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agneya                                                                                                     Volume 2 Issue 4




HORIZONS
 25 July, 2012




International Markets for Renewable Energy                                                Compliance Vs Voluntary
Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs) were introduced in India in 2010 to promote          RE Markets
Renewable Energy Sources and to support Renewable Purchase Obligation
mechanism. Since trading started in March 2011, the market has taken off well and
has matured over the period. Globally, Europe and United States are the biggest                      Comparative size of
markets of Renewable Energy.                                                                           Compliance and
                                                                                                    Voluntary RE segments

Europe                                                                                      India
Compliance market
The Renewable Purchase Standards in Europe are driven by commitment to                       EU

increase the share of Renewable Energy in the electricity mix. Obligated entities can        US
fulfill obligations by purchasing Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs). Compliance
certificate schemes in Europe are national, with all countries except Italy having                  0%       50%         100%
obligations on the percentage of electricity to be consumed from Renewable Energy
                                                                                                    Compliance     Voluntary
sources by electricity suppliers. Certificates are issued by Government designated
authorities. In UK, The Gas and Electricity Markets Authority is responsible for the      Source: Hedenstroem, C. (2011).
implementation and administration of RPS on all licensed electricity suppliers. Size      Highlights of EU policies for renewables
of Compliance certificate market for UK was £1.3 billion (i.e. around Rs. 8,500
Crores) for the year 2010-11                                                              International REC markets are
                                                                                          mix of Compliance and Voluntary
Voluntary market                                                                          segments. While Compliance is
Unlike the Compliance market, Voluntary market in Europe is driven by environment         dominant segment, Voluntary
conscious electricity consumers. Voluntary schemes for Renewable Energy                   markets provide valuable support
Certificates in Europe started in 2001, after liberalization of the electricity sector.   to the overall RE market.
Designated competent bodies supervise the issue of “Guarantees of Origin” (GO)
which specifies the source, time and place where the electricity is produced. The
Association of Issuing Bodies (AIB) was formed to standardize the certification
2
Options for Buying
Renewable Energy

    Share of Market Sector in
     Total Voluntary Sales
       (US), Million MWh

                      5.4



         19.8               10.4       system across member States. There are currently 16 countries with a standardized
                                       certificate system and issuing body as a member of AIB.

        Utility Green Pricing
                                       USA
        Competitive Markets
                                       Compliance market
        Unbundled REC Markets          Most States in US have independent targets for increasing the share of Renewable
                                       Energy in the electricity mix. Thirty-nine of the fifty States have binding RPS in US.
Source: NREL, Oct 2011
                                       Most of the States allow the use of RECs for fulfilling RPOs. Independent bodies
                                       issue RECs which are independently audited by Utility Commissions. RECs have
                                       associated attributes such as energy facility (e.g. wind or biomass), technology of
Various options are available to       origin, and the generation date. Prices of REC vary as per attributes and issuing
consumers including residential        body. Most States allow RECs generated in their respective States only for fulfilling
consumers to buy Renewable             the RPS, with tracking systems to ensure that RECs are exhausted after use.
Energy:
                                       Voluntary market
1) Utilities    offering    Green      The drivers for this market are similar to European markets with environmental
   Energy        to      electricity   consciousness and growing awareness amongst the population being the key
   consumers. Consumers can            reasons. Buyers include both Residential and Business consumers. Voluntary RECs
   pay premium for purchasing          are issued and marketed by different issuing bodies. Further, programs such as
   Renewable Energy for either         Green-e Energy have been developed to ensure that no double selling of voluntary
   full or partial consumption of      certificates occurs. The size of the Voluntary market in US is estimated to be $168 -
   Renewable Energy.                   285 million.
2) Consumers can choose to
                                               Energy Markets in Europe and US (TWh/annum)
   switch electricity Financing if
                        supplier                                                                                         Source:
   their current provider does            EU                              3300                   350        300          Hedenstroem,
   not offer green energy option.                                          3950
                                                                                                                         C. (2011).
                                          US                                                           55   35
                       Commercials
   Electricity supplier can either                                                                                       Highlights of
                                                                                                                         EU policies for
   purchase RECs or buy                      Conventional energy market   Compliance RE market     Voluntary RE market
                                                                                                                         renewables
   Renewable        energy    from
   Generators
                       Technology
3) Consumers can buy green             India – An evolving framework for REC markets
   energy from the market              The REC market in India is new, with pricing capped by the government. The role of
   through companies, brokers          the Government in pricing, however, is expected to reduce as the market matures.
   selling unbundled RECs              Compliance REC markets are still in the process of stabilizing – the process for
                                       registration needs to be streamlined in order to make it easier for larger number of
                                       buyers/sellers to participate. Introduction of Voluntary market mechanism meanwhile,
                                       has the potential of further boosting REC market in the country.
agneya                                                                                                                                                                         3




 REC Market in July 2012
                                                                                                                                 REC Inventory
REC Trade                                                                                               Clearing Price
                               Buy Bids                  Sell Bids              Volume Traded
July 2012                                                                                                Rs. per REC
                                                                                                                                         REC Inventory July 2012
                 IEX            149,628                  435,348                      147,369                  2,000
Non-Solar
                 PXIL           11,400                    32,194                      10,851                   2,202

                 IEX             8,554                     419                          93                     12,800
Solar                                                                                                                                           3,33,969   1,58,220
                 PXIL            200                       130                          86                     12,800

                                                                                                                                                                      3,49,526

                                                                                                                                     1,73,777
Lean trading session for RECs
After strong showing in the first three trading sessions of this financial year, the REC
market slowed down in July. The first quarter was expected to present Obligated
Entities with the opportunity to fulfill their commitments at a lower price as the market
tends to pick up gradually after April. With the initial rush for purchases over, the                                            Source: REC Registry
market is settling down for a lean period. It must be noted however, that REC price of
Rs. 2000 in July is still 29% higher than same session last year, even after lowering
of forbearance price from Rs. 3900 to Rs. 3300.
                                                                                                                                 Opportunity for
   250                                                                                                  236              3,500   Obligated Entities
                                                                     206        200                                      3,000
   200                                                                                                                           With highest ever balance of
                                                            172                                  169
                                                                                                                158      2,500   RECs       accumulated     with
   150
                                                                                                                         2,000
                                                                                                                                 developers and Wind season on,
                                           106    112                                                                            it is expected that supply will
                                  96                                                                                     1,500
   100                                                                                                                           exceed demand by a wide
                                                                                        71
                                                                                                                         1,000   margin in next trading session.
                          46
    50
                   25
                                                                                                                                 Hence, it is a good opportunity
            19                                                                                                           500
                                                                                                                                 for Obligated Entities to fulfill
    -                                                                                                                    -       RPO by buying RECs at lower
          July
          2011
                  Aug
                  2011
                         Sept
                         2011
                                Oct 2011   Nov
                                           2011
                                                  Dec
                                                  2011
                                                          Jan 2012    Feb
                                                                     2012
                                                                                Mar
                                                                               2012
                                                                                       April
                                                                                       2012
                                                                                                 May
                                                                                                 2012
                                                                                                        June
                                                                                                        2012
                                                                                                                July
                                                                                                                2012
                                                                                                                                 prices.

             IEX and PXIL Whole Volume Trade in Thousands                   Price at IEX (RHS)          Price at PXIL (RHS)
Capacity Registered, MW
                                   600                                                                                         3000
4
State-wise Registered              500                                                                                         2500


Capacity, April 2012 to            400                             384
                                                                                                             335
                                                                                                                               2000


date                               300   273   287                       271                                                   1500


                                                            172                                                          172
State                         MW200                                             149            158                             1000
                                                      113                                                          106
Tamil Nadu                      257                                                     93           73
Maharashtra                     197100                                                                                         500
Gujarat                         106
Karnataka                        69 0                                                                                          0
Madhya Pradesh                   21
Uttar Pradesh                    13
Chhattisgarh                     12
Rajasthan                         8
Himachal Pradesh                  3
Punjab                            0                           Cum. Registered till Date(RHS)    Registered
Uttarakhand                       0
Kerala                            0
J&K                               0       Although trade value in this session fell by 44% of last trading session to
Haryana                           0       Rs.31.86 Crore, still this is 14 times of the trade value during July last year.
Total                           686




Source-wise Registered
Capacity, April 2012 to
date
Source                        MW
Wind                            532
Biomass                          82
Bio-fuel cogen                   50
Solar PV                         18
Small Hydro                       4
Total                           686




agneya
Agneya is promoted by alumni of IIM Ahmedabad and IIM Bangalore. We provide services in the following areas –

Renewable Energy – advising clients on the best possible portfolio of renewable energy (wind, solar, bio) across tariff regimes,
technology options, electricity sales structuring and availing incentives like REC and GBI.

Renewable Energy Regulations – advising clients on regulatory aspects of electricity market, options for realizing the maximum
value from their energy assets and minimizing costs related to regulatory compliance including addressing RPO.

Carbon & Energy – measuring carbon footprint, current/future energy profiling, and setting up energy management systems to
assess risks and opportunities related to energy security and climate change.

Sustainability – building robust long term foundations for business i.e. managing economic, environmental and social aspects of
business. These include establishing sustainability management framework and reporting as per GRI guidelines.

For further information on Renewable Energy Certificates or other services, please contact us at –
E-mail – rahul@agneya.in | Phone – +91-20-41203800, +91-88 06 07 07 83 | Website – www.agneya.in

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International Markets for Renewable Energy

  • 1. agneya Volume 2 Issue 4 HORIZONS 25 July, 2012 International Markets for Renewable Energy Compliance Vs Voluntary Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs) were introduced in India in 2010 to promote RE Markets Renewable Energy Sources and to support Renewable Purchase Obligation mechanism. Since trading started in March 2011, the market has taken off well and has matured over the period. Globally, Europe and United States are the biggest Comparative size of markets of Renewable Energy. Compliance and Voluntary RE segments Europe India Compliance market The Renewable Purchase Standards in Europe are driven by commitment to EU increase the share of Renewable Energy in the electricity mix. Obligated entities can US fulfill obligations by purchasing Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs). Compliance certificate schemes in Europe are national, with all countries except Italy having 0% 50% 100% obligations on the percentage of electricity to be consumed from Renewable Energy Compliance Voluntary sources by electricity suppliers. Certificates are issued by Government designated authorities. In UK, The Gas and Electricity Markets Authority is responsible for the Source: Hedenstroem, C. (2011). implementation and administration of RPS on all licensed electricity suppliers. Size Highlights of EU policies for renewables of Compliance certificate market for UK was £1.3 billion (i.e. around Rs. 8,500 Crores) for the year 2010-11 International REC markets are mix of Compliance and Voluntary Voluntary market segments. While Compliance is Unlike the Compliance market, Voluntary market in Europe is driven by environment dominant segment, Voluntary conscious electricity consumers. Voluntary schemes for Renewable Energy markets provide valuable support Certificates in Europe started in 2001, after liberalization of the electricity sector. to the overall RE market. Designated competent bodies supervise the issue of “Guarantees of Origin” (GO) which specifies the source, time and place where the electricity is produced. The Association of Issuing Bodies (AIB) was formed to standardize the certification
  • 2. 2 Options for Buying Renewable Energy Share of Market Sector in Total Voluntary Sales (US), Million MWh 5.4 19.8 10.4 system across member States. There are currently 16 countries with a standardized certificate system and issuing body as a member of AIB. Utility Green Pricing USA Competitive Markets Compliance market Unbundled REC Markets Most States in US have independent targets for increasing the share of Renewable Energy in the electricity mix. Thirty-nine of the fifty States have binding RPS in US. Source: NREL, Oct 2011 Most of the States allow the use of RECs for fulfilling RPOs. Independent bodies issue RECs which are independently audited by Utility Commissions. RECs have associated attributes such as energy facility (e.g. wind or biomass), technology of Various options are available to origin, and the generation date. Prices of REC vary as per attributes and issuing consumers including residential body. Most States allow RECs generated in their respective States only for fulfilling consumers to buy Renewable the RPS, with tracking systems to ensure that RECs are exhausted after use. Energy: Voluntary market 1) Utilities offering Green The drivers for this market are similar to European markets with environmental Energy to electricity consciousness and growing awareness amongst the population being the key consumers. Consumers can reasons. Buyers include both Residential and Business consumers. Voluntary RECs pay premium for purchasing are issued and marketed by different issuing bodies. Further, programs such as Renewable Energy for either Green-e Energy have been developed to ensure that no double selling of voluntary full or partial consumption of certificates occurs. The size of the Voluntary market in US is estimated to be $168 - Renewable Energy. 285 million. 2) Consumers can choose to Energy Markets in Europe and US (TWh/annum) switch electricity Financing if supplier Source: their current provider does EU 3300 350 300 Hedenstroem, not offer green energy option. 3950 C. (2011). US 55 35 Commercials Electricity supplier can either Highlights of EU policies for purchase RECs or buy Conventional energy market Compliance RE market Voluntary RE market renewables Renewable energy from Generators Technology 3) Consumers can buy green India – An evolving framework for REC markets energy from the market The REC market in India is new, with pricing capped by the government. The role of through companies, brokers the Government in pricing, however, is expected to reduce as the market matures. selling unbundled RECs Compliance REC markets are still in the process of stabilizing – the process for registration needs to be streamlined in order to make it easier for larger number of buyers/sellers to participate. Introduction of Voluntary market mechanism meanwhile, has the potential of further boosting REC market in the country.
  • 3. agneya 3 REC Market in July 2012 REC Inventory REC Trade Clearing Price Buy Bids Sell Bids Volume Traded July 2012 Rs. per REC REC Inventory July 2012 IEX 149,628 435,348 147,369 2,000 Non-Solar PXIL 11,400 32,194 10,851 2,202 IEX 8,554 419 93 12,800 Solar 3,33,969 1,58,220 PXIL 200 130 86 12,800 3,49,526 1,73,777 Lean trading session for RECs After strong showing in the first three trading sessions of this financial year, the REC market slowed down in July. The first quarter was expected to present Obligated Entities with the opportunity to fulfill their commitments at a lower price as the market tends to pick up gradually after April. With the initial rush for purchases over, the Source: REC Registry market is settling down for a lean period. It must be noted however, that REC price of Rs. 2000 in July is still 29% higher than same session last year, even after lowering of forbearance price from Rs. 3900 to Rs. 3300. Opportunity for 250 236 3,500 Obligated Entities 206 200 3,000 200 With highest ever balance of 172 169 158 2,500 RECs accumulated with 150 2,000 developers and Wind season on, 106 112 it is expected that supply will 96 1,500 100 exceed demand by a wide 71 1,000 margin in next trading session. 46 50 25 Hence, it is a good opportunity 19 500 for Obligated Entities to fulfill - - RPO by buying RECs at lower July 2011 Aug 2011 Sept 2011 Oct 2011 Nov 2011 Dec 2011 Jan 2012 Feb 2012 Mar 2012 April 2012 May 2012 June 2012 July 2012 prices. IEX and PXIL Whole Volume Trade in Thousands Price at IEX (RHS) Price at PXIL (RHS)
  • 4. Capacity Registered, MW 600 3000 4 State-wise Registered 500 2500 Capacity, April 2012 to 400 384 335 2000 date 300 273 287 271 1500 172 172 State MW200 149 158 1000 113 106 Tamil Nadu 257 93 73 Maharashtra 197100 500 Gujarat 106 Karnataka 69 0 0 Madhya Pradesh 21 Uttar Pradesh 13 Chhattisgarh 12 Rajasthan 8 Himachal Pradesh 3 Punjab 0 Cum. Registered till Date(RHS) Registered Uttarakhand 0 Kerala 0 J&K 0 Although trade value in this session fell by 44% of last trading session to Haryana 0 Rs.31.86 Crore, still this is 14 times of the trade value during July last year. Total 686 Source-wise Registered Capacity, April 2012 to date Source MW Wind 532 Biomass 82 Bio-fuel cogen 50 Solar PV 18 Small Hydro 4 Total 686 agneya Agneya is promoted by alumni of IIM Ahmedabad and IIM Bangalore. We provide services in the following areas – Renewable Energy – advising clients on the best possible portfolio of renewable energy (wind, solar, bio) across tariff regimes, technology options, electricity sales structuring and availing incentives like REC and GBI. Renewable Energy Regulations – advising clients on regulatory aspects of electricity market, options for realizing the maximum value from their energy assets and minimizing costs related to regulatory compliance including addressing RPO. Carbon & Energy – measuring carbon footprint, current/future energy profiling, and setting up energy management systems to assess risks and opportunities related to energy security and climate change. Sustainability – building robust long term foundations for business i.e. managing economic, environmental and social aspects of business. These include establishing sustainability management framework and reporting as per GRI guidelines. For further information on Renewable Energy Certificates or other services, please contact us at – E-mail – rahul@agneya.in | Phone – +91-20-41203800, +91-88 06 07 07 83 | Website – www.agneya.in