The document discusses plans for a Joint Spatial Plan and Joint Transport Study for the West of England region. It notes that the region needs to plan for at least 85,000 new homes and 95,000 new jobs by 2036. A 12-week public consultation is being launched to gather input on housing and employment land needs, and transport priorities and solutions. The consultation will help inform a draft Joint Spatial Plan and Joint Transport Study that will guide development and infrastructure investment across the region over the next 20 years.
West of England Joint Spatial Plan & Transport Study Consultation
1. West of England Joint Spatial Plan & Joint Transport Study
21st January 2016
Zoe Willcox – Service Director, Planning, Bristol City Council
Peter Mann – Service Director, Transport, Bristol City Council
2. What is the Joint Spatial Plan?
We’re leading a consultation
on the future of housing,
employment land and
transport provision
and we want you to help
shape the process
#WEBuildourfuture
3. West of England
Natural economic catchment area
Population of over one million
9 out of 10 people work and live here
Natural capital is a great asset
£25 billion economy
£10 billion a year in taxes to Treasury
Diverse economy
4. The Home of Knowledge, Innovation and Quality of Life
Highly competitive and growing economy
Clearly defined travel to work area with major new transport
investment being delivered
Strong academic profile and wide ranging skills base
Strong environmental credentials, unique heritage and
natural environment
Growing reputation for delivery
Clearly defined LEP an 4UAs
West of England Partnership – mature relationship
5. Housing Delivery in Crisis
Across England a quarter of adults under 35 are living
in their childhood bedroom
In the 1950’s an average house cost just over 4 times
annual salary by the 2008 property boom this had
reached 8 times
In 2005 69% of first mortgages did so without parental
assistance by 2011 down to 35%
By 2012, 70% of homes in England were built by large
house building firms
6. Why a Joint Spatial Plan is needed
Key components:
Need to coordinate the reviews of existing Local Plans and plan
forward for 2016 – 2036 for the whole of the West of England
Need to respond to new housing and employment growth
requirements
Need to prepare the plan on a statutory basis with a joint vision
and formal consultation, public and stakeholder engagement
and external examination
Need to support growth by improving local and strategic
infrastructure in a co-ordinated way
7. Why a Joint Spatial Plan is needed
• We need to provide at least 85,000 new and affordable
homes in the Wider Bristol Housing Market Area by 2036
• and accommodate 95,000 new jobs across the West of
England
8. • We need to maintain a high quality of life, and strike the
right balance between growth and our beautiful
countryside
Why a Joint Spatial Plan is needed
9. • The focus for new housing should be on previously
developed land. We aim to make best use of urban sites
and minimise need for developing green space.
Why a Joint Spatial Plan is needed
10. A Prospectus for Sustainable Growth
Joint Spatial Plan will be a Development Plan covering the whole
of the WoE 2016-2036.
Its Vision is proposed to be:
‘By 2036 the WoE will be one of Europe's fastest growing and most
prosperous sub regions with the gap between disadvantaged and
other communities closed and a rising quality of life for all. The rich
and diverse environmental character will be integral to health and
economic prosperity. Patterns of development and transport will
facilitate healthy and sustainable lifestyles. Existing and new
communities will be well integrated, attractive and desirable places
and supported by the necessary infrastructure. New development
will be designed to be resilient to, and reduce the impacts of
climate change.’
11. A Prospectus for Sustainable Growth
Joint Spatial Plan will:
set out overall quantum of growth, district apportionment,
strategic locations, strategic infrastructure (especially transport).
identify housing numbers – at least 85,000 needed of which
56,000 in pipeline. 29,000 shortfall.
identify employment land requirements
consider constraints and deliverability
13. Delivery challenges
Creating quality places for our expanding population 2012 – 2036, and
supporting our strong economic growth
Unlocking full potential of existing urban areas – the need for new
delivery mechanisms
Increasing housing delivery rates from low of 2012/13 – 2,228 units pa
to Wider Bristol HMA requirement of 4,250pa
Delivering affordable housing
historic rate 2006/14 – 794 units pa - 22.2% versus
new objectively assessed need – 1,455 units pa - 34.2%
and a growing affordability gap…
Balanced provision of employment land across the WoE
Identifying the locations for strategic growth whilst protecting the best
of our environment
16. A Prospectus for Sustainable Growth
Guiding principles:
Commitment to a plan-led approach to guide future
development and secure funding for essential infrastructure
Balance the need for growth and development with the need to
secure quality of life and a strong environmental future
Adopt a sequential approach to development using previously
developed land and making best use of our existing urban areas
Ensure our transport plans are coordinated with the JSP
What and How?? Spatial Scenarios…..x5
17.
18.
19.
20.
21. A more even spread….
A more even spread of development across the sub-region –
growth at Bristol, but also other towns and expanded settlements.
Using:
• a mix of different scale development solutions
• more bespoke solutions to address local objectives of infrastructure
deficits
ie a mix of urban extensions, town expansions or development at other
settlements
?different approaches in different authorities to reflect local aspirations?
22. New settlement….
Single new settlement or a limited number of expanded
settlements
• Potential to develop over time…
• No locations identified currently…
23. 12 week consultation
How should the West of England area change over the next 20
years?
How should growth be planned and managed?
Where should new homes, jobs and transport improvements be
located?
Where is it most important to minimise the impact of change?
25. Joint Transport Study
• We are preparing a Joint Transport Study in parallel with the
West of England’s Joint Spatial Plan
• We want to ask people about the key transport issues affecting
the area, and what sort of transport options and solutions we
should look at over the next 20 years.
26. Why a Joint Transport Study is needed
• The West of England authorities have a clear transport
strategy and major scheme programme up to 2021.
27. • JLTP3 then includes longer term future schemes & ideas
up to 2026
• But, network conditions will continue to come under
pressure, due to population and housing growth, and
growing demand to travel
• Timely need for strategic assessment of an overall
transport package – and build evidence base to support
future schemes and help secure more investment
• A `refresh’ of both existing schemes/spend scenarios
and more ambitious scenarios
Why a Joint Transport Study is needed
28. • Per capita share of national transport £
• Dispersed trip patterns
• Car dependency & congestion
• Network resilience
• Cycling
• Rail patronage
• Walking
• Bus patronage
What do you think?
How does our network compare to other
core city regions?
32. • Greater Bristol Bus Network £80m ✓
• Cycling City £22m ✓
• Weston Package £15m ✓
• Bath Package £27m
• Local Sustainable Transport Fund £40+m
• Better Bus Area 1 and 2 £6.5m
• Cycle Ambition Fund £11m
• MetroBus £200m
• And already planning investment from DfT devolved
funding - MetroWest rail plans – over £85m
Transport investment - Our reputation for
delivery since 2008…
34. Our Study Objectives
• Reduce Carbon Emissions
• Support economic growth
• Promote Accessibility
• Contribute to better safety,
health and security
• Improve quality of life and a
healthy, natural
environment
36. Generation of Initial Transport Options
Consider wide range of both existing proposals and new ideas
Grouped into `concepts’ to stimulate discussion and debate
Includes sustainable mobility plans, smarter choices, health,
safety, Quality of Life – and not constrained by ambition
Public
transport
corridors
More
MetroWest
More
MetroBus
Freight LSTF +
Working
better
together
Walking &
Cycling
Demand
Management
MetroWest
++
Strategic
corridors
Regional
Connectivity
Orbital
connectivity
Pinch points
38. Next Steps - Shortlisting and Formulation of
Packages and Recommended Options
Initial sifting and prioritisation to inform a `reference
case’ of preferred transport packages - addressing our
current challenges – feeding in views from consultation
Then build in the impacts of future growth - shortlisted
spatial scenarios for development
Must ensure recommended transport package is
robust and objective - ‘reasonable prospects’ test for
delivery, giving strategic direction
Form deliverable, shortlisted funding packages
39. JTS Programme
• Review findings of consultation - Feb 2016
• Modelling and appraisal of transport packages – by
early summer 2016
• 6 week consultation on potential components of
preferred package – Autumn 2016
• Final transport study report – Dec 2016
• Subsequent incorporation into JLTP update and
publication of Joint Spatial Plan
40. 12 week consultation
What do you think are the current challenges on our
transport network?
What do you think our objectives should be?
What types of interventions do you think should
happen over the next twenty years? How would you
prioritise these?
The joint spatial plan is set out to deliver key objectives around:
Housing and wellbeing
Economy
Transport and infrastructure
Environment
Joint VISION:
By 2036 the WoE will be one of Europe's fastest growing and most prosperous sub regions with the gap between disadvantaged and other communities closed and a rising quality of life for all. The rich and diverse environmental character will be integral to health and economic prosperity. Patterns of development and transport will facilitate healthy and sustainable lifestyles. Existing and new communities will be well integrated, attractive and desirable places and supported by the necessary infrastructure. New development will be designed to be resilient to, and reduce the impacts of climate change.
We have a track record of delivering significant infrastructure projects, including major improvements to the Metrowest Rail network and cycling and sustainable travel improvements in the West of England. We intend to build on this progress in future years.
Significant housing developments have been unlocked because of investment in infrastructure and hundreds of homes are being built as a result. These include Bath Riverside (BANES), Locking Parklands (Weston), Hanham Hall (South Gloucestershire) and Wapping Wharf (Bristol).
The West of England is growing and economically successful: the area is worth around £26bn a year to the UK economy, and around 88,000 new jobs are forecast to be created by 2036.
But this growth has to be accommodated if it is to be realised: estimates state that the area needs 85,000 new homes by 2036, 29,000 more than what’s already planned and predicted.
It is also estimated that around 29,000 affordable homes are needed by 2036, which is 12,300 more than is currently planned for the West of England over that period.
The quality of the West of England’s physical environment is hugely valued by its residents and puts the area on the map. Its vibrant and historic cities and towns, countryside and coastlines attract millions of visitors and make up a key part of our brand identity which brings in significant investment.
The Joint Spatial Plan recognises the important status the Green Belt has in national planning policy.
When complete, all four local authorities will use this approach to shape their local plans.
A big part of the plan will look at ways to deliver homes on previously developed – or brownfield - sites in urban areas around the West of England.
It provides a range of suggested ways where new homes and infrastructure can be provided and explains the proposed approach to making the best use of development in our urban areas.
This picture is of Wapping Wharf, a good example of regeneration on Bristol’s harbour side.
Several key listed buildings and the old jail gates will be retained in the new development, enhancing the City Docks conservation area, and in addition to 625 new homes.
NB – focussed on locations assumed to perform better in terms of access to sustainable travel choices and likely local and strategic congestion impacts….
Priority 1
Assumes shorter travel distances
Encouraging walking and cycling
Support for viable public transport solutions
Priority 2
Locations closer to central Bristol
Focus on s. Bristol bringing housing and future employment together
Priority 3
Development at locations which have good rail links to central area
Some points to consider in the consultation.
The West of England is enjoying unprecedented levels of transport investment: more than £500m is being spent to improve transport.
This consultation seeks to build on track record of success in attracting transport investment. This has come about because of the strength of joint working and our previous Local Transport Plans, underlining the importance of the latest study in building on this success.
Our current combination of MetroBus and MetroWest schemes, with clear links to our enterprise areas, presents a coherent network strategy – we need to build on this for our investment programme over the next 20 years
JLTP3 then includes longer term future schemes & ideas up to 2026
We also have wider set of individual schemes in the SEP
But, current network still requires further investment
Network conditions will continue to come under pressure, due to population and housing growth, and growing demand to travel
Timely need for strategic assessment of an overall transport package – evidence base to support future schemes and help secure more investment
A `refresh’ of both existing schemes/spend scenarios and more ambitious scenarios
WoE is a prosperous area – this is reflected in a level of car dependency and use and consequent congestion which is higher than other UK core city regions. 64% of our commuters travel to work by car.
Our network has key locations where an incident on the network can have far-reaching consequences
We have made real progress in increasing cycling and a relatively high 14% of our commuters walk to work
Rail patronage is broadly increasing at the national rate but our passenger rail network is not as comprehensive as some other cities – 2% of people commute by train in WoE
7% of us commute by bus. Whilst this is lower than other core cities, bus patronage is growing rapidly in WoE, bucking the national trend
Stress that this is sub region-wide and there are large variances between different towns and districts
Over last twenty years we have seen a much more dispersed pattern of trips emerging – which is very challenging to provide public transport alternatives for.
And this is an illustration of car dependency across the West of England – clearly shows a pattern of high rates of car use for residents who are less close to key centres
Congestion is well known in the W of E – combined with known network resilience issues and those identified through the first stage of this study - such as the M5 Avonmouth bridge – the impact of incidents on the highway network is far reaching
Our rate of delivery for major transport investment has grown rapidly – particularly with the commencement of infrastructure works on the three MetroBus schemes
So this consultation is firstly asking people for their views on the issues facing travellers in the WoE. Which issues do they feel are most important – are there others which we have missed?
We have also thought about what we think the study objectives should be, in particular the need to be consistent with our JLTP policy and national guidance.
Proposals should aim to reduce carbon and greenhouse gas emissions by providing better travel choices in more sustainable modes of transport such as public transport, walking and cycling.
Transport infrastructure should support economic growth and the West of England Local Enterprise Partnership’s Strategic Economic Plan.
Schemes should improve accessibility, making it easier for people to access jobs, education and services such as hospitals and shopping.
Transport investment should contribute to better safety, reduce emissions and be mindful of personal security.
Projects should aim to improve quality of life, for example reducing traffic volumes on residential roads and encouraging ‘mode shift’ to low-emission vehicles.
And the consultation asks people for their views on objectives and how important they consider them to be.
We have then grouped a range of suggestions into `concepts’ – to stimulate discussion and debate – and deliberately unconstrained at this stage.
As well as whether they have other schemes they think should be a priority for the West of England…
In terms of our next steps, we need to start work on sifting and prioritising schemes to form cohesive packages…feeding in the results of this first consultation and then taking account of the impacts of future development to be set out in the Joint Spatial Plan.
So this slide sets out our programme – by summer we will be incorporating a preferred transport package in the draft JSP for the next stage of consultation…