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Market Confidence Meter

          The National Association
              of Realtors reports
                     that
           prices for single-family
              homes rose in 88%
                of U.S. cities
           in the fourth quarter of
                      2012.
Market Confidence Meter

             Nationally, we have
           recovered about 66% of
              the jobs lost in the
             63-month recession.

           More people working =
             fewer foreclosures, a
           better housing recovery
            and a better economy.
Market Confidence Meter

         NJ Housing Affordability
                 is at 133%.
         This means you can buy a
          third more house for the
         same monthly payment,
              a $400,000 house
            for the same monthly
                 payment as
             a $300,000 house!
Market Confidence Meter

            The Federal Reserve
           will continue boosting
          housing market recovery
                 by keeping
           downward pressure on
                interest rates,
                now at or near
                historic lows.
Market Confidence Meter
                  In New Jersey,
                January was the 16th
               consecutive month of
             increased sales. Housing
          inventory is down to its lowest
          levels since 2005, the last year
              of the housing bubble.
             With sales up and supply
           down, everything points to a
               strong, breakout NJ
          real estate market this Spring!
Market Confidence Meter
           The average rate on a 30-
          year, fixed-rate mortgage is
                 still below 4%.
                   At these rates,
               and with rising rents,
             Homeownership is now
              cheaper than Renting
           in all 100 of the largest U.S.
            metros by a wide margin,
                  reported Trulia!
Historic Home Prices
    Remember, when adjusted for
   inflation, American home prices
increased by an average of about half
     a percentage point per year
       from 1890 through 2008,
 according to data compiled by Yale
 University Professor Robert Shiller.

(www.USNews.com/money - Luke Mullins, March 4, 2010)
Market Confidence Meter

           The Federal Reserve
           Bank of Philadelphia
            forecasts the New
             Jersey economy
          growing at more than
          4.5% over the next six
                 months.
With an eye to Moving This Year!
If you are a Buyer,
•   with today’s low interest rates, hovering around 3.4% for 30-year
    fixed-rate mortgages, AFFORDABILITY is HIGH !
•   consult with an experienced New Jersey mortgage counselor to
    assess your buying power and position yourself in the market.
If you are a Seller,
•   Pinpoint pricing is all important in this challenging market.
•   Professional staging can make all the difference in getting a
    good, negotiable offer.
•   Pre-inspections prevent later fall-throughs once you have a
    contract for sale!
•   Marketing for today’s buyers and the way they search for
    homes–on the INTERNET, makes all the difference.
Top Five Rules for Understanding
    the Real Estate Market:
       1.   Real Estate is Local
       2.   Real Estate is Local
       3.   Real Estate is Local
      4.    Real Estate is Local.
      5.     Real Estate is Local
Understand the Local Market That

     You are Buying into or
         Selling out of!
How do we assess strength and vitality
    in our real estate markets?

By checking the “Absorption Rate.”
This is the number of homes available
  divided by the number of homes
    that have gone under contract
          in the past 30 days.

  It is our most accurate measure
      of current market strength.
Sample Market Absorption Rate

                        Anyt ow n., NJ


        100 cur r ent act ive list ings            25
                                             = Mont hs’
    4 r epor t ed sales in last 30 days       absor pt ion
                                                 r at e

5-6 Months Market Absorption Rate indicates a normal market.
14

Market Absorption Scale
 (Absorption Rate in Months)
Market Scale for Supply & Demand
                                                                 Weichert, Realtors has
                                                                 been studying market
                                       1                         conditions for more than 3
Market Absorption in Months




                                                                 decades and has found a
                                       2                         direct correlation between
                                       3                         market absorption rates
                                                                 and property values.
                                       4                         As absorption rates increase
                                       5                         beyond a normal market
                              Normal




                                                                 level of 5-6 months,
                                       6                         property values depreciate
                                                                 annually. As they decrease
                                       7                         below 5 months, they
                                                                 increase—inverse
                                       8
                                                                 proportion. Although
                                       9                         different markets may not
                                                                 see the amount of decrease
                                   10                            shown here, the pressure on
                                                                 prices will be similar.
                                   11
                                   12
3/4/13
Towns        Active     Pending   Absorption   New Listings   Net Gain    Listings     % of      Expired    W/drawn    Closed
             Listings   in Last   Rate in      in 30 Days     (Loss) to   Reduced in   Invent.   Listings   Listings   Listings
                        30 Days   Months                      Market      30 Days      Reduced

West
Windsor:     64         24        2.7          22             (2)         12           18.8%     1          2          16
All Styles

West
Windsor      9          9         1.0          5              (4)         1            11.1%     1          1          4
Condo/
T.Houses

West
Windsor      8          2         4.0          2              0           _            _         0          0          3
55+

West
Windsor      47         13        3.6          15             2           11           23.4%     0          1          9
Single
Family




Lawrence:
All Styles   144        12        12.0         48             36          18           12.5%     10         1          20
Lawrence:
Condo/       41         5         8.2          17             12          7            17.1%     5          0          8
THouses

Lawrence:
55+          9          0         99           1              1           _            _         1          1          4
Lawrence:
Single       94         7         13.4         30             23          11           11.7%     4          0          8
Family
3/4/13

Towns        Active     Pending   Absorption   New           Net Gain    Listings   % of      Expired    W/drawn    Closed
             Listings   in Last   Rate in      Listings in   (Loss) to   Reduced    Invent.   Listings   Listings   Listings
                        30 Days   Months       30 Days       Market      in 30      Reduced
                                                                         Days




Plainsboro
All Styles
             65         17        3.8          25            8           7          11%       6          0          15

Plainsboro
Condo/
             28         7         4            8             1           4          14%       4          0          8
THouses


Plainsboro
55+
             12         5         2.4          3             (2)         1          8%        1          0          3

Plainsboro
Single
             25         5         5            14            9           2          8%        1          0          4
Family




Cranbury:
All Styles
             14         2         7            6             4           1          7%        2          0          0
3/4/13
Towns        Active     Pending   Absorption   New           Net Gain    Listings     % of      Expired    W/drawn    Closed
             Listings   in Last   Rate in      Listings in   (Loss) to   Reduced in   Invent.   Listings   Listings   Listings
                        30 Days   Months       30 Days       Market      30 Days      Reduced


Ewing:
All Styles
              206         20         10            47          27           37          18%       10          4         14
Ewing :
Condo/
               29         5           6            11           6            5          17%        1          1          4
T.Houses

Ewing
55+:
                6         2           3             0           2           ---          ---       2          0          1
Ewing:
Single
              171         13         13            36          23           32          19%        7          3          9
Family



East
Windsor:
              141         22          6            38          16           19          13%        7          3         10
All Styles

East
Windsor:
               71         15          5            13           -2          12          17%        7          3          3
Condo/
Thouses

East
Windsor:
                8         0         999             1           1           ---          ---       0          0          1
55+

East
Windsor:
               62         7           9            24          17            7          11%        0          0          6
Single
Family
3/4/13
Towns            Active     Pending   Absorption   New           Net Gain    Listings     % of      Expired    W/drawn    Closed
                 Listings   in Last   Rate in      Listings in   (Loss) to   Reduced in   Invent.   Listings   Listings   Listings
                            30 Days   Months       30 Days       Market      30 Days      Reduced


Hopewell
Twp.             137        14        9.8          46            32          16           11.7%     1          4          6
All Styles

Hopewell
Twp. Condo/      6          4         1.5          5             1           1            16.7%     0          1          0
T.Houses

Hopewell
Twp.:            2          0         99           1             1           --           --        0          0          0
55+

Hopewell Twp
Single Family    129        10        12.9         40            30          15           11.6%     1          3          6




                 406        46        8.8          113           67          64           15.8%     17         13         50
Hamilton: All
Styles




                 76         9         8.4          17            8           9            11.8%     4          3          14
Hamilton:
Condo/ THouses




                 26         3         8.7          6             3           --           --        0          0          3
Hamilton:
55+




                 304        34        8.9          90            56          55           18.1%     13         10         33
Hamilton:
Single Family
3/4/13
Towns           Active     Pending   Absorption   New        Net Gain    Listings   % of      Expired    W/drawn    Closed
                Listings   in Last   Rate in      Listings   (Loss) to   Reduced    Invent.   Listings   Listings   Listings
                           30 Days   Months       in 30      Market      in 30      Reduced
                                                  Days                   Days




                76         17        4            27         10          15         20%       8          2          4
Robbinsville
All Styles




                31         10        3            10         0           7          23%       3          1          4
Robbinsville
Condo/
T.Houses




                45         7         6            17         10          8          18%       5          1          0
Single Family




                53         4         13           7          3           16         30%       2          3          1
Hightstown
Boro: All
Styles



                20         0         999          7          7           3          15%       3          1          0
Pennington




                8          1         8            3          2           2          25%       0          0          3
Hopewell Boro
3/4/13

Towns            Active     Pending   Absorption   New           Net Gain    Listings   % of      Expired    W/drawn    Closed
                 Listings   in Last   Rate in      Listings in   (Loss) to   Reduced    Invent.   Listings   Listings   Listings
                            30 Days   Months       30 Days       Market      in 30      Reduced
                                                                             Days




                 120        14        8.6          33            19          16         13.3% 3              2          6
Princeton:
All Styles




                 27         3         9            4             1           3          11.1% 1              1          3
Princeton:
Condo/ Thouses




                 93         11        8.5          29            18          13         14%       2          1          3
Princeton:
Single Family
3/4/13
Towns           Active     Pending   Absorption   New           Net Gain    Listings     % of      Expired    W/drawn    Closed
                Listings   in Last   Rate in      Listings in   (Loss) to   Reduced in   Invent.   Listings   Listings   Listings
                           30 Days   Months       30 Days       Market      30 Days      Reduced




South
Brunswick       159        17        9            41            24          12           8         21         3          20
All Styles


South
BrunswickCon
do/ T.Houses
                55         9         6            18            9           1            2         4          1          9
South
Brunswick       31         1         31           4             3           1            3         3          1          1
55+


South
Brunswick       73         7         10           19            12          10           14        14         1          10
Single Family




Monroe:
All Styles      428        33        13           110           67          34           8         2          1          3

Monroe:
55+             271        28        10           73            45          19           7         1          1          2

Monroe:
Single Family   157        5         30           37            32          15           10        1          0          1
3/4/13
Towns           Active     Pending   Absorption   New           Net Gain    Listings   % of      Expired    W/drawn    Closed
                Listings   in Last   Rate in      Listings in   (Loss) to   Reduced    Invent.   Listings   Listings   Listings
                           30 Days   Months       30 Days       Market      in 30      Reduced
                                                                            Days




                99         17        5.8          31            +14         12         12%       6          0          16
Montgomery
All Styles




                15         6         2.5          6             0           1          6%        0          1          1
Montgomery
Condo/Twnhms




                84         11        7.6          25            +14         11         13%       6          0          15
Single Family




                174        46        3.8          52            +6          24         14%       7          4          27
Hillsborough
All Styles




                61         19        3.2          16            -3          13         21%       2          1          12
Hillsborough
Condo/Twnhms




                113        27        4.2          36            +9          11         10%       5          3          15
Hillsborough
Single Family

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Greater Princeton Area Real Estate Trends March 14 2013

  • 1. Market Confidence Meter The National Association of Realtors reports that prices for single-family homes rose in 88% of U.S. cities in the fourth quarter of 2012.
  • 2. Market Confidence Meter Nationally, we have recovered about 66% of the jobs lost in the 63-month recession. More people working = fewer foreclosures, a better housing recovery and a better economy.
  • 3. Market Confidence Meter NJ Housing Affordability is at 133%. This means you can buy a third more house for the same monthly payment, a $400,000 house for the same monthly payment as a $300,000 house!
  • 4. Market Confidence Meter The Federal Reserve will continue boosting housing market recovery by keeping downward pressure on interest rates, now at or near historic lows.
  • 5. Market Confidence Meter In New Jersey, January was the 16th consecutive month of increased sales. Housing inventory is down to its lowest levels since 2005, the last year of the housing bubble. With sales up and supply down, everything points to a strong, breakout NJ real estate market this Spring!
  • 6. Market Confidence Meter The average rate on a 30- year, fixed-rate mortgage is still below 4%. At these rates, and with rising rents, Homeownership is now cheaper than Renting in all 100 of the largest U.S. metros by a wide margin, reported Trulia!
  • 7. Historic Home Prices Remember, when adjusted for inflation, American home prices increased by an average of about half a percentage point per year from 1890 through 2008, according to data compiled by Yale University Professor Robert Shiller. (www.USNews.com/money - Luke Mullins, March 4, 2010)
  • 8. Market Confidence Meter The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia forecasts the New Jersey economy growing at more than 4.5% over the next six months.
  • 9. With an eye to Moving This Year! If you are a Buyer, • with today’s low interest rates, hovering around 3.4% for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, AFFORDABILITY is HIGH ! • consult with an experienced New Jersey mortgage counselor to assess your buying power and position yourself in the market. If you are a Seller, • Pinpoint pricing is all important in this challenging market. • Professional staging can make all the difference in getting a good, negotiable offer. • Pre-inspections prevent later fall-throughs once you have a contract for sale! • Marketing for today’s buyers and the way they search for homes–on the INTERNET, makes all the difference.
  • 10. Top Five Rules for Understanding the Real Estate Market: 1. Real Estate is Local 2. Real Estate is Local 3. Real Estate is Local 4. Real Estate is Local. 5. Real Estate is Local
  • 11. Understand the Local Market That You are Buying into or Selling out of!
  • 12. How do we assess strength and vitality in our real estate markets? By checking the “Absorption Rate.” This is the number of homes available divided by the number of homes that have gone under contract in the past 30 days. It is our most accurate measure of current market strength.
  • 13. Sample Market Absorption Rate Anyt ow n., NJ 100 cur r ent act ive list ings 25 = Mont hs’ 4 r epor t ed sales in last 30 days absor pt ion r at e 5-6 Months Market Absorption Rate indicates a normal market.
  • 14. 14 Market Absorption Scale (Absorption Rate in Months)
  • 15. Market Scale for Supply & Demand Weichert, Realtors has been studying market 1 conditions for more than 3 Market Absorption in Months decades and has found a 2 direct correlation between 3 market absorption rates and property values. 4 As absorption rates increase 5 beyond a normal market Normal level of 5-6 months, 6 property values depreciate annually. As they decrease 7 below 5 months, they increase—inverse 8 proportion. Although 9 different markets may not see the amount of decrease 10 shown here, the pressure on prices will be similar. 11 12
  • 16. 3/4/13 Towns Active Pending Absorption New Listings Net Gain Listings % of Expired W/drawn Closed Listings in Last Rate in in 30 Days (Loss) to Reduced in Invent. Listings Listings Listings 30 Days Months Market 30 Days Reduced West Windsor: 64 24 2.7 22 (2) 12 18.8% 1 2 16 All Styles West Windsor 9 9 1.0 5 (4) 1 11.1% 1 1 4 Condo/ T.Houses West Windsor 8 2 4.0 2 0 _ _ 0 0 3 55+ West Windsor 47 13 3.6 15 2 11 23.4% 0 1 9 Single Family Lawrence: All Styles 144 12 12.0 48 36 18 12.5% 10 1 20 Lawrence: Condo/ 41 5 8.2 17 12 7 17.1% 5 0 8 THouses Lawrence: 55+ 9 0 99 1 1 _ _ 1 1 4 Lawrence: Single 94 7 13.4 30 23 11 11.7% 4 0 8 Family
  • 17. 3/4/13 Towns Active Pending Absorption New Net Gain Listings % of Expired W/drawn Closed Listings in Last Rate in Listings in (Loss) to Reduced Invent. Listings Listings Listings 30 Days Months 30 Days Market in 30 Reduced Days Plainsboro All Styles 65 17 3.8 25 8 7 11% 6 0 15 Plainsboro Condo/ 28 7 4 8 1 4 14% 4 0 8 THouses Plainsboro 55+ 12 5 2.4 3 (2) 1 8% 1 0 3 Plainsboro Single 25 5 5 14 9 2 8% 1 0 4 Family Cranbury: All Styles 14 2 7 6 4 1 7% 2 0 0
  • 18. 3/4/13 Towns Active Pending Absorption New Net Gain Listings % of Expired W/drawn Closed Listings in Last Rate in Listings in (Loss) to Reduced in Invent. Listings Listings Listings 30 Days Months 30 Days Market 30 Days Reduced Ewing: All Styles 206 20 10 47 27 37 18% 10 4 14 Ewing : Condo/ 29 5 6 11 6 5 17% 1 1 4 T.Houses Ewing 55+: 6 2 3 0 2 --- --- 2 0 1 Ewing: Single 171 13 13 36 23 32 19% 7 3 9 Family East Windsor: 141 22 6 38 16 19 13% 7 3 10 All Styles East Windsor: 71 15 5 13 -2 12 17% 7 3 3 Condo/ Thouses East Windsor: 8 0 999 1 1 --- --- 0 0 1 55+ East Windsor: 62 7 9 24 17 7 11% 0 0 6 Single Family
  • 19. 3/4/13 Towns Active Pending Absorption New Net Gain Listings % of Expired W/drawn Closed Listings in Last Rate in Listings in (Loss) to Reduced in Invent. Listings Listings Listings 30 Days Months 30 Days Market 30 Days Reduced Hopewell Twp. 137 14 9.8 46 32 16 11.7% 1 4 6 All Styles Hopewell Twp. Condo/ 6 4 1.5 5 1 1 16.7% 0 1 0 T.Houses Hopewell Twp.: 2 0 99 1 1 -- -- 0 0 0 55+ Hopewell Twp Single Family 129 10 12.9 40 30 15 11.6% 1 3 6 406 46 8.8 113 67 64 15.8% 17 13 50 Hamilton: All Styles 76 9 8.4 17 8 9 11.8% 4 3 14 Hamilton: Condo/ THouses 26 3 8.7 6 3 -- -- 0 0 3 Hamilton: 55+ 304 34 8.9 90 56 55 18.1% 13 10 33 Hamilton: Single Family
  • 20. 3/4/13 Towns Active Pending Absorption New Net Gain Listings % of Expired W/drawn Closed Listings in Last Rate in Listings (Loss) to Reduced Invent. Listings Listings Listings 30 Days Months in 30 Market in 30 Reduced Days Days 76 17 4 27 10 15 20% 8 2 4 Robbinsville All Styles 31 10 3 10 0 7 23% 3 1 4 Robbinsville Condo/ T.Houses 45 7 6 17 10 8 18% 5 1 0 Single Family 53 4 13 7 3 16 30% 2 3 1 Hightstown Boro: All Styles 20 0 999 7 7 3 15% 3 1 0 Pennington 8 1 8 3 2 2 25% 0 0 3 Hopewell Boro
  • 21. 3/4/13 Towns Active Pending Absorption New Net Gain Listings % of Expired W/drawn Closed Listings in Last Rate in Listings in (Loss) to Reduced Invent. Listings Listings Listings 30 Days Months 30 Days Market in 30 Reduced Days 120 14 8.6 33 19 16 13.3% 3 2 6 Princeton: All Styles 27 3 9 4 1 3 11.1% 1 1 3 Princeton: Condo/ Thouses 93 11 8.5 29 18 13 14% 2 1 3 Princeton: Single Family
  • 22. 3/4/13 Towns Active Pending Absorption New Net Gain Listings % of Expired W/drawn Closed Listings in Last Rate in Listings in (Loss) to Reduced in Invent. Listings Listings Listings 30 Days Months 30 Days Market 30 Days Reduced South Brunswick 159 17 9 41 24 12 8 21 3 20 All Styles South BrunswickCon do/ T.Houses 55 9 6 18 9 1 2 4 1 9 South Brunswick 31 1 31 4 3 1 3 3 1 1 55+ South Brunswick 73 7 10 19 12 10 14 14 1 10 Single Family Monroe: All Styles 428 33 13 110 67 34 8 2 1 3 Monroe: 55+ 271 28 10 73 45 19 7 1 1 2 Monroe: Single Family 157 5 30 37 32 15 10 1 0 1
  • 23. 3/4/13 Towns Active Pending Absorption New Net Gain Listings % of Expired W/drawn Closed Listings in Last Rate in Listings in (Loss) to Reduced Invent. Listings Listings Listings 30 Days Months 30 Days Market in 30 Reduced Days 99 17 5.8 31 +14 12 12% 6 0 16 Montgomery All Styles 15 6 2.5 6 0 1 6% 0 1 1 Montgomery Condo/Twnhms 84 11 7.6 25 +14 11 13% 6 0 15 Single Family 174 46 3.8 52 +6 24 14% 7 4 27 Hillsborough All Styles 61 19 3.2 16 -3 13 21% 2 1 12 Hillsborough Condo/Twnhms 113 27 4.2 36 +9 11 10% 5 3 15 Hillsborough Single Family

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.
  2. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.
  3. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.
  4. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.
  5. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.
  6. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.
  7. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.
  8. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.