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LTG Michael T. Flynn, USA
                           Director
                             23 January 2013




    COMMITTED TO   EXCELLENCE IN DEFENSE                  OF   THE   NATION
1                    One Mission. One Team. One Agency.                       UNCLASSIFIED
Washington Tribal Folklore
        “When you’re riding a dead horse, the best thing to do is to dismount”

             However, in Washington DC, we often try other strategies:
                 • Buying  a stronger whip
                 • Changing riders
                 • Saying things like: “This is the way we’ve always ridden the horse”
                 • Appointing a committee to study the horse
                 • Increasing the standards to ride the dead horse
                 • Appointing a “tiger team” to revive the dead horse
                 • Changing the requirements & declaring that “this horse is not dead!”
                 • Hiring contractors to ride the dead horse
                 • Harnessing several dead horses together for increased speed
                 • Declaring that “No horse is too dead to beat!”

                                             And finally,
                  Promoting the dead horse to a supervisory position


2                                                                               UNCLASSIFIED
3   UNCLASSIFIED
The Defense Intelligence Agency
        MISSION: DIA is first in all-source defense intelligence to prevent
        strategic surprise and deliver decision advantage to warfighters,
        defense planners and policymakers.

                     VISION: One team of skilled professionals providing our
                     military and national security leadership with timely intelligence.

                                 PRIORITIES:
                                 • Defense Clandestine Service
                                 • Reshaping Defense Analysis
                                 • Recruiting, Retention and Professional Development




4                                                                                          UNCLASSIFIED
YESTERDAY:
Traditional, hierarchical,
regional, centralized, weeks
and months, worked well in structured
environments, information is discrete




5                                           UNCLASSIFIED
                                        5
TODAY:
    Fluid and complex, transnational, hybrid,
    decentralized, distributed, crowd-sourced, days
    and minutes, multi-nodal, difficult to discern,
    smaller window for decisions




6                                             UNCLASSIFIED
The imperative to change
Intelligence must remain a strategic advantage for our nation
Lessons learned from a decade of war demand it:
    • Gain a more thorough understanding of the cultures and environments in which we operate
    • Recognize shortfall of spies contributed to ignoring tribal and cultural realities
    • Implement strategy to meet military intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR) needs
    • Increase importance of Cyberwarfare capabilities, ISR, and undersea systems
    • Increase access to expeditionary ISR platforms
    • Promote the fusion of information and reduce compartmentalization of intelligence
    • Improve training to enable focused, intelligence driven operations
    • Introduce new legislation to bolster interagency ties
                    - CJCS Enduring Lessons, Vol 1 June 2012
                      http://www.blogs.defensenews.com

    “We‟re transitioning from a decade of war, a complex
    and uncertain security environment looms, and as we
    look toward the future each service in our total joint
    force faces fundamental questions about their
    identities, their roles, and their capabilities.”
                  - General Martin Dempsey, CJCS
                    Joint Warfighting Conference 2012



7                                                                                                     UNCLASSIFIED
Amid profound transition...
                                                        “When the rate of change outside
                                                        is faster than the rate of change inside…
                                                        the end is near.”
             Winding Down Direct Combat Roles
                                                             - Former GE chairman Jack Welch

                        Rebalance toward Asia-Pacific


                       Aspiring Regional Peer Competitors


                              Anti-Access/Area Denial Challenges


                                          Cyber Operations


                                    Arab Awakening
                                                        “Even if you are on the right track,
                        Economic Uncertainty            you will be run over if you just sit there.”
                                                                                  - Will Rogers




8                                                                                     UNCLASSIFIED
Do we understand the change
WHAT:                                                              SO WHAT:
“Asia and Africa will account                                      • Lack of arable land, access to
for most of the population growth                                    food, water, and energy at risk
out to 2025…the „youngest‟                                         • Unstable governments struggling
countries, where under-30                                            to provide for their people
represents 60% of the                                              • Resource competition driving
population or more, will…
be in Sub-Saharan Africa.”
                                      WORLD POPULATION               social unrest
                                                                   • The rise of transnational
- National Intelligence Council
             Global Trends 2025
                                                                     groups expanding




            1950                        2000          2020                     2030
        3.4 BILLION                 6.1 BILLION   7.6 BILLION              8.3 BILLION
                                                     (Estimated)                (Estimated)




    9                                                                                     UNCLASSIFIED
 SOURCE: UN Data
Do we understand the change
WHAT:                                                                            SO WHAT:
“A new set of social actors—
                                                                                  • Technology and the cloud
super-empowered individuals
                                                                                    provide the crowd a voice
and even criminal networks...
empowered by their wealth and                                                     • The network is the new`
an array of national and                                                            weapon system
transnational contacts…                                                           • Bandwidth is the new class of supply
help leverage „transnational‟                                                     • Data is our ammunition
                                          INFORMATION REVOLUTION
outcomes across national and
organizational boundaries.”
            Global Trends 2025


    In 1980                               In 2005*…                         Today                 By 2020…
    First 24/7 news network               Facebook did not exist for most   214 Jihadists are     the number of
    IBM’s PC still under                  Twitter was still a sound         using Twitter         Internet users
    development                           The cloud was in the sky          One has over          is expected to
    Mobile phone network                  4G was a parking space            53,000 followers      double to over
    in its infancy                        Applications went to colleges                           4 billion
                                          LinkedIn was a prison




    10   *Information taken from That Used to be Us,                                                      UNCLASSIFIED
           by Thomas Friedman and Michael Mandelbaum
Why we must succeed
           •   Prevent strategic surprise
           •   Understand rising regional ‘near-peer’ competitors
           •   Overcome Anti-Access/Area Denial strategies
           •   Counter enduring extremist threats
           •   Ensure decision advantage / confidence
           •   Weather fiscal uncertainty




                      Defense Intelligence Agency
               You cannot fight, wage, or win war without us




11                                                                  UNCLASSIFIED
Thoughts on
     Strategic Leadership




12                   UNCLASSIFIED
                             UNCLASSIFIED
13   UNCLASSIFIED
Flynn’s Model on Strategic Leadership
Key components
• Moral courage
• Teamwork
  (give credit to others)
                                                     Lead                    Self: your values and beliefs
• Have an ability to compromise
• Winning spirit
                                                                             Work environment: what you create
• Loyalty up/down/laterally
• Compassion (time of crisis)                        Self:                   How you create output
• Energy is a combat multiplier                  Visualization
• Understand up/down                                Culture
                                                    Values
  (outside / inside)
• Need to do versus nice to do
                                    Implement     Understanding   Innovate
• Outreach (private, intel,                        Knowledge
  media, public)
• Teach, coach, mentor                 Strategic and Political Framework
                                   Your organization – what you control
                                 Your environment – what you don’t control
                                     Your output – how you take control
              Ability to see yourself, your environment, and your ability to make a difference



  14                                                                                              UNCLASSIFIED
Flynn’s Model on Strategic Leadership (Self)


                                           Be a lifelong learner
                                           Humility at the senior most levels of command is important –
                   Lead                    no matter how senior you get, it is not about you…but the mission
                                           We should be unapologetic about our values
                                           Things to remember:
                   Self:                     • Trust – Can you trust too much?
               Visualization                 • Teach, coach and mentor – Why is this important?
                  Culture
                  Values
                                             • Communicate creatively – Writing, editing, reaching out
                                             • Squint with your ears – “I never learned anything while I was
                Understanding                  talking”
Implement                       Innovate
                 Knowledge                   • Avoid the role of chief problem solver – “Never tell people how to
     Strategic and Political Framework         do things. Tell them what needs doing and they will surprise you
                                               with their ingenuity” George Patton




15                                                                                                  UNCLASSIFIED
Flynn’s Model on Strategic Leadership (Environment)

                                           Managing / balancing time: Yours and your staff’s
                                           Trust and harmony – If you cannot create these conditions,
                                           you just might fail
                   Lead
                                           Building a robust brain trust – Who do you include?
                                           Clones, cronies, trusted agents, agents of change?
                                           Things to remember:
                   Self:
               Visualization
                                                • Use humor well
                  Culture                       • Be decisive and exude confidence
                  Values                        • Maintain open-mindedness –
                                                   Flexibility versus inflexibility
                Understanding
Implement        Knowledge      Innovate        • Observe yourself – How do others see you?
                                                • Give power away and make it stick
     Strategic and Political Framework
                                                • Be generous and magnanimous –
                                                   What does servant leadership mean?




16                                                                                               UNCLASSIFIED
Flynn’s Model on Strategic Leadership (Desired Outcomes)


                                           Relationships between commanders at Combined/Joint levels
                                           matter – This is what accomplishes the mission
                   Lead
                                           Institutions get what they reward – Look for ideas elsewhere,
                                           we may not have the best ideas
                                           Dempsey Doctrine: When you ask for guidance and get
                   Self:                   none, you should be prepared to say, “Unless otherwise directed,
               Visualization               I’m going to execute X”
                  Culture
                  Values
                                           The single biggest deficiency of senior leaders is lack of reflection
                Understanding
                                           time – Instead we are reactive and tend to get “contained”
Implement        Knowledge      Innovate
                                           At every possible point along the path your career takes
     Strategic and Political Framework     you, reenergize your leadership capabilities




17                                                                                                UNCLASSIFIED
Questions




     DIA is the indispensible element of the military dimension
                   of our national security posture




     COMMITTED TO   EXCELLENCE IN DEFENSE                  OF   THE   NATION
18                    One Mission. One Team. One Agency.                       UNCLASSIFIED

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How to Fight Networks: New Visions for National Security From the Head of Defense Intelligence

  • 1. LTG Michael T. Flynn, USA Director 23 January 2013 COMMITTED TO EXCELLENCE IN DEFENSE OF THE NATION 1 One Mission. One Team. One Agency. UNCLASSIFIED
  • 2. Washington Tribal Folklore “When you’re riding a dead horse, the best thing to do is to dismount” However, in Washington DC, we often try other strategies: • Buying a stronger whip • Changing riders • Saying things like: “This is the way we’ve always ridden the horse” • Appointing a committee to study the horse • Increasing the standards to ride the dead horse • Appointing a “tiger team” to revive the dead horse • Changing the requirements & declaring that “this horse is not dead!” • Hiring contractors to ride the dead horse • Harnessing several dead horses together for increased speed • Declaring that “No horse is too dead to beat!” And finally, Promoting the dead horse to a supervisory position 2 UNCLASSIFIED
  • 3. 3 UNCLASSIFIED
  • 4. The Defense Intelligence Agency MISSION: DIA is first in all-source defense intelligence to prevent strategic surprise and deliver decision advantage to warfighters, defense planners and policymakers. VISION: One team of skilled professionals providing our military and national security leadership with timely intelligence. PRIORITIES: • Defense Clandestine Service • Reshaping Defense Analysis • Recruiting, Retention and Professional Development 4 UNCLASSIFIED
  • 5. YESTERDAY: Traditional, hierarchical, regional, centralized, weeks and months, worked well in structured environments, information is discrete 5 UNCLASSIFIED 5
  • 6. TODAY: Fluid and complex, transnational, hybrid, decentralized, distributed, crowd-sourced, days and minutes, multi-nodal, difficult to discern, smaller window for decisions 6 UNCLASSIFIED
  • 7. The imperative to change Intelligence must remain a strategic advantage for our nation Lessons learned from a decade of war demand it: • Gain a more thorough understanding of the cultures and environments in which we operate • Recognize shortfall of spies contributed to ignoring tribal and cultural realities • Implement strategy to meet military intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR) needs • Increase importance of Cyberwarfare capabilities, ISR, and undersea systems • Increase access to expeditionary ISR platforms • Promote the fusion of information and reduce compartmentalization of intelligence • Improve training to enable focused, intelligence driven operations • Introduce new legislation to bolster interagency ties - CJCS Enduring Lessons, Vol 1 June 2012 http://www.blogs.defensenews.com “We‟re transitioning from a decade of war, a complex and uncertain security environment looms, and as we look toward the future each service in our total joint force faces fundamental questions about their identities, their roles, and their capabilities.” - General Martin Dempsey, CJCS Joint Warfighting Conference 2012 7 UNCLASSIFIED
  • 8. Amid profound transition... “When the rate of change outside is faster than the rate of change inside… the end is near.” Winding Down Direct Combat Roles - Former GE chairman Jack Welch Rebalance toward Asia-Pacific Aspiring Regional Peer Competitors Anti-Access/Area Denial Challenges Cyber Operations Arab Awakening “Even if you are on the right track, Economic Uncertainty you will be run over if you just sit there.” - Will Rogers 8 UNCLASSIFIED
  • 9. Do we understand the change WHAT: SO WHAT: “Asia and Africa will account • Lack of arable land, access to for most of the population growth food, water, and energy at risk out to 2025…the „youngest‟ • Unstable governments struggling countries, where under-30 to provide for their people represents 60% of the • Resource competition driving population or more, will… be in Sub-Saharan Africa.” WORLD POPULATION social unrest • The rise of transnational - National Intelligence Council Global Trends 2025 groups expanding 1950 2000 2020 2030 3.4 BILLION 6.1 BILLION 7.6 BILLION 8.3 BILLION (Estimated) (Estimated) 9 UNCLASSIFIED SOURCE: UN Data
  • 10. Do we understand the change WHAT: SO WHAT: “A new set of social actors— • Technology and the cloud super-empowered individuals provide the crowd a voice and even criminal networks... empowered by their wealth and • The network is the new` an array of national and weapon system transnational contacts… • Bandwidth is the new class of supply help leverage „transnational‟ • Data is our ammunition INFORMATION REVOLUTION outcomes across national and organizational boundaries.” Global Trends 2025 In 1980 In 2005*… Today By 2020… First 24/7 news network Facebook did not exist for most 214 Jihadists are the number of IBM’s PC still under Twitter was still a sound using Twitter Internet users development The cloud was in the sky One has over is expected to Mobile phone network 4G was a parking space 53,000 followers double to over in its infancy Applications went to colleges 4 billion LinkedIn was a prison 10 *Information taken from That Used to be Us, UNCLASSIFIED by Thomas Friedman and Michael Mandelbaum
  • 11. Why we must succeed • Prevent strategic surprise • Understand rising regional ‘near-peer’ competitors • Overcome Anti-Access/Area Denial strategies • Counter enduring extremist threats • Ensure decision advantage / confidence • Weather fiscal uncertainty Defense Intelligence Agency You cannot fight, wage, or win war without us 11 UNCLASSIFIED
  • 12. Thoughts on Strategic Leadership 12 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED
  • 13. 13 UNCLASSIFIED
  • 14. Flynn’s Model on Strategic Leadership Key components • Moral courage • Teamwork (give credit to others) Lead Self: your values and beliefs • Have an ability to compromise • Winning spirit Work environment: what you create • Loyalty up/down/laterally • Compassion (time of crisis) Self: How you create output • Energy is a combat multiplier Visualization • Understand up/down Culture Values (outside / inside) • Need to do versus nice to do Implement Understanding Innovate • Outreach (private, intel, Knowledge media, public) • Teach, coach, mentor Strategic and Political Framework Your organization – what you control Your environment – what you don’t control Your output – how you take control Ability to see yourself, your environment, and your ability to make a difference 14 UNCLASSIFIED
  • 15. Flynn’s Model on Strategic Leadership (Self) Be a lifelong learner Humility at the senior most levels of command is important – Lead no matter how senior you get, it is not about you…but the mission We should be unapologetic about our values Things to remember: Self: • Trust – Can you trust too much? Visualization • Teach, coach and mentor – Why is this important? Culture Values • Communicate creatively – Writing, editing, reaching out • Squint with your ears – “I never learned anything while I was Understanding talking” Implement Innovate Knowledge • Avoid the role of chief problem solver – “Never tell people how to Strategic and Political Framework do things. Tell them what needs doing and they will surprise you with their ingenuity” George Patton 15 UNCLASSIFIED
  • 16. Flynn’s Model on Strategic Leadership (Environment) Managing / balancing time: Yours and your staff’s Trust and harmony – If you cannot create these conditions, you just might fail Lead Building a robust brain trust – Who do you include? Clones, cronies, trusted agents, agents of change? Things to remember: Self: Visualization • Use humor well Culture • Be decisive and exude confidence Values • Maintain open-mindedness – Flexibility versus inflexibility Understanding Implement Knowledge Innovate • Observe yourself – How do others see you? • Give power away and make it stick Strategic and Political Framework • Be generous and magnanimous – What does servant leadership mean? 16 UNCLASSIFIED
  • 17. Flynn’s Model on Strategic Leadership (Desired Outcomes) Relationships between commanders at Combined/Joint levels matter – This is what accomplishes the mission Lead Institutions get what they reward – Look for ideas elsewhere, we may not have the best ideas Dempsey Doctrine: When you ask for guidance and get Self: none, you should be prepared to say, “Unless otherwise directed, Visualization I’m going to execute X” Culture Values The single biggest deficiency of senior leaders is lack of reflection Understanding time – Instead we are reactive and tend to get “contained” Implement Knowledge Innovate At every possible point along the path your career takes Strategic and Political Framework you, reenergize your leadership capabilities 17 UNCLASSIFIED
  • 18. Questions DIA is the indispensible element of the military dimension of our national security posture COMMITTED TO EXCELLENCE IN DEFENSE OF THE NATION 18 One Mission. One Team. One Agency. UNCLASSIFIED