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EURO ZONE CRISIS
Barkha Agarwal
PGDM 11-13
THE BEGINNING
Timeline of the Crisis:
• 1999: On 1 January, the currency EURO officially comes into
  existence
• 2001: Greece joins the EURO
• 2008: In December, EU leaders agree on a 200 bn-euro stimulus plan
  to help in boosting European growth after the global financial crisis
  (US subprime).
• 2009: In April, the EU orders France, Spain, the Irish Republic and
  Greece to reduce their budget deficits
• In December, Greece announces that its debts have reached 300 bn
  euro.
• Greece is burdened with debt amounting to 113% of GDP - nearly
  double the euro zone limit of 60%. Ratings agencies start to
  downgrade Greek banks and government debt.
2010
• In January, an EU report found severe irregularities in Greek accounting
  procedures. Greece's budget deficit in 2009 is revised upwards to
  12.7% form 3.5%.
• In February, Greece shows a series of austerity measures aimed at
  curbing the deficit.
• The euro zone and IMF agree a safety net of 22bn euro to help Greece
  - but no loans.
• Greek borrowing costs reach yet further record highs. The EU
  announces that the Greek deficit is even worse than thought after
  reviewing its accounts - 13.6% of GDP, not 12.7%.
• On 2 May, the euro zone members and the IMF agree a 110bn-
  euro bailout package to rescue Greece.
• The euro continues to fall and other EU member state debt starts to
  come under scrutiny, starting with the Republic of Ireland.
• In November, the EU and IMF agree to a bailout package to the Irish
  Republic total 85bn euro.
2011
• In February, euro zone finance ministers set up a
  permanent bailout fund, called the European Stability
  Mechanism, worth about 500bn euro.
• In April, Portugal admits it cannot deal with its finances itself
  and asks the EU for help.
• In May, the euro zone and the IMF approve a 78bn-euro
  bailout for Portugal.
• The EU approves the latest tranche of the Greek loan, worth
  12bn euro.
• A second bailout for Greece is agreed. The euro zone agrees
  a comprehensive 109bn-euro ($155bn; £96.3bn)
  package designed to resolve the Greek crisis and prevent
  contagion among other European economies.
2011 contd.
• On 7 August, the European Central Bank says it will buy
  Italian and Spanish government bonds to try to bring down
  their borrowing costs, as concern grows that the debt crisis
  may spread to the larger economies of Italy and Spain.
• Italy passes a 50bn-euro austerity budget to balance the
  budget by 2013
• On 4 October, Euro zone finance ministers delay a
  decision on giving Greece its next installment of bailout cash,
  sending European shares down sharply.
• Speculation intensifies that European leaders are working on
  plans to recapitalize the banking system.
2011 contd.
• On 6 October the Bank of England injects a further £75bn into
  the UK economy through quantitative easing, while
  the European Central Bank gives emergency loans
  measures to help banks.
• Relief in the markets that the authorities will help the banking
  sector grows on 10 October, when struggling Franco-Belgian
  bank Dexia receives a huge bailout.
• On 21 October euro zone finance ministers approve the next,
  8bn euro ($11bn; £7bn), tranche of Greek bailout loans,
  potentially saving the country from default.
Causes :
• Rising private and government debt levels around the world
• The structure of the Euro zone as a monetary union (i.e., one
  currency) without fiscal union (e.g., different tax and public pension
  rules) contributed to the crisis and harmed the ability of European
  leaders to respond




                                                          5x
 Government                  Banking
                                                      government
    debt                   system debt
                                                       revenue
2012
Options to deal with debt:
• Print money
Inflate your way out

• Default
Restructure the debt
EURO ZONE CRISIS TIMELINE AND CAUSES

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EURO ZONE CRISIS TIMELINE AND CAUSES

  • 1. EURO ZONE CRISIS Barkha Agarwal PGDM 11-13
  • 3. Timeline of the Crisis: • 1999: On 1 January, the currency EURO officially comes into existence • 2001: Greece joins the EURO • 2008: In December, EU leaders agree on a 200 bn-euro stimulus plan to help in boosting European growth after the global financial crisis (US subprime). • 2009: In April, the EU orders France, Spain, the Irish Republic and Greece to reduce their budget deficits • In December, Greece announces that its debts have reached 300 bn euro. • Greece is burdened with debt amounting to 113% of GDP - nearly double the euro zone limit of 60%. Ratings agencies start to downgrade Greek banks and government debt.
  • 4. 2010 • In January, an EU report found severe irregularities in Greek accounting procedures. Greece's budget deficit in 2009 is revised upwards to 12.7% form 3.5%. • In February, Greece shows a series of austerity measures aimed at curbing the deficit. • The euro zone and IMF agree a safety net of 22bn euro to help Greece - but no loans. • Greek borrowing costs reach yet further record highs. The EU announces that the Greek deficit is even worse than thought after reviewing its accounts - 13.6% of GDP, not 12.7%. • On 2 May, the euro zone members and the IMF agree a 110bn- euro bailout package to rescue Greece. • The euro continues to fall and other EU member state debt starts to come under scrutiny, starting with the Republic of Ireland. • In November, the EU and IMF agree to a bailout package to the Irish Republic total 85bn euro.
  • 5. 2011 • In February, euro zone finance ministers set up a permanent bailout fund, called the European Stability Mechanism, worth about 500bn euro. • In April, Portugal admits it cannot deal with its finances itself and asks the EU for help. • In May, the euro zone and the IMF approve a 78bn-euro bailout for Portugal. • The EU approves the latest tranche of the Greek loan, worth 12bn euro. • A second bailout for Greece is agreed. The euro zone agrees a comprehensive 109bn-euro ($155bn; £96.3bn) package designed to resolve the Greek crisis and prevent contagion among other European economies.
  • 6. 2011 contd. • On 7 August, the European Central Bank says it will buy Italian and Spanish government bonds to try to bring down their borrowing costs, as concern grows that the debt crisis may spread to the larger economies of Italy and Spain. • Italy passes a 50bn-euro austerity budget to balance the budget by 2013 • On 4 October, Euro zone finance ministers delay a decision on giving Greece its next installment of bailout cash, sending European shares down sharply. • Speculation intensifies that European leaders are working on plans to recapitalize the banking system.
  • 7. 2011 contd. • On 6 October the Bank of England injects a further £75bn into the UK economy through quantitative easing, while the European Central Bank gives emergency loans measures to help banks. • Relief in the markets that the authorities will help the banking sector grows on 10 October, when struggling Franco-Belgian bank Dexia receives a huge bailout. • On 21 October euro zone finance ministers approve the next, 8bn euro ($11bn; £7bn), tranche of Greek bailout loans, potentially saving the country from default.
  • 8. Causes : • Rising private and government debt levels around the world • The structure of the Euro zone as a monetary union (i.e., one currency) without fiscal union (e.g., different tax and public pension rules) contributed to the crisis and harmed the ability of European leaders to respond 5x Government Banking government debt system debt revenue
  • 10. Options to deal with debt: • Print money Inflate your way out • Default Restructure the debt