9. Climate variability and change 1. Adaptation to progressive climate change 2. Adaptation through managing climate risk 3. Pro-poor climate change mitigation Technologies, practices, policies and capacity enhancement: 4. Integration for decision making Enhanced adaptive capacity in agricultural, NRM & food systems Improved environmental benefits Improved livelihoods Improved food security Trade-offs and synergies
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12. Further analysis will be based on – Heubes, J., Kühn, I., König, K., Wittig, R., Zizka, G. and Hahn, K. (2011), Modelling biome shifts and tree cover change for 2050 in West Africa. Journal of Biogeography. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2011.02560.x Financed by GRP5 Marketplace 2010: i) Impacts of climate change on the distribution of AGF tree species in the Amazon – a sensitivity analysis, ii) Global agroforestry trajectories under a changing climate - for details contact Konstantin König – k.koenig@cgiar.org Adressing climate change impact on AGF in the Amazon – iii) results AGF tree species predictions Climate driven shifts of AGF systems Recent distribution of Cacau AGF Systems in the Amazon Prediction of Cacau Agroforesty Systems in 2050 (SRES A1B, Echam5) ICRAF LA