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1

Correlational Research
Chapter 15

© 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
All rights reserved.
2

© 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
All rights reserved.
3

The Nature of Correlational Research








Correlational research is also known as associational
research.
Relationships among two or more variables are
studied without any attempt to influence them.
Investigates the possibility of relationships between
two variables.
There is no manipulation of variables in correlational
research
Correlational studies describe the variable
relationship via a correlation coefficient.
© 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
All rights reserved.
4

Three Sets of Data Showing Different
Directions and Degrees of Correlation
(A)
r = +1.00

(B)
r = -1.00

(C)
r=0

X

Y

X

Y

X

Y

5

5

5

1

2

1

4

4

4

2

5

4

3

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

4

1

5

1

1

1

5

4

2

© 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
All rights reserved.
5

Purpose of Correlational Research






Correlational studies are carried out to explain
important human behavior or to predict likely
outcomes (identify relationships among variables).
If a relationship of sufficient magnitude exists
between two variables, it becomes possible to
predict a score on either variable if a score on the
other variable is known (Prediction Studies).
The variable that is used to make the prediction is
called the predictor variable.

© 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
All rights reserved.
6

Purpose of Correlational Research
(cont.)





The variable about which the prediction is made is
called the criterion variable.
Both scatterplots and regression lines are used in
correlational studies to predict a score on a
criterion variable
A predicted score is never exact. Through a
prediction equation, researchers use a predicted
score and an index of prediction error (standard
error of estimate) to conclude if the score is likely to
be incorrect.
© 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
All rights reserved.
7

Scatterplot Illustrating a
Correlation of +1.00

© 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
All rights reserved.
8

Prediction Using a Scatterplot

© 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
All rights reserved.
9

More Complex Correlational Techniques


Multiple Regression




Coefficient of multiple correlation (R)




Technique that enables researchers to determine a
correlation between a criterion variable and the best
combination of two or more predictor variables
Indicates the strength of the correlation between the
combination of the predictor variables and the criterion
variable

Coefficient of Determination


Indicates the percentage of the variability among the
criterion scores that can be attributed to differences in
the scores on the predictor variable
© 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
All rights reserved.
10

More Complex Correlational Techniques
(cont.)


Discriminant Function Analysis




Factor Analysis




Allows the researcher to determine whether many
variables can be described by a few factors

Path Analysis




Rather than using multiple regression, this technique is
used when the criterion value is categorical

Used to test the likelihood of a causal connection among
three or more variables

Structural Modeling


Sophisticated method for exploring and possibly
confirming causation among several variables
© 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
All rights reserved.
11

Prediction Using a Scatterplot

© 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
All rights reserved.
12

Path Analysis Diagram

© 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
All rights reserved.
Partial Correlation

© 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
All rights reserved.

13
Scatterplots Illustrating How a Factor (C)
May Not be a Threat to
Internal Validity

© 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
All rights reserved.

14
Circle Diagrams Illustrating Relationships
Among Variables

© 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
All rights reserved.

15
16

Basic Steps in Correlational Research


Problem selection



Choosing a sample

Determining design and
procedures






Collecting and analyzing
data



Interpreting results

Selecting or choosing
proper instruments

© 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
All rights reserved.
17

What Do Correlational Coefficients
Tell Us?








The meaning of a given correlation coefficient
depends on how it is applied.
Correlation coefficients below .35 show only a slight
relationship between variables.
Correlations between .40 and .60 may have
theoretical and/or practical value depending on the
context.
Only when a correlation of .65 or higher is
obtained, can one reasonably assume an accurate
prediction.
Correlations over .85 indicate a very strong
relationship between the variables correlated.
© 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
All rights reserved.
18

Threats to Internal Validity
in Correlational Research
The following must be controlled to reduce threats
to internal validity:






Subject characteristics
Mortality
Location
Instrument decay








Testing
History
Data collector
characteristics
Data collector bias

© 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
All rights reserved.
19

Correlational Research
Chapter 15

© 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
All rights reserved.

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notes on correlational research

  • 1. 1 Correlational Research Chapter 15 © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 2. 2 © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 3. 3 The Nature of Correlational Research      Correlational research is also known as associational research. Relationships among two or more variables are studied without any attempt to influence them. Investigates the possibility of relationships between two variables. There is no manipulation of variables in correlational research Correlational studies describe the variable relationship via a correlation coefficient. © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 4. 4 Three Sets of Data Showing Different Directions and Degrees of Correlation (A) r = +1.00 (B) r = -1.00 (C) r=0 X Y X Y X Y 5 5 5 1 2 1 4 4 4 2 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 4 1 5 1 1 1 5 4 2 © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 5. 5 Purpose of Correlational Research    Correlational studies are carried out to explain important human behavior or to predict likely outcomes (identify relationships among variables). If a relationship of sufficient magnitude exists between two variables, it becomes possible to predict a score on either variable if a score on the other variable is known (Prediction Studies). The variable that is used to make the prediction is called the predictor variable. © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 6. 6 Purpose of Correlational Research (cont.)    The variable about which the prediction is made is called the criterion variable. Both scatterplots and regression lines are used in correlational studies to predict a score on a criterion variable A predicted score is never exact. Through a prediction equation, researchers use a predicted score and an index of prediction error (standard error of estimate) to conclude if the score is likely to be incorrect. © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 7. 7 Scatterplot Illustrating a Correlation of +1.00 © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 8. 8 Prediction Using a Scatterplot © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 9. 9 More Complex Correlational Techniques  Multiple Regression   Coefficient of multiple correlation (R)   Technique that enables researchers to determine a correlation between a criterion variable and the best combination of two or more predictor variables Indicates the strength of the correlation between the combination of the predictor variables and the criterion variable Coefficient of Determination  Indicates the percentage of the variability among the criterion scores that can be attributed to differences in the scores on the predictor variable © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 10. 10 More Complex Correlational Techniques (cont.)  Discriminant Function Analysis   Factor Analysis   Allows the researcher to determine whether many variables can be described by a few factors Path Analysis   Rather than using multiple regression, this technique is used when the criterion value is categorical Used to test the likelihood of a causal connection among three or more variables Structural Modeling  Sophisticated method for exploring and possibly confirming causation among several variables © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 11. 11 Prediction Using a Scatterplot © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 12. 12 Path Analysis Diagram © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 13. Partial Correlation © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 13
  • 14. Scatterplots Illustrating How a Factor (C) May Not be a Threat to Internal Validity © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 14
  • 15. Circle Diagrams Illustrating Relationships Among Variables © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 15
  • 16. 16 Basic Steps in Correlational Research  Problem selection  Choosing a sample Determining design and procedures    Collecting and analyzing data  Interpreting results Selecting or choosing proper instruments © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 17. 17 What Do Correlational Coefficients Tell Us?      The meaning of a given correlation coefficient depends on how it is applied. Correlation coefficients below .35 show only a slight relationship between variables. Correlations between .40 and .60 may have theoretical and/or practical value depending on the context. Only when a correlation of .65 or higher is obtained, can one reasonably assume an accurate prediction. Correlations over .85 indicate a very strong relationship between the variables correlated. © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 18. 18 Threats to Internal Validity in Correlational Research The following must be controlled to reduce threats to internal validity:     Subject characteristics Mortality Location Instrument decay     Testing History Data collector characteristics Data collector bias © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 19. 19 Correlational Research Chapter 15 © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.