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Future of Learning Technology - 2015
7 Predictions

                            2015
FUNDAMENTAL
        DYNAMICS
Pace of change of the digital infrastructure

                   Digital Power=

Computing      Communication              Storage         Content


Moore’s Law      Fiber Law                Disk Law      Community
                                                           Law

Doubles ever    Doubles ever             Doubles ever
 18 months       9 months                 12 months            2n
                                                        Where ‘n’ is the
                                                         # of people




                     Reference Article
Pace of change of the digital infrastructure

                   Digital Power=

Computing      Communication              Storage         Content


Moore’s Law      Fiber Law                Disk Law      Community
                                                           Law

Doubles ever    Doubles ever             Doubles ever
 18 months       9 months                 12 months            2n
                                                        Where ‘n’ is the
                                                         # of people




                     Reference Article
Community Law gives
an astronomical
number as more & more
people join the community
COMPUTING
      POWER
Computing Power that we will be able to buy for $1000
in the years to come :

   CALCULATIONS PER SECOND PER $1,000




                                             YEAR

                                        Reference Article
CALCULATIONS PER SECOND PER $1,000


                                                         By around 2025, $1000
                                                         should let us buy equivalent
                                                         of one human brain




                                       YEAR

                                     Reference Article
CALCULATIONS PER SECOND PER $1,000


                                                         By around 2050, $1000 should
                                                         let us buy an equivalent of all
                                                         human brains




                                       YEAR

                                     Reference Article
5   TRENDS
       FROM LAST


        5    YEARS
1      Acceptance of LMS systems
    (rightly or wrongly) to be the central piece in
             Workplace Learning strategy
2



Establishment
of Flash as the
de-facto
development
platform for custom
eLearning creation allowing
use of streaming audio/ video
over the web
3



Evolution of authoring
tools like Articulate to
become better & easier to
work with reducing the cost of
development
4




      Increase in capacity of mobile
    phones and networks to make them
                potent devices for learning
5




Emergence of social media
(and revived focus on social
and informal learning)

                               Read more
7
TRENDS
    TO WATCH OUT FOR OVER

       THE NEXT
                    5       YEARS
1
Mobiles will become the platform
of choice for workplace learning delivery




                     Image Courtesy: http://www.flickr.com/photos/27048731@N03/4460542769/
1
Mobiles will become the platform
of choice for workplace learning delivery
Just-in-time information (videos,
documents, or mini courses) for
learners accessible through
corporate information systems




                           Image Courtesy: http://www.flickr.com/photos/27048731@N03/4460542769/
1
Mobiles will become the platform
of choice for workplace learning delivery




                                                  Collaboration with colleagues




                     Image Courtesy: http://www.flickr.com/photos/27048731@N03/4460542769/
1
 Mobiles will become the platform
 of choice for workplace learning delivery




Learner generated content using
mobiles devices


                          Image Courtesy: http://www.flickr.com/photos/27048731@N03/4460542769/
2   Performance Support will
           increase manifold
2                                   Performance Support will
                                             increase manifold

Lot of training will take the shape of performance
support
2              Performance Support will
                      increase manifold




    Learners will start accessing learning content just
     when they need it through their mobile phones
2                                 Performance Support will
                                           increase manifold




Augmented Reality would also play an important
role in sophisticated advanced performance
support systems
3   Tablets as support devices
3         Tablets as support devices

Ideal as field staff’s support device for trouble shooting
problems by referring to product manuals and
operational procedures
4   LMS will evolve to support (not manage) Formal
    + Informal + Social + Non-Formal learning components
4   LMS will evolve to support (not manage) Formal
    + Informal + Social + Non-Formal learning components


                       This will bring about a big shift in the way
                                             we see assessments
4         LMS will evolve to support (not manage) Formal
             + Informal + Social + Non-Formal learning components




The ability to measure informal learning
may be done through the system itself
4   LMS will evolve to support (not manage) Formal
    + Informal + Social + Non-Formal learning components




              Constant tracking of some metrics will help learning
                    designers monitor the ‘learning/performance
                               health’ of the system and its users
5   Games (and simulations) will become
      integral part of workplace learning
5                 Games (and simulations) will become
                      integral part of workplace learning



The culture of gaming is becoming pervasive and the cost
of game development is decreasing, thereby increasing
the acceptance of games for workplace learning
5   Games (and simulations) will become
      integral part of workplace learning




         As the focus of learning departments change to
                being facilitators rather than providers of
              training, engaging solutions like games will
                                            become crucial
6   Birth of new Authoring Tools
6        Birth of new Authoring Tools

There will be new authoring tools which allow
designers to make application scenarios easily and
quickly
6   Birth of new Authoring Tools




                 Tools like thinking worlds are great for quickly
               creating 3D based decision simulations (or even
                                              simple 3D games)
7   Emergence of Personal Learning Agents
7         Emergence of Personal Learning Agents

Intelligent personal learning software agents will
emerge as learning content mediators with the
emergence of Semantic Web
7   Emergence of Personal Learning Agents




        These agents, that run on a personal computing device and
     constantly monitor content streams on the internet to provide
            up-to-date information, will make a good performance
                            support and learning assistance system



                        Read more
Upside Learning Solutions Pvt. Ltd
         www.upsidelearning.com

      Email : info@upsidelearning.com




                                        Images courtesy of www.sxc.hu

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Future Of Learning Technology 2015

  • 1. Future of Learning Technology - 2015 7 Predictions 2015
  • 2. FUNDAMENTAL DYNAMICS
  • 3. Pace of change of the digital infrastructure Digital Power= Computing Communication Storage Content Moore’s Law Fiber Law Disk Law Community Law Doubles ever Doubles ever Doubles ever 18 months 9 months 12 months 2n Where ‘n’ is the # of people Reference Article
  • 4. Pace of change of the digital infrastructure Digital Power= Computing Communication Storage Content Moore’s Law Fiber Law Disk Law Community Law Doubles ever Doubles ever Doubles ever 18 months 9 months 12 months 2n Where ‘n’ is the # of people Reference Article
  • 5. Community Law gives an astronomical number as more & more people join the community
  • 6. COMPUTING POWER
  • 7. Computing Power that we will be able to buy for $1000 in the years to come : CALCULATIONS PER SECOND PER $1,000 YEAR Reference Article
  • 8. CALCULATIONS PER SECOND PER $1,000 By around 2025, $1000 should let us buy equivalent of one human brain YEAR Reference Article
  • 9. CALCULATIONS PER SECOND PER $1,000 By around 2050, $1000 should let us buy an equivalent of all human brains YEAR Reference Article
  • 10. 5 TRENDS FROM LAST 5 YEARS
  • 11. 1 Acceptance of LMS systems (rightly or wrongly) to be the central piece in Workplace Learning strategy
  • 12. 2 Establishment of Flash as the de-facto development platform for custom eLearning creation allowing use of streaming audio/ video over the web
  • 13. 3 Evolution of authoring tools like Articulate to become better & easier to work with reducing the cost of development
  • 14. 4 Increase in capacity of mobile phones and networks to make them potent devices for learning
  • 15. 5 Emergence of social media (and revived focus on social and informal learning) Read more
  • 16. 7 TRENDS TO WATCH OUT FOR OVER THE NEXT 5 YEARS
  • 17. 1 Mobiles will become the platform of choice for workplace learning delivery Image Courtesy: http://www.flickr.com/photos/27048731@N03/4460542769/
  • 18. 1 Mobiles will become the platform of choice for workplace learning delivery Just-in-time information (videos, documents, or mini courses) for learners accessible through corporate information systems Image Courtesy: http://www.flickr.com/photos/27048731@N03/4460542769/
  • 19. 1 Mobiles will become the platform of choice for workplace learning delivery Collaboration with colleagues Image Courtesy: http://www.flickr.com/photos/27048731@N03/4460542769/
  • 20. 1 Mobiles will become the platform of choice for workplace learning delivery Learner generated content using mobiles devices Image Courtesy: http://www.flickr.com/photos/27048731@N03/4460542769/
  • 21. 2 Performance Support will increase manifold
  • 22. 2 Performance Support will increase manifold Lot of training will take the shape of performance support
  • 23. 2 Performance Support will increase manifold Learners will start accessing learning content just when they need it through their mobile phones
  • 24. 2 Performance Support will increase manifold Augmented Reality would also play an important role in sophisticated advanced performance support systems
  • 25. 3 Tablets as support devices
  • 26. 3 Tablets as support devices Ideal as field staff’s support device for trouble shooting problems by referring to product manuals and operational procedures
  • 27. 4 LMS will evolve to support (not manage) Formal + Informal + Social + Non-Formal learning components
  • 28. 4 LMS will evolve to support (not manage) Formal + Informal + Social + Non-Formal learning components This will bring about a big shift in the way we see assessments
  • 29. 4 LMS will evolve to support (not manage) Formal + Informal + Social + Non-Formal learning components The ability to measure informal learning may be done through the system itself
  • 30. 4 LMS will evolve to support (not manage) Formal + Informal + Social + Non-Formal learning components Constant tracking of some metrics will help learning designers monitor the ‘learning/performance health’ of the system and its users
  • 31. 5 Games (and simulations) will become integral part of workplace learning
  • 32. 5 Games (and simulations) will become integral part of workplace learning The culture of gaming is becoming pervasive and the cost of game development is decreasing, thereby increasing the acceptance of games for workplace learning
  • 33. 5 Games (and simulations) will become integral part of workplace learning As the focus of learning departments change to being facilitators rather than providers of training, engaging solutions like games will become crucial
  • 34. 6 Birth of new Authoring Tools
  • 35. 6 Birth of new Authoring Tools There will be new authoring tools which allow designers to make application scenarios easily and quickly
  • 36. 6 Birth of new Authoring Tools Tools like thinking worlds are great for quickly creating 3D based decision simulations (or even simple 3D games)
  • 37. 7 Emergence of Personal Learning Agents
  • 38. 7 Emergence of Personal Learning Agents Intelligent personal learning software agents will emerge as learning content mediators with the emergence of Semantic Web
  • 39. 7 Emergence of Personal Learning Agents These agents, that run on a personal computing device and constantly monitor content streams on the internet to provide up-to-date information, will make a good performance support and learning assistance system Read more
  • 40. Upside Learning Solutions Pvt. Ltd www.upsidelearning.com Email : info@upsidelearning.com Images courtesy of www.sxc.hu