impressive work with “production” processes in the Office) GM’s inability to defend its employees, when dramatic productivity gains are needed at a time of steadily falling market share, has produced a political stalemate in making the lean leap. WEC 09/07 16
  • 17. Allied Issue: Production Location Mass production firms (including retailers) have tended to do some very simple thinking about location logic, particularly for suppliers: Evaluate the labor intensity of the process Relocate labor-intensive processes to lowest wage locations – Because of the steep wage gradients across the world, this has led to dramatic relocations in production in the past decade WEC 09/07 17
  • 18. Lean Location Logic Lean firms, including Toyota, have tended to take a different approach: They believe that it is desirable to make products in the market of sale as close to the customer as possible This permits the total time from order to cash to be minimized and also minimizes the need for forecasting The first step in location analysis, therefore, is to calculate the “lean cost” in the market of sale WEC 09/07 18
  • 19. Lean Location Logic If this cost is competitive, then locate or retain production in the market of sale Note: Toyota has recently concluded that lean production costs are competitive in Canada despite high Canadian wages If this cost is not competitive, evaluate lower-wage production sites using lean math WEC 09/07 19
  • 20. Lean Math Pick candidate locations Logical choices are: A. Lowest-wage point within the region of sale (i.e., Mexico for customers in the North American region) B. Lowest-wage point in the world (i.e., China, India, Vietnam, etc.) WEC 09/07 20
  • 21. Lean Math For each location (including the high-wage market- of-sale location) calculate: Factory costs (“lean” and “mass”) Supplied materials costs Logistics costs—inventories and expensive freight needed to meet a given level-of-service Remaindering costs of overstocks Quality costs WEC 09/07 21
  • 22. Lean Math Then add the costs of: Currency risk Country risk Company (supplier) risk WEC 09/07 22
  • 23. Conclusion of Lean Math The total cost of much low-wage production is higher than it appears Currency, country & company risks acknowledged but, in practice, are often written as zero The lowest-cost site for custom products & products with rapid technology changes is still in high-wage markets of sale provided lean methods are used WEC 09/07 23
  • 24. Conclusion of Lean Math The lowest-cost site for many commodity items is at the lowest-wage point within the region of sale. (Remember: Lean thinkers love trucks but don’t like planes and boats) When currency, country & company risks are real but incalculable, a portfolio of production locations and suppliers is critical to long-term success WEC 09/07 24
  • 25. Customer Management In Japan, Toyota plans ahead with its customer partners and makes most vehicles to order (pre-sold, pull) In the rest of the world, Toyota has adopted traditional “mass consumption” customer relations, with products made to forecast and dealers assigned the task of selling stock produced (push) WEC 09/07 25
  • 26. Customer Management Sales & service processes outside Japan are based on mass production methods Final element of the Lean Business System is Missing! This presents a major opportunity for manufacturers WEC 09/07 26
  • 27. Lean Solutions Today, most consumers want their problems solved more than they want products for the sake of having products WEC 09/07 27
  • 28. Lean Solutions Consumers have a few simple problems: Mobility Communication, information management, and entertainment Healthcare Shelter Financial management Personal logistics (to buy the bazillion items we need or want) WEC 09/07 28
  • 29. Lean Solutions By applying lean thinking to the consumption and provision process, it is possible to: Reduce customer time and hassle Increase level of service Reduce provider costs Create a win-win for customers and providers in service economies WEC 09/07 29
  • 30. Lean Solutions: Example Billy Bob’s Lean Car Repair Service By pre-diagnosing work, pre-ordering parts, separating jobs into value streams, and using standardized work and material supply: Increase first-time, on-time same day from 60 to 80% Reduce consumer and provider time expenditure by 65% WEC 09/07 30
  • 31. Lean Solutions: Example Reduces cost of typical service by 30% Increase demand (at constant prices) by building repeat business Capture life-of-the-vehicle repair revenue WEC 09/07 31
  • 32. Prospect for Local Industry Future of manufacturing can be answered by a question: What business system will be used Lean or mass? Toyota or GM? Can the final element of a lean business system to solve customer problems be implemented? WEC 09/07 32
  • 33. Prospect for Local Industry If companies stick with traditional mass methods: Drift of manufacturing abroad will continue until stopped by currency shifts or political barriers Standards of living, driven by mass production methods in service & manufacturing are likely to be stagnant or worse WEC 09/07 33
  • 34. Alternatively If companies embrace Lean business system Some drift of production of commodity items to Mexico and elsewhere is inevitable New products—with new technologies or custom order will emerge to offset losses Service activities can be transformed Standards of living and quality of life will rise no matter what the rest of the world does WEC 09/07 34
  • 35. Lean Best of all: It is a free choice! WEC 09/07 35