Understanding Numerical Inaccuracy (Keith Dowd)

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Understanding one source of numerical inaccuracy: A metacognitive perspective of the anchoring effect Keith Dowd, SPOT lab

Consider the following items… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

So, what is the anchoring effect? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

What cognitive processes govern its operation? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Metacognitive perspective of the anchoring effect ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Predictions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Participants and design ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Procedures ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

More procedures ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Results ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Preliminary analyses ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Final responses ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Graphs for final responses High EPAs Low EPAs

Ratings of confidence in final responses ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Graphs for ratings of confidence in final responses High EPAs Low EPAs

Discussion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Understanding Numerical Inaccuracy (Keith Dowd)

1. Understanding one source of numerical inaccuracy: A metacognitive perspective of the anchoring effect Keith Dowd, SPOT lab

6. Diagram of metacognitive model

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14. Graphs for final responses High EPAs Low EPAs

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16. Graphs for ratings of confidence in final responses High EPAs Low EPAs

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18. Thanks for listening!