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Ageing and Ethnicity:
Summary of Runnymede Research


Omar Khan
Head of Policy Research
Runnymede



                                11
About Runnymede

The Runnymede Trust is an independent race
equality think tank. We generate intelligence for a
multi-ethnic Britain through:

 High quality research and analysis
 Engaging communities and network building
 Policy engagement



                                                      22
Ageing, Ethnicity and Financial
Inclusion

3 Year Programme
5 Research reports (4 on your memory stick; 5th in Jan 2013).
2 Films (of deliberative assemblies in London & Birmingham)
Future Ageing and Diversity:
Background and consequences
Background 1 BME population of all ages increasing; Older BME pop
                increasing. Presently mainly overseas-born.
Background 2 Lower rates of employment and wages lead to greater
                risk of poverty


Consequence 1 Future needs likely to be very different.
Consequence 2 Policymakers, health and social care services and LAs


                 need to plan now.
BME pop of all ages is increasing
               35                                                   25
                                                      30%
               30
                                                                    20




                                                                         BME pop (millions)
               25                                            20.7
BME pop as %




               20                                                   15

               15                                                   10
                    9%
               10
                                                                    5
               5           4.5
               0                                                    0
                    2001         2016        2026           2051

                                        %   Million


    • The Future Ageing of England and Wales
Older BME pop is increasing
                            3,000

                                                                                2,700
                            2,500
Older BME pop (thousands)




                            2,000                                               1,940


                            1,500


                            1,000

                                    230
                             500

                                           130
                               0
                                    2001         2011   2021   2031   2041   2051


                                                        65+    70+


      • 12 and 14 times increase
BME people and pensioner poverty
              Risk of pensioner poverty by ethnicity, 2007-8

                                60

                                50
Risk of pensioner poverty (%)




                                40

                                30

                                20

                                10

                                0
                                       White      Pakistani &   Black Caribbean   Indian   Chinese or other   All
                                                  Bangladeshi




              •                 All (18%), Black Caribbean (30%), Pakistani & Bangladeshi (49%)
Why are BME people poor when older?
•     Less likely to have pensions…

                                                  White            Ethnic
                                                                   minorities
    % with private pension (in employment)          53               39
                                                  All              Ethnic
                                                                   minorities
                                                                          (2005-6)
    •% building entitlement to S2P other assets –
       Less able to compensate with           75                     65
        • Savings
        • Home ownership

                                      % with no savings

       Black or Black British                63
       Asian or Asian British             60              (2005)
       All                                33
Low income and ethnicity
 Income poverty rate by ethnicity, 2002-5

   White British

      White Other

           Indian

Black Caribbean

  Black African

         Pakistani

      Bangladeshi

                     0      10         20           30         40     50   60   70
                                            Income poverty rate (%)


  •     Bangladeshi (65%), Pakistani (55%), White British (20%)
  •     Reflects unemployment but also poor quality work
Retiring Overseas – Considerations

    •Income and savings
    •Family and friends
    •Healthcare costs – and quality
    •Tax and benefits arrangements (e.g.
    •Health (and climate!)
    •The Costs of ‘Returning Home’




                                            10
                                           10
Retiring Overseas – Pensions Uprating
and other recommendations
 •No uprating in Africa, most of Asia and most of Caribbean,
 or Canada, Australia, South Africa
 •Exceptions are Jamaica, Turkey, Philippines, Barbados
 •Loss of pension income estimated at £24,000 over 20
 years
 •Better information
 •Healthcare arrangement and access to NHS
 •To Stay or Not to Stay
                                                                11
                                                               11
Retiring in the UK: Rural and Care Concerns

•UK born will not ‘return’ home
•BME tend to live in urban areas; older people retire to country
•Policymakers and local officials must plan for future
•This includes catering to needs of ethnic minorities, e.g.
community centres
•Care homes should better cater for BME needs. Culturally
competent care, including staff training
•A Sense of Place

                                                                    12
                                                                   12
Rural Distribution in 2001, and 2051
                 Proportion living in rural UK in 2001 and 2051, by ethnicity


  40


  35


  30


  25

                                                                                          2001
  20
                                                                                          2051

  15


  10


   5


   0
         White               Asian                    Black               Chinese/Other




Rural Distribution in 2001, and 2051                                                              13
                                                                                                 13
BME Care Home Population, 2011-2051
Care Home Residents: Indian older people
Grandparenting

• Report due in January 2013
• Policymakers need to give greater attention to importance
  of informal care
• BME grandparents make large contribution. Government
  could consider reforming leave system
• Govt should tackle cultural barriers to improve uptake of
  formal childcare
• Govt needs to do more to encourage savings


                                                               16
                                                              16
Ethnicity and Ageing: diverse but uncertain future
• Increasing growth and diversity of BME older population
• But still evidence of greater poverty
• BME people live in urban areas, older people retire in rural or seaside
  areas. As the population increases and diversifies, will more BME
  older people move out of cities?
• Almost all older BME people today were born abroad, an increasing
  number will be British-born in future, with different decision-making.
• For policymakers, local authorities and indeed national agencies, the
  increased diversity and distribution of the future older population
  needs to be planned for today.
Questions…?

To discuss our research and work, please contact me
  at:

 omar@runnymedetrust.org
 020 7377 9222




                                                      18

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Dr Omar Khan - Runnymede

  • 1. Ageing and Ethnicity: Summary of Runnymede Research Omar Khan Head of Policy Research Runnymede 11
  • 2. About Runnymede The Runnymede Trust is an independent race equality think tank. We generate intelligence for a multi-ethnic Britain through:  High quality research and analysis  Engaging communities and network building  Policy engagement 22
  • 3. Ageing, Ethnicity and Financial Inclusion 3 Year Programme 5 Research reports (4 on your memory stick; 5th in Jan 2013). 2 Films (of deliberative assemblies in London & Birmingham)
  • 4. Future Ageing and Diversity: Background and consequences Background 1 BME population of all ages increasing; Older BME pop increasing. Presently mainly overseas-born. Background 2 Lower rates of employment and wages lead to greater risk of poverty Consequence 1 Future needs likely to be very different. Consequence 2 Policymakers, health and social care services and LAs need to plan now.
  • 5. BME pop of all ages is increasing 35 25 30% 30 20 BME pop (millions) 25 20.7 BME pop as % 20 15 15 10 9% 10 5 5 4.5 0 0 2001 2016 2026 2051 % Million • The Future Ageing of England and Wales
  • 6. Older BME pop is increasing 3,000 2,700 2,500 Older BME pop (thousands) 2,000 1,940 1,500 1,000 230 500 130 0 2001 2011 2021 2031 2041 2051 65+ 70+ • 12 and 14 times increase
  • 7. BME people and pensioner poverty Risk of pensioner poverty by ethnicity, 2007-8 60 50 Risk of pensioner poverty (%) 40 30 20 10 0 White Pakistani & Black Caribbean Indian Chinese or other All Bangladeshi • All (18%), Black Caribbean (30%), Pakistani & Bangladeshi (49%)
  • 8. Why are BME people poor when older? • Less likely to have pensions… White Ethnic minorities % with private pension (in employment) 53 39 All Ethnic minorities (2005-6) •% building entitlement to S2P other assets – Less able to compensate with 75 65 • Savings • Home ownership % with no savings Black or Black British 63 Asian or Asian British 60 (2005) All 33
  • 9. Low income and ethnicity Income poverty rate by ethnicity, 2002-5 White British White Other Indian Black Caribbean Black African Pakistani Bangladeshi 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Income poverty rate (%) • Bangladeshi (65%), Pakistani (55%), White British (20%) • Reflects unemployment but also poor quality work
  • 10. Retiring Overseas – Considerations •Income and savings •Family and friends •Healthcare costs – and quality •Tax and benefits arrangements (e.g. •Health (and climate!) •The Costs of ‘Returning Home’ 10 10
  • 11. Retiring Overseas – Pensions Uprating and other recommendations •No uprating in Africa, most of Asia and most of Caribbean, or Canada, Australia, South Africa •Exceptions are Jamaica, Turkey, Philippines, Barbados •Loss of pension income estimated at £24,000 over 20 years •Better information •Healthcare arrangement and access to NHS •To Stay or Not to Stay 11 11
  • 12. Retiring in the UK: Rural and Care Concerns •UK born will not ‘return’ home •BME tend to live in urban areas; older people retire to country •Policymakers and local officials must plan for future •This includes catering to needs of ethnic minorities, e.g. community centres •Care homes should better cater for BME needs. Culturally competent care, including staff training •A Sense of Place 12 12
  • 13. Rural Distribution in 2001, and 2051 Proportion living in rural UK in 2001 and 2051, by ethnicity 40 35 30 25 2001 20 2051 15 10 5 0 White Asian Black Chinese/Other Rural Distribution in 2001, and 2051 13 13
  • 14. BME Care Home Population, 2011-2051
  • 15. Care Home Residents: Indian older people
  • 16. Grandparenting • Report due in January 2013 • Policymakers need to give greater attention to importance of informal care • BME grandparents make large contribution. Government could consider reforming leave system • Govt should tackle cultural barriers to improve uptake of formal childcare • Govt needs to do more to encourage savings 16 16
  • 17. Ethnicity and Ageing: diverse but uncertain future • Increasing growth and diversity of BME older population • But still evidence of greater poverty • BME people live in urban areas, older people retire in rural or seaside areas. As the population increases and diversifies, will more BME older people move out of cities? • Almost all older BME people today were born abroad, an increasing number will be British-born in future, with different decision-making. • For policymakers, local authorities and indeed national agencies, the increased diversity and distribution of the future older population needs to be planned for today.
  • 18. Questions…? To discuss our research and work, please contact me at:  omar@runnymedetrust.org  020 7377 9222 18