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- If using a headset, allow system
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- You should hear a few beeps
when your audio is activated.
- You will hear presenters. We
will not hear you.
GETTING THE LEAD OUT:
How to improve the American
Automotive Supply Chain by 1000%
Featuring
DAVE TATMAN
Executive Director of the Kentucky
Automotive Industry Association
Monday, July 18, 2016 | 1 PM EST
RYAN KELLY
- Consultant to high-tech manufacturing firms
- Background in architecture, fabrication and community development
- Associate Vice President for Advanced Manufacturing for WKU
- 34 years with General Motors at 13 different locations - 3 countries, 2 continents
- Plant Manager for the Corvette Assembly Facility in Bowling Green
Director of Business Operations at MakeTime
DAVE TATMAN
Executive Director of the Kentucky Automotive
Industry Association
An Industry in
Flux
The Path
to Now
Current
Challenges
Lean’s
Limitations
1000%:
Futile or
Inevitable?
The
Technology’s
Coming
(The Technology’s
Here)
Q&A
WHAT WE’LL COVER
An
Industry
in Flux
Automotive Supply Chain Innovation Since 1980
HOW HAS THE
INDUSTRY CHANGED?
An Industry in Flux
Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s
Coming
Q&A1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
The Path to Now
Information technology
changed the pace
Dramatic improvements
in lead time / product
development
Testing / analysis tools
LEAN
Manufacturing Principles
Is a single,
common
manufacturing
system
Has integrated /
interdependent
principles
Focuses on
eliminating waste
Builds values Supports the
operator
Scales to fit the
needs and size of
the organization
An Effective Lean Manufacturing System:
An Industry in Flux
Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s
Coming
Q&A1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
The Path to Now
Bottom Line: Improvements in Cost, Quality and Time to Market
Got organized
Paid attention to
process
Measured, and
continually
improved
Work became:
better, faster,
safer
Halo effect:
pride
An Industry in Flux
Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s
Coming
Q&A1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
The Path to Now
LEAN DROVE WASTE
OUT OF AUTOMAKING
MAINTAINORGANIZECLEARCLEAN
An Industry in Flux
Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s
Coming
Q&A1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
The Path to Now
The Path
to Now
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s
Coming
Q&A1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
The Path to Now
DID AUTO
MANUFACTURERS
DREAM OF
ELECTRIC CARS?
The
PAST
Paper-Based
Documentation
Manual Data Collection
Improvement was
Consistent but Slow
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s
Coming
Q&A1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
The Path to Now
IS THE TECHNOLOGY
HERE TO REALIZE THE
FULL POTENTIAL
OF LEAN?
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s
Coming
Q&A1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
The Path to Now
The
FUTURE
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s
Coming
Q&A1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
The Path to Now
Current
Challenges
BACK TO REALITY:
Current Challenges
Today’s Marketplace /
Manufacturing Challenges
Shorter product
life cycles
Shorter vehicle
development
process
Greater reliance
on math
modeling
Increasing
regulatory
requirements /
design
challenges
Global economy
requirements
impact design
An Industry in Flux
Current Challenges
Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s
Coming
Q&A1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
The Path to Now
Focus on order
to delivery
(not building for the
sake of building)
Shorter delivery
windows
Smaller supply
base with more
parts per
supplier
Greater reliance
on suppliers for
sub-assembly
work
Lean facilities
and manpower
Non-traditional
competitors
entering markets
An Industry in Flux
Current Challenges
Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s
Coming
Q&A1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
The Path to Now
BACK TO REALITY:
Current Challenges
Today’s Marketplace /
Manufacturing Challenges
Lean’s
Limitations
What can still get better?
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges
Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s
Coming
Q&A1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
The Path to Now
Case 1:
DELUSIONAL
Case 2:
WHAT ACTUALLY HAPPENS
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges
Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s
Coming
Q&A1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
The Path to Now
1000%:
Futile or
Inevitable
The
GREAT ORMOND STREET HOSPITAL
Children were dying after
life-saving surgeries
because of issues in
transport to ICU.
Only incremental
improvement trying to do
better within the same
system.
Went outside their industry.
Where? Formula 1 Racing.
Studied Ferrari’s Formula 1
pit crew in action and
copied what they did.
Massive transformation of
process, practice, culture.
PROBLEM: SOLUTION:
Dramatic improvement to children’s well-being
and over 60% drop in mortality rate.
RESULT:
To get to 1000% you have to be dramatic
and try something you’ve never tried before.
The culture has to change.
TAKEAWAY:
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s
Coming
Q&A
1000%: Futile or
InevitableThe Path to Now
LESSONS
FROM THE
PIT CREW
Forecast all possible
scenarios and practice them
Choreograph the changeover
Use a dedicated overseer
(a “lollipop man”)
Work in total silence
1
2
3
4
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s
Coming
Q&A
1000%: Futile or
InevitableThe Path to Now
Where can
manufacturing
look to meet today’
s challenges?
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s
Coming
Q&A
1000%: Futile or
InevitableThe Path to Now
READY OR
NOT
The
ACCELERATING PACE OF CHANGE
Agricultural
Revolution
Industrial
Revolution
Light Bulb Moon Landing
World
Wide Web
Human Genome
Sequenced
8000 120 90 22 9Years
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations
The Technology’s
Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
1000%
BETTER
Communication:
mail to email to
Skype
Logistics:
The Pony
Express to
Amazon
Quality:
Noguchi methods
Computation:
Moore’s Law in
action
Huge Innovations in
a short time span: Rocketry:
SpaceX
1000% cheaper
Self-driving
cars
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s
Coming
Q&A
1000%: Futile or
InevitableThe Path to Now
Traveling only 7 miles on
a closed 150-mile track,
Sandstorm won the 2004
Darpa Grand Challenge
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s
Coming
Q&A
1000%: Futile or
InevitableThe Path to Now
Today,
OVER 1,000,000
autonomous miles have been
driven between Google and Tesla
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s
Coming
Q&A
1000%: Futile or
InevitableThe Path to Now
The
Technolog
y is
Coming
Human Beings and Connected Devices (Millions)
Source: Cisco Systems, LM Ericsson, Raymond James research
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations
The Technology’s
Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations
The Technology’s
Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
IoT The cloud
Improvements in
communication
Improvements in
design / simulation
Digital
manufacturing
Robotics
CONVERGENCE: The source of exponential innovation
THIS ALL GOES TO IMPROVE QUALITY and REDUCE COSTS.
AUGMENTED
REALITY
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations
The Technology’s
Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
THE CLOUD:
All your info, anytime, anywhere, on
any device
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations
The Technology’s
Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
HYBRID DIGITAL
DOCUMENTATION
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations
The Technology’s
Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
FINITE
ELEMENT
ANALYSIS
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations
The Technology’s
Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
ROBOTICS AND
AUTOMATION
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations
The Technology’s
Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
SENSORS
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations
The Technology’s
Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
CONNECTED FACTORY
- Shop floor systems all connected
- No more manual systems and materials
CONNECTED SUPPLY CHAIN
- Constant data flow
between plant and sub-
contractors
CONNECTED PRODUCT
LIFESTYLE
IMPROVEMENTS IN
QUALITY
WHAT WOULD A 1000% IMPROVED SUPPLY CHAIN LOOK LIKE?
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations
The Technology’s
Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations
The Technology’s
Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
21st Century
Product
Lifecycle
MAKETIME
“Localized
Production”
Real Time
Capacity
Visibility
Distributed
(decentralized,
agile supply chain)
vs.
Hierarchical
Matching
Pull vs. Push
Based
Production
Integrates
Directly with
CAD
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations
The Technology’s
Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations
The Technology’s
Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or
Inevitable
The tech to achieve 1000% is converging.
IS THE CULTURE OF
MANUFACTURING
READY?
An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations
The Technology’s
Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or
Inevitable

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Getting the Lead Out: How to Improve the American Automotive Supply Chain by 1000%

  • 1. HOW TO JOIN AUDIO - If using a headset, allow system to access your speakers. - You should hear a few beeps when your audio is activated. - You will hear presenters. We will not hear you. GETTING THE LEAD OUT: How to improve the American Automotive Supply Chain by 1000% Featuring DAVE TATMAN Executive Director of the Kentucky Automotive Industry Association Monday, July 18, 2016 | 1 PM EST
  • 2. RYAN KELLY - Consultant to high-tech manufacturing firms - Background in architecture, fabrication and community development - Associate Vice President for Advanced Manufacturing for WKU - 34 years with General Motors at 13 different locations - 3 countries, 2 continents - Plant Manager for the Corvette Assembly Facility in Bowling Green Director of Business Operations at MakeTime DAVE TATMAN Executive Director of the Kentucky Automotive Industry Association
  • 3. An Industry in Flux The Path to Now Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations 1000%: Futile or Inevitable? The Technology’s Coming (The Technology’s Here) Q&A WHAT WE’LL COVER
  • 5. Automotive Supply Chain Innovation Since 1980 HOW HAS THE INDUSTRY CHANGED? An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&A1000%: Futile or Inevitable The Path to Now Information technology changed the pace Dramatic improvements in lead time / product development Testing / analysis tools
  • 6. LEAN Manufacturing Principles Is a single, common manufacturing system Has integrated / interdependent principles Focuses on eliminating waste Builds values Supports the operator Scales to fit the needs and size of the organization An Effective Lean Manufacturing System: An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&A1000%: Futile or Inevitable The Path to Now
  • 7. Bottom Line: Improvements in Cost, Quality and Time to Market Got organized Paid attention to process Measured, and continually improved Work became: better, faster, safer Halo effect: pride An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&A1000%: Futile or Inevitable The Path to Now LEAN DROVE WASTE OUT OF AUTOMAKING
  • 8. MAINTAINORGANIZECLEARCLEAN An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&A1000%: Futile or Inevitable The Path to Now
  • 10. An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&A1000%: Futile or Inevitable The Path to Now DID AUTO MANUFACTURERS DREAM OF ELECTRIC CARS?
  • 11. The PAST Paper-Based Documentation Manual Data Collection Improvement was Consistent but Slow An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&A1000%: Futile or Inevitable The Path to Now
  • 12. IS THE TECHNOLOGY HERE TO REALIZE THE FULL POTENTIAL OF LEAN? An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&A1000%: Futile or Inevitable The Path to Now
  • 13. The FUTURE An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&A1000%: Futile or Inevitable The Path to Now
  • 15. BACK TO REALITY: Current Challenges Today’s Marketplace / Manufacturing Challenges Shorter product life cycles Shorter vehicle development process Greater reliance on math modeling Increasing regulatory requirements / design challenges Global economy requirements impact design An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&A1000%: Futile or Inevitable The Path to Now
  • 16. Focus on order to delivery (not building for the sake of building) Shorter delivery windows Smaller supply base with more parts per supplier Greater reliance on suppliers for sub-assembly work Lean facilities and manpower Non-traditional competitors entering markets An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&A1000%: Futile or Inevitable The Path to Now BACK TO REALITY: Current Challenges Today’s Marketplace / Manufacturing Challenges
  • 18. What can still get better? An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&A1000%: Futile or Inevitable The Path to Now
  • 19. Case 1: DELUSIONAL Case 2: WHAT ACTUALLY HAPPENS An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&A1000%: Futile or Inevitable The Path to Now
  • 21. The GREAT ORMOND STREET HOSPITAL Children were dying after life-saving surgeries because of issues in transport to ICU. Only incremental improvement trying to do better within the same system. Went outside their industry. Where? Formula 1 Racing. Studied Ferrari’s Formula 1 pit crew in action and copied what they did. Massive transformation of process, practice, culture. PROBLEM: SOLUTION: Dramatic improvement to children’s well-being and over 60% drop in mortality rate. RESULT: To get to 1000% you have to be dramatic and try something you’ve never tried before. The culture has to change. TAKEAWAY: An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&A 1000%: Futile or InevitableThe Path to Now
  • 22. LESSONS FROM THE PIT CREW Forecast all possible scenarios and practice them Choreograph the changeover Use a dedicated overseer (a “lollipop man”) Work in total silence 1 2 3 4 An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&A 1000%: Futile or InevitableThe Path to Now
  • 23. Where can manufacturing look to meet today’ s challenges? An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&A 1000%: Futile or InevitableThe Path to Now
  • 25. The ACCELERATING PACE OF CHANGE Agricultural Revolution Industrial Revolution Light Bulb Moon Landing World Wide Web Human Genome Sequenced 8000 120 90 22 9Years An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or Inevitable
  • 26. 1000% BETTER Communication: mail to email to Skype Logistics: The Pony Express to Amazon Quality: Noguchi methods Computation: Moore’s Law in action Huge Innovations in a short time span: Rocketry: SpaceX 1000% cheaper Self-driving cars An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&A 1000%: Futile or InevitableThe Path to Now
  • 27. Traveling only 7 miles on a closed 150-mile track, Sandstorm won the 2004 Darpa Grand Challenge An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&A 1000%: Futile or InevitableThe Path to Now
  • 28. Today, OVER 1,000,000 autonomous miles have been driven between Google and Tesla An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&A 1000%: Futile or InevitableThe Path to Now
  • 30. Human Beings and Connected Devices (Millions) Source: Cisco Systems, LM Ericsson, Raymond James research An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or Inevitable
  • 31. An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or Inevitable IoT The cloud Improvements in communication Improvements in design / simulation Digital manufacturing Robotics CONVERGENCE: The source of exponential innovation THIS ALL GOES TO IMPROVE QUALITY and REDUCE COSTS.
  • 32. AUGMENTED REALITY An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or Inevitable
  • 33. THE CLOUD: All your info, anytime, anywhere, on any device An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or Inevitable
  • 34. HYBRID DIGITAL DOCUMENTATION An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or Inevitable
  • 35. FINITE ELEMENT ANALYSIS An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or Inevitable
  • 36. ROBOTICS AND AUTOMATION An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or Inevitable
  • 37. SENSORS An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or Inevitable
  • 38. CONNECTED FACTORY - Shop floor systems all connected - No more manual systems and materials CONNECTED SUPPLY CHAIN - Constant data flow between plant and sub- contractors CONNECTED PRODUCT LIFESTYLE IMPROVEMENTS IN QUALITY WHAT WOULD A 1000% IMPROVED SUPPLY CHAIN LOOK LIKE? An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or Inevitable
  • 39. An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or Inevitable 21st Century Product Lifecycle
  • 40. MAKETIME “Localized Production” Real Time Capacity Visibility Distributed (decentralized, agile supply chain) vs. Hierarchical Matching Pull vs. Push Based Production Integrates Directly with CAD An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or Inevitable
  • 41. An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or Inevitable
  • 42. The tech to achieve 1000% is converging. IS THE CULTURE OF MANUFACTURING READY? An Industry in Flux Current Challenges Lean’s Limitations The Technology’s Coming Q&AThe Path to Now 1000%: Futile or Inevitable