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Effective Evaluation: Innovative Methods, Tools and Promising
                           Practices
               Canadian Evaluation Society May 2011
                      Kathryn Graham (PhD)
Overview of Presentation


 Review of:

 • Novel approaches

 • Tools

 • Practices

 • Methodological challenges
Alberta Innovates Health Solutions


 • Research and Innovations System (2010) - Formerly
   Alberta Heritage Foundation for Medical Research

 • Established in 1980 to support medical/health
   research

 • AIHS has provided unprecedented opportunities in
   research
    • Contributed > $1 billion to the scientific community
    • Supported > 8,500 researchers approximately
AIHS Mission



      “to support research and
    innovation activities to improve
      the health and well-being of
     Albertans and create, through
    innovation, health related social
       and economic benefits for
              Albertans”.
Methodological Issues
• Attribution and Contribution

• Time lags

• Counterfactual

• Administrative Burden
AIHS Performance Management and Evaluation Framework



 Multi-faceted Approach:

 • Mixed Methodology – Qualitative and
   Quantitative

 • Multi-Method – case studies to
   bibliometrics

 • Multi-Dimensional – five outcome
   categories
Hybrid Model




 Performance
               Evaluation   Impact
 Management
Pathway to Impact

                                     • # quality of life
                                     • # modifiable risk
                                       factors
                                     • # accessibility




                                           Health Impact



                      Enabling
                      Outcomes
                    Lead to Impact




                                     • # reports of
                                       inventions
                                     • # spin-off companies
                                       and jobs
                                     • Social benefits

                                           Socioeconomi
                                             c Impact
Multi Method Reporting
Emerging Methodologies – Bibliometrics


Bibliometrics: are a set of methods and procedures
used in the measurement of bibliographic records”
including scientific and technological outputs
(e.g., journal publications and patents; Science
Metrix, 2009)

Uses:
• Impact assessments
• Productivity trends
• Collaborative relationships
• Program innovation
• Patterns and intensity of knowledge dissemination
Considerations


• Time lags – time must pass for citations to occur – self
  citations

• Need to account for differences in organizations, technical
  fields, disciplines

• Bias of databases towards English language

• Contribution - uncertainty whether outputs are result of one
  grant or multi-grant

• Multiple Lines of Evidence – complimentary – emerging
  indicators
An Example:

     :


                              Bibliometric Indicators
     •       Publications – in top journals, top 20
             researchers, comparative publication rates –
             Productivity/Activity
     •       Specialization Index – Contextual and Structural
     •       Average Relative Impact Factor - Quality
     •       Average Relative Citation (ARC) – Quality and Uptake
     •       Collaboration rates: interprovincial, international, top 10, field
             comparisons, academic user collaborations - Outreach




April 2011                                                                        12
Positional Analysis for Canada and Selected Countries, 1985-1989


      2

                                                                                                            US
                                                                                                            UK
                                                                                                            France
                                Canada                                                                      Canada
ARC




      1                                                                                                     Sw eden
                                                                                                            Australia
                                                                                                            Sw itzerland
                                                                                                            Denmark
                                                                                                            Finland
                                                                                                            Norw ay
      0
                                                                                                            New -Zealand
          0                                      1                                                 2
                                                SI


              The ARC and the SI for the period is estimated using the average ARC and SI over the period
              Source – Science Metrix and Graph CIHR
Positional Analysis, for Canada and Selected Countries, 1990-1999



         2
                                                                                                               US
                                                                                                               UK
                                                                                                               France
                                                                                                               Canada
                                       Canada
   ARC




                                                                                                               Australia
         1
                                                                                                               Sw eden
                                                                                                               Sw itzerland
                                                                                                               Denmark
                                                                                                               Finland
                                                                                                               Norw ay
         0
                                                                                                               New -Zealand
             0                                       1                                                 2
                                                     SI


                 The ARC and the SI for the period is estimated using the average ARC and SI over the period
                 Source – Science Metrix and Graph CIHR
Positional Analysis for Canada and Selected Countries, 2000-2008


      2.0
                                                                                                                  US
                                                                                                                  UK
                                                                                                                  France
                                              Canada                                                              Canada
                                                                                                                  Australia
ARC




      1.0                                                                                                         Sw eden
                                                                                                                  Sw itzerland
                                                                                                                  Denmark
                                                                                                                  Finland
                                                                                                                  Norw ay

      0.0                                                                                                         New -Zealand
            0.0                                         1.0                                                 2.0
                                                         SI

                  The ARC and the SI for the period is estimated using the average ARC and SI over the period
                  Source – Science Metrix and Graph CIHR
Emerging Methodologies – Patent Citation
Trees
Patent citation trees show forward citing of the
patents generated by funded completed projects.

Uses:
• Citations can be used to track the dissemination of
  technical knowledge to subsequent publications and
  patents.
• Help understand the influence of new knowledge
  created on others.
• Relevance, extent of dissemination and impact.
Current Methodologies – Patent Trees




 Source: Advanced Technology Program, Performance of 50 Completed ATP Projects, Status Report 2, 2001, p. 121.
An Example: Network Diagrams




          Source Time Lags a Feasibility study Rand Europe – Draft 2011
Case Studies Using Pay Back

Case studies are in-depth investigations into a
program, project, facility or phenomenon, usually to examine what
happened, to describe the context in which it happened, to explore
how and why, and to consider what would have happened
otherwise.

• Historical Tracing – start with outcomes back

• Forward Tracing – start with research of interest and trace
  related events going forward
Impact Assessments – Pay Back Case
Studies
Use:

•   Identify exemplary or best-practice experiences
•   Identify the long term payback from health research
•   Explore factors associated with successful research translation
•   Provide insights to inform future funding policy

Considerations:

• Results may not be generalizable
An Example: Mental Health
Outcome Mapping – Developmental Evaluation


  Outcome mapping is a participatory method for
  planning, monitoring and evaluation; focuses on
  changes in behaviour of those with whom the project
  or programs works and oriented towards social
  change and organizational learning.

Uses:
• Focus on outcomes as changes in behaviour
• Sphere of influence
• Logical path
An Example: Performance Management
Reporting
Next Steps - Performance Composite Index

 • Using Factor Analysis and Regression Analysis
   reduce the number of metrics and construct index in
   relation to each program goals.

 • Develop weighting system for goals – evidence from
   other studies

 • Ability to get a clear view of program performance.
   Across a portfolio of programs.

 • Indicate performance at different stages of the
   innovation process
 •
Promising Practices

• Science of Science Network

• Alliances

• Innovation Platforms – Collective measurement and
  Shared Value

• Forum on Research Evaluation Methodologies
Resources
Buxton MJ & Hanney S (1996) How can payback from health services research be assessed? Journal of Health
Services Research & Policy, vol 1, no 1, pp 35-43.
Panel on Return on Investment in Health Research. (2009). Making an Impact: A Preferred Framework and Indicators to
Measure Returns on Investment in Health Research. Canadian Academy of Health Sciences: Ottawa, Canada
Earl S. et al. (2001), Outcome Mapping: Building Learning and Reflection into Development Programs. International
Development Research Centre, Canada
Gamble, J. (2008). A developmental evaluation primer. The J.W. McConnell Family Foundation: Montréal.
Michael Quinn Patton (2010). Developmental evaluation: Applying complexity concepts to enhance innovation and use.
Guilford Press: New York.
Kaplan, RS & Norton, DP (1992). The Balanced Scorecard: Measures that Drive Performance. Harvard Business
Review, (January-February), pp. 71-79.
Kaplan, RS & Norton, DP (1996). Using the Balanced Scorecard as a Strategic Management System. Harvard Business
Review, (January/February), pp. 75-85
Kaplan, RS & Norton, DP (1996). Balanced Scorecard: Translating Strategy into Action. Harvard Business School Press:
Cambridge, Massachusetts
Kaplan RS & Norton DP (2000). The Strategy Focused Organization. Harvard Business School Press: USA
Kaplan RS & Norton DP (2004). Strategy Maps: Converting intangible assets into tangible outcomes. Harvard Business
School Press: Boston
McLaughlin, JA, & Jordan, JB (2004). Logic Models. In, J. S. Wholey, H. P. Hatry & K. E. Newcomer (Eds). Handbook of
Practical Program Evaluation, 2nd Edition .San Francisco, CA: Jossey-Bass.
Mercure, S, Cote, G, Archambault, E. (2007). Scientific Positioning of Alberta in Health Research Specialties. Science-
Metrix. Montreal, Canada. Retrieved from http://www.ahfmr.ab.ca/download.php/b833a02029ebd9e62fd286168dfc2615
Contact information

                    Kathryn Graham (PhD)
              Director, Performance Management
               Alberta Innovates Health Solutions
                1500 – 10104 103 Avenue N.W.
              Edmonton, Alberta, Canada T5J 4A7
       Email:      kathryn.graham@albertainnovates.ca




                     THANK YOU

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Effective Evaluation: Innovative Methods, Tools and Promising Practices

  • 1. Effective Evaluation: Innovative Methods, Tools and Promising Practices Canadian Evaluation Society May 2011 Kathryn Graham (PhD)
  • 2. Overview of Presentation Review of: • Novel approaches • Tools • Practices • Methodological challenges
  • 3. Alberta Innovates Health Solutions • Research and Innovations System (2010) - Formerly Alberta Heritage Foundation for Medical Research • Established in 1980 to support medical/health research • AIHS has provided unprecedented opportunities in research • Contributed > $1 billion to the scientific community • Supported > 8,500 researchers approximately
  • 4. AIHS Mission “to support research and innovation activities to improve the health and well-being of Albertans and create, through innovation, health related social and economic benefits for Albertans”.
  • 5. Methodological Issues • Attribution and Contribution • Time lags • Counterfactual • Administrative Burden
  • 6. AIHS Performance Management and Evaluation Framework Multi-faceted Approach: • Mixed Methodology – Qualitative and Quantitative • Multi-Method – case studies to bibliometrics • Multi-Dimensional – five outcome categories
  • 7. Hybrid Model Performance Evaluation Impact Management
  • 8. Pathway to Impact • # quality of life • # modifiable risk factors • # accessibility Health Impact Enabling Outcomes Lead to Impact • # reports of inventions • # spin-off companies and jobs • Social benefits Socioeconomi c Impact
  • 10. Emerging Methodologies – Bibliometrics Bibliometrics: are a set of methods and procedures used in the measurement of bibliographic records” including scientific and technological outputs (e.g., journal publications and patents; Science Metrix, 2009) Uses: • Impact assessments • Productivity trends • Collaborative relationships • Program innovation • Patterns and intensity of knowledge dissemination
  • 11. Considerations • Time lags – time must pass for citations to occur – self citations • Need to account for differences in organizations, technical fields, disciplines • Bias of databases towards English language • Contribution - uncertainty whether outputs are result of one grant or multi-grant • Multiple Lines of Evidence – complimentary – emerging indicators
  • 12. An Example: : Bibliometric Indicators • Publications – in top journals, top 20 researchers, comparative publication rates – Productivity/Activity • Specialization Index – Contextual and Structural • Average Relative Impact Factor - Quality • Average Relative Citation (ARC) – Quality and Uptake • Collaboration rates: interprovincial, international, top 10, field comparisons, academic user collaborations - Outreach April 2011 12
  • 13. Positional Analysis for Canada and Selected Countries, 1985-1989 2 US UK France Canada Canada ARC 1 Sw eden Australia Sw itzerland Denmark Finland Norw ay 0 New -Zealand 0 1 2 SI The ARC and the SI for the period is estimated using the average ARC and SI over the period Source – Science Metrix and Graph CIHR
  • 14. Positional Analysis, for Canada and Selected Countries, 1990-1999 2 US UK France Canada Canada ARC Australia 1 Sw eden Sw itzerland Denmark Finland Norw ay 0 New -Zealand 0 1 2 SI The ARC and the SI for the period is estimated using the average ARC and SI over the period Source – Science Metrix and Graph CIHR
  • 15. Positional Analysis for Canada and Selected Countries, 2000-2008 2.0 US UK France Canada Canada Australia ARC 1.0 Sw eden Sw itzerland Denmark Finland Norw ay 0.0 New -Zealand 0.0 1.0 2.0 SI The ARC and the SI for the period is estimated using the average ARC and SI over the period Source – Science Metrix and Graph CIHR
  • 16. Emerging Methodologies – Patent Citation Trees Patent citation trees show forward citing of the patents generated by funded completed projects. Uses: • Citations can be used to track the dissemination of technical knowledge to subsequent publications and patents. • Help understand the influence of new knowledge created on others. • Relevance, extent of dissemination and impact.
  • 17. Current Methodologies – Patent Trees Source: Advanced Technology Program, Performance of 50 Completed ATP Projects, Status Report 2, 2001, p. 121.
  • 18. An Example: Network Diagrams Source Time Lags a Feasibility study Rand Europe – Draft 2011
  • 19. Case Studies Using Pay Back Case studies are in-depth investigations into a program, project, facility or phenomenon, usually to examine what happened, to describe the context in which it happened, to explore how and why, and to consider what would have happened otherwise. • Historical Tracing – start with outcomes back • Forward Tracing – start with research of interest and trace related events going forward
  • 20. Impact Assessments – Pay Back Case Studies Use: • Identify exemplary or best-practice experiences • Identify the long term payback from health research • Explore factors associated with successful research translation • Provide insights to inform future funding policy Considerations: • Results may not be generalizable
  • 22. Outcome Mapping – Developmental Evaluation Outcome mapping is a participatory method for planning, monitoring and evaluation; focuses on changes in behaviour of those with whom the project or programs works and oriented towards social change and organizational learning. Uses: • Focus on outcomes as changes in behaviour • Sphere of influence • Logical path
  • 23. An Example: Performance Management Reporting
  • 24. Next Steps - Performance Composite Index • Using Factor Analysis and Regression Analysis reduce the number of metrics and construct index in relation to each program goals. • Develop weighting system for goals – evidence from other studies • Ability to get a clear view of program performance. Across a portfolio of programs. • Indicate performance at different stages of the innovation process •
  • 25. Promising Practices • Science of Science Network • Alliances • Innovation Platforms – Collective measurement and Shared Value • Forum on Research Evaluation Methodologies
  • 26. Resources Buxton MJ & Hanney S (1996) How can payback from health services research be assessed? Journal of Health Services Research & Policy, vol 1, no 1, pp 35-43. Panel on Return on Investment in Health Research. (2009). Making an Impact: A Preferred Framework and Indicators to Measure Returns on Investment in Health Research. Canadian Academy of Health Sciences: Ottawa, Canada Earl S. et al. (2001), Outcome Mapping: Building Learning and Reflection into Development Programs. International Development Research Centre, Canada Gamble, J. (2008). A developmental evaluation primer. The J.W. McConnell Family Foundation: Montréal. Michael Quinn Patton (2010). Developmental evaluation: Applying complexity concepts to enhance innovation and use. Guilford Press: New York. Kaplan, RS & Norton, DP (1992). The Balanced Scorecard: Measures that Drive Performance. Harvard Business Review, (January-February), pp. 71-79. Kaplan, RS & Norton, DP (1996). Using the Balanced Scorecard as a Strategic Management System. Harvard Business Review, (January/February), pp. 75-85 Kaplan, RS & Norton, DP (1996). Balanced Scorecard: Translating Strategy into Action. Harvard Business School Press: Cambridge, Massachusetts Kaplan RS & Norton DP (2000). The Strategy Focused Organization. Harvard Business School Press: USA Kaplan RS & Norton DP (2004). Strategy Maps: Converting intangible assets into tangible outcomes. Harvard Business School Press: Boston McLaughlin, JA, & Jordan, JB (2004). Logic Models. In, J. S. Wholey, H. P. Hatry & K. E. Newcomer (Eds). Handbook of Practical Program Evaluation, 2nd Edition .San Francisco, CA: Jossey-Bass. Mercure, S, Cote, G, Archambault, E. (2007). Scientific Positioning of Alberta in Health Research Specialties. Science- Metrix. Montreal, Canada. Retrieved from http://www.ahfmr.ab.ca/download.php/b833a02029ebd9e62fd286168dfc2615
  • 27. Contact information Kathryn Graham (PhD) Director, Performance Management Alberta Innovates Health Solutions 1500 – 10104 103 Avenue N.W. Edmonton, Alberta, Canada T5J 4A7 Email: kathryn.graham@albertainnovates.ca THANK YOU

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Acknowledge, the Performance Management Team: Amy Wong, Heidi Chorzempa, May Kharaghani, Daniel Zhang and Andrew LeJeune (What about me?  Liza)
  2. Evaluating complex systems requires using novel approaches as well as multimethod approach to provide an evidence base for policy making as well as informing program and organizational decision making and demonstrating results.
  3. The Edmonton based Alberta Innovates Health Solutions is a not for profit provincial health research funding agency. In early 2010 AHFMR was incorporated under the new realigned research and innovation system designed to strengthen the provinces role as a world leader in using science to seek solutions.
  4. Belief that supporting health research will lead to health, health system benefit.
  5. One of the main stays are surveys and asking researchers for information hence administrative burden
  6. Comprehensive and Integrated:Mixed Methodology – Qualitative and Quantitative collection, analysis and reportingMulti method – case studies to bibliometricsMulti dimensionalIntegrated into the business modelPhased Approach
  7. Measures the “output” of individuals/research teams, institutions, and countries, to identify national and international networks, and to map the development of new (multi-disciplinary) fields of science and technology. CAHS : QUESTIONS INDICATORS/MEASURESACTIVITY/PPRODUCITVITY WHAT HAS BEEN THE LEVEL OF ACTIVITY IN TERMS OF KNOWLEDGE GENERATION BY CANADA-BASED MEDICAL RESEARCHERS NUMBER OF PUBLICATIONSCONTEXTUAL AND STRUCTURALQUALITYOUTREACH
  8. Capacity building, advancing knowledge and informing decision making are the enabling outcomes to achieve health and socio-economic impact
  9. Changes in the external environment drive change in AIHS which also impacts how we assess success and what is important to our different key stakeholder groups
  10. MethodsExpert Opinion – Peer ReviewSurveysInterviewsCase StudiesMeasures the “output” of individuals/research teams, institutions, and countries, to identify national and international networks, and to map the development of new (multi-disciplinary) fields of science and technology. CAHS : QUESTIONS INDICATORS/MEASURESACTIVITY/PPRODUCITVITY WHAT HAS BEEN THE LEVEL OF ACTIVITY IN TERMS OF KNOWLEDGE GENERATION BY CANADA-BASED MEDICAL RESEARCHERS NUMBER OF PUBLICATIONSCONTEXTUAL AND STRUCTURALQUALITYOUTREACH
  11. Measures the “output” of individuals/research teams, institutions, and countries, to identify national and international networks, and to map the development of new (multi-disciplinary) fields of science and technology.Difficult to account for organizational S&T mandate, priorities and levels of resources ($, infrastructure and FTEs)
  12. ARC – a direct measure of scientific impact based on paper citation counts (2-year citation window). Normalized by subfields of Science and yearARIF – a proxy for the ‘quality’ of the journal in which papers are published. It is based on symmetric impact factors of journal. Normalized by subfields of science and year.Specialization Index – an indicator of the intensity of research of a given geographic or organizational entity (e.g. a country) in a given research area (e.g. domain, field) relative to the intensity of the reference entity (e.g. the world) in the same research area. CAHS :QUESTIONS INDICATORS/MEASURESACTIVITY/PPRODUCITVITY WHAT HAS BEEN THE LEVEL OF ACTIVITY IN TERMS OF KNOWLEDGE GENERATION BY CANADA-BASED MEDICAL RESEARCHERS NUMBER OF PUBLICATIONSCONTEXTUAL AND STRUCTURALQUALITYOUTREACH
  13. Average Relative Citation and Specialized IndexAll questions addressed1 represents0 is the world levelThe results suggest that within a 20 year window, most countries had made some significant advances in terms of improving the degree of research specialization (SI) and the quality of knowledge ARC produced in the Medical Sciences. The size of the circles is proportional to the number of papers produced by the entity. The position of an entity 1 top right – high impact scientific production, entities specialize in the given domain and their activities have a high impact – their papers are more frequently cites that the world average in this field.
  14. Measures the “output” of individuals/research teams, institutions, and countries, to identify national and international networks, and to map the development of new (multi-disciplinary) fields of science and technology.
  15. Figure 8-5 shows a patent tree for one of the first 50 completed ATP projects, A project to develop wafer ion-implantation, carried out by Diamond Semiconductor Group (DSG). Patent trees represent one aspect of knowledge dissemination, the patent trees extend our understanding of the influence of the new knowledge created on others. – relevance, extent of dissemination, and impact.
  16. Advantage - Able to illustrate the density of connectivity, which is important for identifying key papers (from the researcher’s own lens) and the researchers’ most influential periodDisdvantabe3D objects can be difficult to understandDifferent arrangements of the research events could provide quite different impressionWe simplify the highly complex diagram shown previously in Figure 4 by showing only the linkages that are directly or indirectly linked to Patent 312 and move the relevant events inside the circle (Figure 6). Patent 312, granted in 1999, has observable direct linkages to three other key researcher markers: Grant 151 (1999), Paper 16 (1993) and Paper 20 (1993). The latter two have direct linkages to six and four papers respectively. These papers are further connected to four older papers. The oldest paper goes back to 1977 (Paper 0). Therefore, we would conclude that there was a time lag of 22 years, between Paper 0 and Patent 312.
  17. Historical TracingEmphasis on tracing chronologically a series of interrelated developments leading from research to ultimate outcomes or from outcomes back to the factors that spawn them.Forward TracingWhen the objective is to evaluate a given project, forward tracing, where the analyst starts with the research of interest and traces the evolution of related events from the point forward, is generally more manageable and cost-effective than backward tracing….
  18. Mental Health Retrosight investigates the translation of basic, clinical and interventional research into clinical application and community practice.Uses bibliometrics and literature review for hot topics and going forwardUses delphi surveys and clinical guidelines for interventions going backwards
  19. This graph is blurry [Liza C.]