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Segmenting MLB Fans to
Drive Strategic and Brand
Planning Decisions
Case Study




March 9, 2013
Introduction to Copernicus




              Copernicus is a marketing consulting organization that uses
        front-line experience, consumer insights, and advanced data analytics
        to develop, plan and implement transformational marketing strategies.

       By ―transformational‖ we mean strategies that change brand trajectories,
         career paths and sometimes entire companies and even industries.




                                          2
Situation



Cleveland hit hard by economic downturn

     At least four Fortune 500 companies were acquired or relocated

     Cleveland had 2nd largest population
      decline since 2000

     Median Household income
      declined 16% from 2007 – 2011
Situation


  Ballpark Design (135 suites) not suited for current corporate climate
  Season ticket product is becoming increasingly less relevant to our fan base
  Fans have become increasingly accustomed to discounted tickets
  Attendance not rebounding to prior levels in winning periods for the team
  Need for a better understanding of fans to guide marketing and improve the fan experience


     No one goes                                                           Back to back
      downtown                                                              Cy Young‘s
       anymore                                                                traded



     Harder for me to
     justify spending                                                      Stars of the ‗90‘s
        on games
Isn‘t this all about winning?
What is Segmentation?



 Dividing an audience – in this case fans – into distinct groups that share
a common set of characteristics.
Why Segment?



Could these two possibly want exactly the same things when they attend a game?
Why Segment?


Different types of fans contribute significantly different amounts of revenues.
Why Segment?



“The most important strategic decision is targeting—nail this and everything else falls into place.‖
                                                                                              - Phil Kotler



                     ―If you‘re on the wrong train, every stop is the wrong stop.‖
                                                                                           - David Verklin



―A great talent, sailing in the wrong direction will, like the lost pilot breaking the speed record, reach
                               the wrong destination all the more quickly.‖
                                                                                           - Bill Bernbach
Approach



 Conducted 1,400+ online surveys with area fans

 From geography that represents the best opportunity for incremental attendance

 Indicating a fan level of 3-5 on a 5 point scale                Tier 1
                                                                  Tier 2                                                        Ashtabula
                                                                  Tier 3                                       Lake
                                                                                   Cleveland

 Gathered from several sources                                                     Cuyahoga
                                                                                                               Geauga

                                                     Erie                                                                       Trumbull
   – General Population survey panels                                  Lorain
                                                                                                               Portage




                                                                                               Summit
                                                     Huron
   – Single game ticket buyer databases                                         Medina
                                                                                                                                Mahoning

   – Season ticket holder database




                                                                  Ashland
                                                       Richland
                                                                                Wayne                   Stark


                                                                                Holmes                                Carroll




                                                                                                  Tuscarawas
 Executed in concert with MLBAM
Multi-Dimensional and ―Profit-Directed‖ Approach



    CREATE
   Hundreds of
    Variables              TEST
                      Variables to see
1. Category           which ones are
   Attitudes           predictive of:
2. Category           Ticket spending
                                             EVALUATE
                                               Hundreds of          SELECT
   Behaviors          Likelihood to buy     solutions using      the Optimal
                       Season Tickets         statistical and
3. Needs in Team/                           managerial criteria     Solution
   Experience         Price Sensitivity/
                       Promotion Focus
4. Lifestyle
                      Advocacy /
5. Psychographics      Influence
6. Demographics
7. Media behaviors
Analytics




       Factor
      Analyze
                        Normalize             Test              Segment

• Remove           • Prevent survey   • Identify the most • Using k-means
  ―redundancies‖     scale issues       useful              clustering to
  in the data                           segmentation        develop
                                        variables           segments

                                                         • Evaluated
                                                           statistically and
                                                           managerially
Analytics



    We use correlation analysis to identify the variables that are useful segmentation variables.



                                                      Games                   Likely to buy
                                                                 $ / Ticket                   Advocacy
                                                     Attended                  Season Tix
 I am an expert on baseball                            .45         .30           .18               .38
 I have been a fan since I was a child                 .35         .39           .21               .24
 I pay careful attention to the game                   .38         .28           .23               .27
 I only go to the big games                           -.25         -.42          -.19          -..33
X    Owners owe it to their fans to spend money         .02         .03           -.03          -.01
X    I only want to follow a winner                     .01         -.02          .02           -.04
Five Fan Segments

                                 Family Man Phil


       Affluent Alan


                                                         Value Victor(ia)



                                    16%

                           17%                     17%


                                                           Event Emily
 Homebody Hank and Helen
                           23%                 28%
Alan and Phil represent just 33% of fans but 81% of revenues.



                                                        Relative Value of Indians Fan Segments


                Affluent Alan
                                     2%                             4%
                    (STH)
                     Alan           15%                                                            15%
                 (Non STH)                                          22%                                                                                  29%
                                                                                                                                   34%
                Family Man
                   Phil             16%
                                                                                                   25%

                   Value                                            26%
                                    17%
                  Victor(ia)                                                                                                                             28%
                                                                                                                                   29%
                                                                                                   23%

                   Event
                                    28%                             25%
                   Emily
                                                                                                                                                         21%
                                                                                                                                   18%
                                                                                                   27%
                 Homebody
                  Hank &                                           19%                                                             13%                   15%
                                    23%
                   Helen                                                                           9%
                                                                    5%                                                            4%                       5%
                                                                                                   2%                             2%                       2%
                                Indians Fans            % Of Attenders (Attended             % of Attendance              % of Ticket Revenue      % of Total Revenue*
                                                           1+ games in 2011)                      (2011)                         (2011)                   (2011)
                                                                                       15
S10c, Q3, Q7, Q23, Q25     *Total Revenue = Tickets + Indians’ share of concessions + Merchandise sold at Progressive or Indians Retail Location
Plenty of growth opportunity remains with Alan, Phil and Victor



                                        Most Recent Game Attendance


                                                                                          11%
                                                                         35%
                                                                                          27%
              2011       77%                               74%
                                          81%
                                                                         27%


                                                                                          63%
         2009-2010                                         9%            38%
                         10%
Haven’t Been in the                       12%
      Past 3 Years       13%                               17%
                                          7%
                      Affluent Alan   Family Man Phil   Value Victor   Event Emily   Homebody Hank &
                                                                                         Helen
Alan and especially Phil are less volatile spenders than Victor

                                             Intended Ticket Spend During

                 Pre-Season                   Post-Season                    .500 Season            Rebuilding           Volatility
                  Favorites                   Contenders                                             Season               Ratio


 Affluent Alan                      $1,062                       $948                        $601                 $492       2.2


  Family Man
                             $749                         $657                          $429                 $370            2.0
         Phil

       Value
                           $624                         $535                          $318                 $243              2.6
    Victor(ia)


 Event Emily        $219                         $175                            $142                 $115                   1.9

  Homebody
Hank & Helen       $148                         $113                            $74                  $56                     2.6




                                                                        17
We can understand the purchase decisions for our key targets


Percent of Game Attenders                                                     Affluent   Family     Value      Event   Home
                                                 Total Respondents             Alan       Phil    Victor(ia)   Emily   Hank &
    Male            60%                                                                                                 Helen
    Female          40%                          Female     Male                (353)     (281)     (252)      (144)    (74)


 Who Comes Up With The                                                Male     68%       70%        60%        54%     56%
  Idea to Go To a Game
                                                  37%
                                                           63%
                                                                     Female    32%       30%        40%        46%     44%



Distribution of “Say” in the
                                                  42%                 Male     61%       64%        59%        49%     54%
Decision to Go to a Game                                   58%
                                                                     Female    39%       36%        41%        51%     46%



Who Typically Purchases                            33%                Male     76%       73%        63%        59%     59%
 Tickets to the Game
                                                          67%
                                                                     Female    24%       27%        37%        41%     41%

   Base: Those who attended games as a family.
                                                                        18
   Q18, Q19, Q20
We know when they buy tickets


                                              Days in Advance Typically Purchase Tickets
                             Affluent                Family Man            Value                 Event                   Homebody
                             Alan                    Phil                  Victor(ia)            Emily                   Hank & Helen

Before the season started                      35%     6%                     6%                 2%                         8%


  During the season, but
                                        18%                 15%                9%                     12%                     12%
more than a month before


    3-4 weeks in advance           14%                         17%                 12%                   18%                7%



    1-2 weeks in advance            14%                        20%                       20%                 18%                    18%



        <1 week in advance       10%                            20%                        27%                22%                    22%



             On game day          12%                           22%                        26%                     28%                     32%



Average # of days               24.6                    13.7                    11.8                  13.4                   14.3
in advance
                                                                      19
   Q6
Seat location preferences can enable us to better orchestrate the fan experience when
they arrive at the Field – and ticket product offers.



                                                                Fan Composition by Seating Area


                                                                                                                                 19%
                                                                                                          30%         28%
                                                                      41%                      35%
                 Affluent Alan                60%                                                                                27%
                                                                                                                      19%
                                                                                               20%        29%
                                                                      26%
                                                                                                                                 23%

                                                                                               30%        19%         42%
            Family Man Phil                   22%
                                                                      22%                                                        22%
       Value Victor(ia)                    12%                                                 10%        18%
          Event Emily                       3%                      8%                                                8%
Homebody Hank & Helen                       4%                      3%                          5%         4%         4%          9%
                                         Field Box               Lower Box                    Lower     Upper Box    Upper     Bleachers
                                                                                             Reserved               Reserved


  Note: Only seating sections with sufficient sample sizes were included in this analysis.    20
We know who the season ticket holders are, and presumably where to find more.


                                 Segment Distribution




      Affluent Alan    17%


   Family Man Phil     16%

                                                            72%
   Value Victor(ia)    17%
                                        91%


      Event Emily      28%



                                                            20%
Homebody Hank &        23%
          Helen                          7%                 4%
                                         2%                 4%
                      Overall        Current STH         Lapsed STH

                                         21
We can learn why they own and how they use their season tickets



           Reason for Buying Season Tickets                  Actual Use of Season Tickets


                5%                                                                 10%
                                  16%                           13%
               19%



                                              Business

                                              Business and
                                              Pleasure          87%                90%
                                  84%
               76%                            Pleasure




            Current STH        Lapsed STH                    Current STH        Lapsed STH


Q27, Q28                                          22
We know how different STH groups value different STH amenities.




         Current STH                    Lapsed STH                   Prospects
 Loaded value on ticket         Discounted pricing vs.    Access to best seats
                                  single game tickets
 Post Season ticket priority                               Post season ticket priority
                                 Access to Best Seat
 Ticket exchange Dates           Locations                 Discounted season parking
                                                             pass
 Complimentary suite Rental     Ticket Exchange Dates
Link to Media / Databases to find them with offers




        Directly Linked to
                               Ticket databases        Tools for Future
        Scarborough for
                                    Scored           Research/ Monitoring
         Media Planning
How can it be stable when fan emotions are potentially so volatile?


Segments must be defined carefully
    Use stable characteristics of people
    Not unstable perceptions of the team
Segments have fundamentally altered the Strategic Planning Process



             ―Give me the freedom of a clear strategy‖
                                                              - Bill Bernbach


     The targets are integrated as part of the strategic planning process

     Strategies and tactics under consideration are evaluated against Alan and Phil

     Of four 2013 strategic priorities, two specifically target Alan and Phil
Increased understanding has changed Indians priority and focus



WHO they target, WHAT they message, and HOW they reach them….

Business plans tailored towards improving Alan / Phil experience

Marketing / Communication messages are created with Alan / Phil in mind and tested
among those fan segments for feedback

Media and promotional plans have been optimized to tailor to Alan / Phil media habits
    Influences creative
    Influences media selection
    Influence flighting of advertising

New Social Suite devoted to Phil and his family
In Park Experience is now being tailored and improved for Affluent Alan



New Premium Club (2013 Debut)
    New construction of exclusive 100 seat premium game
      viewing experience. Best seating for best customers.

New seating product in lower bowl
    Where Alan sits with more of what he wants
    More comfortable patio style seating with semi-circle table

 Tailoring scoreboard entertainment, music, usher interaction towards Alan for certain
sections or on certain games

Refreshed advertising to focus on tradition of baseball/Indians, the greatest
attendance motivator for Alan
In Park Experience is also being tailored for Family Man Phil….



New Kids Clubhouse (2012 Debut)
    Suite Renovation: Kids area for kids to play,
      parents can still watch and enjoy game

      97% satisfaction with area and 15% of attendees
       would not have come to game without it

 Programming area of the park to be completely family focused: Family friendly ushers,
increased mascot appearances, tailoring F&B to families, and creating unique
music/scoreboard entertainment for family heavy days

Increased promotional giveaways / activities that are trip drivers for Phil: Fireworks,
Wearable giveaways, Dollar Dog nights

Preparing to launch a comprehensive youth marketing plan for Phil‘s family
Key barriers are being have been identified and are being lowered




Introducing new parking and concession value offers

 Working with the city to provide easier and improved transportation
alternatives for fans
Insights have armed key sales forces



 Corporate partnerships both have and can demonstrate a clear understanding of who
is in the ballpark
     Increased credibility with prospects and renewals
     Enhanced target identification for the sales force – companies that seek Alan
      and Phil as their targets
     Improved customization of partner opportunities for Alan and Phil

STH sales force have tailored scripts for STH renewals and prospecting
A good old fashioned trade….




              Your Name Here
              SVP, Marketing & Brand                      Segmenting MLB Fans to
              My New Favorite MLB Team                    Drive Strategic and Brand
              4 Park Drive                                Planning Decisions
              MLB City, SW 99999                          Case Study




                                                          March 9, 2013




                                         Trade Analyzer
Eric Paquette, Sr. Vice President

     (617) 449-4189

        Eric.Paquette@copernicusmarketing.com




                       http://goo.gl/7zfa7

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Segmenting MLB Fans to Drive Strategic and Brand Planning Decisions

  • 1. Segmenting MLB Fans to Drive Strategic and Brand Planning Decisions Case Study March 9, 2013
  • 2. Introduction to Copernicus Copernicus is a marketing consulting organization that uses front-line experience, consumer insights, and advanced data analytics to develop, plan and implement transformational marketing strategies. By ―transformational‖ we mean strategies that change brand trajectories, career paths and sometimes entire companies and even industries. 2
  • 3. Situation Cleveland hit hard by economic downturn  At least four Fortune 500 companies were acquired or relocated  Cleveland had 2nd largest population decline since 2000  Median Household income declined 16% from 2007 – 2011
  • 4. Situation  Ballpark Design (135 suites) not suited for current corporate climate  Season ticket product is becoming increasingly less relevant to our fan base  Fans have become increasingly accustomed to discounted tickets  Attendance not rebounding to prior levels in winning periods for the team  Need for a better understanding of fans to guide marketing and improve the fan experience No one goes Back to back downtown Cy Young‘s anymore traded Harder for me to justify spending Stars of the ‗90‘s on games
  • 5. Isn‘t this all about winning?
  • 6. What is Segmentation? Dividing an audience – in this case fans – into distinct groups that share a common set of characteristics.
  • 7. Why Segment? Could these two possibly want exactly the same things when they attend a game?
  • 8. Why Segment? Different types of fans contribute significantly different amounts of revenues.
  • 9. Why Segment? “The most important strategic decision is targeting—nail this and everything else falls into place.‖ - Phil Kotler ―If you‘re on the wrong train, every stop is the wrong stop.‖ - David Verklin ―A great talent, sailing in the wrong direction will, like the lost pilot breaking the speed record, reach the wrong destination all the more quickly.‖ - Bill Bernbach
  • 10. Approach  Conducted 1,400+ online surveys with area fans  From geography that represents the best opportunity for incremental attendance  Indicating a fan level of 3-5 on a 5 point scale Tier 1 Tier 2 Ashtabula Tier 3 Lake Cleveland  Gathered from several sources Cuyahoga Geauga Erie Trumbull – General Population survey panels Lorain Portage Summit Huron – Single game ticket buyer databases Medina Mahoning – Season ticket holder database Ashland Richland Wayne Stark Holmes Carroll Tuscarawas  Executed in concert with MLBAM
  • 11. Multi-Dimensional and ―Profit-Directed‖ Approach CREATE Hundreds of Variables TEST Variables to see 1. Category which ones are Attitudes predictive of: 2. Category  Ticket spending EVALUATE Hundreds of SELECT Behaviors  Likelihood to buy solutions using the Optimal Season Tickets statistical and 3. Needs in Team/ managerial criteria Solution Experience  Price Sensitivity/ Promotion Focus 4. Lifestyle  Advocacy / 5. Psychographics Influence 6. Demographics 7. Media behaviors
  • 12. Analytics Factor Analyze Normalize Test Segment • Remove • Prevent survey • Identify the most • Using k-means ―redundancies‖ scale issues useful clustering to in the data segmentation develop variables segments • Evaluated statistically and managerially
  • 13. Analytics We use correlation analysis to identify the variables that are useful segmentation variables. Games Likely to buy $ / Ticket Advocacy Attended Season Tix  I am an expert on baseball .45 .30 .18 .38  I have been a fan since I was a child .35 .39 .21 .24  I pay careful attention to the game .38 .28 .23 .27  I only go to the big games -.25 -.42 -.19 -..33 X Owners owe it to their fans to spend money .02 .03 -.03 -.01 X I only want to follow a winner .01 -.02 .02 -.04
  • 14. Five Fan Segments Family Man Phil Affluent Alan Value Victor(ia) 16% 17% 17% Event Emily Homebody Hank and Helen 23% 28%
  • 15. Alan and Phil represent just 33% of fans but 81% of revenues. Relative Value of Indians Fan Segments Affluent Alan 2% 4% (STH) Alan 15% 15% (Non STH) 22% 29% 34% Family Man Phil 16% 25% Value 26% 17% Victor(ia) 28% 29% 23% Event 28% 25% Emily 21% 18% 27% Homebody Hank & 19% 13% 15% 23% Helen 9% 5% 4% 5% 2% 2% 2% Indians Fans % Of Attenders (Attended % of Attendance % of Ticket Revenue % of Total Revenue* 1+ games in 2011) (2011) (2011) (2011) 15 S10c, Q3, Q7, Q23, Q25 *Total Revenue = Tickets + Indians’ share of concessions + Merchandise sold at Progressive or Indians Retail Location
  • 16. Plenty of growth opportunity remains with Alan, Phil and Victor Most Recent Game Attendance 11% 35% 27% 2011 77% 74% 81% 27% 63% 2009-2010 9% 38% 10% Haven’t Been in the 12% Past 3 Years 13% 17% 7% Affluent Alan Family Man Phil Value Victor Event Emily Homebody Hank & Helen
  • 17. Alan and especially Phil are less volatile spenders than Victor Intended Ticket Spend During Pre-Season Post-Season .500 Season Rebuilding Volatility Favorites Contenders Season Ratio Affluent Alan $1,062 $948 $601 $492 2.2 Family Man $749 $657 $429 $370 2.0 Phil Value $624 $535 $318 $243 2.6 Victor(ia) Event Emily $219 $175 $142 $115 1.9 Homebody Hank & Helen $148 $113 $74 $56 2.6 17
  • 18. We can understand the purchase decisions for our key targets Percent of Game Attenders Affluent Family Value Event Home Total Respondents Alan Phil Victor(ia) Emily Hank & Male 60% Helen Female 40% Female Male (353) (281) (252) (144) (74) Who Comes Up With The Male 68% 70% 60% 54% 56% Idea to Go To a Game 37% 63% Female 32% 30% 40% 46% 44% Distribution of “Say” in the 42% Male 61% 64% 59% 49% 54% Decision to Go to a Game 58% Female 39% 36% 41% 51% 46% Who Typically Purchases 33% Male 76% 73% 63% 59% 59% Tickets to the Game 67% Female 24% 27% 37% 41% 41% Base: Those who attended games as a family. 18 Q18, Q19, Q20
  • 19. We know when they buy tickets Days in Advance Typically Purchase Tickets Affluent Family Man Value Event Homebody Alan Phil Victor(ia) Emily Hank & Helen Before the season started 35% 6% 6% 2% 8% During the season, but 18% 15% 9% 12% 12% more than a month before 3-4 weeks in advance 14% 17% 12% 18% 7% 1-2 weeks in advance 14% 20% 20% 18% 18% <1 week in advance 10% 20% 27% 22% 22% On game day 12% 22% 26% 28% 32% Average # of days 24.6 13.7 11.8 13.4 14.3 in advance 19 Q6
  • 20. Seat location preferences can enable us to better orchestrate the fan experience when they arrive at the Field – and ticket product offers. Fan Composition by Seating Area 19% 30% 28% 41% 35% Affluent Alan 60% 27% 19% 20% 29% 26% 23% 30% 19% 42% Family Man Phil 22% 22% 22% Value Victor(ia) 12% 10% 18% Event Emily 3% 8% 8% Homebody Hank & Helen 4% 3% 5% 4% 4% 9% Field Box Lower Box Lower Upper Box Upper Bleachers Reserved Reserved Note: Only seating sections with sufficient sample sizes were included in this analysis. 20
  • 21. We know who the season ticket holders are, and presumably where to find more. Segment Distribution Affluent Alan 17% Family Man Phil 16% 72% Value Victor(ia) 17% 91% Event Emily 28% 20% Homebody Hank & 23% Helen 7% 4% 2% 4% Overall Current STH Lapsed STH 21
  • 22. We can learn why they own and how they use their season tickets Reason for Buying Season Tickets Actual Use of Season Tickets 5% 10% 16% 13% 19% Business Business and Pleasure 87% 90% 84% 76% Pleasure Current STH Lapsed STH Current STH Lapsed STH Q27, Q28 22
  • 23. We know how different STH groups value different STH amenities. Current STH Lapsed STH Prospects  Loaded value on ticket  Discounted pricing vs.  Access to best seats single game tickets  Post Season ticket priority  Post season ticket priority  Access to Best Seat  Ticket exchange Dates Locations  Discounted season parking pass  Complimentary suite Rental  Ticket Exchange Dates
  • 24. Link to Media / Databases to find them with offers Directly Linked to Ticket databases Tools for Future Scarborough for Scored Research/ Monitoring Media Planning
  • 25. How can it be stable when fan emotions are potentially so volatile? Segments must be defined carefully  Use stable characteristics of people  Not unstable perceptions of the team
  • 26. Segments have fundamentally altered the Strategic Planning Process ―Give me the freedom of a clear strategy‖ - Bill Bernbach  The targets are integrated as part of the strategic planning process  Strategies and tactics under consideration are evaluated against Alan and Phil  Of four 2013 strategic priorities, two specifically target Alan and Phil
  • 27. Increased understanding has changed Indians priority and focus WHO they target, WHAT they message, and HOW they reach them…. Business plans tailored towards improving Alan / Phil experience Marketing / Communication messages are created with Alan / Phil in mind and tested among those fan segments for feedback Media and promotional plans have been optimized to tailor to Alan / Phil media habits  Influences creative  Influences media selection  Influence flighting of advertising New Social Suite devoted to Phil and his family
  • 28. In Park Experience is now being tailored and improved for Affluent Alan New Premium Club (2013 Debut)  New construction of exclusive 100 seat premium game viewing experience. Best seating for best customers. New seating product in lower bowl  Where Alan sits with more of what he wants  More comfortable patio style seating with semi-circle table Tailoring scoreboard entertainment, music, usher interaction towards Alan for certain sections or on certain games Refreshed advertising to focus on tradition of baseball/Indians, the greatest attendance motivator for Alan
  • 29. In Park Experience is also being tailored for Family Man Phil…. New Kids Clubhouse (2012 Debut)  Suite Renovation: Kids area for kids to play, parents can still watch and enjoy game  97% satisfaction with area and 15% of attendees would not have come to game without it Programming area of the park to be completely family focused: Family friendly ushers, increased mascot appearances, tailoring F&B to families, and creating unique music/scoreboard entertainment for family heavy days Increased promotional giveaways / activities that are trip drivers for Phil: Fireworks, Wearable giveaways, Dollar Dog nights Preparing to launch a comprehensive youth marketing plan for Phil‘s family
  • 30. Key barriers are being have been identified and are being lowered Introducing new parking and concession value offers Working with the city to provide easier and improved transportation alternatives for fans
  • 31. Insights have armed key sales forces Corporate partnerships both have and can demonstrate a clear understanding of who is in the ballpark  Increased credibility with prospects and renewals  Enhanced target identification for the sales force – companies that seek Alan and Phil as their targets  Improved customization of partner opportunities for Alan and Phil STH sales force have tailored scripts for STH renewals and prospecting
  • 32. A good old fashioned trade…. Your Name Here SVP, Marketing & Brand Segmenting MLB Fans to My New Favorite MLB Team Drive Strategic and Brand 4 Park Drive Planning Decisions MLB City, SW 99999 Case Study March 9, 2013 Trade Analyzer
  • 33. Eric Paquette, Sr. Vice President (617) 449-4189 Eric.Paquette@copernicusmarketing.com http://goo.gl/7zfa7