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Indian Organized Retail
                                                               Industry - A Perspective
                                                               on Staffing



       The Indian Retail Sector                                                           Political Environment
       The Indian retail sector was estimated to be worth                                 Favorable Regulatory and FDI Norms:
       USD 350 billion1 during 2007 and is expected to                                    Retail accounts for 10% of GDP and 7% of national
       grow at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR)                                     employment2, therefore the Government is expected
       of 6.8% to approximate USD 4271 billion by 2010.                                   to take measured steps in opening up the sector to
       To underscore, in 2007, almost 97% of the Indian                                   established corporate and international players. To
       retail market was dominated by traditional 'kirana'                                facilitate this change, the Government has indeed
       or 'dad and son shops'. The country's vast                                         continually ushered in policy changes to de-regulate
       geographic, cultural, and economic diversity has                                   the entry of foreign players in the organized retail
       inadvertently facilitated traditional retail over                                  market. As an illustration, in 1997, the Government
       centuries because of a strong need and preference                                  allowed 100% foreign direct investment (FDI) with
       for customized and personalized shopping                                           approval in Cash and Carry Operations. By 2006,
       requirements. Unlike some of the more developed                                    they permitted 100% FDI without GOI approval. In
       nations, the socio-economic profile of consumers in                                fact, in January 2006, FDI of up to 51% was
       India changes every 50-100 km leading to highly                                    permitted in retailing single-branded products.
       differentiated buying patterns, demand for products,
       price sensitivity, and responsiveness to promotion                                 Political Backlash:
       tools. As a result, changing the merchandise mix to                                Several political parties particularly the ones
       meet local demand, standardizing and organizing                                    espousing socialism have opposed the opening up
       retail operations across the country has its own set                               of the retail sector expressing grave reservations
       of challenges.                                                                     about its impact on the traditional retail shops. This
                                                                                          has resulted in targeted attacks on many modern
       The organized retail market in India has accounted                                 retail outlets in states like Uttar Pradesh, West
       for only a small percentage - approximated 3% in                                   Bengal and Kerala, prompting the state
       2007 - of the total domestic retail market. However,                               governments there to direct the supermarkets to
       the current domestic economic buoyancy, supported                                  cease their operations.
       by liberalized government policies and improved
       logistics and communications infrastructure has                                    Economic Environment
       spurred the organized retail sector to clock 25%+
       annual growth over the last few years. The current                                 Economic Buoyancy:
       trends indicate this sector will grow by 35-40%2 over                              The Indian economy has recorded an average of 8%
       the next 3-5 years accounting for 5% of total                                      GDP growth over the last three years. This
       domestic retail sales by 2010. To understand this                                  momentum is expected to continue at an average of
       expansion, WNS has looked at some of the drivers                                   7.6% through 2013 according to The Economist.
       of this growth using “PEST - Political / Economical /                              This overall economic buoyancy has resulted in
       Social / Technical” analysis.                                                      higher per capita disposable income, reflected in a
                                                                                          stronger Consumer Confidence Index4, prompting



1                                                               3                                               4
 Source: AT Kearney’s Annual Global Retail Development Index    Source: India's Growth: Past and Future by       Consumer Confidence Index: AC Neilson:
2
 Centre for International and Strategic Studies, July           Shankar Acharya




Copyright © WNS Global Services 2008                    www.wnsgs.com                                                                                     01
Indian Organized Retail Industry
                                                                                                                              - A Perspective on Staffing




       consumers to spend more. According to the the                                          Impact on Demand
       McKinsey Global Research Institute, aggregate                                          Industry sources believe though demand for big
       domestic consumption was expected to grow in real                                      ticket items like consumer durables and electronics
       terms from INR 17 trillion (USD 43 billion) in 2006 to                                 is expected to decline, demand for apparel and
       INR 34 trillion (USD 86 billion) and INR 70 trillion                                   lifestyle products will be less affected.
       (USD1.7 trillion) by 2015 and 20255, respectively.
       Higher consumer spending will have a direct bearing                                    Increased focus on promotions
       on the growth of the retail sector.                                                    With the increase commodity prices, consumers are
                                                                                              moving to stores that offer the best deal. To increase
       Inflation and Interest Rate                                                            footfalls in stores, retailers have sought to focus on
       More recently, the Indian economy is seeing                                            promotions and cross-merchandising. Some of the
       inflationary pressure of late, affecting the growth                                    more advanced players are also bypassing the
       prospects of the retail sector particularly the small                                  wholesalers by entering into agreements with
       chains. While some of the big Indian retailers are                                     suppliers directly. For example:
       viewing high inflation as short-term trend and are
       going ahead with the expansion plans, retailers in                                     Pantaloon
                                                                                              n             has entered into contracts with
       general are seen to be postponing their expansion                                         suppliers of oil and rice mills, so that they can
       plans in view of declining demand for certain                                             pass on the benefit of costs saving to its
       products and rising rentals.                                                              customers.
                                                                                              Spencer's
                                                                                              n             is focusing on cross-promotions, linking
       Declining Margins of Small Retailers:                                                     offers such as free sugar with large purchases of
       Margins of small retailers have been hit by rising                                        detergent.
       inflation.
                                                                                              Social/Demographic Environment
       “Vishal
       n          Megamart is facing declining margins to                                     Demography - Young, Educated, Urban, Middle-
          the extent of 5-7% compared to 5-25% on the                                         class Population with Higher Disposable
          basic food items.”                                                                  Income:
       “Margins
       n            of all retailers have been affected and                                   Indians today are far more educated, fashionable,
          that includes us as well”                                                           knowledgeable and brand conscious compared to
          - Pushpamitra Das, Chief Exceutive Officer                                          the past. This young population has catalyzed a
          (CEO), Wadhawan Food Retail - Spinach Stores                                        shopping revolution, especially in urban India where
       “If retailers
       n              keep on decreasing the prices, it may                                   a large populations aged between 20-34 years are
          lead to protests by street vendors.”                                                boosting retail consumption by an average 12% per
          - Sumantra Banerjee, Managing Director,                                             annum.6
          Spencer
                                                                                              Urban/Poor Divide:
                                                                                              Urbanization is expected to increase from 28.4% in
       To keep margins from declining further, these
                                                                                              2007 to 40.8% by 2030. Income growth will be
       retailers are bargaining harder with their suppliers
                                                                                              fastest in the urban areas where real average
       and focusing on achieving supply chain efficiencies.
                                                                                              household incomes will rise from INR 166,922 (USD
       Big retail stores are in a position to rein in food
                                                                                              4,234.4) in 2006 to INR 513,042 (USD13,014.8) by
       prices in the short run by virtue of the contracts they
                                                                                              2025, exhibiting an annual increase of 5.8%.
       have signed with the suppliers of essential
                                                                                              Increase in urbanization will also lead to growth in
       commodities. Manufacturers have resorted to
                                                                                              second and third tier cities.8
       reduce the weight of their SKUs instead of raising
       the product prices.
                                                                                              Technology/Logistics/Supply Chain/Human
       “Growth
       n           now looks quite slow and we are
                                                                                              Resource/Real Estate Environment
          considering whether we should go ahead with our                                     Spiraling Real Estate Costs:
          expansion plans as aggressively as before.                                          Real estate costs have increased appreciably
          Though our year-on-year profits are quite                                           across India and higher rentals will adversely impact
          impressive, I must say there has been quite a                                       the retail sectors. According to industry estimates,
          decline in margins in some segments”.                                               retail space requirements will reach 150 million to
          - R C Agrawal, Chairman and Managing Director,                                      160 million square feet9 by 2010.
          Vishal Retail,
5                                                           6                                                              8
McKinsey Global Research Institute: The Rise of Indian       The Shop: Hosted by Images Group in New Delhi, June 2006        McKinsey Global Research Institute: The Rise of Indian
                                                            7,8
Consumer Market                                               McKinsey Global Research Institute: The Rise of Indian       Consumer Market, Images Retail (Subscription)
                                                                                                                           9
Quote Sources: Economic Times, Mint                         Consumer Market                                                  Source: India Retail Forum, Handout (Subscription)

Copyright © WNS Global Services 2008                     www.wnsgs.com                                                                                                         02
Indian Organized Retail Industry
                                                                                                                 - A Perspective on Staffing




          Poor Logistics and Infrastructure Support:                         optimize their operations to achieve a higher
          The Indian food supply chain is believed to be                     selling area per employee than the current
          grossly inefficient. Inadequate logistics support like             average of 240 square feet per employee
          cold chain and storage facilities has led to shrinkage          With
                                                                          n         quality real estate becoming scarce and
          of wet produce. According to industry estimates,                   expensive, the average size of stores is likely to
          approximately INR 600 million (USD 15.20 million)10                diminish. Rather, sales growth will be propelled by
          of fresh produce is lost each year due to lack of                  an increase in average ticket size in part due to
          proper storage facilities. Small players tend to                   inflationary market conditions and an increase in
          outsource their logistics requirements to third party              store count.
          logistics (3PL) providers. Only a few large players
                                                                          It is estimated that front-end jobs, including
          have focused on developing in-house technology
          and system infrastructure to streamline supply chain
          activities and decrease distribution costs.                                 Indian Retail Sector – Hum Resource R
                                                                                                                an         equirem (2007-10)
                                                                                                                                  ent

                                                                                  600,000                    CAGR – 23.7%                                 570,000
          Technology in Retail Still Early Days:
                                                                                  500,000                                                 456,000
          Retail majors such as Reliance, Future Group and                        400,000                           364,000
          Infinity Retail have entered into contracts with IT                     300,000
                                                                                                 301,000

          companies like IBM, Cisco and SAP to develop                            200,000
          solutions for the management of supply chain                            100,000
          functions and inventory. Retailers are also investing                         0
          in radio frequency identification (RFID), CCTV and                                      2007               2008                  2009             2010

          antennas to reduce wet produce shrinkage and
          thereby gain supply chain efficiency. Though the use
          of technology in retail management is at a nascent              Source: Management Ventures, Inc.; WNS’ Research & Assumptions; AT Kearney’s Global Retail
                                                                          Development Index
          stage, it will be a key growth driver during the next
          few years.
                                                                                              Global Retail Sector – % of Total Em
                                                                                                                      age         ployment
          Talent Crunch:
                                                                                              Employment in Retail as a %age of Total Employm in 2006
                                                                                                                                             ent
          The sector is embattled with an acute shortage of
          trained professionals, from the level of customer                         France                                                                13.30%

          associates to that of visual merchandisers. This is                         USA                                                                   14.10%

          largely due to the limited number of institutes that                   Germany                                                                     14.20%

          train retail professionals, and the high attrition rate         United Kingdom                                                                            15.40%

          driven by plethora of economic opportunities. The
          situation is likely to improve in the near future with                      India                                   7.00%

          several new institutes starting training programs in                       China                               6.00%

          retail management.                                                        Russia                                                                                16.90%

                                                                                            0%      2%       4%       6%         8%       10%       12%   14%       16%      18%
                                                                                                                                  %age

          Employment in Indian Organized Retail
          Sector                                                          Source: National Statistics Bureau, Management Ventures, Inc.

          According to WNS research, the organized retail
          industry in India, which employed approximately                 customer service agents, store supervisors and
          300,000 people during 2007, is expected to grow at              managers, will account for 70-85% of the total
          a CAGR of 23.7% during the period 2007-2010 to                  human resource requirement in the retail industry.
          reach 570,000 by 2010. Notably, the human                       The figure will vary depending on the retail format
          resource requirement is expected to grow at a                   and the category of products sold. For instance, a
          slower pace than the estimated sales growth of                  discounter chain like Subhiksha is likely to have a
          35%+, owing to the following:                                   higher percentage of front-end employees than a
                                                                          large format store like Big Bazaar.
          As the
          n           industry consolidates, retailers find it
             difficult to operate in a labor intensive model
             banking on low wages. Instead, they will aim to



10
     Source: India Retail Forum, Handout (Subscription)




Copyright © WNS Global Services 2008                      www.wnsgs.com                                                                                                            03
Indian Organized Retail Industry
                                                                                                       - A Perspective on Staffing




    WNS Research indicates the Indian retail industry                                  Indian Retail Sector –JobsComposition
    employed some 225,000 customer service agents
                                                                450,000                                                                426,723
    during 2007, as compared to 15,600 managerial               400,000                                            339,766
    staff. This number is likely to increase to 426,700         350,000
                                                                                                270,856
                                                                300,000
    customer service agents and 29,500 managerial               250,000
                                                                            225,216

    staff by 2010.                                              200,000
                                                                150,000
                                                                100,000                                                   25,134              29,500
                                                                 50,000           15,586              20,476
                                                                      0
                                                                                2007                2008               2009                2010

                                                                                           Custom C / Sales Executives M
                                                                                                 er are                 anagerial


                                                              Source: Managem Ventures, Inc.; W S’ R
                                                                               ent             N esearch & Assumptions; ATKearney’s Global Retail
                                                              Development Index




               Level                        Role                          Key Skill Set                                      Hiring Gap

      Customer care and            Front end customer           High
                                                                n            energy levels                        20%+
      sales executives             handling and                 Good
                                                                n           communication
                                   customer care.                   skills, confidence and
                                                                    a positive attitude
                                                                Good
                                                                n        product
                                                                    knowledge
                                                                Ability
                                                                n         to convince
                                                                    and win customers


      Store Managers               Supervise day-to-day         Store
                                                                n         operations,                             Almost 50% - for right
                                   operations of a store,           human resources,                              type of store managers
                                   manage the staff,                finance, buying,
                                   maximise sales and               customer care,
                                   improve overall                  marketing, logistics,
                                   profits.                         information
                                                                    technology, and
                                                                    administration


      Buyers                       Anticipate customer          Good
                                                                n          planning skills,                       30% +
                                   buying patterns; buy             an analytical mindset
                                   goods for the store              plus familiarity with
                                   keeping in view                  the merchandise
                                   customer needs and               administration
                                   the profits to be had
                                   from the business.


      Retail Merchandisers         Ensure that products         Strong
                                                                n           analytical and                        Serious shortage 50%+
                                   appear in the right              numerical skills
                                   store at the right time,         coupled with good
                                   in right quantities and          inter-personal skills.
                                   within a specific            A post-graduate
                                                                n                    with
                                   budget; work closely             experience in retail is
                                   with the buying teams            preferred




Copyright © WNS Global Services 2008   www.wnsgs.com                                                                                                   04
Indian Organized Retail Industry
                                                                                      - A Perspective on Staffing




               Level                         Role                Key Skill Set                  Hiring Gap
      Visual                        Create window and         A course
                                                              n          in designing     Serious shortage 50%+
      Merchandisers                 interior displays in       and a creative mind
                                    shops and department       are essential
                                    stores; Attract more       requisites
                                    customers and
                                    maximise seasonal
                                    sales by decorating
                                    store fronts.


      Product development           Should be able to         A creative
                                                              n             mind, a       Serious shortage 50%+
                                    visualise and create       knack for developing
                                    merchandise, work          marketing plans,
                                    closely with designers     ability to plan
                                    and develop an end-        assortments, an eye
                                    product from a             for quality and an
                                    concept or a sketch.       understanding of the
                                                               finances involved


      Others                        Warehouse                                             People available from
                                    management, HR,                                       other sectors, but
                                    finance, corporate                                    learning from other
                                    customer service,                                     sectors cannot be easily
                                    operations                                            implemented in retail
                                    management, logistics




    Key Challenges
                                                               “In India,
                                                               n          most of the customers need buying
    Like any other high growth industry, retail is hard-
                                                                 assistance hence more trained staff per store”.
    pressed to source and retain the right talent. To
                                                                 - Nilesh Mazumdar, VP, Subhiksha
    illustrate the growing demand for talent, Reliance
    Retail is planning to increase its headcount from          “All over
                                                               n         the world, retail staffing tends to be very
    ~20,000 as of March, 2008 to 100,000 in the next 2           local.”
    to 3 years.                                                  - Ray Gaul, Director, MVI
                                                               “There
                                                               n        are some pockets like Mumbai, Delhi and
    Limits on Availability of Trainable Manpower                 Bangalore to hire people with retail domain
    Lack of “retail” knowledge:                                  knowledge in the area of supply chain
    There is an acute shortage of professionals with the         management, merchandising BUT there are not
    domain knowledge of high-end retail functions such           too many of them in India”.
    as merchandising, store management, supply chain.            - Nilesh Mazumdar, VP, Subhiksha
    Some companies have tried to bridge this gap by
    hiring expatriates at senior levels albeit at extremely
    high costs. Media reports suggest that this approach
    has not worked well in most cases as expatriates
    return to their countries or changed jobs before
    completing their term with the existing employer.




Copyright © WNS Global Services 2008   www.wnsgs.com                                                                   05
Indian Organized Retail Industry
                                                                                       - A Perspective on Staffing




    Lack of Awareness That Retail is a Prospective             Retention Issue
    Career Option for Semi-urban Youth:                        In an industry that is expected to grow at a CAGR of
    Retail is yet to resonate as a career option with the      35%+, and where supply of right talent is a
    semi- urban youth in India. Like the IT Enabled            bottleneck, attrition is bound to be a recurring
    Services (ITES) sector, retail requires graduates          problem. Attrition becomes more pronounced due
    with good communication skills. In most retail jobs,       high work pressure, lack of a defined career path,
    knowing the vernacular language is more important          and inadequate incentives and training.
    than knowledge of English. While technical
    qualifications and skills are not a required               Short term solutions like repackaging benefits to
    prerequisite, a degree from a good B-school would          employees, increasing frills without a robust long
    come in handy in the retail sector. Notably, due to        term plan to retain talent may alleviate the problems
    the lower pressure of a retail job on the aspirant,        in the short term but may come back to haunt the
    parents are seen to understand a retail job profile        industry in the long term.
    better than that of an ITES job.
                                                               In the course of our interviews with retail industry
    Availability of Training                                   HR professionals, we found that the majority of
                                                               people leave one retailer to join another. This is, at a
    Retail as a subject is new to many universities and
                                                               minimum, helps the industry to retain talent within its
    the standards of education in this field are still
                                                               precincts.
    evolving. At the same time, a large part of a retailer's
    HR requirement may not be fulfilled by the university
    curriculum. For instance, retail employees are             “Make
                                                               n       the exit of employees comfortable - after all
    expected to be presentable and confident while               many of them will be your future hires”
    facing customers and be able to handle high stress           - Ray Gaul, Director, MVI
    situations, especially festive or peak shopping
    seasons. Unlike telephonic or email interactions,
    there is a “human-connect” involved when servicing
                                                               Industry Response to Skill Gap
    retail customers. Retailers need “connectors and           Sourcing:
    communicators” - something that even a school              Given the huge deficit for each of the role, Retailers
    drop-out can be trained on.                                are trying innovative ways to recruit staff:
    To create standards, the Retailers Association of          Retailers
                                                               n           are tying up with NGOs and government
    India (RAI) has created professional retailing skills        bodies to recruit front-line staff. These NGOs run
    course at the entry level and is looking for training        training schools for college dropouts, to fill up
    partners. RAI conducted the Common Admission                 entry-level jobs in the services and retail sector.
    Retail Test (CART) on a national basis in January            For example, Spencer sources its front-end staff
    2008 for admission to the RAI's Postgraduate                 from NGO's such as Umeed in Ahmedabad.
    Program in Retail Management (PGPRM). The                  nhigh-end
                                                               For               positions, retailers are actively hiring
    course is offered in 15 institutes that RAI has tied up      experienced people from sectors such as FMCG.
    with. The objective of the test is to assess                 However, this strategy has seen mixed results as
                                                                 the skill set required is not easily replicable.
    the candidate's aptitude for retail management
    education, including quantitative aptitude, logical        Expats
                                                               n         are being hired for high-end retail
    reasoning and consumer comprehension.                        functions, such as, merchandising, store
                                                                 management, and supply chain.
    There are also a few specialised courses emerging          Retail
                                                               n        chains like Shopper's Stop and Fab India
    in the retail management sector. Some of these               are hiring women for 4-6 hour shifts.
    courses may be expensive as they cover subjects
    like store management, back-end operations, supply
    chain management, inventory management,
    customer service, and language training. The cost
    v/s immediate payoff makes them unattractive for
    many deserving candidates.




Copyright © WNS Global Services 2008   www.wnsgs.com                                                                        06
Indian Organized Retail Industry
                                                                                                            - A Perspective on Staffing




          Future
          n         Group has signed up with an HR                                   Retention:
             consulting firm to hire 3,000 female professionals                      To address the problem of rising attrition, retailers
             to work in shifts ranging from one hour to five                         are increasingly adopting employee-focused
             hours a day. The hiring process has already                             schemes such as sponsored educational programs,
             begun in Kolkata and would subsequently move to                         insurance and loyalty bonuses. They are also
             Mumbai, Kolhapur, Pune, Delhi, Bangalore,                               offering employees a career growth plan by tying up
             Hyderabad, Chennai, Cochin and Ahmedabad.12                             with professional institutes.
                                                                                     Pantaloon
                                                                                     n            Retail funds two-year retail-
          Training:                                                                    management courses at two colleges in Mumbai
          The retail chains are focusing on training their                             and will soon set up its own retail school.
          employees. While some firms have tied up with                              RPG
                                                                                     n       Retail has devised an incentive programme
          private training institutes to offer basic courses in                        wherein their staff is given bonuses not just based
          retail for frontline jobs, many have set up in-house                         on performance, but also by the total sales the
          training centers where employees are trained for                             particular store generates.
          better interaction with the customer. The training
          curriculum is modified periodically based upon the                         Trent
                                                                                     n        offers a coaching programme to its
          feedback received from customers.                                            employees wherein the company identifies star
                                                                                       employees in each store and designates them as
          Reliance
          n            Retail has entered into an agreement                            coaches responsible for the training of store staff.
             with IGNOU (Indira Gandhi National Open                                   The programme has resulted in each store having
             University) and YMCA (Young Men's Christian                               three coaches, a customer service coach, an IT
             Association) to offer a three to six month basic                          skills coach and a product knowledge coach.
             courses in retail. Post training, Reliance recruits
             them for frontline jobs.                                                Pantaloon
                                                                                     n             has tied up with Madurai Kamraj
                                                                                       University to develop a programme that allows
          Shoppers
          n              Stop has tied up City & Guilds, a British                     staff that do not have an undergraduate degree to
             awarding body offering learners qualifications, to                        earn a degree through distance-learning courses
             administer certification programmes in retail                             in retail management while working.
             selling for its employees.
                                                                                     Shoppers'
                                                                                     n            Stop is planning to tie up with business
          At RPG,
          n             the new staff is required to undergo                           schools like Symbiosis and Manipal Institute to
             training at their in-house center 'Pragati Centre for                     offer professional degrees to its frontline staff.
             Retail Excellence'. They have set up 13 such
             facilities across India, going up to 21 by end of
             2008.12




          The organized retail industry in India is expected to grow at a compounded annual growth rate of 35%+ between 2008 2010.
          This blistering growth comes along with its own set of challenges the trickiest of all being staffing. Entities experienced in Organized
          Retail know that the primary requirement for this industry is “hardworking, ordinary people who can team up to accomplish extraordinary
          things13”. These “ordinary people” need to be entrepreneurial, flexible, available “just in time”, affordable, and knowledgeable from a
          domain perspective - not an easy puzzle to solve by any means! The good news is that Indian Organized Retail Industry has a strong
          understanding of the challenge and is trying to work out a long term solution to staffing problems.




                                                        For more information, write to us at info@wnsgs.com


12
     Source: Mint, Economic Times, Pragati Centre for Retail Excellence


Copyright © WNS Global Services 2008                         www.wnsgs.com                                                                           07

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A take on Indian Organized Retail Industry from Outsourcing point of view

  • 1. Indian Organized Retail Industry - A Perspective on Staffing The Indian Retail Sector Political Environment The Indian retail sector was estimated to be worth Favorable Regulatory and FDI Norms: USD 350 billion1 during 2007 and is expected to Retail accounts for 10% of GDP and 7% of national grow at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) employment2, therefore the Government is expected of 6.8% to approximate USD 4271 billion by 2010. to take measured steps in opening up the sector to To underscore, in 2007, almost 97% of the Indian established corporate and international players. To retail market was dominated by traditional 'kirana' facilitate this change, the Government has indeed or 'dad and son shops'. The country's vast continually ushered in policy changes to de-regulate geographic, cultural, and economic diversity has the entry of foreign players in the organized retail inadvertently facilitated traditional retail over market. As an illustration, in 1997, the Government centuries because of a strong need and preference allowed 100% foreign direct investment (FDI) with for customized and personalized shopping approval in Cash and Carry Operations. By 2006, requirements. Unlike some of the more developed they permitted 100% FDI without GOI approval. In nations, the socio-economic profile of consumers in fact, in January 2006, FDI of up to 51% was India changes every 50-100 km leading to highly permitted in retailing single-branded products. differentiated buying patterns, demand for products, price sensitivity, and responsiveness to promotion Political Backlash: tools. As a result, changing the merchandise mix to Several political parties particularly the ones meet local demand, standardizing and organizing espousing socialism have opposed the opening up retail operations across the country has its own set of the retail sector expressing grave reservations of challenges. about its impact on the traditional retail shops. This has resulted in targeted attacks on many modern The organized retail market in India has accounted retail outlets in states like Uttar Pradesh, West for only a small percentage - approximated 3% in Bengal and Kerala, prompting the state 2007 - of the total domestic retail market. However, governments there to direct the supermarkets to the current domestic economic buoyancy, supported cease their operations. by liberalized government policies and improved logistics and communications infrastructure has Economic Environment spurred the organized retail sector to clock 25%+ annual growth over the last few years. The current Economic Buoyancy: trends indicate this sector will grow by 35-40%2 over The Indian economy has recorded an average of 8% the next 3-5 years accounting for 5% of total GDP growth over the last three years. This domestic retail sales by 2010. To understand this momentum is expected to continue at an average of expansion, WNS has looked at some of the drivers 7.6% through 2013 according to The Economist. of this growth using “PEST - Political / Economical / This overall economic buoyancy has resulted in Social / Technical” analysis. higher per capita disposable income, reflected in a stronger Consumer Confidence Index4, prompting 1 3 4 Source: AT Kearney’s Annual Global Retail Development Index Source: India's Growth: Past and Future by Consumer Confidence Index: AC Neilson: 2 Centre for International and Strategic Studies, July Shankar Acharya Copyright © WNS Global Services 2008 www.wnsgs.com 01
  • 2. Indian Organized Retail Industry - A Perspective on Staffing consumers to spend more. According to the the Impact on Demand McKinsey Global Research Institute, aggregate Industry sources believe though demand for big domestic consumption was expected to grow in real ticket items like consumer durables and electronics terms from INR 17 trillion (USD 43 billion) in 2006 to is expected to decline, demand for apparel and INR 34 trillion (USD 86 billion) and INR 70 trillion lifestyle products will be less affected. (USD1.7 trillion) by 2015 and 20255, respectively. Higher consumer spending will have a direct bearing Increased focus on promotions on the growth of the retail sector. With the increase commodity prices, consumers are moving to stores that offer the best deal. To increase Inflation and Interest Rate footfalls in stores, retailers have sought to focus on More recently, the Indian economy is seeing promotions and cross-merchandising. Some of the inflationary pressure of late, affecting the growth more advanced players are also bypassing the prospects of the retail sector particularly the small wholesalers by entering into agreements with chains. While some of the big Indian retailers are suppliers directly. For example: viewing high inflation as short-term trend and are going ahead with the expansion plans, retailers in Pantaloon n has entered into contracts with general are seen to be postponing their expansion suppliers of oil and rice mills, so that they can plans in view of declining demand for certain pass on the benefit of costs saving to its products and rising rentals. customers. Spencer's n is focusing on cross-promotions, linking Declining Margins of Small Retailers: offers such as free sugar with large purchases of Margins of small retailers have been hit by rising detergent. inflation. Social/Demographic Environment “Vishal n Megamart is facing declining margins to Demography - Young, Educated, Urban, Middle- the extent of 5-7% compared to 5-25% on the class Population with Higher Disposable basic food items.” Income: “Margins n of all retailers have been affected and Indians today are far more educated, fashionable, that includes us as well” knowledgeable and brand conscious compared to - Pushpamitra Das, Chief Exceutive Officer the past. This young population has catalyzed a (CEO), Wadhawan Food Retail - Spinach Stores shopping revolution, especially in urban India where “If retailers n keep on decreasing the prices, it may a large populations aged between 20-34 years are lead to protests by street vendors.” boosting retail consumption by an average 12% per - Sumantra Banerjee, Managing Director, annum.6 Spencer Urban/Poor Divide: Urbanization is expected to increase from 28.4% in To keep margins from declining further, these 2007 to 40.8% by 2030. Income growth will be retailers are bargaining harder with their suppliers fastest in the urban areas where real average and focusing on achieving supply chain efficiencies. household incomes will rise from INR 166,922 (USD Big retail stores are in a position to rein in food 4,234.4) in 2006 to INR 513,042 (USD13,014.8) by prices in the short run by virtue of the contracts they 2025, exhibiting an annual increase of 5.8%. have signed with the suppliers of essential Increase in urbanization will also lead to growth in commodities. Manufacturers have resorted to second and third tier cities.8 reduce the weight of their SKUs instead of raising the product prices. Technology/Logistics/Supply Chain/Human “Growth n now looks quite slow and we are Resource/Real Estate Environment considering whether we should go ahead with our Spiraling Real Estate Costs: expansion plans as aggressively as before. Real estate costs have increased appreciably Though our year-on-year profits are quite across India and higher rentals will adversely impact impressive, I must say there has been quite a the retail sectors. According to industry estimates, decline in margins in some segments”. retail space requirements will reach 150 million to - R C Agrawal, Chairman and Managing Director, 160 million square feet9 by 2010. Vishal Retail, 5 6 8 McKinsey Global Research Institute: The Rise of Indian The Shop: Hosted by Images Group in New Delhi, June 2006 McKinsey Global Research Institute: The Rise of Indian 7,8 Consumer Market McKinsey Global Research Institute: The Rise of Indian Consumer Market, Images Retail (Subscription) 9 Quote Sources: Economic Times, Mint Consumer Market Source: India Retail Forum, Handout (Subscription) Copyright © WNS Global Services 2008 www.wnsgs.com 02
  • 3. Indian Organized Retail Industry - A Perspective on Staffing Poor Logistics and Infrastructure Support: optimize their operations to achieve a higher The Indian food supply chain is believed to be selling area per employee than the current grossly inefficient. Inadequate logistics support like average of 240 square feet per employee cold chain and storage facilities has led to shrinkage With n quality real estate becoming scarce and of wet produce. According to industry estimates, expensive, the average size of stores is likely to approximately INR 600 million (USD 15.20 million)10 diminish. Rather, sales growth will be propelled by of fresh produce is lost each year due to lack of an increase in average ticket size in part due to proper storage facilities. Small players tend to inflationary market conditions and an increase in outsource their logistics requirements to third party store count. logistics (3PL) providers. Only a few large players It is estimated that front-end jobs, including have focused on developing in-house technology and system infrastructure to streamline supply chain activities and decrease distribution costs. Indian Retail Sector – Hum Resource R an equirem (2007-10) ent 600,000 CAGR – 23.7% 570,000 Technology in Retail Still Early Days: 500,000 456,000 Retail majors such as Reliance, Future Group and 400,000 364,000 Infinity Retail have entered into contracts with IT 300,000 301,000 companies like IBM, Cisco and SAP to develop 200,000 solutions for the management of supply chain 100,000 functions and inventory. Retailers are also investing 0 in radio frequency identification (RFID), CCTV and 2007 2008 2009 2010 antennas to reduce wet produce shrinkage and thereby gain supply chain efficiency. Though the use of technology in retail management is at a nascent Source: Management Ventures, Inc.; WNS’ Research & Assumptions; AT Kearney’s Global Retail Development Index stage, it will be a key growth driver during the next few years. Global Retail Sector – % of Total Em age ployment Talent Crunch: Employment in Retail as a %age of Total Employm in 2006 ent The sector is embattled with an acute shortage of trained professionals, from the level of customer France 13.30% associates to that of visual merchandisers. This is USA 14.10% largely due to the limited number of institutes that Germany 14.20% train retail professionals, and the high attrition rate United Kingdom 15.40% driven by plethora of economic opportunities. The situation is likely to improve in the near future with India 7.00% several new institutes starting training programs in China 6.00% retail management. Russia 16.90% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% %age Employment in Indian Organized Retail Sector Source: National Statistics Bureau, Management Ventures, Inc. According to WNS research, the organized retail industry in India, which employed approximately customer service agents, store supervisors and 300,000 people during 2007, is expected to grow at managers, will account for 70-85% of the total a CAGR of 23.7% during the period 2007-2010 to human resource requirement in the retail industry. reach 570,000 by 2010. Notably, the human The figure will vary depending on the retail format resource requirement is expected to grow at a and the category of products sold. For instance, a slower pace than the estimated sales growth of discounter chain like Subhiksha is likely to have a 35%+, owing to the following: higher percentage of front-end employees than a large format store like Big Bazaar. As the n industry consolidates, retailers find it difficult to operate in a labor intensive model banking on low wages. Instead, they will aim to 10 Source: India Retail Forum, Handout (Subscription) Copyright © WNS Global Services 2008 www.wnsgs.com 03
  • 4. Indian Organized Retail Industry - A Perspective on Staffing WNS Research indicates the Indian retail industry Indian Retail Sector –JobsComposition employed some 225,000 customer service agents 450,000 426,723 during 2007, as compared to 15,600 managerial 400,000 339,766 staff. This number is likely to increase to 426,700 350,000 270,856 300,000 customer service agents and 29,500 managerial 250,000 225,216 staff by 2010. 200,000 150,000 100,000 25,134 29,500 50,000 15,586 20,476 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 Custom C / Sales Executives M er are anagerial Source: Managem Ventures, Inc.; W S’ R ent N esearch & Assumptions; ATKearney’s Global Retail Development Index Level Role Key Skill Set Hiring Gap Customer care and Front end customer High n energy levels 20%+ sales executives handling and Good n communication customer care. skills, confidence and a positive attitude Good n product knowledge Ability n to convince and win customers Store Managers Supervise day-to-day Store n operations, Almost 50% - for right operations of a store, human resources, type of store managers manage the staff, finance, buying, maximise sales and customer care, improve overall marketing, logistics, profits. information technology, and administration Buyers Anticipate customer Good n planning skills, 30% + buying patterns; buy an analytical mindset goods for the store plus familiarity with keeping in view the merchandise customer needs and administration the profits to be had from the business. Retail Merchandisers Ensure that products Strong n analytical and Serious shortage 50%+ appear in the right numerical skills store at the right time, coupled with good in right quantities and inter-personal skills. within a specific A post-graduate n with budget; work closely experience in retail is with the buying teams preferred Copyright © WNS Global Services 2008 www.wnsgs.com 04
  • 5. Indian Organized Retail Industry - A Perspective on Staffing Level Role Key Skill Set Hiring Gap Visual Create window and A course n in designing Serious shortage 50%+ Merchandisers interior displays in and a creative mind shops and department are essential stores; Attract more requisites customers and maximise seasonal sales by decorating store fronts. Product development Should be able to A creative n mind, a Serious shortage 50%+ visualise and create knack for developing merchandise, work marketing plans, closely with designers ability to plan and develop an end- assortments, an eye product from a for quality and an concept or a sketch. understanding of the finances involved Others Warehouse People available from management, HR, other sectors, but finance, corporate learning from other customer service, sectors cannot be easily operations implemented in retail management, logistics Key Challenges “In India, n most of the customers need buying Like any other high growth industry, retail is hard- assistance hence more trained staff per store”. pressed to source and retain the right talent. To - Nilesh Mazumdar, VP, Subhiksha illustrate the growing demand for talent, Reliance Retail is planning to increase its headcount from “All over n the world, retail staffing tends to be very ~20,000 as of March, 2008 to 100,000 in the next 2 local.” to 3 years. - Ray Gaul, Director, MVI “There n are some pockets like Mumbai, Delhi and Limits on Availability of Trainable Manpower Bangalore to hire people with retail domain Lack of “retail” knowledge: knowledge in the area of supply chain There is an acute shortage of professionals with the management, merchandising BUT there are not domain knowledge of high-end retail functions such too many of them in India”. as merchandising, store management, supply chain. - Nilesh Mazumdar, VP, Subhiksha Some companies have tried to bridge this gap by hiring expatriates at senior levels albeit at extremely high costs. Media reports suggest that this approach has not worked well in most cases as expatriates return to their countries or changed jobs before completing their term with the existing employer. Copyright © WNS Global Services 2008 www.wnsgs.com 05
  • 6. Indian Organized Retail Industry - A Perspective on Staffing Lack of Awareness That Retail is a Prospective Retention Issue Career Option for Semi-urban Youth: In an industry that is expected to grow at a CAGR of Retail is yet to resonate as a career option with the 35%+, and where supply of right talent is a semi- urban youth in India. Like the IT Enabled bottleneck, attrition is bound to be a recurring Services (ITES) sector, retail requires graduates problem. Attrition becomes more pronounced due with good communication skills. In most retail jobs, high work pressure, lack of a defined career path, knowing the vernacular language is more important and inadequate incentives and training. than knowledge of English. While technical qualifications and skills are not a required Short term solutions like repackaging benefits to prerequisite, a degree from a good B-school would employees, increasing frills without a robust long come in handy in the retail sector. Notably, due to term plan to retain talent may alleviate the problems the lower pressure of a retail job on the aspirant, in the short term but may come back to haunt the parents are seen to understand a retail job profile industry in the long term. better than that of an ITES job. In the course of our interviews with retail industry Availability of Training HR professionals, we found that the majority of people leave one retailer to join another. This is, at a Retail as a subject is new to many universities and minimum, helps the industry to retain talent within its the standards of education in this field are still precincts. evolving. At the same time, a large part of a retailer's HR requirement may not be fulfilled by the university curriculum. For instance, retail employees are “Make n the exit of employees comfortable - after all expected to be presentable and confident while many of them will be your future hires” facing customers and be able to handle high stress - Ray Gaul, Director, MVI situations, especially festive or peak shopping seasons. Unlike telephonic or email interactions, there is a “human-connect” involved when servicing Industry Response to Skill Gap retail customers. Retailers need “connectors and Sourcing: communicators” - something that even a school Given the huge deficit for each of the role, Retailers drop-out can be trained on. are trying innovative ways to recruit staff: To create standards, the Retailers Association of Retailers n are tying up with NGOs and government India (RAI) has created professional retailing skills bodies to recruit front-line staff. These NGOs run course at the entry level and is looking for training training schools for college dropouts, to fill up partners. RAI conducted the Common Admission entry-level jobs in the services and retail sector. Retail Test (CART) on a national basis in January For example, Spencer sources its front-end staff 2008 for admission to the RAI's Postgraduate from NGO's such as Umeed in Ahmedabad. Program in Retail Management (PGPRM). The nhigh-end For positions, retailers are actively hiring course is offered in 15 institutes that RAI has tied up experienced people from sectors such as FMCG. with. The objective of the test is to assess However, this strategy has seen mixed results as the skill set required is not easily replicable. the candidate's aptitude for retail management education, including quantitative aptitude, logical Expats n are being hired for high-end retail reasoning and consumer comprehension. functions, such as, merchandising, store management, and supply chain. There are also a few specialised courses emerging Retail n chains like Shopper's Stop and Fab India in the retail management sector. Some of these are hiring women for 4-6 hour shifts. courses may be expensive as they cover subjects like store management, back-end operations, supply chain management, inventory management, customer service, and language training. The cost v/s immediate payoff makes them unattractive for many deserving candidates. Copyright © WNS Global Services 2008 www.wnsgs.com 06
  • 7. Indian Organized Retail Industry - A Perspective on Staffing Future n Group has signed up with an HR Retention: consulting firm to hire 3,000 female professionals To address the problem of rising attrition, retailers to work in shifts ranging from one hour to five are increasingly adopting employee-focused hours a day. The hiring process has already schemes such as sponsored educational programs, begun in Kolkata and would subsequently move to insurance and loyalty bonuses. They are also Mumbai, Kolhapur, Pune, Delhi, Bangalore, offering employees a career growth plan by tying up Hyderabad, Chennai, Cochin and Ahmedabad.12 with professional institutes. Pantaloon n Retail funds two-year retail- Training: management courses at two colleges in Mumbai The retail chains are focusing on training their and will soon set up its own retail school. employees. While some firms have tied up with RPG n Retail has devised an incentive programme private training institutes to offer basic courses in wherein their staff is given bonuses not just based retail for frontline jobs, many have set up in-house on performance, but also by the total sales the training centers where employees are trained for particular store generates. better interaction with the customer. The training curriculum is modified periodically based upon the Trent n offers a coaching programme to its feedback received from customers. employees wherein the company identifies star employees in each store and designates them as Reliance n Retail has entered into an agreement coaches responsible for the training of store staff. with IGNOU (Indira Gandhi National Open The programme has resulted in each store having University) and YMCA (Young Men's Christian three coaches, a customer service coach, an IT Association) to offer a three to six month basic skills coach and a product knowledge coach. courses in retail. Post training, Reliance recruits them for frontline jobs. Pantaloon n has tied up with Madurai Kamraj University to develop a programme that allows Shoppers n Stop has tied up City & Guilds, a British staff that do not have an undergraduate degree to awarding body offering learners qualifications, to earn a degree through distance-learning courses administer certification programmes in retail in retail management while working. selling for its employees. Shoppers' n Stop is planning to tie up with business At RPG, n the new staff is required to undergo schools like Symbiosis and Manipal Institute to training at their in-house center 'Pragati Centre for offer professional degrees to its frontline staff. Retail Excellence'. They have set up 13 such facilities across India, going up to 21 by end of 2008.12 The organized retail industry in India is expected to grow at a compounded annual growth rate of 35%+ between 2008 2010. This blistering growth comes along with its own set of challenges the trickiest of all being staffing. Entities experienced in Organized Retail know that the primary requirement for this industry is “hardworking, ordinary people who can team up to accomplish extraordinary things13”. These “ordinary people” need to be entrepreneurial, flexible, available “just in time”, affordable, and knowledgeable from a domain perspective - not an easy puzzle to solve by any means! The good news is that Indian Organized Retail Industry has a strong understanding of the challenge and is trying to work out a long term solution to staffing problems. For more information, write to us at info@wnsgs.com 12 Source: Mint, Economic Times, Pragati Centre for Retail Excellence Copyright © WNS Global Services 2008 www.wnsgs.com 07