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Microsoft’s
Atlas Institute




                  The Long Road to Conversion:
                  The Digital Purchase Funnel




                  By Andrew Martin, Microsoft’s Atlas Institute


                  Introduction
                  Most marketers are familiar with the concept of the “purchase funnel,” – and many
                  online marketers plan and execute their campaigns with it in mind. They buy some
                  sites for their ability to generate awareness and reach new customers, and others for
                  their ability to persuade consumers to take action and make a purchase. For example,
                  the messaging needed to draw a customer to your site from a search engine is vastly
                  different from the messaging intended to build top-of-mind awareness on a portal.
                  So knowing when and where consumers are exposed to advertising is invaluable to
                  any media plan attempting to leverage each consumers place in the funnel.

                  Today, the reality is that media channels overlap and multiple sites reach consumers
                  prior to conversion1. Yet, the advertising metrics and models developed for online
                  marketers largely ignore the question of when media exposure occurs. By measuring
                  the last ad seen or clicked by a converter, they focus entirely on a brief time span at
                  the bottom of the funnel. Evaluating only a single point of advertising contact over-
                  simplifies the delivery and performance of any media channel.

                  This Digital Marketing Insight aims to answer the question of exactly when and
                  where purchasers see online advertising, and what implications those discoveries
                  may have on the process of planning and optimizing media.




                  1
                      Strong, Esco. Combined Impact of Search and Display, 2006.
                                                                                                            01
Methodology & Data
                                              The data for this DMI comes from over seventeen million conversions that occurred
                                              between May and September of 2008. These conversions represent the results of
                                              advertising campaigns run by 250 advertisers across thousands of sites. Each advertiser
                                              tracked both search and display campaigns simultaneously, and only conversions from
                                                                                                                    Median Ad Delivery Time by
                                                                          revenue-producing (such as sales, lead, or registration)
                                                                          action tags were used. The study considered a full 90 days
                                 Median Total Ad Events by                                                         35
                                                                          of advertising history prior to each conversion.
                                  Total Days of History


                            90                                              18.5
                                                                                            Media Consumption Over Time
                                                                                                                                                                  28
                                                                                            Most advertisers made their first contact with converters
                            60                                       16.7
                                                                                            months prior to the conversion. Figure 1 showsDirectory
                                                                                                                                               the median
   Days Before Conversion




                                                                                                                                 Median Days Before Conversions
                                                                                            number of media touch points at different times in     Email
                            30                                13.8
                                                                                                                                               Weather
                                                                                            users’ conversion histories. Unsurprisingly, the amount
                                                                                                                                                  Video
                                                                                                                                      21     Entertainment
                                                                                            of advertising exposure is quite high in the last few days
                                                                                                                                                Food/Wine                    Sp
                            21                             12.3
                                                                                            before a conversion. Consumers amass a median of 5.5                             Te
                                                                                                                                                         ISP
                                                                                            ad events in the final 48 hours before conversion Shopping
                                                                                                                                                  alone.
                            14                      10.7
                                                                                            But this frequency amounts to less than a third of the total
                                                                                                                                                      Travel
                                                                                                                                      14               Jobs                 Tele
                             7                8.4
                                                                                            media events delivered over three months. Half of the total
                                                                                                                                                                            Fina
                                                                                            engagements with converters occurred between seven and
                             2          5.5                                                 sixty days prior to conversion, and after a full 90-day look
                                                                                            back, converters experienced a median of 18.5 events.
                                                                                                                                                                            Aut
                             1    2.2                                                                                                                              7
                                                            The large number of ad exposures consumed prior to
              0        5     10      15       20            purchase may come as a surprise to marketers who are
                     Median Touchpoints                     used to discussions of frequency that revolve around site
                                                                                                                                                                            Sea
                                                            or campaign metrics. Measuring only the last ad in a                                                            Affi
                                                                                                     0
                                                            conversion history conceals the true length of the rela-
Figure 1:
                              tionship an advertiser has with each consumer. When we focus our view on individual
Over half of advertising
exposure occurred             converters’ histories and apply the funnel concept to their ad consumption, we discover
more than a week              that their histories are much longer and richer than typically assumed. These results
prior to conversion.
                              confirm other research showing that advertising reaches consumers from multiple
                              advertising campaigns and across channels2.


                                                    The Purchase Funnel
                                                    With such a large number of ads being delivered before conversion, it’s common that
                                                    most converters are reached by an advertiser across multiple sites. Figure 2 lays out the
                                                    median time that different categories of publishers reach consumers prior to conver-
                                                    sion. Notably, affiliate networks and search engines often reach customers for the first
                                                    time just a few days or hours prior to conversion. But categories like Entertainment
                                                    and News tend to reach in-market consumers weeks or months before conversion, and
                                                    deliver their frequency over a longer period of time. The reason why these sites reach
                                                    consumers at such different times becomes clearer when we consider where they might

                                                    2
                                                     Fowler, Jed. The Impact of Overlap, 2006.
                                                                                                                                                                       02
Median Ad Delivery Time by Site Category
                                                                                                         logically reach a consumer who is traveling through
                                    35                                                                   the sales funnel.

                                                                                                         The interplay between three factors appears to
                                                                                                                                          Site Name        Median Days Prior
                                                                            Photo                                                                             to Conversion
                                                                                                         influence when a publisher is likely to reach a
                                                                                                         converter: site function, audience, and advertiser
                                    28                                                                                                            Hotwire                   3
                                                                           Real Estate                   mix. Search engines are an interesting example of
                                                                                                                                                 Priceline                  4
                                           Directory                                                     this phenomena. The information gathering and
                                                                                                                                                    Kayak                   6
                                                                        Music
   Median Days Before Conversions




                                               Email                                                     navigational functions of search draw Travelaudience
                                                                                                                                         Shermans an                       10
                                           Weather                                  News
                                               Video                                Lifestyle                                                 TripAdvisor
                                                                                                         of consumers with a high probability of making                    12
                                    21   Entertainment                              Social                                                      SideStep                   12
                                            Food/Wine                 Sports
                                                                                                         a purchase3. Consequently, search has attracted
                                                                                                                                                  Expedia                  17
                                                                      Technology                         a number of direct response and lead generating
                                                                                                                                              Travelocity                  17
                                                  ISP                               City Guide
                                             Shopping                               Games                advertisers pushing messagesTravel Ad Networkto get
                                                                                                                                         designed                          18
                                                                                    Kids
                                                 Travel                             Ad Network           consumers to “act now.”             Cruise Critic                 18
                                    14            Jobs              Telecom         Portal                                                       Orbitz                    22
                                                                    Finance                              Social media, on the other hand,Virtual Tourist
                                                                                                                                             often reaches                 25
                                                                                                         consumers much earlier. Users of social media visit
                                                                                                         those sites in order to connect and share experiences
                                                                    Auto                                 with friends and family over the web. Most of the
                                     7
                                                                                                         functionality provided by these sites does not lead
                                                                                                         directly to a commercial transaction. Rather,
                                                                                                         advertisers find these publishers valuable for their
                                                                    Search Engines
                                                                    Affiliate                             reach to a broader audience and ability to build
                                     0                                                                   awareness. As a result, social media sites tend to
                                                                                                         live high in their advertisers’ purchase funnels.

Figure 2:
Most publishers live                                      Implications For Campaign Measurement
in the middle and
upper funnel.                                             When a site reaches a user prior to conversion, it has serious implications for how we
                                                          measure and plan online campaigns. This is especially true when it comes to measuring
                                                          campaign ROI using the last-ad standard. Over half of the views or clicks that are
                                                          credited by the last-ad methodology occur within five days or less from the time of
                                                          conversion, even though only a fraction of the total ad consumption by converters
                                                          occurs during this period. But more importantly, as Figure 2 shows, only a few site
                                                          categories dominate the lower reaches of the purchase funnel. Assigning credit to the
                                                          last click or view disproportionally favors those few publishers at the expense of the
                                                          publishing majority, whose contributions are spread out over more time.

                                                          Other common industry practices can further obscure the contributions a publisher
                                                          made to a sale. Advertisers whose action tags use shorter view or click windows are
                                                          also devaluing many publishers, since publishers that appear in the final week prior to
                                                          conversion are often different from those appearing three or four weeks prior. These
                                                          sites are bought for different reasons than the publishers further down the funnel, such
                                                          as to generate awareness or reach a particular audience. Publishers higher in the funnel
                                                          are valuable sources of new prospects that are used to feed traffic to lower-funnel




                                                          Brooks, Nico. Paying for Navigational Search, 2007.
                                                          3

                                                                                                                                                                     03
channels. Yet, over three-fourths of advertisers’ primary actions use a view window of
                                   fourteen days or less. These shortened view windows undermine the intentions of a
                                   campaign by throwing out the contributions of any site that reached a converter more
                                   than two weeks prior to conversion, effectively dismissing the assistance of the middle
                                   and upper ranges of the funnel in driving conversions.


                                                         Differences Between Travel Publishers
        Site Name             Median Days Prior
                                 to Conversion           The combination of audience, function, and advertisers also
                  Hotwire                     3
                                                         creates variance between the time when publishers in the same
                 Priceline                    4          category are likely to reach a consumer. Large categories such as
                    Kayak                     6          Travel can contain publishers that inhabit all sections of the sales
       Shermans Travel                       10          funnel. Sites with audiences intent on purchasing travel in the near
               TripAdvisor                   12
                                                         future such as Priceline and Hotwire are productive for advertising
                 SideStep                    12
                  Expedia                    17
                                                         directed at soon-to-act consumers. Conversely, Virtual Tourist and
               Travelocity                   17          Cruise Critic focus on aspirational travel and so live higher up in
      Travel Ad Network                      18          the funnel. Traditional travel search sites like Expedia, Orbitz, and
             Cruise Critic                   18          Travelocity also live higher in the funnel than budget aggregators,
                    Orbitz                   22
                                                         since they attract a broader mix of advertisers. These sites carry
            Virtual Tourist                  25
                                                         advertising for non-travel related products in addition to the travel
                                                         mainstays like airlines and hotels, which dominate the budget
                                                         aggregators’ advertiser mixes.
Figure 3:
Selected travel                    What This Means For Advertisers
publishers inhabit
very different parts
                                   >	Take advantage of the rich data contained in conversion histories. Many different
of the funnel.
                                     ads from varied publishers are reaching converters prior to the sale. This makes the
                                     last-ad standard a poor proxy for measuring the value delivered by media in the
                                     purchase funnel. Consider using advanced ROI methods like Engagement Mapping
                                     to efficiently reward all publishers that deliver effective advertising within a user’s
                                     sales funnel.

                                   >	Expand the amount of history used for ROI calculations by opening up conversion
                                     windows. Short windows can penalize publishers with large reach that feed the sales
                                     funnel. If you are concerned about the increase of conversions that will result from
                                     longer windows, consider implementing a discount rate to adjust your conversion
                                     levels. This will result in much higher quality campaign performance data without
                                     changing the number of overall conversions counted.

                                   >	Remove silos and barriers to measurement across channels by having as much of
                                     your advertising centrally tracked as possible. Make sure impressions, not just clicks,
                                     are part of your conversion attribution reporting. Accurately measuring campaign
                                     performance across the funnel is not possible when different channels are tracked
                                     separately and reporting is unconsolidated.




                                                                                                                                 04
Microsoft’s
Atlas Institute




                  What This Means For Publishers
                  >	Consider where your site lives in each of your advertisers’ sales funnels. If you are not
                    sure, then suggest that they perform a Conversion Funnel analysis on the campaigns
                    you are running for them from the data they are collecting from their third-party ad
                    server. Compare this data with the methodology the advertiser is using to measure
                    campaign performance. If your site lives in the middle or upper reaches of their
                    purchase funnel and your advertisers are using a last-ad methodology, your site
                    may not be getting the credit that it deserves.

                  >	Find out how long a time period each advertiser is considering for their conversion
                    windows. If your site is reaching converters early in the sales process and your
                    advertisers are using short windows, ask them to lengthen their conversion windows
                    to properly capture these touch points. Even advanced ROI metrics like Engagement
                    Mapping won’t reflect the contributions of your site to the sales funnel if the
                    conversion window is only a few days in length.



                  About Microsoft’s Atlas Institute

                  Microsoft’s Atlas Institute publishes Digital Marketing Insights (DMIs), a series of
                  publications by digital marketing experts that help our customers improve their digital
                  marketing effectiveness. Many of these findings are also made available to the digital
                  marketing industry at large. Each DMI is designed to help marketers more successfully
                  build value with their customers, throughout the customer lifecycle: from awareness
                  to acquisition and from retention to growth. Microsoft’s Atlas Institute also provides
                  education in digital marketing to Atlas customers.



                  To view a full listing of our DMIs, please visit www.AtlasSolutions.com/insights.




                                                                                                                                     05
                  © 2009 Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved. Microsoft is a trademark of the Microsoft group of companies.
                  All other trademarks are property of their respective owners.

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The Long Road to Conversion

  • 1. Microsoft’s Atlas Institute The Long Road to Conversion: The Digital Purchase Funnel By Andrew Martin, Microsoft’s Atlas Institute Introduction Most marketers are familiar with the concept of the “purchase funnel,” – and many online marketers plan and execute their campaigns with it in mind. They buy some sites for their ability to generate awareness and reach new customers, and others for their ability to persuade consumers to take action and make a purchase. For example, the messaging needed to draw a customer to your site from a search engine is vastly different from the messaging intended to build top-of-mind awareness on a portal. So knowing when and where consumers are exposed to advertising is invaluable to any media plan attempting to leverage each consumers place in the funnel. Today, the reality is that media channels overlap and multiple sites reach consumers prior to conversion1. Yet, the advertising metrics and models developed for online marketers largely ignore the question of when media exposure occurs. By measuring the last ad seen or clicked by a converter, they focus entirely on a brief time span at the bottom of the funnel. Evaluating only a single point of advertising contact over- simplifies the delivery and performance of any media channel. This Digital Marketing Insight aims to answer the question of exactly when and where purchasers see online advertising, and what implications those discoveries may have on the process of planning and optimizing media. 1 Strong, Esco. Combined Impact of Search and Display, 2006. 01
  • 2. Methodology & Data The data for this DMI comes from over seventeen million conversions that occurred between May and September of 2008. These conversions represent the results of advertising campaigns run by 250 advertisers across thousands of sites. Each advertiser tracked both search and display campaigns simultaneously, and only conversions from Median Ad Delivery Time by revenue-producing (such as sales, lead, or registration) action tags were used. The study considered a full 90 days Median Total Ad Events by 35 of advertising history prior to each conversion. Total Days of History 90 18.5 Media Consumption Over Time 28 Most advertisers made their first contact with converters 60 16.7 months prior to the conversion. Figure 1 showsDirectory the median Days Before Conversion Median Days Before Conversions number of media touch points at different times in Email 30 13.8 Weather users’ conversion histories. Unsurprisingly, the amount Video 21 Entertainment of advertising exposure is quite high in the last few days Food/Wine Sp 21 12.3 before a conversion. Consumers amass a median of 5.5 Te ISP ad events in the final 48 hours before conversion Shopping alone. 14 10.7 But this frequency amounts to less than a third of the total Travel 14 Jobs Tele 7 8.4 media events delivered over three months. Half of the total Fina engagements with converters occurred between seven and 2 5.5 sixty days prior to conversion, and after a full 90-day look back, converters experienced a median of 18.5 events. Aut 1 2.2 7 The large number of ad exposures consumed prior to 0 5 10 15 20 purchase may come as a surprise to marketers who are Median Touchpoints used to discussions of frequency that revolve around site Sea or campaign metrics. Measuring only the last ad in a Affi 0 conversion history conceals the true length of the rela- Figure 1: tionship an advertiser has with each consumer. When we focus our view on individual Over half of advertising exposure occurred converters’ histories and apply the funnel concept to their ad consumption, we discover more than a week that their histories are much longer and richer than typically assumed. These results prior to conversion. confirm other research showing that advertising reaches consumers from multiple advertising campaigns and across channels2. The Purchase Funnel With such a large number of ads being delivered before conversion, it’s common that most converters are reached by an advertiser across multiple sites. Figure 2 lays out the median time that different categories of publishers reach consumers prior to conver- sion. Notably, affiliate networks and search engines often reach customers for the first time just a few days or hours prior to conversion. But categories like Entertainment and News tend to reach in-market consumers weeks or months before conversion, and deliver their frequency over a longer period of time. The reason why these sites reach consumers at such different times becomes clearer when we consider where they might 2 Fowler, Jed. The Impact of Overlap, 2006. 02
  • 3. Median Ad Delivery Time by Site Category logically reach a consumer who is traveling through 35 the sales funnel. The interplay between three factors appears to Site Name Median Days Prior Photo to Conversion influence when a publisher is likely to reach a converter: site function, audience, and advertiser 28 Hotwire 3 Real Estate mix. Search engines are an interesting example of Priceline 4 Directory this phenomena. The information gathering and Kayak 6 Music Median Days Before Conversions Email navigational functions of search draw Travelaudience Shermans an 10 Weather News Video Lifestyle TripAdvisor of consumers with a high probability of making 12 21 Entertainment Social SideStep 12 Food/Wine Sports a purchase3. Consequently, search has attracted Expedia 17 Technology a number of direct response and lead generating Travelocity 17 ISP City Guide Shopping Games advertisers pushing messagesTravel Ad Networkto get designed 18 Kids Travel Ad Network consumers to “act now.” Cruise Critic 18 14 Jobs Telecom Portal Orbitz 22 Finance Social media, on the other hand,Virtual Tourist often reaches 25 consumers much earlier. Users of social media visit those sites in order to connect and share experiences Auto with friends and family over the web. Most of the 7 functionality provided by these sites does not lead directly to a commercial transaction. Rather, advertisers find these publishers valuable for their Search Engines Affiliate reach to a broader audience and ability to build 0 awareness. As a result, social media sites tend to live high in their advertisers’ purchase funnels. Figure 2: Most publishers live Implications For Campaign Measurement in the middle and upper funnel. When a site reaches a user prior to conversion, it has serious implications for how we measure and plan online campaigns. This is especially true when it comes to measuring campaign ROI using the last-ad standard. Over half of the views or clicks that are credited by the last-ad methodology occur within five days or less from the time of conversion, even though only a fraction of the total ad consumption by converters occurs during this period. But more importantly, as Figure 2 shows, only a few site categories dominate the lower reaches of the purchase funnel. Assigning credit to the last click or view disproportionally favors those few publishers at the expense of the publishing majority, whose contributions are spread out over more time. Other common industry practices can further obscure the contributions a publisher made to a sale. Advertisers whose action tags use shorter view or click windows are also devaluing many publishers, since publishers that appear in the final week prior to conversion are often different from those appearing three or four weeks prior. These sites are bought for different reasons than the publishers further down the funnel, such as to generate awareness or reach a particular audience. Publishers higher in the funnel are valuable sources of new prospects that are used to feed traffic to lower-funnel Brooks, Nico. Paying for Navigational Search, 2007. 3 03
  • 4. channels. Yet, over three-fourths of advertisers’ primary actions use a view window of fourteen days or less. These shortened view windows undermine the intentions of a campaign by throwing out the contributions of any site that reached a converter more than two weeks prior to conversion, effectively dismissing the assistance of the middle and upper ranges of the funnel in driving conversions. Differences Between Travel Publishers Site Name Median Days Prior to Conversion The combination of audience, function, and advertisers also Hotwire 3 creates variance between the time when publishers in the same Priceline 4 category are likely to reach a consumer. Large categories such as Kayak 6 Travel can contain publishers that inhabit all sections of the sales Shermans Travel 10 funnel. Sites with audiences intent on purchasing travel in the near TripAdvisor 12 future such as Priceline and Hotwire are productive for advertising SideStep 12 Expedia 17 directed at soon-to-act consumers. Conversely, Virtual Tourist and Travelocity 17 Cruise Critic focus on aspirational travel and so live higher up in Travel Ad Network 18 the funnel. Traditional travel search sites like Expedia, Orbitz, and Cruise Critic 18 Travelocity also live higher in the funnel than budget aggregators, Orbitz 22 since they attract a broader mix of advertisers. These sites carry Virtual Tourist 25 advertising for non-travel related products in addition to the travel mainstays like airlines and hotels, which dominate the budget aggregators’ advertiser mixes. Figure 3: Selected travel What This Means For Advertisers publishers inhabit very different parts > Take advantage of the rich data contained in conversion histories. Many different of the funnel. ads from varied publishers are reaching converters prior to the sale. This makes the last-ad standard a poor proxy for measuring the value delivered by media in the purchase funnel. Consider using advanced ROI methods like Engagement Mapping to efficiently reward all publishers that deliver effective advertising within a user’s sales funnel. > Expand the amount of history used for ROI calculations by opening up conversion windows. Short windows can penalize publishers with large reach that feed the sales funnel. If you are concerned about the increase of conversions that will result from longer windows, consider implementing a discount rate to adjust your conversion levels. This will result in much higher quality campaign performance data without changing the number of overall conversions counted. > Remove silos and barriers to measurement across channels by having as much of your advertising centrally tracked as possible. Make sure impressions, not just clicks, are part of your conversion attribution reporting. Accurately measuring campaign performance across the funnel is not possible when different channels are tracked separately and reporting is unconsolidated. 04
  • 5. Microsoft’s Atlas Institute What This Means For Publishers > Consider where your site lives in each of your advertisers’ sales funnels. If you are not sure, then suggest that they perform a Conversion Funnel analysis on the campaigns you are running for them from the data they are collecting from their third-party ad server. Compare this data with the methodology the advertiser is using to measure campaign performance. If your site lives in the middle or upper reaches of their purchase funnel and your advertisers are using a last-ad methodology, your site may not be getting the credit that it deserves. > Find out how long a time period each advertiser is considering for their conversion windows. If your site is reaching converters early in the sales process and your advertisers are using short windows, ask them to lengthen their conversion windows to properly capture these touch points. Even advanced ROI metrics like Engagement Mapping won’t reflect the contributions of your site to the sales funnel if the conversion window is only a few days in length. About Microsoft’s Atlas Institute Microsoft’s Atlas Institute publishes Digital Marketing Insights (DMIs), a series of publications by digital marketing experts that help our customers improve their digital marketing effectiveness. Many of these findings are also made available to the digital marketing industry at large. Each DMI is designed to help marketers more successfully build value with their customers, throughout the customer lifecycle: from awareness to acquisition and from retention to growth. Microsoft’s Atlas Institute also provides education in digital marketing to Atlas customers. To view a full listing of our DMIs, please visit www.AtlasSolutions.com/insights. 05 © 2009 Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved. Microsoft is a trademark of the Microsoft group of companies. All other trademarks are property of their respective owners.